Decision making involves choosing the best alternative to reach objectives. There are two types of decisions - programmed decisions which are routine and repetitive, and non-programmed decisions which are typically one-time and less structured. Organizational decisions are made at different levels of management depending on the scope of the decision, with broader decisions made at higher levels. Consensus is one method where a group arrives at a decision through discussion and agreement. Key elements of a decision situation include the decision makers, goals, alternatives, how alternatives are ordered, and choice of alternative. Risk refers to situations with known probabilities, while uncertainty refers to unknown probabilities.
Decision making involves choosing the best alternative to reach objectives. There are two types of decisions - programmed decisions which are routine and repetitive, and non-programmed decisions which are typically one-time and less structured. Organizational decisions are made at different levels of management depending on the scope of the decision, with broader decisions made at higher levels. Consensus is one method where a group arrives at a decision through discussion and agreement. Key elements of a decision situation include the decision makers, goals, alternatives, how alternatives are ordered, and choice of alternative. Risk refers to situations with known probabilities, while uncertainty refers to unknown probabilities.
Decision defined • Decision is a choice made between two or more available alternatives.
• Decision making is the process of choosing
the best alternative for reaching objectives. Types of Decisions Programmed Decisions Non-programmed Decisions
• These are routine and • These are typically one-
are repetitive. shot decisions that are usually less structured • It requires less time. than programmed.
• And unlike programmed
decisions, these are mostly long-term. The Responsibility for Making Organizational Decisions The responsibility for Making Organizational Decisions Many different kinds of decisions must be made within an organization such as how to manufacture a product, how to maintain machines, how to ensure product quality, and how to establish advantageous relationships with customers. Because organizational decisions are so varies, some type of rational must be developed to stipulate who within the organization has the responsibility for making which decisions One such rational is based primarily on two factors:
• The scope of the decision is the proportion, the
broader the scope of the decision is said to be. • Levels of management are simply lower-level management, middle-level management and upper-level management.
The rationale for designating who makes which
decisions is that the broader the scope of a decision, the higher the level of manager responsible for making that decision. Consensus is one method a manager can use in getting a group to arrive at a particular decision.
It is an agreement on a decision by all the
individuals involved in making that decision. It usually occurs after lengthy deliberation and discussion by members of the decision group, who maybe either all managers or a mixture of managers and subordinates. Elements of Decision Situation Decision Makers They are the individuals or groups that actually make the choice among alternatives. Weak decision makers usually have one of the following orientations: 1. Friendly 2. Suppressive 3. Advertisement 4. Marketing-Oriented Goals to be served The goals that decision makers seek to attain. These should often be organizational objectives. Relevant Alternatives A relevant alternative is one that is considered feasible for solving an existing problem and for implementation. Ordering of Alternatives The decision situation requires a process or mechanism for ranking alternatives from most desirable to least desirable. Choice of Alternatives This is the actual choice between available alternatives. This choice establishes what we call decisions. Decision-Making Conditions Decision-Making Conditions: Risk and Uncertainty Risks Uncertainty • Situation where the current state of • A probability or threat of a knowledge is such that: damage, injury, liability, loss, or other negative occurrence 1. the order or nature of things is unknown, that is caused by external or 2. the consequences, extent, or internal vulnerabilities and magnitude of circumstances, conditions, or events is that may be neutralized unpredictable, and through preemptive action. 3. credible probabilities to possible outcomes cannot be assigned. Although too much uncertainty is undesirable, manageable uncertainty provides the freedom to make creative decisions. Decision-Making Conditions: Risk and Uncertainty Risk Uncertainty
• Refers to situations in which • Refers to situations where the
statistical probabilities can be probability that a particular attributed to alternative outcome will occur is not potential outcomes. known in advance. Decision-Making Conditions: Risk and Uncertainty Risk Uncertainty
• Risk means danger or threat • Uncertainty means hesitation
one might feel in doing some or ambiguity about certain work. thing.
• Risk can be related to • Uncertainty can be touched
occurrences with low with 100% confidence. probability.
(Mathematics Education in The Digital Era 12) Nigel Calder, Kevin Larkin, Nathalie Sinclair - Using Mobile Technologies in The Teaching and Learning of Mathematics-Springer International Publishing (2