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Problem Set 10 Problem 1: D) Runner's Hypothesis Is Wrong As The More She Runs During The Week The Faster

Problem 1 examines the relationship between miles run per week and Sunday run times. It finds a negative correlation, meaning run times decrease as weekly miles increase, disproving the runner's hypothesis. Problem 2 looks at the correlation between birth date and draft lottery number, finding a weak negative relationship between earlier birth dates and lower lottery numbers. This suggests the lottery was not truly random. Problem 3 analyzes the distribution of birth dates and draft lottery numbers, finding both follow a uniform distribution between 1 and 366. Problem 4 models test scores as a function of student-teacher ratios, finding test scores decrease significantly as ratios increase, with a confidence interval of -3.22 to -1.34 for the slope
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
7 views

Problem Set 10 Problem 1: D) Runner's Hypothesis Is Wrong As The More She Runs During The Week The Faster

Problem 1 examines the relationship between miles run per week and Sunday run times. It finds a negative correlation, meaning run times decrease as weekly miles increase, disproving the runner's hypothesis. Problem 2 looks at the correlation between birth date and draft lottery number, finding a weak negative relationship between earlier birth dates and lower lottery numbers. This suggests the lottery was not truly random. Problem 3 analyzes the distribution of birth dates and draft lottery numbers, finding both follow a uniform distribution between 1 and 366. Problem 4 models test scores as a function of student-teacher ratios, finding test scores decrease significantly as ratios increase, with a confidence interval of -3.22 to -1.34 for the slope
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Problem Set 10

Problem 1

a) indepvar= #of miles per week


b) see graph
c) see graph
d) r=-0.9601
negative correlation, meaning with the increase of number of hours run in a
week, 1mile time run on Sunday decreases
e) Find a ( y-intercept )
a = ((29.3) * (1768) - (102)*(495.2))/ (6*( 1768) - (102^2)) = 6.33
coefficient x variable 1= -0.0853
y= 6.33 -0.0853x
d) Runners hypothesis is wrong as the more she runs during the week the faster
she runs on Sunday ( less time)

Problem 2
a) the correlation is negative and not strong , men born earlier . The higher the
draft number the lottery number the the earlier is the birth date. Those
born earlier were less likely to win .
b) if the lottery was truly random, then r=0. There would be no correlation, no
linear relationship
c) the slope is b=-0.2557. So if we increase the birth date by one day, there
would be decrease of draft number by 0.2557, because the correlation is
negative.
d) the slope would be b=0. Truly random means no relationship and correlation ,
meaning a flat graph.

e) Y -intercept is 224.9. This means that men predicted with birth dates to be 0 ,
will have a draft number 224.9 . A birth date can not equal 0 , so the y intercept is not meaningless for us.
f)

224.9 - 0.2257(100) = 202.33

g)

224.9 - 0.2257(300) = 157.19

h) see graph
i)

224.9 - 0.2257(110) = 200.07

h) No, because birthday is an independent random variable. Birth dates can


automatically be treated as lottery.
Problem 3
a)

Uniform distribution ( see graph)

b) Uniform distribution ( see graph )


c) mean = 183.5 Both variables are integers beginning from 1 and going to
366
d) see graph
e) see graph

Problem 4
a) b1 = -2.279808 ( using stata)
b) Slope : for 1 student increase in student teacher ratio, test scores will decline
( predicted) by 2.279808 ( using stata)
Y-intercept : With a student-teacher ratio equal to 0 the predicted test score is 698.933 .
However ratio equal to 0 does is not relevant and possible in this example.
c) [-3.22298, -1.336637] ( using Stata)
d) y = 698.933 - (2.279808)(16.0) = 662.46
e) y = 698.933 - (2.279808)(24.1) = 643.99

y = 698.933 - (2.279808)(20.5) = 652.20


The predicted test score will increase from 643.99 to 652.20, by 8.21 points.
f) p=0.000 ( from Stata)

g) Due to r = -0.2264 , the XY correlation is negative and not too strong. ( from Stata)

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