10 Nomor Ekotek
10 Nomor Ekotek
TEKNIK INDUSTRI
8.18. A chemical company is considering two processes for isolating DNA material
.The incremental cash flow between the two alternatives, J and S, is estimated.
The company uses a marr of 50 % per year. The rate of return on the
incremental cash flow below is less than 50%, but the company CEO prefers the
more expensive process. The CEO believes she can negotiate the initial cost of
the more expensive process downward. By how much would she have to reduce
the first cost of S, the higher cost alternatives, for it to have an incremental rate
of return of exactly 50 %?
Year
$-900,000
400,000
700,000
950,000
Answer
1. Calculated incremental cash flowpada in year 0 when NPV=0 with i*=50%
0 = X + $400,000 ( P/F, 50%, 1) + $700,000 ( P/F, 50%, 2) + $950,000 ( P/F, 50%,3
)
0 = X + $400,000 ( P/F, 50%, 1) + $700,000 ( P/F, 50%, 2) + $950,000 ( P/F, 50%,3
)
0 = X + $859,245
X = $-859,245
Reduce the initial cost
= -$900,000-(-$859,245)
= -$40,755
1B
Incremental
Initial
-$ 3 million
-$ 3.5 million
-$0,5 million
Maintenance /
-$ 100.000
-$ 80.000
$ 20.000
Year
MARR / year
Total
10%
-$4.000.000
-$4.300.000
-$300.000
8.28
Methode
First cost,$
Salvage Value
Annual Income
-15,000
+1,000
+4,000
-18,000
+2,000
+5,000
-25,000
-500
+6,000
-35,000
-700
+8,000
Answer :
A) using PW method
Method
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
IRR ( i* )
-15000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
1000
-18000
5000
5000
5000
5000
5000
5000
5000
5000
5000
2000
-25000
6000
6000
6000
6000
6000
6000
6000
6000
6000
-500
-35000
8000
8000
8000
8000
8000
8000
8000
8000
8000
-700
23%
24%
19%
17%
Method A:
0 = -15000 + 4000(P/A,i*,10) + 1000(p/f, i*,10)
MARR
(=12%)
for
i*,
the
RHS
is
positive
(=10895),
MARR(=12%)
for
i*,
the
RHS
is
positive
(=8740.2),
is
positive
(=9976.2),
MARR(=12%)
for
i*,
the
RHS
Year
Initial Cost
salvage Value
Annual Income
Incremental Comparison
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
incremental i* ( i* )
incremental justified ?
alternative selected
A
B
C
D
-15.000
-18.000
-25.000
-35.000
1.000
2000
-500
-700
4.000
5000
6000
8.000
A to DN
B to A
C to B
D to B
-3.000
-7000
-17000
-15.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
1000
3000
4.000
1000
-2500
-2700
1.000
31%
-2%
9%
23%
yes
yes
no
no
A
B
B
B
B)
A-DN : It is already shown in Athat i* for method A >MARR. Therefore, A is
selected over DN. Alternatively, we can write (using PW method) :
0 = -15000 + 4000(P/A,i*,10) + 1000 (P/F,i*,10)
I*>MARR select A
B-A :
0 = -3000 + 1000(P/A,Di*,10) + 1000(P/F,Di*,10)
It can be shown Di* > 12% RHS is positive therefore select B
C-B :
0 = -7000 + 1000(P/A,Di*,10) -2500(P/F,Di*,10)
With Di* = 12% RHS is negative; Hence Di* < MARR(=12%) therefore select
B again
D-B :
0 = -17000 + 3000(P/A,Di*,10) 2700(P/F,Di*,10)
Here,again Di* < MARR therefore B is still the selection. Select B
8.30
buy. The contractor knows that as the bed size increases, the net income
increases, but he is uncertain whwther the oincremental expenditure required for
the larger trucks is justifie. The cash flow associated with each size truck are
estimated below. The contractors MARR is 18% per year, and all trucks are
expected to have a useful life of 8 years. (a) determine which size truck should
be purchased. (b) if two trucks are to be purchased, what should be the size of
the second truck?
Truck Bed Size, Cubic Meters
8
10
15
20
25
Initial Investment,
$
-10.000
-14.000
-18.000
-24.000
-33.000
Annual Operating
Cost, $
-4.000
-5.500
-7.000
-11.000
-16.000
Slavage Value,
$
2000
2.500
3.000
3.500
6.000
Annual
Income, $
6.500
10.000
14.000
20.500
26.500
Answer :
Year
Initial Cost
Annual Operating Cost
salvage Value
Annual Income
Annual Profit
Incremental Comparison
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
incremental i* ( i* )
incremental justified ?
alternative selected
10
15
20
25
-10.000
-4.000
2.000
6.500
2.500
8 to DN
-10.000
1.500
1.500
1.500
1.500
1.500
1.500
1.500
2.000
5%
no
-14.000
-5.500
2.500
10.000
4.500
10 to DN
-14.000
4.500
4.500
4.500
4.500
4.500
4.500
4.500
2500
27%
yes
10
-18.000
-7.000
3.000
14.000
7.000
15 to 10
-4.000
3.500
3.500
3.500
3.500
3.500
3.500
3.500
500
86%
yes
15
-24.000
-11.000
3.500
20.500
9.500
20 to 15
-6.000
2.500
2.500
2.500
2.500
2.500
2.500
2.500
500
37%
yes
20
-33.000
-16.000
6.000
26.500
10.500
25 to 20
-9.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
2.500
1%
no
20
8.31
An engineer at anode metal is considering the projects below, all of which can
be considered to last indefinitely.if the companys MARR is 13 % per year,
determine which should be selected (a) if they are independent and (b) if they
are mutually exclusive (c)assume the projects are mutually exclusive and that
the incorrect decision rule to select the one project that invests the most
money and has a ROR that exceeds the MARR has been applied. What
project was selected ? why is this an incorrect choice?
First Cost ($)
Alternative rate of
return (%)
-$20,000
$4,000
20%
-$10,000
$2,000
20%
-$15,000
$2,000
19,3%
-$70,000
$10,000
14,3%
-$50,000
$6,000
12%
Answer :
(a) If they are independent we must selected the choice who has ROR >
MARR alternative A, B, C, and D are selected
(b) (b) If theyre mutually exclusive
A
First Cost ($)
Annual Income ($)
Alternative rate of return (%)
-$20,000
-$10,000
-$15,000
-$70,000
-$50,000
$4,000
$2,000
$2,000
$10,000
$6,000
20%
20%
19,3%
14,3%
12%
Since
The
c) The incorrect decision rule to select the one project that invest the most
money and has a ROR that exceeds the MARR has been applied.
$20,000
$10,000
$15,000
$70,000
$50,000
$4,000
$2,000
$2,000
$10,000
$6,000
20%
20%
19,3%
14,3%
12%
Project B
Project C
Project A
Project D
9.15
highway through a scenic rural area.The road is expected to cost $6million, with
annual upkeep estimated at $20,000 per year. The improved accessibility is
expected to result in additional income from tourists of $350,000 per year. If the
road is expected to have a useful life of 25 years, use the (a) B-C method and
(b)B/C method at an interest rate of 6% per year to determine if the highway
should be constructed .(c) what is the modified B/C value?
Answer :
(a)
B-C analysis
B/C analysis
9.18
Two routes are under consideration for a new interstate highway segment. The
long route would be 25 kilometers and would have an initial cost of $21 million.
The short transmountain route would span 10 kilometers and would have an
initial cost of $45 million. Maintenance costs are estimated at $40,000 per year
for the long route and $15,000 per year for the short route. Additionally, a major
overhaul and resurfacing will be required every 10 years at a cost of 10% of the
first cost of each route. Regardless of which route is se- lected, the volume of
traffic is expected to be 400,000 vehicles per year. If the vehicle operating
expense is assumed to be $0.35 per kilometer and the value of reduced travel
time for the short route is estimated at $900,000 per year, determjne which route
should be selected, using a conven- tionalBIC analysis. Assume an infirute life
for each road, an interest rate of 6% per year, and that one of the roads wiII be
built.
Answer :
Alternative Comparison
A
Distance
25 km
10 km
Initial Cost
$21 million
$45 million
Maintenance
$40.000
$15.000
Vehicle
400.000 unit
400.000 unit
Operating Vehicle/km
$0.35
$0.35
$900.000
Cost/year
Overhaul Cost/10
year
Cost
A
Distance
Initial Cost
Maintenance Cost/year
Overhaul Cost/10 year
Vehicle
Operating Vehicle/km
Reduced Travel Time
Total Benefit ( B )
Total Cost ( C )
Overall B/C
Incremental B ( B )
Incremental cost ( C )
B/C
25 km
$21 million
$40.000
10% Initial Cost
400.000 unit
$0.35
0
3.500.000
40.234.032
0,086991033
B
10 km
$45 million
$15.000
10% Initial Cost
400.000 unit
$0.35
$900.000
2.300.000
85.283.712
0,026968807
1.200.000
45.049.680
0.02
B.
9.20
9.23
The California Forest Service is consider- ing two locations for a new state park.
Lo- cation E would require an investment of $3 million and $50,000 per year in
mainte- nance. Location W would cost $7 million to construct, but the Forest
Service would receive an additional $25,000 per year in park use fees. The
operating cost of loca- tion W will be $65,000 per year. The rev- enue to park
concessionaires will be $500,000 per year at location E and $700,000 per year at
location W. The disbenefits associated with each location are $30,000 per year
for location E and $40,000 per year for location W. Use (a) the B/C method and
(b) the modified B/C method to determine which location , if either, should be
selected, using an in- terest rate of 12% per year. Assume that the park will be
maintained indefinitely.
Answer :
E
$ 3.000.000
$ 50,000
$ 500,000
$ 30.000
First Cost
Annual / Year
Revenue / Year
Disbenefit
W
$7.000.000
$ 65,000
$ 700,000
$ 40,000
(a) Location E
AW = C = 3,000,000(0.12) + 50,000
= $410,000
Revenue = B = $500,000 per year
Disbenefits = D = $30,000 per year
Location W
AW = C = 7,000,000 (0.12) + 65,000 - 25,000
= $880,000
Revenue = B = $700,000 per year
Disbenefits = D = $40,000 per year
B/C ratio for location E:
(B D)/C = (500,000 30,000)/410,000
= 1.15
(b) Location E
B = 500,000 30,000 50,000 = $420,000
C = 3,000,000 (0.12) = $360,000
Modified B/C = 420,000/360,000 = 1.17
Location E is justified.
Location W
B = $200,000
D = $10,000
C = (7 million 3 million)(0.12)
= $480,000
M&O = (65,000 25,000) 50,000
= $-10,000
Note that M&O is now an incremental cost advantage for W.
Modified B/C = 200,000 10,000 + 10,000
480,000
W is not justified; select location E.
= 0.42
9.26 Public service company of Texas is considering four size of pipe for a new
pipeline. The costs per kilometer (km) for each size are given in the table.
Assuming that all pipes will last 15 years and the companys MARR is 8% per
year, which size pipe should be purchased based on a B/C analysis? Installation
cost is considered a part opf the initial cost.
Initial
140
160
200
240
9,180
10,510
13,180
15,850
600
800
800
1,500
5,800
5,200
4,900
investment,$/km
Installation
cost,$/km
Annual
cost, 6,000
$/km
Answer :
Size
140
160
200
240
9,180+600 =
10,510+800 =
13,180+800 =
15,850+1,500
11,310
14,580
= 17,350
9,780
Initial investment,$/km
Installation cost,$/km
Annual cost, $/km
Annual Total Cost ( C )
Benefit ( B )
Overall B/C
Alternative Compared
Incremental Benefits ( B )
Incremental Cost ( C )
B/C
Incremental Justified
Pipeline Selected
140
9,18
600
6.000
1142,6
6.000
5,25119
160
200
240
10,51
13,18
15,85
800
800
1,5
5.800
5.800
4.900
1321,347
1703,381
2027,001
5.800
5.200
4.900
4,389459
3,052751
2,417365
160-140
200-160
240-200
200
600
300
178,7499
382,0341
323,6191
1,118882
1,57054
0,927016
yes
yes
no
160
200
200
160 - 140 mm
C = (11,310 9,780)(A/P,8%,15)
= 1,530(0.11683)
= $178.75
B = 6,000 5,800
= $200
B/C = 200/178.75
= 1.12 > 1.0
200 -160 mm
C = (14,580 11,310)(A/P,8%,15)
= 3270(0.11683)
= $382.03
B = 5800 5200
= $600
B/C = 600/382.03
= 1.57 > 1.0
240 -200 mm
C = (17,350 14,580)(A/P,8%,15)
= 2770(0.11683)
= $323.62
B = 5200 4900
= $300
B/C = 0.93 < 1.0
So Select 200mm