PARETO
PARETO
Abstract This paper presents a method to predict the recent evolution. Indeed, interest in decision theory can
relative objective weighting scheme necessary to cause be traced back to the 1950’s (e.g. Luce and Raiffa 1957),
arbitrary members of a Pareto solution set to become op- but the application of decision theory to multidisciplinary
timal. First, a polynomial description of the Pareto set design is relatively recent and reviewed by Lewis and
is constructed utilizing simulation and high performance Mistree (1998).
computing. Then, using geometric relationships between In decision theory, and more specifically in decision-
the member of the Pareto set in question, the location based design, there are two primary steps: generate the
of the utopia point and the polynomial coefficients, the option space, and select the best option (Hazelrigg 1996).
weighting of the performance metrics which causes a par- The option space is the accumulation of all potential
ticular member of the Pareto set to become optimal is design solutions. Choosing from among this space is
determined. The use of this technique, termed the scal- certainly not trivial but rather a function of tradeoffs
ing method, is examined via using a sample problem from and compromises. In this work, we are concerned with
the field of vehicle dynamics optimization. The scaling both of these steps. The decision making environment
method is based on the collinearity theorem which is also for this work is multiattribute design problems where
presented in the paper. there is more than one attribute under question. Also, we
are dealing with mathematical representations of design
Key words multiobjective optimization, Pareto set, problems and therefore are working with multiobjec-
objective weighting tive optimization problems. This does not exclude the
results of this paper from nonmathematical representa-
tions, such as look-up tables or logical rule-based models,
but we focus on mathematical models specifically. We in-
tend on providing decision support for determining the
1 optimal solution, given a set of operating conditions,
Introduction assumptions, risk profiles, and preferences. We do not in-
tend to construct risk profiles or model preferences, but
It is widely recognized that design is a series of compro- simply acknowledge that they must play a role in this
mises. Compromises are made using tradeoffs between kind of decision making problem.
performance, cost, risk, and quality attributes. In a mul- In multiobjective optimization problems, there are
tiattribute design problem there are typically an infinite two primary approaches to finding the preferred, if not
number of “optimal” solutions, based on the preferences optimal, design. The first involves determining the rela-
and risk assessments of the designer(s). The final design tive importance of the attributes and aggregating the
will be a result of numerous tradeoffs, many times ad-hoc, attributes into some kind of overall objective. Then, solv-
each aimed at making a compromise decision between ing the optimization problem presumably would generate
conflicting attributes. Viewing design formally as a col- the optimal solution for a given set of attribute impor-
lection of compromise decisions, however, is only a very tances. The second approach involves populating a num-
ber of optimal solutions along the Pareto frontier and
July 25, 2000
then selecting one based on the values of the attributes for
E.M. Kasprzak1 and K.E. Lewis2 a given solution. In both cases, there are complications.
1 First, coming up with exact relative attribute weights is
Milliken Research Associates, Inc., 245 Brompton Road,
a daunting task with complicated ramifications (Messac
Williamsville, NY 14221-5942, USA
e-mail: [email protected] 2000). Only in the rarest of circumstances can this ap-
2
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Uni- proach be taken and relied upon. Second, while selecting
versity at Buffalo, 1010 Furnas Hall, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA from a set of Pareto solutions may seem straightforward
e-mail: [email protected] once a set of preferences are established, it may result
209
in a nonoptimal design for certain design operating con- and Papalabmros (1996) also looked at using nonlinear
ditions. It is difficult to relate the choice of Pareto so- weights to better capture the non-convex Pareto set.
lution to any kind of optimal criteria. In this work, we An alternative to these methods, compromise pro-
develop a technique that can provide decision support gramming, was developed in the 1970’s and it, too, is
for both of the approaches to multiobjective optimization a subject of continuing research. This approach has the
problems. In the next section, we provide the necessary advantage of being able to generate many points on the
background on Pareto sets for the development of the efficient frontier. It works from a stationary utopia point
technique. and, through variation of a vector of weights, intersects
points in the Pareto set. Chen et al. (1999) used this
method in an approach to robust design with reason-
2 able success, although implementation of compromise
Pareto set background programming is notably more difficult than the weighted
sum method. Tappeta and Renaud (1999) used compro-
Since multiobjective optimization problems are in ques- mise programming to find an initial Pareto solution, and
tion, we make use of the concept of Pareto sets, an effi- then constructed local approximations to the Pareto sur-
cient frontier of solutions in the performance space. There face and iteratively presented the decision maker with
continue to be two primary challenges in Pareto sets: pop- a set of solution options to choose from.
ulating the Pareto set or finding Pareto solutions, and Yoo and Hajela (1999) effectively use an immune-
selecting from among the Pareto solutions. These chal- based genetic algorithm (GA) to generate the Pareto-
lenges parallel the challenges of decision-based design. Edgeworth solutions in one run of the GA. Narayanan
They are analogous to determining potential solutions and Azarm (1999) improve multiobjective GA’s using fil-
and selecting from among the solutions. In Pareto analy- tering, mating restrictions, and the idea of objective con-
sis, there are added restrictions on the criteria for decid- straints in order to detect Pareto solutions in the noncon-
ing upon a solution’s inclusion in the set. A design vector vex region of the Pareto set.
x∗ is a Pareto optimum if and only if, there is no other This work will use yet another method to determine
feasible vector x such that the Pareto set: a grid search of the design space. Effi-
cient points from the grid search are fit by a polynomial
fi (x) ≤ fi (x∗ ) , j = 1, . . . , m to approximate the Pareto set, resulting in several advan-
tages over other methods. This is pursued in Sect. 3. Once
and the Pareto set has been generated, the next challenge is
choosing the best solution from among the set. This is the
fi (x) < fi (x∗ ) for at least one i , 1 ≤ i ≤ m. (1)
subject of the next section.
We address both of these challenges in this work, al-
though most of the paper is focused on the second chal-
lenge. In the next sections, we address both challenges 2.2
and the current research in each area. Selection from among the Pareto solutions
2.3
A conceptual look at the performance space and axis
scaling
using the L2 norm method. A vector is drawn from the sented. In the next section the collinearity theorem is
utopia point to the optimal point on the Pareto set. To introduced and a proof is given.
emphasize that this is, indeed, the closest point, a circle
centered at the utopia point with the radius of the vector
is included. Since no other points on the Pareto set appear 3
within this circle the point shown must be the closest to Mathematical basis: the collinearity theorem
the utopia point.
This sample problem is investigated with an arbitrary When analysing problems involving compromise deci-
baseline weighting of the performance objectives. That is, sions, the construction of a Pareto set is useful in identi-
a certain relative importance (ratio of objective weights) fying all possible “good” solutions from the set of possible
is assumed to produce Figs. 1 and 2. At this point the designs. Each member of the Pareto set is potentially
precise ratio used is not important. What is important, the optimal solution to the problem at hand, depending
however, is how Fig. 2 changes if the relative importance on the relative weights of the objectives. Deciding which
of the weights changes. Suppose the scenario in Figs. 1 Pareto set member is optimal requires these weights to be
and 2 is generated by considering the two objectives to known so that existing methods, such as the Lp -norm and
have equal importance. If the importance placed on ob- utopia point concept, can be applied, thereby determin-
jective I doubles (such that objective I is twice as import- ing the optimal solution. Definitions of these decision the-
ant as objective II) a different compromise design may be ory terms and techniques are summarized by Palli et al.
the optimal solution. (1998), many of which follow from the early game the-
Figure 3 shows how this change in relative importance ory and compromise decision work described by Luce and
of the objectives is handled. Compared with Fig. 2, the Raiffa (1957).
objective I axis in Fig. 3 is stretched to twice its original A substantial number of analysis techniques exist, as
length, reflecting the doubling of the importance on that reflected by Chen et al. (1999). Every technique study-
axis. This reshapes or “rescales” the set of possible out- ing compromise decisions which strives to identify an
comes and the Pareto set. As a result, the member of the optimum point is constrained by a given set of perform-
Pareto set which is closest to the utopia point is differ- ance metrics. That is, had the relative objective weighting
ent than that in Fig. 2. A new optimal compromise design been different, the point chosen from the Pareto set as
is located using the L2 norm in Fig. 3 for the case when optimal would likely also have been different. While the
objective I is twice as important as objective II. designs composing the Pareto set are, by definition, inde-
pendent of any specific objective weighting, the optimal
Pareto set solution is necessarily a function of the particu-
lar objective weighting under discussion.
This section states and proves a new theorem termed
the collinearity theorem. It has been developed as an ex-
tension of the L2 norm in the performance space. The
L2 norm locates the best point in a Pareto set as the
one which lies geometrically closest to the utopia point.
This is visualized as a circle, centered at the utopia point,
which determines the optimum point as the first design
point encountered as the radius of the circle is increased.
Instead, the collinearity theorem relates the best point
in a Pareto set to the utopia point in terms of another
geometric construct, the shape of the Pareto set itself.
It is the inclusion of information regarding the shape of
the Pareto set which gives the collinearity theorem its
Fig. 3 Rescaled performance space doubling the importance value. While the L2 norm and collinearity theorem are in
of objective I
agreement in that they always determine the same Pareto
point to be the optimal solution, the collinearity theorem
It is important to note that the design points compos- lends itself more readily to expansion and generalization.
ing the Pareto Set are no different in Fig. 3 than they were Indeed, the collinearity theorem is the underlying mathe-
with the baseline weighting of the objectives. By defin- matical premise for the scaling method, developed later in
ition Pareto set points are independent of the relative this paper in Sect. 5.
importance of the design objectives. The only difference
is the way these points are plotted in the performance 3.1
space. In Sect. 4 this geometric interpretation of objective Development of the collinearity theorem
weighting is applied in the scaling method.
Through the use of a generic example, a conceptual For the time being assume that the Pareto set is described
summary of performance space analysis has been pre- by a line in the performance space whose equation or
212
mathematical representation is known. A technique for By the definition of optimal point using the L2 norm,
determining this representation of the Pareto set is given point B is known to be the closest member of to the
in Sect. 3.2. With this information the collinearity theo- utopia point, A. Thus, a circle drawn about A with radius
rem can be defined as follows. AB will touch line only at point B. Since the circle and
the line at point B have continuous slopes the circle cen-
The collinearity theorem. An internal point B in a Pareto tered at A must be tangent to at B. The tangent to at
set is an optimal point if and only if the utopia point,
B is T . A circle’s radius is always perpendicular to a tan-
point B and the instantaneous centre of curvature of gent on the circumference, so line segment AB must be
the Pareto set at point B are collinear, provided the
perpendicular to T .
instantaneous centre of curvature of the Pareto set at
Both AB and BC are perpendicular to T and there-
point B does not lie between point B and the utopia fore parallel to each other. Parallel line segments, by
point.
definition, have the same slope. Since point B is com-
Exception. If the Pareto set does not have a continu- mon to both line segments we know that A, B and C
ous slope at B or if B is an endpoint (i.e. “noninternal” must be members of the same line. This completes the
point) of the Pareto set then this condition need not
proof of the collinearity theorem for internal Pareto set
be met for point B to be optimal. points.
As an aid to the proof to this theorem, consider Fig. 4 At points where the slope of the Pareto set is dis-
where continuous or where the optimal point is a Pareto set
endpoint the collinearity theorem does not need to be
is a curve representing a Pareto set, satisfied for optimality to exist, thus the reference to “in-
A is the utopia point, ternal points” of the Pareto set. Noninternal points can
B is the point on closest to the utopia point, be corners, jumps or endpoints of the Pareto set. These
C is the instantaneous centre of curvature of at B, and points do not have a continuous derivative. As such, these
T is the tangent to at B. points do not have an instantaneous centre of curvature
and cannot satisfy the collinearity theorem for optimal-
ity. Noninternal points are typically few and can easily
be checked individually. Through the use of the scaling
method they can often be readily examined without addi-
tional analysis.
This proof has assumed that the objectives are being
minimized. This is not a requirement, but presented for
illustrative purposes.
3.2
Polynomial description of the Pareto set
4
Application of the collinearity theorem:
the scaling method
Fig. 6 Rescaled abscissa by an amount k
Now that the collinearity theorem is stated and proven,
it is developed into a method to predict the scaling of the
objective weights needed to cause a member of the Pareto The collinearity theorem allows the appropriate value
set to become the optimal solution. This new procedure, of k to be determined. Three points, the utopia point, the
termed the scaling method, has been developed to realize point we wish to make optimal (f1 , f2 ) and the centre of
the information the collinearity theorem makes available. curvature of the Pareto set at (f1 , f2 ) from Fig. 5, must be
The goal is to predict the relative objective weighting re- collinear for optimality to occur. Equating slopes between
quired to cause any member of the Pareto set to become the first pair of points and the second pair of points (refer
the optimal solution on the basis of the information con- to Fig. 6) and considering objective f2 to be a function of
tained in the shape of the Pareto set. objective f1 , gives the relationship
Figure 5 presents the performance space for a general
compromise decision problem. The point (f1∗ , f2∗ ) is the f2 − f2v 1
=− . (3)
optimal solution for a baseline weighting of the objectives kf1 − kf1u f2
on the abscissa and ordinate. This baseline weighting of
See the Appendix for a detailed explanation of how rela-
objectives f1 and f2 is arbitrary, although for simplicity it
tionships change when the abscissa is rescaled. Solving for
is convenient to weight the objectives equally. Other im-
k, the only unknown, gives
portant points on this figure are the utopia point, denoted
(f1u , f2u ), the instantaneous centre of curvature at the (f2 − f2v )f2
optimal point, denoted (f1c ∗ ∗
, f2c ), and a nonoptimal point k=− . (4)
f1 − f1u
on the Pareto set, (f1 , f2 ).
Stretching or “rescaling” the f1 -axis by an appropri- Through the use of (4) the change in relative objective
ate amount k will, in general terms, cause Fig. 5 to look weights, k, needed to change a suboptimal member of
like Fig. 6. The point (f1 , f2 ) is now (kf1 , f2 ). Because the Pareto set (f1 , f2 ) into the optimal point can be de-
of the value of k selected, the formerly suboptimal point termined. Implementation of (4) to predict under what
(f1 , f2 ) is now the optimal point (kf1 , f2 ). The previously preferences a member of the efficient frontier becomes the
optimal point is now suboptimal. optimal solution is termed the scaling method. It is an
214
extension of the collinearity theorem and it predicts the trol over the performance of the car. Furthermore, dur-
change in relative weighting of the objectives, k, from the ing a lap at a typical race, a driver may sees a number
baseline condition as a function of of different types of corners and straights. In Fig. 7, the
configuration for the Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road-
1. the original (unscaled) location of the point of interest course, site of the Formula One United States Grand Prix
on the Pareto Set (f1 , f2 ); in September 2000, is shown. There are many turns and
2. the original slope, f2 , of the Pareto set at the point of straight-aways, each with its own optimal vehicle charac-
interest (f1 , f2 ); and teristics. The optimal car for the sweeping final corner, an
3. the original location of the utopia point (f1u , f2u ). 840-foot radius turn on the lower right, is different than
the tight 114-foot radius turn in the upper centre of the
This approach is illustrated in the vehicle design prob- track.
lem that follows.
5
Case study: vehicle dynamics design
behaviours, a compromise design is needed. This com- Figure 9 shows the grid search points which are mem-
promise design is one which allows the vehicle to per- bers of the Pareto set along with the results of fitting
form optimally for the race, not just an individual circle. a seventh-order polynomial via least-squares criteria.
The ratio of x to y, denoted k can be viewed as the The polynomial gives a representative description of the
weighting of two design objectives, the elapsed times Pareto set throughout the range of the Pareto set, except
on each individual radius. The shortest time to com- at the far right end where the fit acquires a positive slope.
plete the total distance around both radii will win the As a result, analysis of this Pareto set for cases where the
race. 400’ radius design dominates the compromise design can
For this study, the vehicle has two design variables. be expected to produce slightly inaccurate results. While
These variables, roll stiffness distribution (K’) and weight the use of an eighth order fit resolves this inaccuracy, the
distribution (a’), are two of the three “magic numbers” seventh-order fit is presented here to highlight potential
Wright (1998) identifies as being fundamental to race errors caused by a fit which does not fully represent the
car design and performance. They are used by the vehi- Pareto set.
cle designer and vehicle dynamicist to “tune” the car’s
handling in an attempt to optimize performance. The an-
alysis begins with a grid search of the design space from
which the performance space is plotted and the Pareto set
identified. The design space has been discretized into 546
(a’, K’) pairs. Each design pair results in a certain level of
performance on each of the two radii. Figure 8 plots the
performance space for the vehicle for a baseline race de-
fined as one lap on each radius (k = 1). This gives each
radius equal importance. Thus, the axes are the time re-
quired to complete one lap on each of the 100’ radius and
400’ radius circles.
From Fig. 8 the optimum lap times for each radius are
easily located. For the 100’ radius the leftmost point on
this figure gives the optimum where the vehicle can do no
better than approximately an 8.88 second lap. Likewise,
for the 400’ radius the bottom most point in the plot gives
the optimum. This point indicates approximately a 9.1
second lap as the best possible. These two points are con-
sistent with the detailed vehicle simulations of Kasprzak Fig. 9 The Pareto set with seventh-order polynomial
(1998). The two optima do not occur at the same point
so the race definition, combining laps on each radius, will
need a compromise solution to arrive at the optimal de- Figure 10 presents the outcome of applying the scaling
sign and performance. method (4) to the seventh-order fit Pareto set. This figure
associates the optimal race definition k with the vehicle
performance on the 100 foot radius. Note that since the
origin (0,0) is being used as the utopia point, (4) reduces
to a simple form. Since Fig. 9 shows a one-to-one corres-
pondence of performance on the 100 foot radius to that
on the 400 foot radius, Fig. 10 also specifies the optimal
400 foot radius performance for any race definition k. Fur-
thermore, since each point on the Pareto set is the result
of a unique combination of design variables, a relationship
between race definition and vehicle design is also acquired
for the entire range of k values.
Consider the case of a race definition k = 15. That is,
the race will contain 15 laps on the 100 foot radius and
one lap on the 400 foot radius, each at best steady-state
performance. Figure 10 predicts an optimal performance
on the 100 foot radius circle of 8.894 seconds per lap, or
133.4117 seconds total time on the 100 foot radius. If the
abscissa of Fig. 9 is rescaled by an amount equal to k (15)
then Fig. 11 is generated. It shows the shape of the Pareto
set in terms of the elapsed time on each radius for an
Fig. 8 Grid search results in the performance space k = 15 race. A circle drawn about the utopia point (0,0),
216
be represented. A polynomial curve has two less inflec- of the Pareto set at the point of interest are collinear.
tion points than the order of the polynomial and these From this the scaling method is derived, which allows
polynomial inflection points may not all fall within the the relative objective weighting to be predicted for any
range of the Pareto set. It is very important that the point on the Pareto set, based on the polynomial fit.
polynomial chosen meets the criteria used to specify the Alternatively, the optimal performance for all ratios of
Pareto set. As noted earlier, the seventh-order fit pre- objective weights can be readily determined. Thus, from
sented violates a Pareto set criterion by reversing the a grid search of the design space the shape of the en-
sign of its slope near the right end of the fit. This re- tire Pareto set can be determined, as well as the entire
sults in negative scaling values being predicted for this mapping of the optimum Pareto set solution to the rela-
region, seen at the right end of the trace in Fig. 10. tive objective weighting. This provides a vast amount of
These negative values have no physical meaning and lead information and practical insight to the problem under
to solution inaccuracies. The use of an eighth-order fit consideration. Verification of this method against re-
with this example, while not presented here, with this sults obtained using an L2 norm shows the new methods
example provides a better representation of the Pareto produce results complementary to the established tech-
set. nique. While the method presented here addresses only
The polynomial fit can only be as good as the data two-objective compromise decision making, the merits
to which it is applied. A sufficiently fine grid search of of extending the collinearity theorem and the scaling
the design space is required to populate the Pareto set. method to multiple dimensions are clear. Describing the
While this method has the distinct advantage of find- Pareto set as a hyperplane in n-dimensions and apply-
ing the entire Pareto set, both concave and convex re- ing the collinearity theorem in n-dimensional space ap-
gions, the search increment may be very small and re- pear to be possible. While the concepts involved remain
quire a large number of points to be calculated. Since unchanged, the mathematical expression of these ideas
most points calculated will not be Pareto set points this in n-dimensions will be more complicated than in two
method may, at first glance, be deemed inefficient. Still, dimensions.
the grid search technique is guaranteed to find the en-
tire Pareto set, given a fine enough discretization. This Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank Milliken
alone is a key point. The combination of a grid search and Research Associates, Inc. for their support of this research.
polynomial to describe the Pareto set has the ability to The authors would also like to thank the National Science
provide an accurate, smooth and continuous description Foundation, Grant DMI-9875706, for their support.
of the whole Pareto set, regardless of the existence of both
convex and nonconvex regions.
The collinearity theorem and scaling method exploit References
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