Flash Memory Analysis
Flash Memory Analysis
(a) In years 2007 and after, Flash's effective combined federal and state income tax rate was 40%.
Exhibit 2 Balance Sheets, 2007 - 2009 ($000s except number of shares outstanding)
December 31,
2007 2008 2009
Line Item
Cash
Accounts receivable
Inventories
Prepaid expenses
Property, plant & equipment at cost
Accumulated depreciation
Accounts payable
Purchases
Accrued expenses
Income taxes payable
Other current liabilities
Relationships for 2010 Through 2012
Assumption or Ratio
81.10% of sales
5.0% of sales
8.36% of sales
Beginning of year debt balance × interest rate
$50,000 of expense each year
3.3% of sales
60 days sales outstanding
52 days of cost of good sold
0.4% of sales
Beginning PP&E at cost + capital expenditures
Beginning A/D + 7.5% of beginning PP&E at cost
30 days of purchases
60% of cost of goods sold
0.73% of sales
10% of income taxes expense
0.62% of sales
Exhibit 4 Selected Financial Information for Flash Memory, Inc., and Selected Competitors, 2007 through 2009
(a) Security analyst estimates for year-end EPS $ and Return on Equity; actual data on April 30, 2010, for all other items.
Flash Memory, Inc.
Historical / Forecast Income Statements (000s)
2007 2008
Sales 77,131 80,953
4.96%
Cost of goods sold 62,519 68,382
81.06% 84.47%
Gross margin 14,612 12,571
2007 2008
Cash 2,536 2,218
3.29% 2.74%
Accounts receivable 10,988 12,864
52.0 days 58.0 days
Inventories 9,592 11,072
56.0 days 59.1 days
Prepaid expenses 309 324
0.40% 0.40%
Total current assets 23,425 26,478
15 15 15 15
7,980 7,980 7,980 7,980
11,691 15,122 19,210 23,330
19,686 23,117 27,205 31,325
WACC 10.12%
0.1012
26% 74%
Ba*(1/E%)-Bd*(D%/E%)
11.40%
risk premium
Prime Rate 3.25%
10.13% Base Spread 400
Tax 40%
10.13% 10.12898%
10.12898%
E%*cost of equity, 4
Assumed Debt Asset Beta
Beta E / V (calc) (calc)
0.00 74% 0.927
0.00 0.904 1.229
0.00 1.000 1.000
1.052
Average Asset Beta
0.9271620214
1.2288288147
1
4% 7.25%
Flash Memory, Inc.
Evaluation of Investment Proposal
2010 2011
Sales $21,600
Current debt
600 bp
2009 2010E 2011E 2012E
89,250 120,000 165,600 172,000
10.25%
72,424 97,320 133,848 138,904
81.15% 81.10% 80.83% 80.76%
16,826 22,680 31,752 33,096
2007 2008
Cash 2,536 2,218
3.29% 2.74%
Accounts receivable 10,988 12,864
52.0 days 58.0 days
Inventories 9,592 11,072
56.0 days 59.1 days
Prepaid expenses 309 324
0.40% 0.40%
Total current assets 23,425 26,478
15 15 15 15
7,980 7,980 7,980 7,980
11,691 15,074 20,622 26,624
19,686 23,068 28,617 34,619