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Citations - Research Work - MEP

The document discusses three papers related to energy usage simulation and forecasting: 1. The first paper presents a highly configurable smart grid simulator that can simulate energy usage at the device, household, neighborhood, and city levels under different settings. 2. The second paper proposes a novel fuzzy wavelet neural network model to predict electricity consumption using data from Greece's power system, which provides more accurate forecasts than conventional neural network models. 3. The third paper proposes a simple hybrid model using wavelet transform and double exponential smoothing to forecast electrical load data, which offers high precision for very short-term forecasts of up to two weeks based on testing with California energy market data.

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60 views2 pages

Citations - Research Work - MEP

The document discusses three papers related to energy usage simulation and forecasting: 1. The first paper presents a highly configurable smart grid simulator that can simulate energy usage at the device, household, neighborhood, and city levels under different settings. 2. The second paper proposes a novel fuzzy wavelet neural network model to predict electricity consumption using data from Greece's power system, which provides more accurate forecasts than conventional neural network models. 3. The third paper proposes a simple hybrid model using wavelet transform and double exponential smoothing to forecast electrical load data, which offers high precision for very short-term forecasts of up to two weeks based on testing with California energy market data.

Uploaded by

Marcos Aquino
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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[1]

Naveed Arshad, Usman Ali, Fahad Javed, A Highly Configurable Simulator


for Assessing Energy Usage Syed Babar Ali School of Science and
Engineering Lahore University of Management Science, DHA Lahore,
PakistanThe Mediterranean Green Energy Forum 2013, MGEF-13

Smart grids provide newer ways of energy production, transmission, and


distribution. In a smart grid finer control of electrical devices in household and
buildings are implemented to better manage energy demand and supply. However,
this finer control commonly known as demand side management (DSM) requires
extensive simulation at various levels before a DSM algorithm may actually be
deployed in a real building or neighborhood. Since forecasting the energy usage
behavior of myriad number of electrical devices is a difficult exercise, simulations
are done to assess the effectiveness of a DSM algorithm. The problem with the
state-of-the-art simulators is that each is designed for simulating electrical devices
behavior under specific and limited settings. To this end, we present a highly
configurable and extensible smart grid simulator (SGS) that is capable of simulating
per-minute granularity of energy usage under numerous settings. Moreover, SGS is
able to simulate behavior at four levels: electrical devices, households and
buildings, neighborhoods and cities. Given different scenarios SGS can simulate
relativistic behavior of energy usage at all four levels.
[2]

M. Amina, V.S. Kodogiannis, I. Petrounias, D. Tomtsis A hybrid intelligent


approach for the prediction of electricity consumption Electrical
Power and Energy Systems 43 (2012) 99108

Power load forecasting is an essential tool for energy management systems.


Accurate load forecasting supports power companies to make unit commitment
decisions and schedule maintenance plans appropriately. In addition to minimizing
the power generation costs, it is also important for the reliability of energy systems.
This research study presents the implementation of a novel fuzzy wavelet neural
network model on an hourly basis, and validates its performance on the prediction
of electricity consumption of the power system of the Greek Island of Crete. In the
proposed framework, a multiplication wavelet neural network has replaced the
classic linear model, which usually appears in the consequent part of a neuro fuzzy
scheme, while subtractive clustering with the aid of the ExpectationMaximization
algorithm is being utilized in the definition of fuzzy rules. The results related to the
minimum and maximum load using metered data obtained from the power system
of the Greek Island of Crete indicate that the proposed forecasting model provides
significantly better forecasts, compared to conventional neural networks models
applied on the same dataset.
[3]

Suseelatha Annamareddi, Sudheer Gopinathan, and Bharathi Dora, A


Simple Hybrid Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting Journal of
Engineering
Volume
2013,
Article
ID
760860,
7
pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/760860

The paper proposes a simple hybrid model to forecast the electrical load data based
on the wavelet transform technique and double exponential smoothing. The
historical noisy load series data is decomposed into deterministic and fluctuation
components using suitable wavelet coefficient thresholds and wavelet
reconstruction method.The variation characteristics of the resulting series are
analyzed to arrive at reasonable thresholds that yield good denoising results. The
constitutive series are then forecasted using appropriate exponential adaptive
smoothing models. A case study performed on California energy market data
demonstrates that the proposed method can offer high forecasting precision for
very short-term forecasts, considering a time horizon of two weeks.

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