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Data Analysis

The document contains economic data for Pakistan from 2010 to 2017 including GDP growth, unemployment rate, income per capita, and listed companies on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. It then performs a regression analysis on the logarithmic transformations of these variables. The regression results show a high multiple R-squared value of 0.951, indicating the model fits the data well. Unemployment rate, income per capita, and listed companies are all statistically significant predictors of GDP growth based on their p-values, while listed companies has a negative association.

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23 views4 pages

Data Analysis

The document contains economic data for Pakistan from 2010 to 2017 including GDP growth, unemployment rate, income per capita, and listed companies on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. It then performs a regression analysis on the logarithmic transformations of these variables. The regression results show a high multiple R-squared value of 0.951, indicating the model fits the data well. Unemployment rate, income per capita, and listed companies are all statistically significant predictors of GDP growth based on their p-values, while listed companies has a negative association.

Uploaded by

Anonymous BJRnKs
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Variables 2010 2011

GDP 2.58% 3.62%


Unemployement rate 5% 6.10%
Income per capita(USD) 1040.1 1046.5
listed companies in PSX 644 638

GDP Unemployement rate Income per capita(USD)


2.58% 5% 1040.1
3.62% 6.10% 1046.5
3.84% 6.50% 1060.5
3.68% 5.00% 1084
4.06% 6% 1111.2
4.56% 5.90% 1140.2
5.37% 5.90% 1179.4
5.79% 5.90% 1222.52
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3.84% 3.68% 4.06% 4.56% 5.37% 5.79%
6.50% 5.00% 6% 5.90% 5.90% 5.90%
1060.5 1084 1111.2 1140.2 1179.4 1222.52
573 560 560 554 558 559

listed companies in PSX ln GDP lnUR ln IPC ln LC


644 -3.6573808 -2.9957323 6.94707214 6.46769873
638 -3.3186962 -2.7968814 6.95320654 6.45833828
573 -3.2596978 -2.733368 6.96649577 6.35088572
560 -3.3022574 -2.9957323 6.98841318 6.32793678
560 -3.2039872 -2.8134107 7.01319579 6.32793678
554 -3.0878476 -2.8302178 7.03895896 6.31716469
558 -2.9243423 -2.8302178 7.07276111 6.32435896
559 -2.8490379 -2.8302178 7.10866958 6.32614947

ln GDP lnUR ln IPC ln LC


ln GDP 1
lnUR 0.49861737 1
ln IPC 0.91876584 0.21184239 1
ln LC -0.7497697 -0.2476731 -0.7068204 1
575

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9750093268
R Square 0.9506431873
Adjusted R Square 0.9136255777
Standard Error 0.0744382379
Observations 8

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 0.4268964988 0.1422988329 25.68083673 0.004492
Residual 4 0.0221642051 0.0055410513
Total 7 0.4490607039

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Intercept -20.09321952 8.1410898662 -2.468124029 8.576192E-05 -42.6965 2.51007
lnUR 0.8220514848 0.3106932849 2.6458617701 0.000228626 -0.04057 1.684674
ln IPC 3.2604622265 0.6794116239 4.7989497264 0.008654789 1.374113 5.146811
ln LC -0.569127405 0.6397732573 -0.889576735 0.003959635 -2.34542 1.207168
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-42.6965 2.51007
-0.04057 1.684674
1.374113 5.146811
-2.34542 1.207168

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