Forecasting
Forecasting
Forcasting room availableity includes predicting the no. of the rooms available for rent on any
future date.
This type for forcasting helps manage the reservation procedure / process guide the front office
staff for effective room management can be used as on ocupancy forcast, which is useful in
attemting to schedule the necessary number of employee for expected volume of business.
1. Past record:- past record are of great imp while predicting availability of the rooms as
it shows the recent trends & the past history which will help in achiving maximum
occupancy level.
- Number of room arrivals
- No. of rooms walk-ins
- No.of rooms no- show
- No.of rooms cancellation.
- No.of rooms understays.
- No.of rooms checkouts.
- No. of rooms overstays.
2. Activities & events:- the activities & events hipping in a city are also taken into
consideration which helps in predicting the expected guests visiting the city who can be
the potential guest.
3. Unoredictable conditions:- they are those condition who will affect the forecasting
any time.
- Natural calamities- earthquakes, heavy snow falls, storms, etc.
- Emergency situtaion like blast, terrorist attacks, etc.
Completing forcast-
After collection all the necessary data the forecasting team process the information to develop
a target figure in order to produce forecasts, the forecasting will bw as reliable as the source of
data on which they are based. Under non-automated semi-automated systems, the number of
rooms available for sale forecasts can be calculated only upon demand & might-vary from
3days-10days forecasts. However, under fully automated system, forecasts can be done at any
moment for any future period of time.