Tax Avoidance Activities of U.S. Multinational Corporations: SONJA OLHOFT REGO, University of Iowa
Tax Avoidance Activities of U.S. Multinational Corporations: SONJA OLHOFT REGO, University of Iowa
Multinational Corporations*
SONJA OLHOFT REGO, University of Iowa
Abstract
This paper investigates whether economies of scale and scope exist for tax
planning. In particular, do multinational corporations avoid more taxes than U.S.
domestic-only companies, resulting in lower effective tax rates? While the empirical
results indicate that ceteris paribus, larger corporations have higher effective tax rates,
firms with greater pre-tax income have lower effective tax rates. The negative relation
between ETRs and pre-tax income is consistent with firms with greater pre-tax income
having more incentives and resources to engage in tax planning.
Consistent with multinational corporations being able to avoid income taxes that
domestic-only companies cannot, I find that multinational corporations with more
extensive foreign operations have lower worldwide ETRs than other firms do. Finally, in
a sample of multinational corporations only, I find that higher levels of U.S. pre-tax
income are associated with lower U.S. and foreign ETRs, while higher levels of foreign
pre-tax income are associated with higher U.S. and foreign ETRs. Thus, large amounts
of foreign income are associated with higher corporate tax burdens. Overall, I find
substantial evidence of economies of scale and scope to tax planning.
Keywords: Effective tax rates; Tax planning; Tax avoidance; Multinational
*
1. Introduction
Previous research examining average effective tax rates (ETRs) has found a wide
variety of relations between ETRs and firm characteristics such as size, income, leverage,
capital intensity, and return on assets. This paper attempts to reconcile the contradictory
evidence in the literature by addressing economies of scale and scope. 1 Specifically, I
ask whether economies of scale and scope exist for tax planning such that firms having
greater economic scale and scope avoid more income taxes, resulting in lower ETRs?
Effective tax planning (a.k.a. tax avoidance) reduces the present value of tax
payments and generally increases the after-tax rate of return to investors in a firm. 2
While measuring effective tax planning is a difficult task, prior research considers ETRs
a measure of the effectiveness of tax planning (e.g., Mills, Erickson, and Maydew, 1998;
Phillips, 2001). Consistent with such research, I define ETRs as the ratio of income taxes
currently payable to tax authorities, to pre-tax accounting income. Thus, if two firms
have the same pre-tax accounting income but pay different amounts of income taxes, the
firm that pays less tax will have a lower ETR and will be viewed as being more effective
in tax planning.
This paper extends the accounting literature by reconciling prior research on the
relation between ETRs and two measures of economic scale and scope: firm size and pretax income. 3
the industry average, Swenson (1999) speculates that the stock market views low-tax
firms as better at controlling costs than their high-tax counterparts.
In addition,
Abarbanell and Bushee (1998) find that changes in ETRs are positive predictors of oneyear-ahead earnings changes. Thus, ETRs are an important measure of performance to a
diverse set of stakeholders.
In testing whether economies of scale and scope exist for tax planning, I first
perform empirical tests on a broad sample of U.S. domestic and multinational
corporations.
corporations only. In the broad sample of U.S. domestic and multinational corporations, I
find that larger firms have higher worldwide ETRs. This finding is consistent with some
of the prior literature, which concludes that larger firms face political costs that smaller
firms do not (e.g., Zimmerman, 1983; Omer, Molloy, and Ziebart, 1993). Holding firm
size constant, I also find that firms with greater income have lower worldwide ETRs.
This result contradicts Wilkie (1988), who does not control for firm size. The negative
relation between worldwide ETRs and income is consistent with firms with large
amounts of pre-tax income having more incentives and resources to engage in tax
planning. Regarding foreign operations, I document that multinational corporations with
more extensive foreign operations have lower worldwide ETRs than firms with less
extensive foreign operations. These results are consistent with economies of scope to tax
planning.
I also examine the worldwide, U.S., and foreign ETRs for a sample of U.S.
multinational corporations. Consistent with the broad sample of firms, I find that larger
corporations have higher ETRs than smaller firms, and corporations with greater income
have lower ETRs than firms with less income. In fact, worldwide ETRs are decreasing in
both U.S. and foreign pre-tax income. However, joint estimation of U.S. and foreign
ETRs indicate that while U.S. and foreign ETRs are decreasing in the amount of U.S.
pre-tax income, they are increasing in the amount of foreign pre-tax income. This result
suggests that while large amounts of U.S. pre-tax income are associated with tax planning
and lower corporate tax burdens, large amounts of foreign pre-tax income are associated
with higher corporate tax burdens. Finally, similar to the results for the broad sample of
firms, multinational corporations with more extensive foreign operations have lower
worldwide and foreign ETRs than multinational corporations with less extensive foreign
operations.
Overall, these results support the notion that economies of scale and scope can
significantly affect a firm's ability to reduce its tax burden through tax planning. In
particular, firms with higher levels of pre-tax income and more extensive foreign
operations are able to reduce their U.S., foreign, and worldwide tax burdens through tax
planning activities. Further, by comparing the tax burdens of multinational and domesticonly firms, this study responds to Collins and Shackelford's (1999) assertion that
empirical research does not provide conclusive evidence that multinational corporations
pay less income tax than domestic-only companies.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: section 2 discusses prior
research and develops empirical hypotheses. Section 3 presents the research design and
sample selection.
concludes.
In contrast, proponents of the 'political cost hypothesis' claim that large firms are
subjected to greater government scrutiny and wealth transfers than smaller firms are,
which should translate into higher corporate tax burdens for large firms. 5 However, the
empirical evidence is mixed. Siegfried (1972), Stickney and McGee (1982), and Porcano
(1986) each find a significantly negative association between ETRs and firm size. In
contrast, Zimmerman (1983) and Omer, Molloy, and Ziebart (1993) document a
significantly positive relation between ETRs and firm size, while Jacob (1996), Gupta
and Newberry (1997), and Mills, Erickson, and Maydew (1998) do not find any link.
Differences in results have been attributed to sample selection (industry composition,
inclusion/exclusion of foreign firms), ETR definition (U.S. federal income tax,
worldwide income tax, inclusion/exclusion of deferred taxes), and the time period under
investigation. 6
A substantial portion of previous research applies univariate analysis to examine
variation in ETRs across firms. Gupta and Newberry (1997) note the limitations of such
studies and examine variation in ETRs in a multivariate framework. Nonetheless, Gupta
and Newberry state that a complete model of ETR variability would include additional
factors not included in their model, such as the extent of foreign operations. In this
paper, I empirically model ETRs as a function of foreign operations and attempt to
reconcile the results in the prior literature.
The usual definition of ETRs is income taxes currently payable divided by pre-tax
accounting income. Since ETRs compare the current tax liability generated by taxable
income to pre-tax income based on generally accepted accounting principles, ETRs
measure the proficiency of a corporation to reduce its current tax liability relative to its
pre-tax accounting income. As a result, ETRs reflect the relative tax burden across
firms. 7
Tax avoidance activities affect ETRs in at least two ways. First, tax avoidance
activities often create book-tax differences. 8 Book-tax differences are both temporary
and permanent differences between a firms financial accounting and taxable incomes.
Book-tax differences create variation in ETRs because the numerator is based on taxable
income, whereas the denominator is based on financial accounting income.
Tax
investment have lower average and marginal costs of tax avoidance. Consistent with
these theoretical predictions, Mills, Erickson, and Maydew (1998) conclude from their
empirical tests that larger firms have lower average costs of tax planning. Slemrod
(1998) also suggests that the pattern of multinational operations influences a taxpayer's
costs of tax avoidance. In particular, the costs of avoidance should be lower for firms
that have operations in low-tax jurisdictions.
Thus, prior research indicates that the costs of tax planning are decreasing in firm
size, income, and foreign operations.
foreign operations reflect economic scope, the level of income reflects both economic
scale and scope. The level of income reflects economic scale because the amount of pretax income is related to firm size; e.g., consider the income of large, multinational oil
companies compared to the income of smaller, regional oil companies. The level of
income reflects economic scope because firms with greater income likely have multiple
business segments and are able to offset net operating losses from less profitable business
segments against the income of more profitable business segments. 9
negative relations between the marginal costs of tax planning and, respectively, firm size,
income, and foreign operations, should translate into more effective tax planning and
lower ETRs for firms of greater economic scale and scope.
Consistent with economies of scale to tax planning, large firms generally engage
in more business activities and more financial transactions than small firms do, thereby
providing more opportunities to avoid income taxes. For example, large firms may be
able to avoid income taxation through inter-company transactions, tax-advantaged leasing
and financing arrangements, and the complex use of flow-through entities such as
partnerships and real estate investment trusts. 10 However, proponents of the political cost
hypothesis argue that larger firms are likely to pay more income taxes than smaller firms
do, as a result of increased visibility and government scrutiny and expropriation of
resources. Thus, the relation between worldwide ETRs and firm size is an unresolved
empirical question, suggesting the following hypothesis:
H1: Worldwide ETRs of large and small firms differ. If economies of scale in tax
planning generate more (less) tax benefits than the tax costs of greater public
scrutiny, then large firms will have lower (higher) worldwide ETRs than smaller
firms do.
Wilkie (1988) and Wilkie and Limberg (1993) document a positive relation
between ETRs and pre-tax income. However, these studies present univariate results that
do not control for firm size, which omits an important correlated variable. Holding firm
size constant, firms with greater pre-tax income are likely to avoid more income taxes
than firms with less pre-tax income, since firms with greater income have lower costs of
tax avoidance. Manzon and Plesko (2001) argue that profitable firms can make more
efficient use of tax deductions, credits, and exemptions relative to less profitable firms,
resulting in greater book-tax differences. Finally, firms with greater pre-tax income
should have greater incentives and resources to engage in tax planning. This suggests the
following hypothesis, stated in alternative form:
H2: Firms with greater pre-tax income avoid proportionately more income taxes than do
firms with less income, resulting in lower worldwide ETRs.
dummy variable to indicate the existence of foreign operations and find a significantly
positive relationship between ETRs and the foreign operations variable. In contrast,
Stickney and McGee (1982) and Jacob (1996) use the ratio of foreign sales to total
worldwide sales as a proxy for the extent of foreign operations, but neither study
produces compelling results. In addition, all three papers rely on relatively small sample
sizes, which means their results may not generalize to the population of firms.
Firms with more extensive foreign operations have opportunities to avoid income
taxes that are not available to domestic-only firms. For example, they can avoid income
taxes by locating operations in low-tax rate countries, by shifting income from high-tax
locations to low-tax locations, by exploiting differences in the tax rules of different
countries, by taking advantage of tax subsidy agreements with host countries, and by
engaging in complex property transactions, including 357(c) basis-shift transactions
(U.S. Department of Treasury, 1999).
On the other hand, foreign operations are frequently subject to higher foreign
statutory tax rates compared to the U.S. statutory tax rate. 11
In a broad sample of
multinational and U.S. domestic-only firms, higher foreign statutory tax rates on average
would produce a positive relation between the extent of foreign operations and worldwide
ETRs.
10
opportunities to avoid income taxation, they can also expose multinationals to higher
foreign tax rates. This suggests the following hypothesis, stated in alternative form:
H3: Ceteris paribus, firms with more extensive foreign operations have lower worldwide
ETRs than do firms with less extensive foreign operations.
3. Empirical Tests
3.1 Methodology
I estimate the following ordinary least squares regression using a broad sample of
firms to test H1, H2, and H3:
i =1
j =1
k =1
(1)
where WWETR is the worldwide ETR. To be consistent with prior ETR research and to
capture the impact of both temporary and permanent book-tax differences, I define ETRs
as income taxes currently payable divided by pre-tax accounting income. 12 SIZE is the
natural log of total net sales and PTI is the natural log of pre-tax accounting income. 13
MNC, a dummy variable, equals 1 for firms reporting foreign assets or foreign income, 0
otherwise.
MNCxSIZE is the interaction of MNC and SIZE, and MNCxPTI is the interaction of
MNC and PTI. Table 1 contains the variable definitions.
[Insert Table 1]
11
(2)
12
i =1
j =1
k =1
12
+ i + 4 LOCATION
i =1
+ j +16 INDUS
j =1
+ k + 22 YEAR k +
(3
k =1
?)
i =1
j =1
(4)
+ k + 23YEARk +
k =1
Equation (4) decomposes total pre-tax income into U.S. and foreign pre-tax
income (USPTI and FORPTI) to test whether U.S. and foreign pre-tax income affect
13
worldwide ETRs differently. The amount of U.S. or foreign pre-tax income could be a
better proxy for a multinational corporation's ability to avoid income taxation than the
amount of total pre-tax income. Equations (5) and (6) (below) decompose equation (4)
further into U.S. and foreign ETRs:
12
+ i+ 5 LOCATION
i =1
+
j =1
j +17
INDUS
(5)
+ k + 23YEAR k +
k =1
12
+ i + 5 LOCATION
i =1
+
j =1
j + 17
INDUS
(6)
+ k + 23YEAR k +
k =1
where USETR (FORETR) is the ratio of U.S. (foreign) income taxes currently payable to
U.S. (foreign) pre-tax income. USSIZE (FORSIZE) is the natural log of U.S. (foreign) net
sales. All other variables are as defined above. I analyze the U.S. and foreign ETRs of
multinational corporations to determine whether the relations between ETRs and test
variables differ between the U.S. and foreign tax jurisdictions. I estimate equations (1) (4) using ordinary least squares, and equations (5) and (6) jointly using seemingly
unrelated regression analysis. Equations (5) and (6) are jointly estimated because their
error terms are likely correlated. For example, foreign operations can simultaneously
affect U.S. and foreign ETRs. Thus, the error terms of equations (5) and (6) are likely
14
correlated and seemingly unrelated regression accounts for this cross-equation error
correlation.
systematically different from the tax planning by U.S. corporations, I deleted foreign
incorporated firms from the initial sample (2,249 firm-year observations). I also deleted
observations with zero values in the denominator of a ratio (3,885 firm-years),
observations with negative assets or stockholders equity (3,820 firm-years), and
observations with missing ETR data (122 firm-years). I deleted banks, insurance carriers,
and utilities, because COMPUSTAT does not provide the domestic and foreign pre-tax
income of these companies (4,631 firm-years).
Previous ETR studies (Stickney and McGee, 1982; Zimmerman, 1983; Wilkie,
1988; Shevlin and Porter, 1992; Wilkie and Limberg, 1993; Manzon and Smith, 1994;
and Gupta and Newberry, 1997) have deleted firms with negative tax expense or negative
pre-tax income. Loss firms have different financial and tax reporting incentives and
ETRs with negative components do not have an economic interpretation.
To be
consistent with prior research, I have also deleted firm-year observations with income tax
expense or pre-tax income less than or equal to zero (17,271 firm-years). 17
Finally, I performed two actions to eliminate the effects of extreme values. First,
ETRs greater than 1 were re-coded as 1. 18 Second, I deleted observations (410 firm-
15
years) if they were in the top or bottom one percent of the return on assets distribution.
The final sample is 19,737 firm-year observations (5,379 firms). 19
[Insert Table 2]
with mean (median) total pre-tax income of $232.1 ($30.1) in the MNC sub-sample and
mean (median) total pre-tax income of $41.5 ($6.9) in the U.S. sub-sample. However,
the mean and median return on assets is similar between the two sub-samples.
[Insert Table 3]
In the MNC sub-sample, the mean (median) foreign ETR of .2679 (.2570) is
lower than the mean (median) worldwide ETR of .3228 (.3083), and lower than the mean
(median) U.S. ETR of .2871 (.2872). The mean and median U.S. ETRs for multinational
firms are very similar to the mean (median) worldwide ETRs of .2917 (.2981) in the U.S.
sub-sample.
These statistics suggest that foreign statutory tax rates have a negative
16
impact on worldwide ETRs and, on average, the income tax rates of the foreign countries
where U.S. multinational corporations pay taxes are lower than the U.S. tax rate.
Finally, the mean (median) extent of foreign operations (FOROPER) of the MNC
sub-sample is .1902 (.1431). Thus, the typical multinational firm has material foreign
operations, as well as greater overall sales and income than a purely domestic company.
However, return on assets and U.S. ETRs are strikingly similar between the two subsamples.
Panel C displays the frequencies of the control variables, LOCATION, INDUS,
and YEAR. While few firm-year observations report operations in the Middle East
(2.58%), Africa (3.53%), and Japan (5.68%), many firm-year observations report
operations in Europe (23.68%), Canada (18.42%), and Asia (14.56%).
The most
frequently reported industries are SIC codes 3000-4000 (32.2% of the sample), with
many firms also reporting SIC codes 2000-3000 (15.87%) and 5000-6000 (13.53%). 20
Unfortunately, 15.13% of the sample reported their SIC code as missing. 21 Finally, Panel
C shows that firm-year observations are fairly evenly distributed throughout 1990-1997,
with somewhat fewer observations originating in 1990 (10.63%) and 1991 (10.36%).
4. Results
4.1 Entire Sample
Table 4 presents the results of empirical tests using the entire sample of U.S.
multinational and domestic-only companies. In particular, Table 4 presents estimated
coefficients for equations (1) and (2). H1, H2, and H3 predict that larger firms with
17
greater income and more extensive foreign operations avoid more income taxes, resulting
in lower worldwide ETRs.
Inconsistent with H1, but consistent with the political cost hypothesis (e.g.,
Zimmerman, 1983; and Omer, Molloy, and Ziebart, 1993), the estimated coefficients on
SIZE in all regression specifications are significantly positive. Results from equation (1)
in Table 4 suggest that holding income constant, a 1 percent increase in worldwide sales
(SIZE) is associated with a .000499 absolute increase in worldwide ETRs. Consistent
with H2, the estimated coefficients on PTI in all regression specifications are
significantly negative. Results from equation (1) in Table 4 suggest that holding firm
size constant, a 1 percent increase in total pre-tax income is associated with a .000503
absolute decrease in worldwide ETRs. 22,23
[Insert Table 4]
Consistent with predictions, the estimated coefficient on the MNC dummy
variable in equation (1) in Table 4 is significantly negative (-0.0664), while that on
MNCxSIZE (MNCxPTI) is significantly positive 0.0336 (negative -0.0369). However,
these coefficients indicate a mean effect of MNC on worldwide ETRS of 0.0069, which
does not support H3. 24 H3 predicts that firms with more extensive foreign operations will
have lower worldwide ETRs, not higher worldwide ETRs.
location dummy variables are significant in equation (1), including Asia, Japan, Europe,
Oceania, and South America. Except for South America, these significance levels are
consistent throughout the entire analysis and will not be discussed further.
In additional tests of H3, equation (2) in Table 4 presents results that include the
extent of foreign operations variable (FOROPER). Consistent with equation (1), the
18
estimated coefficients are significantly positive (negative) on SIZE and MNCxSIZE (PTI
and MNCxPTI). The significantly negative estimated coefficient on FOROPER (-.0706)
supports H3 and indicates that even after controlling for multinational status (MNC,
which maintains a significantly negative estimated coefficient of -.0633), multinational
corporations with more extensive foreign operations have lower worldwide ETRs than
firms with less extensive foreign operations. This result is consistent with economies of
scope to tax planning. That is, firms with more extensive foreign operations are able to
perform more effective tax planning than firms with less extensive foreign operations.
However, the estimated coefficient on FOROPER2 is significantly positive (.1057),
indicating that the returns to tax planning decrease as multinational corporations continue
to expand their foreign operations. 25
19
Consistent with equations (1) and (2) and H2, the estimated coefficient on pre-tax
income is significantly negative in equation (3) (estimated coefficient = -.0889).
However, equation (4) decomposes worldwide pre-tax income into U.S. and foreign pretax income. This decomposition controls for the fact that the amount of U.S. or foreign
pre-tax income could be a better proxy for a multinational corporation's ability to avoid
income taxation than the amount of total pre-tax income. The results for equation (4) in
Table 5 show that larger amounts of U.S. and foreign pre-tax income are both associated
with lower worldwide ETRs. However, the estimated coefficient on U.S. pre-tax income
(-.0434) is of larger magnitude than that on foreign pre-tax income (-.0149).
Finally, consistent with H3, the estimated coefficients on FOROPER (-.0722) and
FOROPER2 (.1089) in equation (3) are similar to the estimated coefficients for the
broader sample of firms. Thus, firms with more extensive foreign operations report
lower worldwide ETRs, consistent with economies of scope to tax planning. However,
the returns to tax planning decrease as multinational corporations continue to expand
their foreign operations.
FOROPER2 (.0296) in equation (4) are consistent with this story, but only FOROPER is
statistically significant.
Table 6 presents results of regressions of U.S. and foreign ETRs on test and
control variables for the sample of multinational corporations only. In particular, Table 6
presents estimated coefficients for equations (5) and (6). I perform these regressions to
determine whether the relations between ETRs and test variables differ between the U.S.
and foreign tax jurisdictions. Consistent with Tables 4 and 5, the results in Table 6
indicate that holding income constant, larger firms have higher U.S. and foreign ETRs
20
(estimated coefficient on SIZE = .0663 in equation (5) and .0008 in equation (6)).
However, foreign ETRs are not significantly related to firm size.
[Insert Table 6]
Similar to equation (4), equations (5) and (6) contain both U.S. and foreign pretax income. I include both measures of income because the amount of income earned in
other tax jurisdictions can affect U.S. and foreign ETRs. For example, U.S. ETRs will be
higher in the year of foreign-source income repatriation for firms in an "excess limit"
foreign tax credit position. The U.S. ETRs will be higher because additional U.S. tax will
be due upon repatriation of the foreign-source income (so the numerator of ETRs will be
higher), but the repatriated income will be eliminated in the financial accounting
consolidation process (so the denominator of ETRs will not change). If foreign-source
income repatriations are correlated with foreign pre-tax income, then foreign pre-tax
income should be positively related to U.S. ETRs for firms in an "excess credit" foreign
tax credit position. 26 Further, income shifting between U.S. and foreign tax jurisdictions
could systematically affect U.S. and foreign ETRs. Consequently, I have included both
U.S. and foreign pre-tax income in equations (5) and (6) and I jointly estimate these
equations using seemingly unrelated regression methodology to account for the fact that
the error terms between these two equations are likely correlated.
Consistent with Tables 4 and 5 and H2, the results in Table 6 reveal that U.S. and
foreign ETRs are decreasing in U.S. pre-tax income. Thus, firms that report higher levels
of U.S. pre-tax income likely engage in multinational tax planning, which reduces their
U.S. and foreign tax burdens. However, the estimated coefficient on foreign pre-tax
income is positive and marginally significant in equation (5) (estimated coefficient =
21
variables does not change the sign or significance level of any of the estimated
coefficients in Tables 4, 5, or 6. Thomas (1988), Scholes, Wilson, and Wolfson (1990),
Shevlin (1990), Wang (1991), Manzon (1994), and Graham (1996) document the
22
importance of controlling for net operating losses (NOLs) when estimating marginal and
average effective tax rates.
carryforwards, nor the inclusion of the change in NOL carryforwards, qualitatively alters
the estimated coefficients in Tables 4, 5, or 6. 28
Although the most common definition of average ETR in previous research has
been the ratio of income taxes currently payable to pre-tax accounting income, some
studies have included deferred income taxes in the numerator, as well. To examine
whether my results are sensitive to the inclusion of deferred taxes, I performed the
regression analyses with ETRs that include both current and deferred income taxes in the
numerators.
23
significantly negative, and the estimated coefficients on MNCxSIZE and MNCxPTI are
no longer significant.
substantially more loss firm-years than the multinational sample, shifting the mean
worldwide ETR of the U.S. sample below that of the multinational sample. 29
Because Tables 4, 5, and 6 estimate regressions using pooled, cross-sectional
data, I investigated whether correlated error terms inflated the statistical significance of
my estimated coefficients. I estimated equations (2), (3), (5), and (6) on a year-by-year
basis and analyzed the estimated coefficients (untabulated). First, the year-by-year tstatistics for each regression are similar to those reported in Tables 4, 5, and 6. Second, I
computed Fama - MacBeth t-statistics, which also indicate that the year-by-year results
are qualitatively the same as those reported in Tables 4, 5, and 6. 30 Thus, I conclude that
correlated error terms do not account for the statistical significance of my results.
5. Conclusions
This paper investigates whether economies of scale and scope exist for tax
planning such that firms of greater economic scale and scope avoid more income taxes
than other firms.
compared to the ETRs of U.S. domestic-only companies. Relative to prior ETR research,
this study examines a larger sample of firms in a multivariate framework. For the time
period under investigation (1990 - 1997), I conclude that after controlling for pre-tax
income, foreign operations, industry membership, year, and geographic location, larger
firms have higher ETRs. This result holds under all regression specifications and is
24
consistent with some prior research, which concludes larger firms face political costs that
increase their ETRs.
I also document that after controlling for firm size, corporations with greater pretax income have lower ETRs. This result holds under all regression specifications and
suggests that firms with greater income avoid more income taxes than other firms. This
negative relation between ETRs and pre-tax income was not found in prior research,
which did not control for firm size.
corporations with more extensive foreign operations have lower worldwide, U.S., and
foreign ETRs.
Prior research, which finds that large firms report lower ETRs than
smaller firms, does not control for pre-tax income or the extent of foreign operations. I
conclude that the prior contradictory findings regarding the relation between ETRs and
firm size are likely due to model misspecification.
The empirical results for the sample of multinational corporations only are
substantially the same as those for the broader sample. However, the results show that
while higher levels of U.S. pre-tax income are associated with lower U.S. and foreign
ETRs, higher levels of foreign pre-tax income are associated with higher U.S. and foreign
ETRs.
Thus, large amounts of foreign pre-tax income are associated with higher
corporate tax burdens. Overall, this paper finds substantial evidence of economies of
scale and economies of scope to tax planning, and responds to Collins and Shackelford
(1999) who cite a lack of empirical evidence regarding the ability of multinational
corporations to pay less income tax than domestic-only firms.
25
For purposes of this paper, economic scale refers to the size of a firms operations and economic scope
refers to the range of a firms operations. Researchers frequently measure firm size with total assets,
equity, or sales, while range of operations can be measured by the number of industries a firm operates in,
the number of geographic locations, the extent of vertical integration, or the complexity of operations.
2
As used in this paper, the term 'tax avoidance' includes any tax planning method that taxpayers use to
legally reduce their income tax payments. Tax evasion (fraud) is not considered 'tax avoidance' for
purposes of this paper.
3
While firm size proxies for economic scale, pre-tax income proxies for both economic scale and scope in
See Siegfried (1972), U.S. Treasury (1978), Stickney and McGee (1982), and Zimmerman (1983).
See Zimmerman (1983) for a detailed discussion of the 'political cost hypothesis'.
See Kern and Morris (1992) for a reconciliation of Zimmerman's (1983) results to those of Porcano
(1986).
7
Hanlon and Shevlin (2002) and Manzon and Plesko (2002) document that the financial accounting rules
for non-qualified stock options (NQSOs) overstate current tax expense, and consequently, ETRs as defined
in this paper. The possible correlation of NQSO exercise with the independent variables in equations (1) (6) is a limitation of this study. In particular, the accounting for NQSOs may influence the finding that
larger firms pay more tax.
8
Mills (1998) documents that firms with greater book-tax differences have larger IRS audit adjustments,
Mackie (1999) also claims that higher profitability allows a firm to utilize net operating loss carryovers
from prior years. In fact, he cites rising profitability during the 1990's as the most important factor
explaining the fall in the average tax rate during that time period.
10
Large firms would have the capital necessary to finance the shelters discussed in the U.S. Treasury report
regarding corporate tax shelters (U.S. Department of Treasury, 1999). Several of these shelters involve the
26
complex use of flow-through entities, including contingent installment sale note transactions, liquidating
REIT shelters, and fast pay stock transactions.
11
In an unrelated project, I compared the 1992 corporate statutory tax rates of 60 countries (including
OECD countries) to that of the United States. I found that only 17 countries had corporate statutory tax
rates less than the U.S. statutory rate of 35 percent.
12
Excluding deferred taxes from the numerator of ETRs more closely reflects the time value of money,
since ceteris paribus firms defer payment of income taxes whenever possible. However, this definition of
ETRs is vulnerable to firms that manage accounting earnings (pre-tax income) upwards, without modifying
their taxable income. Inclusion of deferred taxes in the numerator of ETRs would control for such earnings
management activities, since income-increasing earnings management increases both the denominator (pretax income), and the numerator (deferred taxes) of ETRs. As discussed in section 4.3, inclusion of deferred
taxes in the numerator does not affect the main results of this paper, and thus I conclude that earnings
management does not drive the main results of this paper.
13
Since the natural log of any number between 0 and 1 is a negative number, I have added 1 (i.e., one
million dollars) to reported net sales and pre-tax income. The results are qualitatively the same without this
transformation. In addition, if I simply delete firm-year observations that report sales or pre-tax income
between 0 and 1, the results are qualitatively the same as those reported in Tables 4, 5, and 6.
14
The inclusion of year dummy variables assumes that year of observation influences all firms similarly.
Another approach is to average ETRs and explanatory variables over time, and to test the same relations. I
averaged ETRs, SIZE, and PTI over five years, then I interacted MNC with five-year average SIZE and
PTI and performed regressions similar to equation (1). While the adjusted R2 from this sensitivity analysis
drops to 1.66%, inferences are the same as those in Table 4.
15
COMPUSTAT provides geographic segment data that indicates whether a corporation reports operations
in specific geographic regions, including Africa, Asia, Middle East, Europe, Oceania (Australia and Pacific
countries), South America, and North America. I have used country specific data where available (Japan,
U.K., France, Germany, Canada, U.S., and Mexico).
16
While foreign sales and foreign operating profit are also available on COMPUSTATs geographic
segment data, foreign assets are the most reliable indicator of the location of a firms operating activities.
27
Foreign sales and operating profit are susceptible to manipulation through income shifting and tax
avoidance activities and thus are not as reliable indicators of the location of a firms operating activities.
Nonetheless, sensitivity tests were performed with sales and operating profit as indicators of the extent of
foreign operations. The results are substantially the same, regardless which definition of the extent of
foreign operations is used.
17
I also perform empirical tests on a sample that includes loss firms and controls for negative pre-tax
income and negative income tax expense. The results are qualitatively the same as those excluding loss
firms from the sample. See Table 7 and the discussion in Section 4.3 for further details.
18
Because I deleted loss firms in a previous step, no remaining firms reported ETRs < 0. However, 405
If I do not trim firm-year observations in the top and bottom one percent of the return on assets
distribution the results are qualitatively the same as those reported in Tables 4, 5, and 6.
20
SIC codes 3000-4000 include metal, machinery, equipment, and other heavy manufacturing firms. SIC
codes 2000-3000 include food, apparel, paper, and chemical products firms. SIC codes 5000-6000 include
wholesale and retail firms.
21
While these firm-year observations are included in Tables 2 and 3, they are excluded from Tables 4-6.
22
For example, if firm A doubles its total pre-tax income from $1,000,000 to $2,000,000 (i.e., pre-tax
income increases by 100%), its worldwide ETR will decrease 5.03%, which translates into $50,300 in tax
savings. If firm B doubles its total pre-tax income from $10 million to $20 million, its worldwide ETR will
also decrease by 5.03%, which translates into $503,000 in tax savings.
23
SIZE and PTI are highly correlated (Pearson correlation = .89), potentially causing multicollinearity
problems for equations (1), (2), and (3). Greene (p. 267) lists the symptoms of multicollinearity as: (1)
small changes in the data can produce wide swings in parameter estimates, (2) coefficients with large
standard errors and low significance levels, and (3) coefficients with the wrong sign or of implausible
magnitude. While the magnitudes of the estimated coefficients on SIZE and PTI vary somewhat in
sensitivity tests and between tables 4 and 5, the basic conclusions are always the same: WWETRs are
increasing in SIZE and decreasing in PTI. The sensitivity analyses included dropping SIZE (PTI) from
equations (1), (2), and (3). When SIZE (PTI) is dropped from these equations, the estimated coefficient on
28
PTI (SIZE) is attenuated toward zero, but still significantly negative (positive). Thus, while
multicollinearity causes the economic significance of the estimated coefficients to be sensitive to sample
selection and model specification, multicollinearity does not affect the basic inferences from Tables 4 and
5. Finally, the decomposition of PTI into USPTI and FORPTI in equation (4) reduces the degree of
multicollinearity and results in the same conclusion: WWETRs are increasing in SIZE and decreasing in
PTI.
24
Since mean SIZE = 5.2251 and mean PTI = 2.7706, the mean effect of MNC on WWETR = -0.0664 +
Untabulated analysis based upon equation (2) in Table 4 indicates that, holding all other variables
constant at their sample means, firms with FOROPER between 35 and 40 percent have the lowest
worldwide ETRs.
26
The Internal Revenue Service reports that the majority of U.S. multinational corporations are in an
"excess limit" foreign tax credit position. See "Corporation Foreign Tax Credit, 1995" in the Statistics of
Income Bulletin, Fall 1999.
27
The estimated coefficients for equations (5) and (6) using seemingly unrelated regression (SUR)
estimation are substantially the same as those using OLS estimation. For example, the coefficients on
USPTI and FORPTI in equation (5) are -0.0726 and 0.0032 using OLS, and -0.073 and 0.003 using SUR.
The similar coefficients are likely due to the low cross model error correlation of -0.0492.
28
The estimated coefficients on the NOL dummy variable and the change in NOL carryforwards variable
Univariate statistics indicate that the frequency of losses in the U.S. domestic-only sample is twice as
Fama and MacBeth (1973, 619) estimate two-parameter models using panel data and test the hypothesis
that the estimated coefficients (on a month-by-month basis) are equal to 0 with the following t-statistic (t): t
= (average of estimated coefficients) / (standard deviation of estimated coefficients / square root of the
number of estimated coefficients).
29
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33
Table 1
Variable Definitions
Variable
Definition
WWETR
USETR
FORETR
PTI
USPTI
FORPTI
SIZE
USSIZE*
FORSIZE*
ROA
USROA*
FORROA*
FOROPER*
MNC
MNCxPTI
MNCxSIZE
COMPUSTAT Item:
#170
#272
#273
(#12)
(#12 - G.S.#1)
(G.S.#1)
#170 / #6
#272 / (#6 G.S.#5)
#273 / G.S.#5
G.S.#5 / #6
INDUS
= dummy variables for 1-digit SIC codes
YEAR
= dummy variables for year of observation
*
LOCATION = dummy variables for location of foreign assets
*
34
DNUM
YEAR
GAREA
Table 2
Sample Selection Procedures
35
52,125
(2,249)
(3,885)
(3,820)
(122)
(4,631)
(17,271)
(410)
19,737
Table 3
Descriptive Statistics for the Multinational Sub-Sample and the U.S. Domestic-Only
Sub-Sample (In millions of dollars, except for ratios)
Panel A: Multinational Sub-Sample (n=7,463 firm-year observations)
Variable
Mean
Std Dev
Q1
Median
Q3
WWETR
USETR
FORETR
0.3228
0.2871
0.2679
0.1867
0.2034
0.2585
0.2216
0.1633
0
0.3083
0.2872
0.2570
0.3747
0.3612
0.4084
Total PTI
U.S. PTI
Foreign PTI
232.1
158.3
73.3
815.0
603.7
316.6
8.0
5.2
0
30.1
20.8
3.3
129.0
89.3
23.8
Total Assets
U.S. Assets
Foreign Assets
2,646.9
2,002.5
644.4
11,151.7
8,491.6
3,430.6
98.3
79.9
0
325.7
258.5
23.3
1,422.0
1,074.0
212.6
2,594.7
1,825.0
769.7
9,132.4
6,234.1
4,323.5
121.2
92.8
0
385.5
294.1
31.5
1,563.1
1,214.5
248.6
ROA
U.S. ROA
Foreign ROA
0.1084
0.1062
0.0847
0.0710
0.1569
0.1761
0.0561
0.0490
0
0.0956
0.0942
0.0650
0.1461
0.1502
0.1371
FOROPER
0.1902
0.1930
0.1431
0.3020
0.2917
0.1758
0.1973
0.2981
0.3540
Total PTI
Total Assets
Total Net Sales
41.5
549.6
593.7
178.9
3,395.2
2,227.2
2.0
25.9
31.3
6.9
72.9
97.1
22.0
246.1
325.7
ROA
0.1106
0.0777
0.0520
0.0939
0.1509
36
Table 3 - Continued
Panel C: Frequency of Location, Industry, and Year Dummy Variables for the Entire Sample
Variable
Frequency % of Firms
AFRICA
ASIA
JAPAN
MIDDEAST
EUROPE
UK
FRANCE
GERMANY
OCEANIA
SAMERICA
CANADA
MEXICO
696
2,874
1,121
509
4,674
3,237
1,603
1,888
2,139
1,852
3,636
1,633
3.53%
14.56%
5.68%
2.58%
23.68%
16.40%
8.12%
9.57%
10.84%
9.38%
18.42%
8.27%
735
3,132
6,356
611
2,671
2,340
905
2,987
19,737
3.72%
15.87%
32.20%
3.10%
13.53%
11.86%
4.59%
15.13%
100%
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
2,099
2,044
2,251
2,452
2,719
2,773
2,693
2,706
19,737
10.63%
10.36%
11.40%
12.42%
13.78%
14.05%
13.64%
13.71%
100%
37
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
0.2077
22.71***
0.2078
22.73***
0.0499
24.28***
0.0499
24.32***
-0.0503
-21.43 ***
-0.0504
-21.47 ***
OPER
-0.0706
-2.48***
OPER2
0.1057
2.61 ***
-0.0664
-6.11***
-0.0633
-5.74***
xSIZE
0.0336
9.82 ***
0.0339
9.91 ***
xPTI
-0.0369
0.011
-10.24 ***
1.42
-0.0368
0.0106
-10.22 ***
1.38
0.016
3.52###
0.016
3.51###
DEAST
0.0252
0.0078
0.0249
-0.0079
MANY
0.0119
0.0024
0.0031
0.0067
4.36###
-0.93
2.73###
0.57
0.51
1.18
0.013
0.003
0.0028
0.0066
4.3 ###
-0.94
2.97###
0.71
0.46
1.17
ANIA
0.0186
3.71###
0.019
3.79###
ERICA
ADA
-0.0112
-0.0055
0.0034
-2.09##
-1.44
0.65
-0.0111
-0.0052
0.0035
-2.05##
-1.36
0.68
ted R2
10.44%
10.47%
ble presents the results of OLS regressions of worldwide effective tax rates (WWETR) on: the natural log
ales (SIZE), the natural log of pre-tax accounting income (PTI), a multinational dummy variable (MNC),
raction of MNC and SIZE (MNCxSIZE), the interaction of MNC and PTI (MNCxPTI), the extent of foreign
ons (FOROPER), the extent of foreign operations squared (FOROPER2), geographic dummy variables (LOCATIONi ),
y dummy variables (INDUSj), and year dummy variables (YEARk). The estimated coefficients for the industry
ar dummy variables are not tabulated, but are available upon request from the author. The sample contains 16,750
(1)
(2)
38
Table 5
Multinational Corporations Only - Results of Worldwide ETR Regression Analysis
(3)
(4)
OLS Estimation
OLS Estimation
WWETR
WWETR
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
***
Intercept
0.1279
6.81
SIZE
0.0865
28.92
PTI
-0.0889
-30.63***
***
0.2013
11.02
0.0496
24.01
USPTI
-0.0434
-30.63***
FORPTI
-0.0149
-10.89***
***
***
FOROPER
-0.0722
-2.46***
-0.0447
-1.52*
FOROPER2
0.1089
2.61***
0.0296
0.71
Adjusted R2
13.44%
14.01%
Notes:
** *
This table presents the results of OLS regressions of worldwide effective tax rates (WWETR) on: the natural
log of net sales (SIZE), the natural log of pre-tax accounting income (PTI, USPTI, FORPTI), the extent
of foreign operations (FOROPER), the extent of foreign operations squared (FOROPER2), geographic
dummy variables (LOCATION i), industry dummy variables (INDUSTRYj ), and year dummy variables
(YEARk). The estimated coefficients for the location, industry, and year dummy variables are not tabulated
but are available upon request from the author. The WWETR regression contains 6,740 firm-year
observations from 1990 - 1997.
WWETR = 0 + a 1 SIZE + 2 PTI + 3 FOROPER + 4 FOROPER 2 + 5-16 LOCATION
+ 17-22 INDUS + 23-29 YEAR + e
(3)
(4)
39
Table 6
Multinational Corporations Only - Results of U.S. and Foreign ETR Regression Analysis
(5) and (6)
Seemingly Unrelated Regression
USETR
FORETR
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
***
Intercept
0.1592
6.62
USSIZE
FORSIZE
0.0663
19.36
0.2838
9.57
***
***
***
0.0008
0.31
-0.0115
-3.58***
USPTI
-0.073
-23.21
FORPTI
0.003
1.5*
0.0347
13.39***
FOROPER
-0.0361
-0.98
-0.3131
-4.6***
FOROPER2
0.1736
3.19***
0.1875
2.18**
Adjusted R2
10.21%
Notes:
/* represents significance at the 10/5/1 percent level in one-sided t-tests.
This table presents the results of regressions of U.S. and foreign effective tax rates (USETR, FORETR) on:
the natural log of net sales (USSIZE, FORSIZE), the natural log of pre-tax accounting income (USPTI, FORPTI),
the extent of foreign operations (FOROPER), the extent of foreign operations squared (FOROPER2 ),
geographic dummy variables (LOCATIONi ), industry dummy variables (INDUSTRYj), and year dummy variables
(YEARk). The estimated coefficients for the location, industry, and year dummy variables are not tabulated
but are available upon request from the author. The USETR and FORETR regressions contain 5,216 firm-year
(5)
(6)
40
Coefficient
Estimate T Statistic
Intercept
0.2734
49.24***
0.2734
49.25***
SIZE
0.0174
25.73***
0.0174
25.76***
-0.0145
-17.72***
-0.0145
-17.74***
-0.0505
-2.38***
0.0857
2.93***
FOROPER
FOROPER2
***
***
MNC
MNCxSIZE
MNCxPTI
0.0164
-0.0012
-0.0006
2.78
-0.99
-0.71
0.0178
-0.0009
-0.0006
2.86
-0.77
-0.66
BOOKLOSS
-0.3798
-75.72***
-0.3801
-75.75***
TAXLOSS
-0.2906
-89.45***
-0.2906
-89.44***
DOUBLOSS
0.3965
73.73***
0.3967
73.75***
Adjusted R2
47.48%
47.49%
Notes:
/* represents significance at the 10/5/1 percent level in one-sided t-tests.
## #
This table presents the results of OLS regressions of worldwide effective tax rates (WWETR) on: the natural
log of net sales (SIZE), the natural log of pre-tax accounting income (PTI), a multinational dummy variable
(MNC), the interaction of MNC and SIZE (MNCxSIZE), the interaction of MNC and PTI (MNCxPTI), the extent
of foreign operations (FOROPER), the extent of foreign operations squared (FOROPER2 ), dummy variables for
book losses (BOOKLOSS), tax losses (TAXLOSS), and both book and tax losses (DOUBLOSS), geographic
dummy variables (LOCATION i), industry dummy variables (INDUS j), and year dummy variables (YEARk).
The estimated coefficients for the geographic, industry, and year dummy variables are not tabulated, but are
available upon request from the author. The sample contains 30,414 firm-year observations from 1990-1997.
2
WWETR = 0 + 1 SIZE + 2 PTI + 3 FOROPER + 4 FOROPER + 5 MNC
+ a6MNCxSIZE + 7 MNCxPTI + 8 BOOKLOSS + 9 TAXLOSS
+ 10 DOUBLOSS + 11-22 LOCATION + 23-28 INDUS + 29-35 YEAR +
41
(1)
(2)