AQA A-Level Economics Sample
AQA A-Level Economics Sample
A-level
Economics
For A-level Year 1 and AS
Ray Powell
James Powell
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AQA A-level Economics Dynamic Learning Ray Powell
Part 1 Microeconomics
1 Economic methodology and the economic problem
1.1 Economic methodology
1.2 The nature and purpose of economic activity
1.3 Economic resources
1.4 Scarcity, choice and the allocation of resources
1.5 Production possibility diagrams
1.6 Value judgements, positive and normative statements
Part 2 Macroeconomics
6 The measurement of macroeconomic performance
6.1 The objectives of government economic policy
6.2 Macroeconomic indicators
6.3 Uses of index numbers
8 Economic performance
8.1 Economic growth and the economic cycle
8.2 Employment and unemployment
8.3 Inflation and deflation
8.4 The balance of payments on current account
8.5 Possible conflicts between macroeconomics policy objectives
9 Macroeconomic policy
9.1 Monetary policy
9.2 Fiscal policy
9.3 Supply-side policies
1
2 Price determination in
a competitive market
Chapter 1 introduced you to one of the fundamental economic problems:
how to allocate scarce resources between competing uses in conditions
in which there are limited resources and unlimited wants. In a market
economy, resource allocation is undertaken by the price mechanism
operating in the system of markets that make up the economy. This is
true also in the ‘market sector’ of a ‘mixed economy’. However, in a mixed
economy there is also a ‘non-market sector’ in which goods and services
such as roads and police are produced and delivered to final users ‘outside
the market’. The UK is often said to be a ‘mixed economy’ though in recent
decades the nature of the ‘mix’ has been shifting toward a pure market
economy and away from non-market provision.
This chapter focuses on markets and the price mechanism, and looks
only at competitive markets. Many of the markets in the UK economy are
uncompetitive markets, but these are investigated in Chapter 4.
KEY TERM
competitive market a market in which the large number of buyers and
sellers possess good market information and can easily enter or leave the
market.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
This chapter will:
• explain the nature of demand and supply in a competitive market
• differentiate between a movement along a demand or a supply curve
and a shift of a demand or a supply curve
• introduce the concept of elasticity and explain the different elasticities
you need to know
• bring demand and supply curves together in a supply and demand
diagram
• distinguish between market equilibrium and disequilibrium in a supply
and demand diagram
• investigate different ways in which markets are interrelated
• examine a number of real-world markets
2
●● What is a market?
A market is a voluntary meeting of buyers and sellers. Both buyer and seller
have to be willing partners to the exchange. If, for example, a buyer uses
violence or the threat of violence to ‘persuade’ a seller to supply goods at a
price unfavourable to the seller, this is a forced transaction and not a market
transaction.
Markets do not have to exist in a particular geographical location.
Whenever a good or service is voluntarily bought and sold, a market
●● Competitive markets
A market is highly competitive when there are a large number of buyers
and sellers all passively accepting the ruling market price that is set, not by
KEY TERMS individual decisions, but by the interaction of all those taking part in the
equilibrium price the price at market. The ruling market price (or equilibrium price) is set by supply
which planned demand for a
and demand in the market as a whole. Highly competitive markets lack
good or service exactly equals
planned supply.
entry and exit barriers. This means that new buyers and sellers can easily
enter the market without incurring costs. In the same way buyers and sellers
supply the quantity of a good
can leave the market if they wish to. Competitive markets also exhibit a
or service that firms are
willing and able to sell at given
high degree of transparency — buyers and sellers can quickly find out what
prices in a given period of everyone else in the market is doing.
time.
demand the quantity of a good
or service that consumers are
2.1 The determinants of demand
willing and able to buy at given
prices in a given period of for goods and services
time. For economists, demand
is always effective demand. Households and firms operate simultaneously in two sets of markets. The
effective demand the desire first of these contains the goods markets in which households demand and
for a good or service backed by buy consumer goods and services produced and supplied by firms. But for
an ability to pay. household demand in the goods market to be an effective demand — that
is, demand backed up by an ability to pay — households must first sell
their labour, or possibly the services of any capital or land they own, in the
markets for factors of production. These were briefly mentioned in Chapter 1.
Households’ roles are therefore reversed in goods markets and factor markets.
In this chapter, we ignore factor markets and focus solely on the determinants
of demand for consumer goods and services.
Price
●● The market demand curve
P1 The market demand curve in Figure 2.1 illustrates the ‘law’ of demand. If the
price starts off high, for example at P1, household demand is Q1. But if the
price falls to P2, demand increases to Q2.
P2 Demand for a good varies according to the time period being considered.
Demand For example, weekly demand is different from daily, monthly and annual
demand. For this reason, the horizontal axis in Figure 2.1 is labelled ‘Quantity
O Q1 Q2 Quantity demanded per period of time’. It is normal practice to use the label ‘Quantity’
demanded per
period of time on the horizontal axis of a demand curve diagram, as we do in the rest of this
Figure 2.1 A market demand curve book, but this is an abbreviation. It always refers to a period of time.
2 Price determination in a competitive market
SYNOPTIC LINK
Microeconomic demand curves look very similar to aggregate demand
curves which are explained in Chapter 7. It is vital that you don’t confuse
the two. Likewise, don’t confuse demand with consumption, which is a
component of aggregate demand, also explained in Chapter 7.
ACTIVITY
Construct a questionnaire containing the following question: ‘How many
litre bottles of cola would you buy each week if the price was £2, £1.50,
£1.00, 50 pence, 25 pence?’ Ask a sample of your friends to answer
the question and analyse their answers. What are the problems with
estimating demand curves in this way?
Veblen goods are those that have high price as a selling point
KEY CONCEPT
EXTENSION MATERIAL
Horizontal and vertical demand (a) Infinitely elastic demand (b) Zero elasticity of demand
curves have constant elasticities at Price Price
Demand PED = 0
all points on the curve. A horizontal
P2
demand curve, such as the demand
curve in Figure 2.3 (a), is infinitely Demand
P1 P1
elastic or perfectly elastic. At the PED = ∞
other extreme, the vertical demand
curve in Figure 2.3 (b) is completely P2
inelastic, displaying a zero price
elasticity of demand at all points on
the curve. When the price falls, for O O
Quantity Q1 Quantity
example from P1 to P2, the quantity
demanded is unchanged. Figure 2.3 Horizontal and vertical demand curves
Percentage of income
The demand curves for goods or services on which households spend a large
proportion of their income tend to be more elastic than those of small items
that account for only a small fraction of income. This is because for items
on which only a very small fraction of income is spent, particularly for those
which are rarely purchased, people hardly notice the effect of a change in price
on their income. The same is not true for ‘big ticket’ items such as a new car or
an overseas holiday.
Necessities or luxuries
It is sometimes said that the demand for necessities is price inelastic, whereas
demand for luxuries is elastic. This statement should be treated with caution.
When no obvious substitute exists, demand for a luxury good may be inelastic,
while at the other extreme, demand for particular types of basic foodstuff is
likely to be elastic if other staple foods are available as substitutes. It is the
existence of substitutes that really determines price elasticity of demand, not
the issue of whether the good is a luxury or a necessity.
Time
The time period in question will also affect the price elasticity of demand.
For many goods and services, demand is more elastic in the long run than
in the short run because it takes time to respond to a price change. For 9
example, if the price of petrol rises relative to the price of diesel, it will take
time for motorists to respond because they will be ‘locked in’ to their existing
investment in petrol-engine cars.
In other circumstances, the response might be greater in the short run than
in the long run. A sudden rise in the price of petrol might cause motorists
to economise in its use for a few weeks before getting used to the price and
drifting back to their old motoring habits.
CASE STUDY 2.1
Elasticity and tobacco taxation
Various studies have calculated the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes of different groups in society
such as the young and the old, and men and women.
A World Bank review concluded that price rises of about 10% would on average reduce tobacco consumption
by about 4% in richer countries. Smokers in poorer nations also tend to be more sensitive to price changes.
Reviewing 86 studies, Gallet and List found a mean price elasticity of −0.48, meaning that, on average,
a 10% increase in price will be followed by a decrease in consumption of 4.8%. They also found greater
responsiveness among younger people, with an average price elasticity of –1.43 for teenagers, –0.76 for young
adults, and –0.32 for adults. They found an average price sensitivity of –0.50 for men and –0.34 for women.
Studies have also tended to show greater price sensitivity among low-income groups.
Follow-up questions
1 Most of the elasticity statistics quoted above lie between zero and −1. Discuss the significance of this for
governments.
2 Suggest two reasons why adult smokers may be less responsive to a rise in the price of cigarettes than
teenage smokers.
2 Price determination in a competitive market
STUDY TIP
O Q1 Q2 Quantity Remember that elasticities are calculated by dividing the percentage
Figure 2.5 The effect of a price fall change in quantity demanded (or supplied) by the percentage change in the
on total consumer expenditure when variable that caused the change.
demand is elastic
●● Cross-elasticity of demand
Cross-elasticity of demand measures how the demand for one good
KEY TERM responds to changes in the price of another good. The cross-elasticity of
cross-elasticity of demand demand between two goods or services indicates the nature of the demand
measures the extent to
relationship between the goods. There are three possibilities: 11
which the demand for a good
l complementary goods (or joint demand)
changes in response to a
l substitutes (or competing demand)
change in the price of another
good, it is calculated by l an absence of any discernible demand relationship
dividing the percentage change Cars and petrol or diesel fuel, for example, are in joint demand. A significant
in quantity demanded by the
increase in fuel prices will have some effect on the demand for cars, though
percentage change in the price
the effect may not be great. By contrast, private car travel and bus travel are
of another good.
substitute goods. A significant increase in the cost of running a car will cause
some motorists to switch to public transport, provided its price does not rise
by a similar amount as well.
As with the case with income elasticity of demand, the size and sign (positive
or negative) of cross elasticity of demand affects how a good’s demand curve
shifts following a change in the price of another good. For example, a cross
elasticity of demand of + 0.3 for bus travel with respect to the price of running
a car indicates that a 10 per cent increase in the cost of private motoring
KEY CONCEPT would cause the demand for bus travel to increase by just 3 per cent. For
Elasticity, a summary most demand relationships between two goods, cross elasticities of demand
Elasticity basically means are inelastic rather than elastic, both when the goods are in joint demand and
responsiveness. Demand when they are substitutes.
elasticities measure how
consumers respond to a
change in a good’s price, TEST YOURSELF 2.2
income, or the price of another The price of a gaming console for a particular games provider rises by
good. You should know the 30%. In subsequent years the demand for games cartridges for this
formulae for each type of system falls by 10%. What does this tell you about the cross-elasticity of
elasticity. demand between the two products?
●● Market supply
Normally when economists refer to supply, they mean market supply. Market
KEY TERM supply is the quantity of a good or service that all the firms or producers in
market supply the quantity of
the market plan to sell at different prices. By contrast, supply by a single firm
a good or service that all firms
plan to sell at given prices in a is the quantity that a particular firm within the market would like to sell.
given period of time. As with demand, the relationship between the two is simple. Market supply
is just the sum of the supply of all the firms or producers in the market at
different market prices.
As with demand, the supply of a good varies according to the time period
being considered. Hence the words ‘Quantity supplied per period of time’
on the horizontal axis in Figure 2.6. In later diagrams, this is shortened to
‘Quantity’. But again, as with demand, remember that this is an abbreviation.
SYNOPTIC LINK
Microeconomic supply curves look very similar to aggregate supply curves
which are explained in Chapter 7. Don’t confuse the two.
EXTENSION MATERIAL
KEY CONCEPT
Supply, a summary
Market supply is the total amount of a good or service that all the firms in 15
the market wish to sell at different possible prices. A market supply curve
usually slopes upward, showing that the higher its price, the more of the
good firms would like to sell. This is because higher profits can be made at
higher prices.
2.4 Price elasticity of supply
In contrast to demand elasticities explained earlier in the chapter, there is only
KEY TERM one supply elasticity you need to know. This is price elasticity of supply,
price elasticity of supply
which measures how the supply of a good responds to an initial change in a
measures the extent to which
the supply for a good changes good’s price.
in response to a change in the The formula for price elasticity of supply is:
price of that good.
percentage change in quantity supplied
price elasticity of supply =
percentage change in price
Just as with demand curves, you must not confuse the slope of a supply curve
with its elasticity. Upward-sloping straight-line (linear) supply curves display
the following price elasticities:
l if the supply curve intersects the price axis, the curve is elastic at all points,
though elasticity falls towards unity moving from point to point up the
curve
l if the supply curve intersects the quantity axis, the curve is inelastic at all
points, though elasticity rises towards unity moving from point to point up
the curve
l if the supply curve passes through the origin, elasticity equals unity (+1) at
2 Price determination in a competitive market
(a) Elastic supply (b) Inelastic supply (c) Unit elasticity of supply
Price Price Supply Price Supply
Supply
P2 P2
P1 P2
P1 P1
(a) Perfectly elastic (b) Elastic supply (c) Unit elastic (d) Inelastic supply (e) Completely
supply supply inelastic supply
P P P P P
PES = 1 S
S
S S
PES > 1
PES = ∞ PES = 0
S PES < 1
16
O Q O Q O Q O Q O Q
Figure 2.12 The five linear supply curves you should know
STUDY TIP TEST YOURSELF 2.4
In the short run, supply increases to Q2, and the price falls from P2 to
P 3.
l Long-run supply If firms believe the increase in demand will be long-
lasting, and not just a temporary phenomenon, they may increase the
scale of production by employing more capital and other factors of
production that are fixed in the short run, but variable in the long run.
STUDY TIP When this happens, firms move along the long-run supply curve S3.
You should understand why, Output rises to Q3, and the price falls once again, in this case to P4.
for most goods, both the
demand curve and the supply In a competitive industry with low or non-existent barriers to entry,
curve are more price elastic elasticity of supply is greater in the long run than in the short run,
in the long run than in the because in the long run firms can enter or leave the market. Short-run
short run. supply is less elastic because supply is restricted to the firms already in
the industry.
Follow-up questions
1 Suggest why the price elasticity of supply of new houses is lower in the UK than in the USA.
2 ‘New housing would need to have a price elasticity of supply of +10 for supply to equal demand in the long
term.’ Explain this statement.
EXTENSION MATERIAL
Supply
P2 Z
Z
P2
P1
X
P1
X
D2 D2
Figure 2.15 The adjustment to a D1 D1
new equilibrium following a shift of O Q1 Q2 Quantity O Q1 Q2 Quantity
demand of goods of goods
STUDY TIP KEY CONCEPT
You should apply elasticity analysis when
Shifts of curves vs movements along curves
answering questions on the effects of
a shift of a demand or supply curve. Whenever a demand curve shifts, an adjustment or
The extent to which the good’s price movement takes place along the supply curve until a new
or equilibrium level of output changes equilibrium is achieved. Likewise, whenever a supply
depends on the price elasticity of the curve curve shifts, a movement takes place along the demand
that has not shifted. For example, when curve until a new equilibrium is achieved. It is important
the supply curve shifts leftwards, the price to understand that the elasticity of the curve which has not
elasticity of the demand curve determines shifted determines the extent to which price or quantity
the extent to which both the good’s price changes following the shift of the other curve. Figure 2.15
and quantity change. shows this.
competitive market
Price
Market supply We now bring together the market demand and market supply curves
explained earlier in the chapter to see how the equilibrium price is achieved
in a competitive market within the economy. The market we will look at is the
P* tomato market. Its essential features are shown in Figure 2.16.
The market demand curve in Figure 2.16 shows how many tomatoes all the
consumers in the market plan to purchase at different prices in a particular
Market demand period of time. The market supply curve shows how many tomatoes all the
O Q* Quantity farmers and firms in the market wish to supply at different prices in the same
Figure 2.16 Market equilibrium in the time period.
tomato market
The equilibrium price
The concepts of equilibrium and its opposite, disequilibrium, are important
in economic theory and analysis. You should think of equilibrium as a state
of rest or a state of balance between opposing forces. In a market, the opposing
KEY TERMS forces are supply and demand. Market equilibrium, which is shown in Figure
equilibrium a state of rest 2.16, occurs where the demand curve and the supply curve cross each other.
or balance between opposing At price P*, households plan to demand exactly the same quantity of tomatoes
forces. that firms plan to supply. P* therefore is the equilibrium price, with Q* being
disequilibrium a situation in the equilibrium quantity.
20 a market when there is excess
supply or excess demand. In summary:
market equilibrium when A market is in disequilibrium when:
planned demand equals l planned demand < planned supply, in which case the price falls, or when
planned supply in the market. l planned demand > planned supply, in which case the price rises.
●● Disequilibrium in a market
Price S It is impossible at most prices for both households and firms to simultaneously
Excess supply
P1
fulfil their market plans. In Figure 2.17, P1 is a disequilibrium price for
tomatoes because the tomato growers and sellers cannot fulfil their plans at
P*
this price. When price is P1 in Figure 2.17, firms would like to supply Q2, but
households are only willing to purchase Q1.
P2
Excess demand
D
To explain this further, it is useful to divide the market into two ‘sides’ — the
O Q1 Q* Q2 Quantity short side and the long side. When the price is P1, households, or the people
Figure 2.17 Disequilibrium and wishing to buy tomatoes, are on the short side of the market, while tomato
equilibrium in the tomato market producers are on the long side. The economic agents on the short side can
always fulfil their market plans, but those on the long side cannot. Thus, when
the price is P1, households can purchase exactly the quantity of tomatoes they
wish to, namely Q1. Farmers and other tomato producers, however, are in a
different situation. They would like to sell Q2, but can only sell Q1, as long as
the price remains at P1. The difference between Q2 and Q1 is excess supply or
KEY TERM unsold stock.
excess supply when firms
wish to sell more than
The market is also in disequilibrium at price P2, because households are
consumers wish to buy, with
unable to buy as much as they wish to at this price. Households would like
the price above the equilibrium
price. to buy Q2 of tomatoes, but they can’t, because at this price tomato producers
are only willing to supply Q1. The situation is now reversed compared to P1.
excess demand when
Tomato buyers are on the long side of the market and farmers and tomato
consumers wish to buy more
than firms wish to sell, with sellers are on the short side. In this case, the difference between Q2 and Q1
the price below the equilibrium is excess demand or unfulfilled demand. Households end up buying Q1 of
price. tomatoes because this is the maximum quantity tomato producers are prepared
to sell at this price.
SYNOPTIC LINK
Two examples of equilibrium and disequilibrium in macroeconomics are
macroeconomic equilibrium and balance of payments equilibrium. Look
out for these in Chapters 7 and 8.
QUANTITATIVE SKILLS 2.2
Worked example: calculating the equilibrium price of a good
Table 2.2 shows the demand and supply schedules for chocolate bars.
Table 2.2
Price per bar (£) Quantity of bars demanded per week Quantity of bars supplied per week
0.75 180 240
0.70 200 200
0.65 220 160
0.60 240 120
As a result of a fall in the price of cocoa beans, the supply of chocolate bars rises by 60 bars at all prices. What is
the new equilibrium price of chocolate bars?
According to the table the initial equilibrium price of chocolate bars is 70 pence, at which demand and supply are
equal at 200 chocolate bars. If 60 more chocolate bars are supplied at each price, following the fall in the cost
of manufacturing the bars, 300 bars are supplied at a price of 75 pence, 260 bars at a price of 70 pence, and 220
bars at a price of 65 pence. This is the new equilibrium price.Demand equals supply at 220 bars at this price. The
supply curve has shifted upward by 60 at each price.
2 Price determination in a competitive market
EXTENSION MATERIAL
Incentives to change
We shall now introduce an important assumption about economic behaviour which recurs throughout economic
theory and analysis. This is the assumption that whenever an economic agent, such as a household or firm,
fails to fulfil its market plans, it has an incentive to change its market behaviour. When excess supply exists
in the market (as at P1 in the tomato market, Figure 2.18), the market mechanism or price mechanism swings
into action to get rid of unsold stocks. This moves the market towards equilibrium. Economists assume that
firms react to stocks of unsold goods by accepting a lower price. Eventually the price falls until the amount that
households wish to buy equals exactly the quantity that firms are prepared to supply. In the tomato market,
equilibrium is reached at price P*.
In the case of excess demand, it is useful to divide households into two groups of customers. In the tomato
market, the first group, depicted by the distance from O to Q1, are lucky customers who buy the good at price P1
before the available quantity runs out. By contrast, unlucky households, shown by the distance from Q1 to Q2,
cannot buy the good at P1, possibly because they turned up too late. However, in order to be able to purchase
the good, unlucky consumers bid up the price until, once again, equilibrium is reached at P*.
The equilibrium price, P*, is the only price which satisfies both households and firms. Consequently, once
this price is reached, neither group has reason to change their market plans. At P*, planned demand equals
planned supply and the market clears.
22 STUDY TIP
Many students never really get to grips with microeconomic analysis
because they fail to understand the difference between market plans and
market action. Your market plans are what you want to do when you go
shopping. Your market action is what you end up doing.
How a shift of supply disturbs market equilibrium
STUDY TIP
Make sure you can distinguish between a shift of a supply or demand
curve, and the adjustment to a new equilibrium along the curve that does
not shift.
Follow-up questions
1 Explain how the case study illustrates how better information on the part of buyers or sellers improves the
way a market functions.
2 Name two UK markets that have been made more competitive as a result of the growing use of mobile
phones.
Follow-up questions
1 eBay is the best-known and the largest internet-based auction. Give your views on the advantages and
disadvantages of trading goods on eBay.
2 Explain how the use of the internet has affected the costs consumers incur when searching for goods they
want to buy.
Joint supply occurs when production of one good leads to the supply of a
KEY TERMS by-product. Suppose, for example, that the demand for beef increases, possibly
joint supply when one good is
because of rising incomes in developing countries. The slaughter of more cows
produced, another good is also
produced from the same raw
to meet this demand leads to production of more cow hides, which increases
materials. the supply of leather. The interrelationship between the beef and leather
markets is shown in Figure 2.20. Note that the price of beef rises following
the rightward shift of the demand curve for beef, but the price of leather falls
following the rightward shift of the supply curve of leather. A rise in the price
of the first good leads to a shift of the supply curve of the other good in
joint supply. In this example, beef is the main product and leather is the by-
product, though the relationship could be reversed.
The market for beef The market for leather
Price Price S1
S S2
P2
P1
P1
P2
Now consider what happens if two goods are in competing supply rather
KEY TERM
than in joint supply. The relationship between food and biofuel provides a
competing supply when raw
materials are used to produce topical example. Increased demand for biofuels such as ethanol has diverted
one good they cannot be used crop growing away from food supply to the supply of fuel for motor vehicles.
2 Price determination in a competitive market
to produce another good. Because farmers producing crops such as wheat, maize and sugar can earn a
higher price by selling their produce to energy companies, the supply curve of
crops for food is shifting leftward. We will leave it to you to draw appropriate
diagrams to illustrate competing supply, and the four demand relationships
between markets explained below.
STUDY TIP
Think how you could use a production possibility curve diagram to
illustrate how competing supply involves switching productive resources
between different forms of production.
Follow-up questions
1 Explain how diverting crop production to meet the demand for biofuel is affecting world poverty.
2 Explain two causes, other than increased biofuel production, of recent increases in food prices.
●● Goods in joint demand and substitute
Follow-up questions
1 Over the last 50 years, demand for recorded music has switched from vinyl records to CDs and then to
downloads. Explain two reasons for these changes in demand.
2 How would you describe the demand relationship between CDs and MP3 files?
TEST YOURSELF 2.8
A farmer sells 100 sheep at a price of £20 per sheep. What is the farmer’s
total revenue and why is this not the same as the farmer’s profit?
EXTENSION MATERIAL
markets
This chapter has explained how a market for a good or service operates and
how markets interrelate with each other. We now apply this analysis to a
number of real world markets on how a market functions such as: agricultural
markets, commodity markets for raw materials and energy, the market for
second-hand cars, housing markets and markets for healthcare.
Current P1
demand
curve Demand
O Q1 Q2 Quantity O Quantity
Figure 2.21 The long-run fall in the prices Figure 2.22 Fluctuating agricultural prices caused by
of agricultural products shifts of supply
●● Commodity markets
The importance of speculative demand
Farm products are not the only goods whose prices fluctuate from year to year.
The same is true for many primary products, especially metals such as copper
and nickel. Part of the reason for this stems from the fact that it takes years
to open new mines, with the result that sudden increases in demand cannot
easily be met from supply.
29
Another reason is speculation. Many of the organisations that buy and sell
commodities such as copper never intend to use the metal, or indeed to take
delivery of the product. When speculators think the price of copper is going
to rise, probably in conditions of increasing global demand and limited supply,
they step into the market and buy copper. If speculative demand is large
enough, the speculators themselves force the price up. In these circumstances,
higher future prices become self-fulfilling. In a similar way, when speculators
start to sell in the belief that copper prices are going to fall, the act of
speculative selling forces down the price of copper.
CASE STUDY 2.7
Speculative demand and metal prices
Speculative demand has become increasingly important in driving up or down the prices of commodities
such as copper and nickel. Mass buying or selling by international speculators is one of the factors causing
commodity prices to be extremely volatile.
In 2011, the House of Commons Select Committee on Science and Technology became concerned by reports of
financial institutions entering commodity markets and buying up significant quantities of strategic metals. The
committee recommended that the UK government investigate
• whether there are increasing levels of speculation in the metals markets
• the contribution of these to price volatility
• whether markets that allow high levels of speculation, with associated price volatility, are an acceptable way
to deliver strategic commodities to end users
Follow up questions
1 What is meant by speculation?
2 Draw a supply and demand diagram to illustrate the effect of speculative demand on the price of a
commodity such as copper.
for 20–30 years. Between 1980 and 2000, there was a declining price trend,
which reversed at the turn of the millennium (Figure 2.23). After 2008, there
was a significant fall in commodity prices, which all but destroyed the earlier
price increases.
The boom in commodity prices between 2004 and 2008 was caused by two
factors: declining supply and increasing demand. The declining supply was
caused by the earlier fall in commodity prices. Mining companies stopped
investing on a large scale, and this put production under heavy pressure. The
supply decline became evident when demand for commodities started picking
up after 2000, with a huge spike in demand from emerging markets, especially
China. At the time, China’s economy was growing by more than 12% annually,
much faster than the developed world.
Index
100
80
30 60
40
Although China’s growth slowed down immediately after the 2008 global
financial crisis, the growth rate remained above 7% at all times – still a
multiple of European and North American growth rates. Commodity prices fell
in the aftermath of global recession, but, even at their lowest, prices were still
OPEC’s method of controlling the price of crude oil by altering the rate at which its members release or
supply oil on to the market is an example of a retention scheme. It operates through shifting the supply curve
of a product rather than through purchasing a stockpile of the good.
Follow up questions
1 With the help of a supply and demand diagram, explain why in a free market the price of oil might be highly
volatile.
2 Why can’t OPEC completely control the world price of oil?
●● Markets for second-hand cars
A car is a consumer-durable good, delivering a constant stream of consumer
services throughout its life. Provided it is properly looked after and escapes
a serious crash, a new car typically lasts about 15 years. However, unlike a
house, which is the ultimate consumer durable good (with a much longer
life than that of a person living in it), almost all new cars lose value or
depreciate as soon as they have been driven off the showroom forecourt.
This means that the prices of most second-hand cars fall throughout their
lives.
At any time, the prices of second-hand cars depend on whether there has
been excess supply or excess demand in the market for used cars. When
the economy booms, demand for new cars is high, and a constant supply
of second-hand cars is released onto the market as new-car owners replace
their cars. In these conditions, excess supply may mean that second-
hand car prices fall, relative to the prices of new cars. However, this is not
inevitable, as a strong economy may also boost the demand for second-hand
cars.
Likewise, in a recessionary period, new-car owners may hang on to their
cars for longer before they sell them – which decreases the supply of second-
hand cars – and/or the demand for second-hand cars may fall because
2 Price determination in a competitive market
people cannot afford them. There are all sorts of possibilities. Other factors
to consider are: is a new car a ‘superior good’ and a second-hand car an
‘inferior good’?; and are some second-hand cars ‘superior goods’ whereas
others are ‘inferior goods’?
Akerlof’s ‘lemons’
Another factor affecting the price of second-hand cars was first identified
by George Akerlof, who was awarded the Nobel prize in economics for his
research. Akerlof assumed that some second-hand cars have significant
defects (he called these cars ‘lemons’), whereas others are of high quality. If
buyers could tell which cars are lemons and which are not, there would be
two separate markets: a market for lemons and a market for high-quality
cars. But there is often asymmetric information: buyers cannot tell which
cars are lemons, but, of course, sellers know.
Fearing they will be buying lemons, car buyers in general offer lower prices
than they would if they were certain they were buying high-quality cars.
This lower price for all used cars discourages sellers of high-quality cars.
Although some would be willing to sell their cars at the price that buyers of
high-quality used cars would be willing to pay, they are not willing to sell
at the lower price that reflects the risk that the buyer may end up with a
32 lemon. Thus, exchanges that could benefit both buyer and seller fail to take
place and market failure results. (See Chapter 5.)
CASE STUDY 2.9
Follow up questions
1 How might recovery from recession affect new car prices?
2 ‘A new Rolls Royce car is a superior good, but a 15-year-old Ford car is an inferior good.’ Explain this
statement.
23%
31%
36%
50%
The level of activity in the national economy also affects the construction
industry. Since the 1970s, the house-building industry has become dominated
by a small number of ‘volume’ builders. They buy land and hold it in a ‘land
bank’. Houses are only built when the company expects to sell them during
or shortly after construction. The process tends to be speculative — very few
houses are built to meet customers’ specific requirements. The construction
process itself is sometimes contracted out to smaller builders, who depend on
hired equipment and employ casual labour. In recessions or economic slow-
downs, there is often a high level of bankruptcy among smaller subcontractors,
and many building workers become unemployed.
Price of
housing
S1 Short-run fluctuations in house prices
P2 Short-run price fluctuations are explained primarily by the short-run demand
curve shifting rightwards or leftwards along the near-vertical short-run supply
curve. Figure 2.25 shows the demand curve increasing, shifting rightwards
from D1 to D2, causing house prices to rise from P1 to P2, with a smaller
P1
resulting expansion of supply.
D1 D2 In the short run, as Figure 2.25 shows, the supply of housing is price inelastic or
34
O Q1 Q2 Quantity unresponsive to price changes. The factors that explain this include: the general
of housing shortage of land, the effect of planning controls that make it difficult to convert
Figure 2.25 Short-run changes in the land from other uses, and the length of time taken to build a new house.
demand for housing
The demand for housing
As with all consumer goods, people demand housing for the utility or welfare
derived from the consumer services that it provides. All houses provide
basic shelter, but they each have a particular combination of other consumer
attributes, such as location, view, garden, car parking and rooms suitable for
work, leisure and hospitality.
The demand for housing is also affected by a number of special factors.
Housing is a consumer durable good, delivering a stream of consumer services
Follow up questions
1 Describe three causes of homelessness in the UK.
2 Evaluate three policies the government could use to reduce or eliminate the problem of homelessness in the
UK.
●● Healthcare markets
Civitas, which is a pro-free market ‘think-tank’ with an interest in how
healthcare should be provided, has looked at the advantages and disadvantages
of markets for delivering healthcare services. Civitas’s arguments start from
the proposition that healthcare, due to its ‘high upfront costs and centrality to
humankind’, is ‘different’ from most goods and services provided by markets.
As a result, a popular view, particularly in the UK, is that healthcare is best
provided outside the market.
36
TEST YOURSELF 2.9 STUDY TIP
Suppose that vaccination against measles is Make sure you understand fully the meaning of a
only available at a market price of £50. Why merit good and are aware of examples of products
may this lead to an undesirable economic that are generally agreed to be merit goods, e.g.
outcome? healthcare and education.
SUMMARY
Questions
1 Explain the significance of the ceteris paribus assumption in microeconomic
theory.
2 Evaluate the view that a fall in a good’s price will inevitably lead to more
demand for the good.
3 Explain how price elasticity of demand affects total consumer spending
when a good’s price changes.
4 Explain three reasons why a supply curve may shift rightward or downward.
5 Explain how the price elasticity of supply of new housing has affected UK 37
house prices in recent decades.
6 With the help of an appropriate diagram, explain the effect of a government
subsidy granted to producers of the good on the good’s price.
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1
Authors: Ray Powell and James Powell
Build Economics knowledge through active learning
with the latest Powell textbook, featuring quantitative First teaching
skills practice and brand new case studies. from September
2015
This textbook has been fully revised to reflect the
2015 AQA Economics specification and will enable your
students to:
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insight and advice from Ray Powell and James
Powell, who are experienced in teaching and
examining
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