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5e - Probability

This document provides the lesson plan for a presentation on probability and percents to a 7th grade math class. The lesson will begin with an opening problem to review key concepts like impossible, certain, and 50% chance events. Students will then do an activity using talking chips and tables to explore probability. Each table will present their reasoning. The teacher will explain key vocabulary and show how probability is measured from 0 to 1 as a percent, decimal or fraction. Students will learn about complements of events and how probabilities must add up to 1. For guided practice, students will work through sample problems in pairs. Independent practice problems will be assigned as homework.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
688 views

5e - Probability

This document provides the lesson plan for a presentation on probability and percents to a 7th grade math class. The lesson will begin with an opening problem to review key concepts like impossible, certain, and 50% chance events. Students will then do an activity using talking chips and tables to explore probability. Each table will present their reasoning. The teacher will explain key vocabulary and show how probability is measured from 0 to 1 as a percent, decimal or fraction. Students will learn about complements of events and how probabilities must add up to 1. For guided practice, students will work through sample problems in pairs. Independent practice problems will be assigned as homework.

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Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Engage

ThursMarch3
7thgrade12.1
Presentation

Explore

LearningObjectiveEssentialQuestionOpeningProblem/ReviewConnectiontopriorlearning
PositionnewlearningwithinBigIdeasandmathematicalProgression

EssentialQuestion:Wewillknowhowtousepercentsandprobabilitytosolve
realworldproblems.
Wewillunderstandhowfractions,decimals,andpercentsrelatetoprobability.
Objective:Wewilldescribethelikelihoodofaneventanditscompliment.
Warmup:
1. Nameaneventthatisimpossibletohappen.Whatpercentwouldyou
assigntoaprobabilitythatisimpossibletohappen?
2. Nameaneventthatiscertaintohappen.Whatpercentwouldyouassign
totheprobabilitythatiscertaintohappen?
3. Nameaneventthathas50%chanceofhappeningornothappening.
MathematicalTaskInvestigationSupportproductivestrugglePosepurposefulquestionsBuild
conceptualunderstanding

Usingtalkingchips,tablesdiscusstheactivityandpreparetopresenttheir
reasoning.
monitor,helpasneeded

Explain

ConnectmathematicalrepresentationsDirectinstructionandmodelingMathematical
discourse

Havetablegroupspresenttheirthinking,andfunnelthediscussionsostudents
understandthefollowing:
whenweretalkingaboutthelikelihoodofanevent,werereallytalking
abouttheprobabilityofaneventoccurring
Tiestudentunderstandingastheytalkabouttheexploreactivitytothe
vocabularyprintedatthetopoftheirworksheet
Event:
Ask,whatwastheeventwewerelookingathere?
WewritetheProbability(event)asP(event)=
Probabilitygetswrittenasoutcome(s)wewant/allpossible
outcomes(samplespace)
Outcome:
Ifwedoatrial,wherewerollthenumbercube,whatareall
possibleresults?Whatareallthethingswecouldroll?These
thingsarecalledtheoutcomes.
Samplespace:thelistofallpossibleoutcomes
Puttingthisincontext,wewanttobeabletodescribehowlikelyaneventisbased
ontheprobability.Projectthefollowinganddiscusshowprobabilityisameasure
ofthelikelihoodofaneventoccurringbetween0and1.

notice,probabilitycanbewrittenasapercent,decimal,fraction

Complementofevents:
Soletslookatanexamplefromourexperimentearlier.
WhatstheP(5)?
What,then,willbeP(not5)?
Notice,theprobabilityanditscomplementadduptowhat?
MakeconnectiontocomplimentsORcomplete/complement
Sothen,howwouldyoudefineacomplimentinprobability?
funneldiscussiontowardunderstandingthatacomplimentisthe
probabilityofalloutcomesnotintheeventyourelookingfor,
outcomesofevent+compliment=allpossibleoutcomes

probabilityofgettingallpossibleoutcomes=1

GuidedpracticeScaffoldedsupportCheckforunderstanding(formativeassessmenttask)
Clarify/reteachasnecessarySummarizenewlearningPositionlearningonmathematical
progression

Havestudentsworkwithashoulderpartnertoreasonthroughthefollowing
asguidedpractice.
monitor,helpasneeded

Duringdiscussion,use#5torevisitvocabularyoffavorableoutcomes/all
possibleoutcomes(samplespace)

Ifthereisextratime,discussthefollowingH.O.Tquestions:

Evaluate

Independentpractice(massedanddistributed)Formativeassessment

Homework:IndependentPracticePage373(Copiesofentireworkpackethave
beensentin)
Closure:

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