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GAL Workshop Inno58h

The document summarizes a futures workshop held by the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC). The FFRC conducts research and education programs in futures studies. The workshop introduced futures concepts and techniques including forecasting, foresight, megatrends and trends. Participants took part in group exercises to envision possible futures, including exploring the basic needs behind topics, drawing mind maps, and environmental scanning. They also discussed potential "black swan" events and tested future scenarios using an online simulation tool. The goal was to help participants better understand futures concepts and face an uncertain future proactively.

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Anna-Greta Nyström
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32 views13 pages

GAL Workshop Inno58h

The document summarizes a futures workshop held by the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC). The FFRC conducts research and education programs in futures studies. The workshop introduced futures concepts and techniques including forecasting, foresight, megatrends and trends. Participants took part in group exercises to envision possible futures, including exploring the basic needs behind topics, drawing mind maps, and environmental scanning. They also discussed potential "black swan" events and tested future scenarios using an online simulation tool. The goal was to help participants better understand futures concepts and face an uncertain future proactively.

Uploaded by

Anna-Greta Nyström
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Futuresworkshop INNO58Hworkingday 5.4.

2013
JohannaOllila&SariMieDnen FinlandFuturesResearchCentre

Tulevaisuudentutkimuskeskus/ FinlandFuturesResearchCentre(FFRC)
Futuresstudies25ECTS,MastersProgrammeinFuturesStudies, GraduateSchool(UTU) Foundedin1992,oneofthestrategicfocusareasatUniversityof Turku OcesinTurku,HelsinkiandTampere,personnelaround55 Ongoingresearch,developmentandeducaXonprojects:about100 AnnualinternaXonalconference:FuturesforFood,InJune672013 inTurku(www.futuresconference.) www.utu./rc

Futuresworkshopow
9.009.30Facingthefuture 9.3012.00Futuresworkshop Futureswheel Break Futurestable Storyofafuture Discussion

Howtofacethefuture
Passive:whathappened? Youanalyseagersomethinghaschanged Reac+ve:whenhappens Youreacttoachangewhenitishappening Preac+ve:ifhappens YououtlineseveralpossibiliXesandgetreadytoreacttoanyof them Proac+ve:letsmakeithappen Youtrytomakeadesirablefuturetocometrue

Basicconceptsoffuturesstudies
Forecas+ng:predicXnganoccurrenceofaneventwithgiven probability,viewoftheworldisratherstable Foresight:broadtermcoveringawidevarietyofmethods,diers fromforecasXngsinceitallowsmulXplefuturestateswhichcan diersubstanXallyfromwhatistherealitytoday Megatrend:anissueshapingthefutureofpracXcallyallareasof thesocietyduringthecomingdecades,ogenglobal examples:globalisaXon,useofICT Trend:idenXedgeneraldevelopmentpathofanissue,sphereof inuencecanbeanythingfromglobaltoasmallgroup examples:growinginterestonrenewableenergyordietarytrends Futuresstudiesglossaryat:hip://www.audiencedialogue.net/ glossfut.html

ForecasXng(dataextrapolaXon)

Grows

BAU

Decreases

History

PresentXme

Imagesofthefuture

Openfuture(visionary)

?
History PresentXme Imagesofthefuture

Technology +Resources

Whatisexecutable? Capabilitytooperate

Futures of Access

Society

Whatisacceptable? Licencetooperate Whatisprotableand desirable? Reasontooperate?

Markets

FuturesofRealOpXons FuturesofPossibleOpXons FuturesofImaginary OpXons

Futures of Viable Solution s

MarkoAhvenainen,FFRC

Futuresworkshop:Whathappensin2025?
Joinyourteammembersatyourworkingspace Explorethebasicneedbehindtheteamtopicandputitonthecentre ofthesheet Take5minutestothinkabouttheteamtopic,writeyourideason postitnotes Drawamindmapwithyourteamaroundyourtopic:discussthepost itideas Environmentalscanning:picturethesystemaroundtheteamtopic, whatkindofsocial,technological,environmental,poliXcal,and economicfactorsandvalueshaveaneectonthetopic?

Blackswans(opXonalexercise)
Blackswans/weaksignals/wildcards:eventswhichhavealow probability,thusbeingasurprisefortheobserver,andhaveamajor impact Gothroughthepreviousdiscussions.Arethereitemsthatcouldbe labelledasblackswans?Whatkindofeectstheymighthaveon thetopic? Youcanalsocomeupwithnewitemsandthinkabouttheireects

Futuresof

TesXngthefuture:GetaLife!simulaXon
SimulaXngvariouspossiblefuturesinpersonalandworklifeupto20 yearsahead OnlinesimulaXontooldesignedforstudents,includes>900 simulatedsituaXonsfromtheworkingworldofthefuture EachsituaXonentailsseveralplausiblechoices ChoicesleadtoconsequencessodiversethatsomeXmesevena proacXvemindcannotanXcipate IniXatescontemplaXonofonescapabiliXes,lifeandthevarious scenariosofthefutureworklife Unlikethereallife,thesimulaXonprovidesanopportunitytogoback andchoosedierentlyandthusexplorevariousfuturepaths

Thankyou!
Moreinforma+on: JohannaOllila:johanna.ollila@utu. SariMie<nen:sari.mieDnen@utu. GetaLife!project:hip://getalifehanke.wordpress.com GetaLife!simula+ondemo:hip://getalife.:8080

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