Module 1 - Tests of Hypothesis For A Single Sample
Module 1 - Tests of Hypothesis For A Single Sample
COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING
DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING
MODULE 1
TESTS OF HYPOTHESES FOR A SINGLE SAMPLE
1.0 Hypothesis Testing
H 0 : µ = 50 cm / s
H1 : µ ¹ 50 cm / s
H 0 : µ = 50 cm / s H 0 : µ = 50 cm / s
or
H1 : µ < 50 cm / s H1 : µ > 50 cm / s
H 0 : µ = 50 cm / s
H1 : µ ¹ 50 cm / s
Critical regions
H 0 : µ = µ0 H 0 : µ = µ0
H1 : µ < µ 0 or H1 : µ > µ0
EXERCISES:
X - µ0
Z=
s
n
H 0 : µ = 50
H 1 : µ ¹ 50
3. Choose a significance level a
As stated, a = 0.05 .
X - µ0
The test statistic is Z =
s
n
ì2[1 - F ( z 0 )] H1 : µ ¹ µ0
ï
P = í1 - F ( z 0 ) H1 : µ > µ0
ï
îF ( z 0 ) H1 : µ < µ0
EXERCISES:
X -µ
T=
S n
SOLUTION:
3. a = 0.05
X -µ
T=
S n
6. Compute:
0.83725 - 0.82
t0 = = 2.72
0.02456 15
H 0 : s 2 = s 02
H 1 : s 2 ¹ s 02
c 2
=
(n - 1)S 2
0
s 02
SOLUTION:
1. The parameter of interest is the population variance s2
H 0 : s 2 = 0.01
2.
H 1 : s 2 > 0.01
3. a = 0.05
c 2
=
(n - 1)S 2
0
s 02
6. Computation:
19(0.0153)
c 02 = = 29.07
0.01
H 0 : p = p0
H 1 : p ¹ p0
pˆ - p 0
Z0 =
p 0 (1 - p 0 )
n
z 0 > za 2 or z 0 < - za 2
H 0 : p = 0.05
2.
H 1 : p > 0.05
3. a = 0.05
pˆ - p 0
Z0 =
p 0 (1 - p 0 )
n
6. Computation:
æ 4 ö
ç ÷ - 0.05
200
z0 = è ø = -1.95
0.05(0.95)
200
c =å
2
k
(Oi - Ei )2
0
i =1 Ei
EXAMPLES:
Poisson Distribution
(32 × 0 + 15 ×1 + 9 × 2 + 4 × 3) = 0.75
60
p1 = P( X = 0 ) = = 0.472
0!
e -0.75 (0.75)
1
p2 = P( X = 1) = = 0.354
1!
e -0.75 (0.75)
2
p3 = P( X = 2 ) = = 0.133
2!
3
p4 = P( X ³ 3) = 1 - å pi = 1 - (0.472 + 0.354 + 0.133) = 0.041
i =1
The expected frequencies are computed by multiplying the
sample size n = 60 time the respective probabilities pi ,
Ei = npi
3. a = 0.05
c =å
2
k
(Oi - Ei )2
0
i =1 Ei
6. Computation:
c =
2 (32 - 28.32 ) (15 - 21.24 ) (13 - 10.44 )
2
+
2
+
2
= 2.94
0
28.32 21.24 10.44
EXERCISE:
Values 0 1 2 3 4
Obs. Freq. 24 30 31 11 4
Values 0 1 2 3
Frequency 39 23 12 1
Based on these 75 observations, is a binomial distribution an
appropriate model? Perform a goodness-of-fit test with
a = 0.05 .
Columns
1 2 ! c
1 O11 O12 ! O1c
Rows 2 O21 O22 ! O2 c
! ! ! ! !
r Or1 Or 2 ! Orc
1 c
uˆi = å Oij
n j =1
1 r
vˆ j = å Oij
n i =1
1 c r
Eij = nuˆi vˆ j = å Oij å Oij
n j =1 i =1
r
c 02 = å å
c (Oij - Eij )
2
i =1 j =1 Eij
has an approximate chi-square distribution with (r - 1)(c - 1)
degrees of freedom. We reject the hypothesis of independence
if the observed value of the test statistic is greater than the
critical value, i.e. c 02 > ca2 ,( r -1)(c-1).
OBSERVED DATA
Pension Plan
Job Classification 1 2 3 Total
Salaried Workers 160 140 40 340
Hourly Workers 40 60 60 160
Total 200 200 100 500
EXPECTED FREQUENCIES
Pension Plan
Job Classification 1 2 3 Total
Salaried Workers 136 136 68 340
Hourly Workers 64 64 32 160
Total 200 200 100 500
3. a = 0.05
4. The test statistic is
r
c =å å
2
c (O
ij - Eij )
2
0
i =1 j =1 Eij
6. Computations:
c =å å
2
r c (O
ij - Eij )
2
0
i =1 j =1 Eij
=
(160 - 136 ) (140 - 136 ) (40 - 68) (40 - 64 )
2
+
2
+
2
+
2
136 136 68 64
+
(60 - 64 ) (60 - 32 )
2
+
2
64 32
= 49.63
EXERCISE:
9. Grades in a statistics course and an operations research
course taken simultaneously were as follows for a group of
students:
OR Grade
Stat Grade A B C Other
A 25 6 17 13
B 17 16 15 6
C 18 4 18 10
Other 10 8 11 20
Are the grades in statistics and operations research related?
Use a = 0.01 in reaching your conclusion.