Security Analysis
Security Analysis
The market for long term securities like bonds, equity stocks and
preferred stocks is divided into primary market and secondary market.
Primary market deals with the new issues of securities. Outstanding
securities are traded in the secondary market, which is commonly known
as stock market or stock exchange. In the secondary market, the investors
can sell or buy securities. Stock markets predominantly deal in the equity
shares. Well regulated and active stock market promotes capital formation.
The health of the economy is reflected by the growth of the stock market.
Stock broking is a growing industry in India. The main reason is that Indian
economy is one of the strongest in the world. As a result of that both foreign
and domestic investors are interested in investing in Indian stock market.
The topic selected for the study is “Security Analysis of selected power
sector securities listed in Bombay Stock Exchange” with reference to
Geojit Financial services Ltd, Coimbatore.
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selected are NTPC, RELIANCE, POWERGRID,
NHPC,TATAPOWER and ADANI POWER.
SECURITY ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis
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objectives:
To conduct a company stock valuation and predict its probable price evolution,
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demand and supply forces are in turn influenced by a number of
fundamental factors as well as certain psychological and emotional factors.
The combined impact of all these factors is reflected in the share price
movement. The technical analysis therefore concentrates on the movement
of share price. Technical analysis is the name given to forecasting
techniques that utilize historical share price data.
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1.1 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Aber John(1976) in his study found that numerous empirical studies have
tested the profitability of technical trading rules in a variety of market for
the purpose of either uncovering profitable trading rules or testing market
efficiency, or both. The technical trading studies simulated only one or two
trading systems. In these studies, although transaction costs were deducted
to compute net returns of technical trading strategies, risk was not
adequately handled, statistical tests of trading profits and data snooping
problems were often disregarded, and out-of-sample verification along
with parameter (trading rule) optimization were not considered in the
testing procedure.
Goodman and John W Peavy (1983) in their study found that there is no
way of making an expected profit by extrapolating past changes in the
futures price, by chart or any other esoteric devices of magic or
mathematics. The market quotation already contains in itself all that can be
known about the future and in that
sense has discounted future contingencies as much as is humanly possible.
Brown and David P (1989) in their article explained that results provide
evidence for a “predictive information link” between non-earnings
numbers and future earnings changes. They indicate that some non-
earnings numbers do contain information useful for predicting future
earnings changes that is not contained in either past or current earnings.
Edward (1992) found that also extends her test to include a “valuation
link” between the predicted future earnings changes and stock returns
during the annual report dissemination period. She finds evidence that this
valuation link does exist. The non-earnings accounting numbers are
therefore useful for predicting both future earnings and returns.
Hackel and Kenneth S (1996) found that it has been stated that “the task of
research is to discover what information projects future earnings and, from
a financial statement analysis point of view, what information in the
financial statements does this”
Squires (2000) found that study the value relevance of capital expenditures
for explaining returns beyond the use of current earnings. Their findings
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show that changes in the level of capital expenditure were strongly and
positively related to excess returns. This exhibits the fact that current
capital expenditure has good news for the future performance
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of a firm and supports the use of capital expenditures for predicting future
earnings or returns.
Palepu and Krishna (2004) found that technical analysis has been
extensively used among market participants such as brokers, dealers, fund
managers, speculators, and individual investors in the financial industry. 3
Numerous surveys indicate that practitioners attribute a significant role to
technical analysis. For example, futures fund managers rely heavily on
computer-guided technical trading systems, and about 30% to 40% of
foreign exchange traders around the world believe that technical analysis
is the major factor determining exchange rates in the short-run up to six
months.
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cultural influences. But markets are social institutions. They "organize and
guide human social behavior through sanctions (formal and informal,
negative and positive), mores, norms, status, and shared worldviews".
Consequently, explaining economic exchange requires an understanding
of the behavior associated with the subculture of those in question.
Dhanesh Kumar Khatri (2006) in their article found that a leading technical
analyst, provides a more specific definition: “The technical approach to
investment is essentially a reflection of the idea that prices move in trends
that are determined by the changing attitudes of investors toward a variety
of economic, monetary, political, and psychological forces. The art of
technical analysis, for it is an art, is to identify a trend reversal at a
relatively early stage and ride on that trend until the weight of the evidence
shows or proves that the trend has reversed.”
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Ran Canetti & IBM Research (2008) explained that Composable Formal
Security Analysis, a security property of a protocol is composable if it
remains intact even when the protocol runs alongside other protocols in the
same system. We describe a method for asserting composable security
properties, and demonstrate its usefulness. In particular, we show how this
method can be used to provide security analysis that is formal, relatively
simple, and still does not make un-justified abstractions of the underlying
cryptographic algorithms in use. It can also greatly enhance the feasibility
of automated security analysis of systems of realistic size.
Prasanna Chandra (2008) in his study he explained that Motivated by an
obvious gap between the widespread use of Bloomberg terminals in the
finance industry and the scant resources available to an instructor on how
to incorporate the available information through the terminal into a finance
course, we illustrate our experience using the terminal in an equity-focused
security analysis and portfolio management course. Our goal is to enable
students inexperienced with the terminal to prepare an analyst report. We
identify the most significant challenges we face and provide the
corresponding solutions. Our results are also applicable to other finance
courses including financial analysis, investments, and student managed
investment fund.
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1.2 INTRODUCTION OF THE STUDY
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the investment. .
1.2.4 LIMITATIONS
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2.1 INDUSTRY PROFILE
Capital Market
The market where investment funds like bonds, equities and
mortgages are traded is known as the capital market. The primal role of the
capital market is to channelize investments from investors who have
surplus funds to the ones who are running a deficit. The capital market
offers both long term and overnight funds. The financial instruments that
have short or medium term maturity periods are dealt in the money market
whereas the financial instruments that have long maturity periods are dealt
in the capital market. The different types of financial instruments that are
traded in the capital markets are equity instruments, credit market
instruments, insurance instruments, foreign exchange instruments, hybrid
instruments and derivative instruments.
A capital market is a market for securities (both debt and equity),
where business enterprises (companies) and governments can raise long-
term funds. It is defined as a market in which money is lent for periods
longer than a year, as the raising of short-term funds takes place on other
markets (e.g., the money market). The capital market includes the stock
market (equity securities) and the bond market (debt).
1 Primary market
2 Secondary markets
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Primary market
The primary market is that part of the capital markets that deals with the
issuance of new securities. Companies, governments or public sector
institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a new stock or bond issue.
This is typically done through a syndicate of securities dealers. The process of
selling new issues to investors is called underwriting. In the case of a new
stock issue, this sale is an initial public offering (IPO). Dealers earn a
commission that is built into the price of the security offering, though it can
be found in the prospectus.
The primary markets are where new stock and bonds issues are sold (via
underwriting) to investors. The secondary markets are where existing securities
are sold and bought from one investor or trader to another, usually on a
securities exchange, over the counter, or elsewhere.
This is the market for new long term equity capital. The primary
market is the market where the securities are sold for the first time.
Therefore it is also called the new issue market (NIM).
In a primary issue, the securities are issued by the company directly
to investors.
The company receives the money and issues new security
certificates to the investors.
Primary issues are used by companies for the purpose of setting up
new business or for expanding or modernizing the existing business.
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The primary market performs the crucial function of
facilitating capital formation in the economy.
The new issue market does not include certain other
sources of new long term external finance, such as loans
from financial institutions. Borrowers in the new issue
market may be raising capital for converting private
capital into public capital; this is known as "going
public."
The financial assets sold can only be redeemed by the
original holder.
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issue). Because the company receives shareholders' money
in exchange for shares, a rights issue is a source of capital.
Secondary market
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After the initial issuance, investors can purchase from other
investors in the secondary market. The secondary market for a
variety of assets can vary from fragmented to centralized, and from
illiquid to very liquid. The major stock exchanges are the most
visible example of liquid secondary markets - in this case, for stocks
of publicly traded companies. . Exchanges provide a centralized,
liquid secondary market for the investors who own stocks that trade
on those exchanges. Most bonds and structured products trade “over
the counter,” or by phoning the bond desk of one’s broker-dealer.
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Stock Exchanges
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market. A stock exchange is often the most important component
of a stock market. Supply and demand in stock markets are driven
by various factors which, as in all free markets, affect the price of
stocks (see stock valuation).
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all stock market transactions. The companies listed in a stock
exchange need to provide proper guidance regarding business
performance and prospects, mergers and acquisitions, stock prices,
dividends and other information at all times. Investors make their
investment decisions based on the information obtained from these
companies, and the comments of analysts who track those
companies.
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stated in terms of notional values, cannot be directly compared to a
stock or a fixed income security, which traditionally refers to an
actual value. Moreover, the vast majority of derivatives 'cancel'
each other out (i.e., a derivative 'bet' on an event occurring is offset
by a comparable derivative 'bet' on the event not occurring.). Many
such relatively illiquid securities are valued as marked to model,
rather than an actual market price.
The stocks are listed and traded on stock exchanges which are
entities of a corporation or mutual organization specialized in the
business of bringing buyers and sellers of the organizations to a
listing of stocks and securities together
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also an investment advisor.
Stockbrokers also sometimes or exclusively trade on their own
behalf, as a principal, speculating that a share or other financial
instrument will increase or decline in price. In such cases the term
broker makes little sense and the individuals or firms trading in
principal capacity sometimes call themselves dealers, stock traders
or simply traders.
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COMPANY PROFILE
Geojit has membership in, and is listed on, the National Stock Exchange
(NSE) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). In 2007, global banking major
BNP Paribas joined the company’s other shareholders - Mr. C. J. George,
Founder and Managing Director, Kerala State Industrial Development
Corporation (KSIDC) and Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala – when it bought a stake
and became the single largest shareholder.
The company also has a strategic presence in the Middle East region in the
form of joint ventures and partnerships. Barjeel Geojit Securities, its joint venture
with the Al Saud Group, is headquartered in Dubai, in the United Arab Emirates,
and has branches in Abu Dhabi, Al Ain, and Sharjah. Aloula Geojit Capital
Company, the joint venture with the Al Johar Group in Saudi Arabia is
headquartered in Riyadh with a branch in Dammam. BBK Geojit Securities KSC,
located in Kuwait, is a joint venture with Bank of Bahrain, Kuwait and JZA. QBG
Geojit Financial Services LLC is the joint venture with QBG and National
Securities Company and is based in Oman. In addition, the company has a
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business partnership with Bank of Bahrain and Kuwait in Bahrain.
Mission of company
To provide a wide range of products and services in the field of mutual funds,
wealth management and financial advisory with a commitment to:
Highest standards of quality at reasonable cost.
Meeting the general and sophisticated financial needs of our retail and
institutional clients.
Developing, encouraging and rewarding superior performance of our
employees.
Strengthening mutually beneficial relationships with our stakeholders
with long-term focus.
Equity
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Derivatives
Key Features:
Single platform for multiple exchange BSE & NSE
(Cash & F&O), Mutual Funds & IPO.
Tick by tick market watch (BSE / NSE / F&O).
Single window Order placement with instant confirmation.
Instant funds transfer from any of our 19 listed banks.
After Market Order (AMO) can place orders in advance
before market opens.
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Call and trade facility.
Mutual funds
Mutual funds offer the ideal platform to participate in the Equity &
Debt market indirectly through professional management. Mutual funds are
becoming the most popular investment vehicles offering various kinds of
schemes with different investment objectives
Commodities
Over the years commodities markets have been experiencing
tremendous progress, which is evident from the fact that the trade in this
segment is standing as the boon for the global economy today. The promising
nature of these markets has made them an attractive investment avenue for
investors.
Book Building and Fixed Price Issue are the two types of Initial
Public Offerings (IPOs) through which a public company can raise money in
the capital market. In a book building public issue the bids are received at
different price levels and the demand for the issue is built up over a period of
time.
Marginal funding
Geojit Financial Services understand needs and help the trader to meet their
liquidity requirements. Company offer Margin funding to individuals and
corporate. Company provide finance for investment in primary market issues
and also possess expertise in financing for short-term requirements, to buy
securities from secondary markets.
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3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Type
The segment identified for conducting the study is power Sector in India.
The number of companies selected for the study is Seven. Analytical study
is used to conduct the study.
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Interest coverage ratio
N/P Margin and G/P ratio.
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For technical analysis, the following tools are used:
Relative strength index
day moving average
50 day moving average
Line chart and candlestick char
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ADANI POWER
Table No:4.1.1
Share Price details of Adani Power
for the year ended 2017-2018
Face value 10
Market capitalization (Cr) 15,369.90
52 week high 58.20
52 week low 15.20
Interpretation:
The face value of Adani Power is Rs 10 each. Their market capitalization
is Rs 15,369.90 cr. The highest value for 52 week is Rs 58.20 and the
low for the same is Rs 15.20.
Table No:4.1.2
Pay Out Ratio of Adani Power
for the year ended 2017-2018
EPS(Earning per share) -3.40
Dividend yield % 0
Interpretation:
The Earnings Per Share of Adani Power is ‘0’, their dividend yield ratio
is also ‘0’.
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Table No: 4.1.3
Return on Equity of
Adani Power for the year
ended 2017-2018
SHARE CAPITAL 15369.9
RESERVE AND SURPLUS 5682.19
NET WORTH 4494.2
PROFIT AFTER TAX (PAT) -1180.78
RETURN ON NET WORTH (%) 16.20
Interpretation:
The net worth of Adani Power is Rs.4494.2 Cr. their profit
after tax is -1180.78 and their return on net worth is 16.20.
Interpretation :
The current ratio of Adani Power is .88 and their debt equity ratio is
39.07. the gross profit ratio is 14.51 percentage and net profit ratio is
-10.28 percentage. Their interest coverage ratio is nil.
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