Online Sales of New Cars: Study
Online Sales of New Cars: Study
of New Cars
Study
About 10%1) of new cars are sold online today – High growth rates expected by market experts, at least doubling today's volume by 2020
Within the German market, there are several dominant players – Four archetypes to be distinguished, each one with its own 'raison d'être'
> Marketplaces for comparing prices of different dealers – High degree of transparency
> Brokers as mediators between authorized dealers and end customer in selling process – High degree of convenience
> Special concepts being a one-stop-shop solution for car leasing – High degree of convenience
> OEMs/dealers where the online shop presents a further customer touchpoint within the multi-channel approach – High degree of trust
Two types of customers within the online market for cars: "the informed saver" and "the multi-channel customer". Whereas the informed
saver has long been a priority for existing archetypes, the focus is increasingly shifting to multi-channel customers; not least because they
account for almost half of the market. Hence, online portals focusing on one-stop shops are currently receiving a strong push
Nevertheless, all of the big players in the German market display some gaps in fully capturing the convenience-seeking customer – Reason:
customer journey not entirely integrated seamlessly (discontinuity within ordering process, missing link between online and offline world)
Result
Increasing number of start-ups are surging onto markets, especially from the US. Whereas some business models aim at taking the customer
journey to the next level, others focus on enhancing specific steps. Both price and convenience seekers are targeted
Suggestion
Current dominant players will increasingly be challenged by new entrants – It's time to enhance existing business models! Future success
depends on thinking outside the box to find the optimum solution for the future customer requirements. Start-ups from around the world are
already demonstrating what is possible within the market for online sales of new cars
1) Definition of online sales: car purchase substantially initiated online, incl. forwarding customer to dealer, online request for consultation
B. Where we are today: Snapshot of the German market and its players 10
> Large portions of the retail > Many media have been > Travel products are increasing- > Large range of delivery service
business have shifted to online transformed into digital ly sold via online portals rather platforms, e.g. Lieferheld,
channels, e.g.:1) products, e.g.: than travel agencies, e.g.:1) Lieferando, pizza.de
– Amazon: 187.5 m – 72% of internet users – Expedia: 2.4 m – 15% of all Germans have
– Zalando: 7m use Wikipedia – Holiday Check: 8m already ordered food online
– Cyberport: 1.7 m – 10% e-book market share – HRS: 2.7 m – 57% can imagine ordering
– ~4% video on demand online in the future
> 40% of department stores > 29% of travel agencies
closed2) > Newspaper circulation closed2) > Number of restaurants
reduced by 25%2) reduced by 17%2)
Source: Various (BDI Federation of German Industries, similarweb, etc.); Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 5
As a consequence, customers have also changed the way they buy
or want to buy a car – It's all about online sales
Customer behavior created by digitization
see independent online
rated the current car buying vendors (e.g. Amazon) use multiple
<1% process as their ideal
customer experience
21% as an alternative sales 42% devices to shop for a
channel to the dealer car
prefer a different
97%
of young car buyers1)
81%
use the
test drive experi-
59% expect a response to
e-mail/web inquiries ence than the
traditional
internet to
research
within 24 hours vehicles
1) 18-34-year-olds
Source: AutoScout 24 "Autokauf in der Zukunft" (2015); Autotrader "Car Buyer of the Future" (2015); Capgemini
"Cars Online" (2014), Microsoft / Wakefield Research "Automotive industry survey – Millennials' technology preferences" Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 6
To get a better understanding of the potentials and pitfalls of online
car sales, we asked representatives of leading market players
Potential and pitfalls of online sales of cars
"Today, at least one in every two car purchases "OEMs strive to offer more online sales capabilities
begins online; in 2020, it will be nearly 100%." but face major challenges in offering a seamless
CEO, meinauto.de process, especially at the interface between the
online and offline world."
VP Corporate Development, TRUECar
"Customers demand a one-stop-shop solution;
otherwise you risk losing the customer."
CEO, Sixt Neuwagen "The online store targets customers who don't
intend to haggle on price but who have a focus on
convenience."
"In the online world, market shares will be gained by Mercedes spokeswoman
those focusing on credibility, transparency and
service orientation. This applies to the sale of both new
and used vehicles." "In the future, customers will only spend an hour at
CEO, Mobile.de the dealership buying a car. The majority of the
buying process will take place online."
VP Corporate Development, TRUECar
"Years ago, a customer went to the dealer 4-5 times before
the purchase decision was made. Today, it is only 1-2 times.
In the future, the dealer's role in the purchasing process "Customers should have the same experience when
will be focused on services around the purchase (e.g. using tablets at home as they do when going
used car trade-in, financing, accessories)." shopping offline."
CEO, meinauto.de Sales Director, Daimler AG
Source: Expert interviews, Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung (GfK), Wirtschaftswoche, Sixt AG, Auto Motor Sport, Autohaus Online, Roland Berger,Roland
HUK Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 7
Today, the focus of online sales is more on customers who haggle
on price – One in two customers, however, focus on convenience
Opposing types of customers within the online market for new cars
Customer types
1 Transparency
Customers must feel like they are
fully informed!
Seamless integration
Customers must be accompanied
throughout the entire sales process!
4
> Broad product portfolio, incl. product/ > Fully integrated (additional) products
price information and services
> Comprehensive support functions Successful > Interfaces to offline world (e.g. dealers)
develop-
2 Trust
Customers must believe in what
they get shown in the online world!
ment of
online Customers must be able to enjoy
their shopping experience!
Services
5
sales of
> High customer awareness/reach with new cars > Innovative and individualized services
positive feedback > Various touchpoints (online, offline,
✓
> Use of impartial information sources mobile, etc.)
3 Ease of use
For customers, the website and
Flexibility2)
The business model itself must be
adaptable!
6
processes must be clear!
> Intuitive design, clear structure and fast > Scalability of business model regarding
results users and new products/services
> Comprehensive support functions > Use of new technologies
1) Ranked according to survey with n = ~ 250 2) Not a result from the study; insight from expert interviews
Source: Expert interviews, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 9
B. Where we are today:
Snapshot of the
German market and its
players
Source: Company websites, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 11
Today, 10% of all new passenger cars within the private segment
are already bought online – Volumes will double by 2020
Market volume in Germany, 2014
Top-down approach Bottom-up approach
New passenger car registrations Germany Online sales of new Market volume of relevant market players
[#, '000, 2014] [#, '000, 2014]
cars in 2014 [#]
100% 36% 4%
100% 10%
~115,000
3,037 1,937 Definition of online
1,099 989 sales:
110-115 Car purchase was 50 <5 110-115
substantially initiated 60
online, incl. forwarding
customer to dealer,
online request for
Total Commer- Private Offline Online consultation Market- Brokers OEMs Total
cial regis- buyers pur- purchase places
trations chase B2C
1) Does not apply to direct sales model (e.g. Tesla) 2) Mainly financial products
Source: Company websites, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 13
1 Marketplace – Deep dive
Source: Company websites, press research, similarweb, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 14
2 Broker – Deep dive
Source: Company websites, press research, similarweb, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 15
3 Special concept – Deep dive
Source: Company websites, press research, similarweb, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 16
4 OEM – Deep dive
Online sales an essential part for premium OEMs within their multi-
channel approaches – Maturity still differs on levels of integration
Industry leaders in the 'OEM' category
Source: Company websites, press research, similarweb, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 17
Marketplaces offer the highest degree of transparency – Others
have advantages in providing convenient shopping experience
Comparison of archetypes within the scope of existing offerings
Success factors Archetypes
Marketplace Broker Special concept OEM/dealer
Customer is promised No comparison of
Very high number of
Transparency car listings
cheapest price, com- prices, limited
parison difficult selection
Ease of use
Additional services Additional services
Seamless integration not always integrated not always integrated
No restrictions on
Flexibility scalability
"The informed
Main target group "The multi-channel customer"
saver"
Low/not met High/met in full Most positive attribute Most negative attribute
Source: Expert interviews, Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 18
OEM example: BMW has a central platform for online sales in which
dealer, central systems and processes are integrated
Example: BMW eRETAIL
Success factors Archetypes
OEM/dealer
Transparency > Central platform displaying dealer and NSC new car stock
> Possibility to initiate and finalize leasing/financing process online ✓
> Matching of stock cars
sale on
amazon
by GM
by SAIC
Motor
Dealer-driven online sales One-stop auto e-commerce platform, incl.
OEM independent business models platform extended to include auto financing and aftermarket services
OEM dependent business models aftermarket service functions.
Source: Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 22
New business models are revolutionizing online sales of new cars in
different ways – Price and convenience seekers are targeted
Examples of new business models
New cars New and used cars Used cars
> Comprehensive car buying > Selling platform where > Data-driven online platform > 'Follow a vehicle' based
service starting from finding dealers see which vehicles that enables users to obtain selling platform
the vehicle until handover the customers are looking for market-based pricing data on > Customers receive alerts any
and final paperwork ('wish list' based) – Dealers cars and to connect with time prices change, cars are
(executed at customer's contact customers TrueCar certified dealers sold or new cars that match
home within 20 minutes) > After purchase, customer > Customized offers for affinity their search are added
> Roadster being the broker1) gets reward from Carmony in group partners (e.g.
exchange for information American Express)
Transparency
Success factors
Trust
Ease of use
Seamless integration
Services
Flexibility
1) Through subsidiary BuySideAuto LLC
✓
Con-
Cust. Cust. Vehicle Con- Vehicle
Test tract Trade- After-
acqui- consul- search/ tract hand-
drive negoti- in sales
sition tation config. closure over
ation
Value added for …
… customer … vendor
> Personal concierge > High conversion
service rate
> Fully integrated > High potential for
services cross-selling
Marketplace specific: > Extensive follow-ups on customer (e.g. satisfaction, prices paid) > Aftermarket
Market- > Introduction of reactive search > Additional services that can be booked via marketplaces, e.g. organization of home service
place (e.g. via wish list, "likes") delivery, registration service functions
(booking,
For all: reminder, etc.)
> Use of new technologies (e.g. > Enhanced > Fully inte- > 'Buy now' > Concierge > Registration
video chat, 3D configurator) organization of grated, digital button, incl. service (e.g. service
Broker > Integration of product experts test drives ordering and credit check
and billing
vehicle valu- > Collect–return
instead of pure selling (e.g. con- negotiating ation at home) for garage
personnel cierge service process process services
within x hours) > Tracking of
> Send home 3D sample of
configured car, selected delivery time
Special material for interior
concept OEM specific:
> Stable, systematic, personalized
linkages between the various
OEM/ selling formats
dealer
Current scope of business model Enhanced/additional activity (may include enhancement of current business model)
Source: Roland Berger Roland Berger_Car Online Sales_final_220116 (2).pptx 25
The next stage: Digital player setting up an aggregator business that
consolidates all vehicle-related demand, incl. aftersales, FS
Aggregator – Overview
Startups specialize in selected New players start to aggregate Disruption: What if one player
M&S activities several M&S activities integrates all M&S activities?
Pre-sales Search (incl. browsing) Search (incl. browsing)
Test drive Test drive
Finance Incl. Finance
Purchase Purchase
Roadster Roadster
Sales Paperwork Paperwork
Pickup/delivery of new car Pickup/delivery of new car
Aftersales Maintenance and repair Maintenance and repair
Roadside assistance Roadside assistance
Used car sales … Used car sales …
New players become Wide-ranging M&S activities (e.g. Tech giants have the funding and
intermediaries for several M&S new, used car sales and finance) know-how to acquire or re-build
activities as well as mobility offerings are aggregators to cover all value
aggregated chain steps
Tech giants have the funding and Customer decision is highly influenced by third parties –
know-how to acquire or re-build
aggregators to cover all value significant loss of influence by OEMs
chain steps