Paper Seminar English 1
Paper Seminar English 1
Statistical analysis
Cox proportional hazards models were used, with months as the time scale, to
estimate the risk of cardiovascular disease events or death according to oral hygiene.
The data were censored to December 2007 in event-free survivors. Initially,
toothbrushing habit was included in the Cox model as a covariate, with adjustment for
age and sex. In further multivariate models was adjusted for socioeconomic group
using the registrar general classification (professional/intermediate, skilled non-
manual, skilled manual, part skilled/unskilled), smoking (never, ex-smoker, current
smoker), sex specific thirds of physical activity, frequency of dentist visits (at least
once every six months, once every one or two years, rarely or never), BMI
(underweight <18.5, normal weight 18.5-25.0, overweight 25.01-30.0, obese 30.01-
40.0, morbidly obese >40.0), and family history of cardiovascular disease,
hypertension, and diabetes. The proportional hazards assumption was examined by
comparing the cumulative hazard plots grouped on exposure, although no violations
were noted.
We examined the association between frequency of toothbrushing and inflammatory
markers (C reactive protein and fibrinogen) using general linear models with
adjustments for age, sex, socioeconomic group, smoking, visits to dentist, BMI,
family history of cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and diabetes, and acute
infections (including influenza, pneumonia, bronchitis, and log transformed to
normalize the data. All analyses were performed with SPSS (version 14), and all tests
of significance were based on two sided probability.
Results
We removed from the analyses 3685 participants who were edentulous (no natural
teeth) and 386 with existing cardiovascular disease. Participants with missing
demographic data (n=204) were also excluded, leaving a final sample size of 11☐869
(46.1% men, mean age 50.0 (SD 11.0)). The excluded edentate participants were
older and more likely to be women and smokers.
Oral health behaviour was generally good, with about 62% (14☐718) of participants
reporting regular (at least every six months) visits to a dentist and 71% (8481)
reporting good oral hygiene (brushing teeth twice a day). Participants who brushed
their teeth less often than twice a day were slightly older, more likely to be men, and
of lower social status and had a high prevalence of risk factors including smoking,
physical inactivity, obesity, hypertension, and diabetes (table 1). Participants from the
different survey years were comparable in terms of demographics and risk factors.
View this table:
Table 1
There were 555 cardiovascular disease events over an average of 8.1 (SD 3.4) years to
follow-up, of which 170 were fatal. In about 74% (411) of cardiovascular disease
events the principal diagnosis was coronary heart disease. The mean age of event-free
survivors compared with participants with a recorded cardiovascular disease event
was 49.6 (SD 10.9) and 57.0 (SD 10.3), respectively (P<0.001), at baseline. In age
and sex adjusted analyses participants reporting poor dental hygiene had an increased
risk of cardiovascular disease events and cardiovascular disease death (tables 2 and
3). In further multivariate models the associations were attenuated, although they
remained significant in the case of cardiovascular disease events. Participants who
reported less frequent toothbrushing had a 70% increased risk of cardiovascular
disease event in fully adjusted models compared with participants who brushed their
teeth twice a day. The other independent predictors of cardiovascular disease events
included smoking (hazard ratio 2.4, 95% confidence interval 1.9 to 2.9), hypertension
(1.7,1.4 to 2.0), and diabetes (1.9, 1.4 to 2.7).
Table 2
Cox regression models for toothbrushing and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events
(fatal and non-fatal combined)
Table 3
Cox regression models for toothbrushing and death from cardiovascular disease
(CVD)
As some previous studies have suggested effect modifications by age, sex, and
smoking status in relation to oral health and cardiovascular disease, we performed
various sensitivity analyses. There were no clear sex differences in our results; the age
adjusted hazard ratio for cardiovascular disease events in relation to toothbrushing
less than one a day was 2.2 (1.6 to 3.1) in men and 3.6 (1.7 to 7.7) in women. There
was also no difference by age; the age/sex adjusted hazard ratio was 2.7 (1.4 to 5.4) in
participants aged 65 or above compared with 2.2 (1.6 to 3.0) in those aged less than
65. There were no differences between smokers (2.0,1.3 to 3.0) and those who had
never smoked (2.0,1.1 to 3.6).
There were significant associations between frequency of toothbrushing and markers
of low grade systemic inflammation (table 4). Participants who brushed their teeth
less often had increased concentrations of both C reactive protein and fibrinogen.
These associations remained significant after multiple adjustments. In the subsample
of participants with available biological data we re-ran the survival analyses to
examine if the association between toothbrushing and cardiovascular disease was
weakened by the inclusion of inflammatory markers (see appendix on bmj.com). In
these analyses there were 161 cardiovascular disease events and the age and sex
adjusted associations were similar compared with the main sample. The introduction
of C reactive protein and fibrinogen did partly attenuate the point estimates, thus
suggesting a possible mediating role.
Table 4
Methods:
1. Assessments of oral health behaviours and covariates
a. Survey interviewers visited ellgible household
b. Collected data on demographics and health
behaviours
c. Measure height and weight
d. Physical activity interview
e. Assessed frequency of visits to a dentist and
toothbrushing
f. Collected information of medical history
2. Follow up for clinical events
3. Blood analysis
4. Statistical analysis
RESEARCH QUESTION
1. How many events of cardiovascular disease are there?