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NDR President Cycle

Data and analysis contained herein are provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. You should always obtain current information and perform due diligence before trading.

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100 views1 page

NDR President Cycle

Data and analysis contained herein are provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. You should always obtain current information and perform due diligence before trading.

Uploaded by

ecovalt
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
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Ned Davis Research, Inc.


z Report Name = T_10A.RPT
z Run Date = 01/02/2008

Presidential Cycle
12/31/1897 - 12/31/2007

Percentage change from year to year based on Dow Jones Industrial Average.

President 4-Year Cycle Election Post-Election Mid-Term Pre-Election


Elected Beginning Year Year Year Year

*McKinley R 1900 7.0 -8.7 -0.4 -23.6


T.Roosevelt R 1904 41.7 38.2 -1.9 -37.7
Taft R 1908 46.6 15.0 -17.9 0.4
Wilson D 1912 7.6 -10.3 -5.4 81.7
Wilson D 1916 -4.2 -21.7 10.5 30.5
*Harding R 1920 -32.9 12.7 21.7 -3.3
Coolidge R 1924 26.2 30.0 0.3 28.8
Hoover R 1928 48.2 -17.2 -33.8 -52.7
F.Roosevelt D 1932 -23.1 66.7 4.1 38.5
F.Roosevelt D 1936 24.8 -32.8 28.1 -2.9
F.Roosevelt D 1940 -12.7 -15.4 7.6 13.8
*F.Roosevelt D 1944 12.1 26.6 -8.1 2.2
Truman D 1948 -2.1 12.9 17.6 14.4
Eisenhower R 1952 8.4 -3.8 44.0 20.8
Eisenhower R 1956 2.3 -12.8 34.0 16.4
*Kennedy D 1960 -9.3 18.7 -10.8 17.0
Johnson D 1964 14.6 10.9 -18.9 15.2
Nixon R 1968 4.3 -15.2 4.8 6.1
**Nixon R 1972 14.6 -16.6 -27.6 38.3
Carter D 1976 17.9 -17.3 -3.1 4.2
Reagan R 1980 14.9 -9.2 19.6 20.3
Reagan R 1984 -3.7 27.7 22.6 2.3
Bush R 1988 11.8 27.0 -4.3 20.3
Clinton D 1992 4.2 13.7 2.1 33.5
Clinton D 1996 26.0 22.6 16.1 25.2
Bush R 2000 -6.2 -7.1 -16.8 25.3
Bush R 2004 3.1 -0.6 16.3 6.4

Up Years/Total Years (%) 70.4 48.1 55.6 81.5


Total Percentage Gain 242.1 134.0 100.4 341.4
Mean Gain Per Year 9.0 5.0 3.7 12.6
Median Gain Per Year 7.6 -0.6 2.1 15.2

*Death in Office **Resigned D-Democrat R-Republican

NED DAVIS RESEARCH, INC


T_10A.RPT 1/02/2008

The data and analysis contained herein are provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied. Ned Davis Research, Inc. (NDR), any NDR
affiliates or employees, or any third party data provider, shall not have any liability for any loss sustained by anyone who has relied on the information contained in any
NDR publication. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, and you should always obtain current information and perform due diligence before
trading. NDR, accounts that NDR or its affiliated companies manage, or their respective shareholders, directors, officers and/or employees, may have long or short
positions in the securities discussed herein and may purchase or sell such securities without notice. NDR uses various methods to evaluate investments which may, at
times, produce contradictory recommendations with respect to the same securities. When evaluating the results of prior NDR recommendations or NDR performance
rankings, one should also consider that NDR may modify the methods it uses to evaluate investment opportunities from time to time. For this and for many other reasons,
the performance of NDR's past recommendations is not a guarantee of future results. The securities mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in some
states or countries, nor be suitable for all types of investors; their value and income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by exchange rates, interest
rates or other factors. For data vendor disclaimers refer to www.ndr.com/vendorinfo. Further distribution prohibited without prior permission. Copyright 2008 © Ned Davis
Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

http://www.ndr.com/clients/products/t_10a.html 2/5/2008

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