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Maximum Likelihood Parameter Estimates Using Multiple Stripes Analysis Data Jack Baker July 15, 2011

This spreadsheet implements an equation from a paper to estimate maximum likelihood parameter values using multiple stripes analysis data. It contains results from 40 analyses at different intensity measure (IM) levels, including the number of collapses at each IM level. It calculates the theoretical fragility function and likelihood values. The spreadsheet allows changing two parameter values with a solver to maximize the log likelihood value. A graph compares the fraction of analyses causing collapse to the fitted fragility function.

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Joseph772
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61 views

Maximum Likelihood Parameter Estimates Using Multiple Stripes Analysis Data Jack Baker July 15, 2011

This spreadsheet implements an equation from a paper to estimate maximum likelihood parameter values using multiple stripes analysis data. It contains results from 40 analyses at different intensity measure (IM) levels, including the number of collapses at each IM level. It calculates the theoretical fragility function and likelihood values. The spreadsheet allows changing two parameter values with a solver to maximize the log likelihood value. A graph compares the fraction of analyses causing collapse to the fitted fragility function.

Uploaded by

Joseph772
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Maximum likelihood parameter estimates using multiple stripes analysis data

Jack Baker
July 15, 2011

This spreadsheet implements equation 11 of the follwing paper:


Baker, J. W. (2013). “Efficient analytical fragility function fitting
using dynamic structural analysis.” Earthquake Spectra, (in review).

Populate the gray-shaded cells


with results from analysis
Fraction Theoretical
Number of Number of causing fragility Log
IM analyses collapses collapse function Likelihood likelihood
0.2 40 0 0.00 0.00 0.895 -0.111
0.3 40 0 0.00 0.02 0.365 -1.009
0.4 40 0 0.00 0.08 0.031 -3.458
0.6 40 4 0.10 0.28 0.004 -5.586
0.7 40 6 0.15 0.39 0.001 -7.487
0.8 40 13 0.33 0.50 0.011 -4.515
0.9 40 12 0.30 0.59 0.000 -9.003
1 40 16 0.40 0.67 0.000 -8.265

Jack Baker:
θ 0.80 sum = -39.434 Jack Baker:
Let Solver change these Run Solver to
β 0.50 two values maximize this cell

1.0

0.8
Probability of collapse

0.6

0.4

Fraction of analyses
0.2 causing collapse
Fitted fragility function

0.0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Probability
0.4

Fraction of analyses
0.2 causing collapse
Fitted fragility function

0.0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

IM
Fragility function

IM CDF
0.1 0.00 These columns
0.2 0.00 are used to
0.3 0.02 produce the
0.4 0.08 fragililty function
for the figure
0.5 0.17
0.6 0.28
0.7 0.39
0.8 0.50
0.9 0.59
1 0.67
1.1 0.74
1.2 0.79
1.3 0.83
1.4 0.87
Jack Baker: 1.5 0.90
Run Solver to
maximize this cell
1.6 0.92
1.7 0.93
1.8 0.95
1.9 0.96
2 0.97
2.1 0.97
2.2 0.98
2.3 0.98
2.4 0.99
2.5 0.99

nalyses
pse
y function

2.5 3
nalyses
pse
y function

2.5 3

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