Globalization & the
Multinational Firm
Chapter 01 Eun Resnick
1
What’s Special about
“International” Finance?
Goals for International Financial
Management
Chapter
One Globalization of the World
Economy
Outline
Multinational Corporations
Summary
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2
What’s Special about
“International” Finance?
Foreign Exchange Risk and Political Risks
Market Imperfections
Expanded Opportunity Set
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What’s Special about “International”
Finance: Foreign Exchange Risk
• Foreign Exchange Risk
– This is risk that foreign currency profits may evaporate in local currency
terms due to unanticipated unfavorable exchange rate movements.
– Suppose $1 = ¥100 and you buy 10 shares of Toyota at ¥10,000 per share.
(cost USD1,000)
– When you sell the shares, the investment is worth ten percent more in
yen: ¥110,000.
– But, if the yen has depreciated to $1 = ¥120, your investment has actually
lost money in U.S. dollar terms:
USD cost of shares USD value of shares at sale:
$1 $1
$1,000 = ¥100,000 × $916.67 = ¥110,000 ×
¥100 ¥120
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Monthly Percentage Change in Japanese
Yen—U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate
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What’s Special about “International”
Finance: Political Risk
Political Risk
Sovereign governments have the right to regulate the
movement of goods, capital, and people across their
borders. These laws sometimes change in unexpected
ways.
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What’s Special about
“International” Finance:
Market Imperfections
Market Imperfections
Legalrestrictions on the movement of
goods, people, and money.
Transactions costs
Shipping costs
Tax arbitrage
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The Example of Nestlé’s Market Imperfection
Nestlé used to issue two different classes of
common stock bearer shares and registered
shares.
Foreigners were only allowed to buy bearer
shares.
Swiss citizens could buy registered shares.
The bearer stock was more expensive.
On November 18, 1988, Nestlé lifted
restrictions imposed on foreigners, allowing
them to hold registered shares as well as
bearer shares.
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Daily Prices of Nestlé’s Bearer and
Registered Shares
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The Example of Nestlé’s Market
Imperfection Concluded
Following this, the price spread between the
two types of shares narrowed dramatically.
This implies that there was a major transfer of
wealth from foreign shareholders to Swiss
shareholders.
Foreigners holding Nestlé bearer shares were
exposed to political risk in a country that is
widely viewed as a haven from such risk.
The Nestlé episode illustrates both the
importance of considering market
imperfections and the peril of political risk.
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What’s Special about “International”
Finance: Expanded Opportunity Set
Expanded Opportunity Set
Itdoesn’t make sense to play in only one corner of the
sandbox.
Firms can gain from greater economies of scale when their
tangible and intangible assets are deployed on a global
basis.
True for corporations as well as individual investors.
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Maximization of Shareholder
Wealth
Long accepted as a goal in the Anglo-Saxon countries,
but complications arise.
Who are and where are the shareholders?
In what currency should we maximize their wealth?
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Other Goals: Stakeholders
In other countries shareholders are viewed as merely
one among many “stakeholders” of the firm
including:
Employees
Suppliers
Customers
In Japan, managers have typically sought to
maximize the value of the keiretsu—a family of firms
to which the individual firms belongs.
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Other Goals: Principal Agent
Conflict
As shown by a series of recent corporate scandals at
companies like Enron, WorldCom, and Global Crossing,
managers may pursue their own private interests at the
expense of shareholders when they are not closely
monitored.
These calamities have painfully reinforced the
importance of corporate governance, i.e., the financial
and legal framework for regulating the relationship
between a firm’s management and its shareholders.
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Other Goals: Business Culture
These types of issues can be much more serious in many other
parts of the world, especially emerging and transitional
economies, such as Indonesia, Korea, and Russia, where legal
protection of shareholders is weak or virtually non-existing.
No matter what the other goals, they cannot be achieved in
the long term if the maximization of shareholder wealth is not
given due consideration.
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Globalization of the World
Economy: Major Trends and
Developments
Emergence of Globalized Financial Markets
Emergence of the Euro as a Global Currency
Europe’s Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2010
Trade Liberalization and Economic Integration
Privatization
Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009
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Emergence of Globalized
Financial Markets
Deregulation of Financial Markets
coupled with
Advances in Technology
have greatly reduced information and transaction costs,
which has led to:
Financial Innovations, such as
Currency futures and options
Multi-currency bonds
Cross-border stock listings
International mutual funds
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
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Europe’s Sovereign-Debt
Crisis of 2010
In December of 2009 the new Greek government revealed that
its budget deficit for the year would be 12.7% of GDP, not the
3.7% forecast.
Investors sold off Greek government bonds and the ratings
agencies downgraded them to “junk.”
While Greece represents only 2.5% of euro-zone GDP, the crisis
became a Europe-wide debt crisis.
The challenge remains that fiscal indiscipline of one euro-
zone country can escalate to a Europe-wide crisis.
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The Greek Drama
Greece paid no premium above the German rate until late fall 2009.
The Greek interest rate rose until the 750 euro bailout package on May 9,
2010.
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Trade Liberalization and
Economic Integration
Over the past 50 years, international trade increased
about twice as fast as world GDP.
There has been a change in the attitudes of many of
the world’s governments, who have abandoned
mercantilist views and embraced free trade as the
surest route to prosperity for their citizenry.
The principal argument for international trade is
based on the theory of comparative advantage.
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Liberalization of Protectionist
Legislation
The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
is a multilateral agreement among member countries
that has reduced many barriers to trade.
The World Trade Organization has the power to
enforce the rules of international trade.
On January 1, 2005, the era of quotas on imported
textiles ended.
This is an event of historic proportions.
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From NAFTA to USMCA (New NAFTA)
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) called for
phasing out impediments to trade between Canada, Mexico,
and the United States over a 15-year period beginning in 1994.
(Full implementation occurred in 2009.)
For Mexico, the ratio of export to GDP has increased
dramatically from 2.2% in 1973 to 31.7% in 2011.
The increased trade has resulted in increased numbers of jobs
and a higher standard of living for all member nations.
In 30 November 2018, USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada agreement) was signed
which allows updated intellectual property protections, gives the Us more access
to Canada’s dairy market, imposes a quota for Canadian and Mexican automotive
production and increases the duty free limit from $20 to $150 for Canadians’
purchases of US goods on line.
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Brexit
The unexpected outcome of a British referendum held on June
23, 2016.
Britons voted to leave the EU.
Likely outcome is a weakening of both the United Kingdom
and the European Union.
Brexit revealed some of the difficulties with free trade and
global economic integration.
The free movement of goods, capital and people leads to economic
growth, but also leads to political opposition.
The slow Brexit led to resignation of former UK PM Theresa
May on 24 July 2019.
The new UK PM Boris Johnson a supporter of Brexit currently
pursue a no-deal Brexit by 31 October 2019.
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Privatization
The selling of state-run enterprises to investors is
also known as “denationalization.”
Privatization is often seen in socialist economies in
transition to market economies.
By most estimates, this increases the efficiency of
the enterprise.
It also often spurs a tremendous increase in cross-
border investment.
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Chinese Privatization
State-owned enterprises have been listed on
organized stock exchanges.
More than 1,500 companies are currently listed on
China’s stock exchanges.
The Chinese government still retains the majority
stakes in most public firms.
Chinese citizens can buy “A” shares, while
foreigners are limited to “B” shares.
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Global Financial Crisis of
2008—2009
In 1999 with Clinton’s administration, the Financial Services
Modernization Act (or Gramm-Leach-Billey Act) repeal the Galss-
Steagall Act which built a firewall between commercial and investment
banking activities in the wake of the “Great Recession.”
Factors included:
Households and financial institutions borrowed too much and took too much
risk.
This risk was repackaged with securitization, and so defaults on subprime
mortgages in the U.S. came to threaten the solvency of a teacher’s retirement
plans in Norway.
Bush administration implemented Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)
in October 2008 and Obama administration adopted an economic
stimulus program to boost economic activities and create jobs.
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U.S. Unemployment Rate and Dow
Jones Industrial Average
During the course of the crisis, the G-20 emerged as the premier
forum for discussing international economic issues and
coordinating financial regulations and macroeconomic policies
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Summary
It is important to study international finance since we are
living in a globalized and integrated world economy.
Three things distinguish international finance from domestic
finance:
Foreign Exchange and Political Risk
Market Imperfections
Expanded Opportunity Set
The Global Financial Crisis of 2009 may be attributable to
several factors:
Excessive borrowing and risk taking
Failure of government regulation
Privatization has placed a new demand on international
capital markets to finance former state enterprises.
Multinational corporations often produce merchandise in one
country, obtain capital in another country, and sell the
finished product to consumers all over the world.
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