Lbo DCF Model
Lbo DCF Model
Input Values
*Enter values in yellow cells.
Seller Notes
Term Years
Annual Repayment
Coupon Rate
Average Interest
Years PIK
Optional Prepayment
Preferred Stock
Preferred Stock Dividend
Years PIK
Pref Stock Retired Year
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Income/BS Assumptions:
Income Statement:
9 select no. Sales Year 1 $1,100,000 $ amt
11.11% % of FV Sales - Annual Increase 10.00% %
4.25% % annual Cost of goods sold 45.00% % of revenue
1 1=Yes 0=No Cost of goods sold - Annual Increase 0.25% %
1 1=Yes 0=No SG&A expenses 14.00% % of revenue
SG&A expenses - Annual Increase 0.50% %
Other expenses 12.00% % of revenue
4.75% % annual Other expenses - Annual Increase 0.15% %
$600,000 $ amt
1.00% % annual Balance Sheet:
Accounts receivable 18.00% % of revenue
Accounts receivable - Annual Increase 5.00% %
8 select no. Inventories 20.00% % of COGS
12.50% % of FV Inventories - Annual Increase 4.00% %
5.50% % annual Prepaids 4.50% % of revenue
1 1=Yes 0=No Prepaids - Annual Increase 2.00% %
1 1=Yes 0=No Other current assets 12.00% % of revenue
Other current assets - Annual Increase 2.50% %
Other long-term assets 4.00% % of revenue
11 select no. Other long-term assets - Annual Increase 0.50% %
4.00% % of FV
60.00% % of FV Accounts payable 15.00% % of COGS plus inventory in
5.25% % annual Accounts payable - Annual Increase 2.00% %
1 1=Yes 0=No Accrued expenses 6.00% % of revenue
1 1=Yes 0=No Accrued expenses - Annual Increase 1.50% %
Other current liabilities 8.00% % of revenue
Other current liabilities - Annual Increase 1.00% %
9 select no. Capex 10.00% % of revenue
4.25% % annual Capex Start Year 1 in years
1 1=Yes 0=No Capex Interval 1 in years
1 1=Yes 0=No
Other Assumptions:
12 select no. Cash Minimum $50,000 $ amt
4.50% % annual On / Off 1 1=On. 0=Off.
0 1=Yes 0=No
5 enter no. Tax Rate 35.00% %
1 1=Yes 0=No Year 1 2010 year
7.00% % annual
5 enter no.
select no.
Financing Annual
Costs Amortization
Period (Yrs)
4,500 450 10
1,200 150
963 88
1,300 144
1,000 83
1,925 138
0 0
10,888 1,053
1,200
12,088
Income Statements
ASSETS
Current Assets:
Cash in bank 55,000 22,500 77,500 50,000 50,000 50,000
Accounts receivable 85,000 85,000 198,000 228,690 264,137
Inventories 95,999 95,999 99,000 113,539 130,213
Prepaids 22,000 22,000 49,500 55,539 62,315
Other current assets 45,000 45,000 132,000 148,830 167,806
Non-Current Assets:
Goodwill 20,000 191,479 211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479
Intangible Assets 950 1,200 2,150 1,971 1,792 1,613
Capitalized Financing Costs 0 10,888 10,888 9,835 8,782 6,979
Other Long-Term Assets 15,000 15,000 44,000 48,642 53,774
PP&E:
Gross PP&E 500,000 2,450 502,450 502,450 612,450 733,450
Capex 0 0 110,000 121,000 133,100
Depreciation (Current) 0 0 72,745 84,845 93,718
Accumulated Depreciation 25,000 25,000 97,745 182,590 276,308
Net PP&E 475,000 477,450 514,705 550,860 590,242
Current Liabilities:
Accounts payable 51,800 51,800 74,700 85,741 96,542
Accrued expenses 24,000 24,000 66,000 73,689 82,274
Other current liabilities 22,000 22,000 88,000 97,768 108,620
Shareholder's Equity:
Preferred Stock 0 60,000 60,000 64,200 68,694 73,503
Common Equity 440,000 (155,000) 285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000
Retained Earnings 24,749 (27,249) (2,500) 130,038 274,449 435,503
Total Liabilities & Equity 813,949 228,516 1,042,465 1,310,489 1,418,152 1,538,557
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
213,470 213,470 161,317 57,619 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5,819 0 0 0 0 0 0
47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0 0
83,476 36,454 0 0 0 0 0
14,943 12,081 0 0 0 0 0
365,410 264,152 161,317 57,619 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Flows
Non-cash adjustments:
Depreciation and amortization 72,924 85,024 93,898 104,355
Amortization of Capitalized Financing Costs 1,053 1,053 1,803 1,515
Increase (Decrease) in Deferred Tax Liability 4,595 247 247 2,280
Accrued Interest Subordinated Notes 1,800 1,881 1,966 2,054
Accrued Interest Mezzanine Debt 3,150 3,292 3,440 3,595
Accrued Interest Seller Notes 1,252 1,127 995 856
Accrued Interest Preferred Stock 4,200 4,494 4,809 5,145
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 121,911 201,928 220,576 243,926
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities (139,000) (125,642) (138,232) (152,083)
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (22,994) (76,286) (82,344) (91,843)
Debt Repayment
Mandatory Repayment
Existing Debt 7,222 7,222 0 0
Term Loan "A" 10,000 10,000 10,000 0
Term Loan "B" 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200
Senior Notes 0 0 0 0
Subordinated Notes 0 0 0 0
Mezzanine Debt 0 0 0 0
Seller Notes 3,571 3,571 3,571 3,571
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Sub-total 22,994 22,994 15,771 5,771
Optional Repayment
Existing Debt 0 50,556 0 0
Term Loan "A" 0 2,736 47,264 0
Term Loan "B" 0 0 19,309 26,891
Senior Notes 0 0 0 59,181
Subordinated Notes 0 0 0 0
Mezzanine Debt 0 0 0 0
Seller Notes 0 0 0 0
Bank Revolver 0 0 0 0
Sub-total 0 53,292 66,572 86,072
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
(5,819) 0 0 0 0 0
(47,701) (2,147) 0 0 0 0
(50,779) (36,454) 0 0 0 0
(3,571) (12,081) 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
(107,870) (50,681) 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
3,571 3,571 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
3,571 3,571 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
5,819 0 0 0 0 0
47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0
50,779 36,454 0 0 0 0
0 8,509 0 0 0 0
0 52,153 103,698 57,619 0 0
104,299 99,263 103,698 57,619 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
Depreciation & Amortization
Capex
Year Capex Useful Life Salvage
1 $110,000 12 9,167 9,167 9,167
2 121,000 10 0 12,100 12,100
3 133,100 15 0 0 8,873
4 146,410 14 0 0 0
5 161,051 12 0 0 0
6 177,156 16 0 0 0
7 194,872 15 0 0 0
8 214,359 15 0 0 0
9 235,795 12 0 0 0
10 259,374 12 0 0 0
1,753,117 0 9,167 21,267 30,140
Period (Yrs)
Amortization of Intangibles (incl Write-up) 12 179 179 179
Impairment of Goodwill 0 0 0
Total Cost ($)
Amortization of Capitalized Financing Costs 10,888 1,053 1,053 1,803
Bank Revolver 450 450 450
Term Loan "A" 150 150 900
Term Loan "B" 88 88 88
Senior Notes 144 144 144
Subordinated Notes 83 83 83
Mezzanine Debt 138 138 138
Seller Notes 0 0 0
Tax Depreciation & Amortization: Tax PP&E $415,000
Capex
Year Capex Useful Life Salvage
1 $110,000 12 9,167 9,167 9,167
2 121,000 8 0 15,125 15,125
3 133,100 15 0 0 8,873
4 146,410 9 0 0 0
5 161,051 4 0 0 0
6 177,156 16 0 0 0
7 194,872 15 0 0 0
8 214,359 2 0 0 0
9 235,795 12 0 0 0
10 259,374 12 0 0 0
1,753,117 0 9,167 24,292 33,165
Period (Yrs)
Amortization of Intangibles (incl Write-up) 15 143 143 143
Amortization of Goodwill 15 14,099 14,099 14,099
Depreciation Method Goodwill & Intangibles Amortization
0 0=SLN 1=Sum of Years 0=Not Deductible 1=Tax Deductible
1 Tax Deductible
Manual or Computed Depreciation
1 0=Manual 1=Computed
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
Estimated Cost of Debt Amount Int. Rate Wtd. Rate Computed WACC
Existing Debt 65,000 4.25% 0.46%
Bank Revolver 200,888 4.75% 1.59% Cost of Debt (Post-Tax)
Term Loan "A" 80,000 5.50% 0.73% Cost of Preferred Stock
Term Loan "B" 55,000 5.25% 0.48% Cost of Equity
Senior Notes 65,000 4.25% 0.46%
Subordinated Notes 40,000 4.50% 0.30% WACC
Mezzanine Debt 70,000 4.50% 0.52%
Seller Notes 25,000 5.25% 0.22%
Beta Calculation
Pre-Acquisition:
Debt $250,000
Equity $600,000
Preferred Stock $0
Debt/Equity Ratio 0.42
Preferred Stock/Equity Ratio 0.00
Post-Acquisition:
Debt $600,888
Equity $282,500
Preferred Stock $60,000
Debt/Equity Ratio 2.13
Preferred Stock/Equity Ratio 0.21
Computed WACC
Proportion Rate Wtd. Cost
63.69% 3.10% 1.97%
6.36% 7.00% 0.45%
29.95% 16.03% 4.80%
7.22%
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Subordinated Notes
Initial Investment (40,000)
Cash Interest 0 0 0 0
Repayment 0 0 0 0
Principal 0 0 0 0
Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0
IRR 21.41% (40,000) 0 0 0 0
Mezzanine Debt
Initial Investment (70,000)
Cash Interest 0 0 0 0
Repayment 0 0 0 0
Principal 0 0 0 0
Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0
IRR 20.56% (70,000) 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock
Initial Investment (60,000)
Cash Dividend 0 0 0 0
Repayment 0 0 0 0
Principal 0 0 0 0
Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0
IRR 18.54% (60,000) 0 0 0 0
New Equity
Initial Investment (25,000)
Cash Dividend 219 237 250 272
Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0
IRR 35.42% (25,000) 219 237 250 272
Allocation of Exit Proceeds
Less: Debt 0
Less: Preferred Stock 84,153
Add: Excess Cash 263,486
0 97 0 0 0 0
47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 121,578 0
47,701 2,243 0 0 121,578 0
0 1,640 0 0 0 0
50,779 36,454 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 202,630 0
50,779 38,094 0 0 202,630 0
Capital Ratios
Debt Ratio 0.7x 0.6x 0.5x 0.5x 0.4x
Total Debt / Book Capitalization 0.6x 0.5x 0.4x 0.3x 0.2x
Total Debt / Equity 1.6x 1.1x 0.7x 0.5x 0.3x
Leverage Ratios
Total Debt / EBITDA 2.1x 1.7x 1.4x 1.1x 0.8x
Total Debt / (EBITDA - Capex) 3.2x 2.6x 2.1x 1.6x 1.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.9x 1.6x 1.2x 0.9x 0.7x
Senior Debt / EBITDA 1.4x 1.1x 0.8x 0.5x 0.5x
Interest Coverage
EBITDA / Total Interest 8.8x 10.0x 12.0x 14.9x 17.3x
EBITDA / Senior Interest 12.3x 14.4x 18.6x 25.5x 32.1x
EBITDA / Cash Interest 12.3x 14.4x 18.6x 25.5x 32.1x
Asset Utilization
Total Asset Turnover (Sales) 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x
Fixed Asset Turnover (Sales) 2.2x 2.3x 2.3x 2.4x 2.5x
Activity Ratios
Inventory Turnover (COGS) 5.1x 5.1x 4.9x 4.7x 4.6x
Accounts Receivable Turnover (Sales) 7.8x 5.7x 5.4x 5.1x 4.9x
Accounts Payable Turnover (COGS & Inv) 7.9x 7.0x 6.8x 6.7x 6.5x
Inventory Holding Period (Days) 71.9 71.1 73.9 76.9 79.9
Days Receivable (Sales) 47.0 64.4 67.6 71.0 74.5
Days Payable (COGS & Inv) 46.4 52.2 53.8 54.8 55.9
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 2.3x 2.3x 2.3x 2.4x 2.4x
Quick (Acid Test) Ratio 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x
Returns
Return on Equity (ROE) 38.72% 30.19% 25.61% 22.52% 20.02%
Return on Assets (ROA) 13.25% 12.24% 12.27% 12.28% 12.19%
Operating Results
Sales Growth N/A 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
Gross Margin 55.00% 54.89% 54.77% 54.66% 54.55%
EBITDA Margin 29.00% 28.80% 28.60% 28.40% 28.19%
EBIT Margin 22.37% 21.77% 21.54% 21.27% 20.88%
Pre-Tax Profit Ratio 19.47% 19.28% 19.50% 19.72% 19.61%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
6 7 8 9 10