Railway Safety Performance 2013
Railway Safety Performance 2013
2013
Intermediate report on the
development of railway safety in the
European Union
2013
Safety Unit
BACKGROUND .................................................................................................................................................. II
ANNEXES ........................................................................................................................................................ 36
ANNEX 2 — LIST OF SERIOUS ACCIDENTS – COLLISIONS AND DERAILMENTS - OCCURRING IN 2012 AND
NOTIFIED TO ERA ........................................................................................................................................... 43
ANNEX 3 — LIST OF NATIONAL SAFETY AUTHORITIES AND NATIONAL INVESTIGATION BODIES .................... 44
List of abbreviations
I
BACKGROUND
Safety of European railways is relatively high, being one of the safest modes of transport. Even so, it is essential
to maintain and improve the current level of safety for the benefit of European citizens. A safe railway is more
efficient and also a more attractive transport choice, enabling society to address the environmental and
st
economic challenges of the 21 century.
The European Railway Agency (ERA) is a cornerstone of the EU strategy for railway safety. It supports national
safety authorities (NSAs) and national investigation bodies (NIBs) in their tasks and provides evidence for policy
actions at EU level. It develops and promotes the common safety framework as a means for achieving an open
railway market in the EU. The Agency also coordinates activities such as monitoring and provides support for
the further development of EU legislation.
Monitoring safety performance is one of the key tasks of the ERA. The ERA collects, processes and analyses
different sets of data, in order to support recommendations on actions to be taken. In this way, the Agency
facilitates evidence-based policy- making at the EU level. By continuously monitoring and analysing safety
performance, the Agency provides the assurance that the objective of maintaining and improving safety where
reasonably practicable can be achieved.
1
The Agency is requested by EU legislation ( ) to produce a report on safety performance on biannual basis. As a
biannual report was published in 2012, there is no requirement to produce such a report in 2013; therefore no
regular “Railway Safety in the EU” report is published by the Agency. Nevertheless, the availability of annual
evaluation of railway safety performance is of vital importance for the Agency itself, EU and national policy
makers, public agencies and experts from consultancies and academia.
This intermediate report is intended to provide an updated overview of railway safety performance across the
EU and present results of various analyses of that performance. It also includes the results of various
benchmarking exercises that have not been previously published by the Agency. They are all intended to share
knowledge available to the Agency with all interested parties and enable them to make the railway system
safer, more efficient and more competitive.
This report is unique in its nature - it is a once-only publication prepared exclusively in electronic format and its
content has been customised to meet the present needs of the Agency and of its stakeholders, including the
European Commission. The methodology applied throughout this report stems from the presumption that one
2
cannot improve what one cannot measure ( ).
Although this report relies heavily on quantitative data, the ERA is starting to use qualitative information for
the evaluation of railway safety in the EU and its Member States in the coming years. The assessment of
processes carried by National Safety Authorities and National Investigation Bodies extends the possibility for
safety monitoring beyond safety outcomes and changes its nature from reactive to proactive.
1
( ) Article 9(2) of the Agency Regulation (881/2004/EC)
2
( ) In the words of Lord Kelvin: “When you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know
something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a
meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely in your thoughts advanced
to the state of Science, whatever the matter may be.”
II
SUMMARY
This report provides an annual overview of railway safety performance of the European Union. Following the
statutory biennial report published by the European Railway Agency in 2012 in accordance with the
requirements of the Railway Safety Directive, this is intended as intermediate report.
Most recently available figures confirm that railways remain one of the safest modes of transport in the
European Union and worldwide. However, it has become difficult to sustain the trend in reducing casualties on
railways. In particular, it appears that the sector continues to struggle to reduce the number of third-party
victims, which represents 90 % of all casualties on railways, excluding suicides.
Safety performance of EU Member States varies considerably, with a more than ten-fold difference in risk for
all categories of railway users. These differences have not reduced over the past few years and represent a
major challenge for EU policy makers.
The continuous opening of railway market does not appear to be a threat to safety: the countries with
advanced market liberalization have a better safety performance than other countries and they do not appear
to be losing their position with time.
Around 2 400 significant accidents occur each year on the railways of the EU Member States. Accidents to
persons caused by rolling stock in motion and level-crossing accidents constitute more than three quarters of
railway accidents, excluding suicides. In these accidents, around 1 200 persons are killed and a similar number
of persons are seriously injured each year.
In 2011, railway safety continued to improve across the EU, with 2 342 significant accidents resulting in 1 183
fatalities and 1 032 seriously injured. Accident figures have been decreasing considerably over the past five
years; the casualty numbers have seen slight, close to uniform reductions over the same period.
Level crossing users are the only category of third-party/external victims for which the number of causalities
has seen a reduction over the past five years; yet this reduction was less significant than the reduction in road
casualties over the same period.
The number of suicide and trespasser fatalities has not seen any significant reduction over time. In
consequence, while suicide and trespasser fatalities accounted for 84 % of all fatalities in 2007; their share has
increased to 90 % in 2011. External victims, i.e. suicides, trespassers and level crossing users made up 98 % of
railway fatalities in 2011.
Among 2 342 significant accidents that occurred in 2011, 44 were classified as serious accidents by National
Investigation Bodies (NIBs) and as such investigated independently. In total, the NIBs opened an investigation
into 249 accidents and incidents that occurred in 2011.
III
SAFETY OVERVIEW
Around 2 400 significant accidents occur each year on the railways of the EU Member States. Accidents to
persons caused by rolling stock in motion and level-crossing accidents constitute more than three quarters of
railway accidents, excluding suicides. In these accidents, around 1 200 persons are killed and a similar number
of persons seriously injured each year.
In 2011, railway safety continued to improve across Europe, with 2 342 significant accidents resulting in 1 183
fatalities and 1 032 seriously injured. Accident figures have been decreasing considerably over the past five
years; the casualties’ numbers have seen slight, close to uniform reductions over the same period (Figure 1).
4000
3730
3819
3500
3027
3000
2401
2500
2342
1370 1382
2000 1110 1236
1032
1500
1000
1517 1479 1385 1256 1183
500
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Figure 1: Significant accidents and resulting casualties for the EU-27 (2007–2011)
Comparisons of fatality risks for travelling passengers (occupants) reveals that train is one of the safest mode
of transport. The fatality risk for an average passenger is about 0.15 fatalities per billion kilometres,
comparable with the risk of commercial flight passengers of 0.1 fatalities per billion passenger kilometres.
The fatality risk for a train passenger is three times lower than the risk for a bus/coach passenger (Table 1).
3
( ) Source of data: EU transport in figures (Statistical Pocketbook 2012), DG MOVE 2012, European Commission
Page | 1
Historical development of railway safety
The overall level of railway safety in Europe, as measured by fatal train collisions and derailments per billion
train-kilometres, has gradually improved since 1990, although there is considerable scatter from year to year.
4
The estimated overall trend is a reduction in the accident rate of 6 % per year ( ). This gives a fall of 70 % from
1990 to 2012 (Figure 2). The estimated underlying average number of fatal train collisions and derailments
per billion train-killometers was about 4.4 in 1990 and 1.3 in 2011. Despite a positive long-term trend in the
risk of fatal train collisions and derailments over the past two decades, the data in Figure 2 suggests that the
progress has been slowing down, in particular since 2004.
Figure 2: Fatal train collisions and derailments per billion train-kilometres in 1990–2012 for the EU-27,
5
Switzerland and Norway ( )
The number of fatalities in all railway accidents has seen a distinct, downward trend for all categories of
accidents, except level-crossing accidents. This can be partly explained by the continuous increase in road
traffic across Europe, as contributing to the likelihood of a level-crossing collision. The currently run
programmes to remove or upgrade level-crossings might not be extensive enough to compensate for the
increased risk of a level crossing collision.
Accidents with multiple fatalities rarely escape the attention of the media and the public, so data on these
may be more complete. Figure 3 is based on data from the historical archive of railway accidents maintained
by the Agency; it shows the number of major accidents and resulting fatalities for the 33 years 1980–2012. It
includes not only the train collisions and derailments with 5 or more fatalities, but also the major level-
crossing accidents, train fires, and accidents involving groups of persons struck by rolling stock in motion.
The trend in the accident rate per billion train-kilometres for accidents resulting in five or more fatalities is
strongly downward over the period 1990–2012, but somewhat less steep if taken back to 1980–2012. Figure
3 shows that there were on average eight major railway accidents each year during the 1990s, this figure has
4
( ) A. W. Evans (2011), ‘Fatal train accidents on Europe’s railways: 1980–2009’, Accident Analysis and Prevention 43(1),
391–401.
5
( ) Figure courtesy of Andrew W. Evans (Imperial College and University College London), based on own database of fatal
train accidents and collisions and on the train-km data from the UIC, Eurostat and the ERA.
Page | 2
now come down to five accidents per year in the 2000s. There were four accidents with five or more fatalities
in Europe in 2012, three of which were level crossing accidents.
6
Figure 3: Railway accidents with five or more fatalities (1980–2012) ( )
In conclusion, available historical data on fatal railway accidents shows a gradual improvement in safety over
the past three decades, however restricting the analysis to the past eight years creates uncertainty about the
trend in railway safety in Europe in recent years. This stems from the low number of fatal accidents and from
their random nature.
6
( ) All EU countries, Norway and Switzerland, excluding Romania for the period 1980–1989. Accidents on railway
mainlines not covered by the RSD are also included.
Page | 3
Risk levels
Accident risk expressed in the number of outcomes per exposure is probably the best measure of the safety
level. The framework for the evaluation of CSTs/NRVs also uses it as a basis for the assessment of safety
levels at the level of Member States and the Union. Considering all railway fatalities (excluding suicides), the
fatality risk per million train-km in the period 2009-2011 was 0.31 killed per million train km in the EU level.
th
Yet the values of risk vary greatly between countries: The risk of countries in the lowest and highest 10
percentile differs by a factor of 15. (i.e. the fatality risk for Estonia (1.36) is 15 times higher than the risk for
Ireland (0.09)). Interestingly, the countries with a fatality risk higher than average show much greater
variations in risk than those outperforming the EU average. (The distribution of risk among countries is clearly
asymmetrical, with the median value of 0.31, as compared to mean value of 0.60.) Actually, one third of
countries seriously undermine the low level of risk at EU level. Six EU countries have a level of risk that is at
least four times higher than the EU average as shown in Figure 4.
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
Another way to benchmark the level of risk of national railway systems is to look at the fatality risk of
passengers expressed in terms of passenger fatalities per passenger kilometres. Six countries and the Channel
Tunnel have recorded no passenger fatality in the period 2006-2011, thus their passenger fatality risk is zero.
The countries with a level of risk higher than the average are typically those with a high risk for all persons on
railways (8 countries have fatality risks for passenger and all users higher than EU average). This fact,
together with the similarities in the distribution shapes, discards the common belief that the two measures of
risk are not comparable and that the safety of passengers is not correlated to safety of other users.
There are certain limitations in the two benchmarking indicators: They rely on the numbers of fatalities only,
since serious injury data are not believed to be fully comparable between countries and the period
considered is not of the same length, because of limited compatibility of certain data before 2009. However,
these limitations do not seriously undermine the conclusions that can be drawn from Figure 4 and Figure 5.
Page | 4
Passenger fatalities per billion passenger-km (2006-2011)
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
Figure 5: Passenger fatality risk: Passenger fatalities per billion passenger kilometres (2006-2011)
Similarly, one can show the levels of risk for different types of persons and different exposure. This is done in
the framework of common safety targets (CSTs) and national reference values (NRVs), where the NRVs exist
for 6 categories of persons and sometimes for two types of exposure. The NRVs are valid measures of risk
that can be used for benchmarking similar to the one shown in Figure 5, but their value is limited due to the
fact that they are not updated in regular enough intervals and often rely on relatively old data.
Selected descriptive statistics can be used to assess the development of differences in risk levels between
countries over time. Fatality risk per million train kilometres for three groups of persons is considered:
Passengers and employees, all railway victims except third parties (suicide, trespassers and LC victims) and all
victims except suicides. The fatality risk is estimated for two periods: 2006-2008 and 2009-2011. For all three
user categories under consideration, the fatality risk decreased considerably between the two periods
(decrease in mean and median values). Similarly, the standard deviation characterizing how widely values are
dispersed from the average value decreased over time, yet the relative decrease was more important for
passengers and employees (and other) victims. When also considering level crossing users and trespassers, the
relative reduction is only minor. The distribution of risk values for Member States is relatively peaked
regardless the category of users considered seeing from positive kurtosis values. A relative increase in kurtosis
in time suggests that the distribution has become less flat. With regard to passengers and employees, the
decreases in risk variation have been driven by reductions in risk in countries which had relatively high risk
values in the first period, given the increase in skewness. For other categories, the decrease in the variation of
risk is a result of an overall reduction recorded for all countries.
Fatality risk per million train-km Period Mean Median SD Kurtosis Skewness
2006-2008 0.049 0.039 0.043 0.021 0.882
Passengers and employees
2009-2011 0.030 0.022 0.030 6.280 2.194
2006-2008 0.081 0.056 0.106 15.139 3.568
All except third parties
2009-2011 0.048 0.031 0.054 9.678 2.871
2006-2008 0.724 0.379 0.665 0.075 0.973
All fatalities except suicide
2009-2011 0.596 0.306 0.562 0.163 1.093
Table 2: Descriptive statistics for fatality risk in periods 2006-2008 and 2009-2011
Page | 5
Common Safety Targets
Common safety targets (CSTs) are quantitative tools intended to monitor whether the current safety levels of
the railways in the Member States are at least maintained. In the long term, they could also help to drive
efforts to reduce the current differences in railway safety performance. Railway transport is the only mode of
transport for which the targets have been prescribed by European legislation. The CSTs are EU-wide
maximum risk values, the national reference values (NRVs) are the maximum risk levels set for individual
7
Member States. The risks are measured by the number of weighted fatalities (FWSI ( )) per train-kilometre.
There are risk categories for passengers, employees, level-crossing users, unauthorised persons on railway
premises, ‘others’ and as applied to society as a whole.
Risk category / Risk in terms of FWSI per CST 1.set (× E-06) CST 2. set (× E-06)
exposure (2004–2007) (2004–2009)
Risk to passengers - per train-km CST 1.1 0.25 0.17
- per passenger-km CST 1.2 0.00201 0.00165
Risk to employees CST 2 0.0779 0.0779
CST 3.1 0.743 0.710
Risk to level-crossing users
CST 3.2 n.a. n.a.
Risk to ‘others’ CST 4 0.0185 0.0145
Risk to unauthorised persons on railway premises CST 5 2.03 2.05
Risk to the whole society CST 6 2.51 2.59
Table 3: Values of the second set of CSTs for different risk categories
Figure 6 shows the values of the second set of NRVs for train passengers. The two indicators are showed at
the same figure, the FWSI per passenger train-km and FWSI per 100 passenger-km. Not surprisingly, the two
indicators are relatively well correlated, despite the fact that the hypothetical average train occupancy may
vary considerably between MS. There are big discrepancies in terms of risk values among countries. The risk
levels of Member States (estimated as NRV) differ by up to sixty times.
A detailed look at the descriptive statistics on NRV values (2004-2009) unveils huge variations in NRV values
as expressed by the ratio between largest and smallest NRV value. The variation in NRV values for different
categories of railway users is expressed through the coefficient of variation; the variation is most significant
for the categories of passengers and for unauthorized persons.
While the extreme variation recorded for unauthorized persons is partly the result of poor statistics (suicide
fatalities are often confused with unauthorized persons fatalities), the prevailing variation in risk for all
categories of railway users under consideration is enormous and may be reflecting the different levels of
infrastructure safety in Member States and the differences in the level of implementation of the common
safety framework.
7
( ) Weighted fatalities and serious injuries are the normalised measure of railway safety outcome. One seriously injured
person is considered as 0.1 fatalities and added to the number of fatalities in the given year.
Page | 6
NRV 1.1&1.2: Passenger risk (2004-2009)
1.8E-07
1.6E-07
CST [NRV(EU)] for 1.1: 1.70 E-07
1.4E-07 CST [NRV(EU)] for 1.2: 1.65 E-09
1.2E-07
1.0E-07
8.0E-08
6.0E-08
4.0E-08
2.0E-08
0.0E+00
NRV 1.2: FWSI passengers per 100 pax-km NRV 1.1: FWSI passengers per train-km
Figure 6: CST and NRVs for the passenger category (second set based on 2004–2009 data)
Two additional descriptive statistics are showed in Table 4: kurtosis and skewness. The low values of kurtosis
8
indicate that the single NRV values are widely spread around the mean ( ). The positive values for skewness
(right skewed distribution) indicate that most values are concentrated to the left of the mean, with extreme
values to the right. This means that a small number of countries have significantly higher NRVs compared with
the average.
Unauthorized Whole
Passenger Employees LC users Others
NRV (FWSI) persons society
8
( ) Leptokurtic distribution, sharper than a normal distribution, with values concentrated around the mean.
Page | 7
Second assessment of the second set in 2013
The second assessment of the second set was carried out by the Agency in early 2013 and delivered to the
Commission at the end of March. The assessment was based on a five-year time series (2007–2011) of data
on railway casualties that were delivered to Eurostat by Member States according to Annex H to Regulation
(EC) No 2003/91 on rail transport statistics. The assessment was made for six risk categories of CSTs and NRVs
9
using the method set by Commission Decision 2009/460/EC ( ).
In general, the results of the annual assessment of achievements of CSTs/NRVs indicated that railway safety
performance remains acceptable at the EU level for all categories of railway users under consideration. The
results further showed other than acceptable safety performance in four Member States, usually for one
category of railway users (Table 5). Only in one case the result of the assessment was “probable deterioration
of safety performance”. In some cases, the negative result of the assessment was due to poor quality data in
years before 2007, used to set up the second set of CSTs. Following the consolidation of data carried out by
NSAs at national level, the Agency recommended to the EC to revise certain values of NRVs for Slovakia,
Bulgaria and Romania.
Unauthorised Whole
Passengers Employees LC users Others
Risk category persons society
10 11
1.1 ( ) 1.2 ( ) 2 3.1 4 5 6
Romania
Possible Romania
Slovakia Slovakia None Romania Slovakia Romania
deterioration Slovakia
Sweden
Probable
none none Bulgaria None None None None
deterioration
Table 5: Results of the assessment of achievements of the second set of CSTs/NRVs - other than acceptable
Figure 7 shows the intermediate results of the second assessment of the second set of CSTs/NRVs for the
category of whole society. The values of NRVs (second set) are plotted together with the values of OSP
(Observed Safety Performance) in 2011 and MWA (Moving Weighted Average Value) for years 2007-2011.
To achieve an acceptable safety performance after two steps of the method, the OSP, or MWA have to be
lower than the NRV stepped up by 20 %. The OSP value was however higher than NRV in nine countries (NO,
SE, FR, IT, BE, SK, BG, RO, PL) and the similar observation was made for MWA value that was higher than NRV
in nine countries (NO, IE, SE, IT, BE, SI, SK, RO, PL). It is largely thanks to the application of the 20 % margin
that all countries but four showed acceptable safety performance in 2011.
9
( ) Commission Decision 2009/460/EC on a common safety method for assessment of achievement of safety targets.
10
( ) Scaling base: passenger train-km per year
11
( ) Scaling base: passenger-km per year
Page | 8
NRV & MWA 6: Societal risk (2004-2009)
2.5E-06
2.0E-06
1.5E-06
1.0E-06
5.0E-07
0.0E+00
OSP 6: FWSI per train-km MWA 6: FWSI per train-km NRV 6: FWSI per train-km
Figure 7: NRVs, OSP and MWA risk levels for the whole society (second set based on 2004–2009 data)
In the fourth assessment step, a check is made whether the number of significant accidents per train-km,
with respect to the previous years, remained stable (or decreased). The criteria for this appraisal are whether
there has been a statistically significant increase in the number of relevant significant accidents per train-km.
This is evaluated by using an upper Poisson tolerance bound which will determine the acceptable variability
based on the number of accidents that occurred in the different Member States.
In the 2011 assessment, all countries but one (Bulgaria) passed this test for all types of significant accidents
under consideration. In case of Bulgaria, the number of all significant accidents and the number of accidents
caused by rolling stock in motion in 2011 was higher than the number of accidents in previous years.
Page | 9
Accident outcomes
Significant accidents
Around 2 400 significant accidents occur each year on the railways of the EU Member States. Accidents to
persons caused by rolling stock in motion and level-crossing accidents constitute more than three quarters of
the total number of accidents, excluding suicides. The number of significant accidents per accident type in the
period 2010–2011 is shown in Figure 8.
For collisions of trains, level crossing accidents and other accidents, the reported number of accidents in 2011
was lower than in the previous year. There was an increase in the number of accidents between 2010 and
2011 for derailments, fires and accidents to persons caused by rolling stock in motion.
On average a derailment or a collision is reported at least every second day in the EU, causing significant
disruptions to railway operations.
The Member States reported 1 480 accidents to persons caused by rolling stock in motion in 2011. The risk of
this type of accident is relatively high in the three Baltic countries and in some Central and East European
countries (Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Romania).
The number of fires in rolling stock reported for 2011 (25) is similar to the number of fires reported in
2010 (23). At least one such fire in rolling was recorded in 11 EU countries in 2011 (compared to 8 in 2010).
A wide range of accidents, not included within the specific types of accidents, are included in the category of
other accidents. The 129 cases reported in 2011 include collisions and derailments of shunting rolling
stock/maintenance machines, dangerous goods released during transport, objects projected by the running
train, and electrocution in connection with the rolling stock in motion; the category other accidents is the
third largest group of accidents.
2 000
1480
1 500 1420
2010
1 000 2011
619
528
500
145 129
99 83 95 97
23 25
0
Collisions of trains Derailments of trains Level-crossing Accidents to persons Fires in rolling stock Other accidents Total nr accidents
accidents caused by rolling
stock in motion
Page | 10
Collision types and their outcomes Total EU Share
Trains collisions 11 13 %
Collisions with obstacles 72 87 %
Persons killed and seriously injured in trains collisions 7 12 %
Persons killed and seriously injured in collisions with obstacles 50 88 %
Table 6: Collisions of trains by type and their outcomes (EU-27 in 2011)
In 2012, the number of collisions and relevant outcomes was reported by type for the first time, on a
voluntary basis. Among 83 collisions reported in 2011, only 11 were trains collisions, the remaining 72
collisions involved a train hitting an obstacle within the clearance gauge. The number of casualties per
collision type follows a similar pattern, with on average 1 person killed and 6 seriously injured in trains
collisions and 50 people killed and seriously injured in collisions with an obstacle (Table 6).
Over the past five years, the number of significant accidents has seen a reduction of 38 % (9.3 % p.a. on
average). This is almost twice as much as the reduction achieved for fatalities (22 %) and serious injuries
(25 %). The number of significant accidents has reduced in all categories of accidents, with most important
reductions in the category of collisions, derailments and fires. The lowest reduction was achieved in the
category of accident to persons by rolling stock in motion.
Given the heterogeneous development in the number of significant accidents across the different categories
of significant accidents, the relative share of accident types has changed dramatically over the past years. This
is shown in Figure 9. The relative share of collisions and derailment dropped from 16 % in 2007 to 8 % in
2011, while the number of accidents involving third parties (LC accidents and accidents to persons) increased
from 75 % to 86 %.
2007 2011
3% 1%
Collisions of trains
7% 7% 6% 4% 4%
9%
Derailments of trains
23%
LC accidents
Accidents to persons
44% 31%
63% Fires in rolling stock
Other accidents
Figure 9: Reported number of significant accidents per accident category (2007 and 2011)
Page | 11
Dangerous goods accidents
When a railway accident involves dangerous goods, whether they are being transported or not, it must be
reported under a separate category of accidents: accidents involving dangerous goods. Depending on the
type and consequences, an accident involving dangerous goods may also be reported in duplicate as a
significant accident. In 2011, Member States reported a total of 28 accidents involving dangerous goods; in
nine of these, the transported dangerous goods were released during the accident. The 28 accidents involving
dangerous goods occurred in 11 EU countries.
Page | 12
Casualties from significant accidents
In parallel with the decrease in railway accidents, the total number of casualties, excluding suicides, has fallen
steadily in recent years. There were 1 183 fatalities reported for the year 2011, a six per cent decrease from
the previous year (1 256 fatalities recorded in 2010). The number of passenger casualties (fatalities and
serious injuries) fell down to the pre-2010 level, with 38 passenger fatalities in 2011. The unusually high
number of fatalities among train passengers in 2010 was largely driven by the outcome of one single
occurrence, the collision of trains in Belgium on 15 February 2010 that alone led to 19 fatalities and 35
serious injuries.
1 256
1183
1 200
1 000
797
800 750 2010
2011
600
400 359
294
200
62 44 41
38 29 25
0
Passengers Employees Level crossing users Unauthorised persons Other persons Total persons
Figure 10 shows the number of fatalities in different categories of persons over the period 2010–2011. With
797 fatalities in 2011, unauthorised persons represented 67 % of all persons killed on railway premises. The
number of level-crossing fatalities of 294 in 2010 is by far the lowest ever recorded on EU railways. This figure
represents 25 % of railway fatalities, but only 1.1 % of road-user fatalities. Level crossing safety might
therefore be perceived as a marginal problem by the road sector, while it is a key problem for the railway -
also because of its impact on railway operation.
Figure 11: Relative share of fatalities per victim category among railway and all fatalities (2009–2011)
Page | 13
Suicides are reported separately from accident fatalities. They represent 69 % of all fatalities on railways and,
together with the unauthorised person fatalities, constitute 88 % of all fatalities occurring within the railway
system (period 2009-2011). In 2011, on average 8 suicides were recorded everyday on the EU railways,
totalling 2 868, a record number since 2006. Several Central and Eastern European countries registered a
significant increase of railway suicide fatalities in 2011; only seven EU countries saw their suicide figures
falling in 2011.
Figure 11 shows that if we exclude suicide fatalities, the majority of fatalities are unauthorised persons. Level-
crossing accidents account for 25 % of fatalities, whereas passenger and employees fatalities make up 6 % of
the total number of deaths on railways. People strictly internal to railway operation (passengers, employees
and other persons) represent only three per cent of persons killed on EU railways.
4000
3500
3000
2622 Suicides
2773
2422 2743 2868 Other persons
2500
1874
Unauthorised persons
2000 Level crossing users
Employees
1500
Passengers
Figure 12: Fatalities on EU railways per year and victim category (2006-2011)
Figure 12 shows that although the total number of fatalities on EU railways has been steady since 2007 (with
around 4 000 fatalities in total), there has been an increase in the number of suicide fatalities. Suicide and
unauthorized user fatalities accounted for 84 % of all fatalities in 2007; their share has increased to 90 % in
2011. Victims not inherent to the railway system (suicides, unauthorized persons and level crossing users)
make up 98 % of railway fatalities.
Over and above the number of fatalities, a large number of persons are seriously injured each year on the
railways. Over the past five years, for each 10 persons killed, Member States reported some nine seriously
injured persons. This ratio, illustrating the seriousness of accidents, has been constant over time, with the
exception of 2009, in which there were only eight seriously injured per 10 persons killed in significant railway
accidents.
In 2011, 1 032 persons were seriously injured, a decrease of 204 over 2010 when 1 236 serious injuries were
reported (Figure 13). The numbers of injured passengers and level crossing users reported for the period
2010-2011 show variations beyond what might be expected from natural fluctuation).
Page | 14
Serious injuries in railway accidents (EU-27)
1 400
1236
1 200
1032
1 000
800 2010
2011
600
433
409
400 354
327
273
217
200
93 74
53 35
0
Passengers Employees Level crossing users Unauthorised persons Other persons Total persons
The decrease in the number of casualties (fatalities and serious injuries) in recent years is promising,
especially in the categories of passengers, employees and other persons, who are all users internal to railway
system. At the same time, the trend in the number of unauthorized person casualties is a cause of concern.
Over the past five years, there were 11 fatalities per 10 seriously injured persons on EU railways. Persons
being hit by a train are the users most likely to die. There are almost two killed trespassers per one seriously
injured trespasser. Among all railway users, passengers are most likely to survive in significant accidents.
Passenger fatalities represent only one fifth of all railway casualties. Analysing the seriousness of injuries over
time does not reveal any significant trends since 2006.
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Passengers Employees Other persons Level crossing Unauthorised Total persons
users persons
Figure 14: Seriousness of injury in significant accidents: fatalities per seriously injured (2007-2011)
Page | 15
Precursors to accidents
As accidents on railways are rare, the monitoring of less serious events occurring on railways is an essential
tool of a proactive SMS. ‘Precursors to accidents’ are indicators of incidents that under other circumstances
could have led to an accident. The indicators reported to the Agency are: broken rails, track buckles, signals
passed at danger, wrong-side signalling failures, broken wheels and broken axles (Figure 15).
Over the period 2010–11, EU countries reported as many as 20 650 precursors to accidents; this is a ratio of
more than four precursors to one significant accident. However, if we discard accidents to persons caused by
rolling stock in motion, the ratio between the precursors and accidents rises to 11:1. This unveils the great
potential benefit in analysing precursors in the proactive monitoring of railway safety.
Signal passed at danger is the most common type of accident precursors; it is also a precursor for which the
highest absolute reduction has been registered in 2011. The most important reduction has been however
achieved for the category of broken wheels and broken axles (a 40 % year-to-year reduction when taken
together).
5 000
4486
4 000
3 000 2010
2749 2700
2011
2213
2 000 1776
1 000
525
433
56 33 43 28
0
Signals passed at danger Broken rails Track buckles Wrong-side signalling Broken wheels Broken axles
failure
Figure 15: Reported number of precursors in 2010-2011 (EU-27 countries and Norway)
Signals passed at danger is also the most commonly investigated type of incidents as shown by the overview
of the number of incidents investigations carried out by NIBs (Table 8). In the past three years (2008-2012),
there were on average 13 SPADs investigated by NIBs, compared to 6 other types of incidents for which an
investigation has been carried out by a NIB.
Page | 16
Level crossing safety
Level crossings constitute a significant safety concern. In recent years, on average, every day, one person has
been killed and close to one seriously injured at level crossings in Europe. This is shown in Figure 16 that
summarizes the development of level crossing accident casualties since 2007.
500
446
410
389
400 372 360
332
300 304
300
200
100
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Level crossing accidents and fatalities represent more than one fourth of all railway accidents on EU railway.
However, level crossing fatalities make up only one per-cent of all road deaths. While level crossing safety has
been traditionally viewed as a road safety problem by railway infrastructure managers, road authorities often
struggle to address the problem in relation to other urgent road safety problems they seek to address. The
concept of shared and delegated responsibility often fails to deliver the targeted results when it comes to
level crossing safety and may need to be revised at both EU and national level.
Passengers Level
Others Level
3% Employees crossings
3% crossing
3% 1%
users
28%
All roads
Unauthoris except LCs
ed persons 99%
63%
Figure 17: Share of fatalities in level crossing accidents in all other railway and road accidents (2009-2011)
There has been a sound reduction in level crossing accident fatalities in recent years; level crossing user
deaths have been decreasing by 5.7 % per year on average. However, the reductions in the number of deaths
in all other types of railway and road accidents have been even more significant; their numbers have been
decreasing at an average annual rate of 6.3 and 8.0 % respectively.
Page | 17
Fatalities by type 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % change p.a.
LC fatalities 366 504 380 405 359 294 5.7 %
All other railway
1105 1013 1099 980 897 897 6.3 %
fatalities
All other road fatalities 42 700 42 000 38 550 34 400 30 500 30 200 8.0 %
Table 9: Development in level crossing accident fatalities compared to all other types of accidents (EU-27)
The fatality risk at level crossings in EU countries was estimated for the period 2009-2011 and the countries
were ranked in Figure 18. The difference in risk between the countries with the smallest fatality risk at level
crossings (United Kingdom with 19 deaths per billion train km) and the country with the highest level of risk
(Greece with 537 deaths per billion train km) is huge, there is a 28 fold difference in the estimated risk of
fatality at level crossings. The variance in risk remains significant, even if we disregard the 10th percentiles of
countries with highest and lowest risk levels.
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Figure 18: Fatality risk at level crossings: Level crossing fatalities per million train-km (2009-2011)
The estimation of trends in accidents and other outcomes for EU countries reveals that while the number of
significant accidents on level crossings has been decreasing at a steady pace since 2006 (by 15 per cent per
year on average), the number of casualties (fatalities and serious injuries taken together) was almost
constant. At the same time, casualties on railways have been decreasing by about 4 % per year, on average.
In other words, while there has been a marked reduction in level crossing accidents (and casualties) over the
past five years, this reduction disappears when one looks at the development in railway casualties. This
finding is surprising; one would expect a strong correlation between the trend in the number of accidents and
related casualties. Possible causes of this discrepancy include poor reporting practice and a sudden increase
in the seriousness of LC accidents. A longer time series is needed to confirm the estimated trends in order to
draw clearer conclusions.
One can assess the level of risk at LCs alongside progress in its reduction in different EU countries. This
analysis is limited to 21 countries, for which the relevant data (casualties, train-km) were available for the
whole period under consideration (2006-2010). In Figure 19, KSI risk (number of killed and seriously injured
people in LC accidents per million train kilometres) for the past three years (2008-2010) is plotted horizontally
against the estimated average annual percentage change in LC casualties. The EU averages of the two
indicators are used to divide the diagram into four quadrants. Three countries with the highest annual
Page | 18
number of train-km (Germany, United Kingdom and France) appear in the left-hand part of the graph among
countries with lower than average casualty risk at LCs, weighting heavily on the EU average. Only France,
Germany, Denmark and Sweden achieved lower than average KSI risk after higher than average reductions in
KSI risk. The graph also shows that there is no correlation between the level of casualty risk and the trend in
risk.
The estimated values of the annual average percentage change in Figure 19 are sensitive to sudden changes
in the number of casualties, behaving as random variables. A longer time series of data would be needed to
assess the trend with a higher degree of reliability.
20
NO
15
Average annual percentage change in KSI per train-km
10
SE
5
DK
SK
(2006-2011)
0 FR BG
IT HU
CZ
DE EU PL LT
-5
NL FI AT LV
-10 UK EE
IE BE
-15
ES
-20 SI RO
PT
-25
0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1 1,2
KSI per million train-km (2009-2011)
Figure 19: Casualty risk (killed and seriously injured per million train kilometres) versus average annual
percentage change in casualty risk from 2006 to 2011
With about 50 accident investigations into LC accidents by NIBs per year, not even one tenth of all fatal LC
accidents are subject to independent investigation. In many cases, these investigations do not seek root and
underlying causes, significantly limiting their value. Although these investigations cost money, it is a
worthwhile investment, if we consider the costs to society of these accidents.
Infrastructure managers (IMs) of EU countries regularly issue statements that about 95 % of LC accidents are
caused by LC users, who break (road traffic) rules, either intentionally or unintentionally. The liability is then
often confused with responsibility, being quite a different issue. When an in-depth accident investigation into
a LC accident is carried out, problems are frequently identified with specific safety barriers. Moreover, not all
IMs apply a holistic and analytical approach for LC safety improvements.
Page | 19
Railway suicides
Railway suicides are persons recorded and classified as suicide by competent national authorities. While the
classification approach is mature in most Member States, some incertainty prevails in a few countries, where
some suicide fatalities may be confused with trespasser fatalities.
The number of suicide fatalities continues to rise across the EU. Every year, more than 2 500 suicide fatalities
and additional 800 trespasser fatalities occur on EU railways (Figure 25). While accounting for 8 % of all
suicides, the societal impact of suicides on railways remains considerable. The consequences are not only
trauma for all parties involved, but also significant costs incurred by delays, deployment of rescue services,
loss of productivity or employees involved etc..
On average, railway suicides account for 8 % of all suicides across the EU. Only in the Czech Republic,
Germany, the Netherlands and Slovakia is their share higher than 10 %. In Greece, Ireland, Poland and
Romania, the share of railway suicide as a proportion of all suicides is below 1 %. This may be due to the
relatively small railway network and low density of population.
3500
852 797
855 750
3000
928
2500
940
2000
1500 2868
2622 2773 2743
2422
1000 1874
500
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Railway suicides, and more generally, all suicides are relatively well correlated with unemployment rates. This
may partly explain an increase in railway suicide fatalities in 2007 and 2009, visible at EU level. This
correlation is however not traceable anymore at country level.
Railway suicides are relatively common on EU railways: there were 700 suicides per billion train-km on
average in the past three years. The railway suicide rate is highest in the Netherlands, followed by Portugal,
Hungary and the Czech Republic. In these four countries, the suicide rate is above one suicide per million
train kilometres.
Page | 20
Suicide fatalities per million train-km (2009-2011)
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
Figure 21: Suicide rates: number of suicide fatalities per million train kilometres (EU 27 in 2009-2011)
The costs of delays due to suicides (and trespasser fatalities) represent a significant share of total costs of
delays incurred to railway undertakings. It typically takes up to 2 hours to open a railway line when a person
is struck by a train. This is a significantly longer time compared to delays caused by some technical failures.
Page | 21
Safety and market opening
Setting up a common safety regulatory framework for the EU is a part of the wider EU policy to create more
efficient railway market in Europe. Gradual opening of national railway markets carries inherent safety risks
that are being addressed by the provisions of EU safety legislation. The two figures below seek to shed light
on the impact of market opening on safety at country level.
The measurement of the degrees of market opening is relatively complex and any benchmark proposed
would inevitably have its limitation. However, one measurement index, the rail liberalization index, has
recently gained recognition and acceptance by railway community. The index has been produced by IBM
12
Global Business Services ( ) since 2002. It reflects legal and de facto barriers to market access from the
perspective of an external railway undertaking seeking access. It reflects the market shares of external RUs
active in addition to the incumbent as a practical consequence of existing barriers to open market.
st
The fourth edition of the index published in 2011 benchmark the rail market opening of MSs as of 1 January
2011 and ranks countries from those most advanced to those delayed in terms of rail market opening. Three
categories of countries are considered based on the value of the index: six countries are considered as
delayed, 15 countries on schedule and six countries advanced, in terms of rail market opening.
The IBM rail liberalization index is plotted against the casualty risk for passengers and employees in Figure 22.
While it is impossible to find a correlation between the two variables, it appears that countries from
advanced group have lower casualty risk than the countries in the two other groups.
HU BG
PL
RO
EL
SI SK
LV PT
EE IT
CZ
AT SE
ES IT
DE
FI DK
IE FR NO
LU NL
LT UK
Figure 22: Fatality risk versus rail liberalization index (IBM 2011) for EU countries
12
( ) Rail liberalization index 2011, IBM Germany with Prof. Kirschner, Deutsche Bahn, 2011
Page | 22
A separate look at the development of railway safety in the advanced group of countries as compared to all
other countries confirms that there are no significant differences in trends in casualty risk for passengers and
employees in countries with a higher liberalization index.
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Advanced Others
Figure 23: Fatality risk versus rail liberalization index (IBM 2011) for EU countries
Page | 23
Accident costs
The data on the cost of accidents show a wide variation over time and between countries. It is also evident
that Member States continue to have problems in establishing reporting regimes for this set of CSIs.
The economic impact of significant accidents in 2011 is shown in Figure 24. It has five components: Costs of
fatalities, cost of injuries, costs of material damage, costs of damage to the environment and costs of delays.
While the first two components are available for all countries, the number of countries providing information
on the costs of damage to infrastructure, to the environment and delays is limited.
Societal costs of casualties represent the majority of costs of significant accidents. For countries that reported
costs for all five categories of costs is their share 73 % (Austria) and higher.
By adding together the costs of fatalities and of serious injuries, we obtain a value exceeding EUR 2.5 billion,
which gives a broad idea of the overall economic burden of rail casualties in 2011. Other reported costs of
accidents for all EU countries account for little more than EUR 200 million.
Figure 24: Economic impact of significant accidents in 2011 (in million EUR)
The significant accident costs of material damage to rolling stock and infrastructure per train-km are relatively
high in Norway, Austria, the Netherlands and Poland (more than EUR 100 per 1 000 train-km).
Page | 24
Safety of infrastructure
Three CSIs concern railway infrastructure, the first is a measure of the coverage of automatic train protection
(ATP) systems on the lines (Figure 25); the second is the number of level crossings (Figure 26), normalised by
the length of the network expressed in track kilometres; and the third gives information on the type of
protection at level crossings (Figure 27).
13
ATP ( ) systems is widely considered to be the most effective railway safety measure that infrastructure
14
managers can implement to reduce the risk of collisions on mainline railways ( ). A relatively high density of
train protection is typical in countries with high traffic density such as the Netherlands, Italy and Germany.
This can be seen in Figure 25.
The percentage of tracks equipped with an ATP system has seen a marked increase of 2 % from 2010 to
15
2011 ( ). This was largely driven by progress in ATP implementation achieved by France, Latvia, Sweden and
Norway. However, the data seem to be reported in an inconsistent manner across the EU, reducing their
comparability.
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
AT BE BG CT CZ DE DK EE EL ES FI FR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL NO PL PT RO SE SI SK UK
2009 67.9 11.0 11.0 100. 17.0 90.0 22.8 0.0 87.4 83.0 47.2 5.0 92.4 34.9 100. 46.4 99.0 74.0 0.0 51.3 48.3 64.0 67.0 18.5 4.2
2010 72.6 11.0 11.0 100. 0.0 93.2 53.0 23.6 0.0 88.4 82.0 52.3 5.0 100. 37.9 100. 47.7 98.0 70.0 0.0 52.6 97.8 65.5 67.0 21.0 4.2
2011 82.0 11.0 11.0 100. 94.3 53.0 23.7 0.0 86.0 82.0 52.3 54.0 5.0 100. 37.3 100. 66.0 96.0 74.0 0.0 58.6 97.5 81.2 67.0 21.0 4.2
Figure 25: Percentage of tracks equipped with automatic train protection (2009–2011)
There were 114 615 level crossings in the EU countries in 2011. On average, there are five level crossings per
16
10 line-km in the EU; only 24 % of them are active level crossings with user-side protection ( ). Sweden,
Austria, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands and Norway have the highest density of level crossings in terms
of level crossings per line-kilometre. Of these, the Netherlands has the highest ratio of active level crossings
to all level crossings. A low ratio of active level crossings to all level crossings is typical for the less densely
populated countries (Figure 26). Spain has the lowest average number of level crossings per line-kilometre:
there is one level crossing per 5 line-km.
13
( ) Automatic train protection (ATP) means a system that enforces obedience to signals and speed restrictions by speed
supervision, including automatic stop at signals. Systems where track signalling information is substituted and/or
supplemented by cab signalling are included. The part of the definition relating to ‘automatic stop at signals’ is
intended to include also automatic stops at conflict points between clearance gauges.
14
( ) Interfleet (2011). Investigating the links between historic accident rate reduction and the underlying changes, Report
prepared for ERA in 2011. Report can be downloaded from the ERA website.
15
( ) Estimate for EU-27 countries excluding France and Denmark.
16
( ) Protection is typically provided by arm barriers.
Page | 25
Number of level crossings (LCs) per 100 line kilometers (2011)
120
Average niumber of level crossings (LCs) per 10 line kilometers
100
80
60
40
20
0
AT BE BG CT CZ DE DK EE EL ES FI FR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL NO PL PT RO SE SI SK UK
Passive LCs per line-km 55 8 4 0 49 21 18 19 19 11 51 12 36 50 7 9 12 8 21 0 44 23 20 73 45 0 32
Active LCs per line-km 33 46 17 0 40 31 22 18 32 7 14 31 33 13 27 22 39 24 67 88 27 16 9 30 28 0 11
Figure 26: Number of active and passive level crossings per 100 line-km in 2011
Detailed statistics are available on the type of active level crossings at European level. In Figure 27, the data
17
for EU countries ( ) show that level crossings with automatic user-side protection and warning (barriers with
lights) (34 %) are the most common type of active crossings (24 %), followed by the level crossings with user-
side warning (11 %). Passive (unprotected) level crossings represent 53 % of all level crossings in the EU.
Figure 27: Breakdown of active level crossings according to the level of protection in 2011 (EU countries)
17
( ) EU-27 countries excluding Denmark and France
Page | 26
Traffic volumes
The number of train-kilometres continued to rise in 2011, with a 2 % annual increase at the EU level. The
number of freight train-km increased by 6 % between 2010 and 2011. At the same time, the number of
passenger-kilometres reported in 2011 is similar to that of 2009 and 2010: slightly less than 400 billion train-
km. The average number of passengers per train was 122 in Europe in 2011; i.e. the ratio of number of
passenger-kilometres to passenger train-kilometres.
1 000
800
600
400
200
0
AT BE BG CT CZ DE DK EE EL ES FI FR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL NO PL PT RO SE SI SK UK
2009 152.3 91.87 31.49 5.652 163.1 1002. 82.15 6.820 19.61 188.1 50.01 504.0 106.2 18.18 350.5 14.05 8.063 18.72 132.0 43.27 208.6 40.58 88.50 143.0 18.20 44.95 568.5
2010 156.1 98.00 30.63 5.714 160.1 1032. 83.08 8.934 16.96 186.7 51.00 484.7 97.40 17.69 323.9 14.13 8.161 16.62 146.2 46.46 219.0 40.00 93.52 141.3 18.84 47.53 520.0
2011 152.2 100.5 31.24 5.600 160.6 1063. 84.78 7.000 12.53 191.3 51.07 501.5 110.2 18.05 317.3 15.32 8.861 18.47 160.5 45.85 227.3 37.20 104.2 140.3 20.33 45.38 528.4
Germany is the country with the highest number of train-kilometres, accounting alone for one quarter of all
train-kilometres in the EU.
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
Figure 29: Relative change in the number of train-kilometres between 2007 and 2011 (Train-km in 2011 /
Train-km in 2007)
Page | 27
Looking at figures for passenger train-kilometres and freight train kilometres separately allows identification
of countries with important share of freight train traffic (three Baltic countries, Slovenia and Poland). At the
level of Union, passenger traffic represented 80 % of all train-kilometres in 2011. The share of passenger
train-kilometres exceeded 90 % in Ireland, Denmark, Greece, the UK and the Netherlands (Figure 30).
90%
EU (80 %)
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Figure 30: Percentage of passenger train-kilometres among all train-kilometres in 2010 in all countries
Four countries with the highest passenger volumes (Germany, France, Italy and the UK) together account for
two thirds of all passenger-kilometres. In two of them (Germany and the UK), have passenger volumes been
increasing over the past three years, as shown in Figure 31.
90 000
83 702
83 260
82 750
81 750
81 612
80 000
70 000
56 059
55 831
60 000
52 765
46 426
50 000
43 474
2009
41 326
2010
40 000
2011
30 000
21 729
21 399
20 978
18 577
18 049
17 800
16 892
16 800
16 621
20 000
11 434
11 216
11 036
10 900
10 700
10 500
10 493
10 493
9 494
7 945
7 795
7 666
6 889
6 750
6 587
6 553
6 472
6 389
6 177
10 000
5 500
5 141
4 152
4 143
4 111
3 959
3 882
3 876
3 153
3 036
2 996
2 428
2 291
2 247
2 144
2 100
2 067
1 681
1 678
1 639
1 414
1 144
958
840
773
747
733
506
393
389
813
357
354
333
741
232
497
373
350
0
AT BE BG CT CZ DE DK EE EL ES FI FR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL NO PL PT RO SE SI SK UK
Page | 28
Railway transport operation efficiency
The operational efficiency of railway transport can be implicitly expressed by a simple ratio of passenger
kilometres per passenger train kilometres and freight tonne kilometres per freight train kilometres.
Passenger trains
The theoretical average passenger train load in the EU-27 was 122 passengers in 2011 (1 % increase
compared to 2010). The average passenger train load appears to be primarily a function of country size;
Romania, Estonia and Latvia are an exception to this rule. Given the limits of international passenger traffic
across Europe, the share of domestic long-distance services is the most important factor here.
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
FR IT PT ES EE PL SE LV NL UK BE FI AT DE IE HU BG NO DK EL SK LT SI RO CZ LU
In case of passenger rail traffic, France together with Italy has the highest ratio of theoretical average train
occupancy, with more than 150 passengers travelling on board of an average passenger train. The theoretical
average train occupancy is lowest in Luxembourg, Czech Republic and Romania. The ratio is a function of
prevalent types of services operated in the given country, as well as of its geographical aspects. Yet, different
positions of countries with huge number of similarities (Baltic countries, Nordic countries) in the ranking
presented in Figure 32 is surprising and may be pointing to differences in operational arrangements and
minimum public service strategies.
Freight trains
The average load ratio for freight trains on European railways gives only a very limited idea about the
efficiency of freight train operations, since it is a function of the load mix transported. Raw materials
represent a high proportion of transported goods in Baltic countries and in some Central European countries,
leading to a relatively high theoretical average load ratio (Figure 33). A high degree of interoperability of
railway systems of Baltic countries and the Russian one contributes to their relative outperformance.
Page | 29
Freight tonne kilometers per freight train-km (2011)
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
EE LV LT SK HU CZ RO LU PL UK FI DK CT SE AT NL IT NO FR SI DE EL PT ES IE BG BE
Figure 33: Freight tonne kilometres per freight train kilometres in 2011
Page | 30
Independent accident investigation
Every year, more than 200 of accidents and incidents are investigated by NIBs of MSs. This number has been
slightly increasing in time in recent years, since more and more NIBs decide to open an investigation into
other than serious accidents. The number of serious railway accidents investigated by NIBs has been stable
since 2007 with some 40 serious accidents into which a NIB investigation started (Figure 34).
200
150
100
50 38
42 42 42
34 30 36
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Fatalities Serious Injuries Accidents
Figure 34: Serious railway accidents investigated by NIBs together with the resulting casualties (EU-27)
A detailed look into the type of serious accidents investigated by NIBs shows that level crossing accident is
the most commonly investigated type of serious accidents, followed by train derailment and train collisions
(Figure 35).
45
40 Other
35 Fire in RS
30
LC accident
25
Accident to person
20
15 Train derailment
Figure 35: Serious accidents investigated by NIBs per type of accident (EU-27 countries in 2006-2012)
Page | 31
Not all significant accidents have to be investigated by NIBs. Serious accidents that must be investigated by
18
NIBs represent a fraction of significant accidents . In addition to serious accidents, the NIBs sometimes
investigate accidents and incidents which under slightly different conditions might have led to serious
accidents. This is however not a common practice in all MSs, in particular when it comes to incidents and
other minor accidents.
Each year, the NIBs notify the Agency that they have opened about 250 investigations into serious accidents
and other accidents and incidents. The NSAs report about 2 500 significant accidents a year (Table 10).
Among those occurrences investigated by the NIB, only about 12 % of investigated occurrences were serious
accidents as referred to in Art. 19(1) of the RSD. As the railway undertakings (RUs) and infrastructure
managers (IMs) should normally investigate all serious accidents as part of their safety management systems
(SMSs), those accidents which have not been investigated by the NIBs, will be investigated by railway
operators.
The share of significant accidents (reported under CSIs) as a proportion of all investigated accidents per type
is showed in Figure 36, which unveils that train derailments are the preferred type of accident into which the
NIBs decide to open an investigation, with 46 % of these accident types being investigated by NIBs. Less than
one third of significant train collisions and fires in rolling stock are investigated by NIBs of Member States.
Only 8 % of level crossing accidents are subject to independent investigation. This may appear surprising
since in these accidents, the IMs responsibility for managing the risks of the infrastructure is likely to be
relevant. Establishing causes of accidents to persons caused by rolling stock in motion is usually
straightforward; the investigation into this type of accident is typically limited and carried out by the
operators in cooperation with judicial authorities.
Figure 36: Serious railway accidents investigated by NIBs together with the resulting casualties (EU-27)
18
( ) Collision or derailment of trains resulting in the death of at least one person or serious injuries to five or more persons
or damage above EUR 2 million and any other similar accidents – see Background information for RSD definition.
Page | 32
The overview of the number of investigations carried out by NIBs in Europe is showed in Figure 37. There was
a drop in the number of investigated occurrences that occurred in 2009; since then the number of
occurrences investigated by NIBs across Europe has been rising. The figure also shows that over the past four
years, the percentage share of investigation that were closed during the year following the occurrence has
been rather stable, at about 70 %.
250
Status of investigation
by year of occurrence:
29
200 6 4 77
57 2012 Open
13 12 31
44 2012 Completed
11 7
13 12 52 48
28 23 2011 Open
150 42
77 54 2011 Completed
2010 Open
180 182
106
169 2010 Completed
100 195 197 2009 Open
190
136 176 177 146
168 123 2009 Completed
158 159 162 166 162 161
153
143 148
136 140 2008 Open
128
116
50 103 2008 Completed
2007 Open
56
2007 Completed
28 30 27
22 23
15 2006 Open
0
Status end of 2007 08 09 10 11 12 2007 08 09 10 11 12 2008 09 10 11 12 2009 10 11 12 2010 11 12 2011 12 2012 2006 Completed
Figure 37: NIB investigation carried out since 2006 with the status of investigation (ERAIL database)
The average number of days between the accident occurrence and the notification on starting an
19
investigation to the Agency has been decreasing over time: It now stands at less than 50 days ( ) in average.
Despite an improvement recorded over time, an important proportion of started investigation is not notified
20
to the Agency within 10 days after the decision has been taken on the investigation to start ( ).
The final investigation reports on the investigations carried out by NIBs should be made public as soon as
possible, and normally not later than one year after the date of the occurrence. The average number of
months before the final report is submitted to the Agency has also been decreasing over time: from more
than 15 months for accidents occurring in 2008 to around 10 months for accidents occurring in 2011.
The list of serious accidents (collisions and derailments) that occurred in 2012 is shown together with basic
information in Annex 2. The status of the investigation and the reference in ERAIL database of investigated
occurrences is provided.
19
( ) Estimate based on the assumption that the time-span between the occurrence and the decision to start an
independent investigation by NIB is usually short (single days).
20
( ) RSD, Art. 24(1): “Within one week after the decision to open an investigation the investigating body shall inform the
Agency thereof.”
Page | 33
Background information
The report Railway safety performance in the European Union summarises information on the development
of railway safety in Europe. The primary purpose is to provide safety intelligence and information on risks to
EU policy-making bodies, NSAs and NIBs, and to the general public. The report reviews the performance
levels achieved during 2011 across a number of topic areas. It includes basic statistical analyses on a wide
range of safety performance indicators and highlights significant findings.
The report is based on the common safety indicators (CSIs) data reported to the ERA by 5 November 2012.
Any changes after that date have not been taken into account. Information presented on serious accidents
and their investigations is based on reports available to the ERA on 4 March 2013. Any event occurring after
that day is not covered by this report. This report covers the railways in 25 of the 27 EU countries; Cyprus and
Malta do not have railway systems that are covered by EU legislation. These 25 Member States are referred
to as ‘Member States‘, ‘EU’, or ‘EU countries’ in the report. The Channel Tunnel (CT) is a separate reporting
entity, so that relevant data are given separately to the French and UK data. The data are also reported by
Norway. Therefore, there were a total of 27 reporting entities in 2011; the term ‘Europe’ was sometimes
used for this complete group in the report.
European legislation requires Member States to report to the ERA on significant accidents and serious
accidents occurring on their territory. The NSAs must report all significant accidents. The NIBs must
investigate all serious accidents, notify the ERA of these investigations and, when closed, send the
investigation report to the ERA. The term significant accident covers a wider range of events than serious
accidents. The legislation provides the following definitions for these two groups of accident:
21
( ) Appendix to Annex I to the RSD, Article 1.1.
22
( ) Article 3(l) of the RSD.
23
( ) Article 18 of the RSD.
24
( ) Article 24 of the RSD.
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The current legislative framework does not require Member States to collect information on all railway
accidents. The reporting is often limited to significant accidents and a selection of other events. Data on
incidents are not necessarily collected by RUs/IMs and the NSAs do usually rely on accident data when
planning their supervision activities.
SERIOUS
ACCIDENTS SIGNIFICANT
RSD Art.19 ACCIDENTS
RSD Annex I
ACCIDENTS
NON-SIGNIFICANT
ACCIDENTS
INCIDENTS
NIB Investigations
CSI REPORTING
(EU level)
(HAZARDOUS) EVENTS
Moreover, the information about less serious accidents and incidents are not systematically collected at the
EU level; some Member States do not have such a database as well. This may represent an obstacle to
efficient learning and early identification of recurring safety issues in EU railway system.
There are certain limitations in respect to the current EU railway safety monitoring approach. It relies
exclusively on outcome indicators such as number of accidents and resulting casualties. With these indicators
moving ultimately towards zero at country level, the approach has severe limitations in terms of reactivity
and capability to capture underlying raising safety issues.
Not all safety performance indicators are covered by the CSIs; so new indicators may be introduced in the
future. Similarly, there is no common approach towards the measurement of a risk regulation regime at
Member State level. Indicators reflecting corresponding levels of the pyramid may be developed in the
future. Not all of them are traditional quantitative indicators such as CSIs or key performance indicators
(KPIs). They may lead to a new approach to the assessment of railway safety management systems at both
Member State and EU levels.
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Annexes
Annex 1 — Common safety indicators
Legend
Natural variation
2011 7201 6344 5154 200 11554 63067 4094 2164 3041 19372 8885 42088 10577 2165 24377 2184 614 3998 7000 4341 28730 3483 20129 15601 2177 4641 31108 329948
Annex 2 — List of serious accidents – collisions and derailments - occurring in 2012 and notified to ERA
Trains collision with an obstacle, 13/01/2012, Langenhorn Schl.; Trains collision with an 1 passenger fatality, 2
13/01/2012 1 2 DE-1329
Strecke Westerland - Elmshorn (Germany) obstacle passenger serious injury
Trains collision with an obstacle, 14/06/2012, Line 25 track A at Trains collision with an 1 other fatality, 1 other
14/06/2012 1 1 BE-1436
the end of a platform in the railway station of Duffel (Belgium) obstacle serious injury
Trains collision, 26.07.2012, Hosena (Germany) 26/07/2012 Trains collision 1 1 1 other fatality DE-0131
Annex 3 — List of national safety authorities and national investigation bodies
NO Norway Statens Jernbanetilsyn (SJT) — Norwegian Railway Authority Statens havarikommisjon for Transport — Accident Investigation Board Norway
http://www.sjt.no (AIBN)
http://www.aibn.no
CT Channel Tunnel Channel Tunnel Intergovernmental Commission (IGC) See the relevant authority or body in France or United Kingdom for the respective
Commission intergouvernementale Tunnel sous la Manche part of the Channel Tunnel
http://www.channeltunneligc.co.uk
www.cigtunnelmanche.fr