Acquisition of Skype
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This presentation contains non-GAAP measures relating to the company's performance. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures in the tables of our earnings release which is available through our investor relations website located at http://investor.ebay.com/downloads/Reconciliation.pdf. In addition, this presentation may contain forward-looking statements regarding matters that involve risk and uncertainty, including those relating to the future financial results of Skype and eBay, and the impact of the acquisition of Skype on eBays financial results. Our actual financial results could differ materially from those represented in this presentation. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, the receipt and timing of the closing of the transaction, the possibility that the transaction may not close, the reaction of the users of Skypes services, the future growth of Skypes user base, the reaction of competitors and regulatory agencies to the transaction, developments in the regulation of voice-over-Internet protocol (VoIP) services including those provided by Skype, and the possibility that integration following the transaction may be more difficult than expected. More information about factors that could affect the companys operating results is included under the captions Risk Factors That May Affect Results of Operations and Financial Condition and Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the companys annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K, copies of which may be obtained by visiting the companys investor relations site at http://investor.ebay.com. Undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements in this release, which are based on information available to the company on the date hereof eBay assumes no obligation to update such statements.
The acquisition of Skype
eBay is evolution
1996 1998: US only, collectibles only 1999 Moving beyond collectibles 1999 Going global 2000 Introducing Fixed Price and eBay Stores 2002 PayPal: removing friction and building a huge new business 2004 2005: Creating other marketplaces Shopping.com, Kijiji, ProStores Marktplaats, Mobile, Rent.com,
Common theme expanding our vision, our market and our opportunity Aspirational goal of growing faster than e-commerce
High performance company
(Real 2003 $M)
1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41
Years Since Incorporation
High performance company
(Real 2003 $M)
1,000,000 100,000
GMV
10,000 1,000 100 10 1
1
TPV
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
Years Since Incorporation
Expanding eBays share of e-commerce
Skype will accelerate commerce on eBay Skype opens up new lines of business, new monetization models, new geographies A great standalone communications business eBay + PayPal + Skype = Unparalleled e-commerce and communications engine
Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBays share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
Simply powerful
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
Internet
Simply powerful
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
Internet
Any Regular Telephone in the World (Low cost) 10
Easy to set up and use
1 Download and install Skype client from website, get headset
11
Easy to set up and use
1 Download and install Skype client from website, get headset 2 Look up and add buddies
12
Easy to set up and use
1 Download and install Skype client from website, get headset 2 Look up and add buddies 3 Start talking with other Skype users
13
Rich functionality
Find other Skype users
Skype Me
Advanced Instant Messaging
Send any kind of file
Make conference calls Are you available?
Call any phone Wallet
Get calls from any phone on your Skype number
Leave voicemail Forward calls to any number
14
Viral growth
44.1
On track for 57M registered Users in Q3!
19.8
32.9
11.5 6.8 4.1
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Skype Registered Users (M)
15
Viral usage
3.9
67% CQGR!
2
3.3
0.9 0.3 0.5
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Skype Quarterly Minutes Served (B)
16
Historic success
Number of Reg Users (MM) 60
50
40
30
20
10
0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Months(1)
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 17 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
Historic success
Number of Users (MM)
60
50
Adding 150K registered users / day
40
30
20
10
0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Months(1)
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 18 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
A truly global community
SKYPE users Non SKYPE users
Skype has a presence in 225 countries and independent territories worldwide
Skype is a market leader in every major country(1)
(1) Skype estimates
19
Significant buzz all over the world
To Skype is to call someone over your computer
USAToday (17 December 2004)
20
Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBays share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
21
Accelerating e-commerce
Accelerate existing categories Create a new way to monetize e-commerce Remove a key friction Expand into new categories Monetize new marketplaces Expand the global footprint
22
A new way to monetize e-commerce
eBay Today
eBay with Skype
Transactionbased monetization
Transaction and lead-generation monetization
Listing fees Final value fees Feature fees PayPal fees
Listing fees Final value fees Feature fees PayPal fees
Pay per call
23
Communication is key to e-commerce
The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way Steve the seller
Q+A before purchase Closing transaction Order status
Bob the buyer
24
Communication is key to e-commerce
The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way Steve the seller Bob the buyer
5M e-mail messages are initiated per day between eBay buyers & sellers
30% of eBay bids take place in the last 2 hours!
25
Skype is a leap forward in communication
In transaction flow Instantaneous and private Free with rich experience Advanced functionality
26
eBay has historically removed friction
Friction point Solution
Trust & safety
Feedback
Description
Pictures
Payments
Shipping
27
Removing friction is powerful
$1.4B
$1.4B
eBay UK GMV (USD)
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 28
Accelerating e-commerce
Accelerate existing categories Create a new way to monetize e-commerce Remove a key friction Expand into new categories Monetize new marketplaces Expand the global footprint
29
Skype accelerates certain existing categories
Motors
Business and industrial
Communications can accelerate categories that are: High involvement Expensive Complex
Collectibles
Sporting goods
Music instruments
Jewelry and watches
Motors, collectibles, and B&I alone represent ~40% of eBay GMV
30
Skype accelerates certain existing categories: Example
Future motors listing
Firstclassauto currently online!
Firstclassauto currently online!
31
Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that Require significant communication Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
32
Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that Require significant communication Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
33
Pay Per Call enables monetization of new marketplaces
Pay Per Call on Local Classifieds
Paris
Listing Sponsoris Charles de Gaulle Renault
Les meilleurs voitures!
Skype moi! Bagnolet Peugeot Skype moi! BelleVille Audi Skype moi!
34
Expanding the global footprint
Emerging markets New markets Cross-border trade
India
China
Japan Nordic
Poland
Brazil
Russia
Large grey markets Limited trust on Internet Culture of haggling Culture of IM/mobile Price sensitivity
Limited eBay presence Large growth in Skype users
Limited trust Buyers need more interaction and information from sellers
35
Skype on eBay China
36
Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBays share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
37
A great standalone business
A large and growing opportunity A strong leadership position Competitive advantage
38
An important consumer activity
Minutes per user 500 per 450 month(1)
400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Search eBay marketplace Web Email IM Phone
480
44% of all user time online is spent communicating(2)
435 Calls from home(3) Share of VOIP calls expected to increase significantly over time 45 Skype today
195 127 80 16
Communications
Source: (1) Nielsen Netratings averages for biggest sites in each category, (2) eBay estimates from Comscore data, (3) Yankee Group as of April 2003
39
Increasing penetration
Global Broadband subscribers (M)
350
'04-'09 CAGR
317.3
300
287.8 256.9
21.6%
250
223.1
200
13.8%
185.4 145.7
18.1%
150
100
50
18.8%
0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ROW
United States
Europe
Asia/Pacific
Source: IDC
40
Increasing penetration
Global Broadband subscribers (M)
350
'04-'09 CAGR
US Broadband and VOIP households (M)
80
317.3
300
287.8 256.9
21.6%
70
30M VOIP households in US by 2009
58.5 50.1
72.3 66.9
Total BB
250
60
13.8%
223.1
200
50
185.4
40
41.1 32.6
18.1%
150
145.7
30 24.6
100 20 29% 50
18.8%
38%
% VoIP
10 1% 3% 8% 13%
20%
0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ROW
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 VoIP subscribers Broadband households
United States
Europe
Asia/Pacific
Source: IDC
41
Increasing usage
VOIP Annual Minutes of Use (B)
1,495
760
367 183 10 2001 17 2002 27 2003 42 2004 72
2005E
2006E
2007E
2008E
2009E
Source: IDC
42
A leadership position
Skypes global revenue base
Other 12% EU 48% NA 13% Asia 27% % of total
Source: Skype, Sandvine
43
A leadership position
Skypes global revenue base Skype segment share in North America
Other 12% EU 48% NA 13% Asia 27% % of total
VOIP Minutes
46.2%
Skype is #1
VOIP Users
35.8%
Skype is #1
0
Estimated ~25% of Skype users are businesses
20
40
60
Percent of total (%)
Source: Skype, Sandvine
44
Strong team
Founders created Kazaa, were executives at Tele2 Entrepreneurial senior management team from Tele2, Microsoft, Yahoo!, OpenWave Developers pioneered peerto-peer technology
Janus Friis Co-Founder
45
Niklas Zennstrm CEO & Co-Founder
Focus matters
Commerce Payments
46
Focus matters
Commerce Payments
Search Content
47
Focus matters
Commerce Payments Communications Search Content
48
Advanced technology
Virtual, peer-to-peer architecture brings key advantages
System is massively scalable No single point of failure Low CapEx
In addition, Skype has
Better firewall tunneling that allows more calls to be completed Advanced security and encryption technology
49
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
50
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
51
Many great applications
52
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
53
Many great applications
54
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
55
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar Integration with Outlook
Picture share with Kodak
Web Presence Integration
56
Many great applications
Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
57
Many great applications
Valuable content and services
Voice Marketplace
Create and share innovative voice services Content providers get a share of call revenue
Interactive voice response (eg. traffic reports)
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
Key partners
58
Reinforcing ecosystem
1000+ Developers
200+ Hardware devices labeled as Skype-compatible
200+ Skype-enabled Applications
30+ partnerships with world-class companies
59
The power of three
Users invite other users
New users invite more users
60
The power of three
Users invite other users Sellers go where buyers are More sellers offer PayPal
New users invite more users
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyers use PayPal
61
The power of three
Users invite other users Sellers go where buyers are More sellers offer PayPal
New users invite more users
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyers use PayPal
eBay Users eBay Usage PayPal Wallet
PayPal Wallet Skype Users Skype-Enabled Commerce
eBay Users Skype Users eBay & Skype Usage
62
Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBays share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
63
Valuation considerations
Traditional financial valuation methods
Precedent transactions Value per user Discounted cash flow
Earn out structure based on aggressive goals A great standalone business, not just VOIP functionality
Leading market position with considerable momentum Technology leadership Considerable monetization potential
Synergistic opportunities with existing businesses
64
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users 157M eBay registered users 79M PayPal accounts 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage 5M email messages/day 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet Boosts sales of premium services
(1) Nielsen Netratings
65
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users 157M eBay registered users 79M PayPal accounts 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage 5M email messages/day 1.4B new listings/year
Skype Users 54M registered users ~25% of users are business accounts
PayPal Wallet Boosts sales of premium services
Skype Commerce (usage) Skype-enabled commerce 200+ Skype hardware applications
(1) Nielsen Netratings
66
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users 157M eBay registered users 79M PayPal accounts 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage 5M email messages/day 1.4B new listings/year
Skype Users 54M registered users ~25% of users are business accounts
Skype Users >80% outside US
PayPal Wallet Boosts sales of premium services
Skype Commerce (usage) Skype-enabled commerce 200+ Skype hardware applications
Skype Usage Payment of call services Send money to buddies
(1) Nielsen Netratings
67
Transaction summary
Transaction Value and Structure
Pay $1.3B(1) in cash Deliver $1.3B(1) in eBay stock subject to certain sale restrictions Total of $2.6B (4.8% of market cap)
Performance-based earn out
Earn out of up to an additional $1.5B(1,2) based on high active user, gross profit, and revenue goals in 2008 Earn out participants received less up-front consideration All of management opted for the earn out Q4 2005
(1) Based on an exchange rate of 1.239 (2) Earn-out value presented on an undiscounted basis
Expected Closing
68
Strong Business Model
Large market opportunity Transaction-based revenues No inventory or warehouses Efficient customer acquisition High operating leverage Low capital requirements Outstanding cash generation Rapid revenue growth
(1) Nielsen Netratings
69
Skype revenues
Free services
Premium services
SkypeIn and SkypeOut
Free Skype to Skype calls (cost nothing to provide)
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones, ringbacks)
Hardware royalties
70 Voice services
Strong Revenue Growth
$259.0
Existing Lines Of Business
$200+
$103.8
$60 $47.4 $7 2004 2005E 2006E $5.7 1997 1998 $12.6
(Dollars in millions)
$0.4 1996
2000
2001
2002
71
Strong Revenue Growth
$259.0
Existing Lines Of Business
$200+
$103.8
$60 $47.4 $7 2004 2005E 2006E $5.7 1997 1998 $12.6
(Dollars in millions)
$0.4 1996
2000
2001
2002
72
Skype revenues
Free services Premium services New eBay Opportunities
Existing eBay Categories SkypeIn and SkypeOut Free Skype to Skype calls (cost nothing to provide)
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones, ringbacks)
Emerging markets New geographies Cross-border trade
Hardware royalties New categories New marketplaces (classifieds, shopping.com) 73
Voice services
Leveraged cost structure
Efficient customer acquisition
Word of mouth significantly reduces user acquisition cost
High operating leverage
Minimal incremental cost for each user call Software business model with low fixed costs
Infinitely scalable network infrastructure with low capex
Peer to Peer technology requires minimal capex Distributed architecture eliminates single point of failure Centralized server(s) for authentication for basic services Centralized server(s) for premium services, e.g. voicemail
Outstanding cash generation capability
74
Financial impact
Dilutive to Q4-05 pro-forma and GAAP EPS by $0.01 and $0.04, respectively Dilutive to 2006 pro-forma and GAAP EPS(3) by $0.04 and $0.12, respectively Breakeven on a pro-forma basis in Q4 2006 Long term operating margins of 20-25%
(3) Not adjusted for FAS 123
75
eBay Inc Balance Sheet
Funding acquisition through internally generated cash flows Balance sheet fundamentals remain unchanged: Cash reserves of >$1B Annualized free cash flows of >$1.5B Low capex requirements: ~$2M in 2006 No long-term debt Long-term revenue and profit growth will continue to add to already strong cash flow position
76
Summary
A great standalone business with a very complementary business model Significant growth opportunities:
Build on Skype momentum Accelerate eBay existing and new businesses Create entirely new businesses
The power of 3
77
The power of 3
Sellers go where buyers are
Buyers go where sellers are Users invite other users More Sellers Offer PayPal
New users invite more users
More Buyers use PayPal
78