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Stock Expected Return Daily

The document contains information about 6 stocks (SEDG, SHLX, EPAM, TREE, SKX, SUPN) including their expected daily returns, covariance between each stock, and an equally weighted portfolio consisting of the 6 stocks. It then provides the results of optimizing the portfolio weights to maximize return and minimize risk, showing a portfolio with weights of 0%, 0%, 0%, 27%, 23%, 50% respectively for the stocks and an expected annual return of 62% and standard deviation of 38%.

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Justin Nguyen
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
43 views35 pages

Stock Expected Return Daily

The document contains information about 6 stocks (SEDG, SHLX, EPAM, TREE, SKX, SUPN) including their expected daily returns, covariance between each stock, and an equally weighted portfolio consisting of the 6 stocks. It then provides the results of optimizing the portfolio weights to maximize return and minimize risk, showing a portfolio with weights of 0%, 0%, 0%, 27%, 23%, 50% respectively for the stocks and an expected annual return of 62% and standard deviation of 38%.

Uploaded by

Justin Nguyen
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Stock Expected return daily

SEDG 0.0007937562
SHLX 1.79556837253553E-005
EPAM 0.0003526778
TREE 0.0028048358
SKX 0.0012725248
SUPN 0.0027100582

Covariance table
SEDG
SEDG 0.002123029
SHLX 0.0002044494
EPAM 0.0001186154
TREE 0.0003220591
SKX 0.000337958
SUPN 0.0001864912

Portfolio Weights
SEDG 17%
SHLX 17%
EPAM 17%
TREE 17%
SKX 17%
SUPN 17%
Sum of weights 100%
Expected return of Portfolio Daily 0.132530%
Standard Deviation of Portfolio Dail 0.0197525064
Sharpe Ratio 0.067095355

Simulation $2,200.000
SEDG 0%
SHLX 0%
EPAM 0%
TREE 27%
SKX 23%
SUPN 50%
1 year return $1,358.08
10 year return HIGHLY SPECULATIVE 12144%
$3,558.081
Commision $177.90
Expected return annual Standard deviation
0.1719725545 0.0462196562
0.0035975602 0.0287891716
0.0730693894 0.0215878386
0.7509910191 0.0489937421
0.289614283 0.0315298068
0.7182022192 0.0377615013

SHLX EPAM
0.0002044494 0.0001186154
0.0008236844 0.0001454529
0.0001454529 0.0004631491
4.79762479653489E-005 0.0002182932
0.0001289752 0.000102878
0.0002464832 0.0001458686

Best Weights for Portfolio Optimization Annualised


0% 0%
0% 0%
0% 0%
27% 27%
23% 23%
50% 50%
100% 100%
0.240671% 62%
0.0269909276 38%
0.0891673991 1.6172234766

Worst case scenario expected return 24%


Best case scenario expected return 100%

Worst case scenario expected return 1.5 stde 4%


Best case scenario expected return 1.5 stdev 119%

Worse case scenario expected return 2 std -15%


Best case scenario expected return 2 std 138%

Worst case scenario expected return 0%


Best case scenario expected return 123%

Splits $4,225
$0
$0.00
$0
$599
$504
$1,097
$267,172.72

$733.33
Annual Standard Deviation
0.16010958
0.09972861
0.07478246
0.16971930
0.10922245
0.13080967

TREE
0.00032205
4.79762479653489E-0
0.00021829
0.00238552
0.00027293
0.0002745

65% chance of occuring within this range

Approximately 80% chance of occuring within this range

95% chance of occuring within this range

Approximately 82% chance you will make money :) :) :) :) :)


SKX
0.000337958
0.0001289752
0.000102878
0.0002729398
0.0009879731
0.0001697304
Variance EXCESS RETURNS
0.0021362566 SEDG SHLX EPAM TREE SKX SUPN
0.0008288164 0.0184370675 0.001185 0.018285 0.030851 0.016308 0.047412
0.0004660348 -0.0412858628 -0.023793 -0.020349 -0.010668 -0.013866 -0.007071
0.0024003868 -0.005385593 0.008268 -0.012792 0.048254 -0.012713 0.010545
0.0009941287 -0.0108947163 0.015307 -0.02448 0.039806 -0.011925 0.023486
0.001425931 0.019298928 0.033843 -0.01012 0.040031 0.065489 0.038738
0.0668630095 0.021887 0.076508 0.019854 0.031743 0.053246
-0.0464629975 -0.014411 -0.061714 0.01046 -0.034606 -0.02386
-0.0497204637 -0.016936 -0.090835 -0.013281 -0.038815 -0.038275
SUPN -0.0218102773 0.00867 0.019081 0.033423 0.006986 0.010002
0.0001864912 0.0046116 0.00717 -0.000634 0.001662 -0.01418 0.026734
0.0002464832 -0.0186508517 -1.8E-005 -0.010663 -0.01372 -0.004658 -0.001072
0.0001458686 0.0084608951 -0.034417 0.04861 0.062385 0.0177 0.024787
0.000274506 -0.0137744299 0.010656 -0.016459 -0.02856 -0.000582 -0.040507
0.0001697304 -0.0168770115 -0.002452 -0.008341 -0.004151 -0.010506 -0.005403
0.0014171017 0.0034817784 0.001811 -0.015387 -0.001051 0.004575 -0.001632
0.0083144888 -0.00788 0.000913 -0.092341 -0.000584 -0.010732
-0.0055646534 -0.001528 -0.006783 -0.053522 -0.024802 -0.038295
-0.0713037372 -0.014597 -0.025162 -0.02737 -0.030636 -0.013929
-0.0003501893 -0.021846 -0.015655 -0.038131 0.008945 -0.00271
0.0242176581 -0.010672 -0.010582 0.015517 -0.031634 -0.0022
0.0210463925 0.000558 -0.012298 0.014008 -0.009828 -0.005255
0.0225062427 0.01638 0.00812 0.021038 -0.010067 0.003434
-0.0130060619 -0.004681 -0.005489 -0.024091 0.004413 -0.013348
0.0149506148 0.014471 -0.000616 0.043527 0.004765 0.003406
-0.0415260674 0.002056 -0.007672 0.005724 0.008352 0.002928
0.0107803179 0.007745 0.009814 0.023832 0.014699 0.016089
0.0076096051 0.0072 0.01561 0.016939 0.014958 0.016992
0.0114935784 -0.002418 -0.001291 0.015377 0.014542 -0.012726
0.0160251297 0.005109 -0.00129 -0.038607 0.00346 0.003656
0.0309364867 -0.007204 0.035426 0.082695 -0.004306 0.02119
0.0383613185 -0.013894 -0.007239 0.078018 -0.011613 0.021775
0.0122542605 0.011933 0.024489 -0.009424 0.01707 0.020056
-0.0340934535 0.006599 -0.017144 -0.01009 0.012851 0.00648
0.0722978016 -0.086305 0.014005 0.035919 -0.036179 -0.021865
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0.0403256041 0.00993 0.018943 0.008388 0.000341 0.019859
-0.0214872138 0.000258 0.006546 0.035176 -0.015586 0.059367
-0.0646681541 0.004145 -0.013825 -0.053427 0.023499 0.002852
-0.0044452951 -0.009366 0.008899 -0.041151 -0.041923 -0.007018
-0.1521881785 0.028545 0.016756 -7.8E-005 -0.00687 0.018019
0.0126651485 -0.01148 -0.015102 -0.032185 0.021954 0.0502
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0.0037057188 0.018041 -0.008782 0.015868 -0.011752 -0.003292
-0.064347127 0.003634 -0.0245 -0.04039 -0.011056 0.002559
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0.0134868009 -0.011929 0.008691 -0.017883 0.014231 -0.022083
-0.0240412535 -0.002718 -0.009062 -0.035386 0.023475 -0.017309
0.0027955473 0.025169 0.001701 -0.05746 0.06139 0.035169
0.0152529615 0.007792 0.008582 -0.027351 0.024027 0.032272
0.0219589861 0.02135 0.001593 -0.01349 0.016688 0.014468
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0.0517322641 0.019694 0.003015 0.035397 0.022081 0.024863
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0.0281977097 0.001682 0.025378 0.050466 0.043779 -0.005123
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0.0373656153 0.003217 0.020038 0.044049 0.008409 0.015507
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0.0210682859 0.021253 -0.009319 -0.00723 -0.032411 0.029974
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0.0764545528 0.0011 -0.006056 -0.048749 0.000218 0.027336
0.062549156 0.006171 0.02524 0.016885 0.017561 0.032378
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