C Tables 1
C Tables 1
Exam Cf4
The reading material for Exam C/4 includes a variety of textbooks. Each text has
a set of probability distributions that are used in its readings. For those distributions used
in more than one text, the choices of parameterization may not be the same in all of the
books. This may be of educational value while you study, but could add a layer of
uncertainty in the examination. For this latter reason, we have adopted one set of
parameterizations to be used in examinations. This set will be based on Appendices A &
B of Loss Models: From Data to Decisions by Klugman, Panjer and Willmot. A slightly
revised version of these appendices is included in this note. A copy of this note will also
be distributed to each candidate at the examination.
Each text also has its own system of dedicated notation and terminology.
Sometimes these may conflict. If alternative meanings could apply in an examination
question, the symbols will be defined.
For Exam C/4, in addition to the abridged table from Loss Models, sets of values
from the standard normal and chi-square distributions will be available for use in
examinations. These are also included in this note.
When using the normal distribution, choose the nearest z-value to find the
probability, or if the probability is given, choose the nearest z-value. No interpolation
should be used.
Example: If the given z-value is 0.759, and you need to find Pr(Z < 0.759) from
the normal distribution table, then choose the probability for z-value = 0.76: Pr(Z
< 0.76) = 0.7764.
When using the normal approximation to a discrete distribution, use the continuity
correction.
1 − 12 x2
The density function for the standard normal distribution is φ ( x) = e .
2π
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION TABLE
Entries represent the area under the standardized normal distribution from -00 to z, Pr(Z<z)
The value of z to the first decimal is given in the left column. The second decimal place is given in the top row..
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.. 5000 0.5040 0.5080 05120 0.5160 0..5199 0.5239 0.. 5279 0.. 5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.. 5557 0..5596 05636 0.. 5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.. 2 0.5793 0.. 5832 05871 05910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 06064 0.6103 0.. 6141
0.. 3 0.6179 0.. 6217 06255 0.6293 0.. 6331 0.6368 06406 0.. 6443 06480 0.6517
0..4 06554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0..6700 0.. 6736 0.. 6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.. 5 0.6915 0.. 6950 06985 0.. 7019 07054 0.. 7088 0.7123 0.. 7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.. 6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 07389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.. 7 0.7580 0.7611 0.. 7642 07673 0..7704 0.7734 0.7764 0..7794 0.. 7823 0.'7852
0.. 8 07881 0.7910 0.. 7939 0.. 7967 0..7995 0.. 8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 08159 0.. 8186 08212 0.8238 0.8264 0..8289 08315 0.8340 0.8365 08389
1..0 0.8413 0.. 8438 0.8461 08485 0..8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.. 8577 0.. 8599 08621
1.1 08643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.. 8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.. 8810 08830
1..2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.. 8944 08962 0.. 8980 0.8997 . 0.9015
1..3 0.. 9032 0.9049 09066 09082 09099 0.9115 09131 0.. 9147 0.9162 09177
1..4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.. 9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.. 9306 0.9319
1.. 5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.9370 0.9382 0.. 9394 0.9406 0.. 9418 0.9429 0.9441
1..6 0.9452 0.. 9463 09474 0.. 9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.. 9525 0.9535 0.9545
1..7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.. 9616 0.9625 0.9633
18 0.9641 09649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.. 9678 0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
1..9 0.9713 0.. 9719 0.9726 09732 0.9738 0.. 9744 0.9750 0.9756 0.. 9761 0.9767
2.0 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 09788 0.9793 0..9798 0.9803 0.9808 0..9812 0.9817
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
2.2 09861 0.. 9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878 0.. 9881 0.9884 0.9887 0.9890
2.. 3 0.9893 0.. 9896 09898 0.9901 0.. 9904 09906 0.9909 0.. 9911 0.9913 09916
2.4 0.9918 0.. 9920 09922 09925 0.. 9927 0.9929 09931 0.9932 0.9934 0.. 9936
2.5 0.9938 0.9940 0.. 9941 0.9943 0.. 9945 09946 0.9948 0.. 9949 0.9951 0.. 9952
2.6 0.9953 0.. 9955 0.. 9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.. 9960 0.9961 0.9962 0.9963 09964
2.7 09965 0.9966 0.9967 09968 0.9969 0.. 9970 0.9971 0.. 9972 0.9973 0.. 9974
2.8 0.9974 09975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.. 9978 0.9979 0.. 9979 09980 0.9981
2.9 0.. 9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.. 9983 0.9984 0.. 9984 09985 0.9985 09986 09986
30 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 09988 0.9988 09989 09989 0.9989 0.9990 0.. 9990
3.1 0.9990 09991 0.9991 0.9991 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992 0.9993 0.9993
3.2 09993 0.. 9993 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.. 9994 0.9994 0.9995 0.. 9995 0.9995
33 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.. 9996 0.. 9996 0.9996 0.9997
34 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.. 9997 0.9997 0.. 9997 0.9997 09997 0.9998
35 0.9998 0.. 9998 0.9998 0.9998 0.. 9998 0.. 9998 09998 0.9998 0.9998 0.9998
3.6 09998 0.. 9998 0.9999 0.9999 0.9999 0.9999 0.9999 0.9999 0.9999 09999
3.7 0.. 9999 0.9999 0.. 9999 0.9999 0.9999 0.. 9999 0.9999 09999 0.. 9999 0.9999
3.8 09999 09999 09999 0.9999 09999 0.9999 0.9999 09999 0.9999 0.9999
3.9 1..0000 1..0000 1..0000 1..0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.. 0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
-------
Degrees of Values of P
-- --.-- --
Freedom 0.005 0.010 0.025 0.050 0.100 0.900 0.950 0.975 0.990 0.995
-_.-.-
--- 0.. 001 0004 0.Q16 2.706 3.841 5024 6635 7..879
- _1.. --
---
------ ------
2 0.Q1 0020 0.. 051 0.103 0..211 4.605 5.. 991 7378 9..210 10597
f-------- ---- f--.--._-- _. - - ----..-
3 0072 0.115 0..216 0.. 352 0584 6.251 7..815 9.. 348 11345 12838
1--_._----- - - - - f--- ..-.- ._-
4 0..207 0297 0484 0.711 1064 7.. 779 9488 11..143 13..277 14860
-- --
5 0.412 0.554 0.831 1..145 1.610 9..236 11.070 12833 15.086 16750
-- -
6 0.676 0872 1..237 1635 2..204 10645 12.. 592 14449 16.812 18.548
-- - -
7 0989 1.239 1690 2.167 2.. 833 12017 14.. 067 16.Q13 18475 20.278
---.---- _ _' n '
..- --
8 1344 1.646 2 . 180 2 . 733 3490 13.. 362 15.507 17.535 20.090 21955
--_._--- -----'- -"-" ---
9 1 735 2088 2700 3.325 4 . 168 14684 16.919 19023 21.666 23589
---------- ----- --- --
10 2156 2 . 558 3.247 3.. 940 4.865 15 . 987 18307 20483 23..209 25 . 188
...~
11 2603 3.053 3.816 4575 5.578 17..275 19.675 21..920 24.725 26.757
-------- f--.
12 3074 3.571 4404 5..226 6.304 18.549 21.026 23.337 26..217 28.300
1---'--'
13 3.565 4107 5.009 5.892 7.042 19.812 22.362 24736 27.688 29.819
1------- ._._--
14 4.075 4660 5629 6 . 571 7..790 21.064 23685 26 . 119 29.141 31319
-'---
15 4601 5.229 6..262 7..261 8.547 22.307 24 . 996 27.488 30578 32.801
--
16 5.. 142 5.812 6.908 7962 9.. 312 23 . 542 26..296 28845 32000 34.267
._- - -
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.. 672 10085 24769 27..587 30191 33.409 35718
-.-----1--
18 6.265 7..015 8.231 9.390 10.865 25.989 28869 31.526 34805 37..156
19 6.844 7.633 8907 10.. 117 11..651 27..204 30144 32.852 36 . 191 38 . 582
20 7434 8.260 9591 10851 12443 28.412 31410 34.170 37566 39.997
Excerpts from the Appendices to Loss Models: From Data to
Decisions, 2nd edition
An Inventory of Continuous
Distributions
A.I Introduction
The incomplete gamma function is given by
a> O.
Also, define
G(a; x) = l co
t"'-le- t dt, x> O.
At times we will need this integral for nonpositive values of a Integration by parts produces the relationship
x"'e- X 1
G(a;x) = - - - +-G(a + I;x)
a a
This can be repeated until the first argument of G is a + k, a positive number Then it can be evaluated
from
G(a + k; x) = I'{o + k)[1 - I'(o + k; x)]
The incomplete beta function is given by
r(a + b)
(3(a,b;x)=r(a)r(b)}o t
r
a-I
(I-t)
b-l
dt, a > 0, b > 0, 0 < x < 1.
1
APPENDIX A. AN INVENTORY OF CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS 2
f(a+r) B"X-r-l x
f(x) r(a)f(r) (x + B)c<+-r
F(x) = (3(r, a; u), u = - -
x+B
Bkf(r + k)f(a - k)
T < k < ar-
f(a)f(r)
Bkr(r+l) ... (r+k-l) . . .
, If k IS an integer
( a-I·) (a- k)
Bkf(r+k)f(a _. k) k
f(a)f(r) (3(r+k,a-k;u)+ x [1-F(x)], k> -7
r-l
mode B-- 7 > 1, else 0
a+ l '
1
f(x) x[1 + (x/B)'Y]c<+1
F(x) = l-u", u
1 + (x/B)'Y
= -:----;---c--::-:-
'Y 1) lh
mode B( - - ,'Y > 1, else 0
a"( +1
A.2.2.3 Inverse Burr (Dagum)--r, B, "(
7"((x/B)'Y-r -r (x/B)'Y
f(x) xlI + (x/B)'Yj-r+l F(x) = u, u = 1 + (x/B)'Y
BI<'r(7 + kh)f(1 - kh) k
f(7) , - r " ( < < "(
kf(7+k
B h)f(I.-kh)(3( k/ l--k/')' k[I_-r]
f(r) r + "(, "(, u + x u, k> -7"(
a
f(x) a8 ( 8 ) a
(x + 8)a+1 F(x) = 1 - x + 8
8kr(k + l)r(a - k)
-1 < k < a
r(a)
kk!
8 , Iif k IS
' an integer
,
(a - I) · · (a- k)
78xT-I ( X )T
f(x) (X+8)T+I F(x)= x+8
8kr(7 + k)r(l-- k)
-7 < k < 1
r(7)
k
8 (_ k)! ' 'fk'
I
"
IS a negative integer
) ' 7( + k)
(7 - 1
8k7 l X
/ (X+O) yT+k-l(l_ y)-kdy + xk [1- (x: 8) T], k>-7
7-1
mode 8- 7 > 1, else 0
2-,
'Y(x/8rr (x/8rr
f(x) x[l + (x/8)'Y]2 F(x) = u, u = 1 + (x/8)'Y
E[X k ] 8kr(1 + kh)r(l - kh), -'Y < k < 'Y
E[(X 1\ x)k] 8kr(1 + kh)r(l - kh),B(l + kh, 1- kh; u) + x k(l - u), k>-'Y
mode 8('Y-
1
'Y+ 1
)lh, 'Y>1, else 0
APPENDIX A. AN INVENTORY OF CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS 4
A.2.3.4 Paralogistic-a, e
This is a BUrT distribution with 'Y = a.
1
f(x) F(x) = 1 - u OI , u = -:-1-+-;"(x-'j=e)-OI
x[1 + (xje)0I]0I+1
kf(l+kja)f(a-kja)
e k ' 2
f(a) , -a < < a
kf(l+k ja)f(a-k ja)R(1
e 'kj -kj '1-) k 01 k > -a
I'( a) /-' + a, a a, U + XU,
mode e ( aa-I)
2 +1
1/01
'
a > 1, else 0
T2(xjer
2
T (xjer
f(x) xlI + (xje)T]T+1 F(x) = u, U = 1 + (xje)T
ekr(T + kjT)f(l- kjT) 2 k
T'(v) ,-T < <T
ekf(T + kjT)f(1 - kjT) r.I( kj 1- kj .) k[1 _ T] k> _T 2
T'(v) /-'T+ T, T,U +x u,
(xje)OIe-Xle
f(x) xf(a)
F(x) = f(a;xje)
ekf(a+k)
~-)-f(a + k; xje) + xk[1 - I'(o; xje)], k>-a
(8/x)"'e- o/x
f(x) F(x) = 1 - r(a; 8/x)
xr(a)
kr(a k
8 - k) k<a E[X k] = 8 if k is an integer
r(a) (a-I)· (a-k)'
8kr(a-k)
r(a) [1- I'(o -- k; 8/x)] + xkr(a; 8/x)
8k r (a - k)
r(a) -G(a- k;8/x) + xkr(a; 8/x), all k
mode 8/(a + 1)
A.3.2.3 Weibull--8, T
mode 8 ( ~ 1)
T
liT
,T > 1, else 0
f(x) F(x) = 1 - e- x / o
8
M(t) (1 - 8t)-1 E[X k ] = 8 k r (k + 1), k>-I
E[X k ] 8k k!, if k is an integer
E[X!\ x] 8(1 - e- x / o)
E[(X !\ x)k] 8kr(k + I)r(k + I;x/B) + xke- x/ O, k>-I
Bkk!r(k + 1; x/B) + xke- x/ O, k an integer
mode o
APPENDIX A AN INVENTORY OF CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS 6
f(x)
x+fL
F(x) y=--
fL
M(t) exp [; (1 -- VI - 2
2t: ) ], t < 2: 2 ' E[X] = u, Var[X] = fL3/e
f(x)
r C;I)
2] (r+l)j2 '
xery'7rrrG) [l+~CnXer-fL)
F(x) F; Cnx ~) with F, (t) the cdf of a t distribution with r d.f.,
er-
APPENDIX A AN INVENTORY OF CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS 7
F(x) =
~+,~; r+ Cn:a-")']' 0<x ~ ,-
aB'"
f(x) x>B F(x) = 1 - (Bjx)"', x>B
X"'+l'
aBk k aBk kB'"
E[X k] k<a E[(X 1\ x) ] = --k - (k)"-k' x'2.B
a -k' a - a - x"'-
mode B
Note: Although there appears to be two parameters, only a is a true parameter. The value of B must be
set in advance.
A.5.l.2 beta-a, b, B
An Inventory of Discrete
Distributions
B.1 Introduction
The 16 models fall into three classes. The divisions ale based on the algorithm by which the probabilities are
computed For some of the more familiar distributions these formulas will look different from the ones you
may have learned, but they produce the same probabilities. After each name, the parameters are given. All
parameters are positive unless otherwise indicated. In all cases, Pk is the probability of observing k losses.
For finding moments, the most convenient form is to give the factorial moments The jth factorial
moment is !-tCJ) = E[N(N- 1)··· (N -- j + l)J. We have E[NJ = !-ttl) and Var(N) = !-t(2) + !-ttl) - !-trI)'
The estimators which are presented are not intended to be useful estimators but rather for providing
starting values for maximizing the likelihood (or other) function. For determining starting values, the
following quantities are used [where nk is the observed frequency at k (if, for the last entry, nk represents
the number of observations at k or more, assume it was at exactly k) and n is the sample size]:
When the method of moments is used to determine the starting value, a circumflex (e.g., >-) is used. For
any other method, a tilde (e.g., .\) is used. When the starting value formulas do not provide admissible
parameter values, a truly crude guess is to set the product of all ,\ and 13 parameters equal to the sample
mean and set all other parameters equal to 1 If there are two ,\ and/or 13 parameters, an easy choice is to
set each to the square root of the sample mean
The last item presented is the probability generating function,
e-A,\k
Po Pk = -k-!-
E[N] '\, Var[N] =,\ P(z) = eA(z-l)
8
APPENDIX B. AN INVENTORY OF DISCRETE DISTRIBUTIONS 9
B.2.1.2 Geometric-,6
1 ,6
Po a=-- b=O Pk = (1 + ,6)k+l
1+,6' 1+,6'
E[N] ,6, Var[N] = ,6(1 +,6) P(z) = [1 - ,6(z - 1W l
,6 (r -- 1),6
Po (1 + (.I) -r, a = __
b= 1+,6
fJ 1+,6'
r(r + 1)'" (r + k -l),6k
Pk
k!(l + ,6)r+k
E[N] r,6, Var[N] = r,6(l + ,6) P(z) = [1 - ,6(z - 1wr.
A
~1' a=O, b=A,
e -
k
A
k!(e A - 1)'
E[N] Aj(l - e- A ) , Var[N] = A[l - (A + l)e- AJI(1 - e- A ) 2 ,
j In(npj n 1)'
e AZ -1
P(z) e A -1 .
1 ,6
1+,6' a= 1+,6' b=O,
,6k-1
(l+,6)k'
E[N] 1 + ,6, Var[N] = ,6(1 + ,6),
b P, - 1,
[1- ,6(z _1)]-1_ (1 + ,6)-1
P(z)
. 1-(1+,6)-1
B.3.l.3 Logarithmic-,6
,6 ,6 b= ,6_
(1 + ,6) In(l + ,6), a = 1 + ,6' 1 + ,6'
,6k
k(l + ,6)kIn(l + ,6)'
E[N] ,6jln(l + ,6), Var[N] = ,6[1 + ~~i2~~1 + ,6)],
np, 2(P, -- 1)
--lor "
n1 I-l
In[l - ,6(z- 1)]
P(z) 1--- In(l+,6) .
ij ,
m
[1 + q(z - l)]m - (1 _ q)m
P(z)
1 - (1 - q)m
This distribution is sometimes called the extended truncated negative binomial distribution because the
parameter r can extend below 0,