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IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd Edition 1

This document contains 8 mathematics problems involving probability concepts such as tree diagrams, conditional probability, and independent events. The problems provide fully worked solutions and specify the marks awarded for correct steps. The key information is that the document contains example probability problems and solutions with marking schemes. It assess students' understanding of core probability topics.

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Julio César Macías Zamora
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© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as RTF, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
59 views8 pages

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd Edition 1

This document contains 8 mathematics problems involving probability concepts such as tree diagrams, conditional probability, and independent events. The problems provide fully worked solutions and specify the marks awarded for correct steps. The key information is that the document contains example probability problems and solutions with marking schemes. It assess students' understanding of core probability topics.

Uploaded by

Julio César Macías Zamora
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as RTF, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1.

(a)

(A1)(A1)(A1) (C3) Note: Award (A1) for 0.25, (A1) for 0.1 and 0.9, (A1) for 0.05 and 0.95. (b) P(late) = 0.25 0.1 + 0.75 0.05 (A1)(ft)(M1) Note: Award (A1)(ft) for two correct products from their diagram and award (M1) for addition of their two products.

1 , 6.25% = 0.0625 16

(A1)(ft) (C3)
[6]

2.

(a)

(i)

0 a = 0 4 3 b = 4 (0.75, 75%) 4 3 5 4 12 3 , 0.6, 60% 20 5

(A1)

(ii)

(A2)(G2)

(iii)

(M1)(A1) (A1)(ft)(G2) Note: Award (M1) for multiplying two probabilities, (A1) for using their probabilities, (A1) for answer.

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

(b)

(A1)(A1)(A1) Note: Award (A1) for each pair.

(c)

(i)

(M1)(M1) 5 1 , 0.25, 25% 20 4 = (A1)(ft)(G2) Note: Award (M1) for two products seen with numbers from the problem, (M1) for adding two products. Follow through from their tree diagram. 1 3 2 10 1 4 3 = 5 (0.6, 60%)

1 3 1 1 + 2 10 2 5

(ii)

(M1)(A1)

(A1)(ft)(G2) Note: Award (M1) for substituted conditional probability formula, (A1) for correct substitution. Follow through from their part (b) and part (c) (i).
[15]

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

3.

(a)

(A3) Note: Award (A1) for each correct pair.

(b)

77 , 61.6% 0.7 0.88 = 0.616 125 (M1)(A1)(ft)(G2) Note: Award (M1) for multiplying the correct probabilities.
0.3 0.25 + 0.7 0.88 (M1)(M1) Notes: Award (M1) for a relevant two-factor product, could be S NP OR L NP. Award (M1) for summing 2 two-factor products.

(c)

691 , 69.1% 1000 P = 0.691


Notes: (ft) from their answer to (b).

(A1)(ft)(G2)

(d)

0.616 0.691

(M1)(A1) Note: Award (M1) for substituted conditional probability formula, (A1) for correct substitution.

616 , 89.1% P = 0.891 691

(A1)(ft)(G2)
[11]

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

4.

(a)

(A1)(A1)(A1) (C3) Note: Award (A1) for each correct pair. (b) 0.7 0.1

7 = 0.07 ( 100 , 7%)


(c) 0.3 0.8 + 0.07 31 = 0.31 ( 100 , 31%)

(A1)(ft) (C1) (M1)

(A1)(ft) (C2) Note: In (b) and (c) follow through from sensible answers only i.e. not a probability greater than one.
[6]

5.

(a)

(i)

P (a dog is grey and has the yellow bowl)

1 1 1 = = (= 0.111) 3 3 9

(M1)(A1)(G2)

Note: The (M1) is for multiplying two values along any branch of the tree. (ii)

2 ( = 0.667(3 sf) or 0.6) P (dog does not get yellow bowl) = 3

(A1)

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

(b)

(i)

1 1 , The tree diagram should show the values 2 2 for the brown branch(A1) 1 3 , and 4 4 in the correct positions for the grey branch. (A1)(ft)
Note: Follow through if the branches are interchanged.

(ii)

P (the dog is grey or is playing with a stick, but not both)

1 3 2 1 = + 3 4 3 2 = 7 ( = 0.583) 12

(M1) (A1)(ft)(G1)

Notes: The (M1) is for showing two correct products (whether added or not). Follow through from b(i).

1 1 + Award (M1) for 3 4 (must be a sum).


(iii) P (dog is grey given that it is playing with stick) 1 1 p (G S ) 1 5 3 4 = or P( S ) 2 1 1 1 12 12 + 3 2 3 4

(M1)(A1)(ft)

Note: (M1) for substituted conditional probability formula, (A1) for correct substitutions.

1 = ( = 0.2) 5
(iv)

(A1)(ft)(G2)

P (grey and fed from yellow bowl and not playing with stick) 3 1 1 3 1 = ( = = 0.0833 3 sf). 36 = 3 3 4 12 (M1) (A1)(ft)(G1) Note: (M1) is for product of 3 reasonable probability values.

9
[12]

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

6.

(a) (A1)

(A1)

(A1)

(A1)

Note: Award (A1) for correct tree structure, (A1) for each complementary pair.

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

(b)

(i)

1 1 2 10 1 (0.05, 5%) 20
Note: Award (M1) for correct product.

(M1) (A1)(ft)(G2)

(ii)

1 1 1 1 + 2 10 2 5

(M1)(M1)

Note: Award (M1) for finding two products, (M1) for adding two products.

=
1 1 2 5 3 20

3 (0.15, 15%) 20

(A1)(ft)(G2)

(c)

(M1) Note: Award (M1) for using the conditional probability formula.

2 = , (0.667) 3

(A1)(A1)(ft) or (G3) Note: Award (A1) for correct numerator, (A1) for correct denominator.
[12]

7.

(a) 0 .9 0 .6 5 0 .3 5 0 .1 0 .8 0 .2 0 .6 0 .4 1 (A1)(A1) (C2)

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

(b)

0.65 0.1 (= 0.065) 0.35 0.8 0.4 (= 0.112) 0.35 0.2 1 the 1 can be implied (= 0.07) 0.247 Note: No (ft) for any probabilities greater than 1.

(A1) (A1) (A1)(ft) (A1)(ft) (C4)


[6]

8.

(a)

(A1)(A1)(A1) Note: (A1) for 0.8, (A1) for 0.7, (A1) for 0.6 and 0.4. (b) (i) (ii) 0.2 0.7 = 0.14 Note: (M1) for multiplying correct numbers. 0.2 0.3 + 0.8 0.6 = 0.54 (M1)(A1)(ft) (G2) (M1)(M1)

(A1)(ft)(G2) Note: (M1) for each correct product (use candidates tree), (A1)(ft) for answer.
[8]

IB Questionbank Mathematical Studies 3rd edition

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