Pub - Cooperative Sourcing Simulation Studies and Empiri PDF
Pub - Cooperative Sourcing Simulation Studies and Empiri PDF
Cooperative Sourcing
GABLER EDITION WISSENSCHAFT
Daniel Beimborn
Cooperative Sourcing
Simulation Studies
and Empirical Data
on Outsourcing Coalitions
in the Banking Industry
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tion are part of the law for trade-mark protection and may not be used free in any form or by
any means even if this is not specifically marked.
Cover design: Regine Zimmer, Dipl.-Designerin, Frankfurt/Main
Printed on acid-free paper
Printed in Germany
ISBN 978-3-8350-0946-2
Foreword V
Foreword
“Make or buy?” The question about optimal sourcing is one of the oldest and
most central questions of managerial economics. Consequently, the question
about IT outsourcing has been an important research topic of the Information
Systems discipline for the past two decades. The financial services industry also
has a long tradition in IT outsourcing (ITO) with IT representing, besides people,
the only “production facility” of banks. The cost structure of non-physical prod-
ucts and services in the financial services sector relies heavily on fixed costs and,
thus, holds high potential for the inter-organizational bundling of processes and
achieving cost savings from economies of scale and skill.
In this book, Dr. Beimborn advances the traditional academic view on IT
outsourcing towards a sourcing network perspective. The complexity in this
paradigm, which adds to the complexity of the traditional outsourcing research
perspective and, furthermore, generalizes it to a business process outsourcing
(BPO) perspective, consists in the fact that typically more than two parties will
negotiate and that the roles of insourcer and outsourcer are not necessarily pre-
defined in advance. It is striking that in the otherwise generally mature outsourc-
ing literature the sourcing network issue has been almost completely ignored so
far. The potential impact becomes clear when realizing that both transaction
volumes in similar processes and process competencies are likely to be prevalent
in many firms of an outsourcer’s industry as well, raising the old co-opetition
question of who really is a competitor and who should rather be seen as a part-
ner. The research challenge thus is to explain and guide decision making from
this multilateral perspective and to disclose the market effects resulting from
those decisions.
Daniel Beimborn gives a thorough conceptualization and foundation for co-
operative sourcing research by addressing a triad of research questions: why to
source cooperatively, how to source cooperatively, and what are the resulting
consequences from cooperative sourcing? To answer these challenging ques-
tions, Dr. Beimborn makes use of a multi-theoretical foundation and a compre-
hensive multi-method approach. The core of his work consists in developing a
mathematical agent-based model which is applied to both analytical game-
theoretical analyses and simulation studies. Moreover, the author carried out
extensive empirical research which enabled him both to empirically test his ar-
guments and to feed the simulation studies with real world data.
VI Foreword
Foreword
This is another impressive success from the Johann Wolfgang Goethe’s Univer-
sity’s E-Finance Lab. Following the tradition of his predecessors, Dr. Beimborn
has put together an intriguing piece of research involving what he calls “coopera-
tive sourcing” which involves looking at the network of relationships that exist in
outsourcing. Using the German financial industry as his base (particularly the
industry’s credit business), Dr. Beimborn explores how these networks of sourc-
ing relationships can effect banks’ competitive positions. His results show that
the German banking industry is still in the early stage of cooperative sourcing
but he further suggests how the market is likely to evolve over time. Fascinating.
Whilst Dr. Beimborn’s research may typically be thought to lie within the
domain of Business Process Outsourcing (BPO), it is much more than just an-
other BPO study. It is truly a tour de force. Employing an impressive array of
methodological methods and theoretical groundings, Dr. Beimborn doesn’t just
use one lens to analyze the cooperative sourcing landscape, he uses four: empiri-
cal, analytical, game theory and simulation. Any one of these would lead to in-
teresting insights but to have all four, makes this far more than a traditional piece
of research. Its originality, its attention to detail, its level of sophistication, its
comprehensiveness, its coherence, and its richness, makes this an excellent ex-
ample of what the IS field needs far more of: applied research which ties together
the best of what academics can offer with sound practical results. Dr. Beimborn
must be congratulated for this truly exceptional piece of research. It should be
required reading for the IS academic and practitioner communities.
Preface
Table of Contents
bn, bnij Business neighborhood in general and in particular for the relationship of
firm i and j
Business neighborhood between i and insourcer of his business function k in
bn ikmt
period t
* *
bnijcust Customer portfolio overlap between i and j with bnij
cust
cos ci , c j
Adoption costs
C AD , Cikmt
AD
(in general and in particular for firm i joining coalition km in period t)
ckAD Adoption cost basis
Agency costs
C AG , CikAG , Cikmt
AG
(in general and in particular for firm i joining coalition km in period t)
XVIII Variables and Symbols
Coordination costs (in general and for firm i joining coalition km in period t
C C , C ikC , Cikmt
C
in particular)
C
'Cijkmt Change of i's coordination costs if firm j enters coalition km in period t
G G
C ,C ikmt Cost allocation mechanism in an alliance
IF IF IF
C ,C ,C it ikt Interface costs firm i has to bear when taking part in coalition km in period t
IF
c Interface cost basis
Negotiation costs (in general and for firm i joining coalition km in period t
C N , CikN , Cikmt
N
in particular)
ckN Negotiation cost basis
P
c Maximum variable unit costs of all firms and business functions
C PM , C mPM , C kmt
PM Coalition process costs in general, of coalition m, and of coalition km in
period t, in particular
c mPM , c km
PM
Variable unit costs of coalition m or of coalition km
Variable unit costs of a sub-coalition of coalition m (in the game-theoretical
c mPS
analysis)
CR1, CR3 Market share of the largest and of the three largest coalitions
T
C im Transaction cost parameter in general (in the game-theoretical analysis)
T ,bilateral Individual transaction costs for managing a bilateral coalition
C im (in the game-theoretical analysis)
T ,trilateral Individual transaction costs for managing a trilateral coalition
Cim
(in the game-theoretical analysis)
DC Decision capacity
Exp>NPV @ Expected net present value
> @
Exp NS ikm t W Expected individual periodical net savings
Exp>'PCS @ leave
j Expected change of j’s process cost savings if leaving the current coalition
Exp>'TC leave
j @ Expected change of j’s transaction costs if leaving the current coalition
Exp>3 alternative
iknt @ Expected individual benefit of i from entering an alternative coalition
Variables and Symbols XIX
Exp>3 enter
ikmt @ Expected individual benefit of i from entering coalition km in period t
Exp>'3 switch
ikt @ Expected individual net benefit of i from switching the current coalition
act
HF Actor-based Herfindahl index
HFvol Process volume-based Herfindahl index
homogenize Parameter for homogenizing the empirically derived ratio between fixed and
_costRatio variable costs for conducting sensitivity analyses during the simulations
homogenize Parameter for homogenizing the random number seed for process volumes
_procVol for conducting sensitivity analyses during the simulation studies
i, j Indices of firm with i, j I
I, |I| Set and total number of firms
ĵ Index of insourcer
Binary variable that indicates whether actor i's process k will be evaluated
uikt
regarding outsourcing options in period t
v Real valued function
v(i) Costs which player i has to bear before entering a coalition
vikmt Indicates, whether firm i is insourcer of alliance km in period t (binary)
VAT Value-added tax rate
vc Variation coefficient: vc = VP
x , xi, xik Process volume (of business function k ) of firm i
M
x kmt Process volume of coalition km in period t
M
x m Process volume of coalition m (in the game-theoretical analysis)
S Process volume of a sub-coalition (i.e. subset of members) of coalition m (in
x m the game-theoretical analysis)
Binary decision variable that indicates whether firm i outsources business
yikmt
function k to alliance km in period t
Binary variable that indicates whether firm i's business function k is oper-
zikmt
ated by alliance km in period t
diff
ziklm 1 Binary variable that indicates whether k and l are operated by different firms
J Ratio between C
Cikmt N
and Cikmt with 0 J 1
Abbreviations
1 Introduction
IT outsourcing (ITO) has become a tool that is frequently used by firms for re-
ducing their portfolio of activities and achieving, among other things, economies
of scale and skill by using a specialized provider. Because of their high level of
IT reliance and business processes that are mostly fully digitizable, the value
opportunities offered by outsourcing are especially attractive for financial ser-
vices firms. Accordingly, Hirschheim and Dibbern (2002) found the first re-
markable ITO deal in 1963 when insurance company Blue Cross of Pennsylvania
outsourced its data processing to EDS. However, despite many other industries
having utilized advances in information and communication technologies – as a
subsequent step – to restructure their value creation, to outsource, automate, and
integrate business processes, and to form value networks, there is still substan-
tially less disintegration of value chains in the financial services industry. As a
consequence, experts assume that there are significant efficiency potentials in the
industry.
From an academic perspective, outsourcing has developed into quite a ma-
ture research area over the decades, especially in the Information Systems (IS)
discipline, and now also includes business process outsourcing (BPO) (Currie et
al. 2003; Dayasindhu 2004; Holzhäuser et al. 2004; Rouse and Corbitt 2004;
Weitzel et al. 2004; Willcocks et al. 2004). Nevertheless, outsourcing literature is
almost exclusively concerned with 1:1 outsourcing relations and, quite surpris-
ingly, has only very marginally incorporated the possibility of in- and outsourc-
ing networks. Considering that most outsourcing success factors are at least
partially driven by what others do, like for example integration costs, transaction
volume etc., it would seem appropriate to explicitly consider sourcing networks
as a relevant research domain. If one goes a step further from ITO to BPO and
asks what firm is likely most competent to carry out part of a primary business
process for an outsourcing bank, one might certainly expect a different bank to
qualify. Much empirical evidence for this can be found in the German banking
industry, for example (cf. section 3.4).
From a theoretical perspective, this cooperative sourcing a) is a multilateral
instead of a bilateral agreement; b) focuses on core activities being cooperatively
sourced; c) is a close form of horizontal interorganizational cooperation and
therefore inherently represents a form of coopetition as coalition partners usually
are (potential) competitors; and d) in contrast to traditional outsourcing relation-
ships relies on the benefits being allocated by negotiation rather than by market
2 Introduction
mechanism which can have a substantial impact on the stability and efficiency of
the coalitions. Thus, extending the scope of analysis from one insourcer and one
outsourcer from different markets to multiple stakeholders mostly within one
market adds a substantial degree of complexity as coalition building and com-
petitive proximity, to name just a few phenomena, now need to be considered.
This makes cooperative sourcing a theoretically important and relevant research
topic. Therefore, the key questions guiding this work are:
o How can cooperative sourcing networks help individual firms and entire
networks, like industry branches, to improve their value creation?
o What are the effects of cooperative sourcing networks on a bank’s cost and
competitive situation, and how can cooperative sourcing strategies aid in
improving them?
o What are the conditions for stable cooperative sourcing networks?
o What is the effect of cooperative sourcing networks on industry dynamics
and market structure/segmentation?
Using a multi-method (empirical, analytical, game theory, simulation) and
multi-theoretical approach to incorporate a network perspective into outsourcing
research, a formal model is developed and used for game theory and simulation
analyses together with empirical data from the German financial services indus-
try. It is argued that, in contrast to the conventional wisdom on ITO, on the one
hand, BPO is associated with lower (hidden) transaction costs thus making BPO
more likely. But on the other hand, selective outsourcing that is often suggested
for ITO leads to process-oriented diseconomies of scope for BPO which has been
analytically and empirically shown to be a substantial inhibitor to BPO potential.
Using the credit business as our application domain, we reveal why substantial
parts of the German banking industry are still in a comparatively early sourcing
network stage and how the market can be expected to evolve.
Based on the cooperative sourcing model, it is shown which cost allocations
lead to stable coalitions, i.e. ensuring the participation of all potential members.
While mostly neglected so far, cost and benefit allocations in networks are cru-
cial for their stability and efficiency. The analysis reveals that, depending on the
amount of coordination costs, only the process volume-proportional distribution
ensures stable coalitions. This is surprising as the Shapely allocation which takes
power asymmetries of the participants into account is, in particular, unable to
guarantee stable sourcing networks. As a consequence, although the proportional
cost allocation turned out to be the only stable allocation, experiments conducted
alongside the analysis reveal that most of the participants did not agree to a cost
allocation which is close to it, but preferred the Shapley value, which sometimes
even resulted in inefficient outcomes.
Introduction 3
The subsequent simulation analysis shows that if process cost structures are
relatively heterogeneous throughout the industry, benefits from cooperative
sourcing primarily result from economies of skill rather than from economies of
scale. As a consequence, even small coalitions can be beneficial and compensate
for the transaction costs, value-added taxes, and business risks that arise as a
result.
The thesis contributes to the literature in four major areas: First, by extend-
ing the 1:1 outsourcing view by a network perspective that draws from network
effect theory; second, by offering a formal approach to understanding and direct-
ing sourcing networks; third, by providing an analytical game theory approach to
determine conditions for stability of sourcing coalitions; and fourth, by combin-
ing these theoretical and methodical results into a single simulation model that
can be used to determine advantageous sourcing coalitions and to anticipate
market dynamics in order to identify unexploited firm and industry benefits.
The remainder of this chapter is structured into introducing the object of
analysis (section 1.1), motivating and deriving the research questions (1.2), giv-
ing a brief overview of the theoretical and methodological fundament (1.3), and
summarizing the key results (1.4). After defining the main terms and concepts
used in this work (1.5), the chapter concludes with an overview of the structure
of the overall thesis (1.6).
theoretical 1 2 3
What are the drivers and Which cost allocation enables Which segmentation effects
implications
inhibitors of cooperative stability of cooperative can be expected? How stable
sourcing? What is their sourcing coalitions? and how desirable are they?
differential impact?
Managerial implications:
How can managers in the banking
industry be supported in making
managerial decisions about cooperative sourcing
implications opportunities?
IS economic
focus focus
Figure 1: Research questions and managerial implications
These questions can be divided into more detailed questions which guide the
reader through this thesis:
1) Drivers and inhibitors:
o What are the relevant theories and associated influential factors which
help to explain cooperative sourcing?
o How can the relevant theories be aggregated to provide an integrated
framework of drivers and inhibitors for cooperative sourcing?
o What is the role of competitiveness between partners? What is the role of
externalities?
2) Cooperation stability:
o What are the conditions for cooperation stability?
o Which allocation mechanisms lead to cooperation stability?
3) Market effects:
o What are the effects of the identified determinants on cooperative sourc-
ing behavior and on the resultant savings?
o How do market dynamics (outsourcing, switching of sourcing coalitions,
and backsourcing) evolve over time and how are they affected?
o What are the resulting segmentation effects, given certain process charac-
teristics?
o How do externalities and bounded rationality affect the efficiency of co-
operative sourcing decisions?
The design of this research is further motivated by three issues highlighted
by the scientific community:
o In outsourcing research, the development of formal and quantitative decision
support models which capture a huge range of relevant influencing factors is
still lacking (Buhl et al. 2005; Weill and Ross 2005). In this work, a model
is developed which focuses on capturing factors relevant to cutting and
Introduction 7
Aim refers to the research problem and the research questions addressed by the
research. The aim of this work has been defined in the previous section.
Theories represent the conceptual foundation which is applied to address the
research question (Landry and Banville 1992). They provide orientation in cap-
turing a complex real phenomenon, although a single theory is not able to pro-
vide an all-embracing explanation of the real world (Marlière 2002). Hence, this
work adopts several theoretical perspectives to tackle the research questions.
They can be classified into economic theories (production cost economics, trans-
action cost economics, agency theory, incomplete contract theory, and network
effect theory), organizational theories (resource dependency theory and relation-
ship theories), and strategic theories (Porter’s market-based view, resource-based
view, and core competence view.) These are briefly discussed and linked to the
cooperative sourcing phenomenon in section 2.1.
From a theoretical standpoint, the multilateral character of cooperative
sourcing, compared with “traditional” outsourcing, requires the incorporation of
decision interdependencies. Since efficient and effective cooperative sourcing
strategies rely on the agreement of multiple partners, these interdependencies are
covered by incorporating cooperative game theory and network effect theory in
addition to the economic and organizational theories usually applied in outsourc-
ing research. This extends the classical view of the firm (and on outsourcing)
which focuses on the trade-off between production cost economies and transac-
tion costs (Coase 1937, Williamson 1985, 1991) or on strategic issues (Prahalad
and Hamel 1990; Cheon et al. 1995; Pfeffer and Salancik 1978) for determining
the optimal size and shape of the firm.
As the third basic element of the “triad”, methods represent the techniques
which are used to answer the research questions. Depending on the research
questions, an appropriate methodology for conducting research has to be chosen.
Basically, knowledge can be created by empirical and non-empirical ap-
proaches (Alavi et al. 1989; Dibbern et al. 2004). Empirical approaches are
based on evaluating any sort of data resulting from surveys, case studies, action
research, experiments, etc. Following Dibbern et al. (2004) and Orlikowski/Ba-
roudi (1991), there are three different empirical approaches in IS research: posi-
tivist, descriptive, and interpretive.
Research “can be classified as positivist if there is evidence to formal propo-
sitions, quantifiable measures of variables, hypothesis testing, and the drawing of
interferences from a representative sample to a stated population” (Klein and
Myers 1999). By contrast, descriptive research primarily investigates relation-
ships between various empirical constructs by means of a rather explorative and
straight-forward analysis (Dibbern et al. 2004). As a third empirical approach,
interpretive studies neglect the existence of “objective” and “factual” events and
10 Introduction
situations (Orlikowski and Baroudi 1991). They use methods which are “aimed
at producing an understanding of the context of the information system, and the
process whereby the information system influences and is influenced by the
context” (Walsham 1993, 4-5).
Non-empirical research can be sub-divided into conceptual and mathemati-
cal methods. While conceptual research typically designs classification frame-
works or develops decision support models for developing guidelines and other
forms of decision support, mathematical approaches try to formalize and analyze
problem structures and therefore often develop highly abstract mathematical
models (Dibbern et al. 2004).
Another approach, which is rather difficult to classify within the given cate-
gorization, are simulations. These have to be placed between empirical and non-
empirical research approaches because, on the one hand, simulation studies in-
clude the observation and analysis of data, but on the other hand, the data is
artificially created, based on formal models (non-empirical approaches) (cf.
section 5.3.1).
The main approach of this work is to develop a formal model of cooperative
sourcing, which is based on a thoroughly developed theoretical foundation, and
to use it for both analytical (mathematical) analyses as well as for simulation
studies. The model consists of decision functions for a system of autonomous
firms which independently decide on cooperatively sourcing business functions
and thereby mutually affect their decision-relevant environment. Based on this
agent-based modeling approach, the appropriate mathematical method stems
from game theory (cf. section 5.1 for analytically determining the cost allocation
conditions of coalition stability) while the simulation part of this work is carried
out by applying the agent-based computational economics (ACE) paradigm in-
troduced later on in section 5.3.1. Although a purely analytical approach would
be the best choice (Axelrod 2000), this is not possible due to the complexity of
the interdependent system of cooperative sourcing determinants and the aim of
analyzing not only the static effects but also the dynamics of the system when it
moves towards a stationary state. A discussion on applying simulations is given
in section 5.3.1.
Moreover, this work includes empirical studies for gathering evidence and
for parameterizing the simulation model. Based on two large cross-sectional
studies in the German banking industry, actual trends in cooperative sourcing in
a particular business segment (SME credit business) as well as the corresponding
drivers and inhibitors are analyzed (descriptive approach, cf. section 3.6), and a
theory-based causal model regarding the impact of production cost economic
determinants on the BPO potential is tested (positivist approach, cf. section
3.6.3.2). Thus, this thesis applies a complementary multi-method approach to
Introduction 11
provide valid answers to the proposed research questions. The various methods
applied are described in detail in each of the corresponding sections.
The empirical perspective focuses on the German SME credit business al-
though we can find many similar trends in other countries and business seg-
ments, which often occurred much earlier (Marlière 2002). The reason for this
choice is that it is part of the research activities of the E-Finance Lab1 which
offered great opportunities to gain access to resources, data, and case study part-
ners which otherwise would not have been achievable to that extent.
1
The E-Finance Lab is a private-academic partnership between J. W. Goethe University in Frank-
furt/Main, Technical University in Darmstadt, and several large banks, software vendors, out-
sourcing providers, and consulting companies. It is located in Frankfurt am Main, Germany
(www.efinancelab.com).
12 Introduction
inhibitor of BPO. However, particularly in the banking industry, there are still
“cultural” problems with thinking in terms of modular activities instead of mono-
lithic business segments. This hinders the selective outsourcing of singular busi-
ness functions. Moreover, agreeing on a common process design (i.e. process
standardization) is a major problem.
In cooperative sourcing, there is a basic congruence of interests between the
insourcer and the outsourcers because the insourcer firm usually operates its own
process volume on the same platform as well and therefore has the incentive to
provide high process performance (in terms of costs, time, and quality). This
reduces the risk of opportunistic behavior.
Research Question 2: How to ensure stable cooperative sourcing coalitions?
When deciding on establishing a cooperative sourcing coalition, the parties have
to agree on a cost or benefit allocation mechanism which fulfills their criteria for
participation and thus leads to a stable coalition.
Section 5.1 defines the conditions for an existing set of allocation vectors
which lead to stable coalition clusters, based on a simple formal cooperative
sourcing model. Furthermore, different cost allocation mechanisms are tested for
their inherent stability, such as an equal allocation of gain, a process volume-
proportional allocation of costs, and the Shapley allocation. It will be demon-
strated that only the proportional distribution inherently ensures stable coalitions.
Although the other schemes do not always lead to unstable coalitions, determin-
ing them ex ante when founding a coalition results in the problem that, with new
members joining the coalition in later periods, the allocation scheme would have
to be completely renegotiated between all members. Thus, this analysis contrib-
utes to the sourcing literature by providing a sound theoretical foundation for
cooperative sourcing and the analysis of the existence and efficiency of sourcing
equilibria and also offers some intriguing and maybe surprising findings for
practitioners.
Research Question 3: What is the impact of cooperative sourcing on overall
market structure and economic efficiency?
Based on the theoretically derived cooperative sourcing drivers and inhibitors,
the third research question focuses on the market effects resulting from coopera-
tive sourcing activities in a system of independent firms. Based on a mathemati-
cal, agent-based model of a system of firms, which autonomously decide on
sourcing their activities, simulation studies of system dynamics and the resulting
market structures are conducted by incorporating empirical data from the SME
credit business of the German Top 1,000 banks.
14 Introduction
2
In our definition, the local optimum describes the firm’s eventually chosen sourcing strategy
(insourcing vs. cooperative sourcing and choice of coalition).
Introduction 15
tem reaches a stationary state. Some firms search for the optimal coalition for a
long time although the benefits are only marginal and furthermore usually induce
negative externalities for the firms left in the previous coalition. Since the
evaluation of a coalition membership is influenced by this behavioral uncer-
tainty, higher dynamics lead to more frequent sub-optimal decisions which either
lead to a lock-in to sub-optimal local optima or to a longer and repeated search
process for a more beneficial coalition.
As a conclusion, the divergence in the overall net savings from centralized
vs. decentralized coordination represents a global inefficiency dilemma. In gen-
eral, the lack of cooperative sourcing activities (start-up problem) can be ex-
plained by negative individual monetary results or by behavioral uncertainty
which again can be traced back to the existence of externalities. Both reasons
represent two fundamentally different arguments. While the first is an ineffi-
ciency dilemma “only” from the overall system’s perspective, the second directly
represents an inefficiency dilemma also for the individual decision maker (Weit-
zel 2004, Weitzel et al. 2006).
The relevance of these problems strongly depends on the type of the busi-
ness function. When the potential savings are low (or when the perception of
possible savings is low, as found in the empirical studies) or when multiple deci-
sion criteria have to be considered (e.g. cost savings and strategic constraints) the
efficiency gap widens. The problem of behavioral uncertainty usually arises in
the second step after the firm has already entered a first coalition. Due to the
system dynamics, the stability of another, more beneficial, coalition cannot be
guaranteed. Since substantial cost savings have already been exploited with the
first coalition entered, the impact of switching costs and externalities will be
much stronger in this second step and will lead to a lock-in of the actor (individ-
ual lock-in). Furthermore, high dynamics may lead to a globally inefficient coali-
tion structure (e.g. many small coalitions) which can no longer be resolved by
individual decisions since the single actors are not even able to identify superior
coalitions (system lock-in).
These dilemmas are reduced by learning effects and increasing process stan-
dardization resulting from cooperative sourcing activities or other measures
because transaction costs for switching the coalition are reduced. As a counter-
argument, the simulations also show that process standardization that only results
from cooperative sourcing activities might be insufficient to overcome a sub-
optimal system structure of too small coalitions or clusters. When standardiza-
tion takes place only in sourcing coalitions, an industry-wide homogenization
will fail to appear and a potential migration to or merger with larger clusters may
even become more aggravated.
16 Introduction
Managerial Implications
Apart from the contributions to research and theory development, the results of
this work yield several implications for practitioners who are responsible for
cooperative sourcing decisions and activities. The cooperative sourcing model
and the simulation routines provide a valuable tool for identifying promising
cooperative sourcing coalitions.
The major implications of the combination of empirical data and simulation
studies are:
Introduction 17
way and describes several client companies – often firms in the same industry –
that have the same need which can be met more efficiently by forming an alli-
ance for obtaining services from a single sourcing provider (bundling bargaining
power). Moreover, the term cooperative sourcing is already used in the German
logistics domain, where it is a synonym of consortium purchasing (Essig 1998).
With the increasing availability of innovative internet technologies and a
widespread adoption of the service-oriented paradigm (Beimborn and Weitzel
2003; Koch and Rill 2005; McGovern et al. 2006), the concepts defined above
will not be sufficiently distinguishable because the establishment of service pro-
vision will become more and more dynamic and flexible. For example, Currie
notes that many SMEs “are now shifting their strategies to BPO as the emer-
gence of web services will enhance integration of software applications across
business processes. Some of these firms may develop partnerships or alliances
and call themselves business service providers” (Currie et al. 2003). Conse-
quently, the concepts of outsourcing, cooperative sourcing and insourcing are
unified in this citation.
usually owned by cities, counties, or states. The cooperative sector and the public
savings sector are tightly organized within associations (BVR and DSGV4). Both
associations include large banks which provide special services for the smaller
and regionally operating savings banks and cooperatives (12 state banks or giro
centers in the public sector, DZ Bank and WGZ Bank in the cooperative sector).
Credit institutes can be divided into universal banks and specialized banks.
Universal banks offer all essential banking services as described by section 1 (1)
of KWG whereas specialized banks cover only some of these services (e.g.
mortgage banks, building and loan associations) (Sauter 2002). In terms of regu-
lation, all universal banks are treated equally; in particular, there is no legal im-
pediment to expanding a bank’s operations to other German regions. However,
“within the savings sector and within the cooperative sector a self-imposed prin-
ciple of regional demarcation holds, implying very little competition within these
sectors” (Lang and Welzel 1998, 70). Furthermore, the differences in legal forms
have consequences for the collection of equity capital, which in turn influences
the maximum credit volume permitted by law.
Some authors use the term universal bank in a process dimension rather than
in a product dimension (e.g. Polster 2001). In their understanding, a universal
bank provides the full range of business functions that are necessary to offer and
provide a particular banking product. In this work, we will refer to this concept
by the term fully integrated bank.
The German banking market predominantly consists of universal banks.
Historically, German banks have followed the business model of an omnipotent
and omnipresent service provider (Itschert and ul-Haq 2003, 127). This model is
linked to the principle of a house bank, which is a characteristic of the German
market. Customers often have only one bank, which provides all the services
they require (Kopper 1998, 49). German banks therefore try to offer a large
product portfolio. Moreover, in the 1990s, German banks were able to extend
their business to become all-round financial service providers. The main idea
underlying this strategy was that banks would be competitive in the future only if
they were able to offer a wide range of financial products to their customers, who
do not want to have multiple FSPs. Therefore, they also started offering non-
banking products such as insurances, building society savings, real-estate busi-
ness, etc. (Jasny 2001, 25; Schulte-Noelle 1998, 325). Figure 2 gives a quantita-
tive overview of the German banking market and shows the predominant posi-
tion of the universal banks.
4
Bundesverband der Deutschen Volksbanken und Raiffeisenbanken and Deutscher Sparkassen-
und Giroverband
24 Introduction
- Big banks (5) - Credit cooperatives - Public savings banks (457) - Real-estate credit e.g.
- Regional and other (1259) - State banks /giro centers (12) associations (22) - Deutsche Ausgleichsbank
commercial banks (217) -Deutsche Zentral – - Home loan banks (26) - Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau
- Branches of Genossenschaftsbank
foreign banks (138) - DZ Bank AG
This chapter provides the foundation for our research on cooperative sourcing. In
the first part (section 2.1), the theoretical foundation is developed from different
economic and organizational theories, while the second part (2.2) reviews the
application of these theories to the outsourcing phenomenon in earlier related
research on identifying the determinants of outsourcing decisions. Based on the
results of this chapter and the empirical data in chapter 3, the formal cooperative
sourcing model is developed in chapter 4.
tive for outsourcing research, the later articles extend this classification by the
social/organizational category.
o Economic theories:
o Production cost economics (PCE) (section 2.1.1)
o Transaction cost economics (TCE) (section 2.1.2)
o Agency theory (AT) (section 2.1.3)
o Theory of incomplete contracts (TIC) (section 2.1.4)
o Network effect theory (NET) (section 2.1.9)
o Strategic theories:
o Porter’s positioning framework (PPF) (section 2.1.5)
o Resource-based view (RBV) (section 2.1.6)
o Core competence view (CCV) (section 2.1.6)
o Organizational and social theories:
o Resource dependency theory (RDT) (section 2.1.7)
o Relationship theories (section 2.1.8)
Economic theories describe the impact of cost or other efficiency criteria to co-
ordinate economic agents (Cheon et al. 1995, 211) while strategic theories sup-
port the understanding of “how firms develop and implement strategies to
achieve a chosen performance goal” (Dibbern et al. 2004, 17), e.g. determining
and developing the strategic resources and competencies of the firm and gaining
a sustainable competitive advantage by positioning their business. Thus, they can
be applied to connect outsourcing decisions to the firm’s overall business strat-
egy (Lammers 2005, 14). Organizational/social theories have a meta-organiza-
tional focus and concentrate on dependencies and relationships between agents
(Dibbern et al. 2004, 17). In contrast to some of the articles cited above, the ana-
lysis will draw only on the resource dependency theory and on relationship theo-
ries, while ignoring other social theories that have been applied to outsourcing,
such as the power theory, in particular.
In the following, the theories are briefly introduced in general and then dis-
cussed with regard to their impact on sourcing decisions and consequences. The
theoretical foundation concludes with a synthesis of all discussed theories (sec-
tion 2.1.10), including a reflection on the main research objects – business func-
tions and cooperative sourcing – in light of the different theories.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 29
Prahalad and Hamel 1990). Comparatively higher economies of skill can result
from technology leadership or superior resource bundles (cf. section 2.1.6 on
RBV). Dynamic or ex post economies of skill are represented by a down-shift of
the cost function over time (Lamberti and Pöhler 2004, 21; Lammers 2005, 31).
This can happen both continuously by realizing learning effects5 (Porter 1985,
72+73) and step-wise by technology changes.
As a consequence, economies of scale and skill are interrelated. On the one
hand, economies of skill are, among others, dependent on scale. If the process
volume increases, unit cost reductions cannot only be realized in the short term
by fixed-cost degression or by reaching lower marginal cost regions of the cost
function but the increase also leads to stronger learning effects in the long term
(Ewert and Wagenhofer 2003, 167; Simon 1992) and therefore to a down-shift of
the cost function (Porter 1985, 74). On the other hand, economies of scale are
(co-)determined by economies of skill. For example, if learning effects or newly
acquired capabilities lead to a change of the shape of the production cost func-
tion towards (relatively) higher fixed costs, economies of skill will lead to even
greater economies of scale.
Assuming a constant output volume x over time (t)6, the relationship can be
expressed as follows:
wAvgPC w 2 AvgPC PC
0 and 0 with AvgPC and PC PC ( x, t )
wt wtwx x
Equation 2: Dynamic economies of skill (learning effects)
Economies of scope refer to the advantages resulting from the shared utiliza-
tion of common resources when it is less costly to combine two or more product
lines in one firm rather than handling them separately (Panzar and Willig 1977;
Panzar and Willig 1981). If an activity-oriented view of the firm is chosen,
economies of scope can also describe task interdependencies or linkages between
different business functions (Knolmayer 1993; Porter 1985), which are either
connected within a business process (vertical or process-oriented economies of
scope) or which belong to different business processes (horizontal or product-
oriented economies of scope). Economies of scope may result from re-using
resources in different activities (e.g. different organizational units having access
to centralized client data or employee knowledge applied in different process
steps), from the need to closely coordinate activities (e.g. time critical processes)
5
The learning effect in production economics was first discovered by Wright (1936). Argote
(1999) provides a comprehensive review of empirical studies on learning effects.
6
Otherwise, the production costs would be a function of cumulated process volumes over time
instead of the number of periods (t).
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 31
(Porter 1985), or from the easier and more effective optimization of business
processes which are composed of those business functions7.
7
The “fundamental principle of effective and efficient value chain modification” states that the
opportunities for improvement will increase disproportionally to the extension of the improve-
ment attempt of superior system layers. Furthermore, the relative optimization costs will decrease
(Pfeiffer et al. 1999).
32 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
Economies of scale are often considered to be one of the main reasons for
outsourcing. The service provider is expected to provide services at lower costs
by bundling similar processes of several firms, thereby reducing average costs
per unit (Cachon and Harker 2002; Gurbaxani and Whang 1991; Matiaske and
Mellewigt 2002; Schott 1997). By contrast, in the field of IT outsourcing, it has
often been argued that economies of scale could be reached sufficiently within a
single (large) firm (Bloch and Spang 2003; Dibbern et al. 2003; Earl 1996; Lac-
ity et al. 1996). The economies of scale argument alone therefore does not hold
because large firms still outsource some of their activities (Chabrow 2002;
Levina and Ross 2003; McDougall 2002).
A necessary precondition for realizing economies of scale in BPO is stan-
dardizing the business process or accepting a reference process (i.e. the standard)
which is provided by the sourcing provider (Rouse and Corbitt 2004; Wüllenwe-
ber et al. 2008).
Economies of skill, as another argument for outsourcing, result from core
competencies and superior learning effects of the provider (Langlois 1995; Pra-
halad and Hamel 1990). Economies of skill can be realized by the service pro-
vider because (from the provider’s perspective) the insourced business process
represents a primary process, i.e. his core business (Dibbern and Heinzl 2001).
The vendor firm’s strategy to be a cost leader will only be possible if it has lower
average costs (cf. section 3.5 (Porter’s positioning framework)). On the other
hand, a firm will tend to outsource a business function if it has a comparatively
high production cost function (Loh and Venkatraman 1992a). Due to increased
process volumes, the insourcer can realize even more learning effects. From the
outsourcer’s perspective, negative learning effects do also occur, the so-called
“organizational forgetting” (Conway 1959, Epple and Devadas 1991). Anderson
and Parker (2002) explicitly link outsourcing and the learning curve literature
into a formal outsourcing model.
Economies of scope, as defined above, can be inhibiting factors for selec-
tively outsourcing particular business functions since they might get lost and
result in severe interfacial costs (Bruch 1998). Various studies show the loss of
economies of scope to be a major problem of outsourcing (Bettis et al. 1992; Earl
1996; Kotabe 1992; Loh and Venkatraman 1992a). Links between different ac-
tivities often remain unrecognized unless a business function is outsourced (Lei
and Hitt 1995, 840). One of the main risk sources in IT sourcing is not ex ante
discovered technological indivisibility and interdependencies between informa-
tion systems and processes (Aubert et al. 2000; Earl 1996; Lee and Kim 2003).
Interdependencies increase information-processing costs (Emery and Trist 1965)
and can lead to a decline in organizational performance (Gulati and Singh 1998).
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 33
credit risk and to liquidity risk can be reduced by better diversification of assets
and liquid liabilities” (Hughes 1999)8. By contrast, larger banks can use this
diversification advantage to engage in larger risks, which would consequently
lead to stable risk costs (Hughes 1999; Hughes et al. 2001). Furthermore, this
argument only holds true for outsourcing credit refinancing but not for (the much
more common) outsourcing of credit processing and other repetitive tasks.
Economies of scale in the banking industry are mostly surveyed within
econometric banking efficiency studies. The focus of these investigations is on
“estimating an efficient frontier and measuring the average differences between
observed banks and [the efficient] banks on the frontier” (Berger and Humphrey
1997, 896). Primary estimation techniques are DEA (data envelopment analysis)
and comparable frontier approaches (Berger and Mester 1997, 905).
The level of economies of scale within most of these surveys only ranges
from 3% to 10% (Berger and Humphrey 1991; Hunter and Timme 1991; Hunter
et al. 1990), i.e. the bank’s product mix could be produced at minimum average
cost by increasing output by 3-10%.
Berger and Mester (1997) found substantially greater (potential) economies
of scale. According to their study, more than 90% of American commercial
banks operate below an efficient scale; they would have to be two to three times
larger in order to maximize the cost scale efficiency for their product portfolio
and the given input prices (Berger and Mester 1997, 926). Moreover, the results
differ for different classes of bank size. Larger banks show slightly larger unex-
ploited economies of scale, which is explained by the hypothesis “that larger
banks ($10 to $25 billion GTA) choose product mixes that are more conducive to
large scale” (Berger and Mester 1997, 926). Similar results were found by
Hunter and Timme (1995). By contrast, the same analysis of data from 10 years
before did not find any unexploited economies of scale (Berger and Mester
1997). Although the reasons are difficult to identify, the authors partly explained
this phenomenon with IT-related arguments such as improvements in technology
and information processing.
The differences between the studies that found only weak potential econo-
mies of scale in the banking industry (such as Berger and Humphrey 1991;
Hunter and Timme 1991; Hunter et al. 1990) and the ones that found substantial
economies of scale (such as Berger and Mester 1997; Hughes et al. 2001; Hunter
and Timme 1995) can generally be explained by the scope of the data used. In-
vestigations which neglected banks’ capital and risk structures often did not find
economies of scale, whereas taking them into consideration often lead to the
8
If the risk portfolio management captures different credit products of the bank and balances risks
among them, this argument will also account for economies of scope.
36 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
opposite result (DeYoung et al. 2001; Hughes et al. 2001, 2170; Tortosa-Ausina
2002, 200).
Studies on (product-oriented) economies of scope are quite uncommon for
the banking industry. At firm level, there is no empirical support for their exis-
tence (Amel et al. 2004). Some studies showed that universal banks which offer
a wide range of products were more cost-efficient than product specialists (Ber-
ger et al. 1996; Lang and Welzel 1998; Parsian et al. 1996; Vander Vennet
2002). “Nevertheless, there is a major difficulty in measuring economies of
scope at banking level, as the benchmark should consist of single product firms”
(Lammers 2005, 35) which usually do not exist in a pure form.
One of the main shortcomings of the econometric analyses introduced is the
firm level approach. Of course, there is usually no more detailed data available;
however, estimating economies of scale at firm level instead of doing investiga-
tions at the level of particular activities (and on the corresponding cost functions
from the banks’ accounting systems) obviously contains certain drawbacks. The
multi-product characteristics of banks, which include several business processes
with different degrees of automation etc., as well as different output definitions
throughout the banking industry are some of these drawbacks (Berg et al. 1992;
Berger and Humphrey 1997; Favero and Papi 1995; Tortosa-Ausina 2002). Only
an analysis of each of the bank’s activities enables management to evaluate the
production cost effect (economies of scale, skill, and scope) of sourcing deci-
sions (Bátiz-Lazo and Wood 1999; Canals 1994).
There are a few works analyzing production costs at process level. For ex-
ample, Schmiedel et al. (2002) analyzed the existence of economies of scale and
skill (efficiency improvements) in IT-intensive banking processes such as securi-
ties depository and settlement of equities. In both processes, they found econo-
mies of scale which would result in a cost increase of about 18% (securities
depository) or 70% (equities settlement) if the process volumes were doubled.
Learning effects and improvements in IT (dynamic economies of skill) reduce
costs by about 4.5% per year. Other surveys found significant economies of scale
in payment processing (Adams et al. 2002) and securities processing (Malkamäki
1999). The cost structure of these processes is dominated by fixed costs because
they are highly automated (IT) and the remaining HR is only necessary for moni-
toring the process and for exception handling (Schrauth 2004, 59). In the German
securities processing market, which is already quite consolidated (cf. section
3.4.2), there would be only a few further economies of scale. Bongartz found that
increasing the processing volumes of the large transaction banks listed in Table
13 (p. 143) by 50% would lead to average cost reductions of less than 10%
(Bongartz 2004, 51). Nevertheless, this does not disprove the hypothesis that the
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 37
Termination costs
long-term contracts being incomplete, which may require renegotiation and fre-
quent adjustments over time (Bahli and Rivard 2004; Pilling et al. 1994; Pisano
1990; Williamson 1985). Coase argues that the existence of uncertainty is a nec-
essary reason for the emergence of firms (Coase 1937).
In the context of long-term contracts, uncertainty can be classified into the
categories of technical uncertainty (not completely predictable development of
used resources or technology), task uncertainty (fuzzy and complex description
of tasks), and behavioral uncertainty (customers do not define their requirements
precisely enough and therefore frequently request changes) (Burr 2003, 114).
Finally, frequency describes the rate of a transaction’s recurrences. Transac-
tions that are processed frequently are more likely to be integrated within a firm
because specific investments become more justifiable if a transaction is carried
out more frequently (Burr 2003, 114; Coase 1937, 8; Lammers 2005, 25; Picot
1991, 347). However, there are also arguments that internal control costs rise
with increasing frequency, leading to external provision being efficient (Coase
1937, 390-403).
In addition to the basic transaction attributes of specificity, uncertainty, and
frequency, some authors add the criterion of nondisclosure needs of a transaction
object (Alchian and Woodward 1988). Furthermore, plasticity, which describes
the degree of difficulty in describing the transaction object and thus the extent of
discretionary scope, is named as an important driving force of transaction costs,
particularly in the context of IT, where huge opportunities for hidden action exist
(Monteverde 1995). Additionally, Monteverde (1995) supplemented the “extent
of unstructured non-technical dialogue” or “unstructured interaction degree”
which is necessary between the different parties involved. The problem here is
the difficulty of separating uncertainty (behavioral uncertainty when not com-
municating well enough) and human capital specificity, caused by specific in-
vestment in establishing company-wide shared communication codes. Further-
more, Picot (1995) adds “strategic relevance of the transaction” as a characteris-
tic which should be considered. Strategic relevant transactions are those which
allow a firm to differentiate its business from that of its competitors. Thus, Picot
incorporates concepts from Porter (section 2.1.5) and from the RBV (section
2.1.6).
Finally, TCE is based on two basic assumptions about the deciders’ decision
behavior: bounded rationality, explained above, and opportunism, “which refers
to the claim that humans act not only out of self-interest, but also with guile”
(Bahli and Rivard 2004, 177).
TCE compares different governance structures with regard to efficiency and
performance (Williamson 1985): market, hierarchy, and hybrids. While markets
are completely based on price mechanisms, hierarchy shows a coordination
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 41
partners’ interests. Incorporating and evaluating these factors could lead to com-
pletely different decisions than when focusing only on transaction costs (Burr
2003).
Some authors focus on Williamson’s concepts of market and hierarchy and
argue that there is conceptually no difference between them and that the notion
of authority has weaknesses. In a firm, the worst possible sanction is to fire
someone. However, the difference between firing a worker and “firing“ a sub-
contractor is not of a structural nature (Moore 1992). And on the other hand:
“Why should integration reduce ex post conflicts of interest and thereby amelio-
rate the hold-up problem[9]?” (Slater and Spencer 2000). Instead, Hoetker (2002)
argues that opportunism within hierarchies can be constrained much more effi-
ciently and effectively by the management; a greater legal burden on employees
compared with contractors (Masten 1988), and judicial forbearance, which re-
stricts access by employees to the courts to resolve internal disputes (Williamson
1991).
Another element of TCE which is often criticized is the concept of uncer-
tainty. Neither Coase nor Williamson precisely define this concept: Coase does
not specify risk and uncertainty at all while Williamson conflates both (Slater
and Spencer 2000). Williamson’s “approach posits a fully determined future, in
which there exists a known list of possibilities. Bounded rationality limits are
foreseeable such that efficient governance can always be implemented” (Burr
2003). Williamson (at least in earlier works) equates complexity (which leads to
bounded rationality) with uncertainty (Slater and Spencer 2000, 74-75).
Finally, one of the most relevant points of critique is the almost non-existent
operationalization and measurability of transaction costs. However, this point is
usually dealt with by establishing a relative cost analysis. Transaction costs are
simply compared for different organizational forms, e.g. for market vs. hierar-
chy. Relative dominance criteria replace the evaluation criterion of efficiency
(Moore 1992). Here, the costs of integration (hierarchy) are often given rather
scant attention (Geyer and Venen 2001, 33).
9
The hold-up problem describes a situation where two parties are able to work efficiently by
cooperating, but refrain from doing so due to concerns that they may give the other party in-
creased bargaining power (Klein et al. 1978).
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 43
lar, the role of human asset specificity was validated in (Aubert et al. 1996b) by
investigating why there are less software development outsourcing activities than
outsourcing of IT operations.
A further argument regarding the impact of specificity is the threat of ex-
post specificity, which can be created by the provider, leading to increasing costs
for terminating the outsourcing relationship (Monteverde and Teece 1982). By
contrast, studies also showed that, in special cases, specificity can increase out-
sourcing potential. Due to the specificity, both partners have to make specific
investments which reduce opportunism (Ang and Cummings 1997).
Within the IT outsourcing domain, an asset is specific10 if it contains a pat-
ented, self-developed technology or a proprietary innovation which is developed
by a third party but cannot be rebuilt and resold readily (Oh and Gallivan 2004,
6) or if it is cooperatively developed by the client and the vendor (Schott 1997,
3). Hence, the diffusion of standard software reduces the specificity of IT in
many areas (Englert 2000, 119/120; Schott 1997, 3), while hardware as such is
rather unspecific (Aubert et al. 1996b). The more an IT provider firm gets in-
volved in the provided business functions of the client firm (e.g. when develop-
ing, configuring, and operating business applications), the more it is able to raise
ex post specificity (Schott 1997, 14). In the IS domain, the main specificity driv-
ers are embedded business rules and human knowledge carriers. Based on Wil-
liamson, most IS functions (which regularly show low to medium factor specific-
ity) should be sourced via bilateral cooperation to legally independent firms,
based on relational contracts (Bahli and Rivard 2004; Pilling et al. 1994; Pisano
1990).
It is sometimes argued that modularization of processes and products will
lead to more outsourcing of services. Modularization decreases complexity and
(to a certain degree) specificity, making selective sourcing (Lacity et al. 1996)
more favorable and reducing the risk of opportunism by making it easier to
switch vendors (Hoetker 2002).
The second determinant for outsourcing from a TCE point of view is uncer-
tainty. If there is any uncertainty, contracts will be incomplete (cf. section 2.1.4)
and likely require renegotiation and frequent adjustments when unexpected con-
tingencies occur (Dibbern et al. 2003; Knolmayer 1993). As a consequence,
uncertainty decreases the advantageousness of outsourcing. In order to reduce
risks which evolve from the cooperation, the following risk reducing instruments
are suggested by TCE: (1) both should make specific investments to increase the
symmetry of the relationship, thereby reducing opportunistic behavior (hold-up
10
It should be noted that quantifying the specificity of IS (i.e. determining value and alternative
value of IS operations) is hardly possible. Determining the value of IS is still one of the most im-
portant tasks of IS research.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 45
problem) (Williamson 1985); (2) the sourcing provider is bound to the out-
sourcer by implementing “dedicated assets” (Krahnen 1991, 101) in order to
create contract-based specificity (Geyer and Venen 2001, 18; Sjurts and Stieglitz
2004).
Outsourcing IT services or business process operations requires the formula-
tion of detailed service level agreements and the implementation of dedicated
control mechanisms (Lancellotti et al. 2003; Marlière 2004b). This helps to re-
duce uncertainty and thus leads to lower transaction costs (Englert 2000,
119/120).
Empirical studies show that the implementation of interorganizational sys-
tems (IOS11) will lead to reduced coordination costs (Venkatraman 1991; Zaheer
and Venkatraman 1994), making cooperation more favorable. “This integration
could involve automation of exchange procedures and documents and the sharing
of applications and databases” (Grover et al. 2003, 222), which is especially
relevant in the IT-intensive banking industry. Based on this proposition,
Clemons developed and confirmed the “move to the middle” hypothesis, which
describes the impact of IT making cooperation relatively more favorable com-
pared to hierarchy and market (bilateral IT investments lead to closer and long-
term relationships) (Clemons and Reddi 1994; Clemons et al. 1993).
It is argued that low transaction frequency increases the opportunity of out-
sourcing, e.g. empirically validated in (Aubert and Patry 1998). However, par-
ticularly for IT outsourcing, frequency is not a relevant decision variable because
IT services are procured on a continuous basis (except in application develop-
ment) (Aubert et al. 1996a), and is therefore only considered in very few empiri-
cal studies on outsourcing (Aubert et al. 2003).
In a survey of the IT outsourcing activities of 50 firms, Barthélemy tried to
quantify transaction costs (Barthélemy 2001). He split them into search and
contracting costs, transition costs, and costs for “managing the effort” (i.e. costs
for controlling the insourcer and managing the relationship). While the respon-
dents were not able to evaluate transition costs, they could determine search and
contracting costs to be 3% of the IT outsourcing volume on average. Of course,
there are scale effects: a firm with a $500 million contract spent around 0.4% on
searching and contracting, whereas a firm with a $2.5 million deal spent around
4%. The same could be observed in the control and coordination costs. While
firms with small deals (under $10 million) spent 14% on average, medium deals
(between $10 million and $100 million) required costs of about 6%, and large
deals (over $100 million) only had control and coordination costs of 1% of the
11
IOS are defined as the technological means by which integration of multiple firms’ information
systems are carried out (Cash and Konsynski 1985; Johnston and Lawrence 1988).
46 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
total ITO volume. Barthélemy also showed that outsourcing experience signifi-
cantly reduces transaction costs.
Finally, the following points from Lacity and Willcocks show why TCE, in
particular, provides a useful theoretical framework for research in outsourcing
(Lacity and Willcocks 1995, 204):
o TCE specifically addresses sourcing decisions, i.e. the make-or-buy deci-
sion.
o TCE captures the widely-held perception that organizational members make
sourcing decisions based on an economic rationale (cf. section 2.2.2.1 on
outsourcing advantages).
o Practitioners often use a terminology consistent with TCE to explain why
outsourcing is predicted to reduce IT costs (e.g. “commodity service”)
o TCE has enjoyed an abundance of empirical and theoretical academic atten-
tion, suggesting that other researchers find this theory to be a useful interpre-
tation of organizational reality.
The principal agent theory (PAT) (Ross 1973; Spence and Zeckhauser
1971), as the normative strand of agency theory12, tries to determine efficient
contracts which solve this problem, i.e. encourage the agent to behave in the
principal’s interests. The choice between input-based or behavior-based contracts
(e.g. hierarchy, vertical integration) and outcome-based contracts (e.g. market,
vertical disintegration) depends on the related level of agency costs, which repre-
sents the result of discrepancies between the objectives of the principal and those
of his agent (Gurbaxani and Whang 1991, 61). Thus, agency costs are the sum of
the principal’s monitoring costs, bonding costs, and the residual loss – depending
on the uncertainty, task complexity, and measurability of the agent’s perform-
ance (Jensen and Meckling 1976; Levinthal 1988).
The principal has the option either to implement an information system to
reduce uncertainty, making the agent’s effort observable, or to contract on the
outcome to align the agent’s behavior. If uncertainty increases, this might be the
more expensive option. Basic models of PAT assume deterministic measurability
of the outcome (in appropriate time) although this is often not the case. Outcome
measurability problems lead to outcome-based contracts being less favorable.
Agency costs represent the difference between first and second-best opti-
mum. The first-best optimum represents the principal’s gain in the case of per-
fect information while the second-best optimum represents the result after taking
asymmetric information into account. The efficiency loss as difference between
first and second-best optimum represents the upper limit for spending in an in-
formation system (Levinthal 1988).
Optimal incentive-compatible contracts are determined by using formal
mathematical models (Ewert and Wagenhofer 2003; Milgrom and Holmström
1991; Rumelt 1995). PAT is highly abstract and mathematical, and therefore less
accessible to those who study organizations (Eisenhardt 1989). It aims to be a
general theory of principal-agent relationships, being applicable to employer-
employee, buyer-supplier, client-lawyer, and other relationships (Harris and
Raviv 1979).
12
Agency theory surfaced in two different branches (Williamson 1985, 27-28). The second strand,
positivist agency theory (Alchian 1950; Alchian and Demsetz 1972), or the nexus-of-contract
view of the firm, is “concentrated on modeling the effects of additional aspects of the contracting
environment and the technology of monitoring and bonding on the form of the contracts and or-
ganizations that survive. Capital intensity, degree of specialization of assets, information costs,
capital markets, and internal and external labor markets are examples of factors in the contracting
environment that interact with the costs of various monitoring and bonding practices to determine
the contractual forms” (Jensen 1983, 334-5). The common approach of this research strand is to
empirically identify situations in which principal and management interests diverge and to dem-
onstrate which mechanisms (a certain contract or implementation of an information system) will
solve this problem (Eisenhardt 1989).
48 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
Due to their analytical approach, the models developed are usually very ab-
stract and simple (mostly only one principal, one agent, and one period). Some
models display an agent’s performance over multiple periods (Holmström 1979;
Rogerson 1982) or implement incentive systems which are based on the output
from multiple agents’ work (Rumelt 1995). With longitudinal measures being
available, the variance of uncertain but observable output decreases and gives
more insight into the agent’s effort. If the relationship can be repeated over an
infinite number of periods, it could be shown, in terms of game theory, that the
first-best solution is achievable (Selten 1975). By incorporating concepts of
bounded rationality (see TCE, section 2.1.2.1, and Radner 1979; Simon 1955),
this phenomenon can also be transferred to a finite number of periods (Kreps et
al. 1982; Neymann 1985)13.
While moral hazard is the primary and basic focus of the majority of PAT
models, there are also approaches which deal with adverse selection and hidden
information in the context of budgeting or goal setting. In the first case, the prin-
cipal has to adjust the contract in a way that only the most competent (potential)
agents are attracted, e.g. by making the size of rewards and penalties for the
agent dependent on the success or failure of the outcome (Levinthal 1988). Goal-
setting problems can be avoided by having sufficient information about previous
results. The agent may be tempted to give inaccurate figures in order to be given
easily achievable future goals. The principal must beware of this (Levinthal
1988; Osband and Reichelstein 1985).
The most important propositions of agency theory, empirically validated by
multiple studies, can be summarized as follows (Eisenhardt 1989):
o If the contract between the principal and agent is outcome-based, the agent
is more likely to behave in the principal’s interests (reducing agency costs).
o If the principal has information to verify the agent’s behavior, the agent is
more likely to behave in the principal’s interest (reducing agency costs).
o Implementation of information systems leads to behavior-based contracts
being more favorable than output-based contracts.
o Outcome uncertainty leads to behavior-based contracts (and implementation
of an information system) being more favorable than outcome-based con-
tracts.
o Outcome measurability leads to outcome-based contracts being more favor-
able than behavior-based contracts.
13
One criticism of all of these models of repeated relationships is the assumption of independence
among periods. Intertemporal interdependence is introduced for risk-sharing and incentive pur-
poses but is not inherent in the structure of the models. For example, an agent’s activity may pro-
duce long-term effects. (Lambert 1983)
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 49
Apart from its extreme simplification and formalization, which prevents the
PAT being applicable to most prescriptive issues, agency theory as a whole is
criticized as being too narrow and trivial, having few testable implications
(Hirsch and Friedman 1986; Perrow 1986). In conclusion, authors call for more
application-oriented and context-embedded models (Levinthal 1988, 154), which
should incorporate a broader range of contract alternatives instead of the pure
dichotomy between behavior-based and outcome-based contracts (Eisenhardt
1989).
in the customer bank (Schott 1997). Other bonding activities such as implement-
ing one’s own control and logging systems or using standardized resources (to
facilitate an exit option for the outsourcer) are also common in order to raise the
outsourcer’s trust in the partnership.
As already discussed in the section on TCE, the implementation of interor-
ganizational information systems (IOS) leads to a reduction of coordination costs
(p. 45). From an AT perspective, these IOS represent (at least partially) the im-
plementation of monitoring capabilities which can reduce the risk of opportunis-
tic behavior.
Furthermore, the problem of hidden action might be significantly less prob-
lematic in the context of cooperative sourcing. Since the insourcing firm pro-
vides the same services to the outsourcers as well as to itself, an inherent congru-
ence of interests does already exist. Moreover, since the outsourcer in a coopera-
tive sourcing scenario knows a lot about the outsourced business function, the
level of uncertainty will be lower.
The formal models based on PAT show that the less risk-averse entity has to
bear the risk. For example, in the (hypothetical) case of a risk-neutral agent and a
risk-averse principal, PAT models suggest an incentive system which is similar
to selling the business area to the manager and letting the principal earn just a
fixed amount; which is simply another way of describing outsourcing (Shavell
1979). On the other hand, it can be shown that legal company types with access
to capital markets – in contrast to individual managers or share holders – are able
to act on a risk-neutral rationale because they can hedge any existent risk aver-
sion by capital market transactions14 (Ewert and Wagenhofer 2003, section 5.3).
Consequently, adopting formal PAT models to the outsourcing field leads to
limiting models to this special case of a two-sided risk-neutral principal/agent
relationship15.
In conclusion, the agency theory view of outsourcing hypothesizes the fol-
lowing relationships regarding the outsourcing decision (adapted taken from
Cheon et al. 1995):
14
If the following conditions are given (DeAngelo 1981):
spanning: the set of existing financial instruments, available at the capital market contains all pos-
sible cash flow structures which can be created by the firm’s own activities.
competitivity: static valuation system for market values (in a certain environment comparable to a
stable interest rate for maximizing net present value).
15
By contrast, it can be argued that all decisions within a firm are made by individuals who are risk-
averse (and their individual benefits are usually also directly related to the results of their deci-
sions). Nevertheless, this effect is ignored in this work since firms are considered as monolithic
entities in this research, regardless of internal governance structures.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 51
16
Being more precise, one must argue that length decreases agency costs per period but not overall
agency costs.
52 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
The theory of incomplete contracts (TIC) (Grossman and Hart 1986; Hart
1988; Hart and Moore 1990) is based on the same behavioral assumptions as
TCE (bounded rationality, opportunistic behavior) (Gietzmann 1996) and applies
the property rights concept in organizational contexts by using formal models to
identify situations that prevent the formulation of complete contracts as a conse-
quence of real-world complexity combined with bounded rationality (Gebauer
1996).
TIC argues that certain variables (e.g. efforts of the agent/insourcer) might
be observable by the parties but not verifiable by a third party, such as a court or
an intermediary (Bakos and Brynjolfsson 1993a). Therefore, contracts based on
the outcome of such variables are inappropriate.
Hart and Moore (1990) show that, if complete contracting is not possible,
optimal investment levels generally cannot be reached; thus only a "second-best"
outcome can be achieved. The parties involved have to divide the resulting out-
come of the relationship by ex post bargaining. This leads to the hold-up problem
because the agent is reluctant to make relation-specific investments in dedicated
assets when he has to fear ex post exploitation by the principal, who knows about
the specificity, and thus the decreased bargaining power of the agent. In this
case, the principal, in particular, has to implement mechanisms which build up
trustworthiness and reputation.
The completeness of a contract is assumed to be influenceable by the con-
tract parties. But, increasing a contract’s degree of completeness leads to higher
transaction costs. Uncertainty of a transaction directly refers to the inherent in-
completeness of the contract and high frequency increases the involved risk,
usually due to lower efforts and specific investments with unique transactions
(Aubert et al. 2003). Thus, contract incompleteness can be seen as an mediator in
the positive impact of uncertainty and frequency on transaction costs (cf. TCE,
section 2.1.2).
To safeguard against the threat of hold-up, deciders adopt relational con-
tracts. Relational contracts specify only general terms and objectives of a rela-
tionship as well as mechanisms for dispute resolution (Milgrom and Roberts
1992). They do not try to explicitly deal with of all future contingencies but are,
nevertheless, long-term arrangements (Furubotn and Richter 1998). Often they
include informal and unwritten agreements (Baker et al. 2002). The objective is
“to provide a framework for resolving unforeseen disputes and a social process,
based on norms of trust, mutuality, and solidarity” (Poppo and Lacity 2002,
256). Relational and formal contracts are interrelated in a substitutive as well as
in a complementary sense. The joint use of both mechanisms provides more
efficient outcomes (Poppo and Zenger 2002) but contract completeness can also
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 53
17
The relationship element represents the analysis object of relationship theories discussed in
section 2.1.8.
18
cf. also section 2.1.8 on relationship theories.
54 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
weaknesses and its particular activities (cf. section 1.5.1) compared with those of
its competitors. He develops two different basic positioning strategies (Porter’s
positioning framework, PPF), which are cost leadership and differentiation, and
he argues that only a sustainable, dominant position leads to competitive advan-
tage; otherwise it is only a temporary skimming of market opportunities.
Cost leadership can be defined as making a product or offering a service of
identical quality at lower costs compared with competitors. Cost leadership de-
pends on production costs and thus it is driven by economies of skill and scale as
well as by economies of scope (or “linkages” inside the firm) and, also by “verti-
cal linkages” between one’s own and one’s partners’ activities (Porter 1985,
70ff) (cf. section 2.1.1.1 on PCE). In order to determine the sources of cost ad-
vantage, not only the product itself but each part of the value chain of the firm
must be analyzed (Lammers 2005) to identify all relevant cost drivers. In addi-
tion, “absolute and relative costs will change over time independent of its [i.e.
the firm’s] strategy” (Porter 1985, 95). Therefore, drivers of cost dynamics must
also be taken into account (e.g. industry growth, differential scale sensitivity,
different learning rates, aging, etc.) (Porter 1985, 95-97).
As the second strategy, a “competitive advantage through differentiation can
be achieved if a company is able to serve specific needs of customers that are not
provided by other companies within the industry and for which the customer is
willing to pay a premium on the market price” (Lammers 2005, 17). Again,
competitive advantage can be achieved in every activity of the value chain.
In conclusion, the positioning framework makes it possible to structurally
analyze both the competitive environment and the internal strengths and weak-
nesses, to select one of two basic strategy types for each product and each market
the firm is operating on. Nevertheless, authors argue that the PPF is solely mar-
ket-oriented (i.e. outside-in perspective: the strategy that is enforced by the mar-
ket is adopted by the firm) and call for a complementary internal view (Barth
2003, 113) as provided by the resource-based view (section 2.1.6).
tive framework (Penrose 1959). The RBV introduces the concept of individual
and innovative assembling of firm resources and describes how the resources and
capabilities of a firm may contribute to its competitive success (Barney 1999;
Foss and Eriksen 1995, 54; Peteraf 1993). Resources are often defined as the
superset of assets (“anything tangible or intangible the firm can use” (Wade and
Hulland 2004, 109)) and capabilities (or skills, processes) (Sanchez et al. 1996;
Wade and Hulland 2004), including everything that is used or applied to generate
a product or a service. Barney (1991) groups firm resources into three categories:
physical resources, human resources, and organizational resources. He defines
the capability of a firm as its capacity to perform an activity as a result of orga-
nizing and coordinating the productive services of a group of resources. More-
over, if a firm possesses a certain capability which is superior to those of its
rivals, this capability becomes the firm’s competence (Tsang 2000). Wernerfelt
(1984) argues that resources and products are just two sides (input/output) of the
same coin.
The goal of assembling resources is to create a situation that strengthens the
firm’s position and impedes competitors from catching up. Resources in the
RBV’s sense are, therefore, only relevant if they have the following properties
(Barney 1991; Beimborn et al. 2005b; Grant 1996b):
o Valuable – Every business consists of resources that enable it to carry out
the necessary activities in order to produce goods or deliver services
throughout the value chain. While some of these resources might perform
adequately (or poorly), others must be superior if the business is to outper-
form its competitors (Day 1994). These “valuable” resources make a contri-
bution to the generation of "perceived customer benefits” (Prahalad and
Hamel 1990) and thus lead to competitive advantage (Foss et al. 1995; Por-
ter 1991). In a less strict sense, valuable resources cover everything which is
necessary to conduct the intended business.
o Rare – In order to be rare, a resource must be immobile and it should not be
(or only at prohibitive costs) reproducible.
o Imperfectly imitable – The non-imitability of resources is considered by
many authors to be one of the key factors of competitive advantage (Barney
1991; Grant 1991; Peteraf 1993; Prahalad and Hamel 1990; Rasche 1994;
Reed and DeFillippi 1990). For example, the reason for Penrose’s claim that
the firm’s accumulated pool of knowledge can be a source of sustained
competitive advantage is believed to be grounded in the nature of knowl-
edge, which is more “experience-based” than “objective” (Knudsen 1995),
thus making it difficult for other firms to imitate. Although Porter argues
that “barriers to imitation are never insurmountable” (Porter 1985, 20), the
height of those barriers is a determining factor in how contestable or how
58 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
sustainable the firm’s advantage will be (Reed and DeFillippi 1990). Reed
and DeFillippi consider tacitness, complexity and specificity of a firm’s
skills and resources as the generating factors for causal ambiguity which on
its part can raise barriers to imitation. In his discussion about factors which
influence the rents from resources, Grant considers limited replicability and
transferability of a resource position (due to geographic immobility, imper-
fect information, specific resources, and immobile skills) as being generators
of sustained competitive advantage (Grant 1991).
o Non-substitutable – A firm’s resources cannot be sources for sustained com-
petitive advantage if there are strategically equivalent valuable resources
that are themselves neither rare nor non-imitable so they can be imple-
mented by other firms (Barney 1991). Only capabilities which are difficult
to substitute either by similar or by different capabilities can be sources of
sustained competitive advantage and should be treated in the same way as
non-imitable resources.
o Interconnected – Apart from the “traditional” list of attributes required for a
resource, some works have introduced the property of interconnectedness of
a resource or a capability. Interconnectedness describes how “deep” a re-
source or capability is anchored into existing business processes (Beimborn
et al. 2005b; Grant 1996a). The more interconnections a capability is in-
volved in, the more complicated it will be to extract it out from an existing
context or even make simple changes to the capability itself.
One can argue that competitive advantage is realized by a valuable and rare
resource but that it is only sustainable if the resource is also imperfectly imitable,
and non-substitutable (Barney 1991, Teng et al. 1995).
The concept of a firm’s resources or capabilities can be extended to repre-
sent shared capabilities, also called industry capabilities. These are defined as
non-proprietary capabilities that are shared among a group of firms and may
yield rents, even in the absence of explicit coordination (Foss and Eriksen 1995).
The RBV “has led to a much improved understanding of firms’ diversifica-
tion strategies (Montgomery and Wernerfelt 1988) and of the underlying condi-
tions for sustained competitive advantage (Barney 1991; Peteraf 1993)” (Foss
and Eriksen 1995, 43). Empirical studies of firm performance using the RBV
have found differences not only between firms in the same industry (Hansen and
Wernerfelt 1989) but also within more granular industry segments. They imply
the effects of individual, firm-specific resources on performance being signifi-
cant (Mahoney and Pandian 1992; Wade and Hulland 2004). Further studies are
showing that the impact of firm-specific attributes on firm performance is more
important than industry factors. One interesting finding is that the differences in
the “long-term rates of return of firms within industries is five to eight times as
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 59
large as the variance in return across industries” (Rumelt 1981, 5; recited from
Venkatraman and Camillus 1984, 519).
The RBV is very closely linked to the core competence view (CCV). Core
competencies differentiate a firm from its competitors and form the base of sus-
tainable competitive advantage (Prahalad and Hamel 1990). Core competencies
are what make an organization ‘unique in its competitiveness’ (Quinn and Hil-
mer 1994; Stewart et al. 2002, 3). Characteristically, they provide potential ac-
cess to a wide variety of markets (or are applicable to multiple purposes), make a
significant contribution to perceived customer benefits, and are difficult to imi-
tate (Krüger and Homp 1997; Lammers 2005; Prahalad and Hamel 1990).
Researchers have tried to explain firm behavior and competitiveness in
terms of concepts such as capabilities (Collis 1996; Hoopes et al. 2003; Tsang
2000), competencies (Duhan et al. 2001; Sanchez et al. 1996), and knowledge.
Other authors additionally use the terms skills (Grant 1991), strategic assets
(Amit and Schoemaker 1993), assets (Ross et al. 1996), and stocks (Capron and
Hulland 1999) more or less synonymously. These perspectives are either based
on or closely related to the logic of the RBV. For example, if there are huge
overlaps between resources, firm capabilities, and competencies, a firm’s capa-
bility is defined as the capacity to “perform an activity as a result of organizing
and coordinating the productive services of a group of resources” (Tsang 2000,
216). If a firm can perform an activity better than its competitors, this capability
represents a competence (Prahalad and Hamel 1990). In RBV terms, this capabil-
ity is a valuable resource that can be used to gain competitive supremacy
(Barney 1991)19.
Since both RBV and CCV stress the need for firms to capitalize on their
unique assets and to develop management strategies to exploit the advantages
from strategically positioned resources, the terminology for both lines of thought
will be used in the remainder of this work, as also done in (Stewart et al. 2002,
3), for example.
RBV researchers acknowledge that a firm’s resources include its ability to
implement and exploit valuable IT functions (Barney 1991; Stewart et al. 2002,
2). The RBV, for example, has been used to explain the relationship between IT
and sustained competitive advantage (Clemons 1991; Clemons and Row 1991)
and the strategic role of the firm’s IT resources (Brynjolfsson and Hitt 1996;
Clemons 1991; Clemons and Row 1991; Sethi and King 1994; Wade and Hul-
land 2004). Other authors define a firm’s “information resource” as the actual
business-relevant information but also include the information systems that fa-
19
There is much discussion about the similarities and differences between these concepts. For more
information, see (Amit and Schoemaker 1993; Dierickx and Cool 1989; Stewart et al. 2002).
60 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
cilitate information access and acquisition (King and Grover 1991; Strassmann
1989; Teng et al. 1995).
Just like any other theory, the RBV is faced with a number of criticisms.
One major point of criticism concerns the RBV’s core result. Porter and other
authors claim that it involves circular reasoning: “successful firms are successful
because they have unique resources. They should cultivate these resources to be
successful” ((Porter 1991, 108), see also (Mosakowski and McKelvey 1997;
Tsang 2000)). When faced with the complexities of a real firm, it is often diffi-
cult to identify which of a firm’s resources are critical for its success. Often it is
a reverse argumentation: “once a firm is recognized as successful, the resources
behind the success are labeled as valuable” (Foss et al. 1995, 8). Moreover, the
difficulty in assessing the value of resources might be due to the fact that it is
impossible to measure them separately: “it may be a system of resources that
matters, not the individual resources taken separately” (Foss et al. 1995, 8).
Another item of discussion is the endogenous construct of the RBV which
focuses on the sustainability of competitive advantage without conceptualizing
competitive advantage itself (Barney 2001; Priem and Butler 2001). One solution
might be to use Porter’s framework to argue that competitive advantage is
achieved either by cost leadership or by differentiation (cf. section 2.1.5). This
would lead to the suggestion of integrating Porter’s strategic management
framework and the RBV (Mahoney and Pandian 1992), which include comple-
mentary aspects: “it is not possible to determine a competitive advantage by just
analyzing the internally developed resources” (Gewald and Lammers 2005, 3).
Finally, a minor point of criticism is the previously mentioned terminologi-
cal ambiguity when using concepts such as resources, capabilities, competencies,
etc. “This terminological ambiguity stems from the fact that the RBV is far from
a coherent perspective” (Tsang 2000, 216-217). A detailed critical discussion of
the RBV is given in (Foss 1998).
tence or not to a relevant resource in the RBV’s sense, can be outsourced. Out-
sourcing is thus only preferable if the resource is neither scarce nor imitable nor
non-substitutable. Otherwise the firm’s competitive position would be weakened
(Ang 1994; Stewart et al. 2002). Furthermore, to achieve efficiency, firms should
refocus on their core competencies (Barney 1991; McFarlan and Nolan 1995).
For resources that are not within this focus, outsourcing not only can be, but even
should be considered (Knaese 1996, 56-59; Quinn et al. 1990). Outsourcing
depends both on the resources’ attributes (value, rareness, imperfect imitability,
non-substitutability, interconnectedness) and on the relation of the resources to
the activity that is to be outsourced. The more distinctly these attributes are de-
veloped, the less favorable it is to outsource the activity. Thus, the outsourcing
decision can be formulated as the following relationship (Cheon et al. 1995;
Moore 1992):
Outsourcing of an activity = f(attributes of related resources)
Moreover, one can argue that cooperative sourcing in contrast to traditional
outsourcing (to third parties from different industries) will take place if the rele-
vant resources imitable, substitutable, and rather less interconnected, but also
valuable and rare. Subsequently, cooperative sourcing can lead to a joint industry
capability for the participating firms which, based on the cooperation itself, can
create unique characteristics which help to gain a sustainable competitive advan-
tage (Foss and Eriksen 1995; cf. the previous section). For example, higher proc-
ess volumes can lead to the development of a superior transaction system being
advantageous, which in turn will lead to the generation of unique competencies
resulting in cost leadership not only from economies of scale but also from supe-
rior capabilities (or “economies of skill” in PCE terms).
In the IT outsourcing context, Lacity et al. (1996) evaluate (IT) capabilities
regarding their contribution to business processing (critical or only useful) and to
business positioning (commodity or differentiator) and suggest capabilities
which are “useful commodities” be outsourced. In the case of critical commodi-
ties, outsourcing could also be an option after evaluating further criteria.
The strategically oriented RBV is often applied as complementary to the ef-
ficiency-based TCE (Astley 1985; Tsang 2000). Empirical works on B2B coop-
eration and outsourcing try to incorporate both as theoretical foundations. They
show that the explanatory power of organizational behavior will significantly
increase by applying this theoretical double lens. TCE focuses on the costs while
RBV recognizes the strategic value of a transaction (Tsang 2000).
Nevertheless, the application of the RBV to empirical outsourcing research
appeared rather late (Teng et al. 1995) and surprisingly seldom (Dibbern et al.
2004; Stewart et al. 2002) while efficiency reasons (cost orientation) were much
62 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
Cooperation strategies that help provide access to scarce and valuable re-
sources include controlling or acquiring other firms, cooperating with other firms
(e.g. joint ventures, outsourcing) or aligning with and linking to more powerful
organizations (Ulrich and Barney 1984, 472).
Pfeffer and Salancik describe three resource dimensions as critical in deter-
mining the external dependence of a firm on another (Pfeffer and Salancik 1978):
o Importance: extent to which the organization requires the resource for con-
tinued operation and survival
o Discretion: extent to which the interest group has control over the resource
allocation and use
o Alternatives: extent to which there are alternatives
The RDT only provides a complementary perspective for investigating or-
ganizational behavior. It neither takes into account any efficiency arguments as
TCE does (Sydow 1992, 198) nor does it incorporate a comparative internal view
of firm-internal resources as RBV does (Dibbern 2004, 35).
the life-cycle, i.e. how IORs emerge, grow, and dissolve over time (e.g. Ring and
Van de Ven 1994)
In order to conceptualize and to empirically investigate IORs, several au-
thors have suggested a set of determinants which are individually or collectively
responsible for the formation of IORs (e.g. Goles and Chin 2005; Oliver 1990).
Concepts from the various theories, including those discussed above (e.g. TCE,
RBV, and RDT), have been adopted:
o Necessity: Firms are required to form IORs to meet legal or regulatory re-
quirements (Porter and Fuller 1986).
o Asymmetry: Potential to exercise power or control over another organization
or its resources (Benson 1975; Pfeffer and Salancik 1978), not only for sta-
bilizing access to scarce resources but also to increase market power and en-
try barriers (Kogut 1988). Thus, a potentially weaker organization will
rather join an IOR when its competitive position is less likely to be eroded
(Oliver 1990). Hence, asymmetry represents both a driving force and an in-
hibitor to IORs, depending on the perspective.
o Reciprocity: Usually, relationship literature assumes that relationship forma-
tion is based on reciprocity. It is seen as the main reason and overall objec-
tive for IOR (Berg and Friedman 1981; Porter and Fuller 1986; Wöhe 1990,
199-200; Zhang and Liu 2005). “IORs occur for the purpose of pursuing
common or mutually beneficial goals or interests” (Oliver 1990, 244), e.g.
obtaining synergies in resources, technology, or information sharing. Recip-
rocity motives will be stronger if the bargaining position of the two partners
is balanced, i.e. not negatively influenced by one-sided specific investments
or the non-substitutability of a partner (Pfeffer and Salancik 1978; Porter
and Fuller 1986).
o Efficiency: This argument, adopted from economic theories, considers IORs
which are prompted by the attempt to improve efficiency (McConnell and
Nantell 1985).
o Stability: IORs serve as a strategy to forestall or absorb environmental un-
certainty (Kogut 1988; Pfeffer and Salancik 1978, 154). For example, risks
in entering new markets can be shared (Oliver 1990). Osborn and Hage-
doorn (1997) found that IORs “are more common in areas in which firms
face daunting technological challenges”.
Many authors classify types of cooperation as either efficiency-oriented
(synergies) or strategy-oriented (e.g. bundling market power) (Afuah 2003, 36;
Picot et al. 1999, 163ff). Relationship theories are a layer which is orthogonal to
the theories discussed earlier. While those mainly focus on theorizing the reasons
for reshaping the firm’s borders to be either economically reasoned (PCE, TCE,
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 67
20
Forbearance is defined as forgoing certain behavior that is not in the best interest of both parties
(Marcolin and Ross 2005, 33). (Footnote is not part of the citation.)
21
A comprehensive list of fundamental works in the literature of relationships and the concepts and
dimensions used can be found in (Kern 1997, table 2+3). Goles and Chin (2005) give a more ac-
tual overview about the different items used in the analysis of IORs.
68 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
CashGroup of DeuBa, DreBa, PoBa, CoBa, etc), shared self service centers (in
particular between public savings banks and credit cooperatives), or the coopera-
tive sourcing alliances in the transactions business22.
22
Cf. section 3.4.2 on the market for payments and securities processing. Some of the transaction
banks represent coopetitive relationships within and even between the three sectors of the banking
industry.
23
In the literature on standardization research (i.e. why and how a network of autonomous agents
decides to adopt a common technology/standard), this is called the “standardization problem”
(Weitzel et al. 2006; Wiese 1990, 1)
72 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
Margolis 1999; Weitzel et al. 2000). The “scrupulous and implicit simplifica-
tions” (Wiese 1990, 101) of most network effect models make them essentially
useless for deriving concrete managerial implications. For example, the prevail-
ing propensity to monopolization (networks tipping into monopoly) cannot cope
with the co-existence of different IT products, despite strong network effects
(e.g. server market, EDI networks) (Westarp 2003). One important reason for
these problems is the (mostly implicit) assumption of continuously increasing
homogeneous network effects (Liebowitz and Margolis 1995); another is the
structure and properties of connections between the agents (e.g., information
flow linkages, social and historical ties, competition, group membership, etc.)
(Coleman et al. 1957; Goldenberg and Efroni 2001; Westarp 2003).
rated the critical mass argument as one of several determinants for ASP adoption
into their conceptual work.
Since the sourcing decision of other firms is generally not known ex ante (or
can be changed in future), the decider has to make assumptions about the others’
behavior, considering that their behavior is based on assumptions about their
own behavior as well. Chapter 4.4 will present a model which applies mecha-
nisms of making individual assumptions from analytical approaches which are
based on NET.
Selecting the optimal sourcing coalition is a major problem because change
costs (transaction costs for switching to another coalition or backsourcing) for
BPO are quite large. This can lead to a lock-in into the chosen state although it
might become sub-optimal.
too small, the outsourcing decision itself has to be reconsidered. The last column
summarizes the decision determinants discussed in the previous sections.
Efficiency or Internal or
Research
strategy- external Decision determinant
question
oriented focus
PCE, i.e. the costs related to coordination and exchange, while RDT takes into
account the outside-in view of the strategic perspective by not investigating the
resources of the firm but the resource gaps which have to be filled (from outside)
to stabilize the competitive position. Similar derivations come from Porter’s
framework. The NET incorporates the decision behavior of potential and existing
partners into the decision function.
The TIC and the relationship theories basically examine the design of an ef-
ficient and effective partnership mode. If the likelihood of failure is expected to
be too high (e.g. if the degree of competition between the potential partners is too
high and cannot be managed adequately), this will also be crucial for the initial
outsourcing decision.
In conclusion, the following nomological model captures the relationships
derived in the previous theory sections. For PPF and RT, a simplified representa-
tion has been chosen to reduce visual complexity.
contract completeness
agency costs transaction costs
relational governance
AT TIC TCE
PCE NET
(value, rareness,
imperfect imitability,
substitutability, RT
interconnectedness)
R/CBV resource gaps
(importance, discretion, strategy type** reciprocity, trust,
alternatives, strategy) contract duration
RDT PPF
*= Simplified representation: **= Strategy type moderates the impact
concentration,
forbearance impacts anticipated of the other factors (cf. section 3.5.2).
munificence,
outsourcing success, which in turn This representation has been
interconnectedness
affects the outsourcing decision. chosen for reasons of simplification.
will be discussed from an empirical perspective. The end of section 2.2.2 pro-
vides the mapping of these items to the corresponding theoretical arguments
(Table 3 and Table 5 on page 85 and 92, respectively).
Finally, the question remains whether a combination of these theories can be
applied to the units of analysis, which are the business functions as sourcing
objects and cooperative sourcing (of these business functions) as the correspond-
ing action alternative.
Network effect theory does not focus on business functions but on network
effect goods. Nevertheless, the participation in a cooperative sourcing alliance
deals with a very similar type of externality if the service provision of the coop-
erative sourcing instance is seen as the “good” in demand. For our requirements,
this view provides a valuable complementary perspective. Although NET has not
yet been adopted to the domain of outsourcing research, similar steps are done
both in organizational acceptance models (which substitute a technology to be
adopted by an outsourcing decision) (Gewald and Lammers 2005) and in the
theory of innovation diffusion, which originally also focused on diffusion of
technology or other goods and has already very early been adopted to outsourc-
ing research (outsourcing as an organizational innovation) (Loh and Venkatra-
man 1991; cf. also Hu et al. 1997).
Porter in his positioning framework focuses directly on business functions as
we understand them. Based on the value chain concept, Porter presumes that
activities are more or less encapsulable and can be unbundled to reconfigure the
system of (existing and potential) activities in order to strengthen a firm’s com-
petitive advantage (Porter 1996).
The resource-based view, core competence view, and resource dependency
theory all have employed a concept of resources, capabilities, or competencies
although they are often criticized for not defining and demarcating these terms
precisely. Business functions, in turn, deploy resources (or assets, capabilities,
competencies), otherwise the latter would offer no value to the firm (Ray et al.
2004). Thus, the units of analysis of these theories are resources but they have to
be deployed in activities in order to result in a competitive advantage (Lammers
2005). For simplification, we will conceptually encapsulate resources in the
corresponding business functions, as is also done in (Lammers 2004; Beimborn
et al. 2005b). This ignores the fact that resources might be employed by different
business activities (leading to economies of scope), which is a limitation of our
approach that will be discussed later on.
Finally, relationship theories focus on the development of the relationship
itself, rather masking the object of the relationship. As argued above, in the
work on hand relationship theories will provide only complementary comments
on whether to outsource a business function or not.
In summary, it can be argued that the applied theories sufficiently employ
consistent and complementary views on business functions as unit of analysis
and are well suited to form the foundation for this research work.
of the chosen theoretical lenses have a primary focus on the relationship between
several business entities, two of them (PCE, RBV/CCV) follow more of a firm-
internal perspective. Nevertheless, PCE in its classical form already discusses the
bundling of the production of similar output (economies of scale). Cooperative
sourcing of business functions from different firms is a natural extension of this
concept.
The RBV/CCV as well as RDT give suggestions about outsourcing particular
business functions but, in their basic form, do not explicitly consider cooperative
sourcing as a separate governance mode. However, in addition, Foss and Eriksen
(1995) extended the capability concept to “industry capabilities” which represent
non-proprietary capabilities that are shared among a group of firms. Although
this concept does not actually require the explicit coordination of firms, it can be
mapped onto cooperative sourcing if opportunities which result from the bundled
processing volumes are exploited to generate superior capabilities (e.g. higher
degree of automation).
TCE has often been applied to outsourcing research and it will be similarly
helpful with cooperative sourcing, which has no propositions that are structurally
different. Similar conclusions can be derived for AT and TIC. We can expect less
threat of opportunistic behavior from an agency-theoretical perspective, since
cooperative sourcing usually implies incentive-congruent behavior. Moreover,
cooperative sourcing of business functions will lead to a homogenization of
those processes and, consequently, to less inherent contract incompleteness (cf.
section 2.1.4.2). However, business risks might be evaluated differently if the
cooperative sourcing relationship is between competitors.
NET, if applied to the sourcing of business functions, directly addresses the
issue of cooperative sourcing because it subsumes the use of the same “good” by
different entities.
Strategic management theories such as PPF do not explicitly address out-
sourcing questions. Outsourcing as well as the special form of cooperative sourc-
ing remain one of various options to strengthen or to stabilize the competitive
position of the firm.
Finally, RT directly address the topic of forming an interorganizational rela-
tionship, be it an alliance, a joint venture, or even a coopetive partnership. They
help determine and design the optimal governance mode.
Cooperative sourcing can be described as horizontal and vertical coopera-
tion. Since similar processes are merged, the relationship is basically horizontal.
However, because one bank now provides services which are used within an-
other bank’s value chain, the relationship can also be described as vertical. Since
we did not adopt a process perspective in this work (i.e. we did not explain how
the business functions are structurally interrelated) and therefore do not have to
80 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
2.2.1 Overview
There has been research on outsourcing in the scientific literature for more than
15 years. Since the early 1990s, IT outsourcing has become a major research
24
In unregulated markets, there is always a potential threat of competition between cooperating
firms. Knowledge transfer can always lead to the opportunity of entering the partner’s market.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 81
topic esp. in the IS discipline. Although the work in hand focuses on BPO which
shows fundamental differences to IT outsourcing (Dibbern et al. 2004, 9; Will-
cocks et al. 1996), many results can be transferred and represent the closest area
of related research. In fact, recent works on BPO stem from the IS discipline,
adopting and adapting the concepts and models developed there (e.g. Beimborn
et al. 2005a; Currie et al. 2003; Franke and Gewald 2005; Ganesh and Moitra
2004; Mani et al. 2006; Rouse and Corbitt 2004; Willcocks et al. 2004).
In order to get an overview of the outsourcing research of the last decade,
the interested reader is referred to the literature survey of Dibbern et al. (2004).
Based on Simon’s (1960) Decision Making Model, the authors developed a sche-
me which allows the classification of outsourcing research relating to the re-
search question and the stage of the outsourcing process, respectively (Figure 7).
Simon 1960 Application of
Decision Outsourcing Outsourcing
Making Model Stages Stages
-Determinants
Phase 1: Decision Process
Outsourcing alternatives:
-Degree of ownership
Design What
-Degree of outsourcing
-Vendor selection
-Relationship building
Implementation
Phase 2:
Implementation How
-Relationship management
Outcome -Experiences/learning
-Types of success
-Determinants of success
25
E.g., Hirschheim and Lacity (2000), Loh (1994), and Reponen (1993) combined both research
questions for why to outsource and outcome of outsourcing.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 83
these factors are not unique to IT outsourcing and thus “may be realized in out-
sourcing other forms of resources” as well (Teng et al. 1995, 78).
Impacts of outsourcing – positive as well as negative – can be classified in
terms of two dimensions. One is time while the second refers to the basic objec-
tive (economic/efficiency vs. strategic reasons).
temporal perspective
short-term mid-term long-term
fixed cost
variabilization
business performance
objective
improvement
quality improvement
Table 3 summarizes the reasons for outsourcing from the scientific litera-
ture’s perspective, including the theoretical base from section 2.1 and (positivist)
empirical support26 from outsourcing research.
Increased service quality, Resource gaps (Apte et al. 1997; Clark et al. 1995; (Cheon et al.
Grover et al. 1994; Lancellotti et al. 1995; Cross
reducing processing time (RDT) 2003; Teng et al. 1995) 1995)
Resource gaps
Access to superior skills (RDT), Envi- (Apte et al. 1997; Loh 1994;
(Cross 1995;
and resources, reduction ronmental McLellan et al. 1995; Nelson et al.
Huber 1993)
of technological risks (techn.) uncer- 1996)
tainty
Strategic
Increased technological Resource gaps (Apte et al. 1997; McLellan et al.
and process flexibility (RDT) 1995; Slaughter and Ang 1996)
Core competence focus / Resource
(Smith et al.
increased business properties (Slaughter and Ang 1996)
1998)
flexibility (RBV/CCV)
Table 3: Desired outcomes of outsourcing and theoretical foundation
Other drivers for outsourcing, not necessarily being perceived as advantages,
are the institutional pressure from major players or federal regulators (Ang and
Cummings 1997) and the outsourcing behavior of other market players (“band-
wagon effect”, Lacity and Hirschheim 1993b; Loh and Venkatraman 1992b;
Rouse and Corbitt 2004). The latter describes outsourcing decisions influenced
by competitors’ decisions (imitative behavior) and was empirically shown in by
Loh and Venkatraman (1992b). The theoretical foundation is provided by the
26
All of the listed works have successfully tested for a positive relationship between the factor or
desired outcome and outsourcing potential or degree of outsourcing.
27
Conceptual works (e.g. classifications, decision support models, construct development) and case
studies
86 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
innovation diffusion theory (Parker 1994; Teece 1980a), while institutional pres-
sure is covered by the institutional theory (DiMaggio 1988; Jepperson 1991;
Powell 1991).
Finally, it should be mentioned that the different drivers are interrelated and
often stand in causal relationships. As one example, access to superior skills is
often used as an argument for predicting cost advantages from outsourcing
(economies of skill).
Two different approaches can be used in order to determine the relative im-
portance of the different outsourcing arguments: The first is directly asking out-
sourcing decision makers, which is the method used in many studies by experts
and consulting firms. Although the relative importance of outsourcing reasons is
always based on the type of outsourcing object (e.g. IT vs. secondary vs. primary
business process) and on the type of firm (type of industry, large vs. small firm),
the primary reason for outsourcing is usually cost saving (Ang and Straub 1998;
Dibbern et al. 2003; Lacity and Willcocks 1998). Although numerous researchers
contrarily argue that cost savings are not the main benefit of outsourcing (Beau-
mont and Costa 2002; Saunders et al. 1997, Gewald and Dibbern 2005), they are
still the critical factor when it comes ex ante to evaluating an outsourcing deci-
sion and ex post to measuring and determining outsourcing success (Ang and
Straub 1998; Lacity and Willcocks 1998; Lee 2001; Lee and Kim 1999). Decid-
ers usually have to calculate a positive business case before suggesting outsourc-
ing a certain activity. Consequently, a study on outsourcing in the European
banking industry (Pujals 2005) found cost savings to be the dominating outsourc-
ing reason (cf. Table 4). After costs follows focusing on core competencies and
access to superior resources. Table 4 shows the results of three exemplary de-
scriptive studies on IT outsourcing (Landis et al. 2005; Schott 1997) or outsourc-
ing in general in the banking industry (Pujals 2005).
A second approach to determining the importance of outsourcing arguments
measures the effect of outsourcing decisions (and their reasons) on the value of
the outsourcing firms. It is argued that, although this is more objective, this ap-
proach is weaker because stock price volatility is subject to many other influ-
ences and activities of the overall firm that may neutralize the effect of a singular
outsourcing decision. Peak et al. (2002) showed that capital markets react posi-
tively to outsourcing initiatives that are aimed at getting access to superior skills
and resources, while they are indifferent to those whose motivation was improv-
ing service quality or focusing on core competencies. Oh and Gallivan (2004)
showed that there were no market reactions when the published rationale for
outsourcing was cost advantage.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 87
periodical transaction
transaction
costs for coordination,
costs for backsourcing or
monitoring, re-negotiation
efficiency/ start-up transaction costs changing provider
(incl. risk of hidden costs)
for evaluation,
economic negotiation, migration under-performance
(incl. risk of hidden costs)
(loss of quality)
objective
scope diseconomies
about “cost escalation” (Lacity and Hirschheim 1993, 1995). The outsourcer
loses control over the sourcing relationship with related costs and services.
Finally, in the long run, costs for backsourcing or changing the provider
might occur, which are higher the longer the outsourcing relationship spans
(Peng and Wenhua 2004).
Besides periodical transaction costs, mid-term impacts include a loss of
economies of scope (cf. section 2.1.1) and of alignment between internal and
outsourced organizational units, resulting in interface costs, friction loss, and
coordination problems (Bettis et al. 1992; Kotabe and Murray 1990; Picot et al.
2001). In fact, these can also be integrated into the transaction cost construct.
Generally, it can be shown that outsourcing due to diseconomies of scope often
leads to an overall loss of a firm’s performance (Accenture 2002; Bahli and Ri-
vard 2003).
While it can be argued that outsourcing has a positive impact on flexibility
(cf. section 2.2.2.1), the opposite can be found as well (Beimborn et al. 2006a).
Standardization of services by the provider inevitably leads to more efficiency at
the cost of flexibility (Levina and Ross 2003). Not all the requirements and
change requests of a single mandator can be considered. Modular and flexible IT
systems may mitigate this because they allow more individual customization.
Further, in the mid term a loss of quality caused by agency problems be-
tween the insourcer and the outsourcer can occur (Gurbaxani and Whang 1991).
Since SLAs cannot be sufficiently defined (incomplete contracts, cf. section
2.1.4) and controlled for every particular task, the relationship is vulnerable to
moral hazard28 (cf. section 2.1.3.2 and Lacity et al. 1996). The agency problem
gets worse when the outsourcing firm has a weak management, which actually is
often a reason for outsourcing. If the firm’s own management is incompetent, the
task of designing SLAs and control measures, which should be done by know-
how carriers in the relevant domain, will be carried out even more inadequately
(Accenture 2002; Earl 1996; Petzel 2003). The opportunistic behavior of the
provider can furthermore lead to confidentiality problems. In certain circum-
stances, the provider might be tempted to use accessible, but sensitive data (in IT
outsourcing as well as in BPO) for their own purposes (Earl 1996; König and
Beimborn 2004).
Loss of quality can also be caused by bad alignment. If there are marked cul-
tural differences between the outsourcer and the insourcer, there can be a lack in
shared knowledge regarding the mandator’s business and related problems (Lac-
ity et al. 1996). Thus, problem-solving processes and improvement tasks are
28
Of course, moral hazard is not only a problem of interorganizational relationships.
90 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
difficult to handle in this relationship. Besides a loss of quality, this can result in
increased operational risks that cannot be dealt with as effectively as in-house.
In the long term, outsourcing-related risks turn out to be the loss of in-house
competencies (Bahli and Rivard 2003; Bettis et al. 1992; Khosrowpour et al.
1995; Martinsons 1993; Quinn and Hilmer 1994) and, as a consequence, depend-
ency on the service provider’s capabilities (Alexander and Young 1996; Aubert
and Patry 1998; Lacity et al. 1996). This problem of lock-in, caused by high
backsourcing costs and lost competencies, becomes even more damaging if the
provider turns out to be less capable (e.g. inexperienced staff, outdated technol-
ogy skills (Earl 1996)) of providing services than assumed ex ante (problem of
adverse selection) (Aubert and Patry 1998; Dess et al. 1995).
By outsourcing its competencies, a firm trims its own strategic flexibility.
Even a commoditized activity can become strategically important in the future
and needed to exist within the firm. If outsourcing is not reversible, substantial
problems can occur (Lacity et al. 1996). Therefore, an outsourcing strategy
should always be built on previous business process modularization and optimi-
zation activities to alleviate future backsourcing and to sustain strategic flexibil-
ity.
Beside economic and strategic outsourcing disadvantages, there are further
outsourcing inhibitors such as legal and regulatory constraints (cf. section 3.5) as
well as social problems like low organizational performance from demoralized
staff (Orton and Weick 1990; Rouse and Corbitt 2004).
Table 5, which is based on (Aubert et al. 2005), summarizes this section on
outsourcing inhibitors by mapping the different factors to the theoretical back-
ground in section 2.1. Again, the reader should be aware that the different inhibi-
tors are strongly interrelated and often affect one another. As in Table 3, the right
hand columns give references to conceptual and empirical work which validate
the negative impact of the discussed arguments on outsourcing. Surprisingly,
(positivist) empirical analyses of outsourcing inhibitors are much rarer, com-
pared to those of the outsourcing reasons referred to in Table 3.
Theoretical Foundation and Related Research 91
29
Conceptual works (e.g. classifications, decision support models, construct development) and case
studies
92 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
30
Operational problems during the transfer period
94 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
might be especially parlous because the insourcing firm is able to get an insight
into data and contextual and strategic concerns of the outsourcer. Be this as it
may, this scenario will probably lead to fewer cultural problems between in-
sourcer and outsourcer because both stem from the same industry (Lancellotti et
al. 2003). Employees of both firms have the same understanding of their business
and of the problems that have to be jointly solved. Furthermore, if the processes
are cooperatively, sourced, problems of opportunistic behavior which result in a
loss of quality will be less relevant since the insourcer firm will provide the ser-
vices to itself as well.
The next section will provide a small meta-study of BPO advantages and
disadvantages.
for the relevance of the different items. Similar word count approaches have
been used in information retrieval (Drori 2003; Yang et al. 2005) and qualitative
research in social and medical disciplines (Malterud 2001, 487). Empirical stud-
ies have shown the relevance of a term being related to the frequency with which
it appears in a document (Salton and McGill 1983)31.
Journal (Feeny et al. 2005; Fröschl 1999; Lancellotti et al. 2003; Nag 2004;
A: Scientific articles Willcocks et al. 2004)
literature (peer- (Beimborn et al. 2005a; Dayasindhu 2004; Franke and Gewald 2005;
reviewed) (13) Conference
Ganesh and Moitra 2004; Gewald and Hinz 2004; Kshetri and William-
proceedings son 2004; Peng and Wenhua 2004; Rouse and Corbitt 2004)
Book (Halvey and Murphy Melby 2000)
B: Scientific (Alt and Zerndt 2005a+b; Dillmann and Sioulvegas 2003; Grebe et al.
literature and Journal 2003; Herrmann 2004; Kiely 1997; Klaemmt 2003; Margulius 2003;
technical litera- articles Namasivayam 2004; Rebouillon and Matheis 2004; Riedl 2003; Rusch
ture (not peer- 2003; Schneider Traylor 2003)
reviewed) (16) Working
(Feeny et al. 2003; Katre 2005)
papers
(Disher et al. 2004; Friend et al. 2002; Knowledgestorm 2004; Linder et
C: Consulting/analyst studies (7) al. 2002; N.N. 2002b; Snowdon 2004; Tornbohm 2005)
Table 7: Literature used in the analysis
The analysis shows that in all groups the most important argument again
turns out to be cost savings, followed by the less important argument of core
competence focus.
Group A Group B Group C
Number Avg. Number Avg. Number Avg.
Rank Reason Rank Reason Rank Reason
of papers ranking of papers ranking of papers ranking
31
Lebart et al. (1997) give an introduction to the different methods of statistical text analysis.
96 Theoretical Foundation and Related Research
upindi and Bassok 1999; Lee and Whang 2002; Lippman and McCardle 1997;
Plambeck and Taylor 2001; Spulber 1993; Van Mieghem 1999). The models
differ in their assumptions about exogenous vs. endogenous and deterministic vs.
stochastic parameters, available strategies to choose from, degree of competition
between the potential partners, and information available to the parties. The
models are used to develop mechanisms for allocating the cooperation gain
which lead to stable partnerships (cf. the game-theoretical analysis in section
5.1).
2.2.4 Summary
This chapter gave an overview of previous research regarding the question why
or why not to outsource. Based on the theoretical derivations in section 2.1, em-
pirical research works on IT outsourcing have been briefly reviewed showing
that the main reasons for outsourcing are cost savings and variabilization, core
competence focus and access to superior technologies (section 2.2.2.1) while
major inhibitors prove to be hidden transaction costs and the risk of lock-in into a
sub-optimal sourcing location (2.2.2.2). The short analysis of the sparse literature
on BPO (2.2.2.3) reveals that the results from ITO research can mostly be trans-
ferred to this related domain. Only the impact of hidden transaction costs seems
to be less important in this new field, explained by two possible reasons. First,
BPO might be less difficult in terms of cutting whole business functions out of a
firm because the close relation between IT and business does not have to be cut
interorganizationally. Second, maybe even these recent studies of BPO show the
same lack of awareness of the risk of hidden costs as in the early years of IT
outsourcing.
Preparatory to the development of the formal cooperative sourcing model in
chapter 4, the last section (2.2.3) summarized the few existing formal works on
outsourcing.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 99
The aim of this chapter is to provide insights into the chosen application domain
and to clarify the motivation behind selecting cooperative sourcing behavior in
the banking industry.
There is lot of discussion that German banks are being confronted with mul-
tiple problems which endanger their competitiveness (e.g. Dombret and Kern
2003; Koetter et al. 2004). Driven by these structural issues, which will be high-
lighted in the following sections, banks are starting to follow the principles of the
common hype term industrialization, incorporating strategies such as process
automation, vertical disintegration, horizontal integration, standardization, and
modularization of their business. Their aim is to achieve international competi-
tiveness through cost efficiency, increased flexibility and differentiation (Eng-
stler and Vocke 2004; Licci 2003; Linn 2005).
Starting with a discussion and empirical evidence relevant to the general
problems facing German banks, this chapter will gradually zoom in on the cho-
sen research object of cooperative sourcing in the banking industry. Since the
credit business is the empirical application domain of this thesis, the chapter will
focus particularly on this particular business domain.
The chapter is structured as follows: section 3.1 gives an actual overview of
the current situation in the German banking industry as well as of the ongoing
“industrialization” activities. Based on this, section 3.2 analyzes normative litera-
ture regarding a possible future configuration of the banking industry (segmenta-
tion models). Section 3.3 focuses on the particular banking business of granting
and processing loans. Credit products are classified, followed by a process view
that applies the general segmentation models to the credit business. Section 3.4
summarizes the current outsourcing activities in the banking industry with a
particular focus on credit process outsourcing while section 3.5 completes the
picture with a brief discussion of the legal and regulatory issues governing out-
sourcing and cooperative sourcing in the financial industry.
100 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Subsequently, section 3.6 presents our own empirical evidence of BPO and
particularly of cooperative sourcing in the credit business. Based on empirical
studies with German banks, the status quo and potential of credit process out-
sourcing is analyzed. BPO drivers and inhibitors, discussed in the theory chapter
(esp. section 2.2.2) are compared with empirical data and the various process
characteristics which are relevant to the outsourcing potential are explored.
32
ROE represents the return on a bank’s equity, i.e. profit related to equity (including reserves).
33
CIR is a measure for evaluating a bank’s cost efficiency. It results from dividing operating ex-
penses by operative income (= interest surplus, commission surplus, and trade surplus).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 101
45
unweighted mean
weighted mean
Estonia
40
Return on Equity (ROE)
35
Hungary
Slovakia
30 Latvia
25 Belgium
Luxemburg
unweighted mean Spain Sweden France Romania
20
UK Ireland Slovenia Poland
Greece Italy Bulgaria
weighted mean Portugal
Malta Austria
15
Czechia Lithuania Finland
Cyprus Denmark Netherlands
Germany
10
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Cost/Income Ratio (CIR)
Figure 10: CIR and ROE in 2006, compared at national level (the weighted
mean takes the number of banks in each country into account,
data source: ECB 2007)
Owing to this low profitability, German banks show a very low market capi-
talization. Therefore, as international markets become increasingly liberalized,
German banks are more likely to become targets for the acquisition strategies of
large international players, constituting a threat to the autonomy and strength of
the German financial industry.
Of course, Figure 10 would show different results if the data represented
single banks instead of aggregate national data. Especially the large players in
the German banking market show significantly better figures. Moreover, the
overall ROE of German banks more than doubled from 2004 to 2006 which
indicates a significant improvement of the situation in the German banking in-
dustry.
Researchers and experts have identified three different reasons for this
alarming situation in Germany: strong market fragmentation, overbanking and a
high level of vertical integration. These are discussed in the following sections.
3.1.1.1 Fragmentation
Germany has the most fragmented banking market in Europe. Figure 11 shows
the market share of the five largest banks in the different European countries.
102 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Latvia
Slovenia
Slovakia
Ireland
Italy
Spain
Austria
France
Greece
Malta
Luxemburg
Poland
Czechia
Lithuania
Finland
Estonia
Portugal
Belgium
United Kingdom
Germany
Hungary
Denmark
Cyprus
Netherlands
Figure 11: Aggregate market share of the five largest banks in different
countries in 2006 (data from (BDB 2006))
Over the last years, the five largest German banks (by total assets) continu-
ously showed a combined market share of only about 22% while the (un-
weighted) European average is around 59% (BDB 2006). The profitability of the
German Top 5 banks has significantly increased in recent years (to 15% in
2006), the market shares remained fairly stable in all countries.
Two alleviating factors have to be taken into account when making compari-
sons between countries. First, there is quite a strong negative correlation between
a country’s size and its market concentration (r=-.58 between population size and
cum. market shares). Second, the banking structure in Germany shows close
cooperation between the public savings banks and credit cooperatives, which
means that individual banks within these sectors sometimes are only partially
seen as separate firms. An appropriate concentration measure would have to
consider the structure of those associations.
Nevertheless, other large countries, such as France and the UK, show that
high market concentration is not restricted to small countries. Moreover, some of
the European countries have association structures that are quite similar to the
German associations of public savings banks and cooperatives.
3.1.1.2 Overbanking
The high fragmentation of the German banking market (section 3.1.1.1) is
strongly related to overbanking. Compared with other European countries, Ger-
many has a lot more banks, bank branches and bank employees (Moormann and
Möbius 2004, 26-28; Weber 2002, 458).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 103
Cost/Income-Ratio
mean mean
65% 65%
Italy Italy
55% 55%
mean
efficient overbanked but efficient efficient overbanked but efficient
50% 50%
0,00 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 5,00 6,00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
banks per 100K capita bank branches per 100K capita
75%
efficiency problems overbanked
Germany
Benelux
70%
Switzerland
France
Cost/Income-Ratio
mean
65%
Italy
Scandinavia
60%
Spain/Portugal
55%
Great Britain
mean
Figure 12: Relationship between CIR and number of banks, bank employees,
and number of branches in 2003 (data from FBE 2003)
Germany is the only country that had a CIR below average and a banking
density above average for every density measure. It follows that – irrespective of
the measure in view – Germany has an overbanked, inefficient banking market.
Linear regressions confirm the assumption that a high density of branches and a
high number of employees lead to costs that are too high and thus increase the
CIR (and decrease the ROE)34.
Although the degree of overbanking has decreased in recent years by closing
branches, reducing human resources, and merging banks (Weber 2002, 456), this
analysis shows that the goal has not yet been reached. A particular problem,
34
R2=.22 (effect of number of banks on CIR), R2=.53 (effect of number of bank branches on CIR)
and R2=.32 (effect of number of bank employees on CIR). The following outliers have been re-
moved before conducting the regression analyses: Spain/Portugal for measuring the effect of bank
branch density and Switzerland for measuring the effect of the number of bank employees.
104 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
especially for mergers & acquisitions, are the three sectors of commercial banks,
public savings banks, and credit cooperatives. Mergers between banks of differ-
ent sectors are still seen as quite unrealistic (although some acquisition tenden-
cies have already happened).
VA VA ( NIAT IT )
VI AVI
sales sales ( NIAT IT )
include commission income, fee income, interest income, trade income, and
others. The effects of changes in profitability and taxation should be eliminated,
resulting in the adjusted vertical integration index (Gellrich et al. 2005; Tucker
and Wilder 1977).
A very similar method of calculating the degree of vertical integration is the
measurement of the value added ratio (VAR), which is calculated by the German
Federal Statistical Office (FSO). As Figure 14 shows, first, the bank’s “revenue”
– the gross output value – is calculated (difference between interest income and
interest costs plus further income) (Glöckeler 1975, 20). Revenue less further
costs forms the gross value added. The degree of vertical integration is repre-
sented by the ratio of gross value added to gross output value (Weisser 2004).
Gross value added
Value added ratio
Gross output value
processing
processing
Loans
Electronics
Banks
Automobile
Porsche
Payment
Industry
Security
goods
Buy Buy
Make Make
tical integration. In 1996, the vertical integration of the German banking industry
was 69% and decreased to 51% in 2002. This tellingly shows the effect of the
different outsourcing activities in the industry (Weisser 2004, 49).
Why is there a relationship between the degree of vertical integration and
profitability? When discussing the competitiveness of German banks, two
prominent success factors are commonly discussed in the literature: focused
business models and effective cost management (Licci 2003). Both factors relate
directly to disaggregating the banking value chain.
Specialized providers, who could insource particular areas of the banking
value chain, would be able (due to economies of scale and economies of skill, cf.
section 2.1.1) to generate cost reduction (Alms 2003; Benna et al. 2003, 91;
Bösch 1999, 32; Hackethal 2003, 33). Furthermore, a focus on core competen-
cies promotes flexibility potential (cf. section 2.1.6 on RBV and CCV). A the-
ory-based discussion of reasons for and against disaggregating the banking value
chain by outsourcing was given in the previous chapter.
Gellrich et al. were able to partially prove the correlation between the degree
of vertical integration and profitability (ROE). They showed that banks with
either a low or high degree of vertical integration were more likely to work prof-
itably. By contrast, banks that neither had a clear integration strategy nor fol-
lowed a disaggregation strategy were “stuck in the middle” (Gellrich et al. 2005,
12).
The diagram on the right in Figure 15 shows the degree of vertical integra-
tion for different key banking products. While in the credit business almost eve-
rything (98% of the value chain) is provided within the bank, transactional proc-
esses (payments and securities processing) have lower levels of integration, indi-
cating more outsourcing activities in these business segments (cf. section 3.4).
Consolidation
Low profitability Mergers &
Fragmentation
(ROE) acquisitions (M&A)
Deconstruction
Limited Outsourcing
Overbanking
competitiveness Cooperative Sourcing
Horizontal integration
(Universal Banking)
3.1.2.1 Consolidation
Consolidation leads to an increase in market concentration. Concentration can be
operationalized as an absolute or relative measure. The statistical term “(relative)
concentration” focuses on disparities and describes an unequal distribution of the
sum of attributes to the different attribute carriers (Börner 1998). Absolute con-
centration, by contrast, involves the sum of attributes being distributed to a low
number of attribute carriers. Following the first definition, the German banking
industry has always been quite concentrated because it has always shown a very
heterogeneous structure in terms of institute size. If the definition of absolute
concentration were applied, we would have to discuss what would constitute a
low number of attribute carriers (Börner 1998). In order to avoid this, we will
only talk about increasing (absolute) concentration as the macro effect of con-
solidation activities.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 109
There are both strategy and efficiency reasons for seeking to consolidate dif-
ferent firms by M&A. While the main strategic reason is to increase market
power, efficiency reasons primarily focus on economies of scale, scope and skill.
In the past, these reasons led to strong and continuous M&A activities in most
countries of the European Union (Börner 1998, 36-38). Most countries are at a
far more advanced state than Germany. Nevertheless, Figure 17 shows that be-
tween 12/1985 and 12/2007 the number of reporting banks in Germany de-
creased strongly from 4,659 to 2,015 with a break between 1989 and 1990 due to
the German reunification.
5000
4500 Number of reporting credit institutions
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
05
07
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
Year
Figure 17: Number of reporting banks in Germany (data source: (DBB 2005))
This almost linear consolidation trend was mainly due to the merging of
small credit cooperatives. Half of the banks participating in the IBM retail bank-
ing survey cited above (IBM 2003) believe that the industry will carry out further
substantial consolidation steps (54%) and that achieving economies of scale will
be a key success factor (46%) in the future.
In recent years, larger banks have also focused on mergers, although really
big M&A deals have not yet occurred in Germany, except for one case in 1998
(Bayerische Vereinsbank + Bayerische Hypotheken- und Wechselbank = Hy-
poVereinsbank). In the past, most consolidation processes in which large banks
were involved consisted of large banks acquiring small ones. This trend has
changed now so that banks of similar size merge, too. Since the number of big
consolidation candidates in Germany is very low, it is assumed that cross-border
mergers will increasingly occur (Börner 1998, 32-34; Walter 2001, 39). A first
example is the acquisition of HypoVereinsbank by UniCredit (Italy) in 2005,
which, however, has not yet been integrated. By contrast, a major argument
110 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
against cross-border mergers are the estimated smaller efficiency potentials. The
synergy benefits of national mergers of similarly large banks are estimated to be
three times higher than for those of cross-border mergers because there is more
of an overlap of business segments in domestic mergers than in cross-border
deals (Hamoir et al. 2002). Further difficulties are posed by different regulatory
settings, which lead to different business process designs and cultural barriers
(different corporate philosophies). Harmonization efforts of the European Union
are an important step in changing this. Some authors believe that a domino effect
will occur once a big merger deal has been realized. The number of suitable
partners will then decrease, thus rapidly forcing banks to react (Hamoir et al.
2002). A similar phenomenon occurred in the airline industry where the airlines
did not merge but rapidly formed quite tight alliances, leaving some late movers
behind.
The political dimension cannot be ignored. “The domestic banks in
EURO[35] were – and are – protected as domestic flagships. The fundamental
belief that financial institutions should not be controlled by foreigners has (so
far) prevented almost any type of cross-border merger” (Boot 1999, 2). More-
over, it is not only governments who want to strengthen the power of “their”
banks, but also the managers themselves. Consolidation trends are, therefore, not
only driven by efficiency and strategy reasons but also by personal incentives.
To put all this in an international context, the development of the US bank-
ing market will be briefly outlined in the following paragraphs. In the 1990s, the
USA had a much more fragmented industry than any other developed country –
with about 10,000 more financial institutes than the remainder of the G-1036
combined (Berger et al. 1999), which, moreover, showed to be a very dynamic
market. For example, between 1985 and 1990, 200 banks failed while 200 new
institutes were formed (Berger et al. 1999). Nevertheless, the industry is not
over-branched. Even in 1997, there were only 36 branches per 100,000 inhabi-
tants, which – even compared with the European figures from 2003 (Figure 12) –
is a very low value and was the lowest of all G-10 countries in 1997 (Berger et
al. 1999).
The beginning of the 1980s saw the start of a trend towards consolidation
that accelerated further at the end of the decade. Megamergers (i.e. mergers be-
tween banks with an assets total over $1 billion each) became very common and
35
European currency area
36
G-10 = “Group of Ten”: Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Swe-
den, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 111
between 1992 and 2007 the number of credit institutions dropped from 27,210 to
16,82637 (Figure 18).
30,000
Credit Unions
25,000 Savings Institutions
number of institutions
Commercial Banks
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
year
Figure 18: Consolidation of the US banking market37
The consolidation trend is mainly driven by the motive of improving the in-
stitute’s market position – on the one hand by increasing market power and being
able to set prices, and on the other by increasing cost efficiency and diversifying
business risks. The former explains the national mergers of very large players
while the latter explains the common trend that large banks acquire smaller
banks once they have reached a certain size (Berger et al. 1999; Vander Vennet
1999). Some side-effects have been the suspension of inter-state merger restric-
tions and other deregulation steps, governmental activities in financial crises
(e.g. between 1984 and 1991 the US government provided financial assistance to
allow healthy banks to purchase over 1,000 insolvent US banks), and the techno-
logical progress which increases potential economies of scale in all areas of the
banking business (electronic sales and service delivery channels, new financial
engineering tools, improved transaction systems) (Berger et al. 1999).
3.1.2.2 Deconstruction
In addition to the tendency to consolidate, there is an emerging trend to decon-
struct German universal banks. Deconstruction or disintegration describes the
logical splitting of the value chain and its subsequent reorganization (Walter
2001, 39).
37
Data sources: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (http://www2.fdic.gov/sdi/sob/ (as of 07 Feb
2008)) and Credit Union National Association (http://advice.cuna.org/econ/cu_stats.html (as of 15
Feb 2008).
112 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
and information processing (Polster 2001, 15). Banks have a “production proc-
ess” consisting of three steps (Dombret and Kern 2003): first, the bank develops
the product and prepares its technical readiness for executing transactions or for
performing services. It has to be determined whether the product can be managed
effectively by the bank’s risk management. The second step consists of cus-
tomer-initiated sales and provision of a product. This step generally includes all
activities ranging from branding and marketing through sales and cross-selling to
customer management (i.e. the customer interface). The third step of the value
chain represents the fulfillment and comprises administration and transactions
which actually provide the service.
The essential characteristic of a typical banking product is that it is produced
to order, i.e. it will not be produced before the customer initiates the provision
(Dombret and Kern 2003, 29). The three steps of the banking value chain, par-
tially, run in parallel. For example, in many cases, sales cannot be completed
without being supported by the administration and transactions infrastructure as
well as by risk management.
The following generic value chain model of the typical German fully inte-
grated and universal bank (Figure 19) distinguishes between primary and secon-
dary activities, following Porter’s value chain (Porter 1985) and details the three
value chain steps.
114 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Primary activities
Secondary activities
Enterprise planning and management
Strategic management Property, firm infrastructure
Financial management ICT management
Risk management Stakeholder relationship management
Internal auditing & compliance Procurement
Legal & tax management Insurance management
Financial supervision management Expedition
Human Resources
Collaboration management
Strategic collaboration Planning collaboration Operational collaboration
Figure 19: Detailed generic banking value chain, based on (Dombret and Kern
2003; Lammers et al. 2004; Petry and Rohn 2005; Porter 1985)
Primary activities are part of the core banking business while secondary ac-
tivities are supporting business functions with an internal focus, including cross-
sectional functions for managing the bank (enterprise management) and its inter-
firm partnerships (collaboration management) (Spiegel 2002) (cf. section 1.5.1).
Enterprise management has two functions which are specific to the banking
business and are closely related to all steps of the value chain: financial man-
agement and risk management. Risk management involves integrated controlling
of all relevant risks for all primary activities, such as market risks, credit risks,
and operational risks (BIS 2004). Financial management mainly represents the
treasury function (i.e. refinancing management, liquidity management, asset and
liability management). The treasury is very closely related to almost all primary
activities. For example, during the development and marketing of a new loan
product, it has to determine whether (and on what conditions) incoming credit
exposures can be refinanced and the refinancing has to be arranged. A second
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 115
main part of the financial management apart from the treasury is proprietary
trading of securities.
As already shown in section 3.1.1.3, banks still integrate the most important
parts of the banking value chain within their own boundaries, i.e. only minor
parts of the primary activities have been outsourced38. The next section will de-
scribe normative segmentation models which can be found in the literature and
which describe how fully integrated and universal banks may be transformed
into a banking value network in the future.
Primary activities
Transaction
Portfolio bank Sales bank Portfolio bank
bank
40
It should be noted that this term – especially in the German literature – is also used for describing
a particular set of customer services, such as cash management, depot services, credit lines, secu-
rities services etc. These retail services can of course be supported or completely executed by a
transaction bank; nevertheless the term describes a subset of the retail banking business (Lamberti
and Pöhler 2004, 6).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 117
Mass
Retail banking
Affluent Pan-
Euro- Regional retail distributors Pan- Pan-
Private pean European Euro-
product product pean
specia- specialists service
Small lists
banking
provi-
SME
ders
Midsize
European and global
Multinational wholesale banks
corporations
Primary activities
Product
developers
Distributors
Administrators
Client specialists
Engineers Engineers
Figure 22: Five segments model, based on (Dombret and Kern 2003)
The distributors correspond to the sales banks of the three segments model
or the regional retail distributors in the four segments model. Distributors con-
centrate on sales of banking products for all or specific customer groups within
retail banking. Administrators combine the business model of a product bank and
of a transaction bank. They offer their integrated product and services package to
the distributors.
By contrast, client specialists are a combination of product developers and
distributors. This business model will be followed particularly by small and
highly specialized banks. Sales banks that follow a niche strategy will tend to
this model because they possess comprehensive knowledge about their custom-
ers and their particular needs and preferences. This can be directly taken into
account for the product development. As final group, engineers are a combina-
tion of product developers and administrators. Since they both develop products
and provide the processing services, they can consider product characteristics
and optimize processes during the product development in order to achieve cost
advantages (Dombret and Kern 2003, 95)
Dombret and Kern’s model only describes the retail business. This restricts
its area of application and does not cover business models which include corpo-
rate customers. Further, there is less detail than in the four segments model.
There is no distinction between product administration and transactions, which
means that mapping business models which cover only one of the two are not
120 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
considered in this model. In order to apply the model to the credit business, there
must be a further distinction between refinancing and credit management.
3.2.2.4 Conclusion
Although containing some weaknesses, all segmentation models presented are
appropriate for showing what a future disaggregated banking industry could look
like. Since they try to cover the complete value chain of the banking industry,
they can only give very generic statements and would have to be adapted for
application to a particular business domain (e.g. to the credit business). In this
context, Spiegel mentions the lack of operational relevance and a too limited
granularity of the value chain analysis (Spiegel 2002, 58). Holzhäuser et al. sup-
port this view and argue that the advantages resulting from disintegration should
be investigated at business process level rather than at firm level or generic value
chain level, in order to achieve better and more detailed results (Holzhäuser et al.
2005, 109).
In the following section, we will restrict our view to one particular business
domain – credit processing – and merge the reviewed segmentation models into a
single credit business segmentation model to discuss possible outcomes of the
segmentation trends in this particular area and in order to get a conceptual base
for empirical and simulative research in later chapters.
41
The German Central Bank classifies credit durations as short-term (up to one year), mid-term (1
to 4 years), and long-term (more than 4 years).
122 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
(usually lower than 1%) due to competitive pressure and the very high process-
ing efforts for building loans. The efficient management of building loans is
therefore crucial for ensuring their profitability (Holtmann and Kleinheyer 2002).
42
i.e. million x million
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 123
buildung loans
791.6
corporate loans loans to retail
1259.7 cusomers
1015,2
consumer
credit
129.3
others credit
77.1 lines
17.2
Figure 23: Volume of the German credit market (in € billion) (DBB 2008)
Figure 24 shows the market shares of the different sectors for the markets of
building loans and consumer credits. The market for building loans is not only
served by banks but also by insurance carriers and thrift institutions. The frag-
mentation of the banking industry has also had consequences for the credit busi-
ness: even large players do usually not manage more than 250,000 loans, hinder-
ing the realization of substantial economies of scale (Focke et al. 2004, 11).
market shares - private building loans market shares - consumer credits
15% 40%
credit
20% private banks
cooperatives private banks
note: norisbank has been taken into the sector of private banks instead of credit cooperatives.
Figure 24: Market shares in the loans market (as of 2003) (Focke et al. 2004)
There are several external influences on the loans market which are forcing
banks to react and to develop strategies for optimizing and redesigning the loan
business. Apart from major changes in the regulatory requirements, new com-
petitors such as car banks, banks set up by large retailers, and direct brokers are
taking over market shares in the consumer credit business. Moreover, due to poor
economic conditions and increasing transparency on the banking markets, cus-
124 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
tomer loyalty is decreasing (Hertel 2004): retail customers have become very
cost-sensitive while companies are trying to substitute traditional loans by other
financing instruments (leasing, mezzanine capital, etc.). As a result, the interest
margin has continuously decreased in recent years (Koetter et al. 2004).
To counteract these trends, those costs which can be influenced by banks,
are considered sales costs and processing/administration costs (in contrast to risk
costs and equity costs which cannot be reduced by organizational actions). Con-
sequently, banks focus on automating, integrating (straight-through processing –
STP), and modularizing the credit processes as well as on the standardization of
internal modular activities in order to develop an industrialized setting for more
individualized products (Hertel 2004). These re-engineering approaches are often
accompanied by a necessary change of the underlying information systems; this
huge investment leads banks to evaluate outsourcing and insourcing strategies in
the credit business. A modularization of the credit process can lead to demand
for cost-efficient providers of single process steps and helps banks to differenti-
ate their businesses by developing a competitive advantage within one of these
process steps.
Due to their characteristics and volumes, processing and administration of
consumer credits and private building loans especially, but also corporate credits
to SMEs, are candidates for BPO (for our own empirical research see section
3.6). Therefore, the further focus will be restricted to these credit products.
banking business. BTO1 comprises the requirements for the credit business
(formerly MaK (BaFin 2002)). The core of BTO1 is formed by the requirement
to functionally separate the credit process into two parts: credit sales (customer
interface, “Markt”) and credit processing and servicing (back office,
“Marktfolge”). Basically, a positive vote from each domain is necessary for
granting a credit43. As will be discussed later on, this has proved to be a signifi-
cant facility for outsourcing in the credit business.
Apart from the general separation of the credit process into sales and proc-
essing, the MaRisk requirements contain a number of regulations concerning the
workflows which have to operate within both parts. Therefore, the MaRisk re-
quirements provide a generic structure of the credit process into the steps of
sales, loan processing, monitoring of loan processing, intensified loan manage-
ment, treatment of problem loans, and risk provision (BaFin 2006; Zanthier and
Gärtner 2003). Table 10 summarizes the MaRisk requirements for the organiza-
tional design of the credit business.
Intensified Treatment of
Loan Risk man- Monitoring of loan
Granting loans loan man- problem
processing agement processing
agement loans
Verify the Monitor that Special Winding up Value Mechanisms for moni-
debtor’s borrow- debtor meets monitoring or restructur- adjustments toring of loan process-
ing capacity and contractual of credit ing of credit Write-off of ing must be imple-
credit-worthiness agreements exposures exposures uncollectible mented (ensuring
Verify and assess Monitor the with high In both cases accounts compliance with
collaterals before loan purpose contingency the bank Forming
organizational guide-
granting risk must develop lines)
Annual re- loan loss
Assess the guar- evaluation of Defining a plan. provisions In particular, monitor-
antee’s sound- counterparty decision The bank ing that loan agreement
ness risk rules for must super- is in line with defined
further vise the decision-making
First (and possi- Periodical re-
treatment restructuring. hierarchy prior to
ble second) vote evaluation of
collaterals Realization granting
of collaterals (may be conducted via
principle of dual
control)
Table 10: Activities of the credit process as required by the MaRisk
(BaFin 2006, section BTO1)
3.3.2.2 Reference Processes for the Credit Business
This section defines reference processes for different products of the credit busi-
ness which underlie the empirical analyses in later sections of this work. The
43
In the standardized retail customer business, a bank’s board can abandon the second vote.
126 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
44
Since consumer credits always have a fixed credit amount and a fixed duration (in contrast to
open credits), refinancing occurs for every single credit.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 127
Refinancing /
treasury
manage refinancing
Refinancing /
treasury
manage refinancing
cial data, and data regarding the financed object). Based on this collection, an
advisor adequately supported by information systems which provide a first rating
can give a first vote within the same meeting. If the first vote is positive, the
proposal and the collected information will be transferred to the middle-office,
along with the contract which may already have been signed by the customer.
The analysis & decision step examines the customer’s credit worthiness and
the object to be financed in more detail. Based on this analysis, the middle-office
passes a second vote. If it is positive, the credit can be granted to the customer.
In processing, the contract is finalized and the credit amount is paid out (some-
times in multiple tranches). Although the MaRisk requirements do not insist on
more than one vote in the private building loan segment, the reference process
must take a first and second vote. The advisor in the front-office is able to get a
reasonably clear picture of the customer’s credit worthiness and of the financed
object, but due to competence advantages in the middle-office, administrative
tasks such as a structured evaluation of the collaterals can be provided there
much more efficiently.
The subprocesses of refinancing and administration/back office are structur-
ally equivalent to the homonymous consumer credit subprocesses. Since building
loans are collateralized by real estate, the administration must additionally man-
age the collaterals. Moreover, financing of buildings regularly leads to extremely
long financing durations (20-30 years) which lead to a prolongation of credits
(contract renewal after expiring interest binding).
market research select customer address determine verify claim produce and administer loan monitor process
group potential financing needs documents authorize loan accounts personal risk dunning
financial
(targeting) customers contract and attributes and
engineering: collect customer
check credit- collateral administer the business try to
define product data
branding arrange worthiness contracts collaterals situation of the restructure
attributes
meeting (process rating) (changes, debtor loan
check credit
development marketing set up loan clearing,
standing and
and on site check and account increases) monitor conduct
pre-check
advancement of sales support promotions evaluate creditworthiness provision on
creditworthiness
rating models monitor (periodic rating)
(including data collaterals notification problem loan
repayments
keep legal ( or from Schufa)
requirements second vote report loan data prolongate loan monitor cancel loan
product choice and final to treasury collaterals
(e.g. BGB) customer
proactively decision preterm (possible re- notify Schufa
keep regulatory determine
uses outpayment redemption evaluation)
requirements contract
electronic structure (possibly in encash and
(Basel I+II,
channel (redemption several closure realize
MaRisk, KWG)
p structure, tranches) collaterals
design pricing acquisition interest rate, process legal flat-rate value
model step will be collaterals, archiving of reporting adjustments of process
skipped ) duration) credit files loan portfolio enforcement
develop concept process
and process first vote accounting
documentation depreciate
according to aggregate files provide losses
MaRisk and forward to statements
deciders closure
test stage
Service /customer interface
accept and process customer requests regarding status
of claim processing, outpayment, etc.
accept and process customer requests regarding
account status, collaterals, prolongation, etc.
Refinancing/treasury
manage refinancing and equity
of the bank (Basel II)
3.3.3.1 Model
The credit business segmentation model defines ten different business models,
which can be combined in five different ways (A to E) (Figure 28, next page).
Scenario A shows the lowest complexity and essentially consists only of the
fully integrated bank. It represents the most common business model, today.
Only within product development or workout, might the bank acquire external
providers. Developers can design new credit product variants and advanced scor-
ing models (e.g. consulting companies). The workout specialist supports banks in
the workout step of collecting or enforcing delinquent or omitted credits. Today,
these steps are often provided by lawyers or collection firms45.
Scenario B consists of two different business models: the processing out-
sourcer and the processing service provider (PSP or “credit factory”). The first
outsources the credit processing to the PSP. The outsourcer does the marketing
and the sales as well as the refinancing (credit is part of the outsourcer’s balance
sheet), while the PSP takes on any administrative or processing steps. There is
close collaboration in the analysis & decision. The processing outsourcer, bear-
ing the actual credit risk, will usually also carry out the decision steps of granting
a new credit as well as prolongating an existing credit. Alternatively, the PSP
may make the decision, based on the outsourcer’s first vote and on predeter-
mined decision rules (guidelines and scoring model). This scenario has become
quite common in recent years (e.g. Aareal Bank, Hypo Real Estate, GMAC-RFC,
et al. & Kreditwerk HM; or Lloyds TSB & EDS).
Scenario C also consists of two business models: the branding & sales spe-
cialist and the credit product bank (white label). The first develops the products
(closely together with the product bank which will provide the product) and does
the marketing and sales. The credit is also branded by the branding & sales spe-
cialist. The credit product bank provides all back-office processes and the refi-
nancing. It has the role of a “grey eminence” (Dombret and Kern 2003) because
it holds the credit and will usually take the second vote and the final decision
45
Since this is the same for all scenarios (A – E), we will ignore the developer and the workout
specialist in the following scenarios.
132 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
because it bears the credit risk. Thus far, this combination is not known to be
existent in practice.
A alt. alt.
Developer Workout
specialist
PSP PSP
B alt. alt.
Workout
Developer specialist
C alt. alt.
Workout
Developer specialist
Distributor
Credit product bank
Credit product bank (branded)
(branded)
alt. alt.
D PSP PSP
alt. alt.
Workout
Developer specialist
E alt.
Portfolio bank
alt.
Workout
Developer specialist
plicity of the segmentation because the distributor just sells the credit to the cus-
tomer and passes on any other tasks to the credit product bank. This enables the
implementation of simple and cost-efficient process interfaces between the part-
ners. In the simplest case, the sales staff may just complete a paper or web-based
form and send the necessary documents to the credit product bank. Since the
distributor does not interact with the customer during the credit contract, there is
no need for further system integration. On the other hand, there is an incentive
problem which must be overcome. Not all relevant information about the credit-
worthiness of a customer can be documented by structured data. In our own case
studies, interview partners from credit sales departments perpetually emphasized
that “feelings and instincts” proved to be crucial for a successful evaluation. If
the distributor only receives a commission for a successful contract closure and
does not share the credit risk (e.g. by a compensation mechanism), there will be
no incentive to reconsider “soft” information.
Scenario D may involve variations, such as incorporating a PSP that pro-
vides the back-office functions. This combination can be found in reality: for
example, several banks (distributors) sell easyCredit consumer credits from
Norisbank (credit product bank (branded)), while eC-Factory (PSP, subsidiary of
Norisbank) does the processing and the administration. Another example is the
sales of KfW development loans by credit cooperatives (distributors) which are
processed by VR Kreditwerk (PSP).
A further variant (not displayed) would be bundling credits and either issu-
ing them as asset-backed securities on the capital market – as is already common
practice – or selling them to other banks or financial investors (e.g. Lonestar or
Fortress), i.e. outsourcing of refinancing (not displayed in Figure 28).
Scenario E is a combination of C and D and represents the “classical” three
segments model. Refinancing is provided by a portfolio bank which issues the
loans. The remaining parts (processing and administration) are done by a PSP.
This scenario will primarily result from traditional fully integrated banks out-
sourcing everything except sales in order to become pure sales banks (branding
& sales specialists). Initiatives of public savings banks to establish joint credit
factories and to partly transfer the refinancing to the state banks lead to this type
of credit process configuration.
As mentioned in the discussion of the different segmentation models (sec-
tion 3.2.2), it is easy to imagine that PSPs, credit product banks of different
types, and portfolio banks will, in the main, specialize on credit products. A PSP
which provides securities or payments processing in addition to the credit proc-
essing seems implausible because it cannot achieve substantial economies of
scope. However, within the credit business, most PSPs will not limit themselves
to one credit type (e.g. mortgages) but try to offer their services to a broader
134 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
range of credit types (e.g. all types of retail credits and SME loans) to stabilize
their market position. Existing credit factories commonly broaden their portfolio
of credit processing services over time, mostly starting with mortgage loans.
By contrast, sales banks, such as processing outsourcers, branding & sales
specialists, and distributors, will certainly not only provide credit sales but fol-
low a holistic strategy and offer other products like insurances, brokerage, etc.
46
Example: A fully integrated bank always has to be a credit institution according to the KWG
definition – other forms are not possible. A developer firm is not required to be a financial firm,
but of course it may be a bank, financial service institution etc.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 135
47
Our own expert interviews. Cf. section 3.6, data source “EI”.
136 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
48
Cf. footnote 1 on p. 11.
49
See section 3.6 for more detailed results and information about the study.
50
FinanzIT and Sparkassen Informatik are currently discussing about merging their businesses
(state: Feb 2008).
51
Fourth largest German bank in total assets by end of 2004.
138 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
52
Source: http://www.cio.de/financeit/aktuelles/843570/ (as of 20 Feb 2008).
53
The JPMorganChase-IBM deal was canceled and rolled back in 2004 (JPMorganChase 2004).
54
Europe, the Middle East, and Africa
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 139
largest players are Accenture, CSC, EDS, IBM, ACS, and HP – called the “Big
Six” by TPI55.
From IT outsourcing it is a small step to outsourcing of secondary processes
such as HR management, procurement and secondary F&A processes (e.g. in-
voicing, claiming, etc.). Since these internal administrative processes usually do
not represent specific business competencies of the outsourcing firm and since
information systems have become more process-oriented, leading to activities
being increasingly transferred to the information systems (and therefore mostly
to the IT sourcing providers), the IT sourcing vendors have started to offer the
processing of whole business functions. For example, in 2004 Accenture in-
sourced the invoice management, procurement, and parts of the HR administra-
tion of Deutsche Bank (Müller 2005).
In the USA, large banks have shown a higher adoption rate of outsourcing
secondary processes than comparably large firms of other industries. In 2003,
36% of the large banks had outsourced secondary processes such as HR and
F&A, while overall it had been only 20.6% ((Scholl 2003), cited in (Dayasindhu
2004, 3479)).
After the success of secondary process outsourcing, the trend has developed
further to outsourcing parts of the banking value chain, i.e. outsourcing of pri-
mary processes. The IBM survey (IBM 2003) showed that operational parts of
the banking business are outsourced by many banks across Europe. The main
operational functions to have been outsourced so far are custody (36%), trad-
ing/execution (23%), settlement (23%), and securities processing (22%) (as of
2003).
The German banking industry is focusing more on outsourcing primary
processes than on outsourcing secondary processes. Due to competitive pressure
(cf. section 3.1.1), major changes of the regulatory requirements (cf. section 3.5),
and high IT intensity in banking processes, close partnerships between banks and
their IT providers have led to the re-engineering of core banking processes.
Banks which are about to undergo this major change in a particular business
often seek to amortize their investments faster by insourcing process volumes of
other banks. For example, the small private bank HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt
(TuB), together with its IT provider T-Systems, founded a subsidiary (Interna-
tional Transactions Services – ITS) and developed a completely new securities
processing system which allowed them to insource other banks’ securities proc-
essing volumes and to become one of the largest securities processing providers
in Germany56.
55
TPI offers the quarterly TPI outsourcing index, reflecting the current state of the global outsourc-
ing market. http://www.tpi.net/knowledgecenter/tpiindex/ (as of 02 Feb 2008).
56
Source: http://www.sds.at/files/downloads/HSBC_T-Systems.pdf (as of 20 Feb 2008).
140 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
57
68.3% of the participating banks marked it as an important strategic field of activity. Process
optimization was regarded as most important (72.4%), while increasing the cross-selling ratio was
considered the third most important strategic field of activity (49.0%).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 141
Figure 29: BPO diffusion path of different banking business functions (Source:
A.T. Kearney transaction banking survey (Focke et al. 2004, 4))
The authors of this survey argue that 10% of the German banks’ administra-
tive costs are related to transaction banking and that outsourcing has resulted in
up to 50% savings in the administrative costs. Such an opportunity explains the
substantial progress of the securities and payments businesses, in particular. But,
although the picture shows increasing diffusion rates for all parts of the banking
business shown, it cannot be assumed that there is simply a time lag between the
already consolidated market segments and the more recent additions to the BPO
142 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
market, e.g. the credit business. These activities vary strongly in terms of degree
of automation, interaction needs, and strategic impact.
Securities processing is the most widely developed BPO market segment in
the banking industry58. Transaction banks provide more than 60% of the domes-
tic retail securities processing volume and offer both processing services and
depot administration services. Within the last ten years, a number of players have
emerged and have strengthened in a subsequent consolidation phase. Transaction
banks primarily offer services in the business of standardized listed securities
and tend not to support institutional trading.
Table 13 gives an overview of the actual market structure in this market
segment. dwpbank, the merger result of WPS Bank and bws Bank, is the market
leader for both processing and depot administration, followed by ITS and
Xchanging Transaction Bank (cf. Table 13). WPS, bws, and etb started their
transaction business in 1999. WPS was founded by several state banks while bws
was created by the large banks from the cooperatives sector. Both banks had
already served a few banks from the commercial sector, but the merging of both
banks in 2003 and the forming of the dwpbank (Deutsche WertpapierService
Bank AG) resulted in one of the largest examples of inter-sectoral cooperative
sourcing. Moreover, in 2007 dwpbank purchased txb, which still is operating on
its own but contributes to the market dominating position of dwpbank.
Also founded in 1999 (by Deutsche Bank), etb started to offer payments and
securities processing. While the insourcing of the payments processing of
Dresdner Bank and HVB failed after year-long negotiations (Fehr and Mussler
2003), the securities business was successfully established and also offered to
other sectors: in September 2002, NetBank and all Sparda banks outsourced their
securities processing to etb (Fehr 2002). To increase the attractiveness of etb
services to third parties, who feared the dominant role of Deutsche Bank, etb was
transferred to Xchanging, a large British processing provider, in 2004 and re-
named “Xchanging Transaction Bank” in 2006.
58
It has to be noted that, although many analysts talk about the diffusion of outsourcing, Figure 29
as well as Table 13 and Table 14 describe not only the outsourced volumes but also include the
processing volumes of the insourcer. For this reason, the term “cooperative sourcing” is used in
Figure 29.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 143
Share of
Share of
Used IT system process-
Insourcer Major clients Founded in securities
or vendor ing
accounts
volume
Mandators from WPS: 150 2003 by merg-
dwpbank (Deut- public savings banks, ing the transac-
sche Wertpa- NordLB, WestLB, SaarLB, tion banks of
pierService- Bremer LB, Deutsche
several coopera- WP2 (provided
Bank) Postbank. Mandators from 36.3% 21.6%
bws: DZ Bank, tive central by FinanzIT)
(merger of WPS
GZB Bank, SGZ Bank, banks and of
Bank and bws
WGZ Bank,Dt. Verkehrs- several state
Bank)
bank. New: Dresdner Bank banks
2004 by Bay-
TxB-Plus Bank
ernLB, Landes-
Purchased by 200 public savings banks
bank Hessen- WIS Plus 8.5% 3.3%
dwpbank in and smaller private banks
Thüringen, HSH
2007
Nordbank
HSBC Trinkaus &
International Burkardt (TuB), Sparkas- 2005 by HSBC GEOS, pro-
Transaction sen Broker, DAB Bank, TuB and T- vided by T- 2.7% 15.0%
Services (ITS) Fimatex, FondsService- Systems Systems
Bank
1999 by
Xchanging
Deutsche Bank, Sparda Deutsche Bank,
Transaction Euroengine2 +
banks, Sal Oppenheim transferred to 13.6% 13.7%
Bank (formerly FORSS
NetBank, Citibank Xchanging in
etb)
2004
ACTIS
Financial Mar- 2000 by Pro- PABA/Q
HypoVereinsbank,
kets Service bank and Hy- provided by 3.8% 10.1%
Vereins- u. Westbank
Bank (FMSB) poVereinsbank ACTIS.BSP
Services
60.7%
64.9%
(100% =
Total share of the processing (100% =
183m
volume in Germany ca. 20m
transac-
accounts)
tions)
Table 13: Major securities processing insourcers in Germany (state of market
shares: 06/2006) (data from public company information sources)
Figure 30 visualizes the consolidation path of the securities processing mar-
ket in Germany.
144 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Institutions 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Bayern LB
Sourc.
Bayern LB
Coop.
LB Transaktionsb.
Merger
LB HT LB HT TxB Trans-
HSH Nordbank Plus B. Plus aktionsbank
Sourc.
HSH Nordbank
Coop.
Bank
Sourc.
Coop.
bank
(with
West LB, LB RP, LB SH WPS
Sourc.
Coop.
WPS TxB)
Deutsche Postbank Deutsche Postbank
Deutsche Wertpapier
DZ Bank, Südwestdt. GZ, BWS Service Bank (dwpbank)
Sourc.
Coop.
Westdt. GZ, GZ Stuttgart Bank für Wertpapierservice
und –Systeme (BWS)
Citibank Citibank
Ci
tib
an
k
Deutsche Bank European Transaction Bank (etb)
Sourc.
Coop.
etb Xchanging TB (xtb)
Sparda banks Sparda banks
Probank
Sourc.
Coop.
20 f H
HVB HVB
07 VB
o
:p
DA
ar
B
ITS
ts
HSBC Trinkaus Trinkaus
59
Defined by consulting firms as a market share of more than 30% of the total domestic processing
volume being cooperatively sourced (Focke et al. 2004)
60
Data from the provider website
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 145
recently (11/06) merged with Interpay Nederland B.V. to form a new corporation
named Equens which now represents the first pan-European payments process-
ing provider. Table 14 gives an overview of the payments processing market in
Germany.
Used IT system Share of do-
Insourcer Major clients Founded in for payments mestic process-
processing ing volume
Deutsche Bank,
(Insourcing since SAP Payment
Deutsche Postbank Dresdner Bank, 20%
2004) Engine
HVB
Equens (former DZ Bank, Citibank, 2003 by DZ Bank
GPayS (Mosaic
Transaktionsinstitut, 1,100 cooperatives 2006 merged with 16%
Geva)
TAI) and others Interpay Nederland
Deutsche Service- 120 public savings
2006 by merger of
gesellschaft für banks (15 from SSG,
SSG Köln and DS N/A approx. 13%
Finanzdienstleister 31 from DS, >50 61
Dresden
(DSGF) from SZB), WestLB
Bankgesellschaft
1998 by Bankge- EBS 2000 (Beta
Bankenservice Berlin, multiple N/A
sellschaft Berlin Systems)
savings banks
Bankservice- Ca. 25 public savings
2000 by Fraspa
gesellschaft Rhein- banks, LRP, 2 credit N/A under 1%
and Naspa
Main (bsg) cooperatives
over 50%
Total share of the
(100% = 15.9
German process-
billion domestic
ing volume
clearing items)
Table 14: Major payment processing insourcers in Germany (State of market
shares: 12/2005) (data from public company information sources,
Wernthaler 2004, DBB 2006)
Analysts expect an ongoing consolidation trend in the German payments
processing market, ultimately resulting in three or four national providers (Ei-
chelmann et al. 2004). Figure 31 gives an overview of previous consolidation
activities in this market segment.
61
Source: http://www5.rsgv.de/static/0F020048_.pdf and http://www.dsgf.de/ (as of 02 Jan 2006).
146 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Institutions 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Sourc.
Coop.
TAI equens
Citibank Citibank
SSK Köln
Sourc.
SSK
Coop.
Coop. Sourcing
Merger
Sparkassen-Service-Gesellschaft (SSG)
KSK Köln KSK DSGF
DS
Ostsächsische Spk DS Dresdner Sparkassenservice GF
Bayern LB Bayern LB & several savings banks Servicezentrum Bayern
Sourc.
Coop.
Servicezentrum
Bayern
HypoVereinsbank HypoVereinsbank HVB P&S
H
VB
Dresdner Bank DreBa - Business Unit Global TxB ZVS
Sourc.
Coop.
Postbank
Postbank Postbank PoBa BCB
BCB
Deutsche Bank European Transaction Bank (etb) DB Payments
Deutsche Bank
Merger
BB-Bankenservice BB
BankenService der Landesbank Berlin
LBB Betriebsservice LBB
Fraspa Fraspa
Coop.
Sourc.
Bankservicegesellschaft Rhein-Main
Naspa Naspa
(Pieske 2005). The servicing market is dominated by large banks such as Citi-
bank and Wells Fargo, as well as by specialized providers (e.g. Owen, Midland
Loan Services, GMAC). The leading servicer in the private home loans business,
Countrywide, manages a total loans volume of $915 billion; 65% of all Ameri-
can mortgage loans are managed by servicers (Pieske 2005). Another example is
the Netherlands, where 40% of all mortgage loans are managed by service pro-
viders.
There are many reasons for the lack of activity in the German market. One
reason is that there is no inter-bank coordination to create common standards in
the credit business; another is the lack of evidence of relative cost superiority
(Focke et al. 2004, 11). Some banks evaluated the benefits of outsourcing their
loans processing, but did not get attractive offers by the existing credit factories.
A further “historic” reason is that many German banks consider mortgaging, in
particular, to be their core competence. Outsourcing parts of this business is not a
plausible approach for German banks, which have had a monolithic firm struc-
ture up to now. At present, the majority of the German credit factories’ custom-
ers are insurance companies and new market members such as foreign retail
banks which strictly focus on sales (e.g. GE Money Bank and GMAC-RFC)
(Focke et al. 2004, 12).
Compared with the processing of payments or securities, where transaction
banks already cover large segments of the market volume, there are three main
differences to the processing of loans, which makes it difficult to draw analogies.
First, in payments and securities processing, there is a very high degree of auto-
mation. The cost structure mainly consists of fixed costs, which enables strong
economies of scale from bundling transaction volumes. Second, since payments
and securities transfers predominantly occur between different banks, there is
much more standardization of processes and formats in these areas (Bongartz
2004) which in turn facilitates BPO. The development of the US payments proc-
essing market during recent decades impressively showed the impact of process
and data format standardization (a short review can be found in (Bongartz
2004)). Therefore, bundling processes from different banks seems to be com-
paratively easy. The third – related – reason is integration needs. The credit busi-
ness consists of making and communicating more or less complex decisions,
which is not the case in processing payments or securities. In the credit business,
real-time integration between the outsourcer and the service provider must be
realized and an extensive service level management (SLM) might have to be
implemented (Focke et al. 2004, 6; Krichel and Schwind 2003, 768-769). On the
other hand, credit factories already claim to provide this kind of flexible integra-
tion as well as modular services which can selectively be embedded within the
client’s credit process. The following figure shows different possible configura-
148 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
tions of labor division between an outsourcer and a credit factory along the
mortgage loan granting process as they are offered by one of today’s major credit
factories today.
example: mortgage loans processing
enter data
check creditworthiness
evaluate property
granting decision
check collaterals
outpayment
cover booking
Figure 32: Different examples for labor division between outsourcer and credit
factory along the mortgage granting process, as offered by a
German credit factory (Hertel 2004; Aareal 2005)
Apart from outsourcing the processing or administration, an international
comparison also shows other differences which might be responsible for a lack
of BPO in other parts of the credit process, such as sales or refinancing. The
latter is typically done by German banks themselves. By contrast, in Anglo-
Saxon markets it is usually done on the capital market while the loan is managed
by a credit factory (Focke et al. 2004, 12). Similarly, the sales of mortgages are
traditionally done by the German bank itself while only 20% are mediated by
brokers. In the Netherlands, brokers mediate around 60% of mortgages (Focke et
al. 2004, 12). Banks typically do not want to transfer the responsibility for direct
customer contact in this field, in contrast to the securities business or payments
processing. As argued in section 3.3.3.1 (credit business segmentation model),
outsourcing of sales implies agency conflicts, and banks have had bad experi-
ences with mortgage intermediation which significantly increased the number of
bad loans63.
63
Result of one of our own case studies, which is partially documented in (Wagner et al. 2006,
Beimborn et al. 2007a), cf. section 3.6.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 149
All of the service providers focus on the mortgage loans business (BaFin
2003, 2; Krawietz et al. 2003, 12); some of them additionally focus on consumer
credits or corporate investment loans. Proceed Portfolio Services GmbH is a
special case because it primarily specializes on the handling of non-performing
loans (NPL), i. e. liquidation of bad loans, evaluation, re-bundling, and resale of
NPL portfolios (Krawietz et al. 2003, 12).
Unisys conducted a survey of credit factories in the German market and in-
terviewed all players (Lehmann 2005). No common IT platform has yet been
established. Some providers developed their own systems while five of them use
SAP products (CML, CRM, FI/CO), extended to their particular needs.
The results of the study also show that hardly any of the actors expect strong
increases in the number of mandators within the next five years. Although most
of them had only a few clients (average: 9.3, range: 2–14), they did not believe
that this number will be more than doubled by 2010 (Lehmann 2005). The parent
companies and small retail banks (often new market entrants) currently represent
the overwhelming part of the credit factories’ clients. In order to reduce average
costs by economies of scale and to improve their market position, the partici-
pants in the study plan to extend their business to other European countries by
2007 (Lehmann 2005).
Furthermore, possible strategies for reducing average costs would not only
increase economies of scale, but also realize economies of scope. Almost all
credit factories intend to extend their original product portfolio from only serving
mortgage loans to also processing and administering consumer credits and parts
of the corporate loans business (e.g. corporate building loans or investment loans
to SMEs) (Lehmann 2005). Today, consumer loans are processed by universal
banks themselves or by retail product specialists who carry out processing, refi-
nancing, and pricing but not sales (i.e. credit product banks in the sense of the
credit business segmentation model (cf. section 3.3.3.1)) (Holzhäuser et al.
2005). These large providers (e.g. Citibank, GE Moneybank, Norisbank,
Santander Consumer CC-Bank) dominate this rather small market segment,
which, due to its highly standardized and automated business, is suited for bun-
dling and realizing economies of scale. Nevertheless, because the providers have
already realized the critical mass in-house, they do feel pressured into opening
their processing infrastructure to third parties.
Another possible market for generating economies of scope would be incor-
porating the processing of corporate loans. Compared with retail banking loans,
corporate loans are more individual and less standardized between different
banks. Presently, only three credit factories offer services to the corporate loans
business. For example, Aareal HM started offering services to the corporate
building loans segment (Krawietz et al. 2003, 13), which was recently extended
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 151
to other kinds of corporate loans. More than 60% of the participating banks of a
FORSA survey64 agreed that there is huge automation and standardization poten-
tial in the corporate loans business (Mummert 2005, 6). In our own study, we
showed that 33.7% of the participating institutes believe that outsourcing the
processing of SME loans would be an efficient strategy (cf. section 3.6.3.1).
In August 2004, the German Federal Government tried to start an initiative
for a “national” corporate (SME) loans factory, together with the publicly owned
KfW (Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau / Reconstruction Loan Corporation). The
idea was to standardize small corporate loans – which were evaluated as too
expensive to administer – in order to stimulate the SME sector by cheaper in-
vestment opportunities. The majority of both the large commercial banks and the
public savings banks disagreed with this idea (Rettig 2004), with only Dresdner
Bank signaling a willingness to join the project (N.N. 2004). Managers from DZ
Bank (the largest bank in the cooperatives sector), which was also interested,
stated that it would be very difficult to standardize SME loans (N.N. 2005b).
As in the payments and securities processing market, some of the providers
introduced were formed by cooperatively sourcing the relevant business units of
different banks. For example, in 2002, Deutsche Bank, Dresdner Bank, and
Commerzbank founded the EuroHypo by bundling their mortgage business (resp.
their mortgage bank subsidiaries) (Holzhäuser et al. 2005). This was followed by
EuroHypo outsourcing the processing parts of its business by founding Prompter.
Today, Prompter has been reintegrated and EuroHypo is completely owned by
Commerzbank (N.N. 2005c)65.
In the public savings bank sector, there are several regional activities driven
by the largest players (i.e. G866) to establish credit factories in four different
regions in Germany. The earliest was Norddeutsche RetailService AG which was
founded by Hamburger Sparkasse and Bremer Sparkasse in 2006. Prior to this,
Hamburger Sparkasse, one of the world’s largest savings banks, established an
internal centralized credit center with highly standardized and automated proc-
esses, which administered 260,000 loans of all types (including credit lines,
private mortgage loans and corporate investment loans) (Rösemeier 2005). An-
other credit factory is currently being established by Stadtsparkasse Köln and
64
38 public savings banks, 34 credit cooperatives and 28 private banks + thrift institutions (n=100)
were asked about the automation and standardization potential within their institution. In all sec-
tors, around 65% of the participants agreed that there is potential in the corporate loans business
(Mummert 2005, 6).
65
At present, there is no information about the future of EuroHypo as a stand-alone institute.
66
Eight largest public savings banks in Germany: Hamburger Stadtsparkasse, Sparkasse Bremen,
Stadtsparkasse Hannover, Stadtsparkasse + Kreissparkasse Köln, Nassauische Sparkasse, Frank-
furter Sparkasse, Münchner Stadtsparkasse.
152 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
67
German Banking Act (Kreditwesengesetz)
68
Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht),
formerly Bundesaufsichtsamt für das Kreditwesen (Federal Banking Supervisory Office),
www.bafin.de.
69
If other business functions are affected by outsourcing, section 25a (1) KWG must be taken into
account (Lehnsdorf and Schneider 2002). This is particularly relevant for business activities listed
in section 1 (3) of KWG (leasing, factoring, financial advising, etc.) (Frank 2004), cf. section
1.5.4.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 153
processes are not clearly defined, documented and monitored, bias in reporting
becomes possible (Mensik 2004).
3.5.1.3 Basel II
In 2004, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published the final version
of the new Basel equity standards (Basel II, BIS 2004). The main goal of Basel II
is to strengthen the stability of the international financial system, to be achieved
by a better consideration of the economic situation of debtors and by a more risk-
appropriate determination of banks’ capital requirements. With the introduction
of Basel II, the solvency of credit users has become directly relevant for deter-
mining the equity needs of the lending bank. Moreover, apart from credit risks
and market risks, operational risks will now have to be included in the assess-
ment of the bank’s capital requirements.
Operational risk is defined as “the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or
failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events” (BIS 2003,
8). Examples are process risks, legal risks, technical risks, but not strategic or
reputation risks (BIS 2003, Rebouillon and Matheis 2004, 347). For outsourcing,
this implies that the sourcing provider must operate its processes exactly as de-
fined by the outsourcing bank (Dittrich and Braun 2004, 61). In addition to the
extended risk coverage by equity, Basel II contains a multitude of statutory re-
porting requirements which should ensure a transparent representation of risk
management (of credit risks, market risks and operational risks).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 155
Contract Law
The comprehensive supervisory guidelines concerning outsourcing contracts and
the contractual requirements for allowed outsourcing activities are given in Cir-
cular 11/2001 (BaFin 2001a, cf. section 3.5.1.1). The outsourcing partners can
either design an all-embracing agreement, which governs all aspects of the busi-
ness to be outsourced, or they can agree on a general framework agreement
which is supplemented by detailed and modular service level agreements (SLAs)
(Wullenkord et al. 2005, 139-141). The particular service level descriptions and
quality requirements are attached to the contract (Schrey 2004, 349-350). SLAs
are legally binding agreements and lead to sanctions and penalties in the case of
non-fulfillment. If designed properly, SLAs are an appropriate instrument to
ensure the quality of outsourced services (Cullen and Willcocks 2003). Finally,
the framework agreement is supplemented by price and volume schedules.
70
German Civil Code (Bürgerliches Gesetzbuch)
71
A transfer of ownership exists when a business unit retains its original identity after being trans-
ferred to the insourcer firm (Clever 2004, 227). In contrast, a succession in function exists when
no resources, personnel or customer bases are adopted. For more information, see (Mahr 2004).
156 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
72
Act against Restraints on Competition (Gesetz gegen Wettbewerbsbeschränkungen)
73
The European Merger Control Regulation (FKVO) becomes relevant if worldwide consolidated
revenue exceeds €5 billion p.a. and if at least two participating organizations (the insourcer and
the outsourced business unit of the outsourcer) each achieve more than €250 million of joint
revenue (FKVO, section 1 (2)). The German merger control regulation has lower threshold values
(GWB, section 37).
74
Apart from the VAT problem, there are a number of other tax related questions regarding corpo-
ration taxes, trade taxes, property transfer taxes, etc. which are not discussed in this work.
75
If the insourcer and outsourcer firms are based in the same country.
76
Turnover Tax Act (Umsatzsteuergesetz)
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 157
Privacy
Outsourcing of parts of the banking business is usually connected with granting
the insourcer access to sensitive data, such as customer information and bank
account data. The BDSG81 allows the processing and storing of customer-
specific data only if the individual has explicitly agreed to it (BDSG, section 4
(1)). If business processes are outsourced, all parties must ensure the confidenti-
ality, integrity and privacy of the data. The security requirements must be part of
the outsourcing contract and the outsourcer firm must continuously monitor the
provided services regarding security and privacy issues (BDSG, section 4 (1)). In
addition to these security and privacy issues, section 25 (2) of KWG and Circular
77
European Court of Justice (ECJ), Brussels
78
ECJ, case: RS. C-2/95 = ECJ ruling 1997, I-3017 (1997-06-05).
79
ECJ, case: RS. C-235/00 (2001-12-13).
80
Supreme Court of Judicature, London, Case no. C3 2002 109, 2003-04-19. http://www.hmcourts-
service.gov.uk/judgmentsfiles/j1707/cce_v_electronic_data_systems.htm (as of 19 Jul 2006).
81
German Federal Data Protection Act (Bundesdatenschutzgesetz)
158 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
82
formerly MaK – Minimum requirements for the credit business (BaFin 2002), now integrated into
MaRisk.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 159
by the credit factory has the same legal value as a decision of the bank itself
would have. This is almost impossible to realize outside the standardized credit
business. For large retail loans and corporate loans, the bank itself is usually
responsible for deciding the granting of a credit. However, the credit factory can
make the necessary preparations for the decision (ratings, collection of data, etc.)
(BaFin 2003, section II).
Investigative and consulting services in the workout subprocess are not sub-
ject to section 25a (2) of KWG if they represent only supporting and advisory
tasks (Theewen 2004, 109-110). In this case, outsourcing is unproblematic.
To summarize, it is possible, in principle, to outsource major parts of the
credit business and this was significantly facilitated by the explications of the
MaRisk. Nevertheless, the regulations require that banks make significant in-
vestments in the handling of risks. Efforts to transfer ownership and the VAT
problem further reduce the economic advantageousness of credit process out-
sourcing.
Sales / Risk
Assessment Processing /
preparation monitoring and Workout
and decision servicing
of credit claim management
€130 billion in total assets. The results have been documented in internal
case study reports by the E-Finance Lab and have partially been published in
various conference papers (Franke et al. 2005a; Wagner et al. 2006, Beim-
born et al. 2007a).
o Source EI: Expert Interviews 2004: In 2004, the E-Finance Lab conducted a
research project which developed a reference capability map for the German
banking business (Beimborn et al. 2005b) and analyzed the outsourcing po-
tential of parts of the private building loans process from both a legal and an
economic perspective. During this project, eight experts from the banking
industry and from consulting firms (serving the banking industry) were in-
terviewed83. Some of the findings of this project have already been presented
in section 3.2 of this work.
o In some sections, our own empirical research is complemented by empirical
results published by third parties.
In the following, the empirically relevant data derived from the studies is
aggregated from the different sources and presented in sub-sections on basic
demographics (section 3.6.1), process characteristics such as process perform-
ance, task interdependencies, process costs etc. (3.6.2), and BPO potential
(3.6.3). In chapter 5, the parameterization of the simulation model will refer to
these results.
3.6.1 Demographics
The first study (S1) in 2004 addressed the largest 519 German banks which can
be grouped into public savings banks (including state banks) (352 = 67.8%),
credit cooperatives (122 = 23.5%), and private commercial banks (45 = 8.7%).
The sample is representative as regards the size of these groups.
83
Information about the interview participants and the results of the interviews are internally ar-
chived by the E-Finance Lab.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 163
8.7% 10.1%
C redit C redit
cooperatives
cooperatives
23.5%
30.2%
59.7%
67.8%
Public Public
n=129
n=519 savings banks
savings banks
Figure 34: Distribution of bank sectors in the population (left) and in the
sample (right) in S1 (2004)
The follow-up study (S2) in 2005 incorporated the largest 1,020 German
banks (476 public savings banks, 465 credit cooperatives, and 79 commercial
banks). In this enlarged population the relative number of credit cooperatives is
almost doubled, while the proportion of public savings banks has decreased
(Figure 35, left). Unfortunately, in 2005 many of the savings banks decided not
to take part in the survey (Figure 35, right), leading to the dataset being non-
representative as regards the proportion of public savings banks and credit coop-
eratives. Therefore, all of the documented results were tested on structural differ-
ences between the three groups. Unless otherwise noted, the different bank sec-
tors did not give significantly different answers in the survey.
C ommercial banks C ommercial banks
7.7% 7.4%
C redit C redit
cooperatives cooperatives
34.6%
46.7%
45.6%
58.0%
Public Public
n=1,020 n=129
savings banks savings banks
Figure 35: Distribution regarding bank sectors in the population (left) and in
the sample (right) in S2 (2005)
The next table presents the distribution of the studies’ populations and sam-
ples in terms of firm size (measured by total assets and number of employees).
While in S1 the demographic data was added from a third party database, in S2
both measures were asked in the questionnaire. About 70% of the respondents
did not state the number of employees of their bank.
164 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
S1 (2004) S2 (2005)
84 Total assets Number of Total assets Number of
Measures
(mill. €) employees (mill. €) employees
.25 quartile ~1,200 ~360 ~480
Not analyzed due
Median ~2,000 ~520 ~850 to the large
.75 quartile ~5,300 ~1,020 ~2,000 number of miss-
ing values
Average 28,349 2,448 12,000
SD 100,437 8,661 52,097
Table 16: Descriptive statistics of bank size distributions of both samples
As can be seen from the quartiles and the comparison of median and average
value, the distributions are very right skewed, containing very few very large
banks but many institutions in the lower field. Figure 36 provides a visualization
of the total assets distribution (please note the logarithmic scale of the abscissa).
Obviously, the distribution of S2 is positioned more left because the studies
differed in targeted population size but focused on the largest (519 resp. 1,020)
banks in both cases.
40%
S1
S2
35%
30%
25%
frequency
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
total assets (in million EUR)
Figure 36: Size distribution of banks in both samples (S1 and S2),
based on total assets
The next figure shows the credit volumes (of all credit types) of both sam-
ples as well as the ratio between credit volume and total assets. Again, in S1 the
data was gathered from secondary sources, whereas it was directly achieved by
the survey in S2 (explaining the lower n due to missing values).
84
To ensure anonymity of the participating banks, no precise values were given for the quartiles.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 165
40% 35%
35% S1 30% S1
30% S2 25% S2
frequency
frequency
Figure 37: Credit volumes of both samples (left) and ratio between credit
volume and total assets (right)
In S2, we asked for both the SME credit volume and the number of SME
loans in stock. The results are shown in Figure 38. Based on both measures, the
average SME loan size can be determined as €470,000, admittedly with a large
spread (standard deviation = €945,000), expressing the huge outliers on the right.
On average, SME loans amount up to 50% of the total credit volume in German
banks. Again, there is a rather high standard deviation of 26 p.p. (Figure 39).
25% 35%
P=9,560 30%
20% P=581
V=57,809
25% V=1,167
n=98
n=116
frequency
frequency
15%
20%
10% 15%
10%
5%
5%
0% 0%
10 100 1.000 10.000 100.000 10 100 1.000 10.000
number of SME loans in portfolio SME credit volume in million EUR
Figure 38: Number of SME credits (l.) and SME credit volume (r.) in S2
25% P = 50%
V = 26%
n = 130
20%
frequency
15%
10%
5%
0%
0-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 81-90 91-100
ratio in % ( SME credit volume / total credit volume )
Figure 39: SME credit volume as part of the total credit volume (S2)
166 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Finally, the question to be answered is how bank size and credit volume are
interrelated. In the S1 dataset we tested a linear regression between total credit
volume and total assets. As can be seen in Figure 40, there is a very strong linear
relationship85. In S2, where the respondents were explicitly asked for the SME
credit volume, a similar significant relationship could be found for this particular
type of credit86 Besides the credit volume, the number of SME loans in stock is
strongly correlated with total assets, too (Pearson correlation = .391, p<.01).
1,000,000
100,000
total assets (=y)
10,000
1,000
n = 129
100
100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
total credit volume (=x)
Figure 40: Relationship between bank size (total assets) and total credit volume
(S1)
3.6.2 Characteristics of the Credit Process
In the following, some of our empirical results, which are relevant to BPO, are
highlighted. First, a short overview about the perceived performance and strate-
gic value of the credit business is given. Afterwards, particular characteristics of
the loans process are empirically investigated in order to fill the parameters of
the cooperative sourcing model (chapter 4) such as process costs, task interde-
pendencies, and complexity of business functions, and similarity between proc-
esses of different banks.
85
Pearson correlation = .836, Spearman correlation = .893, Pearson correlation on logarithmized
data =.968 (The latter were chosen in order to diminish the bias from exponential distributions.)
86
Pearson correlation = .404, Spearman correlation = .836, Pearson correlation on logarithmized
data = .672. (The latter were chosen in order to diminish the bias from exponential distributions.)
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 167
For measuring the process time, we asked for the average number of days
needed from submitting the credit proposal and all necessary documents by the
customer to the final commitment or refusal by the bank. In order to get more
precise data the question was asked twice – for a standardized loan and a rather
specific and complex financing proposal. The result is an average duration of 8.1
working days for the first and 14.3 days for the latter (Figure 43). The process
time correlates significantly with the managers’ satisfaction with the process87.
Pstandardized loan= 8.06 Pcomplex loan= 14.25 n=133
40%
standardized loan
35%
complex loan
p ro p o rtio n o f b an ks
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1-3 >3-6 >6-9 >9-12 >12-15 >15-18 >18
avg. process time in man-days
Figure 43: Process times for loan proposals (data source: S2)
Other studies on credit processes detailed this analysis to single tasks of the
credit process to determine inefficiencies more precisely. For example, a survey
of the Eastern German public savings banks association (OSGV) showed that
times for the processing of private building loans of eastern German public sav-
ings banks varied about 441% (Figure 44) (Holtmann and Kleinheyer 2002). In
the administration process step deviations of up to 124% were found.
4,525 304
An own case study on the retail building loan processing of a German com-
mercial bank showed that huge deviations not only occur between different
banks but also between different loans processing units within the same bank
(Table 17). Experts from other large commercial banks (source EI) confirmed
these results and stated that variations between 50% and 100% between different
internal service centers are quite common.
Deviation betw.
Average times per single Processing Processing Processing Processing
lowest and
private building loan in hours unit 1 unit 2 unit 3 unit 4
highest value
Taking over credit agreement 0:43 0:32 0:28 0:35 53%
Taking over collaterals 0:36 0:29 0:22 0:25 64%
Processing of collaterals 0:22 0:25 0:17 0:18 47%
Processing of credit 0:23 0:36 0:32 0:28 57%
Discharging credit 0:16 0:18 0:14 0:17 29%
Releasing collaterals 0:34 0:38 0:28 0:30 36%
Table 17: Processing times of different service centers of a German
commercial bank (data source: own analysis in 200388)
Apart from process times, process quality is an important item to determine
process performance. In S2, this item was measured by the proportion of loans
being processed without problems. As can be seen in Figure 45, on average three
quarters of the loans are processed without winding up for any reason.
P = 74.9% n= 129
35%
30%
25%
responses [%]
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
<30% 30%-<60% 60%-<80% 80%<-90% 90%-<95% 95%-100%
proportion of loans being processed without any problems [%]
Figure 45: Proportion of granted loans being processed without any problems
(data source: S2)
88
In 2004, the processes were reengineered and standardized, leading to significant reductions in
execution times and variation ranges.
170 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
P = 37.25%
V = 18.96 p.p.
60%
40%
failed loans
n = 88
20% P = 1.83%
V = 1.895 p.p.
0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
proportion of banks
Figure 46: Maximum percentage of failed loans (lower border) and of loans
without a “good” credit rating (upper border) (data source: S2)
While the proportion of failed loans is a “standardized” measure, the number
of loans not having at least a “good” rating depends on the scheme of rating
classes of the particular bank, partly explaining the high values. Therefore, these
answers are not comparable in all respects.
Apart from process time and quality, process costs are the third factor to
evaluate the performance of a business process. When asked for the process costs
associated with a single SME loan application, the following picture is revealed
(Figure 47).
89
Pearson correlation: -.343 compared to -.276 for standardized loans, both significant on .01-level
90
Pearson correlation with total assets = .250, p<.05 (n=84).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 171
P=1,357.50 n=38
35%
30%
25%
responses [%]
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
<300 300 - <500 500 - <700 700 - 1,000 - 2,000 - >= 3,000
<1,000 <2,000 <3,000
process costs [EUR]
Figure 47: Total process costs for a single SME loan application
(data source: S2) (König and Beimborn 2008, 190)
Irrespective of the fact that not even a third of the respondents (n = 38) could
(or wanted to) give an answer, the wide span of answers is noticeable. While the
average costs are €1,357.50, a quarter of the respondents stated costs of more
than €2,000. These huge differences between different banks have been found in
other studies as well (e.g. Hölzer 2004). Process costs are analyzed in detail in a
separate section (3.6.2.5).
The high correlation between process time and process costs is coherent
(Pearson correlation: .526, p<.01). Figure 48 visually shows the relationship for
standardized loans91. The regression function (also depicted in the diagram) im-
plies that by reducing process time by about one day, process costs for standard
loans could be reduced by about €131. Nevertheless, the large deviation of the
data points allows only for a very cautious interpretation.
91
Two extreme outliers have been removed.
172 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
4000
3500
process costs / loan [EUR] (=y)
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
0.7% 4.4%
8.1%
P = 2.99
n= 136
Figure 49: “The design of our SME credit process represents a sustainable
competitive advantage to our business.” (S2)
A measure to estimate the realized competitive advantage is the bank’s mar-
ket share in the relevant market (Bergeron et al. 2004; Chang and King 2005)
(Figure 50).
80%
P= 37.5% n = 114
70%
savings banks
60% credit cooperatives
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89
market share [%]
Figure 50: Stated market share of the SME credit business
in the relevant market [in %] (data source: S2)
On average, the banks stated their own market share in the SME credit busi-
ness in their relevant market to be 37.5%. Differentiated by bank sectors, com-
mercial banks report much smaller market shares than cooperatives and savings
banks because the SME credit business is often a very local business whereas the
large commercial banks often have a less distinctive branch infrastructure.
Moreover, for a savings bank or a credit cooperative the relevant market usually
consists only of the SMEs in the bank’s local surrounding.
174 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
92
Return on Equity
93
Operational Margin = 1 – (administrative costs + risk provisioning)/ operating income
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 175
P = 1.68% n= 94
40%
35%
30%
frequency [%]
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
0-.5 >.5-1.0 >1.0-1.5 >1.5-2.0 >2.0-2.5 >2.5-3.0 >3.0-3.5 >3.5-4.0
avg. interest margin [%]
Figure 51: Average interest margin for SME loans with a good rating
(data source: S2) (König and Beimborn 2008, 192)
The final question tackled in this section targets the strategic impact of the
SME credit business. What is the strategic value of this particular business seg-
ment? While the “output” side of this question is at least partly answered by the
indicators measuring competitive advantage (see above), we want to focus more
on the prerequisites of strategic value as argued by the core competence view (cf.
section 2.1.6): strategic value can only be provided by those capabilities of a firm
which represent core competencies. Figure 52 shows that most banks evaluate
the initial stages of the credit process (sales/preparation and assess-
ment/decision) as a core competence of their bank. Following the segmentation
models in chapter 3.2, this indicates that many banks would like to make their
primary focus reducing their business to a sales bank (cf. section 3.6.3). Never-
theless, the evaluations for the three remaining process parts are quite high, too.
frequency
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Workout
P=3.49 n=124
Figure 52: “Process step ... represents a core competence of our bank.”
(Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
176 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
The answers show quite a high correlation among themselves (Table 18).
The results in Figure 52 and the correlations are used for parameterization in the
simulation studies (section 5.3.3.2).
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/ Risk
preparation decision servicing monitoring
Assessment/
.415, p<.01
decision
Processing/ no significant
.305, p<.01
servicing correlation
Risk no significant
.428, p<.01 .388, p<.01
monitoring correlation
no significant
Workout .342, p<.01 .477, p<.01 .424, p<.01
correlation
Table 18: Correlation between perceived core competence of different process
steps (data source: S1)
The high correlation between mid and back-office functions but the lack of
correlation between sales and the back-office functions, shows that there is a
competence focus on one of these areas, usually the front office. Nevertheless,
the efficient management of the compound bundle of back-office activities can
also provide a competitive advantage.
To get a complementary perspective, the banks were also asked (for the
overall process) whether a BPO provider would be more competent in designing
and optimizing the SME credit process than the outsourcing bank. 37.2% agree
with this statement while only 21.7% of the respondents refute it (Figure 53).
3.9%
3.9% 2.3%
1 - totally agree
17.8% 2 - rather agree
34.9%
3 - indifferent
4 - rather disagree
5 - totally disagree
don't know
37.2%
P = 2.85
n= 129
3.6.3). From the RBV’s perspective, business functions can be outsourced if they
do not take valuable resources with them. Thus, analyses of the BPO potential
can help to establish the strategic relevance of the business process under inves-
tigation.
It can be concluded that there are some banks which achieve a competitive
advantage from the design of their SME credit process and which exploit this to
achieve cost leadership or a differentiation (cf. section 2.1.5). These banks rather
tend to have a higher market share in the relevant market, which has also in-
creased over the last three years and they are more satisfied with their profitabil-
ity. Nevertheless, the market for SME loans seems to offer potential for both
increasing internal performance by raising efficiency and consequentially in-
creasing the competitive advantage of the business by focusing more strongly on
core competencies.
Figure 54: Complexity of SME credit process steps (data source: S2)
As shown in Figure 54, the different parts of the credit process are, on aver-
age, estimated to be quite similar regarding complexity (medium to high). There
are no significant differences. In the same study, we tried to devise more indica-
tors to get deeper insights into the characteristics of the workflow. For example,
are the tasks highly repetitive, capable of being automated, or does every credit
application demand attention to its individual characteristics? The following
diagram presents an interesting picture.
178 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
percentage of respondents
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Figure 55: Characteristics of the SME credit process (data source: S2)
Overall, 40% of the responding managers evaluate the credit process tasks
as being routine, while 26.5% believe novel tasks appear with every application.
Further, changes to the process (legal issues or optimization activities) happen
quite often in almost 30% of the banks, while a few more do not change their
process often. The SME credit process is more variable and less repetitive. The
question now is, whether more complex tasks are less suited for outsourcing.
Respondents of S1 were asked whether only “simple” standardized credit proc-
esses like consumer loans or other credit products in retail banking are suitable
for outsourcing. The overwhelming majority agreed (85.3%) and stated the proc-
essing of complex products like corporate loans has to remain in-house. Never-
theless, there is a huge range from retail loans to large corporate investment
loans. Corporate loans for small firms and business customers, in particular, are
located somewhere in the middle in terms of complexity as shown in Figure 55.
would be possible (Figure 56). The results are quite heterogeneous with 22.7%
agreeing to and 25.2% disagreeing. Surprisingly, there is a huge number of re-
spondents who “don’t know” or are indifferent.
7.8% 3.9%
8.6%
18.8%
1 - totally agree
2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
26.6%
4 - rather disagree
5 - totally disagree
34.4%
don't know
P = 3.19
n= 128
Figure 56: “Only combined outsourcing of the several credit process steps
would be possible.” (Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
In the next step, the survey asked whether selective outsourcing of process
parts to specialized processing providers would be not only possible, but also
efficient (Figure 57).
1.6%
5.4% 3.1%
1 - totally agree
27.9% 36.4% 2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
4 - rather disagree
25.6% 5 - totally disagree
don't know
P = 2.96
n= 129
7.8%
39.5% 3 - indifferent
4 - rather disagree
23.3%
5 - totally disagree
P= 2.80
n= 129
Figure 58: “The parts of the credit process are so tightly interconnected that
selective outsourcing to specialized providers cannot be efficient.”
(Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
The interviewees of EI argued that, even if the task interdependence between
the activities is low, communication between the partners has to be much more
formalized. This is seen as a significant cost driver.
In S2 the analysis on task interdependencies was done in more detail. The
participants were asked about the loss of synergy if one of two process steps of
the credit process was outsourced.
frequency
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Figure 59: Level of synergy loss if one of two business functions is outsourced
(data source: S2) (König and Beimborn 2008, 197)
Diseconomies of scope would be most likely to occur if sales and credit de-
cision were interorganizationally separated; 87.2% of the participants rated them
as high or rather high. This result is comprehensible because most opportunities
to achieve a successful credit business are located at this interface. The more
“soft” information about the credit applicant and application is available in the
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 181
decision step, the more effective can the decision be. A separation into sales and
middle office units that is not only organizational (as legally required) but inter-
organizational can create serious problems. Further, there is a substantial agency
problem if sales is outsourced. In the past, banks have generated additional busi-
ness from external agents who did not have strong interest in extensively re-
searching the application and the applicant’s economic situation. The increased
volume of applications overwhelmed the deciders’ capacity and led to a signifi-
cant increase of loans with an (ex post) bad rating. One of the banks participating
in the case studies series (CASE) still has considerable problems with its risk
structure, which occurred when this sales strategy was used in the past.
Further interfaces, which would be strongly affected by selective outsourc-
ing, are between sales and risk management (53.8% rated diseconomies of scope
as (rather) high) and between assessment/decision and processing/servicing
(51.9%). The second result is very interesting because it represents a typical
break point between an outsourcing bank and a credit factory as already realized
by some German banks.
Between risk management, processing/servicing, and workout the loss of
synergy would be much lower for many banks (35.3% and 30.5%). The interface
between sales and workout offers high synergies for 26.9% of the participants.
This can be explained by the banks’ desire not to annoy the credit taking SME
during a dunning process and not to completely destroy the customer relationship
for all future. The relationship between the customer consultant and the customer
should not be needlessly stressed by interaction from workout units (CASE).
The same results as in S2 were found during the expert interviews (EI)
which were not focused on SME loans, but on building loans in the retail busi-
ness. All interviewees stated similar scope effects as above. Furthermore, EI also
incorporated the activities of product development and refinancing. The inter-
viewees found scope effects to be low between the operational process and prod-
uct development and refinancing, representing further potential break points for
efficient selective outsourcing.
The investigation of the SME credit process suggested two main reasons for
economies of scope. First, the joint usage of IT systems and the involvement of
employees in several different process steps often promises advantages (com-
pound resources) as has already been said of horizontal economies of scope.
Second, process redesign and optimization activities can be executed more effi-
ciently and effectively if the whole process is governed by the same entity (Pfeif-
fer et al. 1999, cf. section 2.1.1.1).
64.8% of the responding managers agreed that the joint usage of resources
by several process parts includes competitive advantages (Figure 60). Surpris-
ingly, a quite high number was not able to give any answer (8.6%).
182 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
8.6%
3.9%
7.8%
5.5%
1 - totally agree
2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
19.5% 4 - rather disagree
5 - totally disagree
57.0% don't know
P = 2.30
n= 128
Figure 60: “The joint usage of resources (IT, HR) by several process steps
includes important competitive advantages.” (Data source: S1)
The survey took a closer look at two distinct areas. When asked whether
processing and servicing of a credit (application) are usually provided by the
same person or whether they are split between two people (who are sometimes
organized in a middle office for processing and a back office for servic-
ing/administration), 79.7% of the participating banks answered that both process
steps are provided by the same person, arguing for significant task interdepend-
ence between these business functions (no figure).
A further indicator of the degree of task interdependence between different
activities is the design of the underlying application landscape. Are the different
process steps supported by the same application or do different information sys-
tems exist?
1.6%
7.0%
94
To be able to also represent the predominant use of particular application system, a five-level
scale was used instead of a binary one.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 183
In the majority of the participating banks (69.6%), the credit process is not
supported by a single “core application” (Figure 61). Thus, the question of inte-
gration of the several systems becomes a critical issue. Repeated data entries
represent an avoidable cost and error source. Nevertheless, more than half of the
banks (58.0%) still have media discontinuities which lead to the necessity of re-
entering data which is already electronically available (Figure 62).
4.7%
20.3%
23.4%
1 - totally agree
2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
14.1% 4 - rather disagree
37.5%
5 - totally disagree
P = 3.45
n= 128
Figure 62: “During the processing no data has to be manually entered which
has already been collected and entered in the sales step.” (Data
source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
One year later and with a population containing a higher proportion of
smaller banks, the result shifted slightly towards more integration. In S2, 37.6%
said they had no or almost no media discontinuities (compared to 28.1% in S1),
while only 38.4% (compared to 57.8%) stated the opposite (no figure). The
analysis further showed that credit cooperatives seem to have more strongly
integrated systems than the public savings banks95.
The efficiency potential for reducing media discontinuities is crucial for the
German banking industry; 87.6% agreed that their reduction would contribute
significantly to the optimization of the credit process.
Figure 63 shows the proportion of banks with media discontinuities between
the different process steps. They exist between sales and the subsequent prepara-
tion of the decision in more than half of the participating banks. The same situa-
tion occurs between servicing and risk monitoring and workout. Often, the latter
process steps are not only supported by different applications but also conducted
by different organizational units, while the middle steps of the figure usually take
place in the credit office.
95
Means: cooperatives: 2.9, savings banks: 3.4, Kruskal-Wallis test: p<.037.
184 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
n=115
70%
57.4%
60%
53.0% 53.0%
percentage of banks
50%
38.3%
40% 36.5%
30%
21.7%
20%
10%
0%
Figure 63: Existing media discontinuities between the several process steps of
the credit process (data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
To summarize, the credit process is organized quite heterogeneously in the
different banks. In many banks there is a dedicated employee who is responsible
for a particular loan (application), but who has to operate multiple systems. The
study showed that the assignment of different tasks to either the sales unit or the
back office is realized very differently across the participating banks. In the ma-
jority of the banks, data cannot be completely processed straight through without
re-entering any data. From an operational perspective, the interdependence of
sales and back-office tasks, as well as between back-office tasks and risk moni-
toring or workout seems to be rather limited, while within the credit office (deci-
sion, processing, administration, servicing) it is rather high.
frequency
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
96
The workout indicator correlates to bank size: Pearson correlation between total assets and stan-
dardization potential of workout: -.245, p<.01.
186 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
3.9% 5.5%
13.3%
1 - totally agree
20.3%
2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
4 - rather disagree
35.2% 5 - totally disagree
21.9%
don't know
P = 3.32
n= 128
Figure 65: “The information systems in the SME credit process are customized
in such a way that they cannot be replaced by standard software.”
(Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
Second, when asked if the credit process already uses industry-wide stan-
dardized data formats (which would significantly facilitate cooperative sourc-
ing), about one third (31.2%) confirmed this (Figure 66). On the other hand,
47.7% denied it.
7.0% 3.9%
13.3%
27.3% 1 - totally agree
2 - rather agree
3 - indifferent
4 - rather disagree
34.4% 5 - totally disagree
14.1% don't know
P = 3.28
n= 128
Figure 66: “The credit process primarily uses industry-wide standardized data
formats.” (Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
Summarizing, there is some standardization potential for parts of the back-
office processes and for the information systems being used. The current degree
of standardization of the data format further supports this verdict.
anything similar. S1 showed that about 30% of the Top 500 banks in Germany
use ABC (Wahrenburg et al. 2005, 30). 37.5% of the participating banks have (in
2004) already calculated the process costs for the total SME credit process, while
one fifth have also carried out a more detailed calculation for each of the process
steps. The larger the bank, the more likely it is to have already determined the
total process costs (Spearman97 correlation: .303, p<.01) or process costs for each
process step (Spearman correlation: .199, p<.05).
Although we did not request the same information in S2, it can be assumed
that – because another 500 smaller banks were additionally surveyed – it would
have shown a significantly lower proportion of banks which had already carried
out a monetary analysis of their credit process. In fact, only 28.7% of the S2
respondents were able (or willing) to confirm their overall process costs (n=38).
Initial results have already been presented in section 3.6.2.1. The average process
costs98 for sales/preparation plus assessment/decision were found to be
€1,357.50, but with big deviations (st. dev. = €1,377). The quartiles have been
given in the last row of Table 20 (p. 189). The process costs are not negatively
correlated to firm size or number of loans in stock, as one would have assumed,
due to potential economies of scale. Actually, the rank correlation even shows
moderate positive correlation99. This indicates that either economies of scale are
not being exploited by large players or – less likely – large players are “too
large”, i.e. already experiencing diseconomies of scale (cf. section 2.1.1.3).
The survey participants were asked to allocate the total process costs to the
five parts of the credit process. Table 19 gives the statistical results while Figure
67 summarizes them by depicting the frequency of the “most expensive” process
steps in the largest 1,000 banks.
Table 19 shows the distributions to be quite symmetrical: median and aver-
age values match quite well and the quartiles are quite symmetrical, too. Further,
a Kolmogorov-Smirnov-Test on normal distribution found that the data is quite
well normally distributed for all process steps100. A visual check of QQ-plots
validated these results.
97
A rank correlation coefficient was used to avoid bias resulting from the extremely skewed distri-
bution of total assets.
98
As usual in ABC, in our process analysis, process costs have been defined as total costs over the
loan life time. All direct and indirect costs for personnel, IT, material, calculatory write offs und
rents are allocated to the different process steps based on a singular compensation key (e.g. han-
dling time in each process step). Cf. (Joos-Sachse 2002, Nadig 2000) for the activity-based cost-
ing approach.
99
Spearman correlation with total assets = .335, p<.05, with SME credit volume = .485, p<.01.
100
The following significance levels have been estimated: assessment/decision, risk monitor-
ing/management, and workout: .001, sales/preparation: .023, processing/servicing: .038.
188 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
ng
ut
g
n
on
in
io
ko
ri
si
ic
ito
at
or
ci
rv
ar
on
de
W
se
ep
m
t/
g/
pr
en
sk
in
s/
Ri
le
es
ss
Sa
oc
se
Pr
As
20%
21%
risk costs
fraction of revenue
3%
60% 7% unit costs residuum
2%
5% unit costs back office
unit costs Sales
8% 21%
40% profit margin (DB III)
57% 60%
20% 41%
39%
0%
consumer private corporate corporate
credit building loan credit 2 credit 3 credit product
small SME medium-size
SME
Figure 68: Allocation of credit revenue for different products for a large
German public savings bank (data source: (Rösemeier 2005))
101
The work on hand is not explicitly concerned about credit risk costs because basically they play
no major role in the outsourcing decision, as long as refinancing is not outsourced. In this case,
risk costs would only be affected if the sourcing provider provided less effective risk monitoring,
or if the bank’s overall risk of the credit portfolio would increase due to lower diversification op-
portunities. Risk costs primarily are of a calculatory nature (Hölzer 2004, 236; Platzer and Riess
2004, 162) since credit risks have to be covered by equity.
190 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
The relationships between different products differ greatly. SME loans show
a lower profitability than retail products but significantly higher credit risk
costs102. Even more interestingly, the ratio between process costs in the sales
department and the back office is 3-4 : 1 for retail products and loans to medium-
size SMEs, while it is only 1.6 : 1 for small SMEs. However, relatively low sales
costs are compensated for by higher risk costs in that market segment. Of course,
this is only an exemplary snapshot of one particular bank.
In the expert interviews on retail building loan credit business (EI) we tried
to conduct a more detailed analysis to get a sounder understanding of the cost
drivers. Again, the interview partners were asked to assign the respective total
process costs to the different process steps. In this case, the analysis was based
on a more fine-grained credit process (based on the reference process in section
3.3.2.2). Although only estimations of comparative cost levels were requested,
the interview partners had huge problems in assigning percentage values to the
different process steps. Therefore, after the second interview the approach was
changed. Based on the initial data and on further input from a consulting com-
pany, an initial estimation was developed which was discussed with the inter-
view partners. After all interviews had been conducted, the values were adapted
following the discussion results. Table 21 presents the final results.
proportion of total
process costs
33% 30% 3% 30% 4%
proportion of total
process costs 3% 8% 22% 10% 20% 3% 20% 6% 4% 4%
proportion of
fixed costs
40% 90% 90% 90% 90% 100% 90% 90% 70% 100%
proportion of
variable costs
60% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 30%
102
Consumer credits usually have only a low amount of risk which is covered by the debtor’s while
building loans are collateralized by a mortgage on the financed object. The value of the building
usually exceeds the credit volume by 20-25%.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 191
consulting and offer. Retail building loans need a lot of consultation and frequent
meetings with the customer until the necessary documents are completed for the
credit application. Within processing, two third of the costs are assigned to con-
tract closure & outpayment. The main cost drivers in this process step are han-
dling collaterals (esp. land charges) and the outpayment in several tranches (be-
fore each partial outpayment the customer’s and the object’s situation have to be
reviewed again). In administration/servicing, the most cost-intensive task is
prolongating the loan because this basically represents granting a new loan (in-
cluding new creditworthiness evaluation and negotiation of updated credit condi-
tions).
After the relative process costs of each business function have been deter-
mined, the follow-up question is how these costs can be divided into fixed and
variable costs. Process costs resulting from ABC usually follow a long-term full-
cost consideration, making no explicit differentiation between fixed and variable
components (in the long term everything is variable). Requesting such estimates
in a questionnaire would lead to an unacceptable high effort needed to fill it out;
therefore we did not try to gather such detailed data in the surveys.
Even when experts were asked (EI) to divide relative process costs into
fixed and variable parts, they only understood this question in a short-term per-
spective. They stated a 90-to-10 relationship between fixed and variable costs for
most of the process steps (except sales: 40/60 and workout: 70/30) (Table 21
above) but considered personnel spending to be fixed. In a long-term considera-
tion, e.g. relevant for outsourcing decisions, major parts of HR costs nevertheless
are variable because the cost allocation base of HR is work time and major parts
of it can be explicitly assigned to a single credit or credit proposal in many of the
process steps103. Therefore, when considering outsourcing, the results above
cannot provide an accurate enough estimation of fixed-cost degression from
outsourcing.
Lamberti and Pöhler (2004) argue that a bank’s operational costs are pre-
dominantly formed by IT and personnel. IT costs, particularly, do not increase in
proportion to bank size (Hughes 1999, 2) and – because many banking processes
are IT intensive – have a significant influence on economies of scale. Thus, a
potential proxy for long-term fixed and variable costs is dividing process costs
103
A sourcing provider can also realize economies of scale from short-term fixed costs by pooling
process volumes because usually there will be volume oscillations over time which are not per-
fectly correlated between different clients. Nevertheless, the insourcer has to keep additional “ca-
pacities” in reserve.
192 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
by the main input factors employed, HR and IT, with HR assumed to be variable
and IT costs to be fixed in the long term104.
We followed two different paths to get an estimation of the relationship be-
tween input of IT and HR in the five process steps of the SME credit process (S1
+ S2). As a first and qualitative approach, in S2 the managers responsible for the
credit process had to evaluate the degree of IT usage in each process step on a 7-
Likert scale from “no IT” to “only IT”. In all process steps, intensive IT usage
could be found, strongest in processing/servicing. In contrast, a few banks stated
that they do not use any IT in sales, decision, and workout (Figure 69).
frequency
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
1 - only IT 2 3 4 5 6 7 - no IT
104
Of course, this approach is rudimentary and does not take into account other cost factors as
equipment and, particularly, costs for physical resources. Nevertheless, for determining a rela-
tionship of fixed and variable costs the classification of physical resources is quite difficult be-
cause if HR is variable in the long term, office space will be, too. Further, minor parts of HR are
largely independent of the credit volume (e.g. administration of credit processing units etc.)
while, on the other side, parts of IT depend on processing volume: at least, when insourcing larger
processing volumes from other banks, IT capabilities usually have to be extended.
105
There might be biased perceptions of the intensity of IT usage between large and small banks
which relativize this conclusion.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 193
100%
80%
n n
n
frequency
60% n n
40%
20%
= = = = =
0%
ut
n
ng
n
ri n
io
io
ko
ci
at
is
ito
or
vi
ar
ec
on
er
W
ep
more IT
t/d
/s
m
pr
en
ng
k
s/
is
si
m
no change
le
R
es
ss
Sa
oc
se
less IT
Pr
As
25%
M
20%
MF
15%
10%
5%
0%
0 to 5 5 to 9 10 to 19 20 to 49 50 to 99 > 100
number of employees
Figure 71: Number of employees involved in the SME credit process in sales
unit (M) and middle/back office (MF) (data source: S2)
Further, the survey asked for the annual IT budget dedicated to the overall
SME credit process. Only 32 managers were able to quantify this measure. Of
course, due to the very skewed distribution of bank size, the IT budgets vary in
the same way. The average budget was stated to be about €675,120, while the
median was €250,000.
194 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
9
n=32
8 P=675.12
frequency of answers
7 median=250
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0-100 100-200 200-300 300-500 500-1,000 1,000-3,000 3,000-5,000
IT budget for the SME credit process [in €1,000]
Figure 72: IT budget106 for SME credit process (data source: S2)
In the next step, based on the data of these 32 banks, IT budget and HR costs
(employees multiplied by an average labor cost factor of €55,000 per year107)
were assigned to the five steps of the credit process following the keys listed in
Table 22.
Of course, this allocation approach has some shortcomings. One major one –
apart from the statistical problems of multi-step average computation – is that the
IT budget usually cannot be additively allocated to the different process steps.
For example, if we assume that the whole credit process is supported by a single
core application (cf. Figure 61), then the IT budget will barely decrease if one of
the process steps is outsourced. This again represents vertical economies of
scope from shared resources. Furthermore, product-based (i.e. horizontal)
economies of scope may occur because the same application might be used for
multiple related credit products. Consequently, to provide a more robust ap-
proach, we chose two different allocation mechanisms for each input factor
which results in four (resp. three, see below) different combinations when esti-
mating the ratio between IT and HR costs.
106
Please note that the ranges on the abscissa differ in size.
107
As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (FSO 2004), the average labor costs in the banking
industry have been €56,693 in 2004. In one EI, average labor costs for the credit department of a
medium-sized public savings bank were reported to be around €50,884.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 195
Cost Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
allocation monitoring/ Workout
preparation decision servicing
key management
IT I IT cost allocation based on individual relative process costs (Table 19)
IT II IT cost allocation based on individual relative degree of IT usage (Figure 69)
Sum of M staff and MF staff (Figure 71) allocated based on relative individual
HR I
process costs (Table 19)
83% of M 17% of M
staff staff
HR II108
14% of MF 57% of MF 10% of MF 19% of MF
staff staff staff staff
Table 22: Cost allocation keys
While the combination of IT I and HR I makes no sense (same allocation
base), the three remaining combinations of IT and HR cost allocation schemes
are used to determine the relationship between IT and HR costs (Table 23) for all
banks which have provided the necessary data in the questionnaire.
Cost allocation
HR I HR II
scheme
IT I B
IT II A C
Table 23: Cost allocation schemes
Table 24 provides the resulting distributions of IT and HR costs based on the
different cost allocation keys for all five process steps of the SME credit process.
Due to the large variation in the number of loans (last row) total costs vary
strongly. Because there are very few very large banks, average values and stan-
dard deviation have been computed without extreme values109.
108
Fixed distribution based on average/median values of relative process costs (Table 19) and based
on the following assumptions: a) the decision step (including preparation of necessary documents)
is equally split to M and MF, b) risk monitoring/management is only partially operated (assumed
to be 50%) by MF staff, because these activities are usually executed by other centralized organ-
izational units. A similar assumption can be made for workout.
109
Extreme values are defined here as exceeding or falling short of the quartiles by more than three
times the inter-quartile distance.
196 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
3.00
2.00
ratio
Value
IT/HR
1.00
0.00
Sales/
Sales Assessm./ Processing
Handling / Servicing Workout
preparationPreparation
decision/ Decision Risk monitoring
Process part
3.00 3.00
A C
2.00 2.00
IT/HR ratio
Valueratio
Value
IT/HR
1.00 1.00
0.00 0.00
Sales/ Sales/
Sales Assessm./ Processing
Handling / Servicing Workout
Sales Assessm./ Processing
Handling / Servicing Workout preparationPreparation
preparationPreparation
decision/ Decision Risk monitoring decision/ Decision Risk monitoring
Process part Process part
Figure 73: Distribution of IT/HR cost ratio, presented as box plots without
extreme values (data source: S2, n=32)
The box plots in Figure 73 give an overview of the value ranges for the dif-
ferent process parts resulting from the applied cost allocation schemes A, B, and
C. Table 25 lists the corresponding values. Interestingly, risk monitoring shows
the highest average and median values of all process parts. This indicates that
risk monitoring is comparably strongly determined by IT costs. Other process
parts that show relatively high IT costs are processing/servicing and workout.
Nevertheless, all the analyses show that most ratios are firmly below 1.0. This
means that IT costs represent only the minor part of the process cost structure of
the SME credit business. The Pearson correlation values between the IT/HR cost
ratio and the number of loans in stock all show a negative orientation (cf. Table
25, outer right column): the larger the total credit engagement, the smaller is the
198 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
relative portion of IT costs. If IT costs were assumed to be fixed in the long term
and HR effort is variable in the long term, this indicated an under-proportional
cost trend (i.e. economies of scale) at least for the range investigated.
Cost Correlation
Correlations
alloca- with number
Process step Quartiles between cost
tion
allocation schemes of loans in
scheme stock
110
(Pearson)
avg sd .00 .25 .50 .75 1.00 A-B B-C A-C
A .15 .15 .00 .04 .07 .21 .54 -.15
Sales/ .63
B .17 .14 .02 .05 .12 .24 .55 .92 -.31
preparation .69
C .12 .12 .00 .03 .08 .17 .52 -.25
A .35 .41 .00 .05 .18 .45 1.36 -.32
Assessment/ .36
B .22 .18 .01 .06 .16 .33 .60 .82 -.18
decision .70
C .24 .24 .00 .07 .13 .40 .96 -.27
A .24 .24 .03 .05 .11 .40 .87 -.24
Processing/ .43
B .19 .20 .02 .06 .14 .18 .68 .76 -.25
servicing .89
C .21 .19 .03 .06 .14 .32 .68 -.28
A .36 .36 .05 .20 .28 .51 1.06 -.34
Risk .13
B .74 .96 .04 .16 .23 1.21 3.90 .45 -.18
monitoring .78
C .84 .65 .20 .35 .61 1.02 2.27 -.32
A .31 .31 .00 .16 .30 .40 .90 -.19
.42
Workout B .28 .33 .00 .07 .12 .32 1.20 .60 -.24
.68
C .31 .23 .00 .17 .23 .41 .96 -.15
Table 25: Statistical measures of distribution of IT/HR cost ratio
without extreme values (data source: S2, n=32).
The following figure visualizes this relationship between cost ratio and
number of loans for cost allocation scheme A. Schemes B and C show structur-
ally equivalent results.
110
Correlations are not significant due to small sample size.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 199
Sales/preparation
1.40
Assessment/decision
Processing/servicing
1.20
Risk monitoring
fixed/variable cost ratio
1.00 Workout
Linear (Sales/preparation)
0.80
Linear (Assessment/decision)
0.20
0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
num ber of SME loans in stock [in Thsd.]
Figure 74: Distribution of IT/HR cost ratio in relation to number of SME loans
in stock without extreme values for cost allocation scheme A
(data source: S2, n=32)111.
In this diagram, the trend line111 declines most strongly for assess-
ment/decision, representing the greatest economies of scale. Second is risk moni-
toring. For B and C (not displayed), risk monitoring shows the most strongly
decreasing trend line. The final table gives the slope values of the regression
functions of all the cost allocation schemes used. Due to strongly divergent
scales on the abscissa and the ordinate, the slope values are given for a 1,000
loans scale112.
Cost allocation scheme
Slope values
A B C
Sales/preparation -.0015 -.0046 -.0033
Assessment/decision -.0202 -.0027 -.0077
Processing/servicing -.0053 -.0061 -.0066
Risk monitoring -.0086 -.0210 -.0237
Workout -.0035 -.0088 -.0019
Table 26: Slope values of linear regression between number of loans and cost
ratio (Grey cells show the highest value in their column.)
The results suggest that risk monitoring and assessment/decision show rela-
tively high automation potential. Both processes are related to the rating which
111
Trend line computed by linear regression using least squares method
112
For example, a slope value of -.02 represents cost ratio decreasing by .02 if loans stock increases
by 1,000 units. Although a logarithmic regression would be more fitting in some cases, we de-
cided to solely use linear regression to enable comparability. Thus, the R2 values are very low, al-
lowing only a weak representation of data by trend lines.
200 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
has to be executed once at the beginning but also has to be repeated periodically
during the contract period to uncover possible changes in the bank’s risk portfo-
lio.
Although this cost analysis has been done on a small empirical base, the re-
sults can be used for simulation studies which are able to compensate shortcom-
ings in the empirical investigation by numerical sensitivity analyses. The differ-
ent cost allocation schemes A, B, and C have been applied to get a more robust
quantitative insight into the cost structures of the process being investigated and
can be used in the simulations as different data seeds for varying parameter set-
tings within the sensitivity analyses (cf. section 5.3.3).
In the following section, the results on process costs will be complemented
by direct questions regarding the estimated cost savings potential (and further
effects) from BPO.
100%
frequency of responses
n=123
80% 89.3%
60%
40%
10.0%
20%
16.5%
0%
Sales bank Portfolio bank Transaction bank
Figure 75: “In which segment will your bank primarily specialize itself in
future?” (Data source: S1, multiple answers possible)
The remainder of this section will analyze the status quo and the potential
for BPO in the German credit business. BPO projects have been realized on the
German banking landscape for many years, esp. in transaction banking like pay-
ments and securities processing (cf. section 3.4.2). In the less automated and
automatable credit process, these tendencies are still significantly rare. Accord-
ingly, 91.4% of the respondents of S1 evaluate BPO of credit processes to be in
its infancy. Nevertheless, if asked for their personal attitude towards outsourcing,
only 35.3% gave a positive answer.
Regarding the status quo of credit process outsourcing, the survey partici-
pants of S1 were asked for every process step of the reference process whether
they run it in-house (make) or not (buy). If they run it in-house, they have been
further asked whether they offer it to other banks as a sourcing provider (offer).
percentage of respondents
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Sales/preparation n=125
Assessm./decision n=125
Processing/servicing n=125
Workout n=121
Figure 76: Current sourcing strategy for the different process steps
(data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
Corresponding to the results in section 3.4.3, Figure 76 shows that the ma-
jority of the German banks currently follow the make strategy for all of its SME
credit process parts. Assessment/decision and risk monitoring/management espe-
202 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
cially are done in-house (offer + partial offer + make: 98.4% resp. 99.2%). In
contrast, outsourcing is most common for workout (6.5%) and process-
ing/servicing (4.7%) in the German Top 500 banks. In total, 14.2% of the par-
ticipating banks have (partially or totally) outsourced parts of the SME credit
process (10.4 of savings banks, 15.3% of cooperatives, and 30.8% of commercial
banks). Only 4.7% have completely outsourced at least one of the specified proc-
ess steps and 2.3% chose “buy” or “partially make and buy” for more than one
process step.
6.2% of the responding banks insource processes from other banks. Two of
them offer the whole SME credit process (all process steps) to other banks.
When a bank had outsourced parts of its credit process, the manager was
further asked about the success of the sourcing project113.
0.0%
12.5%
1 - successful
29.2%
12.5% 2 - rather successful
3 - indifferent
4 - rather unsuccessful
5 - unsuccessful
45.8% P = 2.55
n= 24
Figure 77: “In total, I evaluate our outsourcing as… .” (Data source: S1)
None of the responding 24 banks is totally content with the result of credit
process outsourcing, not even a third are fairly content (Figure 77). Moreover,
25% of the respondents evaluate their outsourcing as (rather) unsuccessful. This
perfectly matches with the studies of Caldwell/McGee (1997) and Corbett (2002)
who both found a “relationship failure” in 25% of investigated IT outsourcing
relationships, which finally broke down.
The number of firms which have at least evaluated an outsourcing strategy
for their credit business is only slightly higher (33 banks = 27.5%, no figure)
than the number of banks which already did outsourcing. Again, the commercial
banks appear as “fast movers”, 46.1% of them having already evaluated out-
sourcing, while only 30.7% of the credit cooperatives and 22.0% of the savings
banks had done the same (data source: S1, state: 2004). The small number of
banks which have evaluated outsourcing of their credit process but have not
113
In Figure 76, not all respondents gave an answer which explains the slightly higher number of
outsourcers in Figure 77.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 203
realized it, indicates that the market for credit process outsourcing is still in the
early stages of development. To get a better perspective on possible future dy-
namics, the participants of S1 were asked about the optimal sourcing configura-
tion, compared to the actual one (Figure 76). Figure 78 gives the corresponding
picture.
percentage of respondents
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Sales/preparation n=125
Assessm./decision n=125
Processing/servicing n=125
W orkout n=121
Figure 78: Optimal sourcing strategy for the different process steps
(data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
Processing/servicing and workout will be the process steps most affected by
future reorganizing activities. About 60% of the respondents would change the
sourcing strategy for those process steps. Almost 20% of the banks which today
“make” their credit process consider complete outsourcing to be optimal for
processing/servicing (19.1%) or workout (18.5%). Another 14.6% or 17.6%
evaluates at least partial outsourcing to be optimal. On the other hand, 23.6%
(14.8%) stated that they optimally should offer at least parts of the process-
ing/servicing (workout) to other banks.
For the risk monitoring/management activity the picture changes: only
24.6% would change the current make-strategy and the ratio between buy and
offer is reversed: for these process steps, more banks would concentrate on offer-
ing services instead of outsourcing them.
Strategy changes of banks that already follow a buy- or offer-strategy do not
play any role in this analysis. Two of the responding banks which currently offer
workout services intend to completely outsource this process step, two others
want at least to cancel their service offering and to go back to a pure make-
strategy.
After conducting a single activity analysis, Figure 79 shows the resulting
overall optimal credit process sourcing configuration. The analysis only consid-
ers participating banks which gave answers for all process steps (n=105). The
figure aggregates the results of 76% of these banks; all others chose other
unique, partially “exotic” combinations.
204 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout
20.0%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout 16.2%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout 8.6%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout
7.6%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout
6.7%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout 3.8%
Risk
Sales/
preparation
Assessment/
decision
Processing/
servicing
management/ Workout 3.8%
monitoring
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout 2.9%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout 2.9%
Risk
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/
preparation decision servicing
management/
monitoring
Workout
2.9%
Make Pure
Legend: Buy
& offer make
ticipating bank managers still believe that at least for the SME credit business,
the concept of the fully integrated bank is optimal. Other configurations being
favored are outsourcing of both processing/servicing and workout (16.2%) as
well as the complementary opposite business model of offering both activities as
services to other banks (8.6%). Further 7.6% and 6.7% can only envisage out-
sourcing of either processing/servicing or workout. Only very few banks (3.8%)
believe the outsourcing of the overall back office (processing/servicing, risk
monitoring, workout) to be optimal. A similar number of banks intends to be-
come a service provider for exactly this portfolio of business functions.
For our further research we define the following business models (for analy-
ses in the simulation studies in chapter 5, in particular). We distinguish between
the traditional fully integrated bank without service provision to other banks and
an “innovative” fully integrated bank with service provision which may deliver
any of the business functions to third parties. Further, there are selective out-
sourcers (outsourcing of only one business function of the back office), major
outsourcers (outsourcing of two business functions of the back office), and sales
banks (outsourcing of the whole back office). Pure sales banks (outsourcing of
everything but sales) and PSPs are classified also, although the respondents did
not prefer these options. The reason is that these business models are not real
banking business models because the first is only the intermediation of loans
while the latter represents, in large part, activities which do not necessarily have
to be provided by banks (cf. section 3.3.3). Thus, bank managers will obviously
not reshape the business model of their institute to one of these business models
but would rather arrange for a subsidiary to take over those tasks (cf. section
3.4.3).
206 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
0.7% 2.2%
Figure 81: “It is reasonable to consolidate parts of the SME credit process with
those of other banks into a joint credit factory.” (Data source: S2)
The respondents were even more negative about the joint credit factory be-
ing substituted by another bank. Only 7.4% of the banks stated that it is generally
reasonable to outsource parts of the credit process to another bank; however,
there is a slightly more positive attitude among larger banks114.
1.5% 5.9%
47.1% 3 - indifferent
36.8% 4 - rather disagree
5 - totally disagree
P= 4.22
n= 136
Figure 82: “It is reasonable to outsource parts of the SME credit process to
another bank.” (Data source: S2)
This more cautious attitude can be explained by the increased strategic risks
(see below) and maybe because cost savings potential is thought to be lower,
because credit factories in Germany do not usually operate as banks and thus can
avoid paying the high cost of the banking tariff. By contrast, large US banks, for
example, insource the back-office tasks of other banks quite often (e.g. Citibank,
Wells Fargo) (Pieske 2005).
Compared to this distinctly unwelcoming overall attitude, an analysis of the
level of single activities uncovers a differentiated picture. The negative attitude
114
Pearson correlation with total assets: -.189, p<.05
208 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
P=4.81 n=133
Sales/preparation
Figure 83: “I could imagine outsourcing process step ... to another bank.”
(Data source: S2) (König and Beimborn 2008, 203)
Outsourcing a business function to another bank implies that it might be co-
operation between competitors (“coopetition”, cf. section 2.1.8.1). Consequently,
when the survey participants were asked what strategic risk would arise from
outsourcing the different credit process parts to another bank, a similar picture
emerged (Figure 84). While strategic risks from outsourcing sales/preparation or
assessment/decision to another bank are evaluated as too high by almost all of
the survey participants, for the latter parts of the credit process this does not
necessarily apply. For processing/servicing and workout, strategic risk is evalu-
ated as being rather low by 34.8% and 47.3% of the respondents.
percentage of responses
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Figure 84: “The strategic risk from outsourcing process step ... to another bank
would be too large.” (Source: S2) (König and Beimborn 2008, 203)
In the expert interviews (EI), none of the interviewees saw increased risks
from coopetition. The access to customer data would be a serious threat, but
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 209
becoming dependent on
P=2.31 n=129
insourcer
Figure 85: How do you evaluate different risks resulting from outsourcing parts
of your SME credit process? (S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
Another important factor is the inability to sufficiently specify a service
level agreement (SLA) in order to align the insourcer to the outsourcer’s own
objectives. Closely related but seen as less problematic, is the risk of the in-
sourcer behaving opportunistically (24.8%), i.e. exploiting contract incomplete-
ness and the lack of or an incomplete control system. Matching the argumenta-
tion above, the least worrying item appears to be security problems (21%) arising
from the exchange of sensitive information between different companies (integ-
rity problems either during communication or in the insourcer’s systems because
the latter might follow less restrictive security regulations (Earl 1996; Accenture
2002; Petzel 2003)).
210 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Variabilisation of
P=1.95
costs
Focussing on core
P=1.98
competencies
Getting access to
specialized P=2.33
resources
115
Spearman correlation: -.190 (not significant due to low number of samples: n =35). For measuring
the correlation, the items regarding outsourcing potential of the three back-office business func-
tions were aggregated by a principal component analysis (PCA) to achieve single measures.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 211
19.3% believe that these savings will not be wasted by occurring transaction
costs (Figure 87, right).
2.9%
7.4% 4.4%
19.9%
P=30.8% V=12.7p.p.
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0-10% 11-20% 21-30% 31-40% 41-50% 51-60% 61-70% 71-80%
Figure 88: What are the minimum operational cost savings which have to be
met to make BPO a favorable strategy? (Data source: S1)
(Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
As already argued in the theoretical section, one major reason for cost reduc-
tion from outsourcing lies in realizing additional economies of scale by bundling
212 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
similar processes of different firms. Above, we showed that the majority of the
responding bank managers believe that parts of the credit process can be suffi-
ciently standardized, which is a necessary precondition (cf. section 3.6.2.4).
Based on this, the respondents of S1 were requested to estimate whether there are
economies of scale which an insourcer could realize by serving multiple clients.
6.3%
1.6% 4.7% 1.6%
14.8%
8.6% 16.4%
1 - totally agree 12.5% 1 - totally agree
2 - rather agree 2 - rather agree
12.5% 3 - indifferent 3 - indifferent
10.2%
4 - rather disagree 4 - rather disagree
5 - totally disagree 5 - totally disagree
56.3% don't know 54.7% don't know
P = 2.19 P = 2.87
n= 128 n= 136
rejected by the majority of the participants (Figure 90). As expected, the answers
were related to firm size116.
2.3% 0.8%
9.3%
47.3% P = 3.85
n= 129
Figure 90: “Scale economies are already exhausted within the firm. A sourcing
provider cannot realize further significant scale economies.”
(Data source: S1) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005)
A quantitative investigation of realizable cost savings from BPO in the
German credit business is not possible as only very few outsourcing deals have
been realized so far. All participants in EI were unable to quantify cost savings
from outsourcing process parts to a credit factory, due to both a lack of knowl-
edge about in-house processing costs and lack of BPO experience. They just
argued that the optimization of in-house processes would significantly decrease
possible further savings from outsourcing, but process modularization would
increase them. The interview partners argued that, based on their observations,
process cost savings through outsourcing today would not exceed 10–15% (after
considering VAT), based on the fact that a credit process had not yet been opti-
mized in-house. These savings would be too low to justify outsourcing (cf.
Figure 88, where survey participants on average wanted 30% cost savings to
make outsourcing a favorable option).
A reason for the current lack of cost advantages offered by credit factories is
the lack of efforts being made to standardize. Credit factories have still not been
able to completely standardize their client’s processes to one reference credit
process. In EI, it was stated by multiple sources that credit factories usually only
reach a standardization degree of 40–60%. One reason is that some credit facto-
ries are “outsourced problems” of banks which just separate their credit depart-
ments organizationally without establishing a new and industrialized process
(EI+CASE). Thus, the organizational and process structure of credit factories is
often similar to the former credit departments. Opening this structure to third
116
Spearman correlation with total assets: -.335, p<.01 and credit volume: -.317, p<.01.
214 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
117
This analysis was published in the proceedings of the 11th Americas Conference on Information
Systems in Omaha (NE), USA (Beimborn, Franke, and Weitzel 2005a).
118
In contrast to covariance-based approaches as e.g. LISREL, AMOS, or EQS, commonly used,
e.g., in marketing science, sociology, or psychology, PLS has minimal requirements for meas-
urement scales, residual distribution, and sample size (Chin 1998).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 215
Economies
of scope
-
Hypotheses to be tested:
H1
Perceived economies of scope reduce
H1 (-)
the perception of BPO potential.
Economies BPO
Additionally achievable economies of
+
of scale H2 potential H2 (+) scale promote the perception of BPO
potential.
Perceived economies of skill of
+ H3 (+) service providers promote the percep-
H3 tion of BPO potential.
Economies
of skill
119
Reflective mode represents indicators reflecting the variance of the construct. All indicators of the
construct are supposed to move in the same direction if the construct score shifts.
216 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Scales Descriptive
Construct Indicator Description (reference) Loadings
(* = scale reversed) results
BPO would imply scale
1 – totally disagree* avg = 3.81
SCALE1 effects from HR reduc- .742
5 – totally agree* sd = .894
Economies tions. (Figure 89)
of scale There are no further scale
1 – totally agree avg = 3.85
SCALE2 effects realizable by BPO. .896
5 – totally disagree sd = .924
(Figure 90)
Credit processing/
1 – totally agree* avg = 2.31
SKILL1 servicing is our core .759
5 – totally disagree* sd = .999
competence. (Figure 52)
Economies Risk monitoring is our
1 – totally agree* avg = 1.88
of skill SKILL2 core competence. .845
5 – totally disagree* sd = .891
(Figure 52)
Workout is our core com- 1 – totally agree* avg = 2.51
SKILL3 .711
petence. (Figure 52) 5 – totally disagree* sd = 1.108
Competitive advantage
1 – totally disagree* avg = 3.70
SCOPE1 from shared resources .945
5 – totally agree* sd = .768
(Figure 60)
Economies
Selective outsourcing is
of scope
inefficient due to tight 1 – totally disagree* avg = 3.20
SCOPE2 .424
interconnectedness. 5 – totally agree* sd = 1.063
(Figure 58)
Optimal sourcing strategy 1 – make (incl. offer)
avg = 2.02
BPOPO1 of credit process- 3 – partially make/buy .807
sd = 1.543
ing/servicing (Figure 78) 5 – buy
Optimal sourcing strategy 1 – make (incl. offer)
BPO avg = 1.25
BPOPO2 of risk monitoring 3 – partially make/buy .697
potential sd = .866
(Figure 78) 5 –buy
1 – make (incl. offer)
Optimal sourcing strategy avg = 2.18
BPOPO3 3 – partially make/buy .773
of workout (Figure 78) sd = 1.613
5 – buy
Table 27: Indicators used in the PLS analysis
For economies of skill, those indicators have been included which show the
highest heterogeneity of answers and which focus on the business functions
which primarily have optimization potential mainly from a cost perspective (lat-
ter activities of the credit process back-office activities). Nevertheless, the indi-
cators do not explicitly distinguish between core competence resulting from cost
advantages and those resulting from time or quality advantages and thus also
incorporate an RBV/CCV-perspective. However, we can argue that differences
in process quality, particularly in back offices, can usually be transformed to cost
advantages since quality is measured in error rates (affecting process costs) and
effectiveness of the rating (influencing risk costs) (Wahrenburg et al. 2005).
Furthermore, the time dimension shows to be correlated with process costs in our
sample (cf. Figure 48 on p. 172).
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 217
Due to quite few BPO activities being found in the investigated process do-
main, we decided not to implement “BPO” itself as the affected construct and
used “BPO potential” instead. We applied the indicators that asked for the opti-
mal sourcing strategy (Figure 78 on p. 203). The answers for “make&offer”,
“partially make&offer” and “make” were aggregated to “make” (=1).
Statistical tests of causal models that use latent variables (i.e. constructs) are
conducted in two steps. First, the measurement model (i.e. the relationships be-
tween a construct and its indicators) has to be tested in order to validate that the
construct is well represented by its indicators. Second, the structural model (i.e.
relationships between constructs) is analyzed to test the proposed hypotheses.
120
A threshold of .707 ensures that at least 50% of the indicator’s variance can be explained by the
(latent) construct (Götz and Liehr-Gobbers 2004).
218 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Economies
of scope
-.242*
(t = 1.316)
r2 = .168
.290**
(t = 1.901)
Economies
of skill
121
t-values were generated by using the Bootstrapping algorithm with 500 samples.
Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry 219
here because the model did not attempt to cover all relevant reasons for and
against BPO, but adopted a PCE perspective. Integrating more theoretical per-
spectives would lead to overlaps between the constructs which have to be han-
dled.
The insignificant impact of economies of scale on the perceived BPO poten-
tial in this model is due to the domination of economies of skill. As the huge
differences of process costs show (section 3.6.2.5), there are significant differ-
ences in processing capabilities between the banks.
This, partly, contradicts the results of (Gewald and Dibbern 2005) where ac-
cess to superior capabilities was the only hypothesized outsourcing driver which
was empirically shown to have no significant impact on perceived outsourcing
potential at an overall credit process level. Naturally, bank managers will seldom
agree to the statement that sourcing providers would offer superior process per-
formance compared to their own core business. But, if conducting the analysis at
a more granular level (single process steps), differences can be found, and thus
the perceived core competence in the process steps of the back office, which are
to some extent not seen as core business (although the overall process is), shows
the variance which explains outsourcing potential. As long as core competence
can be mainly expressed as cost efficiency, what is the case in back-office proc-
esses, the argumentation from PCE and RBV/CCV does overlap: core competen-
cies can be transformed to economies of skill.
3.7 Summary
For several years, the German banking industry has shown relative underperfor-
mance in an international context which, it is agued, is caused by high fragmen-
tation of the market, overbanking, and high vertical integration. Analysts rec-
ommend a drastic structural change to be achieved by transforming the tradi-
tional German universal banking system, consisting of specialized players pro-
viding only a subset of banking products and parts of the value chain. This
change can be achieved by both deconstruction and consolidation strategies; a
unification of both strategies is met by the cooperative sourcing concept. Based
on a generic banking value chain, different segmentation models have been in-
troduced and briefly discussed. It has been shown that a more specific business
domain focus is necessary to provide effective analyses and conceptual proposi-
tions. Therefore, the credit business, as a major business domain of most banks,
was chosen and reference processes for three main credit products have been
developed. Based on the common structure of these reference processes, a seg-
mentation model dedicated to the credit business has been developed and dis-
cussed.
220 Cooperative Sourcing in the Banking Industry
Based on the literature research in the preceding parts, this chapter introduces a
formal model of cooperative sourcing (referred to as cooperative sourcing model
– CSM) which allows for both analytical and simulative studies in the remainder.
First, based on the previous summary of related literature on mathematical out-
sourcing models (section 2.2.3), the motivation behind choosing this formal
approach is explained (section 4.1). Based on the theoretical foundation (chapter
0), the model is successively developed – from different cost functions (process
costs and transaction costs) to the cooperative sourcing decision calculus. After
providing the basic structure in section 4.2, we distinguish a centralized perspec-
tive (4.3) and a decentralized perspective (4.4), completing the model by deci-
sion calculi either of the central planner (binary non-linear optimization problem)
or the autonomously deciding agents (maximizing individual benefits from co-
operative sourcing with uncertainty about the partners’ behavior). Finally, sec-
tion 4.5 extends the model by considering legal and regulatory constraints which
are specific to the banking environment.
122
The model has been discussed and endorsed by the Doctoral Consortium of IRMA International
Conference 2005 in San Diego (Beimborn 2005; Best Doctoral Submission Award) and on the
39th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences 2006 (Beimborn 2006).
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 223
123
Although some of these works adopt this view for a particular application domain (IT activities),
the structure of these models is so generic that they could easily be adopted for modeling business
functions in general.
224 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
i
Figure 93: Banks and business functions (example)
i, j actor (bank) indices
i, j I resp.
I, |I| set and total number of actors
i, j = 1... |I|
k, l business function indices
set and total number of business functions k, l K resp.
K, |K|
available in the economy k, l = 1... |K|
indicates (binary variable), whether actor i
a ik ^0;1`
runs business function k
*
ai actor i's vector of business functions
*
ai ^a ,..., a
i1 ik ,..., ai K `
Table 30: Basic indices, sets, and indicators
Cooperatively sourcing these business functions is the core decision object
of the scenario. Each bank can decide about re-locating the execution of the
activity by deciding either to operate it in-house on its own or it can be coopera-
tively sourced within an alliance, together with other banks. As argued in chapter
1, cooperative sourcing (and this model) focuses on primary banking activities,
assuming that, because (potential) sourcing providers have to be core-competent
regarding the provision of the sourcing object (i.e., the business function), (po-
tential) sourcing providers for banking processes are primarily banks themselves.
Consequently, the model will not cover third-party sourcing providers and their
decision behavior; it is sufficient to model banks similarly as outsourcers and as
potential insourcers. Nevertheless, the model is developed in a way that it can
easily be extended in order to capture those industry-external players.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 225
sents “residual” core competence and, thus, the strategic value, not reflected by
process cost advantages. This measure is parameterized by a value between 0
and 1.
As all business functions are embedded in one or more business processes of
the firm, the interdependencies between them have to be captured by the model.
Business processes demand different resources and capabilities and request out-
put of different business functions. Actually, a business process is a sequential
interconnection of several business functions (Bruch 1998, 68f; Meyer and
Schumacher 2003) because the performance of one piece of work depends on the
completion of other defined pieces of work (Van der Vegt et al. 1998; Wybo and
Goodhue 1995). Outsourcing one or more business functions will increase the
risk of breaking down the business process and potentially reduce business per-
formance, owing to inflexibilities and poor responsiveness to the market (Bahli
and Rivard 2003; Lacity et al. 1996). Moreover, activities may utilize shared
resources or indivisible skills (Hitt et al. 1993; Lei and Hitt 1995) or there may
be such a great demand for interaction between some activities that selective
outsourcing is not a valid option. The stronger the interdependence, the higher is
the need for coordination, joint problem solving, and mutual adjustment, which
may impede cost control (Earl 1996). Several authors define activities as “sys-
temic” if they are closely interrelated with other activities of the firm (Langlois
and Robertson 1992; Roy and Aubert 2002).
Interdependencies will not only appear in an operational sense (although
these are the most obvious) but also on a strategic layer: the alignment (Hender-
son and Venkatraman 1992) and “extent of unstructured technical dialogue”
(Monteverde 1995) between different business functions are an essential part of
the overall task interdependence because they encourage organizational learning
(Dibbern et al. 2003; Lei and Hitt 1995) and allow for a comprehensive and more
integral consideration of configuration and optimization issues at the overall
business level.
To represent this relationship the model introduces a measure for the busi-
ness function interdependence. Tikl describes how difficult it is to divide two
functions k and l organizationally from each other. If the interdependence meas-
ure is near to one, there is an almost complete dovetail between both (1 would in
fact mean that it would be one single business function), while, if the value is 0,
there will be either no interaction between them within any business process or
the interfaces between them are well-defined and automated in such an efficient
way, that it is not relevant to interacting if it takes place intra- or interorganiza-
tionally. This measure corresponds to the task interdependence measure of
Knolmayer’s outsourcing decision model (Knolmayer 1993, 78).
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 227
the firm, which might be even higher in coopetive relationships. For example,
“revealing confidential information and bringing an outsourcing partner into a
company’s core business processes inherently reveals part of a company’s strat-
egy. A breach in confidential strategic and competitive market information can
come from differences between the two companies’ corporate culture, ethics, and
governance and can threaten the outsourcer’s competitive advantage and
heighten strategic/market risk” (Beasley et al. 2004, 26) (for the threat of confi-
dentiality problems see also (Lacity and Willcocks 1995, 238)). Further, com-
petitors might be strengthened by an unplanned transfer of technology and know-
how (Nueno and Oosterveld 1988, 17) or the insourcing competitor might exploit
an increasing asymmetric dependence that the outsourcer faces (Afuah 2000,
388; Oliver 1990; Ring and Van de Ven 1994) (cf. section on agency theory
(2.1.3)).
Therefore, the model includes a parameter describing business neighborhood
bnij with bnij = [0.0; 1.0], which is higher, the higher the competitive degree
between actors i and j is.
* * * *
* * a b a1 b1 a 2 b2 ... a n bn
124
cos a , b * * (= scalar product of any vector a and b )
ab a12 a 22 ... a n2 b12 b22 ... bn2
125
This measure was applied in the context of social network analysis (Alstyne and Brynjolfsson
1997) and in information retrieval (Salton 1971), for example. For a more detailed discussion of
similarity measures, see (Jones and Furnas 1987).
126
Fuzzy set theory, which comes from Zadeh, modifies traditional set theory by defining an ele-
ment’s membership within a set using a membership function instead of a binary value. Thus, an
element belongs to a certain set with a particular degree of between 0 and 1 (Zadeh 1965).
230 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
bnij
min bnijgeo , bnijprod , bnijcust
* * * *
with bn geo
ij ^0;1`, bn prod
ij cosai , a j , bnijcust cosci , c j
Equation 4: Business neighborhood
bnij Business neighborhood between i and j
geo Geographical business neighborhood between
bn ij bnijgeo ^0;1`
i and j
* *
bnijprod Product portfolio overlap between i and j bnijprod cosai , a j
* *
bnijcust Customer portfolio overlap between i and j bnijcust cosci , c j
*
ai Bank i's vector of business functions
*
* cj retail, sme, large
cj Vector of customer segments served by i
with retail, sme, large ^0;1`
Table 33: Components of business neighborhood
4.2.3 Cooperative Sourcing
The outsourcing process in this model is represented by taking out the considered
business function with all of its resources and transferring it to another bank in
the coalition. The outsourcing decision ensures optimization of the trade-off
between process cost savings and transaction costs (Apte 1990; Cheon et al.
1995; Holzhäuser et al. 2005, 114; Lacity and Hirschheim 1993a). The new
“source” of activity execution is identified by the index combination km, whereas
k stands for the business function and m is the index of the execution location for
this particular business function type. m=0 represents in-house production and
not joining a coalition. The maximum value for m represents the present number
of existing coalitions for cooperatively sourcing the related business function k.
To simplify the formal representation of the model, we introduce a variable
mktmax as that maximum number of k-related coalitions in period t. Mkmt repre-
sents the set of firms (i.e., cooperative sourcing alliance) which get their k-th
business function provided by the m-th sourcing coalition in period t. Neverthe-
less, one member has to become the insourcer, who physically insources the
process volumes of all other members127.
127
Actually, the model indicates exactly one insourcer for each coalition. Otherwise there would be
multiple coalitions.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 231
y ikmt ^0;1` Decision variable: bank i outsources business function k to alliance km in period t
According to (Helper and Levine 1992; Ring and Van de Ven 1994), our
model assumes that the banks participating in a cooperative sourcing alliance
establish an efficient relationship that facilitates high commitment relations
(Helper and Levine 1992) and “produces efficient and equitable solutions to
conflicts” (Ring and Van de Ven 1994, 92). Of course, this is a quite rigid as-
sumption, compared to reality. But, nevertheless these “efficient solutions” are
not costless. Agency problems have to be handled and mechanisms for coordi-
nating and monitoring the partnership have to be established, resulting in transac-
tion costs. The different types of transaction costs relevant to this situation are
adoption costs, negotiation costs, coordination costs, interface costs, and agency
costs. Those are integrated into the model in the following.
© © i , k ¹ © i , k ¹¹ ©
¨ ln K F ¸¹
ln c P
F ik
2 2
Equation 5: Task complexity
128
Evidently, significant cost differences still exist for the employed resources, e.g. credit adminis-
trator vs. investment banker or high performance transaction systems vs. the “notebook infrastruc-
ture” of a mobile sales representative.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 233
Based on (Beimborn et al. 2004), the model assumes total negotiation costs
for managing a coalition to be progressively increasing with the number of
D
members M kmt , i.e. M kmt with D > 1. When broken down to the single mem-
129
ber , this implies a declining function as long as D 2 , which is a valid as-
sumption.
While negotiation costs will increase with the size of the coalition, they de-
crease with increasing outsourcing experience oit of the firm (Cross 1995; Lyles
1988; Tsang 2000), because “joint venturing” can be considered as a skill which
is improved with use (Hirschman 1985). Experience with cooperative sourcing is
operationalized by the total number of sourcing contracts of the bank in former
periods. According to (Ewert and Wagenhofer 2003), the model assumes a de-
creasing impact of the learning effect.
N
The different factors are integrated into the negotiation cost function Cikmt
by multiplying them with a negotiation cost base parameter ckN .
D 1
oit 1
N E
C ikmt c kN F ik M kmt with 2 ! D ! 1 and E 0
Equation 6: Negotiation cost function
§ ·
¨ lnK ikF lncikP ¸
¨ ¸ § lnK ikF lncikP ·
Complexity of the ¨¨ ln§¨ max( K F ) ·¸ ln§¨ max(c P ) ·¸ ¸¸ ¨ ¸
F ik business function ik ik ¨ lnK F lnc P ¸
F ik © © i,k ¹ © i,k ¹¹ © ¹
2 2
Number of outsourc-
ing projects firm i cN
oit k Negotiation cost basis
realized up to period
t-1
Table 35: Negotiation cost factors
4.2.3.1.2 Coordination Costs
Subsequently, when the sourcing contract is already functioning, the ex post
costs for coordination take place. These “result from the need to maintain a
greater and more diverse repertoire of cognitive maps, behavioral routines, and
organizational resources for engaging in both cooperative and competitive be-
havior” (Lado et al. 1997, 124). Change requests, renegotiation or further defini-
129
Therefore, we divide the expression by the number of coalition members:
D D 1
M kmt / M kmt M kmt
234 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
tion of contract items also result in coordination costs during the relationship.
Outsourcers may leave particular items of the contract open to reduce dependen-
cies (Elitzur and Wensley 1997).
Again, coordination costs are expected to rise with the complexity of the
business process (Rouse and Corbitt 2004) and with increasing number of parties
(Olson 1965). As a coalition becomes larger, the “members’ cost-benefit equa-
tion increasingly favors nonparticipation in tasks that create collective benefits”
(Aram 1989, 273).
Coordination costs are modeled quite simply as a relative part J of the ne-
gotiation costs.
C N
Cikmt J Cikmt with 0 J 1
Equation 7: Coordination cost function
One can argue that the more efforts a firm expends on negotiation the less it
has to expend on ex post coordination, resulting in a reciprocal relation between
both cost categories. But, because we assume efficient relationship management,
the optimal trade-off between negotiation costs and ex post coordination costs
has already been determined. The positive relationship between negotiation costs
and coordination costs is just drawn for reasons of simplification, standing for
the fact that coordination costs rely on the same factors as negotiation costs.
Even in an efficient sourcing partnership, coordination costs are unavoidable
because permanent coordination is necessary to provide a long-term and success-
ful partnership in B2B relationships (Buvik and Gronhaug 2000; Zhang and Liu
2005, 54) (cf. section on relationship theories (2.1.8)). Moreover, TCE assumes
that negotiation between cooperating parties cannot be sufficiently realized ex
ante (Holzhäuser et al. 2005, 114; Williamson 1985, 29).
The model introduces a similarity degree parameter ]kijt (with ]kijt =[0;1])
which describes the similarity of two business functions k at bank i and bank j in
period t (]kijt = 1 expresses perfect similarity). The higher the similarity between
two business functions, the lower the costs for connecting its own business to the
business function, which is now externally provided. The model assumes that
when a bank has adopted the reference process of the coalition’s insourcer, the
degree of similarity to all remaining actors outside the cooperation shifts to the
corresponding values of the insourcer’s business function. Furthermore, the in-
ternal similarity degrees (between the alliance members’ business functions) are
set to one (and will remain so, if a member leaves). Only if a new bank enters the
coalition and immediately becomes the insourcer, external similarity degrees of
the entrant will be adopted by all members. Consequently, the similarity degrees
will both vary over time and converge into one130.
While the degree of task interdependencies between business functions can
be represented by a vertical relationship (e.g. along a particular business proc-
ess), similarity degree represents a horizontal relationship between equivalent
business functions of two different firms (Figure 97).
130
Some models make a case that increasing standardization results in decreasing specificity and,
thus, strategic value (e.g. Lammers 2004). In contrast, our model assumes no interrelation be-
tween similarity degree and basic specificity (represented by the residual core competence meas-
ure Oik).
236 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
AD
For determining the resulting adoption costs Cikmt , which will only occur in
the period when the business function gets outsourced, the model incorporates a
cost function (Equation 8), which is based on the similarity degree ]kijt, on task
complexity F ik (defined above in section 4.2.3.1.1), and on a cost factor base
ckAD , differing for each type of business function. Adoption costs only occur for
the outsourcers but not for the insourcer of a cooperative sourcing coalition. ĵ
represents the insourcer firm.
AD
C ikmt 1 ] F
kiˆjt ik c kAD
Equation 8: Adoption cost function
4.2.3.1.4 Interface Costs
Another cost element, which accompanies a sourcing relationship, is interface
costs, covering all costs ensuring the operational interplay between in-house
operated processes and outsourced business functions, such as the maintenance
of technical interfaces, data transfer, human interaction, as well as the loss from
activity-based economies of scope (cf. section 2.1.1.1 and 3.6.2.3), leading to a
decline in performance (Gulati and Singh 1998; Pondy 1970). Thus, interface
costs can be ascribed to both theoretical perspectives of production cost econom-
ics and transaction cost economics. Interface costs are mainly determined by
functional interdependencies. The higher the interdependencies, the higher are
the corresponding periodical interface costs. We assume cost symmetry, i.e. costs
do not depend on which one of two business functions is outsourced.
Maintaining and operating interfaces can require huge efforts and task inter-
dependencies are systematically under-estimated by practitioners (Bahli and
Rivard 2003; Earl 1996; Langlois and Robertson 1992). Interface costs between
two business functions k and l will occur only if both business functions are
executed by different firms, but neither will occur if both business functions are
run internally or if they are being provided by the same insourcer. In order to
consider this relationship, we apply binary variable zikmt, which indicates whether
i's business function k is provided by alliance km in period t, and binary variable
vjkmt, which indicates that bank j is the insourcer of alliance km in period t. Taken
together, the product indicates whether bank j operates business function k for
bank i. Following, the expression v jkmt z ikmt v jlmt z ilmt will be equal to 1 only
if both business functions are operated by different banks, otherwise it is 0. This
value is multiplied with the task interdependence measure T ikl introduced above
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 237
(cf. section 4.2.1) and an interface cost basis c IF . Finally, the whole is multi-
plied with binaries aik and ail (cf. Table 30), considering whether k and l are part
of i’s business function portfolio at all.
m ktmax
CitIF ¦¦ ¦¦ a ik ail T ikl c IF v jkmt zikmt v jlmt zilmt i, t
k K l K m 0 j I
l !k j zi
C itIF i, t Negotiation costs firm i has to bear when taking part in coalition km in period t
Binary variable which indicates
Binary variable which indicates if i is
vikmt if i is insourcer of coalition km zikmt
member of coalition km in period t
in period t
ckAG will differ for different business functions k because those are different
regarding their “sensitivity” (more or less customer data is involved etc., for
example).
AG
Cikmt
ckAG 1 1 bniˆj bne F ik Oik
Equation 10: Agency costs
Once more, it must be argued that agency costs, as explicated by this model,
only represent the difference in agency costs between an intra-organizational
(hierarchy) and an inter-organizational relationship. Obviously, agency costs also
appear if the business function is processed in-house and the firm’s own manag-
ers have to be monitored and motivated to behave cooperatively. Because bnij is
defined to be 0 for i=j, the insourcer does not bear additional agency costs.
4.2.3.1.6 Summary
The total transaction costs TC consist of adoption costs and negotiation costs in
the initiation period of the sourcing relationship W, and of coordination costs,
interface costs and agency costs in the subsequent periods.
TC ikmt W
AD
Cikmt N
Cikmt and TCikmt !W CiktIF Cikmt
C AG
Cikmt
Equation 11: Transaction cost function
4.2.3.2 Process Cost Effect
In this model, the reason for cooperative sourcing is achieving economies of
scale (through bundling of process volumes) and economies of skill (through
access to dominant process knowledge, i.e. a dominant process cost function of
the insourcer) (Grover et al. 1994; Teng et al. 1995). If several banks decide to
merge their process volumes for a certain business function, one bank becomes
the insourcer and adds the partners’ volume to its own output. For simplification,
the model assumes that the process cost function of the insourcer will remain
stable, although there may be several reasons for a change or shift – either nega-
tively because the bank has to increase capacity, or positively, because the in-
vestment in a new technology, which is efficient for larger process volumes,
becomes favorable. In the model, a coalition will be founded by several banks
with the cost-minimally producing partner becoming the insourcer (i.e., the bank
which can provide cost minimal processing of the aggregated process volume).
M
The total output of alliance km in period t is xkmt ¦ xik . The model assumes
iM kmt
that no market mechanisms (e.g. bidding) take place, i.e. banks do not mutually
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 239
make and accept offers, considering the costs and surcharges (producer surplus).
PM
Instead, the resulting process costs Ckmt will be allocated to the several members
of the alliance, by applying a certain pre-determined allocation mechanism (de-
scribed by Cikmt
G
) that all members must agree on. In the next chapter, different
allocation mechanisms, such as equal distribution of gains, volume-proportional
cost allocation, or the Shapley allocation (Shapley 1953), will be game-
theoretically tested (section 5.1) in order to determine if they generally lead to
stable coalitions.
Equation 12 formally demonstrates the selection of the optimal insourcer.
§ § ··
PM
Ckmt : min ¨ CikP ¨¨ ¦ xik ¸¸ ¸ min CikP xkmt
iM kmt ¨ ¸ iM kmt
M
© © iM kmt ¹ ¹
Equation 12: Process costs of the cooperative sourcing coalition
The total process costs of the coalition have to be completely allocated to the
coalition’s members:
PM G
C kmt ¦C
iM kmt
ikmt
131
Some models (e.g. Tsang 2000, Lammers 2005) include the “strategic value” of a decision in the
agent’s objective without explicitly stating how to handle the monetarization. Our model tries to
240 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
transaction costs
t t t*
prevent this critical issue by solely incorporating cost aspects, as done in many other models (e.g.
Aksin et al. 2004, Knolmayer 1993). This limitation is discussed in section 6.4.
132
The reconsideration of uncertainty within the decision calculus presents a major issue. rad might
be determined via the CAPM (Brealey and Myers 1996), if investment projects with identical risk
structures could be valued by the capital market (Lammers 2004). Nevertheless, the outcomes of a
decision and the associated probabilities must be known. This is a quite rigorous assumption and
furthermore reduces the multidimensional risk construct to an expected value of cost outcomes
“and the problem becomes a straightforward cost trade-off” (Jurison 1995, 243). For a decision
model on IT outsourcing explicitly taking risk into account, nevertheless also in a simplified
qualitative way, see e.g. (Jurison 1995).
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 241
t * T CoSo 1
3 ikmt * ¦ NPV
W
(cost effect )
,rad
W t*
CoSo
T
§ 1 · ½
¦ ¨¨ C x C
P G
x M
, xkm ¸ ¾production cost effect
W 1 ©
ik ik ikm t W ik
1 rad W ¸¹ ¿
N AD ½
C ikmt Cikmt ¾transaction cost effect in t t *
¿
T CoSo
§ 1 · ½
¦ ¨¨ C C
CikIF(t W ) Cikm
AG
( t W ) ¸ ¾transaction cost effect in t ! t *
W 1 ©
ikm ( t W )
1 rad W ¸¹ ¿
Equation 15: Inter-temporal monetary benefit of an outsourcing agreement
NPV represents the net present value function, which discounts the cost ar-
IJ,rad
4.2.3.4 Constraints
Aside from the decision calculus, the model assumes several constraints which
restrict the banks’ decision scope. First, it is assumed that the process volume
cannot be split and allocated to several sourcing locations. This is, of course, not
a binding constraint, as long as there are no capacity restrictions134.
mktmax
¦z
m 0
ikmt 1 i, k , t
133
Basically, it must be assumed that all costs included in the decision calculus are identical to cash
outflows within the same period, since cash outflows are the base for investment decisions.
134
Capacity constraints are not considered in this model, assuming existing opportunities for acquir-
ing all necessary capacities. Because only production of information goods is taken into account,
this assumption is acceptable.
242 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
¦ ¦z
k K m 1
ikmt Oik d SCi i, t
sion problem anymore, it has still to be considered because of the task interde-
pendencies and their impact on interface costs.
uikt 0 k, t zik 0t 1 i, k , t
Equation 20: Explicitly hindering outsourcing of business function k of i
135
By comparing a centrally and a decentrally coordinated standardization model, Weitzel explores
the circumstances in which independent agents’ local decisions about adopting a communication
standard lead to an inferior network configuration compared to the optimal solution established
by a central planner (Weitzel 2004; Weitzel et al. 2006).
244 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
shown in the following. For reasons of complexity reduction, the solution of this
cooperative sourcing problem (CSP) will be static, i.e., solving the CSP leads to
a global cooperative sourcing configuration which is assumed to be optimal for
all periods. Although learning effects from the first sourcing decision will (at
least slightly) reduce negotiation costs and coordination costs of future sourcing
decisions, in this case, it is not included for the purpose of significantly reducing
complexity. Consequently, the scenario consists of two structurally different
periods. In t=0, the cooperative sourcing process takes place, causing adoption
costs and negotiation costs. In t=1…T, the process cost savings as well as coor-
dination costs, interface costs, and agency costs appear and are assumed to be
constant over all periods. Therefore the optimization model only uses decision
variables for t=0 and t=1 (the last index of all variables introduced above is set
either to 0 or 1). Thus, the (binary) decision variables of the optimization model
are yikm0, zikm1, and vikm1 136.
Furthermore, the binary parameter aik has been incorporated into all of the
cost functions, indicating if business function k is part of bank i’s business at all
(cf. section 4.2.1).
In order to solve the CSP, the global objective (Equation 21) has to be con-
verted into a global non-linear decision function. In a first step, the periodical
process cost effect (process cost savings: PCS) is adapted to meet this require-
ment:
K mkmax I § § I ··
¨ z C P x v ¨ K F c P §¨ x z ·¸ ¸ ¸ t
1
PCS ¦ ¦¦ aik
¨ ikm1 ik ik ikm1
¨ ik ik ¨ ¦ jk jkm1 ¸
¸
k 1 m 1 i 1
© © ©j1 ¹ ¹ ¸¹
Equation 22: Process cost savings part of the centralized objective
The first term zikm1 Cik xik describes the gross process cost savings when i's
P
136
It is evident that we could also remove the t-indices in this case. Nevertheless, the goal was to
thoroughly provide consistency in declaring variables and parameters throughout the whole
model description.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 245
that the costs of adapting the insourcer’s process by the other coalition members
are applied.
AD
Cikm 0 aik yikm 0 ¦ v jkm1 1 9 kij 0 ckAD F ik i, k , m
jI
j zi
CiIF
1 ¦ ¦¦¦ a ik ail T ikl c IF ziklm
diff
1 i
k 1 m 0 l 1 jI
l z k j zi
¨ kK m 1 iI ¨ ¨ ¸ ¸¸
© © © jI ¹ ¹¹
mkmax § D 1 ·
1
¨ § · ¸
¦¦¦ aik ¨ yikm0 ¦ v jkm1 1 9 kij0 F ik ckAD ckN Fik ¨¨ ¦ z jkm1 ¸¸ yikm0 ¸
kK m 1 iI ¨ jI © jI ¹ ¸
© j zi ¹
Equation 28: Computable Global Objective of the CSP
The upper expression contains and discounts periodical savings and costs
while the lower bracket contains adoption costs and negotiation costs, which
only occur initially. NPV represents the function used to compute the net pre-
t 1..T,rad
sent value for periods t = 1…T with risk-adjusted calculation discount rate rad.
In the following table, all necessary constraints are provided to complete the
cooperative sourcing problem (CSP).
Business function is executed
only in one location (single
m kmax
1 sourcing). m=0 represents own
¦z ikm1 1 i, k (29-1) production, i.e., not taking part
m 0 in cooperative sourcing.
m>0 represents the correspond-
ing coalition km.
yikm0 = zikm1 i, j, k , km (29-2)
Business neighborhood is
i, j , k , km (29-4) determined by the competitive
bnij zikm1 z jkm1 d bnikm1
degree between outsourcer and
insourcer.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 247
mkmax
1
diff
diff Determining z iklm 1
which
ziklm 1 t v jkm1 zikm1 v jlm1 zilm1 (29-6) becomes equal to 1 if bank i's k
i, j , km, k , l z k and l are provided by different
banks137
vikm1 , yikm 0 , z ikm1 ^0;1` i, k , km (29-7) Binary variables
137
Since the cost minimization routine attempts to minimize z iklmtdiff , “greater than”-constraints are
sufficient. The expression on the right side may become equal to -1, but because all combinations
of k and l are iterated there is a corresponding (more binding) constraint, in which the right side
becomes 1.
138
Cf. section 5.2 for a discussion of the degree of complexity of the cooperative sourcing problem.
248 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
proved. This may lead to a gap between local and global efficiency – or between
individual consequences and consequences for the overall system139.
In a multi-period scenario, there are several, structurally different decision
steps where the cooperative sourcing model must provide decision functions to
the agents. These are:
o evaluating a new coalition membership
o as a coalition member: voting about the entrance of a new member
o re-evaluating an existing coalition membership compared to the alternatives
of
o backsourcing
o switching to another coalition
In the following, decision functions for all decision points are developed.
139
Section 5.1 presents a game-theoretical analysis of cooperative sourcing scenarios and determines
the set of imputations in which interests of the group and all individuals fall together.
Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing 249
T CoSo
>enter
Exp 3 ikmt @ ¦ §¨¨ Exp>NS @ 1 ·¸¸ C ikm t W
AD
ikmt
N
Cikmt
© W 1 1 rad ¹ W
¦ 'PCS
jM km
ijkm t W 'TCijkmt W p leave
jkm t W
j zi
represents the uncertainty factor resulting from externalities which must be taken
into account.
Because the model assumes bounded rationality, actors do not take into ac-
count the opposite, but much weaker, assumption about potential new coalition
members, although they might have access to relevant information. Since the
bounded rationality concept assumes restricted evaluation and decision capacity
of a decision maker (Simon 1976; Williamson 1975), this will correspond to the
consideration that it would be impractical for a bank to evaluate each market
member regarding its potential membership in the coalition140.
As a further assumption about the decision makers of the model, we adopt
the symmetry principle from game theory, which states that all actors follow the
same rationality concept and furthermore are aware of this fact (Schelling 1961).
The function for determining exit probability p leave
jkm t W
of partner j in a future
period t+W is adopted and adapted from a formal model on IT standardization
leave
(Weitzel et al. 2003)141. p jkm t W includes expected additional process cost
>
savings Exp 'PCS leave
j @ which j would gain from leaving the coalition and
140
One could argue that at least general assumptions about the entrance of new alliance members
could and should be made, but it would be difficult to set this assumption on an empirically sound
base. Hence, in this case we adopt a pessimistic and cautious estimator.
141
In this standardization model, p expresses the probability of a partner j’s adoption of the same
standard as actor i, in order to reduce communication costs (e.g. by using the same EDI standard).
Here, p is used reciprocally; it describes the probability of a partner leaving the coalition.
250 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
pleave
> leave
@
° Exp 'PCSj Exp 'TCj> leave
@ if > @
Exp 'PCSleave >
! Exp 'TCleave @ >
and Exp 'PCSleave @ > @
Exp 'TCleave !0
®
jkmt W
° >
Exp 'PCSj leave
@ j j j j
° 1 else
¯
with Exp>NS @ OS C C
p
ikm t W ikm t W
IF
ikm t W
C
ikmt W
AG
Cikmt W
¦ 'PCS
jM km
ijkmt W 'TCijkmt W p leave
jkmt W
j zi
tively answered by the coalition members. The model assumes that the bank will
stay in the current coalition for another TCoSo periods, if the alternative coalition
rejects the application.
Exp '3iktswitch enter
Exp 3 iknt >
stay
Exp 3 ikmt @ > @ > @
Equation 34: Re-evaluating an existing coalition membership compared to
changing the alliance
After having developed all these decision functions, one aspect remains un-
answered: how does the potential alliance member i estimate the expected differ-
ence in process cost savings Exp>'PCS leave
j @ and transaction costs Exp>'TC leave
j @ of
an alliance partner j in order to determine his exit probability? We assume the
following steps to be conducted:
p leave
>
Exp 'PCS leave
j @
Exp 'TC leave
j > @ 1
>
Exp 'TC leave
j @
jkmt
>
Exp 'PCS leave
j @ >
Exp 'PCS leave
j @
AD
§
Tc
F jk ¨¨ 1 ] jˆjkt k
CoSo
E§
ckN o jt 1 ¨J §¨ Mˆ knt D 1
M kmt
D 1 · 1 Mˆ
¸
¹ T CoSo
knt
D 1 · ˆ
AG ·
¸ bn jknt bnjkmt bne ck Oik ¸¸
leave © © © ¹ ¹
p 1
Cˆ
jkmt G G
C jkmt jknt
became its member. ĵ represents the current insourcer of kn142. For simplifica-
tion reasons, one-time costs of adoption and negotiation when switching to the
hypothetical new coalition are uniformly distributed over all periods TCoSo.
It should be clarified that the introduced cooperative sourcing model does
not distinguish between cooperative sourcing by establishing a joint venture (i.e.
founding a joint subsidiary) and cooperative sourcing by mutual outsourcing and
insourcing. In fact, the model merges both situations.
The joint venture-like elements are:
o no market pricing mechanisms but, instead, a pre-determined cost allocation
rule which treats all members as equal,
o no profit maximizing but cost minimizing agents,
o negotiation and coordination costs depending on the coalition size,
o all coalition members having a voting right regarding the admission of a
new partner.
The insourcing/outsourcing-like elements are:
o the process cost function of the cost efficient partner taken without altering,
o all coalition members paying adoption costs and agency costs but not the
insourcer, and
o the insourcer being not restricted by the strategic constraint.
Consequently, it can be stated that the model assumes a joint venture part-
nership with the “cost leader,” providing the necessary technology and capacity,
which in turn becomes the insourcer143. Empirical studies found that usually one
of the partners is critical to a multi-firm alliance (e.g. Rouse and Corbitt 2004).
142
This is a simplification, because j or any of the other existing members of kn could become the
new optimal insourcer as a result of j’s entrance.
143
However, because a kind of partial capital merger (e.g. by exchanging shares) is common in most
of the major outsourcing deals (ITO as well as BPO), outsourcing in a strict sense (i.e. economic
independence of insourcer and outsourcer) happens quite infrequently in the German banking in-
dustry.
254 Developing a Formal Model for Cooperative Sourcing
The first legal aspect which has a major effect on outsourcing decisions in
the banking industry, in particular, is the problem of value-added taxes (VAT).
Because banking services are usually free of VAT, but outsourced services pro-
cured by the bank are basically not, the bank has to take the VAT into account.
Consequently, the outsourcer’s process cost savings will be reduced by VAT in
the model:
PCSikmt CikP xik (1 VAT ) Cikmt
G M
xik , xkm
Equation 36: Considering VAT in the process cost savings
As a regulatory issue, supervisory regulations constrain banks in outsourcing
basic banking activities which have a high strategic impact or high complexity
(cf. section 3.5.1.1, e.g. risk management or granting non-standardized loans).
Therefore, the model has to consider outsourcing restrictions on particular busi-
ness functions. This is simply realized by a binary permission LC to outsource a
certain business function (LC=1) or not (LC=0).
M
4.6 Summary
In this chapter, a formal agent-based model of cooperative sourcing was intro-
duced, which covers the rational and economically reasoned decision behavior of
multiple agents on cooperative sourcing of business functions. Based on different
theories and further assumptions, the decision functions and constraints have
been developed, resulting in a decentralized and centralized variant of the model.
While the first models the firms’ individual decision behavior, the latter repre-
sents a global optimization model for benchmarking the outcome of the indi-
viduals’ actions.
The next section will apply the model to both analytical research and simu-
lation studies, fed by empirical data, presented in section 3.6.
Analytical models and simulation studies are built upon simplifying assump-
tions leading to several limitations and thus need to fulfill several careful steps of
validation (Sargent 1998). Although limitations and conceptual model validity
(whether or not the model fits with existing theory) could already be done at this
stage, we decided to discuss all limitation issues (regarding the model as well as
the approach) and to present all validation steps collected within an specific
section at the end of this research (cf. section 6.3). This section also contains a
table which summarizes the theoretical underpinning of the cooperative sourcing
model (Table 70 on p. 405).
256 Analytical and Simulative Studies
In this chapter, the previous formal and empirical work will be used for conduct-
ing analytical and simulative studies on cooperative sourcing behavior and the
resulting market effects in order to answer the research questions of this work.
Based on the developed cooperative sourcing model and on game theory, the
first section provides an analytical investigation of different allocation schemes
(section 5.1). In section 5.2, a genetic algorithm is developed to solve the coop-
erative sourcing problem, which was developed in section 4.3 (i.e. global optimi-
zation). The main part of this chapter is formed by comprehensive simulation
studies. Based on the results of the game-theoretical analysis and on the empiri-
cal data which was gathered in section 3.6, the decentralized cooperative sourc-
ing model (section 4.4) will be implemented. Thus, agent behavior under differ-
ent settings can be simulated on the basis of agent-based economics and com-
pared with the results from global optimization (section 5.3). Implications and
limitations of the findings will be discussed in chapter 6.
144
An earlier version of this section was published in the proceedings of the 39th Hawaii Interna-
tional Conference on System Sciences (Beimborn et al. 2006b).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 257
now there is the possibility of coalition building. This has a substantial impact on
coalition stability and cost allocation rules.
The cooperative sourcing model in chapter 4 did not answer the question
how costs of a coalition will be allocated to the coalition members. Accordingly,
the research question of this section is
What cost or benefit allocation enables stability of cooperative sourcing
coalitions?
This analysis contributes to the sourcing literature by providing a sound
theoretical foundation for cooperative sourcing and the analysis of the existence
and efficiency of sourcing equilibria. From a managerial perspective, the model
helps managers evaluate cost and benefit allocation rules for their sourcing coali-
tion contracts. While the main goal is to formally prove conditions for the stabil-
ity of cooperative sourcing equilibria based on cooperative game theory, this
section also presents results from a game-theoretical experiment on cooperative
sourcing, which indicates that deciders might be inclined to choose allocation
rules that lead to instable sourcing coalitions.
Q 0 vS1 S 2 d vS1 S 2 if S1 S 2
Equation 39: Costs of empty coalition Equation 40: Subadditivity property
An imputation for an n-person game is a vector S satisfying individual ra-
tionality. Individual rationality means that if forming a coalition, no player i will
accept costs Si higher than the costs v(i) she or he has to bear without entering
the coalition. Pareto optimality ensures that all costs of the total coalition v(N)
(i.e., coalition of all players) are divided among the players (Owen 1995).
n
S i d v (i ) (i 1,2,..., n ) ¦S i Q N
i 1
Equation 41: Individual rationality Equation 42: Pareto optimality
The core is a solution concept for cooperative n-person games which re-
duces the set of possible payoff vectors to a set of all non-dominated imputa-
tions. Every vector within the core is stable, which means that there is no other
coalition in which the players have both the desire and power to change the out-
come of the game. An imputation belongs to the core of a game if it also satisfies
Equation 43.
¦S
iS
i d v( S ) for all S N
(0; 0; v(N))
x3
Core
x1 x2
(v(N); 0; 0) (0; v(N); 0)
Figure 99: Fundamental triangle of costs
5.1.2 Allocation Mechanisms
Cost allocation problems are usually solved by using “classical” methods, which
are widely spread and easy to understand. These methods can be used ex ante to
suggest different allocations the players can agree upon before establishing a
coalition. We follow the list of allocation mechanisms given in (Lemaire 1984).
The first method is equal allocation of gain. Here, the same amount is sub-
tracted from each player’s process costs, ensuring the same benefits for each
player with v(i) as individual costs of player i, v(N) as the costs assigned to the
full coalition, and ¦ v( j ) as the sum of all players’ individual costs (Lemaire
jN
1984). This solution corresponds to the Nash solution, which maximizes the
product of all members’ benefits (Nash 1950):
1ª º
Si « ¦ v( j ) v ( N ) »
vi
n ¬ jN ¼
Equation 44: Equal allocation of gain
A second possible allocation would be every player bearing a share of the
coalition’s total costs proportionally to the player’s individual costs. This method
is called proportional cost allocation:
260 Analytical and Simulative Studies
v(i )
Si v( N )
¦ v( j )
jN
5.1.3 Model
In the following, we will use a simplified form of the cooperative sourcing
model, which can be applied to game-theoretical analyses. First, we assume only
one business function which allows us to reduce all variables and parameters by
index k. Furthermore, the model is reduced to a one-period game; thus, index t
can also be neglected.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 261
§ § ··
¨
C mPM : min ¨ CiP ¨
iM m ¨ ¨ ¦ ¸¸
¸
xi ¸ ¸
min CiP x mM
iM m
i
© © m ¹¹
M
K mFM , cmPM , xmM Fixed costs, variable costs, and output of coalition Mm
M
CmPM : K mFM cmPM xmM with x m ¦x
iM m
i
K mFS , cmPS , xmS Fixed costs, variable costs, and output of a sub-coalition Sm
S
CmPS : K mFS cmPS xmS with x m ¦x
iS m
i and S m M m
1 § ·
CiG CiP ¨ ¦ C Pj CmPM ¸
¨ j M ¸
Mm © m ¹
Equation 47: Cost allocation resulting from equal distribution of benefits
xi § K FM ·
CiG CmPM xi ¨¨ mM cmPM ¸¸
xmM © xm ¹
Equation 48: Proportional cost allocation
262 Analytical and Simulative Studies
CiG
S m 1! M m S m !
>K FS
cmPS xmS K mFS * cmPS * xmS xi @
¦
Sm M m Mm !
m
5.1.4 Analysis
As explained earlier, a cooperative n-person game fulfills the subadditivity prop-
erty, which means that by merging two disjoint coalitions the resulting costs will
fall below the costs of operating separately (cf. Equation 40). The model fulfills
this property because the assumption of linear cost functions leads to decreasing
average costs for every additional unit x due to the entrance of a new coalition
member.
A necessary condition for a stable cost allocation is that the costs assigned to
each bank are situated in the core, which is defined by the following borders:
o The upper border is determined by the bank’s own process costs resulting
from stand-alone in-house production (individual rationality).
o The lower border is determined by the bank’s contribution to the coalition’s
costs. The bank at least has to bear the cost difference between the cost of
the coalition (including itself) and the coalition excluding itself (group ra-
tionality). For more than three coalition members, this rule has to be gener-
alized from one bank to every possible sub-coalition, which also at least has
to make its contribution to the coalition’s total costs.
Formally, for a 3-member coalition the cost interval which is acceptable for
a coalition member i is given by Equation 50, whereas CiG is i's part of the coa-
Analytical and Simulative Studies 263
lition costs, which results from any allocation scheme. K mFM * , cmPM * represent the
cost parameters of the new insourcer for the residual process volume in case i, as
the former insourcer, would leave the coalition.
§ § ·· § § ··
¨ FM PM ¨ ¸ ¸ ¨ FM * PM * ¨ ¸¸ G F P
¨ K m c m ¨ ¦ x j ¸ ¸ ¨ K m c m ¨ ¦ x j ¸ ¸ d C i d K i ci xi
¨ ¨ jM m ¸ ¸ ¨ ¨ jM m ¸ ¸
© © ¹¹ © © j zi ¹ ¹
Equation 50: Cost interval from the insourcer’s perspective
If i is not the coalition’s insourcer and if the insourcer would not change if i
left the coalition, Equation 50 can be simplified to Equation 51.
CiG K iF
cmPM xi d CiG d CiF ciP xi cmPM d d ciP
xi xi
Equation 51: Cost interval from actor i's perspective, if i z insourcer
In the following, we will test several allocation schemes with regard to their
general stability, i.e. analyze whether the allocation result would be in the core
under any parameterization. Due to strongly increasing formal complexity we
will restrict our analysis to 3-member coalitions and only extend it to an n-
member scenario if the analyzed allocation scheme showed to be stable for 3-
member coalitions.
1§ ·
cmPM xi d CiP
¨ ¦ C Pj C mPM ¸ d CiF ciP xi CiP
¨ iM
Mm ¸
© m ¹
While the property of subadditivity obviously satisfies the right border, the
left border has to be reformulated as
§ ·
¨ ¦ C Pj CmPM ¸
¨ iM ¸
© m
Mm
i i m
¹ d C F c P c PM x
i
For more than 2 banks, the inequation generally does not hold true. For ex-
ample, if bank i has significantly lower fixed costs than the other coalition mem-
264 Analytical and Simulative Studies
bers, only slightly higher variable costs and the same volume, the right side will
become lower than the left side145.
For the insourcer, it would be required to fulfill the following constraints (cf.
Equation 50):
1 § n P ·
K FM
m
cmPM xmM K mFM * cmPM * xmM * d CiP
¨ ¦ C j CmPM ¸ d CiP
¨
Mm © j 1 ¸
¹
Since the upper border did not change, we need only to focus on the left
condition. For a 3-bank scenario with bank 1 as insourcer and bank 2 as optimal
insourcer, after bank 1 would have left, the condition to be satisfied is:
K 1
F
c1P x mM K 2F c 2P x1 x 2
K F c1P x1 K 2F c 2P x 2 K 3F c3P x3 K 1F c1P x mM
d C1P 1
3
3 c1P c2P x2 x3 2 K 2F d K 3F c2P x2 c3P x3 c1P x2 x3
2 K 2c x 2 3c 2P x3 t K 3F c3P x3 2c1P x 2 x3
F
2
P
2
Since i=2 is the second-best insourcer, the following inequation also holds
true:
K 2F c 2P x 2 x 3 d K 3F c 3P x 2 x 3
Thus, it becomes clear that the constraint for ensuring group rationality will
generally not be fulfilled for K 2F K 3F .
The left constraint is obviously satisfied while the right one is fulfilled due
to the subadditivity property of the model (taking part in a coalition always leads
to lower average costs than when processing alone).
145
For example K i
F
^1500, 400,1500`, ciP ^1.0,1.5,1.0`, xi 1000i would lead to an insta-
ble coalition.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 265
This proof implicitly assumes that the insourcer does not change if bank i
leaves the coalition. But, the model always assumes the efficient producing bank
being the insourcer. Consequently, the insourcer might change when the process
volume alters. Thus, the proof is repeated in the following while assuming that, if
bank 1 left the trilateral coalition, bank 3 would become the insourcer, whereas
bank 2 is the insourcer otherwise.
§KF ·
K 2F c 2 x mM K 3F c3 x mM x1 d x1 ¨¨ M2 c 2P ¸¸ d K iF ciP xi
© xm ¹
While the right border has again not changed, the lower border is analyzed
below:
x 2 x3 F
K 2 c 2 c3 x 2 x3 K 3F d 0
x mM
x 2 x3 F
K 2 c 2 x 2 x3 d K 3F c3 x 2 x3
x mM
K 2F K 3F
M
c2 d c3
xm x 2 x3
In order to fulfill the assumption that bank 2 dominates bank 3 in the trilat-
eral coalition, the following condition also has to be met:
K 2F K 3F
K 2F c 2 x mM d K 3F c3 x mM c 2 d c3
xmM xmM
M
Since x2 x3 < xm = x1 x 2 x3 , this inequation is more restrictive
than the condition above; thus, the lower border is fulfilled under any given
parameterization.
As a third possible constellation which still has to be tested, we have to as-
sume that i itself is the insourcer. For determining the group rationality constraint
(lower border), another insourcer has to be determined again. The insourcer must
fulfill the following conditions (cf. Equation 50):
xi
K FM
m
c mPM x mM K mFM * c mPM * x mM * d K mFM c mPM x mM
d K iF c iP xi
x mM
As above, ¦x
jM m
j is substituted by x mM and ¦x j by x mM * ( x mM xi ) .
jM m
j zi
x mM *
K mFM c mPM x mM * K mFM * c mPM * x mM * d 0
x mM
x mM *
K mFM K mFM * d c mPM * c mPM x mM *
x mM
K mFM K mFM * PM * PM K mFM PM K mFM *
d c m c m c m d c mPM *
x mM x mM * x mM x mM *
Since the insourcer provides lowest costs for xmM , the following property
holds true:
K FM K FM *
K mFM c mPM x mM d K mFM * c mPM * x mM mM c mPM d mM c mPM *
xm xm
This condition is more restrictive than the lower border of the core. Conse-
quently, it can be stated that a trilateral coalition is always stable if a proportional
cost allocation scheme is adopted.
Since the proportional cost allocation showed to be stable in any case of the
trilateral coalition, the analysis is extended to an n-banks scenario. The proof of
meeting the upper border does not differ because it is determined by individual
process costs. By contrast, the lower border (group rationality) in the n-lateral
coalition must additionally hold true for every possible sub-coalition S m of coa-
lition M m . We distinguish between sub-coalition S m and the remaining set of
actors M m / S m . It has to be proven that every possible sub-coalition S m within
coalition M m has to bear at least the marginal value (cost savings) it attributes to
the coalition (= lower border of the core) in order to ensure that the remainder
M m / S m has no incentive to break out.
xi
K FM
m ¦ §¨¨ K
c mPM x mM K mFM / S c mPM / S xmM / S d FM
m
cmPM x mM
x mM
·
¸
¸ S m M m
iS m © ¹
xmS
K mFM cmPM xmM K mFM / S cmPM / S xmM / S d K mFM cmPM xmM xmM
S m M m
Analytical and Simulative Studies 267
xmS
K mFM cmPM xmM K mFM / S cmPM / S xmM / S d K mFM cmPM xmS S m M m
xmM
xmS
K mFM cmPM xmM / S K mFM / S cmPM / S xmM / S d K mFM S m M m
xmM
xmS
K mFM K mFM / S cmPM cmPM / S xmM / S d K mFM
xmM
S m M m
xmM / S
K mFM
xmM
cmPM cmPM / S xmM / S d K mFM / S S m M m
K mFM PM K mFM / S
c m d cmPM / S S m M m
xmM xmM / S
This is always fulfilled due to the linear form of the cost function and the
larger process volume on the left side (monotonically decreasing average costs).
In conclusion, it can be said that the allocation of the coalition costs which is
proportional to the process volume always leads to a stable coalition.
1 1 1
0 d K 2F K3F c2P x2 c3P x3 c1P x2 c2P x3
3 3 3
Now, one can easily see that, if K3F !! K 2F , the right side of the inequation
will become negative, i.e. the group rationality constraint will be violated.
As a result, it can be said that applying the Shapley allocation to linear cost
functions (with strictly positive fixed costs) does not generally lead to stable
coalitions.
Further, the insourcer must fulfill the following conditions:
K FM
m
cmPM xmM K mFM * cmPM * xmM * d
( S m 1)!( M m S m )!
¦ Mm !
>K FS
m
cmPS xmS K mFS
cmPS
xmS xi @ d K i
F
ciP xi
Sm M m
In the following 3-bank scenario, i=1 is assumed to be the insourcer and i=2
the second best insourcer (after i=1 would have left the coalition) in a 3-bank
scenario.
0!2! P 1!1!
K 1
F
c1P xmM K 2F c2P x2 x3 d
3!
C1 x1
3!
Min C1P x1 x2 ; C 2P x1 x2 C2P x2
1!1! 2!0! P
3!
Min C1P x1 x3 ; C3P x1 x3 C3P x3 3!
C1 x1 x2 x3 Min C2P x2 x3 ; C3P x2 x3
Assuming again that C1P ( x) C2P x C3P x x leads to
2 P M 1 P 1 1 1 1 2
3
C1 xm d C1 x1 C2P x2 C3P x3 C1P x1 x2 C1P x1 x3 C2P x2 x3
3 6 6 6 6 3
1 P 1 P 1 P 2 P
0 d C2 x2 C3 x3 c1 x1 x2 c2 x3
2 6 2 3
1 F x3
0 d K 2 K 3 x2 c2 c1
F
3 3
4c2 c3 c1P x1
P P
F F
If K !! K , the right side can become negative, again. Consequently, for
3 2
the insourcer the group rationality constraint is not generally fulfilled by the
Shapley allocation, too.
action costs occur at an individual level and are not transferable. Thus, they re-
duce the core by raising the lower borders but are not part of the bargaining pie.
In the following, we restrict our analysis to a trilateral coalition, i z in-
sourcer, and to the proportional cost allocation mechanism because it is the only
one that has proved to be stable. For determining bank i's position in the core,
T
Equation 51 has to be supplemented by Cim (Equation 52):
T
2 C im CG § K F ·
c mPM xi 2 C im
T
d C iG d K iF ciP xi c mPM xi
d i d ¨¨ i ciP ¸¸
xi © xi ¹
Equation 52: Cost interval from actor i's perspective, incl. transaction costs (i z
insourcer)
T
The level of Cim (relative to process costs) determines the presence of
subadditivity and therefore, according to the outsourcing literature, the advanta-
geousness of cooperative sourcing. In order to join a coalition with a propor-
tional allocation mechanism, the following constraint has to be met (in addition
to a positive core (Equation 52) and the individual rationality border):
T
2 C im K FM x K FM
c mPM d mM c mPM C im
T
d i Mm
xi xm 2xm
Equation 53: Threshold for ensuring coalition stability, including transaction
costs for trilateral coalitions
This threshold neglects the fact that transaction costs will also occur in a bi-
lateral coalition. Considering individual transaction costs for managing a bilat-
T ,bilateral
eral coalition C im leads to
T ,trilateral
c mPM xi 2 C im T ,bilateral
C im
d C iG d K iF ciP xi
c mPM
2C T ,trilateral
im C T ,bilateral
im d K FM
m
c mPM
M
xi x m
T ,trilateral xi K mFM
T ,bilateral
C im d C im
2 x mM
Equation 54: Threshold for ensuring coalition stability, including transaction
costs for trilateral and bilateral coalitions
270 Analytical and Simulative Studies
5.1.5 Experiment
In January 2005 and December 2005, the model was used to conduct a bargain-
ing game involving student seminar participants in order to test how closely
bargaining results would reach the allocation mechanisms investigated above.
The game consisted of three rounds, each increasing in complexity. In every
round, there were eight games (“tables”) including three “banks” (each consist-
ing of two students) with identical cost structures across the games. In a game,
the a priori information given to each team included the own process cost struc-
ture, production quantity, and the level of transaction costs if joining a coalition.
Each round ran (a maximum of) nine periods, in which each bank sequentially
could make an offer (“want to insource”: price/volume) or a request (“want to
outsource”: price/volume). The game was abandoned after a bilateral or trilateral
coalition had been established. Between the rounds, students changed tables and
positions to ensure that all students only played once against each other.
sub-optimal coalition,
0
20
0
60
B:
leading to total
B:
B:
costs higher than 900.
A:
A:
A:
40
-30
0
0
0
A C: 0 B
(900,0,0) (0,900,0)
A:
Proportional allocation: 2136/1495/1068
0
Equal distribution: 2150/1600/950
0
B:
table 1: 2200/1520/980
table 4: 2125/1500/1075
400
table 5: 2100/1770/830
B:1
table 6: 2350/1550/800 0 5
A:
19
20 0
B:
be displayed because
A:
C: 800
A B
(4700,0,0) C: 0 (0,4700,0)
Figure 101: Results of experiment – round 2
Only four of eight tables arrived at the optimal solution (Figure 101). Table
2 chose the wrong insourcer while tables 3, 7, and 8 involved an agreement of
two parties to form a bilateral coalition, leaving the third bank out. None of these
can be displayed in the cost triangle because they lead to higher total costs.
The result of table 4 almost exactly matches the proportional allocation. The
insourcers (C) of table 5 and 6 exhausted their bargaining power and pushed the
solution to the border of the core. The insourcer of table 1 also comes close to
the Shapley value.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 273
Table 1: 395/500/1030
Table 5: 555/345/1025
Table 7: 305/550/1070
A:
0
40
0
B:
A:
0
A:
90
425
575
B:
A B
(1925,0,0) C: 0
(0,1925,0)
Figure 102: Results of experiment – round 3
5.1.6 Conclusion
Based on a simplified form of the cooperative sourcing model, this section –
using game theory – analyzed how costs have to be allocated in a cooperative
sourcing coalition to ensure its stability. While the equal allocation of gain, the
proportional allocation of costs, and the Shapley allocation were tested, only the
proportional distribution ensures stable coalitions. Although the other schemes
do not lead to unstable coalitions in all cases, determining them ex ante when
founding a coalition results in the problem that, with new members joining the
coalition in later periods, the allocation scheme would have to be completely
renegotiated.
By contrast, within the experiment most of the participants did not agree
with a cost allocation that is close to this proportional distribution, but instead is
closer to the Shapley value. With increasing coordination difficulty (shrinking
core, advent of transaction costs), the bargaining games increasingly resulted in
inefficient constellations, illustrating the impact of bounded rationality, even in
such simple scenarios. In the last round, the players were no longer able (or
sometimes not willing) to follow a “rational” strategy and instead favored ineffi-
cient outcomes.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 275
The observation that optimal coalitions often did not emerge because parties
deviated from the “rules”, such as common rational behavior (i.e. maximize
savings), leads to the presumption that a common rational behavior among the
agents cannot be guaranteed even in the simplest settings although almost all
microeconomic models are based on this assumption. Future research has to
explore if this result stems from “irrationality” or from the design of the experi-
ment.
146
The interrelation is given by the interface costs which are determined by the degree of task inter-
dependencies between two business functions (cf. section 4.2.3.1.4). If task interdependencies did
not exist in the CSP, it could be separated to K OCSPs which could be solved separately.
276 Analytical and Simulative Studies
5.2.1 Basics
Genetic algorithms (GAs), as a subtype of population-based metaheuristics (Sil-
ver 2004, 950), try to emulate natural evolutionary processes of biological organ-
isms (Beasley et al. 1993a). In general, GAs work with a population of individu-
als, each representing a feasible solution for the given problem. Each individual
is assigned a ‘fitness score’ (e.g. total net savings of the CSP) representing the
quality of the solution. Individuals with high fitness are given opportunities to
‘reproduce’ with other individuals in the population in order to generate a new
generation of individuals while the least fit members die without reproduction. In
this way, the population is intended to converge to the optimal solution (i.e.
maximum reachable fitness value) of the given problem (Kratica et al. 1998).
In order to implement a GA, a suitable genetic coding for the problem must
be devised. This problem representation is of great importance for the perform-
ance of a GA to solve a given problem (Rothlauf 2006). Thereby, it is assumed
that a potential solution can be represented as a series of values. GAs are often
based on a binary representation of the decision variables (known as genotype
layer, Beasley et al. 1993a, 1993b); the decoded construction of the values is
called phenotype layer (Wendt 1995, 68-69).
Based on the genotype representation of the solution, a specified fitness
function determines the quality of each individual. The selection method chooses
and matches the pairs of individuals which will be crossed while the recombina-
tion strategy (also called crossover) determines the way in which the genetic
codes of the two parents will be mixed to create their descendants (Beasley
1993a).
Finally, the mutation process causes little changes in the genetic code of the
descendants to prevent the premature convergence of the GA to suboptimal solu-
tions (Kratica et al. 1998, Nissen 1995). In order to repair invalid solutions or to
avoid redundant solution representations in the genotype layer, repair operators
have to be implemented (Kratica et al. 1998). The algorithm terminates when a
certain period TGA is reached or when a pre-defined stopping rule has been ful-
filled (e.g. “no solution improvement during the last 20 generations”). Figure 103
depicts the basic steps of GAs in pseudo-code notation.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 277
InitializePopulation();
while not Finish() do {
for i:=1 to Npop do
pi:=Objective:Function(i);
FitnessFunction();
Selection();
Crossover();
Mutation();
Repair ();
}
Figure 103: Basic form of the genetic algorithm (Kratica et al. 1998)
5.2.2 GA Design
In this section, the GA approach is adapted to the particular structure of the CSP.
Genetic representation
As for the OCSP (Beimborn et al. 2007b), a non-binary representation of the
solution structure (genotype) was chosen. The genetic code represents informa-
tion about which banks cooperatively source a certain business function k. The
so-called sourcing entities (being either a coalition or a bank that is not member
of a coalition) receive unique identifiers. The following figure shows a small
example for a problem consisting of six banks and two business functions.
banks
i=1 i=2 i=3 i=4 i=5 i=6
business k=1 1 1 1 2 2 2
functions
k=2 1 2 3 4 5 6
147
This represents the main difference between the cooperative sourcing problem and the optimal
consortia structure problem from (Beimborn et al. 2004; Fladung 2006). The genetic representa-
tion of an OCSP individual comes along with only one row instead of |K| rows.
278 Analytical and Simulative Studies
Mapping this solution to the phenotype (i.e. decision variables of the formal
representation developed in section 4.3) results in the following constellation:
y1110 = z1111 =1 y2110 = z2111 =1 y3110 = z3111 =1 y4120 = z4121 =1 y5120 = z5121 =1 y6120 = z6121 =1
y1200 = z1201 =1 y2200 = z2201 =1 y3200 = z3201 =1 y4200 = z4201 =1 y5200 = z5201 =1 y6200 = z6201 =1
yikm0 = zikm1 = 0 for all other i,k,m
Table 43: Phenotype representation of the solution given in Figure 104148
It should be noted here that the genetic code of the individual does not ex-
plicitly contain information about the coalitions’ insourcers because optimal
insourcers of the coalitions can be computationally derived when the coalition
members are known.
Selection operator
The selection operator decides which pairs of individuals from a created popula-
tion will be crossed. The pairs are selected based on the individuals’ fitness
which is determined by the objective function of the CSP (Equation 28 on p.
246) giving individuals with high fitness a higher probability of being consid-
ered. For this procedure, the binary tournament selection operator is used
(Thierens and Goldberg 1994). First, two individuals are chosen from the popu-
lation at random. The individual with the highest fitness of the two is copied to
an intermediate population (mating pool). This procedure ends when the mating
pool contains the same number of individuals as the size of the population itself.
Thus, in the mating pool, the population has been stochastically filtered from
inferior individuals (Harvey 1994, 301-302). From the mating pool, |I|/2 pairs
are randomly selected to be crossed without taking the fitness into account any-
more, according to (Thierens and Goldberg 1994; Harvey 1994).
Crossover operator
The matched pairs of individuals are crossed with a given crossover probability
pCO to generate two children. If no crossover takes place (1-pCO), both individu-
als unaltered become members of the next generation (Beasley 1993b; Nissen
1995).
During crossover, each item of the genetic code (called alleles) of the de-
scendants is created by copying the corresponding allele from one or the other
parent chosen according to a randomly generated (binary) crossover mask (uni-
form crossover, Beasley et al. 1993b). In order to achieve a structural perpetua-
148
To remind the reader: the binary variables yikm0 and zikm1 are equal to 1 if bank i optimally will
source business function k to coalition km. m=0 stands for not joining any coalition.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 279
tion of the parental code, the standard uniform crossover has to be extended: if
the chosen part of the parental genetic code indicates that the corresponding firm
is part of a coalition, the information about the structure of this particular coali-
tion will be bequeathed.
Figure 105 illustrates the extended uniform crossover procedure for a sce-
nario with six firms and one business function (|K| = 1). If there is a “1” in the
crossover mask, the genetic information of child 1 is copied from the first parent,
while in the case of a “0” in the mask, the gene is copied from the second parent.
For the second child, it is the other way round.
banks
i=1 i=2 i=3 i=4 i=5 i=6
Parent 1 1 2 1 2 1 2
Parent 2 1 1 2 2 1 2
Crossover mask 1 0 1 0 0 1
Child 1 1 2 1 3 1 3
Child 2 1 1 2 2 1 2
parents. If more than one business function is part of the problem, this crossover
procedure will be repeated for each row of the genetic code matrix (cf. Figure
104).
Mutation operator
After generating a new population, the genetic code is slightly modified accord-
ing to a mutation operation. The basic idea is that each digit in the offsprings’
chromosomes is increased or decreased by 1 with a given probability pM. From
four different approaches given in (Schwefel 1981)149, the tests in (Beimborn et
al. 2007b, Fladung 2006) showed a constant mutation probability pM over time to
be most effective. Literature suggests that the initial value should be set to the
reciprocal value of the size of the chromosome (i.e. |I| for the OCSP (Fladung
2004, Beimborn et al. 2007b) and |I|*|K| for the CSP).
Business functions which must not be outsourced for strategic reasons
(Equation 20, p. 243) are marked by a ban flag in the chromosome matrix and
thus are not handled by crossover and mutation operations.
149
Other approaches are: linearly decreasing pM over time, hyperbolic decreasing pM over time, and
hybrid procedures with constant probability during the first periods and decreasing probability af-
ter a certain threshold period (Schwefel 1981).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 281
banks
i=1 i=2 i=3 i=4 i=5 i=6
Unrepaired
1 3 1 2 5 2
Identical structure
chromosome
Repaired
1 2 1 3 4 3
chromosome
Figure 106: Schematic illustration of the implemented repair operator
(Beimborn et al. 2007b)
The legal and the strategic constraint of the CSP are regarded as follows. Af-
ter a new individual has been created by the crossover procedure, the GA exam-
ines its compliance with those constraints. If they are violated, one cooperatively
sourced business function is chosen at random and backsourced to in-house
processing. This procedure is repeated until all constraints are met.
5.2.3 Configuration
The development of the genetic algorithm for the OCSP in (Beimborn et al.
2007b; Fladung 2006) was accompanied by comprehensive tests to derive the
optimal configuration. In those works the parameterization given in Table 44 was
finally found to be most effective after applying it to different OCSP scenarios
with different levels of solution difficulty.
Population size = 200 TGA = 100 or 1,000 pCO = .55 pM = .05
Table 44: Optimal GA configuration for the OCSP (Beimborn et al. 2007b)
Genetic algorithms, like every heuristic, provide a trade-off between solu-
tion quality and computation time. The longer a heuristic is allowed to search for
the optimal solution, the better the final result will be. Compared with (Beimborn
et al. 2007b; Fladung 2006), this work on hand differs in the purpose of the GA
application. While the first was intended to optimize a particular real situation by
determining how academic libraries of two German states should be organized in
procurement consortia (given very rich and detailed empirical data), the objec-
tive of this work is to simulate cooperative sourcing behavior in different scenar-
ios. Here, the GA is applied to provide a benchmark from a centralized perspec-
tive in order to identify inefficiencies occurring in systems that are not centrally
organized. Thus, this work has differing requirements regarding the trade-off
between solution quality and computation time. While a single optimization run
282 Analytical and Simulative Studies
of 41 minutes for the OCSP was acceptable (Fladung 2006, 183), for the coop-
erative sourcing studies this would lead to simulations (which require high num-
bers of repetitions) taking years for fulfillment150. Based on the findings in
(Beimborn et al. 2007b, Fladung 2006) and on own performance tests with a
CSP instance consisting of 50 banks with 5 business functions each, the configu-
ration given in Table 45 was chosen to solve the centralized variant of the coop-
erative sourcing model during the simulation studies in the next section.
Population size = 50 TGA = 100 pCO = .55 pM = .001
Table 45: GA configuration for the CSP simulation studies
The GA is restricted to TGA =100 periods (i.e. generations) and to a popula-
tion of 50 individuals. The crossover probability is set to .55 as in (Beimborn et
al. 2007b, Fladung 2006) while the mutation probability is .001 (instead of .002
as the suggested reciprocal value of the problem size). The underlying perform-
ance tests are documented in appendix A1.
During the simulation studies in the next section, the genetic algorithm will
be used to determine the “optimal” global cooperative sourcing configuration
where the results of simulating decentrally and autonomous decision behavior of
the firms can be compared with in order to determine the degree of inefficiency
which occurs in the system. The attribute “optimal” has been put in quotation
marks because the genetic algorithm as a heuristic does not necessarily deter-
mine the true optimal solution and – even if it did – the solution would only be
optimal from a global perspective, but not necessarily from an individual per-
spective.
150
Furthermore, it should be noted that the optimized library network in (Fladung 2006) consisted of
20 libraries, while the simulation studies in the subsequent sections are conducted with 100 banks
and 5 business functions (instead of one procurement process). Thus, the problem size is 25 times
larger.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 283
addition, simulations are helpful for making estimates about what happens inside
a system that is difficult to understand, e.g. in a national economy (Bratley et al.
1987, 3).
As a research method, simulations can contribute to both inductive and de-
ductive research approaches (Axelrod 1997). Induction discovers patterns in
empirical data while deduction “involves specifying a set of axioms and proving
consequences that can be derived”, such as the discovery of equilibrium results
in game theory (Axelrod 1997, 24). Simulation, like deduction, starts with a set
of assumptions, but in contrast does not prove theorems. Instead, a simulation
generates data that can be analyzed inductively. However, in contrast to induc-
tion, the data comes from a rigorously specified set of rules rather than from
direct measurement of the real world (Axelrod 2000). “While induction can be
used to find patterns in data and deduction can be used to find consequences of
assumptions, simulation modeling can be used as an aid intuition” (Axelrod
1997, 24). Simulations can often be used when deduction is not possible, e.g. if
many non-linear relationships are present and analytics fail. Highly complex
models can be designed to represent a real-world system. However, while deduc-
tively proved theorems are definitely true, simulation results always depend on
parameter settings. Thus, results are always determined with a degree of confi-
dence and cannot be generalized. Consequently, simulations represent a “second-
best technique” as long as deductive approaches can be applied (Axelrod
2000)151.
In economics, simulations are applied to find the determinants of economic
development processes and to identify conditions for reaching certain equilibria
(Medeiros Rivero et al. 1999). Although there are deductive approaches to an-
swer these types of questions (e.g., based on game theory), the models underly-
ing those approaches have to remain very abstract, simple, and small. By con-
trast, economic systems are made up of economic agents with complex behavior
which interact dynamically with each other. Thus, the resulting dynamics of the
system often are unpredictable (Flake 1998). Medeiros Rivero (1999) states that
“not only the structure of the economic system emerges from the individuals’
behavior, but that the agents’ behavior is influenced by the structure” as well.
The dichotomy between complexity in real systems and the high level of abstrac-
tion in analytical models can be bridged in parts by simulations which are flexi-
ble enough to capture higher levels of formal complexity while still providing
explanation power (Medeiros Rivero et al. 1999).
151
A detailed positioning of the simulations approach from a philosophy of science perspective is
given by Axelrod (1987).
284 Analytical and Simulative Studies
Of course, even highly complex ACE models still represent an abstract pic-
ture of reality. It is not aimed (and not possible) to provide an accurate represen-
tation. “Instead, the goal of agent-based modeling is to enrich our understanding
of fundamental processes that may appear in a variety of applications” (Axelrod
1997, 25). Models of dynamic systems are not developed to act as forecast tools.
Their objective is to investigate the spectrum of development potentialities which
allows them to offer qualitative decision support in steering the system towards
desired states (Bossel 2004, 110).
Nevertheless, this comes with the strong requirement to validate simulation
models. ACE simulations generate outcome distributions for theoretical eco-
nomic systems. These outcome distributions often suggest multiple equilibria. In
contrast, the real world represents only one instance of the modeled system. Even
if the simulations perfectly reproduced the real system, it would be impossible to
verify this accuracy using common statistical methods (Tesfatsion 2006, 12).
Sargent (1998), Bratley (1987), and Naylor et al. (1967) suggest multistage vali-
dation approaches which are applied to this research work in a separate section in
chapter 6.
2 requests membership in this coalition. In accordance with the request, the coa-
lition agrees to incorporate bank 2.
ria are possible, such as random selection, size (in terms of number of actors or
process volume), or efficiency. For the latter, the bank evaluates its financial
consequences which would occur if joining the new coalition (evaluation func-
tion given by Equation 31, p. 250). Finally, it chooses the coalition which prom-
ises highest cost savings. During the simulation studies, the different selection
mechanisms are tested (cf. section 5.3.4.6).
The simulation process usually will be terminated after a certain number of
periods T and then be repeated multiple times with the same parameter setting to
achieve more reliable results of the stochastic system behavior (DoD 1993).
Afterwards, one or more parameters are varied and the same procedure is re-
peated for measuring the impact of the parameter on the system behavior (sensi-
tivity analysis). The complete simulation process is visualized by Figure 108.
After a scenario has been simulated over a certain number of periods, the
genetic algorithm determines the optimal cooperative sourcing constellation of
the banking network from a centralized perspective (maximizing global net sav-
ings).
Implementation
The simulation model and the genetic algorithm have been implemented in
JAVA 6. The main simulation routines consist of five classes, amounting to
2,370 lines of code. Furthermore, the implementation consists of the genetic
algorithm (3 classes, 2,185 lines) and 5 supporting classes (1,013 lines) which
provide data input/output routines as well as random value generation and com-
putation of statistical measures. Eclipse 3.1.2 was used as integrated develop-
ment environment (IDE). Apart from the Java libraries which come along with
Sun’s Java Runtime Environment, several packages from Apache were used to
develop interfaces for reading data from and writing results into Excel spread-
sheets (Jakarta POI152), to conduct statistical analyses, and to generate random
values from empirical distributions (Jakarta Commons-Math153). Uniform ran-
dom numbers are generated by the Colt Random Number Generator from W.
Hoschek at CERN154 while normal random numbers are generated by inversion
(Bratley et al. 1987, 147). Microsoft Excel 2003 and SPSS 11.5 were used for
deriving the parameterization (section 5.3.3) and for analyzing and visualizing
the results (section 5.3.4).
152
http://jakarta.apache.org/poi/ (as of 2006-07-13)
153
http://jakarta.apache.org/commons/math/ (as of 2006-07-13)
154
http://hoschek.home.cern.ch/hoschek/colt/ (as of 2006-07-13)
288 Analytical and Simulative Studies
5.3.3 Parameterization
In order to give the simulation studies a firm basis, it is necessary to collect as
much pertinent data as possible from the system to be simulated (DoD 1993).
Due to a lack of available general banking data, the simulation studies in
section 5.3.4 will focus on a dedicated part of the banking business. Since all of
the studies introduced in section 3.6 focused on a particular part of the credit
business, the simulation studies will cover this domain of granting and adminis-
tering SME loans. Possible generalizations are discussed in the last chapter.
Basically, there are two different approaches to parameterize simulations
from available empirical data:
1. Data set-based (horizontal): The virtual actors in the simulation model rep-
resent real-world actors. Each data set is transformed into the parameter set
of a single simulated agent. For example, we derive bank size and process
cost allocation to the different business functions, their individual strategic
value etc. from one single data set for one of the simulated banks.
2. Distribution-based (vertical): For each of the applied empirical indicators (or
aggregates), a distribution over all data sets is estimated which leads to the
distribution of the corresponding global simulation parameter. During the
different simulation runs, random values are generated based on those de-
rived distributions. Correlations in empirical data can partly be taken into
account by conditional or multivariate distributions (e.g. larger banks have
larger credit volume and differing process cost structures, cf. section
3.6.2.5).
Arguments for the first approach are:
o The simulation would reflect one particular “real-world” situation (as long
as empirical data is assumed to be a “true” reflection of the real world).
o All statistical relationships (correlations) existing in the data are appropri-
ately considered. The second approach usually will not be able to consider
all correlations due to the numerical complexity.
The second approach has the following advantages:
o Subjectivity of the respondents when giving qualitative answers can be lev-
eled as long as there is no structural bias. The answers are reflected against
the remaining data. Thus, a simulation based on empirical distributions is
more robust.
o In contrast to representing one particular real-world situation as in the data
set-based approach, the distribution-based approach considers the general in-
terrelations between system elements and enables differing scenarios. In
290 Analytical and Simulative Studies
other words, simulations are frequently repeated to get more reliable results.
All virtual agents will be completely re-parameterized after each simulation
run. By contrast, the first approach leaves only limited space to vary the set-
ting between different simulation runs.
o In cases where not all parameters can be determined empirically, estimations
and computational proxies have to be included to complete parameteriza-
tion. In these cases, the distribution-based approach is more consistent be-
cause it considers distributions (empirical as well as estimated) for all pa-
rameters. This leads to the results being more robust.
For our simulation studies, we chose the second approach because the simu-
lations do not follow the aim to explicitly forecast market developments what
would not be a realistic objective for simulations of organizational decisions.
Instead, the simulations aim to identify structural effects. This requires a broad
statistical base rather than fixing more individual parameters ex ante than neces-
sary.
The main part of the parameterization is derived from the empirical results
(section 3.6). In areas where no empirical data was available (e.g. transaction
costs), parameterization is based on assumptions which will be altered for sensi-
tivity analyses during the simulation studies. In the following sections, the
parameterization for the simulation studies is derived from the empirical data.
Appendix A2 provides tables which summarize the results.
5.3.3.1 Demographics
In order to be able to handle the computational complexity of the simulations, we
will implement a set of |I| = 100 banks which are implemented in a way to struc-
turally represent the empirically investigated part of the largest 1,000 banks of
the German banking industry (cf. section 3.6) and covering the SME credit busi-
ness with five business functions following the reference SME credit process
underlying the empirical studies S1 and S2 (cf. Figure 33, p. 161) => |K| = 5.
All modeled banks are assumed to be active in the SME credit business and
currently operating all of the five process steps (fully integrated, cf. section
1.5.4) => a ik 1 i, k .
Next, we introduce a parameter sizei which represents a standardized value
to describe the size of a bank, determining process volumes and process cost
structures. sizei is defined between 0.0 and 1.0 (1.0 represents the maximum
Analytical and Simulative Studies 291
stated number of loans in stock) and follows the “number of loans in stock”
distribution (Figure 38) of the respondents of the S2 study155.
In order to parameterize the process volume of the back-office process steps
processing/servicing (xi3) and risk monitoring (xi4), sizei is multiplied with the
maximum stated number of loans in stock (30,000) and the result is stochasti-
cized by normally distributed noise with a variation coefficient156 of vc =.2: xi3 =
xi4 ~ ND(P = sizei * 30,000, V= .2*P).
For sales/preparation (xi1) and assessment/decision (xi2), assumptions have
to be made either about the acquisition rate or about the average loan contract
duration to estimate the number of new contracts per year. Since no data was
available, we assume the acquisition rate to be 15% of the back-office process
volume (loans in stock) xi3 and xi4 and vary this value during sensitivity analyses.
For the process volume of workout, we use a medium value between the
lower and upper border in Figure 46 on page 167 (i.e. between percentage of
“not good” loans and failed loans) (xi5): For each bank which took part in the
survey, the middle of the corridor between “not good” loans and failed loans is
computed. From these values the mean value (20.17%) and standard deviation
(9.74%) are taken for computing normally distributed process volumes of work-
out157 based on the administration volume xi3: xi5 ~ ND(P = xi3 * .202, V= xi3 *
.097).
The business neighborhood bnij can not be parameterized based on empirical
data. Since the simulations will provide a partial analysis (SME credit business),
we only model banks which are active in this business. Therefore, they all are
competitors from a customer segment perspective. Furthermore, they all offer the
same product (SME loan). Regarding the geographical perspective, we assume
smaller banks serving smaller geographical domains. Thus, there is a smaller
business neighborhood from a geographical perspective between smaller banks.
By contrast, the neighborhood between large and small banks is high because the
large institutes usually serve the same region as the considered small bank.
Finally, some global parameters have to be set:
o The risk-adjusted discount rate is set to rad = .05.
155
Number of SME loans in stock is highly correlated with firm size (in total assets). The S2 sample
further showed to be representative for the largest 1000 German banks in terms of firm size. (Cf.
section 3.6.1.)
156
Variation coefficient (vc) = V/P.
157
The moderate correlation between firm size and fraction of failed loans (cf. footnote 90 on p. 170)
was ignored because the fraction of failed loans already showed a low bandwidth compared with
the computed corridor values.
292 Analytical and Simulative Studies
158
http://www.tpi.net/knowledgecenter/tpiindex/ (as of 15 Aug 2007).
159
VAT rate in Germany since 01 Jan 2007.
160
Only relative cost allocation for risk monitoring/management is moderately correlated with total
assets (Pearson correlation = .227, p<.05).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 293
allocated to the five process steps based on normal distributions following means
and standard deviations of the empirical distributions (distribution parameters
taken from the right columns of Table 19, p. 188).
Third, the derived unit costs for single process steps are split into fixed and
variable parts, based on the analysis in 3.6.2.5. The parameterization has to take
into account that
o fixed/variable cost ratios do not follow a normal (or other standard) distribu-
tion,
o cost ratios are moderately correlated with number of loans in stock, and
o for strengthening reliability, three different cost allocation schemes A, B,
and C have been used to estimate the cost ratios (cf. Table 22 and Table 23
on pp. 195+195).
Random value PC
for each bank i
1 based on empirical distribution
of average process costs
161
Only relative cost allocation for workout correlates moderately with the number of loans in stock
(Pearson correlation = .289, p<.01).
294 Analytical and Simulative Studies
“lottery wheel”, stored together with the (normalized162) related number of loans
in stock. In order to take the correlation into account, values are clustered into
ten different equally large groups regarding number of loans in stock, separated
by deciles. Now, a concrete cost ratio parameter of a simulated bank’s business
function is determined by choosing a value (with replacement) from the subset
which belongs to the bank’s size. Based on the ratio value and on the unit costs
derived in step 2, variable and fixed unit costs are calculated (step 3 in Figure
109).
The total fixed costs are determined by multiplying average fixed costs per
unit with the corresponding process volume (step 4). Finally, in the fifth step the
resulting cost parameters are “stochasticized” by a normal distribution with a
variation coefficient of .1. The following table compares computed results (1,000
generated random values for each business function) with empirical data (based
on cost ratios). While standard deviation is slightly lower in the simulated data,
mean values match quite well.
Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/ Risk
Workout
preparation decision servicing monitoring
sim. emp. sim. emp. sim. emp. sim. emp. sim. emp.
mean .158 .140 .285 .274 .209 .214 .618 .652 .320 .300
st. dev. .138 .141 .258 .300 .196 .206 .631 .715 .254 .261
median .112 .080 .212 .170 .196 .206 .631 .715 .254 .261
skew 1.16 1.29 1.74 1.76 1.37 1.30 1.61 2.09 1.27 1.36
Table 46: Comparison of statistical properties of simulated and empirical cost
ratio distributions for each business function163
Apart from process costs, further properties of the investigated business
functions are relevant to the parameterization.
First, similarity between business functions of different banks is needed for
computing adoption costs as part of the transaction costs. Section 3.6.2.4 de-
scribes the empirical results of the SME credit process survey S1 regarding the
respondents’ perceived similarity among SME credit processes of different
banks. As already argued in section 3.4.3, the credit business in the past has had
no need to adopt standardized procedures and underlying data standards as for
example in the payments processing domain. Consequently, the survey showed
that the use of standard data formats is rather uncommon in the credit business
(Figure 66, p. 186). Nevertheless, many of the respondents stated that there is the
162
scaled to values between 0.0 and 1.0
163
A more detailed presentation of the empirical data can be found in Table 25 on p. 198.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 295
potential to standardize most parts of the SME credit process (Figure 64, p. 185).
We will use those perceived assessments to parameterize the model’s similarity
measure ]ijk0 for the start configuration (period t=0) of the simulation studies.
Since standardization potential does not describe similarity but only potential
similarity and due to missing process standardization in the industry, the empiri-
cal distributions will be used as trend proxies by normalizing ]ijk0 to values be-
tween 0.0 and only 0.5 (instead of 1.0).
The correlation of standardization potential of workout with firm size (Pear-
son correlation = -.245) will be neglected. For the simulation studies we assume
]ijk0 to be normally distributed164, following means and standard deviations of the
empirical distributions (normalized) (Table 47).
164
Empirical distributions are slightly left-skewed for sales/preparation and assessment/decision and
more or less right-skewed for the remaining business functions.
296 Analytical and Simulative Studies
165
In order to receive continuous values from the discrete 5-Likert scale indicators, these are sto-
chasticized by applying a uniform distribution: If the generated random value is 3, then the result
is equally distributed between 2.5 and 3.5, implicitly generating a cascade distribution function.
166
Consideration of correlations has been realized as follows: With a probability p = r(Oik,Oil), Oik is
set equal to Oil or vice versa.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 297
167
CG = the costs periodically paid for the service, cf. section 4.2.3.2.
298 Analytical and Simulative Studies
D E J
1.25 -.9 .3
Table 50: Parameterization of negotiation and coordination cost functions168
If the ratio parameter between coordination costs C ikC and negotiation costs
CikN is set to J =.3, agency costs CikAG represent 237% of the negotiation costs
AG
(cf. Equation 55). Due to the different function types, the cost factor c k has to
N
be set much higher than c . The agency cost function includes three parameters
k
and variables defined to values between 0.0 and 1.0 which are multiplicatively
interrelated – while the negotiation cost function has only one. If all of these
were symmetrically distributed (average = .5), then c kAG would have to be set to
4* c kN *2.37 to lead to agency costs being 237% as high as negotiation costs169.
Nevertheless, this does not take into account the different risk levels of out-
sourcing different business functions of the credit business, which are relevant to
agency costs. Thus, for agency cost factor c kAG we chose the empirical results
regarding the question on how high the strategic risk from outsourcing a particu-
lar process step to another bank would be (Figure 84, p. 208). The means of the
answers are transformed to the values given in Table 51.
N
Thus, we first add c k over all k and multiply the result with 4*2.37. Then,
the product is split into the five business functions, following the ratios between
means of the answers in Figure 84. The resulting values are given in Table 51.
Transaction Sales/ Assessment/ Processing Risk
Workout
cost factor preparation decision /servicing monitoring
N N N N N
c k c1
N
6,740 c 2 3,506 c 3 40,773 c 4 17,034 c 5 3,095
AG
c k c1
AG
178,996 c AG
2 173,984 c AG
3 98,090 c AG
4 135,142 c AG
5 88,782
AD AD AD AD AD
c k c 1
AD
10,000 c 10,000 c
2
10,000 c
3 10,000 c4 10,000 5
168
To remind the reader: D is the progressive effect of the coalition size on negotiation and coordi-
nation costs) while E represents the declining effect of learning effects.J describes the ratio be-
tween negotiation and coordination costs (cf. Equation 6 and Equation 7).
169
One stochastic parameter with expectation = .5 would be 4 times higher than the expected product
of three parameters having the same expectation (.53=.125).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 299
No empirical data was available for determining adoption cost factor c kAD ;
even Barthélemy was not able to gather adoption (or “transition”) costs in his
ITO survey. Differences in the process design as a driver of adoption costs have
already been considered in the similarity measure ]ijk, parameterized above.
Moreover, task complexity F ik has been already captured by the function itself.
Therefore, c kAD is initially set to 10,000 for all business functions and varied
during sensitivity analyses.
Finally, the interface cost factor also is set independently of (non-available)
empirical data. Interface costs do not occur for each business function, but for
each pair of business functions (if one of both is outsourced); thus, the initial
parameter is set to only cIF=5,000.
5.3.3.4 Simulation and Optimization Control
Apart from the model parameterization, the simulation control as well as the
genetic algorithm configuration have to be parameterized. The simulation is
started by trying to form coalitions in the first period which then are tested on
stability (cf. section 5.3.2). This coalition setting is repeated after a certain num-
ber of periods. The parameterization, which showed to be useful during test runs,
is as follows:
initCoalSize 9 Initial size of created coalitions
Repeat rate (number of periods) for crea-
coalBuildingFreq 5
tion of new coalitions
Maximum number of coalitions created per
maxCoalBuilding 4
business function k in one period
Table 52: Parameterization of simulation control
The following configuration was chosen for the genetic algorithm (cf. sec-
tion 5.2.3):
50 Population size
pCo = .55 Crossover probability
pM = .001 Mutation probability
TGA = 100 Maximum number of generations
Pre-termination after 50 periods, if best found solution did not change
Table 53: Parameterization of the genetic algorithm (cf. section 5.2.3)
300 Analytical and Simulative Studies
Dimensions
of
4. Variation of Further Decision Calculus Parameters
analysis
What is the impact of further decision-relevant factors
In all steps, the on the three dimensions?
analysis is in view
• Level of risk-adjusted calculation discount rate
of the following • Value-added tax
dimensions: • Strategic constraint
• Monetary effects • Heterogeneity of the decision-relevant parameters
• Market structure
effects
• Decision behavior
1. The degree of cooperative sourcing and the related monetary results such as
process cost savings (PCS), transaction costs (TC), and net savings (NS) are
analyzed from a global perspective and from an individual perspective.
2. In addition, the resulting market structure effects in terms of market concen-
tration, number of coalitions, and resulting business models are investigated.
3. The third dimension focuses on the dynamics leading to those results. How
often do banks outsource, switch coalitions, or backsource the business
function? The ratio between switching, backsourcing, and outsourcing is
taken as a proxy for behavioral uncertainty from the banks’ perspective be-
cause it reflects the volatility of the decision-relevant environment (see fur-
ther explanations below).
Finally, the simulation results are compared with the results from centrally
optimizing the cooperative sourcing configuration of the system by applying the
genetic algorithm.
In sections 5.3.4.2 and 5.3.4.3, the process cost structure and the level of
transaction costs are varied in order to investigate the effects of different cost
situations on the three dimensions. Section 5.3.4.4 completes the picture of deci-
sion-relevant factors by analyzing the impact of calculation discount rate, VAT,
the strategic constraint, and of general parameter heterogeneity.
In a next step, the stability of the found results is tested against variations of
the basic demographic properties (number of simulated firms, degree of business
neighborhood, heterogeneity of firm sizes) (section 5.3.4.5) and of artificial
parameters to control the simulation procedure (initCoalSize, maxCoalBuilding,
coalition building mechanism) (section 5.3.4.6). Finally, section 5.3.4.7 summa-
rizes and complements the analysis with a particular focus on sources of ineffi-
ciency. Each section concludes with a short summary.
more, the dashed graph gives the relative average individual net savings (only
right ordinate).
60%
120,000,000
100,000,000
rel. individual NS
[monetary units]
40%
80,000,000
30%
60,000,000
40,000,000 20%
20,000,000 10%
0 0%
0 50 100 period 150 200 250
global PCS global NS rel. ind. NS global TCp
Figure 111: Periodical average process cost savings (PCS), transaction costs
(TCp), and net savings (NS) over time
In total, the 100 modeled banks save 55% or about €117 million of the
original process costs per period (periodical net savings (NS) = periodical proc-
ess cost savings (PCS) minus periodical transaction costs (TCp), which consist
of coordination costs, agency costs, and interface costs170) by cooperative sourc-
ing. The resulting transaction costs are around 6% of the process cost savings
(PCS). This is almost analogous to empirical results of IT outsourcing research
in the banking industry (Ang and Straub 1998).
Although savings of 55% of the overall process costs seem to be a very high
figure, one should be aware that this represents the aggregate savings, not the
average savings per actor. Due to the high heterogeneity in stated process costs
(cf. section 3.6.2.1), there are banks with very inefficient processes which can
save much money through cooperative sourcing in the simulations171. This gen-
erates the high aggregate (relative) savings of the whole system. A breakdown of
the savings to the individual banks results in average individual savings of 34.4%
after 250 periods (dashed line in the figure above).
170
Equation 11 and Equation 14 on pp. 238-239. We chose to present the results on a periodical
basis instead of showing the net present values of particular sourcing contracts (Equation 15 on p.
241) because setting the sourcing contract duration as an extra parameter would make a compara-
tive analysis much more complex for the reader. Thus, the one-time transaction costs for negotia-
tion and adoption are not included in the TC displayed in the diagrams.
171
In reality, banks will probably first optimize their processes internally before outsourcing them
(although this has not necessarily been the case in the past). Obviously, inhouse optimization re-
duces the relative advantageousness of cooperative sourcing.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 303
Although the graphs in Figure 111 show no major increases after the first
100 periods, the simulations still show some dynamics over a long timeframe.
Due to the many complexities that the banks are faced with, caused by external-
ities and also by simulation design, the banks need quite a long time to find the
optimal coalition, from their perspective, which is stable and offers the expected
savings. Thus, the concept of periods is not directly transferable into reality.
Figure 113 shows the distribution of the number of periods needed to reach the
stationary state which occurs after 173 periods on average. Around 7% of the
simulation runs did not converge into a stationary state at all172. The number of
periods needed does not correlate with global monetary results (such as PCS and
NS).
100%
80%
relative frequency
60%
40%
20%
(mean = 173 periods, 500 simulation runs)
0%
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
periods
Figure 112: Number of periods needed to reach stationary state
Naturally, results from simulation studies show a certain bandwidth of varia-
tion. The following figure shows the range of results for total net savings (NS) in
every period. The standard deviation (ranges around the mean) as well as the
minimally and maximally obtained values resulting from 1,000 simulation runs
are depicted in the diagram.
Although there are quite large deviations from the mean, fitting tests showed
that the results are almost lognormally distributed. Continuously, over time,
about 73% of the simulation runs stay within the inner displayed range [mean–
sd, mean+sd]. The deviations are strongly influenced by high variations in the
(empirically conducted) process cost parameters. When the variation of the rela-
tive savings (NS/original process costs) is measured instead, the final resulting
172
Of the 500 simulation runs, 93% of the runs were computed to be 664 periods in maximum
duration. The remaining 7% of the simulation runs did not converge, even after 2,000 periods, be-
cause the system was locked in a dynamic equilibrium: due to a certain constellation of expected
NPVs, a small number of banks cyclically outsource and backsource the same business function.
304 Analytical and Simulative Studies
relative savings of 55% (cf. Figure 111, right scale) show a quite low standard
variation of only 6.1 percentage points.
300,000,000
250,000,000
max(NS)
net savings (NS) [monetary units]
mean(NS)+sd(NS)
200,000,000 mean(NS)
mean(sd)-sd(NS)
min(NS)
150,000,000
100,000,000
50,000,000
0
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250
period
Figure 113: Global net savings (NS): mean and spread (standard deviation and
min/max values) from 100 simulation runs
In order to look at the cost savings in greater detail, we analyzed the differ-
ent business functions’ contribution to overall net benefits. A breakdown of the
average individual savings of 34.4% into the different business functions results
in the average net savings given in the following table. Since interface costs,
which are part of the transaction costs and thus reduce the net savings, cannot be
dedicated to a single business function, they are omitted in this analysis. The
highest savings are generated from cooperatively sourcing processing/servicing
and risk monitoring. Workout offers some savings potential, too, while the front
and middle office functions show no significant cost savings.
Business Sales/ Assessment/ Processing/ Risk
Workout
function preparation decision servicing monitoring
Average net
0.1% 2.2% 41.1% 35.3% 16.0%
savings per bank
Table 54: Average net savings at business function level
(without considering interface costs)
Because there is a strong asymmetry in terms of bank sizes and thus process
volumes, the next figures show the results in more detail by grouping the banks
into ten equally large clusters ordered by firm size. The larger the group index is,
the larger the size of the associated banks. Figure 114 shows the absolute savings
broken down into business functions and bank size groups. The box plots repre-
Analytical and Simulative Studies 305
sent the quartiles (boxes) and total ranges (antennas) of the absolute net savings
for each business function and bank size group.
20000000
Avg. absolute net savings per business function
15000000
10000000
5000000
0
10
9
8
7
6
firm size group 5 5
4 4
3 3
2 2
1 1 business function
Figure 114: Distribution of absolute net savings per business function (box plot
representation without outliers and extreme values173)
Obviously, the main contribution, by far, to overall net benefits is given by
the processing/servicing business function. The larger the firm is, the higher the
net savings are. Nevertheless, processing/servicing also promises the highest
savings for the smallest banks and is often the first or only one which is out-
sourced by those, in particular. Figure 115 shows the relative composition of the
overall net benefits174.
173
Outliers and extreme values, here and in all of the following box plot charts, represent values
which fall short of or exceed the .25 or the .75 quartile by more than 2 or 3 times the inter-quartile
distance.
174
Once again, the interface costs CIF are disregarded, because they cannot be clearly assigned to a
particular business function (cf. section 4.2.3.1.4).
306 Analytical and Simulative Studies
Avg. contribution to total net savings
100%
80%
Workout
of the bank
60%
Risk monitoring
Processing/servicing
40% Assessm./decision
Sales/preparation
20%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
bank size group
Figure 115: Average contribution of outsourcing a particular business function
to total net savings (per bank), related to bank size
For the smallest banks (small bank size group indices), the relative contribu-
tion provided by savings from cooperatively sourcing the processing/servicing
function is highest. Since many small banks outsource only this process step, in
these cases it accounts for 100% of the net savings. Apart from process-
ing/servicing, the only business function which also significantly contributes to a
positive net benefit is risk monitoring while the remaining three business func-
tions play only a secondary role.
What are the resulting “market” effects from cooperatively sourcing the dif-
ferent business functions, now? Figure 116 shows the increase of market concen-
tration for the different process parts. The left diagram represents the actor-based
Herfindahl index (HFact)175 and measures the size of coalitions in terms of mem-
ber counts. The right diagram demonstrates the aggregate process volume of the
different coalitions (HFvol). Due to the asymmetric distribution of process vol-
umes throughout the system of banks, the concentration values are higher.
175
The Herfindahl index measures the market concentration by summing the squared market shares.
In this work we use the relative size of a coalition – either in terms of number of actors or process
volume – as market share:
2 2
mktmax
2 § ¦ xik
mktmax
· § § · ·
§ M kmt · M 0 ¨ iM kmt ¸ |I | ¨
¨x ¸ ¸
HFktact ¦ ¨ ¸ km HFktvol ¦ ¨ ¸ ¦ ¨ z ik 0t ¨ ik ¸
¸ . Single banks
¨ I ¸ I2 ¦ x ¦ x ¸
m 1© ¹ m 1¨ ik ¸ i 1 ¨ ¨ ik ¸
© iI ¹ © © iI ¹ ¹
are counted as solitary “market members” (represented by the second term in each of the equa-
tions, with M km0 being the number of actors not being involved in cooperative sourcing regard-
ing k in t.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 307
Figure 116: Average “market concentration” for the provision of the different
business functions, based on actor-based (left) and process volume-
based (right) Herfindahl index
Both diagrams show moderate to strong consolidation tendencies for the dif-
ferent back-office functions (processing/servicing, risk monitoring, workout),
while there are no or almost no activities for the first two business functions.
HFact = .2 for processing/servicing means that if all coalitions had an equal size
and all banks were members of one of them, the 100 banks would organize
themselves in 5 coalitions. From a process-volume perspective, HFvol = .5 means
that if the coalitions had the same process volumes, there would be only 2 coali-
tions left in the market, operating equally large process volumes. Interestingly,
the only graph showing significant increases over the whole observed time frame
of 250 periods is the actor-based concentration measure for processing/servicing.
Although the volume-based Herfindahl index reached a stable level after 150
periods, there appear to be small banks which still enter into coalitions or switch
to larger coalitions. Their small process volumes have no significant impact on
both global monetary savings (Figure 111) and volume-based market concentra-
tion (Figure 116, right).
Due to asymmetries in the banks’ process volumes (huge differences be-
tween a few large and many small banks), additional measures were incorporated
in order to obtain a more comprehensive picture of the resulting market structure.
Figure 117 shows the average number of banks that are members of any coalition
(left) and the average number of coalitions in the system (right).
308 Analytical and Simulative Studies
avg. num ber of banks in coalitions
80 8
60 6
50 5
40 4
30 3
20 2
10 1
0 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 0 50 100 150 200 250
period period
Sales/Prep. Assessm./Decision Processing/Servicing Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 117: Avg. number of actors in coalitions and number of coalitions over
time
In the left diagram, it can be seen that, in the long term, the majority of
banks (74%) join a processing/servicing coalition, followed by risk monitoring
(61%). Furthermore, regarding processing/servicing, the number of coalitions
increases greatly in early periods and decreases slightly afterwards. Thus, we can
argue that, in contrast to risk monitoring there is an over-reaction in the first
periods. Joining any coalition seems to be beneficial from the perspective of
banks and thus many small coalitions are established in early periods, which are
not efficient in comparison with later consolidation. Together with a slightly
increasing number of cooperatively sourcing banks (Figure 117 – left) the con-
solidation separates into fewer but larger coalitions in later periods, leading to
the long-term increase of market concentration (Figure 116 – left) for this par-
ticular business function.
This effect cannot be observed for the remaining business functions. Never-
theless, there are also strong cooperative sourcing activities for risk monitoring.
In regards to workout, there are some consolidation activities (on average only
1.4 coalitions exist in the long term), but the majority of banks decide not to take
part in any coalition. Because these banks are also considered in the Herfindahl
index computation, the concentration measures remain at a relatively low level.
In order to receive greater insight into the heterogeneity in coalition size,
Figure 118 shows the common concentration measures CR1 (left) and CR3 (right)
which, in this work, represent the “market share” of the largest coalition and the
three largest coalitions in terms of number of members (cf. Hannan and McDow-
ell 1984).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 309
Figure 118: Average “market share” of the largest coalition (CR1) resp. the three
largest coalitions (CR3) in terms of number of members176
In correlation with the highest level of cooperative sourcing activities, the
largest coalition can be found for processing/servicing, followed by risk monitor-
ing. When comparing both diagrams, the second and third largest coalitions
already prove to be much smaller for all business functions. If we compare
Figure 118 (right) with Figure 117 (left), it becomes clear that the remaining
coalitions are very small. For processing/servicing as well as for risk monitoring
it can be seen that only 11-14 coalition members are not members of one of the
three largest coalitions. If there are, on average, 6-7 coalitions in the long term
(Figure 117, right), these 11-14 coalition members separate into 3-4 coalitions.
Range of services offered
Business model Outsourcing
to other banks
1 – (Traditional) fully
None None
integrated bank
2 – Fully integrated bank
Every business function None
with service provision
Every business function One back-office function (either process-
3 – Selective outsourcing
which is not outsourced ing/servicing, risk monitoring, or workout)
Every business function
4 – Major outsourcing Two of three back-office functions
which is not outsourced
Sales/preparation and All back-office functions (process-
5 – Sales bank
assessment/decision ing/servicing, risk monitoring, and workout)
6 – Pure sales bank Sales/preparation Everything except sales/preparation
7 – Processing service
Back-office functions Sales and assessment/decision
provider
Table 55: Business models, tracked in the simulation studies (cf. Figure 80)
176
2 indicates that 20% of all actors are members of the largest (left) resp. of the three largest (right)
coalitions.
310 Analytical and Simulative Studies
integrated bank 50
15% 21%
fully integrated bank 40
w ith service provision
30
5% selective outsourcer
20
major outsourcer 10
35%
24%
0
sales bank
traditional fully selective major sales bank pure sales processing
fully integrated outsourcer outsourcer bank service
integrated bank w ith provider
bank service
provision
average distribution business model
Figure 119: Frequency of business models (left: average distribution, right: box
plot representation), based on 100 simulation runs
In order to look more closely at the underlying dynamics (i.e. third dimen-
sion of analysis), we tracked the actors’ decisions over time. During the simula-
tion, banks have to evaluate (new) and to re-evaluate (existing) cooperative
sourcing coalition memberships. Their evaluations can result in outsourcing178,
177
It should be once more noted that this does not imply that a bank is unwilling to establish a credit
factory. However, in this analysis, that would mean offering a bank’s own services to other banks
(if the credit factory is created to serve third parties). In this analysis, we examine existing banks
(or their virtual agent representatives) to investigate whether each bank (and not the credit fac-
tory) decides not to do anymore (e.g.) sales activities.
178
The term outsourcing is used here and in the following to describe that a bank enters a coopera-
tive sourcing coalition while its business function has previously run internally. Entering a coali-
Analytical and Simulative Studies 311
30
25
20
frequency
15 outsourcing
switching
backsourding
10
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
period
tion, however, can also imply that the bank will become the insourcer of the coalition’s process
volume.
179
After closing a sourcing contract, the parties must not leave the coalition for TCoSo = 5 periods (cf.
section 5.3.3.1).
180
Spearman correlation = .326 (p<.01), Pearson correlation = .171 (p<.01).
312 Analytical and Simulative Studies
16 Backsourcing processing/servicing
rel. number of actors [in %]
Switching processing/servicing
14 Switching risk monitoring Backsourcing risk monitoring
8 Backsourcing workout
Switching workout
12
10 6
8
4
6
4
2
2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6
number of switching actions number of backsourcing actions
181
Since the outsourcing activities for sales/preparation and assessment/decision are already mini-
mal, we have disregarded the analysis of switching and backsourcing activities for those business
functions.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 313
160
140
120
frequency
100
positive evaluations
80
negative evaluations
positive re-evaluations
60
negative re-evaluations
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
period
Figure 122: Evaluations and re-evaluations over time (counted over all actors
and business functions; average from 100 simulation runs)
The diagram shows that the number of evaluations and re-evaluations with
positive results decreases over time while negative evaluation results demon-
strate increasing tendencies. Thus, the market converges into a stable structure.
The high number of negative evaluations results from the fact that a bank can
evaluate more than one potential coalition membership during a single period.
The strong increase in negative results of examining new evaluations during very
early periods indicates that the actors are very quickly locked into their coalition,
i.e. switching the coalition would often be unfavorable because the additional
savings are expected to be too low to exceed the transaction costs for switching.
The following diagram breaks down the results (cumulated over 150 peri-
ods) into the different business functions and shows the absolute and relative
average frequencies of positive and negative evaluations. The left side depicts
the average absolute number of evaluations per period, while the right side
shows the same results in form of relative frequencies.
314 Analytical and Simulative Studies
1.24 100%
35 12.4% 11.0%
relative frequency
25 0.10
10.36 60%
20 99.4% 99.6% 96.5%
34.40 87.6% 89.0%
15 27.82 40%
24.25 62.0%
10 16.88 20%
5 0.01
0 0%
1.23
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positive evaluation results
As
oc
Pr
Pr
business function negative evaluation results per period business function negative evaluation results
100%
frequency
50%
negative votes
positive votes
0%
1 21 41 61 81 101 121 141
period
Figure 124: Frequency of positive vs. negative votes over time
When focusing on the different business functions some differences are dis-
closed (no figure): while the results are rather balanced for risk monitoring (on
average 58% positive votes), assessment/decision (50%), and workout (39%),
sales/preparation and processing/servicing show diverging extreme situations:
In the first, only about 2% of the membership requests are accepted while in the
latter, almost all (98%) of the voting results are positive (no figure).
Interestingly, there is no structural change of the picture when we alter the
voting mechanism. While a unanimity principle was used for this analysis (all
members have to agree to the new member), we also tested a two-third majority.
The almost perfect similarity of the results shows that the members of a coalition
have rather homogeneous preferences regarding the entrance of a new member.
As aggregation of the evaluation results above, Figure 125 shows how many
evaluations are made by how many actors (given as relative frequency) during
the first 150 periods (cumulated over all 5 business functions). Once again, the
figure distinguishes between evaluations (of new membership) (upper diagrams)
and re-evaluations (of existing memberships) (lower) and between positive (left)
and negative (right) results.
316 Analytical and Simulative Studies
20%
12%
15%
8%
frequency
frequency
10%
4%
5%
0% 0%
0 50 100 150 200 0 200 400 600
number of positive evaluations number of negative evaluations
per actor over all business functions and 150 periods per actor over all business functions and 150 periods
20%
30%
15%
frequency
fequency
20%
10%
10%
5%
0% 0%
25 50 75 100 125 0 25 50 75
number of positive re-evaluations number of negative re-evaluations
per actor over all business functions and 150 periods per actor over all business functions and 150 periods
Figure 125: Number and results of evaluations and re-evaluations per actor over
the first 150 periods (cumulated over all business functions)
When comparing the diagrams, the number of positive evaluations and nega-
tive re-evaluations per actor proves to be much lower than in the corresponding
opposite diagram. This corresponds to the results of the activity analysis above
(Figure 120). Outsourcing activities are not very common (low frequency of
positive evaluations), but switching or backsourcing is even less common, dem-
onstrating satisfaction with the cooperative sourcing coalition (low frequency of
negative re-evaluations). Additionally, it has been found that the frequency of
Analytical and Simulative Studies 317
negative evaluations corresponds negatively to firm size: The larger the firm is,
the less it will decline a coalition membership182.
There can be different reasons for negative evaluations of potential coalition
memberships. First, outsourcing can be hindered by the strategic constraint,
which restricts the number of tasks being outsourced (cf. section 4.2.3.4,
Equation 19)183. On average, this factor is responsible for negative evaluation
results in only 7.6% of all negative cases (Figure 126)184. Second, the most
common case is a negative net present value estimation of the cooperative sourc-
ing option (92.4% on average)185.
4.3% 3.9% 8.3%
100% 7.6%
90% 18.5% 15.2%
80%
relative frequency
70%
60%
50% 95.7% 96.1% 92.4%
84.8% 91.7%
40% 81.5%
30%
20%
10%
0%
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/s
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m
k
s/
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is
si
business function
le
R
es
se
Sa
oc
As
Exp(NPV) < 0
182
Pearson correlation = -.346 (p<.01).
183
Note that the other constraint which restricts outsourcing, being the bounded decision capacity
(BDC), per definition does not lead to evaluations at all. Therefore, neither positive nor negative
evaluation results occur, in this case.
184
These simulation results as well as the following analyses of the reasons for negative evaluation
results are based on 25 simulation runs with 150 periods.
185
Furthermore, legal constraints could lead to a negative evaluation, although this is not considered
within these simulations. As already noted in section 5.3.3, considering the legal constraint, not to
outsource more business activities than to keep inhouse (cf. section 3.5.1.1), will not make sense
as long as the simulations cover only a part of the banking business.
318 Analytical and Simulative Studies
relative frequency
70% 70%
60% 60%
50% 50% 95.7% 98.8% 97.5%
85.2% 90.3%
40% 40% 78.5%
30% 30%
20% positive static NPV 20%
10% negative static NPV 10%
0% 0%
1 21 41 61 81 101 121 141
ut
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at
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business function
m
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Pr
100 10
90 decentralized 9 decentralized
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business function
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Pr
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IF AG
C / PCS C / PCS
mean=4.98 mean=4.94 mean=.82 mean=.88 mean=2.83 mean=1.56 mean=5.42 mean=1.03 mean=1.77 mean=2.67
40 40
sd=5.51 sd=6.34 sd=.87 sd=.95 sd=3.30 sd=2.42 sd=7.75 sd=1.07 sd=1.72 sd=3.38
35 71.3%>1 73.1%>1 31.4%>1 33.3%>1 66.2%>1 35 42.0%>1 58.3%>1 39.6%>1 63.9%>1 60.2%>1
/ PCS ratio
30 30
C / PCS ratio
25 25
20 20
15 15
AG
IF
10 10
C
5 5
0 0
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business function business function
oc
oc
Pr
Pr
management
monitoring/
Risk
C
decision
Assessment/
C / PCS
servicing
Processing/
preparation
Sales/
Workout
Business function
mean=.29 mean=.22 mean=.77 mean=.31 mean=.21
4.5 sd=.37 sd=.29 sd=.78 sd=.32 sd=.25
4 12.0%>1 12.1%>1 29.5%>1 13.1%>1 9.6%>1
3.5
C / PCS ratio
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Figure 129: Ratio between different transaction cost types and process cost
savings in negatively evaluated periodical net savings (table gives
information about the sample size and the fraction of excluded
extreme values for all diagrams.)
The graph in Figure 130 summarizes the course of the preceding analysis of
the actors’ decisions and evaluations related with cooperative sourcing. For the
business function processing/servicing, the established frequencies of different
reasons for not participating in a cooperative sourcing coalition are depicted. For
this business function, we can conclude that, at least in the basic parameter set-
ting, cooperative sourcing activities are inhibited in the overwhelming majority
of cases by their own economic calculus (too low expected savings) and only
rarely by negative votes from the potential coalition partners. Reasons for insuf-
ficient expected savings are too high transaction costs and uncertainty about the
partners’ future behavior (externalities). All of the given numbers are taken from
the figures above, thus we have forbeared from presenting the graph for all busi-
ness functions.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 321
cooperative
sourcing
voting result:
positive
Note: values represent average frequencies (over time). 39.6% agency costs
Usually, values depend at least to a small degree on the stage of the simulation process. outweigh
Results are only valid for processing/servicing and for the given basic parameterization. no disjoint process
cost savings
alternatives!
Relative
Decentralized coordination
Centralized coordination difference of
(after 250 periods)
means
mean sd mean sd [in %]
PCS absolute 123m MU 19.5m MU 167m MU 19m MU 36%
TCp absolute 7.5m MU .5m MU 18.1m MU .6m MU 141%
absolute 115m MU 19.5m MU 148m MU 19m MU
NS rel. to org. 28%
55% 6.1 p.p. 70.4% 3.4 p.p.
process costs
Table 56: Comparative results of decentralized and centralized coordination186
On average, the solutions from the centralized coordination result in about
28% higher global net savings. The process cost savings are even higher (36%),
but are offset by much higher transaction costs. The solution quality of the GA
proves to be very consistent (standard deviation of only 3.4 percentage points).
The corresponding effects on the market structure are depicted in the follow-
ing charts:
HFvol (process volume-based Herf. index)
HFact (actor-based Herfindahl index)
0.45 0.70
decentralized decentralized
0.40 0.60
centralized
0.35 centralized
0.50
0.30
0.25 0.40
0.20 0.30
0.15
0.20
0.10
0.05 0.10
0.00 0.00
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As
Pr
Figure 131: Average “market concentration” for the provision of the different
business functions, based on actor-based and process volume-based
Herfindahl index (decentralized coordination results from the 250th
period)
While the actor-based market concentration is much higher in a centrally
coordinated system for all business functions (Figure 131, left), the Herfindahl
index, based on process volumes (Figure 131, right), shows only slight devia-
tions of the back office and even slightly lower values for the two right back-
office business functions, indicating a slightly more homogenous coalition struc-
ture. Figure 132 shows the corresponding numbers of coalitions (right) and ac-
tors in coalitions (left).
186
“Xm MU” stands for “X million monetary units”.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 323
100 10
avg. number of actors in coalitions
90 decentralized 9 decentralized
g
.
ut
ut
g
.
on
ep
g
g
ep
in
n
rin
ko
ko
in
in
io
v ic
isi
pr
pr
it o
c
cis
or
or
to
s/
ec
vi
er
s/
on
W
W
i
er
e
le
on
le
s
./d
./d
Sa
/s
m
g/
Sa
m
ng
m
sin
k
isk
ss
s
ss
si
es
Ri
se
es
R
se
oc
As
oc
As
Pr
Pr
187
The reader should be aware that the basic fixed and variable process cost parameters are not
altered in this step. Only when a bank becomes the insourcer of a coalition’s process volume, the
parameters will be changed.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 327
0.6
0.5
relative global net savings
0.4
0.3
0.2
25.0
20.0 0.2
15.0 0.4
10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0 0.8
1.0 alter_cP
Figure 133: Relative global net savings in relation to alter_KF and alter_cP
The chart shows that the monetary results are not sensitive to changes in the
coalition process cost structure. The original situation is demonstrated by the
corner in the front (alter_KF = 1.0, alter_cP = 1.0). Even if cP remained constant
(alter_cP = 1.0), KF would have at least to be quintupled to lower the net savings.
Furthermore, a slight reduction in cP would keep the net savings at their level,
even if fixed costs were to increase drastically.
The next figure shows the counterpart of centralized coordination (i.e. re-
sults from the GA optimization). Here, the results are completely insensitive to
the increase in fixed costs in a sourcing coalition. Instead, a slight decrease in
variable costs in cooperative sourcing leads to improved relative global net sav-
ings (80% instead of the original 76% at alter_cP = 1.0).
328 Analytical and Simulative Studies
0.80
from centralized optimization
relative global net savings
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
25.0
20.0
15.0 0.2
10.0 0.4
0.6
alter_KF 5.0 0.8
1.0 alter_cP
Figure 134: Relative net savings resulting from centralized coordination
in relation to alter_KF and alter_cP 188
Centralized coordination does not account for individual consequences.
Hence, Figure 135 investigates the number of banks which face a monetary loss
due to centralized configuration changes. According to the last column of Table
57 (p. 324), the charts distinguish between deviation types I and II189 and cumu-
late the frequencies of all five business functions.
188
Due to the significantly longer computation times required by the genetic algorithm, the central-
ized coordination results are based on a smaller number of repetitions. Here, each data point
represents the average of 25 simulation runs.
189
These are banks that have cooperatively sourced but should not (I), from centralized perspective,
and vice versa (II).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 329
Frequency (over all banks and business functions)
20
300
15
200
10
100
5
deviation type I deviation type II
0 0
25.0 0.2 25.0
20.0 20.0 0.2
15.0 0.4 15.0 0.4
10.0 0.6 10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP
1.0 1.0
0.40
Processing/ 0.40 Risk monitoring
servicing
0.30
0.30
0.20
0.20
0.10
Actor-based Herfindahl index
0.10
0.00 0.00
25.0 25.0 0.2
20.0 0.2 20.0 0.4
15.0 0.4 15.0
0.6 10.0 0.6
10.0
alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8 alter_cP
1.0
Workout
0.10
0.10
Assessment/
decision
0.08 0.08
0.06
0.06
0.04
0.04
0.02
0.02
25.0
0.2 25.0
20.0
20.0 0.2
15.0
0.4 0.4
0.6 15.0
10.0 10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8 alter_cP alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP
1.0
191
Process volume-based Herfindahl index leads to the same pictures at a higher overall level, due to
the asymmetric distribution of process volumes across the banking industry. Results for the sales
function have been omitted due to a lack of cooperative sourcing activities.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 331
the technology change would be inefficient (except in cases where the previously
used technology is bounded in capacity).
The various effects, which are presented in the lower diagrams, can be ex-
plained as follows:
o Assessment/decision: As there are almost no cooperative sourcing activities
in the original setting, changing the cost structure – if it has any effect at all
– will only lead to more activities and thus higher market concentration.
This occurs with reducing cP.
o Workout: The process characteristics cause workout to be positioned be-
tween the frequently outsourced and the almost never outsourced business
functions. Thus, the lower right chart aggregates the effects which can be
observed in the remaining three diagrams. At high cP, cooperative sourcing
becomes unfavorable for most of the banks (drop of Herfindahl index). If
only increasing KF minimally, the system behavior proves to be equal to as-
sessment/decision. But, when reducing cP, cooperative sourcing activities
and the formation of larger coalitions can be significantly advanced, even
when KF is also increased, according to the upper diagrams. Hence, it can be
concluded that the banks react very sensitively to cost changes regarding the
workout sourcing strategy.
In order to support this argumentation, Figure 137 shows the average num-
ber of banks participating in cooperative sourcing, and the number of coalitions
for all of the back-office functions.
The market structures which result from centralized coordination are quite
similar (no figures): HFact for processing/servicing and risk management shows
almost the same results as in Figure 136 (upper diagrams) while the levels for
assessment/decision and workout are higher (between .2 and .3) for all combina-
tions of alter_KF and alter_cP. For all business functions, the market concentra-
tion decreases slightly with a decrease in alter_cP but does not show significant
changes with an increase in alter_KF.
332 Analytical and Simulative Studies
8
50
4
25
0 0
Risk monitoring
8
50
25 4
0 0
25.0 0.2 25.0
20.0 20.0 0.2
15.0 0.4 0.4
0.6 15.0
10.0 12 10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8
alter_cP alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP
75 1.0
8
50
Workout
4
25
0
0
25.0
25.0 0.2
0.2
20.0 20.0
0.4 15.0 0.4
15.0 0.6 0.6
10.0 10.0
0.8 5.0 0.8
alter_KF 5.0
1.0 alter_cP alter_KF 1.0 alter_cP
Figure 137: Average number of coalitions and number of banks in coalitions in
relation to alter_KF and alter_cP
The change in “market structures” is related to a diffusion change of the dif-
ferent business models. For the decentralized coordination scenario, the charts of
Figure 138 show how the absolute frequency of business models changes in the
sensitivity analysis.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 333
60 20
50
number of banks
number of banks
Traditional 15
Fully integrated bank
40
fully integrated with service provision
bank 10
30
20
5
10
25.0 0.2 25.0
20.0 20.0
0.2
15.0 0.4 0.4
60 0.6 15.0
10.0 10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8
alter_cP 60 alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8 alter_cP
number of banks
40
40
20
20
Major
Selective
outsourcer
outsourcer
0 0
25.0 0.2 25.0
20.0 20.0 0.2
15.0 0.4 0.4
0.6 15.0
10.0 10.0 0.6
alter_KF 5.0
1.0
0.8 alter_cP alter_KF 5.0 0.8 alter_cP
1.0
60
number of banks
40 Sales bank
20
0
25.0
20.0 0.2
15.0 0.4
10.0 0.6
5.0 0.8
alter_KF 1.0 alter_cP
Figure 138: Frequency of business models in relation to alter_KF and alter_cP
(please note the differently scaled ordinate in the upper right chart)
While the frequency of the traditional fully integrated bank decreases with a
decrease in alter_cP but greatly increases with higher fixed costs, integrated
banks with additional third-party offerings (fully integrated bank with service
provision) show a (weaker) opposite trend. A similar pair-like relationship exists
334 Analytical and Simulative Studies
for selective and major outsourcers as well as for sales banks. With increasing
fixed costs, outsourcing becomes less favorable, therefore, major outsourcers and
sales banks transform to only selective outsourcers. With a slight decrease in
alter_cP, this effect diminishes. Furthermore, decreased variable costs lead to a
slightly higher fraction of sales banks, in particular.
The following tables summarize the monetary and market structure results
from the sensitivity analysis regarding alter_KF and alter_cP. Under both decen-
tralized and centralized coordination, the deciders utilize a changed market struc-
ture and thus are able to achieve the same global net savings of process costs as
in the original setting.
Increase of alter_KF Decrease of alter_cP
Decentralized Centralized Decentralized Centralized
coordination coordination coordination coordination
Negative impact only
Relative Very weak
for strong increase and No impact No impact
NS positive impact
at alter_cP = 1.0
Table 58: Sensitivity analysis regarding alter_KF and alter_cP
Increase of alter_KF Decrease of alter_cP
Assessm./ Process./ Risk Assessm./ Process./ Risk
Workout Workout
decision servicing monitoring decision servicing monitoring
dec cen dec cen dec cen dec cen dec cen dec cen dec cen dec cen
Herfin-
= = n = np = p = (n) = p p p p (p) =
dahl
Number
of coali- (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (n) = n (n) n (n) (n) p
tions
Number
of banks
(p) = p = p = (p) = n = n = (n) = n =
in coali-
tions
Table 59: Sensitivity analysis regarding alter_KF and alter_cP (cont.)192
(dec/cen = de/centralized coordination result)
As a final step, we analyzed the dynamics of the system, i.e. how the level of
activities is affected. As in the previous section, the number of outsourcing,
192
The sales/preparation function is omitted due to the absence of cooperative sourcing activities.
np indicates an initial increase and later decrease with additional variation of the parameter. Ar-
rows in brackets represent slight but insignificant changes of the analyzed measure.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 335
switching, and backsourcing actions within a time frame of 150 periods was
counted for each bank.
In order to be able to estimate the actors’ uncertainty about the others’ be-
havior, the number of switching and backsourcing actions must be set in relation
to outsourcing activities. Higher ratios mean that the banks have to test for more
sourcing configurations unless they find their local optimum193. Furthermore,
additional activities in the system lead to more changes of the decider’s envi-
ronment, which, in turn, aggravate the search for the optimal coalition. There-
fore, these ratios are used as proxies for behavioral uncertainty from the indi-
viduals’ perspective in the following.
The following figure shows the results. Ceteris paribus variations of either
alter_KF or alter_cP lead to a decrease of these “corrective measures” (i.e. less
switching and backsourcing after outsourcing a business function), while simul-
taneous variation keeps the levels constant, leading to the depicted saddle-shaped
graphs.
1.0
4.0 switching actions
backsourcing actions
per outsourcing action per outsourcing action
0.8
3.0
0.5
2.0
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.0
193
The local optimum is defined as the firm’s finally chosen sourcing strategy (insourcing vs. coop-
erative sourcing, choice of coalition). Noticeably, this may not be the optimal strategy even from
the firm’s individual perspective, but there is not better solution found (maybe due to transaction
costs for switching: CAD and CN). This definition is taken from the discipline of (mathematical)
optimization.
194
Each data point represents the average of 200 actors of all sizes. This simplified analysis, which is
based on the average values of all banks, neglects the asymmetry in firm sizes, which might have
an additional impact. However, regression analyses which test for moderating effects of firm size
on the impact of alter_KF or alter_cP variation were shown to be insignificant.
336 Analytical and Simulative Studies
0.20
0.6
0.15
0.4
0.10
0.2
centralized coordination 0.05
decentralized coordination
0 0.00
0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75 0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75
alter_costRatio alter_costRatio
Sales/Prep. Assessm./Decision Processing/Servicing
Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 140: Impact of process cost ratio variation on global net savings (left)
and market concentration (right, only decentralized coordination)195
From these charts, it can be determined that the simulation results do not re-
act considerably to a change in the basic process cost structure. A decrease in the
cost ratios (i.e. decreasing the level of fixed costs compared with variable costs)
will lead to slightly less cooperative sourcing activities and lower global net
benefits, but only from a decentralized perspective. The net savings from central-
ized coordination (left chart, upper graph) do almost not react to the decrease of
195
Empirical cost ratios were varied by factor alter_costRatio = [.25, 4.0] in steps of .125 with 200
simulation repetitions for determining each average point of the plotted graphs (32 x 200 = 6,400
simulation runs in total).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 337
the cost ratios; the optimization routine counterbalances the parameter change by
slightly increasing the market concentration (no figure, local elasticities196 for
HFact between -.08 and .00). Increasing the ratio has no structural impact under
both coordination mechanisms. The local elasticities are .07 and .00 for NS from
decentralized and centralized coordination and between .02 and .35 for the Her-
findahl indices of the different business functions.
Although the market concentration remains stable for alter_costRatio
around and above 1.0, this does not apply to the underlying measures. As the
next figure shows, there is a moderate variation in both the number of coalitions
and the number of banks in coalitions (local elasticities are between .16 and .82
for the numbers of banks in coalitions and between .19 and .82 for the numbers
of coalitions).
90 10
a v e r a g e n u m b e r o f b a n k s in
80 9
70 8
60 7
c o a litio n s
50 6
40 5
4
30
3
20
2
10
1
0
0
0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75 0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75
alter_costRatio alter_costRatio
Figure 141: Average number of coalitions (right) and banks in coalitions (left)
(decentralized coordination)
Finally, Figure 142 shows how the frequency of the resulting business mod-
els changes. The elasticities are given in the diagram.
196
Local elasticities are estimated as follows: For five different ranges between data points i and j
around the original parameter value (in this case: alter_costRatio = 1.0), the arc elasticity is com-
puted, which is the quotient of differences of endogenous variable y and exogenous variable x di-
y j yi xi , j
vided by the means of values within the ranges: H iarc
,j . The final estimated elasticity
x j xi yi , j
value is formed by the average of the five computed arc elasticities in order to flatten possible ir-
regularities in the local environment.
338 Analytical and Simulative Studies
45
major outsourcer
avg. frequency of business models [in %]
40
35
H=.09
30
H=-.04 selective outsourcer
25
20
H=-.57
sales bank
15
H=.47 "traditional" fully integrated bank
10
0
H=.31 PSP
In section 3.6.2.5 (Table 23), three alternative cost application schemes were
applied to break down the overall process costs, which have been derived by the
empirical study, to the five business functions. While the previous simulation
results are based on cost ratios determined by all three schemes, we also tested
the impact of applying only one of them197. This test is necessary to validate the
selected approaches for deriving simulation parameters from empirical data.
The Kruskal-Wallis test was used for testing the similarity of the results.
Testing the global monetary measures (original process costs, process cost sav-
ings, periodical transaction costs, absolute and relative net savings) shows almost
no differences when applying only one of the three alternative cost application
schemes instead of all of them. In most cases, the results differ by less than 1%
from the simulations above. The only measure which shows any deviation is the
global periodical transaction costs TCp: when applying cost allocation scheme C,
the overall transaction costs are up to 6% higher than in the simulations above.
By contrast, allocation schemes A and B do not lead to significant deviations.
This is interesting because the cost allocation schemes only handle process costs
and not transaction costs. Allocation scheme C leads to more cooperative sourc-
ing activities, although the resulting net savings do not differ from the remaining
allocation schemes. Consequently, the altered ratio of fixed and variable costs
forces the banks to find another trade-off between process cost savings and
transaction costs in order to reach the same net savings as before.
Moreover, the use of only one instead of all three cost allocation schemes
leads to slightly higher HFact in most cases (except for workout in general and for
risk monitoring under cost allocation scheme A where lower concentrations
prove to be more apparent). Using only one allocation mechanism leads to higher
homogeneity of process cost structures between the banks. Thus, banks will most
likely tend to agree to a cooperative sourcing coalition because the structure of
their potential savings is also more similar.
The results of this section on process cost structure variation can be summa-
rized as follows:
o The monetary results do not react significantly to all tested changes of the
process cost structure under both decentralized and centralized coordination.
o Changes in a coalition’s process cost structure prompted by switching to a
dominant technology (leading to increased fixed costs and reduced variable
costs) affect the system behavior. Higher fixed costs will either lead to larger
coalitions (processing/servicing, risk monitoring) or to a drop in cooperative
197
For this purpose, the sensitivity analysis concerning the cost ratio, conducted above, was repeated
with cost parameterization data based solely on cost allocation schemes A, B, and C. In total, 3 x
32 x 150 (= 14,400) simulation runs were conducted.
340 Analytical and Simulative Studies
sourcing activities (workout). Reduced variable costs have only a small im-
pact on the system behavior, but little reductions already compensate for
sharply rising fixed costs and thus stabilize the degree of cooperative sourc-
ing throughout the system.
o Reduced variable costs in coalitions lead to a higher frequency of sales
banks which outsource their whole back office.
o A univariate change in coalition process cost structure (increased fixed costs
or reduced variable costs) reduces behavioral uncertainty and leads to the
banks finding their local optimum more quickly (either insourcing or the op-
timal coalition from their perspective).
o An increase in the ratio of fixed to variable costs (alter_costRatio) in the
basic parameterization leads to no structural changes in the results. Only de-
creasing the ratio, and thus making fixed costs less relevant, leads to a slight
reduction of cooperative sourcing activities and related monetary savings.
o Homogenizing the ratio of fixed to variable costs in the basic parameteriza-
tion does not lead to changes in the basic results.
o Using only one instead of all three cost allocation algorithms developed in
section 3.6.2.5 leads to greater homogeneity of the process cost structures
throughout the system and, as a consequence, to slightly more cooperative
sourcing activities.
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
1 6 11 16 1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 143: Relative average process cost savings, net savings, and transaction
cost resulting from decentralized (l.) vs. centralized coordination (r.)
For decentralized coordination (left diagram), the effect on global savings
(PCS and NS) is quite linear. From an individual perspective (avg. NS), the drop
in savings is much greater. A variation in transaction cost factors by factor 4
already cuts the benefits of cooperative sourcing in half. The actors’ decision
behavior is heavily influenced by transaction costs although they still remain at a
low level below 8% of the overall process costs.
Elasticities at Global Global Indiv. Global NS
Global NS
alter_TCcoefficients = 1.0 PCS TCp NS with-out CC
Decentralized coordination -.18 .48 -.24 -.62 -.23
Centralized coordination -.00 1.09 -.22 N/A -.17
Table 60: Local elasticities for monetary simulation results
By contrast, the centralized coordination (right diagram) holds high process
cost savings constant over a certain range by accepting higher transaction costs
to optimize the net savings. After quadrupling the transaction cost parameters,
the transaction costs become too high and lead to a drop in cooperative sourcing
activities.
This stability of cooperative sourcing activities for small increases of trans-
action cost parameters under centralized coordination comes with at a high price.
As the next figure shows, the amount of banks which would experience an indi-
vidual loss when following the sourcing configuration suggested by centralized
coordination sharply increases to over 30% before the reduction of sourcing
activities reduces this amount again.
342 Analytical and Simulative Studies
100%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 144: Proportion of banks with (strictly) positive vs. negative individual
net savings resulting from centralized coordination
In comparing the resulting transaction costs and net savings from centralized
and decentralized coordination, a compatibility problem becomes evident. Parts
of the transaction costs (negotiation and coordination costs) are influenced by
learning effects. Thus, in the stationary state, the agents have accumulated learn-
ing effects which significantly reduce the transaction costs. In centralized coor-
dination, there is no possibility of reducing transaction costs by learning effects
because the whole system is optimized and configured only once. In order to
enable the comparison of the resulting monetary consequences, the following
figure shows, once more, the global net savings from both coordination mecha-
nisms, but without coordination costs (negotiation costs occur only in the trans-
fer period and are not part of NS per definition).
80%
rel. avg. net savings without coordination costs
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 145: Comparison of relative average net savings, excluding coordination
costs (CC), for centralized and decentralized coordination
Analytical and Simulative Studies 343
Together with the previous diagrams above, the figure shows that differ-
ences between both coordination mechanisms diminish after increasing the
transaction cost parameters by a factor of ten or more. Then, cooperative sourc-
ing no longer plays a major role in either system.
After analyzing the monetary results, Figure 146 displays the corresponding
market concentrations (HFact). For some business functions, the centralized co-
ordination (right chart) even increases market concentration to counteract the
increasing transaction costs. By contrast, for decentralized coordination (left
chart), the market concentration declines directly with only slightly increasing
transaction costs (Figure 146 – left). Workout shows the greatest drop, i.e., reacts
most sensitively to increasing transaction costs.
decentralized coordination centralized coordination
0.50 0.50
0.45 0.45
acto r-b ased H erfin d ah l in d ex
acto r-b ased H erfin d ah l in d ex
0.40 0.40
0.35 0.35
0.30 0.30
0.25 0.25
0.20 0.20
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
0.05 0.05
0.00 0.00
1 6 11 16 1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients alter_TCcoefficients
Sales/Prep. Assessm./Decision Processing/Servicing Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 146: Average market concentration resulting from decentralized (left) vs.
centralized coordination (right)
Elasticities at Sales/ Assessm. Processing Risk moni-
Workout
alter_TCcoefficients = 1.0 prep. /decision /servicing toring
Decentralized coordination -.04 -1.22 -.36 -.74 -1.20
Centralized coordination .01 -.37 -.16 .23 -.04
Table 61: Local elasticities for market concentration results
In correlation to the results above, higher transaction costs lead to a decrease
in individual activities in finding an optimal coalition from an individual per-
spective. Since higher transaction costs hinder the change in coalitions, banks are
locked into a local optimum much more quickly. Thus, the behavioral uncer-
tainty, as defined above, significantly declines when the transaction cost factors
are only slightly increased. The following figure shows the ratio of switching,
backsourcing, and outsourcing, which is defined above as proxy for uncertainty,
accumulated over all five business functions.
344 Analytical and Simulative Studies
2
cum. switching/outsourcing actions
cum. backsourcing/outsourcing actions
1,5
ratio
0,5
0
1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 147: Switching and backsourcing actions relative to outsourcing actions,
aggregated over all business functions198
Finally, Figure 148 provides the frequencies of the different business models
resulting from the simulations (decentralized coordination) – analogous to Figure
142 in the section on process cost variation. Even slight variations in the transac-
tion costs have a strong impact on the market configuration (also reflected by the
elasticities in Table 62). While the number of selective outsourcers remains sta-
ble within a wide range, the frequency of major outsourcers and sales banks
drops in favor of the fully integrated bank.
100
relative frequency of business models [in %]
90
"traditional" fully integrated bank
80
70
60
50
40
30
selective outsourcer
20
major outsourcer
10
sales bank
0
fully integrated
1 6 11 16
bank with
service provision alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 148: Average frequency of business models
(decentralized coordination)
198
I.e. sum of all switching actions (resp. backsourcing) divided by sum of all outsourcing actions.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 345
90% 90%
relative average process cost savings
80% 80%
70% 70%
(centralized coordination)
60% 60%
50% 50%
40% 40%
30% 30%
cIF
20% 20% cAD
cAG
10% 10%
cN
0% 0%
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50
factorial change of transaction cost parameters factorial change of transaction cost parameters
90% 90%
80% 80%
(decentralized coordination)
relative average net savings
70% 70%
(centralized coordination)
60% 60%
50% 50%
40% cIF
40%
cAD
cAG
30% 30% cN
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
0%
0 10 20 30 40 50
0 10 20 30 40 50
factorial change of transaction cost parameters
factorial change of transaction cost parameters
Figure 149: Variation in process cost savings (upper diagrams) and net savings
(lower diagrams) when altering a single transaction cost factor –
decentralized (left) vs. centralized (right) coordination
It seems that the optimal solution is almost solely influenced by a variation
in agency costs, while the PCS graphs remain constant even when increasing
(either) interface cost, coordination cost, or adoption cost parameters by a factor
of up to 40. Nevertheless, they clearly have an impact on the net savings (lower
right diagram), which is linear because the number of banks in coalitions almost
barely changes. The increase in negotiation costs is compensated by an increase
in coalitions and a decrease in coalition size in order to keep the negotiation and
coordination costs low (no figure). The resulting market concentration is only
shown for processing/servicing (Figure 150)199.
199
In order to not overload this work with simulation results, we decided against displaying all
market structure results (HFact, number of coalitions, number of banks in coalitions) for all busi-
ness functions.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 347
0.6
cIF
0.4
actor-based Herfindahl index
(processing/servicing)
0.5
cAG
0.3 cN
0.4
cIF
0.3
0.2 cAD
0.2 cAG
0.1 cN
0.1
0 0
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50
factorial change of transaction cost parameters factorial change of transaction cost parameters
act
Figure 150: Variation of market concentration (HF , exemplarily for
processing/servicing) when varying a single transaction cost factor –
decentralized (left) vs. centralized (right) coordination
The initial increases in some graphs result from the number of coalitions de-
creasing faster than the number of banks in coalitions. For example, slight in-
creases in cIF under decentralized coordination (left diagram) lead to a drop in
the number of coalitions while the number of cooperatively sourcing banks de-
creases much more gradually. Surprisingly, interface costs, although not func-
tionally related to coalition size, drive the market concentration towards larger
coalitions. This can be explained by a stronger consolidation to a smaller number
of service providers which not only provide one business function but offer a
broader portfolio of services (e.g. all back-office functions). Thus, the interface
costs between those business functions operated by the same insourcer can be
saved, although all are outsourced200.
This effect of the reduction in the number of coalitions is much stronger in
the centralized setting (right diagram). For three out of the four transaction cost
parameters, the market concentration soars with only marginal variations in the
parameters.
Finally, Figure 151 shows the system dynamics results. While the ratio of
switching and outsourcing actions (left chart) shows no structural differences
among the various transaction cost factors, the relative level of backsourcing
initially increases when raising the agency cost factor but drops when raising the
other factors.
200
Cf. (TPI 2007) on “Multi-process BPO“, which describes the same strategy and, interestingly, is
an emerging trend in the global BPO market.
348 Analytical and Simulative Studies
ratio
1.5 cN
ratio
0.2
1.0
0.1
0.5
0.0 0.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50
factorial change of transaction cost parameters factorial change of transaction cost parameters
201
Please note once more that the progressive impact results for the overall coalition’s negotiation
costs while the average function (i.e. costs per participating bank) declines at least for small coali-
tion sizes.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 349
70%
60%
average relative PCS, TCp, NS
50%
40%
30%
relative global PCS
20% relative global NS
relative individual NS
10% relative global TCp
0%
1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
D
80 14
avg. number of banks in coalitions
70 12
60
10
50
8
40
6
30
4
20
10 2
0 0
1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
D D
2.5
relative switching/outsourcing actions
relative backsourcing/outsourcing actions
2.0
1.5
ratio
1.0
0.5
0.0
1 1.2 1.4 D 1.6 1.8 2
Figure 153: Number of switching and backsourcing actions relative to
outsourcing actions, aggregated over all business functions
Next, we focus on the impact of learning effects. Parameter E introduces
learning effects in outsourcing management, by decreasing negotiation and coor-
dination costs, based on experiences from former outsourcing projects (cf.
Equation 6 on p. 233). In the simulations above, E is set to -.9. For the sensitivity
analyses, it has been varied between -.25 and -1.5, representing smaller and
greater learning effects. One hypothesis is that greater learning effects will en-
courage banks to search longer for their individually optimal sourcing configura-
tion because switching the coalition will become relatively cheaper with each
step. This longer search process should result ex post in higher net savings from
both lower coordination costs and higher process cost savings of finding a supe-
rior sourcing configuration.
By contrast, the sensitivity analysis reveals that PCS, NS, and TCp do not
change much when altering E (no figures). The global NS are constantly around
55% at E between -.4 and -1.5. But, the average individual net savings increase
with rising learning effects – from 28% for E = -.4 to 36% for E= -1.5 (no fig-
ure). A further reduction of learning effects to E = -.0 (no learning effect any-
more) leads to a global NS of 48% and an average individual NS of 25%.
Lower learning effects lead to a slight decrease in cooperatively sourcing
banks. By contrast, the number of coalitions increases sharply, leading to a lower
market concentration (no figures). The latter effect, nevertheless, can be primar-
ily attributed to the progressive impact of coalition size on coordination costs.
Since both factors are multiplicatively interrelated, lower learning effects in-
crease the impact of coalition size on coordination costs. Therefore, the impact of
E is indirect but has similar consequences on the market concentration as D. If
Analytical and Simulative Studies 351
the elasticities of both parameters are compared (Table 63, p. 352), the same
signs show up in most cases, with E having a significantly weaker impact.
While the second part of the hypothesis formulated above (positive impact
of stronger learning effects on NS) must be disregarded at least for the given
parameter setting (although varying negotiation/coordination costs has the
strongest impact on NS and thus on the cooperative sourcing decision calculus,
cf. Figure 149 – left), the question remains unanswered as to whether more and
longer switching activities take place when learning effects are greater. Higher
learning effects should lead to a more dynamic system which represents a more
volatile decision environment and thus higher behavioral uncertainty from the
individual’s perspective.
As Figure 154 (left chart) shows, there is, in fact, a significant influence of
learning effects. The number of switching activities (shown exemplarily but
representatively for processing/servicing) increases much more strongly than the
number of outsourcing actions, when reducing the learning effect parameter (i.e.
raising the impact of learning effects on transaction costs).
180 200
periods needed to reach stationary
140
120
120
100
state
100
80
80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
-0.25 -0.5 -0.75 -1 -1.25 -1.5 -0.25 -0.5 -0.75 -1 -1.25 -1.5
E E
the monetary values, as can be seen with the very low elasticities given in Table
63 (the original parameter setting was J=.3). Since the coalition size has an im-
pact on negotiation and coordination costs, the increased coordination costs are
compensated for by forming smaller (and more) coalitions (no figures). The level
of dynamics is not affected by altering J within this range.
In summary, Table 63 compares the elasticities of the monetary and market
structure results from varying D, E, and J.
Rel. monetary results Avg. number of banks in coalitions Average number of coalitions
Ind.
PCS NS TCp k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5 k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5
NS
D -.44 -.46 -.96 -.35 -1.05 .39 -.30 -.23 -.36 -.61 .57 2.09 1.70 .90
E -.02 -.03 -.19 .02 .38 -.19 -.10 -.13 .01 -.87 .04 .91 .33 .63
J -.03 -.03 -.04 .03 .31 .25 -.07 -.01 -.05 .15 .35 .25 .07 .20
Table 63: Elasticities resulting from variation of D, E, and J
Apart from the previously investigated parameters, the task complexity
measure Fik is part of some of the transaction cost functions. In the following, the
consequence of the assumption that task complexity is a source of transaction
costs will be tested. The results of the overall transaction cost parameter varia-
tion (alter_TCcoefficients) above will be compared with similar simulations
without considering task complexity in the transaction cost functions202. Figure
155 shows the differences (in percentage points) in monetary results between the
scenario without taking task complexity into consideration and the original sce-
nario above.
Disregarding task complexity basically leads to no significant differences in
the original level of transaction costs (alter_TCcoefficients = 1.0). If the transac-
tion cost parameters are sharply increased, additional net savings of up to 13
percentage points could be reached. Consequently, a more homogenous business
process structure than estimated from empirical data or a lower (than assumed)
influence of task complexity on transaction costs in the formal model structure
would have a positive monetary impact. Therefore, the model development and
parameterization can be interpreted as a “careful” drawing of reality in regard to
this issue of process complexity (which is hardly operationalizable and measur-
able in reality).
202
Fik has been set to a constant average value for all banks i and business functions k.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 353
14%
Difference of rel. PCS
difference between scenario without and with
12%
Difference of rel. NS
task complexity [in percentage points]
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
0 10 20 30 40 50
-2%
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 155: Difference between scenario without and with considering task
complexity (only decentralized coordination) in average PCS, NS,
and TCp
The corresponding market concentration shows almost no changes at all.
The delta of the Herfindahl index is less than .03 for processing/servicing and
less than .015 for the remaining business functions within the whole range of
alter_TCcoefficients. The additional net savings are obtained by slightly more
banks joining coalitions and by a corresponding larger number of coalitions
themselves.
In conclusion, the following results can be derived from this section:
o The simulations and the centralized coordination results are sensitive to
increasing transaction costs. While the global savings are almost linearly re-
lated to the level of transaction cost factors, the individual savings drop
much more significantly. The relative frequency of coalition changes falls in
a similar manner.
o The centralized coordination accepts higher transaction costs up to a certain
point without reducing the number of cooperatively sourcing banks. As a
consequence, the process cost savings can be kept constant, but the number
of actors that would achieve a financial loss increases.
o The monetary results are most strongly affected by cN (negotia-
tion/coordination costs) in the decentralized setting and by cAG (agency
costs) under centralized coordination. Higher cIF (interface costs) leads to
higher consolidation tendencies and to more sales banks keeping interface
costs low because sales banks can receive an integrated portfolio of back-
354 Analytical and Simulative Studies
0.40 0.40
0.30 0.30
0.20 0.20
0.10 0.10
0.00
0.02 10
10
0.02
0.04 8 0.04
8
0.06 6 0.06 6
rad 0.08
0.10 2
4
TCoSo rad 0.08
0.10 2
4
TCoSo
Figure 156: Impact of rad and TCoSo on relative global net savings (NS) with
different levels of transaction costs (alter_TCcoefficients = 1 (left)
and = 10 (right))203
At tenfold transaction costs in the right diagram (alter_TCcoefficients=10), a
contract of short duration leads to low or no cooperative sourcing activities,
because the initial transaction costs cannot be amortized sufficiently. However, a
variation of rad has no impact. Corresponding results can be found for the mar-
ket effects. Market concentration, as well as the number of banks in coalitions,
does not significantly change when altering rad (no figures). Consequently, the
simulation results in the previous chapters can be evaluated as stable in regards
to the discount rate parameterization.
203
Each data point in the charts represents the average of 100 simulation runs.
356 Analytical and Simulative Studies
70% 90
80
60%
70
40% 50
40
30%
30
20% rel. avg. global NS (VAT=0%) processing/servicing (VAT=0%)
rel. avg. global NS (VAT=19%) 20 processing/servicing (VAT=19%)
risk monitoring (VAT=0%)
rel. avg. individual NS (VAT=0%)
10% risk monitoring (VAT=19%)
rel. avg. individual NS (VAT=19%) 10
workout (VAT=0%)
workout (VAT=19%)
0% 0
0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75 0.25 0.75 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 3.75
alter_costRatio alter_costRatio
Figure 157: Impact of VAT on net savings (left) and number of banks in
coalitions (right) at different levels of alter_costRatio
Depending on the level of alter_costRatio, the relative drecrease is between
.5% and 8.7% for global net savings and between 2.5% and 11.5% for individual
net savings. Correspondingly, the number of banks involved in cooperative
sourcing (shown for the back-office functions in the right diagram) decreases by
less than 13% for all business functions. The higher the fraction of fixed costs is
(i.e. high alter_costRatio), the higher are the individual savings and the less the
taxes reduce cooperative sourcing activities and benefits.
In a second analysis, the fixed/variable cost ratios are again gradually ho-
mogenized, i.e. the ratios of the different banks move closer to the mean (ho-
mogenize_costRatio). In section 5.3.4.2, it was already stated that this homogeni-
zation procedure has no impact on both monetary results and market structure.
Figure 158 shows that this also applies to a scenario with VAT. Although all
firms have similar fixed/variable cost ratios (but not the same absolute process
costs), the relatively small impact of VAT, which is shown above, remains con-
stant and leads to a quite consistent reduction of around 5% for global savings
and around 9% for individual net savings on average.
60% 80
70
50%
number of banks in coalitions
60
40%
50
relative NS
30% 40
30
20%
processing/servicing (VAT=0%)
rel. avg. global NS (VAT=0%) 20 processing/servicing (VAT=19%)
rel. avg. global NS (VAT=19%) risk monitoring (VAT=0%)
10%
rel. avg. individual NS (VAT=0%) 10 risk monitoring (VAT=19%)
rel. avg. individual NS (VAT=19%) workout (VAT=0%)
workout (VAT=19%)
0% 0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
homogenize_costRatio
homogenize_costRatio
Figure 158: Impact of VAT on net savings (left) and number of banks in
coalitions (right) for different levels of homogenize_costRatio
Analytical and Simulative Studies 357
The reason for this rather minor impact from introducing a value-added tax
lies primarily in the rather high level of heterogeneity in total process costs for
the banks. If a bank has high process costs and gets rid of them by outsourcing,
the savings will be high enough that VAT will not affect the decision. The VAT
has been critical for only a minority and those firms do not decide to outsource
anymore. Banks with more beneficial cost structures did not even outsource
before introducing VAT. Moreover, a certain number of the cooperatively sourc-
ing banks takes over the role of the insourcer. Consequently, this group does not
pay VAT at all and further reduces the average impact of VAT.
70%
60%
relative global net savings
50%
40%
30%
20%
204
Consequently, a reverse abscissa scale was chosen in the following charts. 150 simulation runs
have been conducted at each step of the reduction.
358 Analytical and Simulative Studies
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
3 2.75 2.5 2.25 2 1.75 1.5
SC
100 20
decentralized coordination decentralized coordination
90 18
centralized coordination centralized coordination
80 16
number of banks in coalitions
70 14
number of coalitions
60 12
50 10
40 8
30 6
20 4
2
10
0
0
3 2.75 2.5 2.25 2 1.75 1.5
3 2.75 2.5 2.25 2 1.75 1.5 SC
SC
act
Figure 160: HF , number of banks in coalitions and of coalitions for pro-
cessing/servicing for both coordination schemes while reducing SC
The market concentration decreases faster under centralized coordination
(upper chart), but not primarily because banks do not cooperatively source any-
more (lower left), but because the coalitions are split into smaller ones (lower
right). This helps more actors to stay in coalitions than under decentralized coor-
205
Although not displayed, the average individual savings decreased by the same factor from 34% to
16%.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 359
dination206. Structurally similar pictures exist for the remaining business func-
tions.
70% 6%
average relative monetary results
60%
(PCS, NS, TCp) [% points]
5%
(PCS, NS, TCp)
50%
4%
40%
3%
30% rel. global PCS
rel. global PCS
rel. global NS
rel. global NS 2%
20% rel. individual NS
rel. individual NS rel. global TCp
10% 1%
rel. global TCp
0% 0%
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
alter_vc alter_vc
Figure 161: Mean (left) and standard deviation (right) of global monetary results
(PCS, NS, TCp) when varying all variation coefficients
simultaneously by factor alter_vc
A reduction in the standard deviation has a slightly greater impact than an
increase of the standard deviation. The standard deviation increases proportion-
ally to the mean so that the variation coefficient of the results remains almost
constant at .1. The lower impact of increasing the variation, in comparison to
decreasing it, shows that the original scenario already had a high internal hetero-
geneity. Nevertheless, if we consider that alter_vc = .0 represents not any varia-
tion in the affected parameters, the monetary results do not react significantly.
206
Thereby, the proportion of banks which confront negative monetary consequences of following
the centralized coordination only increases from 10% to 16%.
207
The relevant parameters can be found in the Appendix A2.
208
In steps of .05, with 150 simulation runs for each step.
360 Analytical and Simulative Studies
Corresponding results can be found for the market structure (no figures).
While the market concentration decreases slightly for processing/servicing and
workout, an opposite (and greater) effect can be seen for assessment/decision.
The impact on risk monitoring is non-existent. The elasticities are provided in
the following table.
Rel. monetary results Actor-based Herfindahl index Average number of banks in coalitions
PCS NS Ind. TCp k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5 k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5
NS
.27 .30 .31 -.13 .13 .47 -.20 .01 -.11 .03 .64 -.07 -.01 .01
Table 64: Elasticities resulting from varying variation coefficients
The system dynamics are only slightly affected (no figure). The ratios of
switching, backsourcing, and outsourcing actions decrease only marginally with
higher heterogeneity.
Consequently, it can be argued that the selected size of the model instance
proves to be large enough to attain the random number seed derived from the
empirical foundation. A simulated system size of 100 banks balances, at least,
the degree of heterogeneity we tested for, and delivers inherently stable results.
Areas in which only few outsourcing activities are present (assessment/decision
in particular) react more sensitively to more heterogeneity because more extreme
values of the cost parameters will cause it to overcome the start-up problem more
easily. If there is one bank with an outstanding advantageous cost structure, the
establishment of a cooperative sourcing coalition will be more likely.
In summary, this section revealed the following findings:
o The discount rate rad, considered in the actors’ decision calculus, has no
impact on the simulation results (monetary as well as market structure).
o Only at high transaction costs does the contract duration TCoSo have at least
some impact on the results, because high setup transaction costs for negotia-
tion and adoption can be amortized only if the contract duration is suffi-
ciently long.
o Due to rather high process cost heterogeneity, an introduction of value-
added tax (VAT) does not lead to a strong reduction of cooperative sourcing
activities and resulting net savings.
o The impact of a more restrictive strategic constraint which hinders outsourc-
ing of strategically important business functions differs in the opposite coor-
dination mechanisms. While autonomous banks simply reduce cooperative
sourcing activities, the centralized coordination restructures the system to-
ward more and smaller-sized coalitions where more banks can act as in-
Analytical and Simulative Studies 361
60% 0.35
relative monetary results
0.30
50%
0.25
40%
0.20
30%
relative global PCS 0.15
20% rel. global TC
rel. global NS 0.10
10% rel. individual NS 0.05
0% 0.00
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
I I
Sales/preparation Assessm./decision Processing/servicing Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 162: Effect of system size (number of banks) on monetary results (left)
and market concentration (right)
209
There are 200 simulation runs for each setting. The runtime (T) was increased from T=250 to
T=400 for the largest scenario in order to take into account longer search activities.
362 Analytical and Simulative Studies
As the left diagram of Figure 163 shows, this is not caused by a decreasing
number of actors participating in cooperative sourcing activities. This relative
number remains quite stable for all business functions.
80% 0.08
rel. number of banks in coalitions
60% 0.06
50% 0.05
40% 0.04
30% 0.03
20% 0.02
10% 0.01
0% 0
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
I I
60% 0.35
relative monetary results
0.30
50%
0.25
40%
0.20
30%
relative global PCS 0.15
20% rel. global TC
rel. global NS 0.10
10% rel. individual NS 0.05
0% 0.00
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
I I
Sales/preparation Assessm./decision Processing/servicing Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 164: Effect of system size (number of banks) on the market share of the
largest coalition (left) and the three largest (right) coalitions
Analytical and Simulative Studies 363
This can be explained once more by the basic heterogeneity in firm sizes.
Since economies or scale decrease only disproportionately with larger coalitions,
very large coalitions (in absolute sizes) will become unfavorable due to the
higher coordination costs and the only minimal additional economies of scale.
Thus, the relative size of the largest coalitions will drop.
The third dimension of analysis focuses on the dynamics which provide an
estimation of the behavioral uncertainty from the actors’ perspective. The rela-
tive number of switching actions relative to outsourcing activities almost doubles
when quadrupling the system size from I=40 to I=160 (no figure). A larger sys-
tem leads to a higher absolute number of coalitions, which in turn leads to more
opportunities for the actors and thus to higher dynamics (as well as higher behav-
ioral uncertainty).
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 165: Global and indiv. savings with and without business neighborhood
364 Analytical and Simulative Studies
The figure shows that the business neighborhood has a visible impact on the
monetary results (global and individual NS). In the initial situation (al-
ter_TCcoefficients = 1.0 on the left margin of the diagram), the exclusion of
business neighborhoods increases the net savings by about 3.5%. This difference
increases up to 145% for alter_TCcoefficients = 14.
There appear to be strong differences between the different business func-
tions. As the results in Figure 166 show, the market concentration reacts greatly
to risk monitoring (right chart) and workout (no figure), but only weakly to proc-
essing/servicing (left). In the original situation (alter_TCcoefficients = 1.0), the
relative difference is 65.6% (risk monitoring), 39.4% (workout), and 4.1% (proc-
essing/servicing).
processing/servicing risk monitoring
0.25 0.25
bn = .0 bn = .0
actor-based Herfindahl index
bn > .0 bn > .0
0.20 0.20
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
0.05 0.05
0.00 0.00
1 6 11 16 1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients alter_TCcoefficients
There is another observation that supports this finding. In Figure 167, the
proxy for behavioral uncertainty is displayed (number of switching and back-
sourcing actions relative to outsourcing actions).
1.8
cum. switching/outsourcing actions (bn > .0)
1.6 cum. switching/outsourcing actions (bn = .0)
1.4 cum. backsourcing/outsourcing actions (bn > .0)
cum. backsourcing/outsourcing actions (bn = .0)
1.2
1.0
ratio
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
1 6 11 16
alter_TCcoefficients
Figure 167: Number of switching and backsourcing actions relative to
outsourcing actions, aggregated over all business functions
Excluding the business neighborhood leads to a massive decline in these
measures. Dynamics of revising cooperative sourcing decisions are significantly
reduced, leading to a more stable environment and thus a more stable decision
base for the individual bank, which is consequently less likely to cancel a coali-
tion membership in order to search for more beneficial cooperative sourcing
opportunities.
210
Because of the high asymmetry of the process volume distribution across the banks, we did not
choose the median as a reference value, but rather the mean. This has the additional benefit that
the overall number of loans being processed and administered in the system remains statistically
366 Analytical and Simulative Studies
ter is equal to 0 in the original setting and equal to 1 if all deciles are similar to
the original mean (i.e. all banks have the same process volume in a particular
business function).
70% 0.5
60%
0.4
50%
0.3
40%
0% 0.0
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
homogenize_procVol homogenize_procVol
Sales/preparation Assessm./decision Processing/servicing Risk monitoring Workout
constant. The distances between deciles and means were multiplicatively reduced by homoge-
nize_procVol in steps of .25 with 200 simulation runs for each step.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 367
100 10
90 9
number of actors in coalitions
80 8
number of coalitions
70 7
60 6
50 5
40 4
30 3
20 2
10 1
0 0
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
homogenize_procVol homogenize_procVol
Sales/preparation Assessm./decision Processing/servicing Risk monitoring Workout
3
ratio
0
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
homogenize_procVol
coalition. In the original scenario with high asymmetries, the perceived co-
operative sourcing benefits for both very large and very small firms are
lower than in a virtually homogenized world.
211
In intervals of one, with 150 simulation runs for each step.
370 Analytical and Simulative Studies
70%
60%
40%
30%
PCS
20% TCp
NS
10% avg. ind. NS
0%
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
initCoalSize
80 8
70 7
number of banks in coalitions
60 6
number of coalitions
50 5
40 4
30 3
20 2
10 1
0 0
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
initCoalSize initCoalSize
Sales/preparation Assessm./decision Processing/servicing Risk monitoring Workout
Figure 171: Variation of monetary and market structure results from altering the
initial coalition size initCoalSize (results from T = 200)
The level of dynamics, as the third dimension of analysis, remains constant
as well (no figure). The relative number of switching and backsourcing actions to
outsourcing actions does not change significantly. Consequently, this simulation
control parameter does not affect system dynamics and behavioral uncertainty
from the individuals’ perspective.
212
Moreover, the coalition building procedure is applied only to every 5th period (section 5.3.3.4).
Analytical and Simulative Studies 371
neutralizing any delayed effect from less initial coalitions. Differences appear
only in very early periods (t = 1–20). This indicates that, when maxCoalBuilding
is increased to high values, the actual number of coalitions does not increase
beyond a certain level because the number of banks willing to join a coalition (at
least for the given initial coalition size) remains constant.
A fascinating result is found in the number of coalitions for risk monitoring
over time. Above, we discovered structural differences in the progression of the
number of coalitions between processing/servicing (which showed an over-
reaction with subsequent decrease) and risk monitoring (which showed a mo-
notonously increasing path). As Figure 172 (right diagram) shows, the same
result of processing/servicing can also be found in risk monitoring, if the level of
maxCoalBuilding is increased to values higher than 10. Furthermore, in contrast
to processing/servicing, the “over-reaction” occurs in the very first periods while
it takes more time for processing/servicing (Figure 172 – left diagram). How-
ever, even for the latter, the effect is accelerated and aggravated by higher max-
CoalBuilding.
Processing/servicing Risk monitoring
10 10
9 9
8 8
7
num ber of coalitions
7
number of coalitions
6
6
5
5
4
maxCoalBuilding = 20 4
maxCoalBuilding = 20
3 maxCoalBuilding = 16
3 maxCoalBuilding = 16
2 maxCoalBuilding = 12
2 maxCoalBuilding = 12
maxCoalBuilding = 8
1 maxCoalBuilding = 8
maxCoalBuilding = 4 1
maxCoalBuilding = 4
0
0
0 50 100 150 200
t 0 50 100 150 200
t
213
The diagrams depict average values. In single runs, the reactions were much stronger.
372 Analytical and Simulative Studies
60%
50%
relative global net savings (NS)
40%
30%
efficiency
size
20%
volume
random
10%
0%
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
t
0.20 0.20
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
efficiency efficiency
0.05 size 0.05 size
volume volume
random random
0.00 0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
t t
processing/servicing risk monitoring
8 8
7 7
6 6
num ber of coalitions
num ber of c oalitions
5 5
4 4
3 3
efficiency efficiency
2 2
size size
1 volume 1 volume
random random
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
t t
Figure 174: Actor-based Herfindahl index (le.) and number of coalitions (ri.) for
processing/servicing (up.) and risk monitoring (lo.) over time
374 Analytical and Simulative Studies
The size scenario shows the highest market concentrations for both business
functions. This results from a smaller number of coalitions. In contrast, random
selection leads to comparably lower market concentration for process-
ing/servicing (upper left diagram), although it leads to even fewer coalitions. The
number of actors in coalitions (not displayed) increases to a certain level during
the first 200 periods and then remains almost constant with no significant differ-
ences between the four scenarios. Therefore, changes in market concentration are
almost solely influenced by the number of coalitions and heterogeneity in size.
For example, the random and volume scenarios show the same market concentra-
tion for risk monitoring, but differ strongly in the number of coalitions. Conse-
quently, the volume scenario shows a comparatively greater heterogeneity in
coalition size.
The reason why the random scenario leads to the lowest number of coali-
tions is revealed in the greater dynamics. Since the random selection mechanism
will less frequently lead to a local optimum, from the individual’s perspective,
which locks it to the current coalition. Many more switching actions take place,
which lead to a stronger shakeout and thus to fewer coalitions with high global
net savings. Of course, this cannot be viewed as an argument for higher effi-
ciency. Taking into account the transaction costs for switching, there would be
high pitfalls related with these high dynamics as well.
The results of varying the simulation control parameters can be summarized
as follows:
o Varying the initial coalition size (initCoalSize) leads to a larger number of
coalitions at smaller initCoalSize values, but to a reduced number for larger
parameter settings. The effect on the monetary results and on market con-
centration is marginal.
o Increasing the initial number of coalitions (maxCoalBuilding) does not af-
fect the eventually resulting monetary results and market structures, but ac-
celerates the consolidation process. Furthermore, it leads to a temporary
over-reaction in terms of number of coalitions.
o The choice of the coalition selection mechanism has no structural impact on
the monetary results but leads to different market consolidations. The ran-
dom selection of coalitions leads to the fewest number of coalitions because
the banks get less or later caught in a local optimum since improvement of
the individual situation happens more gradually.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 375
0.15
0.30
0.30
0.10
0.20
0.20
0.05
0.10
0.10
0.00 0.00
0.00
10 10 10
5 5
8 alter_ 5
8
8
alter_ 10
6 alter_ 10 6 TCco 10
6
TCco 15 TCco 15 4 effic 15 4
e fficie 4 oSo e fficie 20 oSo ien oSo
nts_
20 2 TC nts_
2
TC ts_se 20 2
TC
setu setu tup
p p
Figure 175: Relative individual net savings for the different back-office
functions
As expected, increasing the contract duration leads to higher individual net
savings. For all back-office functions, structurally similar increases in the aver-
age net savings correspond with increasing TCoSo, with workout showing the
highest marginal increases at all levels of setup transaction costs, followed by
376 Analytical and Simulative Studies
risk monitoring. The following table shows the results from a linear regression
which approximates the results from Figure 175. The larger b1 is, the more sensi-
tively the savings react to the contract duration.
b1 b2 (impact of al-
r2
(impact of TCoSo) ter_TCcoefficients_setup)
Processing/servicing .262 -.909 .895
Risk monitoring .374 -.896 .942
Workout .458 -.837 .910
Table 66: Results of linear regression analysis – dependence of relative indi-
vidual net savings on contract duration and setup transaction costs214
This positive relationship might seem to contradict the existing literature on
the subject, which states that short-term contracts tend to be more successful than
long-term agreements (Lacity and Willcocks 1998, Hartzel and Nightingale
2005). There are two arguments to solve this divergence: First, these papers
argue that short-term contracts, which have to be more frequently renegotiated,
can take into account changes of requirements, e.g. caused by environmental
dynamics. The simulation model covers the renegotiation of contract details by
incorporating periodical coordination costs. Since the insourcer has the same
interests in effective and efficient process management as the outsourcer (be-
cause both receive the same services), long-term contracts in cooperative sourc-
ing must deal with fewer incentive problems than in traditional outsourcing.
Second, empirical studies often do not (and are not able to) take costs for renego-
tiation into account, since they only measure a particular point in time. Nonethe-
less, these sometimes have a strong negative impact on the overall efficiency of
the sourcing solution.
The question now is: does a longer contract term raise market dynamics be-
cause, as argued above, there will be more time for amortizing switching costs,
or does it reduce it, due to decreased behavioral uncertainty and a lower impact
of externalities?
Figure 176 shows the number of switching (left) and backsourcing (right)
actions related to the number of outsourcing actions for all three back-office
functions. 2-dimensional figures with indifference curves for different levels of
the setup transaction cost factors have been preferred for the following analyses
in order to reduce visual complexity. The legends show the corresponding levels
of alter_TCcoefficients_setup.
The diagrams show structural differences between the three business func-
tions. For processing/servicing, the graphs (upper diagrams) show an initial peak
214
All parameters are significant with p< 0.001.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 377
at short contract durations before decreasing, except for very high transaction
costs where a slightly and continuously increasing relationship can be found. For
risk monitoring (middle diagrams), the increase into the peak lasts much longer,
but nevertheless the graphs drop again at high contract durations. By contrast,
workout (lower diagrams) shows significant and continuously rising relative
switching and backsourcing activities.
switching/outsourcing actions backsourcing/outsourcing actions
processing/servicing: switching/outsourcing actions 1 processing/servicing: backsourcing/outsourcing actions
2.5 1.5 0.3
2
3
0.25
2 5
10
22
0.2
1.5
ratio
ratio
0.15
1
1
0.1 1.5
2
0.5 3
0.05 5
10
22
0 0
2 3 4 5 6 TCoSo 7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6 TCoSo 7 8 9 10
0.25
2
0.2
1.5
ratio
ratio
0.15
1
0.1
0.5
0.05
0 0
2 3 4 5 6 CoSo
7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
T CoSo
T
0.15
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.05
0.1
0 0
2 3 4 5 6 CoSo
7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6 CoSo
7 8 9 10
T T
Figure 176: Number of switching (left) and backsourcing (right) actions related
to outsourcing activities for processing/servicing (upper diagrams),
risk monitoring (middle) and workout (lower) for different setup
transaction costs under variations of contract duration TCoSo (legends
give levels of alter_TCcoefficients_setup)
378 Analytical and Simulative Studies
One should be aware that the dynamics measures, shown in the charts
above, always represent two sides of the coin: on the one hand, higher dynamics
represent a more volatile market where actors search longer in order to gain
higher cost savings. On the other hand, higher dynamics represent higher behav-
ioral uncertainty for the single actor. He does not only have the opportunity to
switch coalitions or to backsource but is also forced to do so since the coalition
structure changes, affecting his own situation. The resulting transaction costs for
more frequent coalition changes must not be disregarded (although they are not
included in the periodical net savings (NS), which is used as the primary qualita-
tive output measure in this work).
In the previous sections, the degree of inefficiency was measured by com-
paring the simulation results with centralized optimization. Consequently, does
the dual effect of a longer contract term (i.e. easier amortization and, to a degree,
less market dynamics) increase or decrease system efficiency?
The left diagram of Figure 177 shows the basic ratio of average individual
net savings resulting from decentralized vs. centralized coordination while the
right diagram presents a corrected ratio which takes into account that centralized
coordination leads to a certain proportion of banks which achieves negative
monetary results215. Furthermore, the coordination costs are left out again to
ensure comparability (cf. Figure 145 on p. 342).
ratio global NS without CC (decentralized /
0.8 1.4
ratio global NS without C (decentralized /
centralized coordination), corrected
1.2
centralized coordination)
0.6
1.0
C
0.4 1 0.8
1.5 1
2
1.5
3 0.6
2
0.2 5
3
10 5
22 0.4
10
22
0 0.2
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
CoSo
CoSo
T T
C
Figure 177: Ratio between individual NS without C resulting from
decentralized vs. centralized coordination – in the right chart
corrected by the proportion of banks with non-negative net savings
achieving from centralized coordination
As the charts show, the ratio between net savings from decentralized coordi-
nation and centralized coordination is, depending on the level of setup transac-
215
In order to obtain an accurate ratio measure, the net savings resulting from centralized coordina-
tion are multiplied with the proportion of banks which do not show negative savings, because it is
implausible and irrational, from an individual perspective, to accept negative monetary results in
a decentrally coordinated system. This bias is stronger the higher the transaction costs are.
380 Analytical and Simulative Studies
tion costs, more or less significantly positively affected by the contract duration.
This positive relationship does not change when considering the proportion of
banks receiving negative consequences from centralized coordination (right
chart).
Since the centralized coordination takes the contract duration into account
by optimizing the global net present value of the sourcing decision, this positive
relationship between efficiency and contract duration indicates that centralized
coordination overcomes some form of lock-in which is not covered by the analy-
sis of system dynamics above.
If the market structures of decentralized and centralized coordination are
compared in the same way, strong differences can be found both in the number
of cooperatively sourcing actors and resulting coalitions. Figure 178 compares
the number of actors in coalitions. This is again done by computing the (cor-
rected216) ratio between the result from decentralized and centralized coordina-
tion. Thus, a ratio of 1.0 would represent a similar structure in both “worlds”.
processing/servicing risk monitoring workout 1
1 1 1
1.5
0.9 0.9 0.9
2
0.8 0.8 0.8
3
0.7 0.7 0.7
5
0.6 0.6 0.6
1 10
ratio
ratio
ratio
216
Again, the values resulting from centralized coordination are multiplied with the fraction of banks
which do not show negative savings.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 381
2 1 2.5
0.8 2
1.5
0.6 1.5
1
1 1.5 2 3 0.4 1 1.5 2 3 1
0.5 0.2 5 10 22 0.5
5 10 22
0 0 0
2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10
TCoSo TCoSo TCoSo
217
Again, the results from centralized coordination are corrected by the proportion of actors not
being worse off. Moreover, the ratio is adjusted because of the fact that less decentralized coordi-
nation leads to fewer actors in coalitions. To isolate this effect, the decentralized result of the
number of coalitions is divided by the ratio of actors in coalitions (centralized / decentralized re-
sult). This leads to the same calculatory basis of actors forming the differing number of coalitions
in the two governance settings.
382 Analytical and Simulative Studies
This effect is driven by the contract duration because the design of the coop-
erative sourcing model allows for only individual decisions and not for group
(i.e. coalition-wide) decisions. As explained above, higher TCoSo leads to less
uncertainty about the partners’ behavior and thus stabilizes the system by reduc-
ing dynamics (cf. decreasing dynamics for processing/servicing (Figure 176), in
particular, which showed the most consistent results here). By contrast, since this
stabilizing effect did not occur (predominantly) in the relatively immature market
for workout, the graphs show the opposite direction in Figure 179 as well.
Finally, we can argue that lock-in effects are reduced by two different fac-
tors which reduce the setup transaction costs.
First, negotiation costs decrease with increasing experience in outsourcing
projects. Designing outsourcing contracts and agreeing to join a coalition will
become more controllable and calculable with increasing sourcing management
capabilities of the firm.
Second, the adoption costs of merging business functions will decrease as
well because they are partially determined by the degree of similarity of the
different partners’ business functions. Cooperative sourcing activities will lead to
higher similarity (or “process standardization”) throughout the system and thus
to less switching costs.
During the simulations, however, the average degree of similarity through-
out the whole system of modeled banks and business functions increases only
insignificantly. The model assumes perfect process similarity for all members of
the same coalition, i.e. the business functions become “standardized” (which
causes adoption costs). However, since an individual’s path towards a stationary
state usually does not consist of many coalition switches, and because several
actors do not take part in cooperative sourcing at all (cf. section 5.3.4.1), the
average similarity increases only marginally throughout the whole system.
This final section can be summarized as follows:
o System-wide inefficiency, which represents inferior monetary results from a
global perspective, can be ascribed to three causes:
o For various reasons, the bank does not engage in cooperative sourc-
ing at all (i.e. start-up problem). These reasons can be negative
benefits, the strategic constraint, uncertainty about the potential
partners’ behavior, or a refusal from the coalition’s side (negative
voting result, cf. section 5.3.4.1).
o After entering a coalition, the actor is locked in because costs for
switching to a more beneficial coalition exceed expected additional
savings. This is especially the case if the early decision was already
based on efficiency criteria.
Analytical and Simulative Studies 383
6 Conclusion
“… relationships between alliance partners entail both cooperation and competition. Thus, winning
through alliances is, to a significant degree, also a matter of winning within one’s own alliances.”
(Doz and Hamel 1998, p. 55)
This concluding chapter starts with a summary of the findings gathered in this
work (section 6.1). Based on the results, the contributions for research and impli-
cations for practitioners are derived (6.2). The subsequent sections focus on
validating the chosen research approach (6.3) as well as on the related limita-
tions, which have been accepted in this research (6.4). While certain limitations
always exist in research, some of them provide promising directions for future
research, highlighted in section 6.5.
ties, but furthermore the refinancing (e.g. on the capital market in the USA
and the UK) or even sales (e.g. brokers in the Netherlands) is provided out-
side the bank. German banks often evaluate the agency risks as too high, in
particular for outsourcing sales (PAT perspective).
o Integration requirements: Since the credit business consists of making and
communicating more or less complex decisions, real-time integration be-
tween the involved parties has to be realized, ensured by a sophisticated ser-
vice level management (Focke et al. 2004; Krichel and Schwind 2003). This
induces transaction costs (TCE perspective).
o Legal issues (section 3.5) such as the German Civil Code (BGB), section
613a and the VAT problem in banking often hinder the efficiency of out-
sourcing options.
Nevertheless, observations of the German banking industry show a slow but
upward trend. The empirical studies (section 3.6) showed the following:
o One-third of the study participants confirm that there is potential for credit
factories in terms of economies of skill (Figure 53). Further, the majority of
the banks argue that credit factories could achieve economies of scale
(Figure 89 and Figure 90) and see potential for process standardization of at
least parts of the credit process (Figure 64) (PCE perspective: economies of
skill or scale, NET perspective). Experts expect that the low profitability
which is common to the SME loans business will be tackled by higher stan-
dardization and more cooperative sourcing.
o Driven by the “industrialization” hype, banks start to think in business func-
tions instead of whole business segments when it comes to evaluating re-
sources and capabilities (PPF perspective (value chain concept) and
RBV/CCV perspective). Thus, selective outsourcing becomes an option.
The studies showed that banks are averse to cooperative sourcing in the
credit business in general but showed a less negative attitude when considering it
at the business function level: up to 46% of the responding banks could imagine
outsourcing of single back-office functions to another bank.
coalitions in all cases, determining them ex ante when founding a coalition re-
sults in the problem that, with new members joining the coalition in later periods,
the allocation scheme would have to be completely renegotiated.
Moreover, in the case of additional coordination costs, a potential coopera-
tion first has to be tested for the existence of a core, i.e. whether the rationality
criteria lead to any cost allocation which can be accepted by all potential coop-
eration members.
Although proportional cost allocation showed to be the only stable alloca-
tion in the test, the experimental results showed that most participants did not
want a cost allocation which is close to it, but preferred the Shapley value in-
stead. With added coordination difficulty (shrinking core, advent of transaction
costs), the bargaining games increasingly resulted in inefficient constellations,
giving the impression of the impact of bounded rationality or even the occur-
rence of “irrationality”, even in such simple scenarios.
Core Figure 53
competence
Strategic
risk Figure 91
Standardization
potential Figure 68
ration of their credit process. In the simulations as well as in the empirical study,
processing/servicing showed to be the most frequent candidate. This result was
followed by workout in the empirical study and risk monitoring/management in
the simulation studies, each followed by the other respective business function.
Sales/preparation and assessment/decision played no significant role in both
investigations.
From a quantitative perspective, the level of cooperative sourcing activities
nevertheless differed quite strongly between the simulation studies and the em-
pirical results – even when only asking for optimal instead of real sourcing be-
havior in the survey. This can partially be explained by the high strategically
reasoned resentments against outsourcing in reality. In the simulation studies,
this was resembled by narrowing the strategic constraint which drastically re-
duced the cooperative sourcing activities.
In the simulation studies, the cooperative sourcing activities led to signifi-
cant process cost savings and – after subtracting transaction costs – net savings.
For business functions with lower process volumes, diseconomies of scope (or
interface costs) had a strong negative impact and agency costs inhibited out-
sourcing of processes with higher strategic relevance and with higher complex-
ity. Overall, the net savings reacted most sensitively to changes of the negotia-
tion and coordination cost factor (cN).
The monetary results of the simulation studies usually reacted rather insensi-
tively towards most changes of the parameterization – e.g. when changing the
process cost structure, introducing value-added tax, altering the discount rate, or
other basic parameters. By contrast, when decreasing the ratio between fixed and
variable process costs (i.e. less economies of scale, the system reacted quite
sensitively by reducing cooperative sourcing activities. More homogeneous
process cost structures218 interestingly had the opposite effect (more homogene-
ous decisions led to easier and more frequent agreements towards forming a
coalition). However, the strongest effect was obviously driven by a variation of
the transaction cost level. While the global savings were almost linearly related
to this variation, the average individual savings dropped a lot more.
The benefits from cooperative sourcing turned out to be greater when firms
were of a similar size. In a heterogeneous system, large banks with high process
volumes would often not be able to generate enough additional economies of
scale from cooperative sourcing while small banks would have to bear too high
relative transaction costs.
218
Business functions of different firms which have more similar ratios between fixed and variable
costs.
392 Conclusion
ness functions such as risk monitoring and workout were cooperatively sourced
in smaller coalitions to reduce cooperation with competitors.
Under centralized coordination, slight increases of transaction costs gener-
ally were answered by stronger consolidation (except for negotiation and coordi-
nation costs which over-proportionally increase with larger coalitions).
As a further decision determinant, the strategic constraint, which ensures
that strategically relevant core competencies are not outsourced, was reduced.
While the autonomously acting firms in the simulations simply reduced their
cooperative sourcing activities (coming closer to the empirical results), central-
ized coordination restructured the system towards more and smaller coalitions
where more banks can act as insourcers and thus keep their strategically impor-
tant business functions inhouse. Hence, bounded rationality of the decentrally
deciding actors led to a stronger negative impact when an additional component
had to be taken into account in the decision calculus.
In systems with lower heterogeneity in terms of firm size (i.e. process vol-
ume), there was stronger market consolidation. In the extreme case of all firms
having identical process volumes, the market consolidated very quickly towards
one single coalition.
In some scenarios, the system showed temporary over-reactions in terms of
the number of coalitions. When the benefits of cooperative sourcing were obvi-
ous, many coalitions were found in the very first periods with a subsequent con-
solidation process following in later periods. By contrast, for other business
functions, monotonously increasing concentration curves evolved over time with
the number of cooperatively sourcing firms and the number of coalitions increas-
ing rather proportionally.
During the simulations, different assumptions about bounded rationality of
the deciders were tested which had no significant impact on the monetary results
but led to different degrees in market concentration. Interestingly, the “simplest”
decision calculi when selecting a coalition (i.e. random selection and selecting a
coalition based on the number of members (“size”)) eventually led to the lowest
number of coalitions and to the highest market concentration because the banks
did not get caught too soon in a local optimum where switching the coalition to
improve the individual situation becomes inefficient.
The third dimension of analysis focused on the individual behavior of the
firms during the simulations. The rate of outsourcing, coalition switching, and
backsourcing actions was tracked and aggregated to ratio measures representing
behavioral uncertainty: in order to be able to estimate the actors’ uncertainty
about the others’ behavior, the number of switching and backsourcing actions
was set in relation to outsourcing activities. Higher values indicate that the banks
394 Conclusion
have to test more sourcing configurations unless they find their local optimum219.
More activities in the system lead to more changes of the decider’s environment
which in turn aggravates the search for the optimal coalition. It was mentioned
that these measures always represent two sides of the coin: first, higher dynamics
represent a more agile market where actors search longer to gain higher cost
savings; second, higher dynamics also lead to higher behavioral uncertainty of
the single actor which forces him – and not only gives him the opportunity – to
switch coalitions or to backsource – which in turn leads to high cumulated
switching costs.
During the simulations, outsourcing activities predominantly occurred in
early periods. Dynamics in later periods consisted almost entirely of switching
coalitions and – to a lower degree – of backsourcing formerly outsourced busi-
ness functions. The degree of dynamics differs between the different business
functions. While processing/servicing showed the most frequent outsourcing
activities, risk monitoring/management showed more frequent switching behav-
ior. The higher ratio of fixed costs which embraces higher potential economies of
scale leads to a stronger consolidation process (e.g. securities and payments
processing, c.f. section 3.4.2) and a longer search process for the optimal coali-
tion from an individual perspective.
Although the major part of monetary savings was achieved in the first peri-
ods, the individual switching behavior could take a long time before the overall
system reaches a stationary state. Some individuals searched for the optimal
coalition for a long time although the benefits were only marginal and further-
more induced negative externalities for those firms which were left in the former
coalition.
The more the firms had outsourced a particular business function, the higher
were the dynamics in the system and thus the behavioral uncertainty for the indi-
vidual firm. Since the evaluation of a coalition membership is influenced by this
behavioral uncertainty (network effects), higher dynamics led to more frequent
sub-optimal decisions which in turn led either to a lock-in to sub-optimal local
optima or to a longer and repeated search process for a more beneficial coalition.
When transaction costs were increased, the dynamics measures (and thus
behavioral uncertainty) consequently decreased. The consequence is dichoto-
mous: on the one hand, higher transaction costs are salutary because they stabi-
lize the market and reduce switching costs; on the other hand, they might rather
lock-in the market in a globally sub-optimal configuration.
219
The firm’s ultimately chosen sourcing strategy (insourcing vs. cooperative sourcing, choice of
coalition) was defined as the local optimum.
Conclusion 395
There is one exception: when increasing the agency cost basis, which is part
of the transaction costs, the ratio of backsourcing to outsourcing actions in-
creased up to a certain degree (Figure 151, p. 348). Higher agency costs, which
are triggered by the business neighborhood and therefore by the composition of
the particular coalition (which parties are involved), forced firms to backsource
their business function rather than only to switch the coalition. The agency costs
were mostly influenced by other firms’ behavior and therefore the behavioral
uncertainty increased with rising agency costs. A corresponding result could be
found when neglecting the business neighborhood. In this case the dynamics of
switching and backsourcing were strongly reduced, which in turn led to a more
stable decision basis for the firms.
It was already mentioned above that the market structure becomes much
more consolidated when the system consists of more homogenous firms in terms
of process volume. When assimilating the process volumes stepwise, the fre-
quency of switching actions increased strongly up to a certain point and then
finally dropped again to the situation of perfectly equal process volumes. The
more homogeneous the process volumes, the more active were the firms in
searching for their individual optimal coalition, i.e. there were high opportunities
for changing the coalition and, as a result, high uncertainty due to the very vola-
tile environment. These high switching dynamics led to a strong consolidation of
the system. However, when all firms had identical volumes in the extreme case,
this effect reversed, leading to all banks directly moving into the only and finally
remaining coalition.
The progress of the dynamics measures often showed structural differences
between the different business functions. When varying the contract duration at
different transaction cost levels in the final section of the simulation studies
(5.3.4.7), the different process characteristics led to apparently opposite results.
For business functions with high process volumes, already high outsourcing
rates, and rather low fixed costs (processing/servicing), longer contract duration
did not lead to any new opportunities, since economies of scale had already been
exhausted and were not very high at all. Therefore, increasing contract duration
in this case led to more stability, decreasing dynamics, and reduced behavioral
uncertainty. With opposite characteristics (workout), potential economies of
scale are high but absolute process cost savings are low due to only small process
volumes. Hence, longer contract duration helped to amortize setup transaction
costs for setting up or joining a coalition: dynamics increased. As risk monitor-
ing/management had mixed process properties (high outsourcing rate, large
process volume, but also high fixed costs), the progress of dynamics showed a
mixed picture as well.
396 Conclusion
220
See (Weitzel 2004) for a discussion within a different but related context (IT standardization).
Conclusion 397
6.2 Contributions
The results of this research work offer several contributions to existing theory
(section 6.2.1) and implications for practitioners who have to evaluate sourcing
opportunities (6.2.2).
and integrates them into the agents’ decision function. Thus, this model repre-
sents a tool for analytically and simulatively analyzing cooperative sourcing
behavior which substantially extends earlier works with regard to both the com-
plexity of the decision basis (i.e. captured decision relevant determinants) and
the modeled unrestricted set of interacting and autonomously deciding individu-
als. The theory-based model helps to explain and to anticipate structural effects
from a system’s cooperative sourcing dynamics by integrating microbehavior
(decisions of the individuals) and macrobehavior (resulting market effects)
(Schelling 1978).
Apart from capturing the complexity and the externalities which underlie a
cooperative sourcing decision, a further contribution is the incorporation of co-
opetition into the decision calculus. Cooperative sourcing of parts of the value
chain will lead to the cooperation of competitors because similar parts of the
value chain indicate that the firms are members of the same industry and there-
fore – at least potentially – competitors. The model and its application offer a
way of quantifying the synergies and strategic risks of coopetive situations
thereby providing an initial approach for measuring competitiveness between
firms and measuring its impact on cooperative sourcing activities (i.e. operation-
alizing coopetition). For example, the simulations showed market structures to be
more consolidated in non-competitive environments. This matches the empirical
observation that cooperative sourcing activities are older and larger in the public
savings sector and the cooperative sector where almost no competition between
the members took place in the past.
As a further contribution, this work helps to “dynamize” the transaction cost
view. Burr (2003) criticized TCE as too “static” to be helpful in organization
analyses. The formal representation of transaction costs and its consideration in
multi-period simulations which enable the disclosing of variations of the level
and impact of different transaction costs over time in different governance modes
helps to dynamize the transaction cost-based view of governance and to give an
answer to Burr’s criticism.
The main contribution from simulation studies can be summarized as the
identification and separation of three different inefficiency sources in coopera-
tive sourcing (Table 69):
Conclusion 399
Inefficiency
Description Reasons
source
Firm is reluctant to cooperatively No sufficient process cost savings (PCE: econo-
Start-up
source business functions or does mies of scale + skill)
problem
not find a coalition to join Too high transaction costs, agency costs, com-
petitive degree, or diseconomies of scope (TCE,
TIC, PAT, PCE)
Uncertainty about the partners’ behavior and thus
Individual Firm is reluctant to switch to the savings (NET: externalities)
lock-in superior coalition Coalition members discard “application” (too
high additional transaction costs (TCE), too low
additional economies of scale (PCE))
Strategic constraint (only start-up problem)
No firm does find a superior coali- Whole system runs into inefficient coalition
System- tion to switch to, although another structure, due to decentralized decision making
wide lock- market structure would be more and due to “too fast” cooperative sourcing activi-
in beneficial from a global perspec- ties (in the simulations, over-reaction sometimes
tive (i.e. higher aggregate benefits) lead to a more fragmented system configuration)
Table 69: Sources for global and/or local cooperative sourcing inefficiencies
In particular, the differentiation of lock-in into individual and system-wide
lock-in, which cannot be resolved by individual decisions, represents a signifi-
cant contribution to theory, which, furthermore, is not solely restricted to the
domain of cooperative sourcing but can also be tested in other contexts which
contain network effects and multiple choice221.
Apart from these structural inefficiency sources, the dynamics of switching
coalitions represent a further behavioral inefficiency source. The higher the
dynamics in the system, the higher is the behavioral uncertainty for the individu-
ally deciding firm. As a consequence, sub-optimal decisions can occur which
either lead to lock-in to sub-optimal local optima or to a longer and repeated
search process (inducing higher cumulated transaction costs) for the “optimal”
coalition. This effect is aggravated by bounded rationality as could be seen in the
effect from altering the coalition selection mechanism (from “efficiency” to
“size” and further to “random”, cf. section 5.3.4.6) – although “more” bounded
rationality partially was able to overcome lock-in effects and lead to slightly
higher efficiency in the final state of the system. As conclusion, we can state that
stronger bounded rationality in a system with externalities leads to higher “be-
havioral inefficiency” (i.e. costly dynamics) but can also lower the resulting
structural inefficiencies (i.e. sub-optimal coalition structure due to lock-in).
221
System-wide lock-in can only occur if the actors can choose from multiple options (e.g. coali-
tions), apart from the decision to do nothing.
400 Conclusion
Moreover, the large differences between the effects regarding the finan-
cial outcomes and the corresponding market structures in the simulation
studies show that the size of coalitions has only a minor effect on the overall
cost savings. This again supports the finding that economies of scale play
only a secondary role compared with economies of skill. As long as players
with superior capabilities take over the role of insourcers, significant cost
savings can be realized. By contrast, economies of scale often will be ex-
ploited rather quickly, due to the already high process volumes within the
banks (depending on the cost structure). Of course, if the business function’s
process cost structure predominantly consists of fixed costs, this argumenta-
tion does not hold anymore. In this case, strong outsourcing and switching
activities can be found in both simulations (e.g. strong switching behavior
for risk monitoring) and in reality (e.g. in the payments processing domain).
o For the business functions of the credit process, the survey results showed
rather low actual and potential cooperative sourcing activities. These could
be emulated by the simulations when the strategic constraint was narrowed.
Therefore, we can derive the general finding that – if it emerges – the struc-
ture of cooperative sourcing markets will consist of a rather large number of
small coalitions. Thus, banks can either become insourcers or control their
strategically important business functions more easily. The different regional
cooperative sourcing activities in the public savings banks sector – while, by
contrast, the large national player in the cooperative sector has so far been
unable to attract a sufficient number of credit cooperatives – gives evidence
to this argument.
This “small cluster approach” was also suggested by the centralized
perspective: Stronger strategic boundaries often led to the case that banks
did not enter any coalition although the global optimization showed that or-
ganizing themselves in small coalitions would have been efficient. Hence,
communication between potential partners might be necessary to overcome
the reluctance and to establish small clusters to skim the major part of real-
izable economies of scale.
o A demand for system-wide communication will also be necessary in the case
of a system-wide lock-in: although many banks might have agreed to coop-
erative sourcing there might be too many coalitions that are too small, re-
quiring a certain form of centralized coordination to enforce a more consoli-
dated structure since individual firms are reluctant to change coalitions.
o The simulations showed several decision-relevant factors to be critical with
regard to the system’s cooperative sourcing activities and subsequent dy-
namics. Potential members have to discuss how to control them, in terms of
reducing variance and influencing them in the desired direction:
402 Conclusion
ters, these effects will fail to appear and may also lead to more rigid oli-
gopolistic structures.
The major implication of this research is to focus on the particular aspect of
externalities as part of the cooperative sourcing decision calculus. As can be seen
in the dynamic market for securities processing where switching of coalitions is
not uncommon (and easy due to the high degree of standardization, cf. section
3.4.2), the decision of partners or potentially new coalition entrants can strongly
affect the own cost situation. When firms cannot assume a coalition to be stable
in the long term, they might decide against outsourcing their business functions
(leading to the start-up problem becoming an individual inefficiency dilemma for
them). From a complementary perspective, too many activities may also be prob-
lematic. If a firm changes the coalition, it might achieve more or less higher
benefits but will also induce negative externalities both for the firms remaining
in the former coalition and for the firms which have not yet entered any coali-
tion. This, as a consequence, can affect the firm’s own situation. Thus, the “take-
away” is that own cooperative sourcing behavior always induces a feedback
loop.
Finally, this work provides decision support for the distribution of a coali-
tion’s monetary benefits. The game-theoretical analysis of cost allocation
mechanisms helps managers to evaluate cost and benefit allocation rules in order
to install stable sourcing coalition contracts. While the main goal of the analysis
was the formal proof of conditions of the stability of cooperative sourcing equi-
libria, the section also contained results from a game-theoretical experiment on
cooperative sourcing that indicates that, even in a basically cooperative context,
deciders might be inclined to choose “non-rational” allocation rules leading to
instable sourcing coalitions. The missing predictability of a fundamental and
consistent behavioral pattern, which underlies most agent-based microeconomic
models, is a fundamental problem in reality. Managers should direct attention to
the often unexpected implications of choice of cost/benefit sharing rules in a
cooperative sourcing coalition.
(or Economies of scale and skill from cooperative (Aubert et al. 1996a; Hamel 1991)
produc- sourcing (PCE)
tion costs) Constant process volume over time (Anderson/Parker 2002)
Trans- Transaction costs split up into costs for negotiation, (Albach 1988; Loh 1994)
action coordination, adoption, interface, and agency (TCE)
costs (in Assumption of efficient relationship building and (Helper/Levine 1992; Ring/Van de Ven 1994)
general) management
Nego- Progressively increasing with growing coalition (Beimborn et al. 2004; Fladung 2006)
tiation Decreasing with rising number of outsourcing Experiences with interorg. relationships de-
and projects (learning effects) crease TC (Alchian 1984; Lacity et al. 1996;
coordina- Tsang 2000). Formal representation of learning
tion costs effects adopted from (Ewert/Wagenhofer 2003)
Coordination costs appear in each outsourcing period (Buvik/Gronhaug 2000; Williamson 1985;
Zhang/Liu 2005)
Increasing with task complexity (more complex (Loh 1994; Rouse/Corbitt 2004)
contracts required) (TCE, TIC, PAT)
Adoption Outsourcer’s organization has to adopt the in- (Cash/Konsynski 1985; Rouse/Corbitt 2004)
costs sourcer’s process (process standardization) (TCE)
Process similarity reduces adoption costs (Porter/Fuller 1986; Wüllenweber et al. 2008)
Complexity drives adoption costs (Aubert/Patry 1998; Aubert et al. 1996b)
Interface Task interdependence parameter (vertical economies (Bruch 1998; Knolmayer 1993; Langlois/Ro-
costs of scope) (TCE, PCE) bertson 1992; Meyer/Schumacher 2003;
Roy/Aubert 2002). Relatedness as risk factor
and driver for coordination effort (Bahli/Rivard
2004; Earl 1996; Lacity et al. 1996). Cost of
building, maintaining, operating interfaces
(Bahli/Rivard 2003; Porter/Millar 1985).
Problem of technological (“asset”) indivisibility
(Teece 1980b) or skill indivisibility (Hamel
1991; Hitt et al. 1993; Lei/Hitt 1995). Impact of
task interdependencies in outsourcing decisions
(Lacity et al. 1996; Roy/Aubert 2002). Formal
representation from (Knolmayer 1993)
Agency Increasing with task complexity (inherent contract Complexity drives control costs, agency costs in
costs completeness and bad measurability of provider general due to inherent contract incompleteness
performance) (TCE, TIC, PAT, RT) and bad measurability of provider performance
(Cheon et al. 1995; Lacity/Hirschheim 1993a;
Nam et al. 1996; Poppo/Zenger 1998)
Increasing with degree of competition between Own assumption
insourcer and outsourcer (coopetition)
Strategic Business neighborhood dimensions (PPF) (Porter 1985)
risk Strategic risk from cooperation (Afuah 2000; Beasley et al. 2004; Lacity/Will-
cocks 1995; Nueno/Oosterveld 1988; Oliver
1990; Ring/Van de Ven 1994)
Strategic Save a sufficient stack of core competencies in-house (Prahalad and Hamel 1990)
constraint (CCV, RBV) Formal representation from (Knolmayer 1993)
Table 70: Conceptual model validation
406 Conclusion
Operational Validity: Are the Simulation Results Reasonable and How do they
Fit Reality?
For validating simulation models, this is the most problematic step because
simulation results should reflect reality when feeding the simulation routines
with real data (Bossel 2004, 61).
In economic models, this aim usually cannot be fulfilled (as Bossel’s macro-
economic simulations themselves cannot, either). Simulating organizational
behavior is a very ambitious task and each model of the deciders’ decision calcu-
lus can only be a very weak and imperfect abstraction. Bratley summarizes the
following types of approximation which represent the main sources for diver-
gences between simulation results and the real world (summarized from Bratley
1987, pp. 9-10):
o Restricting the boundary of the model and ignoring everything outside that
is not an explicit input.
o Neglecting factors believed to be unimportant (see also Foss et al. 1995, 11).
o Functional approximation: highly nonlinear functions, themselves often
approximate, are approximated by simpler ones.
Conclusion 407
When varying the strategic constraint (which obviously could not be parameter-
ized based on empirical data), different market configurations could be found
(including the reality). Additionally, the empirical studies showed that many
practitioners perceived potential cost savings to be almost non-existent, although
the survey uncovered large process cost differences between the different banks
(which were considered in the simulations). In accordance with the simulation
studies, financial service industries in other countries show that cooperative
sourcing activities are possible and beneficial in the credit processing domain.
Beside some key figures which match with empirical data (relative level of
transaction costs, frequency of different business models, relative frequency of
sourcing activities), the robustness of the results, in particular, can be used as a
further argument for operational validity:
o Varying the artificial parameters of the simulation control to establish new
coalitions (initCoalSize, maxCoalBuilding, cf. section 5.3.2) did not signifi-
cantly change the resulting monetary effects and market structures.
o A variation of the spread of the process cost ratios (fixed / variable costs),
which have been estimated from empirical data by using three different ap-
proaches (cf. section 3.6.2.5), did not lead to a change of the simulation re-
sults.
o Varying the spread of the overall seed of random numbers used in the simu-
lations did not lead to a significant change of the results.
The two latter arguments additionally show that the simulated system had
the necessary size to deliver inherently stable results despite the high number of
stochastic variables.
6.4 Limitations
In addition to the general limitations of simulation studies which have been dis-
cussed in the previous section, this section discusses concrete limitations of the
developed model and the chosen approach.
Model Limitations
This section reflects the limitations of the cooperative sourcing model (CSM),
developed in chapter 4. Some simplifications were made that helped to signifi-
cantly reduce mathematical complexity and/or that did not affect factors that
were primarily relevant in order to answer the research questions. Nevertheless,
tackling some of the limitations is a promising starting point for future research.
The first limitation of the model which has to be mentioned is the simplified
market structure. The model only takes firms of the same industry into account;
Conclusion 409
it allows neither the appearance of new entrants nor does it consider different
forms of outsourcing such as outsourcing to providers from other industries or
multi-step subcontracting. Furthermore, the firms are modeled as cost-
minimizing but not profit-maximizing agents. Consequently, it was not necessary
to implement market mechanisms explicitly. It was assumed that banks follow
their business model of purchasing banking services and do not see insourcing as
an explicit revenue source, i.e. business model, but do this primarily for cost-
cutting reasons and thus becoming more profitable. Consequently, the model also
does not distinguish different strategy types in a Porterian sense but assumes that
all banks try to optimize costs in processing their business functions. Strategies
of technology or innovation leadership leading to differentiation are not handled
by the model.
Regarding the business functions, the activity-based perspective of the CSM
neither explicitly considers business processes or a product-oriented perspective
nor does it follow a hierarchical understanding of business functions (different
levels of granularity and interdependencies, e.g. as in (Beimborn et al. 2005b)).
Nevertheless, the model implicitly captures the aggregate processual relation-
ships between business functions by the task interdependence measure. More-
over, it can be adopted to different application domains and thus to different
levels of business function granularity – e.g. either covering the whole credit
business or only tasks of the processing/servicing process step. Interdependen-
cies to other (not modeled) business functions could be considered by incorporat-
ing a virtual “residual business function” that represents all inhouse activities
which are not part of the modeled domain. All task interdependencies can then
be connected to this proxy.
Focusing on the cost structures, the assumption of linear cost functions
represents a limitation since it is not based on empirical evidence, although
managerial cost accounting approaches usually make the same assumption.
There would be arguments for assuming a declining cost function which not only
leads to economies of scale from fixed cost reduction but also from the func-
tion’s shape. For example, if process volume increases, certain investments in IT
are necessary. This stepwise function can be approximated either by a linear
relationship (as done in the CSM) or – more likely – by a declining function
because basic infrastructural investments have been made and therefore the addi-
tional investments decrease. As a consequence, the results of the optimization
and simulations would tend towards slightly larger coalitions.
A further issue is the constancy of parameters and costs during a sourcing
relationship. There are outsourcing decision models which handle the volatility
of process volumes over time (e.g. Lammers 2005). Cost variabilization instead
of cost reduction is a major advantage of outsourcing often cited by practitioners
410 Conclusion
(Accenture 2002; Alexander and Young 1996; Lacity et al. 1996). However, in
each outsourcing decision, assumptions need to be made about the future process
volume; therefore a constant value seems to be a simple but valid proxy for the
objectives of our model development. Moreover, the model can easily be ex-
tended in order to consider more complex estimators about future process vol-
ume progress.
Another problem is the stability of the process cost function when joining a
sourcing relationship. Usually, learning effects would cause average process
costs to decrease over time (dynamic economies of skill, cf. section 2.1.1) (Lam-
berti and Pöhler 2004) but volatile process volumes may also cause them to in-
crease. Volume peaks force a sourcing provider to increase capacity, which can-
not be cut back as fast as it is installed. This leads to a feather-like upward shift
of the process costs (ratchet effect). Although it would not be a major problem to
extend the model by these effects, a much more sophisticated parameterization
would be necessary which would require a non-realizable amount of empirical
work in order to adequately estimate these parameters. As a first answer, the
simulations in section 5.3.4.2 considered variations of the process cost function
parameters when the cooperative sourcing coalition is established.
Changing the focus to the constancy of transaction costs, theory of incom-
plete contracts and relationship theories argue, on the other hand, that agency
costs and coordination costs are substituted by norms such as trust over time (cf.
section 2.1.8) (Tsang 2000). Langlois (1992) – in contrast to other authors – even
assumes transaction costs to be only temporarily existent. Therefore, the corre-
sponding functions should lead to decreasing transaction costs throughout the
sourcing duration TCoSo. However, to avoid additional cut-rate parameters, we
decided against it but implemented learning effects regarding the outsourcing
process itself, i.e. former outsourcing experiences reduce transaction costs of
future ones. Moreover, in reality transaction costs are commonly estimated on a
very weak basis and often under-estimated (Barthélemy 2001; Bettis et al. 1992;
Dibbern et al. 2003). Hence, the simulations particularly considered wide varia-
tions of the transaction cost factors during sensitivity analyses.
Agency costs are modeled very primitively, compared with the mathemati-
cal models which directly focus on this particular issue and on the principal-
agent relationship. The main issue is that the basic driver for agency costs, i.e.
the level of interest divergences between principal and agent, is not explicitly
modeled. However, because we focus on cooperative sourcing – i.e. process
volumes of principal (outsourcer) and agent (insourcer) are assumed to be han-
dled by the same resources, which in turn leads to comparably low interest di-
vergences – the model omits this factor.
Conclusion 411
offers the opportunity to exchange parts without affecting its integrity and appli-
cability. The following items represent some ideas of promising model exten-
sions:
o Considering additional cost components: For example, the model does not
cover possible changes of the bank’s credit risk or market risk structure. In
the special case of outsourcing the refinancing of a particular credit product
(i.e. selling the credit), the credit risk structure and, thus, the capital costs
will change. Risk costs are a substantial part of the overall credit costs (cf.
Figure 68). Holzhäuser et al. (2005) provide a BPO decision support model
which takes this effect into account. The decision calculus of their model
can be incorporated into the CSM. Another argument is the trade-off be-
tween risk costs and process costs which should be optimized (Hölzer 2004,
236). By increasing automation (often related to cooperative sourcing),
process costs will be partially reduced at the cost of increasing credit risk
(less strict control by humans leading to less effective risk monitoring) (Ku-
ritzkes et al. 2000, 46).
o In IT outsourcing research, imitative behavior has often been cited as an
important driver of outsourcing decisions (Lacity and Hirschheim 1993b;
Loh and Venkatraman 1992b; Rouse and Corbitt 2004). In order to capture
this argument, the concept of (bounded) rational choice, as implemented in
the CSM, can be replaced by some form of adaptive behavior as is in the co-
operation theory, for example (Axelrod 1984, 1987, 2000).
o In its internal structure, the CSM can be extended by an activities x re-
sources matrix which links the business functions to underlying required re-
sources. In this way, economies of scope from resource sharing can be more
precisely modeled and considered in outsourcing decisions. For example, an
IT system might represent a resource used for different activities. Thus, the
outsourcing of a particular business function will not necessarily lead to the
divestment of the related resources.
o A further promising extension of the agents’ decision functions is the con-
cept of reputation. It is often observed that reputation and trust acquire fun-
damental importance in B2B relationships. According to Mui et al. (2002b),
reputation is a “perception that an agent creates through past actions about
its intentions and norms” and trust is a “subjective expectation an agent has
about another’s future behavior based on the history of their encounters”. It
can be shown that reputation reduces the complexity of the decision process
through a better estimation of the likelihood of cooperation failure (Marsh
1992). Reputation has already been formalized (e.g. Carter et al. 2002) and
has been repeatedly incorporated into multi-agent systems (see (Mui et al.
2002a) for an overview). Thus, concepts from the relationship theories (sec-
414 Conclusion
tion 2.1.8) have already been integrated into formal simulation models.
However, although reputation has a significant influence on economic deci-
sions, only few research projects have addressed the impact of reputation on
B2B cooperation (Franke et al. 2005b).
o As a more general enhancement, the model can be extended by providing a
wider range of possible governance modes. While the CSM only allows co-
operative sourcing and pure insourcing, outsourcing to other industries and
divestments can be incorporated, for example following the alternatives of
Lammers’ formal sourcing governance decision model (Lammers 2004).
This would require the implementation of market and negotiation mecha-
nisms and ultimately lead to a unified micro-economically founded instru-
ment for investigating sourcing economies.
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Appendix 453
Appendix
222
Explanation of parameters (cf. section 5.2): pCO = crossover probability, pM = mutation probabil-
ity. TGA = last generation.
Appendix 455
<10%
<10%
<10%
<10%
<20%
fig.
<1%
<2%
<5%
<1%
<2%
<5%
<1%
<2%
<5%
<1%
<2%
<5%
<1%
<2%
<5%
<1%
<2%
<5%
1 2 22 50 2 19 50 50 0 0 50 50 0 0 46 50 0 1 29 50 0 0 2 24 49
2 19 45 50 24 48 50 50 2 11 50 50 2 7 50 50 6 10 42 50 0 2 20 36 50
3 5 36 50 3 30 50 50 0 0 50 50 0 2 49 50 0 1 27 50 5 6 4 22 50
4 0 7 50 0 0 50 50 0 0 50 50 0 0 7 50 0 0 1 15 0 0 0 23 48
5 1 19 50 0 50 50 50 0 2 50 50 0 1 16 50 1 1 1 18 0 0 4 11 48
6 0 19 50 1 5 50 50 1 1 50 50 0 0 10 50 0 1 4 29 0 0 2 10 48
7 0 4 50 0 1 50 50 0 1 50 50 0 0 6 50 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 6 49
8 8 36 50 9 32 50 50 0 0 46 50 0 3 46 50 2 3 34 50 0 0 6 16 42
9 10 43 50 16 43 50 50 0 7 50 50 1 5 49 50 0 1 31 50 0 0 2 24 50
Table 74: Number of computed solutions (from 50) which did not deviate
from the benchmark by more than 1%, 2%, 5%, and 10% (and 20%
for scenario F)
For the less difficult problems A-C, all configurations reached a solution
which was less than 5% away from the benchmark in all cases. For D and E,
some of them could satisfy at least the 10% threshold in all cases. Out of all
configurations with a runtime of no more than 100 generations (all except con-
figuration 2), configuration 8 and 9 usually showed the best values.
As a further test, the relative spans between the best and worst solution
found for each GA configuration were compared. This bandwidth as well as the
variation coefficient (i.e. normalizing standard deviation to the mean) showed
very small variations for all of the configurations (Table 75). The worst solution
found often did not fall below the best solution (found by the same GA configu-
ration) by more than 5%. Especially configurations 1, 2, 8, and 9 showed good
values.
456 Appendix
1
current optimal solution / final optimal solution
0.98
0.96
0.94
Scenario A
Scenario B
0.92
Scenario C
Scenario D
0.9 Scenario E
Scenario F
0.88
0.86
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
generations
Figure 181: Average solution quality over time for GA configuration 9 and
different problem scenarios
223
Relative span = (maximum value – minimum value) / maximum value
Appendix 457
As Figure 181 shows, 98% of the objective value of the final solution (100th
generation) are already reached in the 50th period for most scenarios. Only for
very difficult problems (Scenario F), this is not the case. Reverse tests showed
that the other GA configurations showed no better results in the 50th generation,
either. Thus, we finally decided to use configuration 9 with reduced TGA = 50 in
the simulation studies. If transaction costs are very high compared with process
cost savings (i.e. very difficult optimization problems), the runtime is extended
to 100 periods.
c kAD c1AD 10 ,000 c 2AD 10 ,000 c 3AD 10,000 c 4AD 10 ,000 c 5AD 10,000
Misc.: cIF = 5,000 D = 1.25 E = -.9 J = .3
Table 77: Parameterization of simulation studies – transaction costs
458 Appendix
process costs are allocated to the different process steps and further sepa- Process costs
rated into fixed and variable costs based on process cost volumes and
process cost ratios.
(Residual) core
Oik follows empirical distributions (Figure 52) and correlations (Table 47)
competencies
Similarity Sales/ Assessm./ Processing/ Risk
Workout
degree preparation decision servicing monitoring Similarity degree ]ijk0
PP]ijk0) .189 .168 .359 .253 .291 (normally distributed)
VV(] ijk0) .179 .171 .119 .160 .143
Assessm./ Processing/ Risk
P(Tikl), V(Tikl) Workout
decision servicing monitoring
Sales/
.855, .212 .500, .280 .630, .276 .435, .283
preparation
Assessm./ Modularity degree Tikl
.615, .281 .500, .280 .400, .280
decision (normally distributed)
Processing/
.513, .281 .100, .280
servicing
Risk
.485, .286
monitoring
Table78: Parameterization of simulation studies – business function
characteristics
Simulation control and genetic algorithm
Initial size of created Repetition rate for creation
initCoalSize = 9 coalBuildingFreq = 5
coalitions of new coalitions
Maximum number of coalitions created per business function k in one
maxCoalBuilding = 4
period
Population of the Maximum number of gen-
Population size = 50 TGA = 100
genetic algorithm erations
Crossover probability Mutation probability of
pCo = .55 pM = .001
of genetic algorithm genetic algorithm
Table 79: Parameterization of simulation studies – simulation and GA control