Question RISK & RETURN
Question RISK & RETURN
Question 1
Dee Co. is considering investing in project M. The Question 4
possible returns and probabilities of occurrence are as The probability distributions of expected returns for
follows: stock HR and stock LR are as follows:
State of Probabilities Possible returns Prob Stock HR (%) Stock LR (%)
economy .
Recession 15% 20% 0.10 (15) (25)
Moderate 45% 45% 0.20 0 5
Expansion 40% 70% 0.40 5 17
Required: 0.20 10 30
Calculate the standard deviation of the project. 0.10 25 60
ER: 51.25%, SD: 17.46% Required:
Identify which of the two stocks is more risky?
Question 2 HR – ER: 5.00%, SD: 9.49%, CV: 1.90 (Riskier)
Tim Inc. is evaluating three investment alternatives. The LR – ER: 17.30%, SD: 20.59%, CV: 1.19
information as to the possible cash inflows and the
probabilities of outcomes is as follows: Question 5
P Q R Based on the information given below, which of the
Prob. CFs Prob CFs Prob CFs investments would be considered best based on its risk
$ . $ . $ and return relationship? Assume all investors are risk-
Poor 0.40 650 0.50 400 0.20 350 averse and the investments will be held in isolation, not
Goo 0.60 1,600 0.50 2,000 0.80 3,000 in a portfolio. Explain.
d
Required: Investment
Rank the investment alternatives in terms of risk. D E F
P – ER: $1220, SD: $465.40, CV: 0.3815 (Least risky) Expected return, r̂ 10.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Q – ER: $1200, SD: $800, CV: 0.6667 (Riskiest) Standard deviation, σ 7.0% 12.0% 20.0%
R – ER: $2470, SD: $1060, CV: 0.4292 (Moderate) D – CV: 0.7
E – CV: 0.6667
Question 3 F – CV: 1.1111
Advance Co. is considering taking on a project which Choose E because the per unit risk is the lowest as
would maximize the shareholders’ return. The company compare to D and F
is typically a risk-averse firm. The information pertaining
to the projects’ expected returns and standard Question 6
deviation is as follows: Consider the following annual rate of returns of Digi and
Projects Expected returns Standard deviation Celcom:
($) ($)
A 196,500 103,500 Year Digi Celcom
B 505,500 302,250 2002 -16.8% -19.0%
C 66,000 81,000 2003 49.9% 48.0%
D 93,750 155,250 2004 17.6% 4.2%
Required: 2005 -26.0% 16.1%
Based on coefficient of variation, which project do you 2006 23.4% -6.0%
think would be chosen?
A – CV: 0.5267 (Choose) Calculate the expected return and standard deviation of
B – CV: 0.5979 Digi and Celcom. State the stock that appear to be
C – CV: 1.2273 better in terms of expected return and standard
D – CV: 1.656 deviation.
Tutorial Risk & Return
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Digi – ER: 9.6%, SD: 30.96%
Celcom – ER: 8.66%, SD: 25.51%
Digi is better in terms of expected return
Celcom is better in terms of standard deviation
Question 7
What is the coefficient of variation of the following
income statement sales projection given the following
information?
Possible Sales Level (in 000’s) Probability
1000 10%
2000 15%
2500 50%
2800 20%
3000 5%
ER: 2360K SD: 523 CV: 0.2216
Question 8
A stock analyst forecasts that M Ltd and C Ltd. stocks
have the following probabilities of return depending on
the state of market:
Bear Normal Bull
Market Market Market
Probabilit 0.2 0.5 0.3
y
M Ltd -20% 18% 50%
C Ltd. -15% 20% 10%
Required:
Calculate the coefficient of variation for each stock.
M – ER: 20%, SD: 24.33%, CV: 1.216
C – ER: 10%, SD: 13.23%, CV: 1.323