2 March Openingbell
2 March Openingbell
March 2, 2015
Key Developments
11-Feb
BSE (RHS)
For the first time, the government highlighted its fiscal roadmap and
aims to achieve its fiscal deficit target of 3.9% in FY16E; 3.5% in
FY17E and 3% in FY18E
On the tax receipt front, the government is targeting 15.2% YoY
growth in gross tax revenues for FY16E vs. 9.9% in FY15E. However,
net tax revenues may grow 1% YoY in FY16E given cooperative
federalism on display
Diesel, petrol prices have been increased by | 3.09 per litre, and |
3.18 per litre, respectively. ATF prices have been increased 8.2%
while rates of non-subsidised LPG have been increased by | 5 per
cylinder
As per media sources, the government has told the nominated
authority in charge of e-auctioning coal blocks to re-examine the bid
process for the Gare Palma IV/1, Gare Palma IV/2&3 and Marki
Mangli 3 coal blocks
PSU oil companies will invest over | 76,565 crore on project
expansion during 2015-16, up 5% over the previous fiscal
Royal Enfield recorded a strong sales month for February 2015 with
49% YoY growth at 30,240 units
Sensex
Nifty
28-Feb
25000
26-Feb
26000
8000
24-Feb
27000
8200
20-Feb
28000
8400
18-Feb
29000
8600
13-Feb
30000
8800
9-Feb
9000
5-Feb
Markets Yesterday
Domestic markets ended positive as traders after analysing the
Union Budgets impacts, went for selective buying taking the
markets to a respectable high
On Friday, US markets ended negative partly reflecting profit taking
following recent market strength, along with a slew of US economic
data including downward revision to the pace of economic growth in
the fourth quarter
Todays Highlights
3-Feb
Market Outlook
Indian markets are expected to open positive as the first NDA budget
was balanced between growth and fiscal prudence. Though the fiscal
roadmap has been stretched by a year, incremental spending in
infrastructure is positive.
NSE (LHS)
Institutional Activity
FII (| cr)
DII (| cr)
CY13
112,221
-73,385
CY14
99,525
-30,570
YTD CY15
26,723
-6,270
France
4,951
7.1%
Nasdaq
4,964
6.0%
Nikkei
18,847
5.8%
Dow Jones
18,133
4.3%
U.K.
6,947
2.0%
Kospi
1,989
1.7%
NSE
8,902
1.1%
BSE
29,362
0.6%
Shanghai
3,321
-1.3%
185.2
5.6%
173.3
4.8%
3,753.5
4.1%
155.9
3.3%
612.6
2.7%
1,747.0
2.4%
325.0
1.7%
1,071.2
1.5%
2,296.5
0.3%
746.2
-0.2%
Tata
power
ICICI Bank
Ambuja
Cement
Tech M.
86.9
5.6%
346.2
4.3%
272.1
3.7%
2,863.3
3.2%
Tata
Motors
593.4
Indusind
Bank
916.6
Bharti
Airtel
356.3
Sun
Pharma
911.0
Kotak
Bank
1,397.1
ITC
2.6%
2.3%
1.7%
1.5%
0.3%
361.4
-0.5%
JSPL
Sesa
Sterlite
SBI
Maruti
M&M
ACC
RIL
Cairn
India
TCS
Wipro
195.8
5.2%
217.6
4.3%
301.7
3.6%
3,620.9
3.1%
1,292.0
2.5%
1,678.1
2.0%
865.2
1.6%
254.8
0.9%
2,675.3
0.2%
659.2
-0.5%
Ultratech
PNB
DLF
Power
Grid
BHEL
Asian
Paints
Tata Steel
Dr Reddy
HDFC Ltd
GAIL
3,135.8
5.0%
165.6
4.1%
155.4
3.6%
156.9
2.8%
262.2
2.4%
818.6
1.9%
355.3
1.6%
3,349.1
0.8%
1,335.2
0.1%
413.3
-1.0%
L&T
NMDC
Hindalco
Coal India
HCL Tech
Hero
Moto
Cipla
Bajaj Auto
HUL
United
Spirits
1,768.1
4.8%
139.1
4.1%
152.9
3.6%
394.0
2.8%
2,020.7
2.4%
2,684.7
1.9%
682.1
1.6%
2,153.5
0.7%
910.1
0.1%
3,420.2
-1.6%
Markets Today
Close Previous
Commodities
Gold (|/10 gm)
Silver (|/kg)
Crude ($/barrel)
Copper ($/tonne)
Currency
USD/INR
EUR/USD
USD/YEN
ADRs
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Tata Motors
Infosys
Dr Reddys Labs
YTD(%)
26,952
36,602
62.3
5924
26,902
36,565
62.6
5917.5
0.2
0.1
-0.5
0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.5
0.0
-0.3
0.2
8.6
-7.0
61.84
1.12
119.86
61.76
1.12
119.63
0.1
-0.2
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.2
1.9
-7.6
-0.1
62.0
11.7
49.2
36.7
52.7
61.2
11.1
48.7
36.6
52.7
1.4
4.8
1.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
NA
-2.8
4.5
1.3
22.2
NA
16.4
16.7
4.4
Sectoral Index
Sector
4,231
21,350
4,357
25,714
10000
4,868
23,260
20000
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
BSE Cash
NSE Cash
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
368,210
23-Feb
173,326
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
581,564
27-Feb
28-Feb
NSE Derivative
Previous
Change
% Change
Volume
Auto
19982.7
19769.7
213.0
1.1
1873000
Banks
22573.0
21858.5
714.5
3.3
14454000
11266.4
11319.6
-53.1
-0.5
68612000
Capital Goods
17779.5
17825.1
-45.6
-0.3
36459000
Consumer Durables
10388.1
10605.5
-217.3
-2.0
1049000
8222.4
8573.0
-350.6
-4.1
5808000
Healthcare
15854.6
15539.5
315.1
2.0
1096000
IT
11969.5
11879.0
90.4
0.8
687000
Metals
10569.7
10592.5
-22.9
-0.2
6924000
Mid Cap
10810.9
10811.5
-0.6
0.0
141150000
9685.7
9601.9
83.8
0.9
2441000
Power
2269.1
2295.4
-26.4
-1.1
49913000
PSU
8102.5
8128.8
-26.2
-0.3
26132000
Real Estate
1821.9
1838.5
-16.6
-0.9
39369000
FMCG
30000
4,413
16,547
Prior Values
5,323.81bln IN
10.1bln $
25.4bln $
334.19bln $
5.30%
4.50%
34.83bln $
3.80%
3.00%
38.6bln $
9.43bln $
5.20%
-7.80%
0.11%
1.57%
4.00%
7.75%
6.75%
427,646
Latest Values
23.88bln $
7.50%
4.70%
32.21bln $
1.70%
2.10%
8.32bln $
8.00%
-10.69%
-0.39%
1.05%
4.00%
7.75%
6.75%
3,624
17,657
Release Date
2-Mar
02~13Mar
13-Feb
6-Mar
9-Feb
30-May
13-Feb
12-Feb
12-Feb
02~13Mar
13-Feb
16-Feb
16-Feb
16-Feb
16-Feb
3-Feb
3-Feb
3-Feb
387,761
Period
Jan
Q4
Jan
w/e
Q3
12M
Jan
Dec
Dec
Q4
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
N/A
N/A
N/A
3,571
17,308
330,804
IT
Capital Goods
Metals
Power
Healthcare
Mid Cap
Real Estate
Auto
BSE Small
Banks
FMCG
PSU
Consumer
Oil & Gas
7.1
4.0
3.7
2.0
1.2
0.7
0.6
0.0
-0.6
-0.6
-0.6
-1.2
-2.5
-4.5
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
(%)
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Company/Industry
BFSI
News
Composite holding has been propsed to be
reined. FPI and FII limit will be done away, as
per Budget. Currently, composite holding in
banks is allowed till 74% with FII limit at 49%
The government has announced in the Union Subsidy rationalisation will reduce the
Budget that it is committed to rationalise overall under recovery and be positive
subsidies
for the PSU oil & gas companies
View
Banks like Axis Bank and IndusInd Bank
have windows to raise foreign holding.
Axis Bank's current foreign holding is at
52% with FII holding near its limit of
49%. FPI, FII can increase their holding
by 10% to 62% (Axis Bank has approval
of 62%) and a further 10% to 74%
through regulatory approval
Impact
Ashoka Buildcon Ashoka Buildcon has received a letter of Addition of this into ABLs current order
acceptance (LoA) from Ministry of Road book of | 3,381 crore i.e. implying book
Transport and Highways Government of India to bill of 2.1x TTM construction revenues
(MoRTH), for the project viz. engineering, provide strong revenue visbility, going
procurement and construction of Rehabilitation ahead
and Upgrading to two lanes of MadhugiriChikkaballapura Mulbagal Section in Karnataka
under Phase-I of National Highways Interconnectivity Improvement Projects (NHIIP). The
accepted project cost is | 219.40 crore
Bhel, L&T
Announcement of five new ultra mega power Strong ordering opportunity for
projects, each of 4000 MW, in the plug-and-play generation equipment players like Bhel
and L&T
mode in Budget 2015-16
NTPC
Budget 2015-16 has proposed to increase the The increase of coal cess from | 100 to |
coal cess by 100% from | 100/tonne to | 200 200 per tonne is likely to have a neutral
impact on NTPC as it is a pass through
tonne
for the company
Sensex Chart
Technical Outlook
Pivot Points
Index/Stocks
Close
29361.50
8901.85
1678.10
697.50
330.75
1720.95
109.15
272.10
153.80
85.45
1314.20
175.00
306.55
69.85
818.60
1083.45
612.60
2153.45
SENSEX
NIFTY
ACC
ADANI ENTER.
ADANI PORT
ADITYA BIRLA
ALLAHABAD BANK
AMBUJA CEMENT
AMTEK AUTO
ANDHRA BANK
APOLLO HOSP.ENT.
APOLLO TYRES
ARVIND
ASHOK LEYLAND
ASIAN PAINTS
AUROBINDO PHARMA
AXIS BANK
BAJAJ AUTO
S1
29314.70
8883.30
1664.15
683.40
318.70
1686.00
109.05
271.00
150.75
85.30
1311.95
171.15
306.30
69.25
816.20
1072.80
605.35
2151.85
S2
29145.15
8835.85
1651.80
677.05
313.15
1677.75
107.85
268.90
149.80
84.60
1305.20
169.50
302.95
67.75
811.00
1054.55
591.30
2138.50
R1
29653.90
8978.20
1688.80
699.55
334.55
1717.95
111.45
275.20
153.95
86.75
1325.45
175.70
312.95
72.25
826.65
1109.35
633.40
2178.55
R2
29780.70
9021.45
1701.15
707.60
342.45
1733.95
113.00
277.85
155.55
87.60
1333.40
178.00
314.95
72.80
830.95
1114.70
638.40
2191.95
86
100.0
12
59
25
26
21
33
116
3
4
2
50.0
56
75
43
0.0
50.0
Call
Put
Trend
Trend Reversal
Support
Resistance
20 Days EMA
200 days EMA
Intraday
Short Term
Up
8840
8860-8820
8941-8996
0
0
Up
8670
8670
9370
8755
7994
Advances / Declines
Advances
1187
592
BSE
NSE
Declines
1548
860
5
40
Nifty
14
52
Trend
+ve
+ve
Neutral
-ve
-ve
-ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
100.0
150.0
Unchanged
139
68
Results/Events Calendar
09
February
Monday
Navneet Education
L&T, JK Tyres
BOI, Mangalam Cement
India 4Q GDP YoY
0
16
February
Monday
23
February
Monday
10
11
February
Tuesday
Motherson Sumi
Cadila Healthcare
ENIL, CARE, JP Associates
India Imports/Exports YoY
0
17
18
February
Tuesday
24
25
February
Tuesday
0
0
0
0
0
02
March
Monday
09
March
Monday
03
04
March
10
11
March
Tuesday
Event
HSBC India Manu. PMI
HSBC China Manu. PMI
Japan Manufacturing PMI
Markit Eurozone Manu. PMI
Markit UK PMI Manu. SA
CPI Core YoY
Markit US Manu. PMI
PPI YoY
HSBC India Services PMI
HSBC India Composite PMI
HSBC China Composite PMI
HSBC China Services PMI
Japan Services PMI
Japan Composite PMI
Eurozone Services PMI
Eurozone Composite PMI
US Composite PMI
US Services PMI
05
March
12
March
27
Thursday
06
March
Friday
13
March
Thursday
Friday
21
February
28
February
Saturday
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
07
March
Friday
March
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
14
March
Friday
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
February
February
February
Thursday
Friday
KSB Pumps
Japan Manu. PMI
Eurozone Manu. PMI
US Manu. PMI
0
February
Wednesday
20
Thursday
14
February
February
US CPI YoY
UK GDP YoY
US Initial Jobless Claims
US Continuing Claims
0
Wednesday
26
February
Wednesday
Thursday
Castrol
India Eight Infrastructure Ind.
HSBC China Manu. PMI
0
0
Tuesday
19
February
13
February
Wednesday
Ambuja Cement
SKF India
US Ind. Prod. MoM
US Manu. (SIC) Prod.
0
UK CPI YoY
0
0
0
0
12
February
Wednesday
March
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
Bulk Deals
CountryPeriod
IN
Feb
CH
Feb F
JN
Feb F
EC
Feb F
Feb
UK
EC
Feb A
US
Feb F
EC
Jan
IN
Feb
IN
Feb
CH
Feb
CH
Feb
JN
Feb
JN
Feb
EC
Feb F
EC
Feb F
US
Feb F
US
Feb F
Expected Previous
-52.9
50.1
50.1
-51.5
-51.1
53.3
53.0
0.50%
0.60%
54.2
54.3
-3.10% -2.70%
-52.4
-53.3
-51.0
-51.8
-51.3
-51.7
-53.9
-53.5
-56.8
54.7
57.0
No. of
shares Price (|)
Company
BSE*
Delta Leasing Finance Ltd.
Client Name
Type
Buy
130,571
45.9
NSE*
--
--
--
--
--
Recent Releases
Date
Report
28 February 2015
27 February 2015
26 February 2015
26 February 2015
26 February 2015
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ICICI Securities Limited,
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Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
[email protected]
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subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.