DMA 2010 Master Class - Graham Mudd
DMA 2010 Master Class - Graham Mudd
1
A Digital Year in Review
Graham Mudd
VP Search & Media
600
86%
400
66%
200 US
U.S.
0
14%
1996 2010
There are approximately 1.3 billion people online today. 86% are located outside the U.S.
V0910
100,000
0% -1%
90,000
Total Minutes (000)
80,000
70,000 +56%
60,000 +21%
50,000
40,000
30,000 Aug-2009
20,000 Aug-2010
10,000
0
Services Portals Entertainment
(email, IM etc.) Conversational
Media
The 31+ hours the average user spends online is divided among several key content
categories such as e-mail, Entertainment and Social Networking.
+17pt.
100% +7pt. Y/Y % point
-22% Y/Y % change
change
400
Average Minutes/UV
95% +17pt. -8% +4%
300 +14%
+19pt. +6%
Reach
80% 0
+120%
to grow rapidly.
30,000 In addition,
+100%
+791% +190% News sites
+140% such as
20,000 +205% +155% Examiner.com
+132% +100%
+365% +160% Sites and The
+137%
Washington
10,000 Post Company
have grown
significantly
0 year over year.
Females: +1,247%
18-24 228 $100K+ 133
13
Tumblr.com
composition index UV composition index UV Jun-09 Apr-10
Females 41
Females: $75K-100K 128
45-54 173
59 Males
Females
26
Males: 18-24 411 $100K+ 144
74
Males
composition index UV composition index UV % composition UV
*The first month of data available in Media Metrix for ChatRoulette.com is January 2010.
© comScore, Inc. Proprietary. 14
Source: comScore Media Metrix April 2010
Profile: Foursquare Visitors
Females
40
Males: 21-34 250 $75K-100K 129 60
Males
130,000
Unique Visitors (000)
110,000
90,000
70,000
In May 2009, Facebook surpassed MySpace for the first time in terms of total U.S. UVs, and the site is
continuing to experience explosive
© comScore, growth, now 17
Inc. Proprietary. with more than 2X the monthly UVs of MySpace.
Facebook visitors equally split between under and over 35 yrs of age,
whereas two thirds of MySpace visitors are under 35
Facebook.com MySpace
8.8 10.5
17.2 20.0 Ages 50+
22.5 22.1
22.5 20.9
Ages 25-34
46.5 45.9
28.8 30.7 Ages 24 &
Under
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
They spend nearly twice as much time online as the average Internet
user.
They represent 18% of all Internet users but account for over 35% of
the page views consumed online
They visit a social network site an average of 2.7 times a day and
spend 31 minutes per day on social networks sites
They spend three times as much time on social networks as they do
on email or IM
April 2010
13%
12% 11%
23%
21%
16% 17%
10% 10%
<18 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+ <$60K $60-75K $75-100k $100K+
YouTube and Hulu‘s audiences have recently begun to differentiate themselves from each other.
Hulu‘s audience is now more skewed toward an 18-34 age group with an income of more than $75K.
+7%
25,000 Top 10 Countries by Number of Searches (MM) Conducted*
Google sites
20,000 Apr-09
+37%
account for
Apr-10 nearly two-
15,000
+42% thirds of the
10,000 +26% 129.5 billion
+27% +19% +69% +32% +5% -2% searches
5,000
conducted
0 worldwide in
United China Japan United Germany France Russia Brazil Korea Canada
States Kingdom
April.
Microsoft sites
90,000 +17% saw the
greatest gains
75,000 Top 10 Search Properties by Searches (MM) Conducted Apr-09 among the top
60,000 Apr-10 five search
properties,
45,000 growing 32% to
30,000 4.3 billion
+10% +33% searches, on
15,000 +32% +337% +77% +34% -14% +20% ** the strength of
0 its successful
Google Sites Yahoo! Sites Baidu.com Inc.Microsoft Sites Facebook Yandex eBay NHN Ask Network Conduit.com
Corporation introduction of
*Searches based on “expanded search” definition, which includes searches at the top properties where search activity is observed, not only
the core search engines. Bing.
**Conduit.com did not have any search activity in April 2009. The first month of activity in qSearch was December 2009.
Search growth was driven the increasing base of unique searchers (214MM in
April 2010), while search intensity remained flat versus April 2009.
Total U.S. Unique Searchers (Millions) vs. Search Intensity Change vs.
Apr-09
108.4 108.2 108.6 106.4 106.8 105.8 106.6 107.2 107.4 108.0 109.0 108.7
400.0 103.1
+0%
100.0
350.0
300.0 Searches
80.0 Per Searcher
250.0 214.4 216.0 219.0 217.7
203.6 201.6 201.7 202.5 204.1 201.6 206.7 207.9 211.7
60.0
200.0 +7%
150.0 40.0
100.0 Unique Searchers
20.0
50.0 (Millions)
- -
Apr-2009 Jul-2009 Oct-2009 Jan-2010 Apr-2010
400
Searches per Searcher Change vs.
335.0 339.9 Apr-09
350
300
+1%
62.5% 250
200
150
27.6% 100.2 100.0
100
+0%
9.9% 50
22.7 21.4
0
Heavy Searchers (Upper 20%) Moderate Searchers (Middle 30%) Light Searchers (Bottom 50%)
Mobile internet services (browsing, apps and e-mail) skew 55-60% male.
50 Ringback
Made Own Ringtone Social Networking
48
% Female
40
24.0 26.0 28.0 30.0 32.0 34.0 36.0
Median Age
Although the iPhone gains a large amount of hype, it still only represents 4% of
total mobile owners in the United States and 11% of all mobile media users.
But RIM and Apple have outsized share of mobile media users
OEM Market Share for Total Market and Mobile Media Users
25% 20%
19% 22% 22% 19% 18%
17%
14%
13% 13%
% Market
15% 12%
10%
10% 8% 8% 8%
6%
5%
5% 4% 4%
2% 2%
1%
0% 0%
Samsung Motorola LG RIM Nokia Apple Sony
Ericsson
Total Market (All Device Owners) Mobile Media
2.0% 2.1%
1.9%
1.5%
% Market
1.3%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
More than 1 million mobile users began browsing the Internet each month (Q1‟09-Q1‟10)
Social networking users are showing the highest gains with 80% YoY growth.
30%
25%
% Market
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
Driving this increase are phones that provide a strong foundation for media
consumption
Apple, RIM, and Android-based phones show the most growth. All three phones
now market to consumers who want to mix business use with a personal phone
16
Google
14
12 Apple
10
RIM
8
6 Palm
4
Symbian
2
0 Microsoft
35%
30% 27%
25% 25%
20%
21%
15% 14%
10% 10%
5%
0%
2%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
+7% +7%
+17% -2%
23% 23%
25%
17% 19%
20%
15% 11% 13%
10% 9%
10% 6%
3%
5%
-3% 0% -1% -2%
0%
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10
-5%
0%
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10
-5%
9.0%
8.1%
8.0%
7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7%
7.1%
7.0% 6.7%
e-Commerce Share
6.9%
5.9% 6.8%
6.0% 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 6.6%
5.1% 5.9%
5.0% 5.3% 5.3%
4.3% 5.0%
4.6% 4.5%
4.0% 4.3%
4.0%
3.0%
3.7% e-Commerce share peaks in
colder seasons (Q4 & Q1)
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Monthly e-Commerce Sales Growth vs. YA ShopLocal Index of Weekly Offers Per Store
Source: comScore e-Commerce Measurement Source: ShopLocal
Month Growth Rate vs. YA 400
2009 2010
January 2010 +7% 350
February 2010 +4%
300
March 2010* +17%
April 2010 +12% 250
May 2010 +8%
200
June 2010 +7%
July 2010 +9% 150
*March saw an additional bump in activity due to timing of Easter 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
in 2010 Week
For January through July 2010, non-US residents accounted for 6.6% of ecommerce
sales at U.S. sites
Online Retail
Income Segment
Under $50,000 +14% +22%
Online Retail 22% +5%
Spending
$50,000 - $99,999 -8% -2% 41% -1%
Total +8%
Broadcast TV -14%
TV Directory -12%
Print
39%
22%
TV Distribution -9%
Cable TV -5%
Internet -3%
+23% +24% +24% +23% +18% +12% +11% +3% -5% -5% -5% +3%
% Chg
vs. YA
$6.3
$6.1
$5.9 $5.8 $5.8
$5.7
$5.5 $5.4 $5.5
$5.1 $5.2
$4.9
SOURCE: IAB Internet Advertising Revenue Report, 2009 Full-Year Results, April
© comScore, Inc. Proprietary. 47 2010, IAB & PricewaterhouseCoopers
Search Accounts for 47% of Q4 2009 Revenue Followed by Display
Related (Banners+Rich Media+Video+Sponsorships) at 37%
Q4 2009 Revenue
Classifieds Lead Gen E-mail
9% 6% 1%
Sponsorships
2%
Video
5% Search
Rich Media 47%
7%
Banners
23%
Display Ads per Total Page eCPM Trends Across All Verticals
0.80
0.70
Median CPMs
0.6 0.7
$7.00 $6.04
0.60
$6.00 $5.24
0.50 $4.54
$5.00 $4.28
0.40 $4.00
0.30 $3.00
0.20 $2.00
0.10 $1.00
$0.00
0.00
Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010
Total Display
Ad
Publisher
Impressions Newspapers 2.8%
(MM)
Photos 3.1%
Total Internet : Total Audience 435,685
All others
Sports 3.3% 8.2%
Social Networking 122,832 General News 3.7% Social Networking
Portals 85,583
28.2%
Games 3.9%
Entertainment 53,494 Community 5.4%
E-mail 41,322
E-mail 9.5%
Community 23,484 Portals 19.6%
Games 16,830
Entertainment 12.3%
General News 16,273
Sports 14,401
Photos 13,518
Newspapers 12,330
Top Advertisers on Social Networking Sites in Total Display Ad Impressions (000) Time August 2010
Source: comScore Ad Metrix
Auto 0.15%
B2B 0.08%
CPG 0.09%
Media/Entertainment 0.10%
Retail 0.09%
Tech 0.10%
Telecom 0.07%
Travel 0.08%
Wellness 0.09%
Clickers
Clickers 16%
32%
Non-
Clickers Non-
68% Clickers
84%
Note: clickers are defined as anyone who clicked on at least one display ad for any campaign in month
$91B
63%
2009 U.S. Online Media Spend
$24 Billion
6% of
$6B branding
dollars
$18B
Response
Direct
37% $55B
30% of direct
response
dollars
© comScore, Inc.
Source: Barclays, ThinkEquity Partners, Proprietary.
Brand.net 57
Measuring the Retail Impact of Online Ad Campaigns
200+ comScore studies conducted to assess impact of paid search and online ads
on online and offline sales
Real world analysis: comScore panelists divided into two matched groups
(exposed and non-exposed to advertising)
– Search only
– Display ads only
– Search and display ads together
– Neither
Analytical design compares behavioral changes in test and control groups from
pre- to post-campaign time periods
100%
80%
60% Average $ lift was 22%
Percent Lift in 82% of campaigns
Dollar Sales 40% showed a positive
20% sales lift
0%
-20%
* BehaviorScan tests conducted over one-year period. comScore studies conducted over a three-month period;
assumes 40% household Internet reach against target.
Cost Index
Reach Index
Creative is 4x More
Other
35% Ad Quality Impactful in Influencing
52%
Sales Than
Planning Variables
Media
Weight
13%
Numbers represent the percent variance in market share shifts explained by the corresponding
factors.
Media Weight = Ad planning elements, such as GRPs, wearout & continuity/flighting of airing
Ad Quality = quality of the creative based on ARS Persuasion Score*.
*Quality of creative is based on ARS Persuasion Score which measures
changes in consumer preference through a simulated purchase exercise with
and without exposure to the creative .
comScore ARS Global Validation Summary includes an evaluation of 396 TV ad
campaigns, utilizing sales data from R. L. Polk New Vehicle Registration, IMS
HEALTH, IRI InfoScan, Markettrack, Nielsen SCANTRACK or Nielsen Retail
Index. © comScore, Inc. Proprietary. 65
Conclusions