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8 Random Variable

The document discusses random variables and their distributions and expectations. It provides examples of discrete and continuous random variables and defines them. It also gives examples of calculating the distributions, expectations, and variances of random variables.

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Noor Mohammed
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
59 views

8 Random Variable

The document discusses random variables and their distributions and expectations. It provides examples of discrete and continuous random variables and defines them. It also gives examples of calculating the distributions, expectations, and variances of random variables.

Uploaded by

Noor Mohammed
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Random Variable

Discrete random variable: A random variable that is having only discrete values.
A Continuous random variable is one having a continuous range of values.
Definition of a Random Variable:
We define a real random variable as a real function of elements of a sample space. We shall represent a random
variable by a capital letter (such as W, X, or Y) and any particular value of the random variable by a lower case
letter (such as w, x, or y). Thus, given experimental defined by:
A sample space S with elements s, we assign to every s a real number X(x)
According to some rule and call X(x) a random variable.
Distribution and Expectation of a finite Random Variable:
Let X be a random variable on sample space S with a finite image set; say, 𝑋 𝑆 = 𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 . We make
X(S) into a probability space by defining the probability of 𝑥𝑖 𝑡𝑜 𝑏𝑒 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 which we write 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 . This
function f on X(S), i.e. defined by 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 , is called the distribution or probability function of X
and is usually given in the form of a table

The distribution f satisfies the conditions x1 x2 ………. xn


 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 ≥ 0 f(x1) f(x2) ………. 𝑓 𝑥𝑛
𝑁
 𝑖=1 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 1
Now if X is a random variable with the above distribution, then the mean or expectation (or: expected value)
of X, denoted by 𝐸 𝑋 𝑜𝑟 𝜇𝑥 , or simply E or 𝜇, is defined by:

𝐸 𝑋 = 𝑥1 𝑓 𝑥1 + 𝑥2 𝑓 𝑥2 + ⋯ + 𝑥𝑛 𝑓 𝑥𝑛 = 𝑥𝑖 𝑓 𝑥𝑖
𝑖=1
That is, 𝐸 𝑋 is the weighted average of the possible values of X, each value weighted by its probability
Example 1:
A pair of fair dice is tossed. We obtain the finite equiprobable space S consisting of the 36 ordered pairs of
numbers between 1 to 6.
𝑆 = 1,1 , 1,2 , … , 6,6
Let X assign to each point 𝑎, 𝑏 in S the maximum of the numbers, i.e. 𝑋 𝑎, 𝑏 = 𝑚𝑎𝑥 𝑎, 𝑏 . Then X is a
random variable with image set
𝑋 𝑆 = 1,2,3,4,5,6
We compute the distribution f of X:

Similarly,
and

This information is put in the form of a table as follows:

𝒙𝒊 1 2 3 4 5 6
𝑓 𝑥𝑖 1 3 5 7 9 11
36 36 36 36 36 36

We next compute the mean of X:

𝑛
1 3 5 7 9 11
𝐸𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 = 4.47
36 36 36 36 36 36
𝑖=1
Now let Y assign to each point 𝑎, 𝑏 in S the sum of the numbers, .i.e. 𝑌 𝑎, 𝑏 = 𝑎 + 𝑏. Then Y is also a
random variable on S with image set:
𝑌 𝑆 = 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,1,12
The distribution g of Y follows:

𝒚𝒊 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
𝑔 𝑦𝑖 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36
3
We obtain, for example, 𝑔 4 = 36 from the fact that 1,3 , 2,2 𝑎𝑛𝑑 2,1 are these points of S for which

the sum of the components in 4; hence

3
𝑔 4 =𝑃 𝑌=4 = 1,3 , 2,2 , 2,1 =
36
The mean of Y is computed as follows:

𝑛
1 2 1
𝐸𝑌 = 𝑦𝑖 𝑔 𝑦𝑖 = 2 +3 + ⋯ + 12 =7
36 36 36
𝑖=1
the charts which follow graphically describe are above distributions:

6 36
11 36

1 36
1 36

123456 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑋 𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑌

Example 2:
2 1
A coin weighted so that 𝑃 𝐻 = 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃 𝑇 = is tossed three times. The probabilities of the points in the sample
3 3

space 𝑆 = 𝐻𝐻𝐻, 𝐻𝐻𝑇, 𝐻𝑇𝐻, 𝐻𝑇𝑇, 𝑇𝐻𝐻, 𝑇𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝑇𝐻, 𝑇𝑇𝑇 are as follows:
2 2 2 8 1 2 2 4
𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝐻 = . . = 𝑃 𝑇𝐻𝐻 = . . =
3 3 3 27 3 3 3 27
2 2 1 4 1 2 1 2
𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝑇 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27 𝑃 𝑇𝐻𝑇 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27
2 1 2 4 1 1 2 2
𝑃 𝐻𝑇𝐻 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27 𝑃 𝑇𝑇𝐻 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27
2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
𝑃 𝐻𝑇𝑇 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27 𝑃 𝑇𝑇𝑇 = 3 . 3 . 3 = 27

Let X be the random variable which assign to each point in S the largest number of successive heads which occurs.
Thus,
𝑋 𝑇𝑇𝑇 = 0
𝑋 𝑇𝑇𝐻 = 𝑋 𝑇𝐻𝑇 = 𝑋 𝐻𝑇𝑇 = 𝑋 𝐻𝑇𝐻 = 1
𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝑇 = 𝑃 𝑇𝐻𝐻 = 2
𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝐻 = 3
The image set of X is 𝑋 𝑆 = 0,1,2,3 . We compute the distribution f of X:

1
𝑓 0 = 𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝐻 =
27
4 2 2 2 10
𝑓 1 = 𝑃 𝐻𝑇𝐻, 𝐻𝑇𝑇, 𝑇𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝑇𝐻 = + + + =
27 27 27 27 27
4 4 8
𝑓 2 = 𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻𝐻 = + =
27 27 27
8
𝑓 3 = 𝑃 𝐻𝐻𝐻 =
27
This information put in the form of the table as follows:
The mean of X is computed as follows:
𝒙𝒊 0 1 2 3
𝑓 𝑥𝑖 1 10 8 8
27 27 27 27
𝑛
1 10 8 8 50
𝐸𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 0 +1 +2 +3 = = 1.85
27 27 27 27 27
𝑖=1

Example 3:
A sample of 3 items is selected at random from a box containing 12 items of which 3 are defective. Find the expected
number E of defective items.
Solution:
12
The sample space S consists of the = 220 distinct equally likely sample of size 3. We note that there are:
3
3 9
= 84 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑛𝑜 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑚𝑠;
0 3
3 9
= 108 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 1 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑚;
1 2
3 9
= 27 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 2 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑚𝑠;
2 1
3 9
= 1 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 3 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑚𝑠;
3 0
Thus the probability of getting 0,1,2 𝑎𝑛𝑑 3 defective items in respectively 84 220 , 108 220 , 27 220 𝑎𝑛𝑑 1 220 .
Thus the expected number E of defective items is
𝑛 84 108 27 1 165
𝐸𝑋 = 𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 0 +1 +2 +3 = = 0.75
220 220 220 220 220
Variance and Standard Deviation
𝑛

𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 − 𝜇 2 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 𝐸 𝑋 − 𝜇 2 = 𝐸 𝑋 2 − 𝜇𝑥 2
𝑖=1
Where 𝜇 is the mean of X. the standard deviation of X, denoted by 𝜎𝑥 is the (nonnegative) square root of
𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑋 :

𝜎𝑥 = 𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑋
Example 4:
Consider the random variable X of example (1) (which assigns the maximum of the numbers showing on a pair
of dice). The distribution of X is

𝒙𝒊 1 2 3 4 5 6
𝑓 𝑥𝑖 1 3 5 7 9 11
36 36 36 36 36 36

, and the mean is 𝜇𝑥 = 4.47. we compute the variance and standard deviation of X.
First we compute 𝐸 𝑋 2 :

𝑛
1 3 5 7 9 11 791
𝐸 𝑋2 = 𝑥𝑖 2 𝑓 𝑥𝑖 = 12 + 22 + 32 + 42 + 52 + 62 = = 21.97
36 36 36 36 36 36 36
𝑖=1
𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑋 = 𝐸 𝑋 2 − 𝜇𝑥 2 = 21.97 − 19.98 = 1.99

𝜎𝑥 = 𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑋 = 1.99 = 1.4


Example 5:
Let X be discrete random variable with the following distribution:
The graph of the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) F of x follows:
𝐹(𝑥)

xi -2 1 2 4
1
f(xi) ¼ 1/8 ½ 1/8
0.5

𝑥
−2 − 1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Example 6: 𝐹(𝑥) xi -1 -0.5 0.7 1.5 3


(Discrete case) f(xi) 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2
1.0
0.8 (a)

0.4

-1 -0.5 0.7 1 1.5 2 3 x


𝑓(𝑥)

1.0 (b)
0.8

0.4
0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2

-1 -0.5 0.7 1 1.5 2 3 x

(a) Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)


(b) Probability Density Function (PDF)
Example 7: 𝐹(𝑥)
(Continuous case)
1.0 (a)

0.5

x
12

𝑓(𝑥)

1/12 (b)

12 X

𝑎 𝐶𝐷𝐹 𝐹(𝑥)
𝑏 𝑃𝐷𝐹 𝑓(𝑥)

Example 8:
Let X be continuous random variable with the following distribution:
1 𝐺𝑟𝑎𝑝ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑓
1
𝑓 𝑥 = 2𝑥 𝑖𝑓 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 2
0 𝑒𝑙𝑠𝑒𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒
−1 0 1 2 3
Find cumulative distribution function F and graph it.
Solution:

2 𝐺𝑟𝑎𝑝ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝐹
1 1 2
𝐹𝑥 = 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥
2 4 1
0

0 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 < 0
1 −1 0 1 2 3
𝐹 𝑥 = 𝑥2 𝑖𝑓 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 2
4
1 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 > 2

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