Ch5 Problem Set
Ch5 Problem Set
1) A school’s debate club has 10 members, 6 females and 4 males. If the team decides to pick two
members randomly to participate in a debate, what is the probability that both of the chosen members are
female? We want to use simulation to estimate this probability. Describe the simulation procedure
below, then use the random number table on the next page to carry out 10 trials of your simulation and
estimate the probability. Mark on or above each line of the table so that someone can clearly follow your
method.
2) Suppose you toss one coin and roll one six-sided die.
3) In a statistics class there are 18 juniors and 10 seniors; 6 of the seniors are females, and 12 of the
juniors are males. If a student is selected at random, find the probability of selecting
4) Consolidated Builders has bid on two large construction contracts. The company president believes
that the probability of winning the first contract (event A) is 0.6, that the probability of winning a second
(event B) is 0.3, and that the probability of winning both jobs is 0.1.
(a) Construct either a Venn diagram or a two-way table that summarizes what you know about events A
and B.
(b) What is P (A or B) —the probability that Consolidated wins at least one of the job?
(c) Write each of the following events in terms of A, B, Ac, and Bc, and use the information above to
calculate the probability of each.
ii. Consolidated wins the first job but not the second
iii. Either Consolidated does not win the first job or wins the second.
5) The table below gives the counts (in thousands) of earned degrees in the United States in a recent year,
classified by level and by the gender of the degree recipient.
Degree
Bachelor’s Master’s Professional Doctoral Total
Female 616 194 30 16 856
Male 529 171 44 26 770
Total 1145 365 74 42 1626
Suppose one degree recipient from this group is selected randomly.
(a) List two mutually exclusive events for this chance process.
(b) What is the probability that the person selected earned a Master’s degree?
(c) What is the probability that the person selected earned a Professional or Doctoral degree?
(d) What is the probability that the person selected is female or earned a Master’s degree?
6) Consider the following activity: The letters in the word AARDVARK are printed on identical plastic
cards with one letter per card. The eight cards are then placed in a hat, and one card is randomly chosen
(without looking) from the hat. The chance process we are interested in is what letter is on the selected
card.
(b) Make a table that shows the set of outcomes and the probability of each outcome:
List the outcomes in each of the following events, and determine their probabilities:
V={ P(V) =
F={ P(F) =
V or F = { P(V or F) =
Fc = { P(Fc) =
V given F = { P(V|F) =
7) Suppose a person was having two surgeries performed at the same time by different operating teams.
Assume (unrealistically) that the two operations are independent. If the chances of success for surgery A
are 85%, and the chances of success for surgery B are 90%, what is the probability that both will fail?
8) Parking for students at Central High School is very limited, and those who arrive late have to park
illegally and take their chances at getting a ticket. Joey has determined that the probability that he has to
park illegally and that he gets a parking ticket is 0.07. He recorded data last year and found that because
of his perpetual tardiness, the probability that he will have to park illegally is 0.25. Suppose that Joey
arrived late once again this morning and had to park in a no-parking zone. Can you find the probability
that Joey will get a parking ticket? If so, do it. If not, explain what additional information is needed in
order to find the probability.
9) A frog is sitting exactly in the middle of a board that is five feet long.
Every ten seconds he jumps one foot either left or right, at random. You want to use simulation to
estimate the probability that he jumps off the board in sixty seconds or less. (For example, if he jumps
LLRLRL, he is still on the board, on the left-most square. If he jumps LLRLL, he has jumped off the
board in fifty seconds.)
(a) Describe how you would use the digits of a random number table to simulate this chance process and
estimate the probability.
(b) Use the random number table below to carry out five repetitions of the frog’s jumps and give an
estimate of the probability from those repetitions.
10) Your statistics class has 26 students in it—14 girls and 12 boys. Your teacher uses a calculator to
select two students at random to solve a problem on the board.
(b) Given that the second student chosen is a girl, what is the probability that the first student was also a
girl?
11) The table below gives the distribution of students at a certain high school for two categorical
variables, grade year and the student’s answer to the question,
“Do you eat regularly in the school cafeteria?”
Grade
9 10 11 12 Totals
Eat in YES 130 175 122 68 495
cafeteria? NO 18 34 88 170 310
Totals 148 209 210 238 805
a) If you choose a student at random, what is the probability he or she eats regularly in the cafeteria?
b) If you choose a student at random, what is the probability he or she eats regularly in the cafeteria, given
that he or she is in 10th grade?
c) If you choose a student at random, are the events “10th grade” and “eats regularly in the cafeteria”
independent? Explain how you know.