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Rakesh Petrol Pump Analysis - Queuing Model

Queuing Model Case

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
85 views

Rakesh Petrol Pump Analysis - Queuing Model

Queuing Model Case

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RikiAchinta
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Modeling Queuing Phenomenon at Petrol Pumps

-A Case Study of Bharat Petroleum


Rakesh Kumar
Lecturer
School of Mathematics
Shri Mata Vaishno Devi University, Sub Post Office, Katra-182320 (J&K)-INDIA

Abstract
The queuing problems are more frequent everywhere. A significant amount of time and
resources are wasted if we do not have a suitable mechanism to deal with the rising
congestion/queuing problems. This study is a part of a consultancy project which is
undertaken at Bharat Petroleum. The problems of queues at various refueling points have
been studied and the key reasons which result into long queues have been identified. The
main objective is to study the queuing phenomena of vehicles and minimize the queues at
various refueling points. The relevant data have been collected and the queuing analyses
of different queues have been performed using TORA (Techniques of Operations
Research Applications) software. Finally, some useful suggestions have been made.

Introduction
The problems of queues/ waiting lines are very common in our everyday life. Queues are
usually seen at bus stop, ticket booths, petrol pump, bank counter, traffic lights and so on.
Queuing theory deals with the mathematical description of behavior of queues. Queuing
theory can be applied to a variety of operational situations where it is not possible to
predict accurately the arrival rate of customers and service rate of service facilities. In
particular, it can be used to determine the level of service (either the service rate or the
number of service facilities).
The present study is a part of a consultancy project which is undertaken at Bharat
Petroleum petrol pump in Greater Noida, India. Bharat Petroleum petrol pump is one and

only petrol pump in Greater Noida near the heart of the city adjacent to Ansal Plaza. It is
Email: [email protected], [email protected]

the only petrol pump between Greater Noida and Noida 24 km expressway. Due to one
and only fuel outlet in the city long queues can easily be seen in the service area.
Company deals in supply of petrol, diesel, Xtra Premium, turbojet and lubricants from
Bharat petroleum. Company has 8 refueling pumps, 4 for two wheelers and 4 for four
wheelers and heavy vehicles. The petrol filling station has employed 12 service
executives, 8 collection executives, 1 accountant and 1 supervisor working under the
ownership of a Retired Army officer.
The petrol pump was established in 15 January 2005 and was the second petrol pump
after one in the Surajpur industrial area. The petrol pump is located at Pari Chowk the
entry point and the most important square of Greator Noida. The completion and opening
of Ansal Plaza one and only multiplex, increased business of the petrol pump
significantly. Nearness to the Knowledge Parks also added to business because it added
thousands of customers in its consumer pool.
The problems of queues at various refueling points have been studied and the key reasons
which result into long queues have been identified. The suitable queuing models have
been developed for different queues by studying the arrival and service patterns of
customers. The models have been solved using TORA software.

Objectives of the study


The objectives of the study are:
(i)

To understand and identify the queuing problems at petrol pumps.

(ii)

To perform quantitative decision making using the appropriate operations research


models.

(iii)

To develop suitable queuing models for minimizing the vehicle queues at various
refueling points.

(iv)

To decide up on the opening of one more petrol pump.

Methodology
The methodology to solve the problem involves the following:
1. Primary data collection and direction observations
2. Secondary Data.
1. Primary data collection and direction observations:
Several visits have been made to the petrol pump. The working staff was interviewed
regarding the type of problems they were facing in queuing handling. The primary data
concerning the arrival pattern of vehicles and their service pattern have been collected
using the format given below:
PRIMARY DATA
BHARAT PETROLEUM
QUEUE NO:
SR.
NO.

VEHICLE
NO.

PRODUCT NAME:PETROL/SPEED

TIME IN
HOURS

MINUTES

TIME START SERVING


SEC

HOURS

MINUTES

SEC

TIME OUT
HOURS

MINUTES

SEC

1/n

Where 1/n = Interarrival time , 1/n = service time

2. Secondary Data

1/n

The secondary data pertaining to the number of service staff and their salary, number of
supervisors and manger with their salary, cost of operating the machines, profit per unit
and other overheads have also been collected.

Formulation of Queuing Model


At each refueling point there is only one queue and one service executive. The vehicles
join a particular queue one by one and they are served one by one on first-come, first
served (FCFS) basis. There is no limit on vehicles joining a particular queue. The primary
data collected shows that there was complete randomness in arrival as well as service
patterns. An M/M/1 queuing model has been proposed for each queue, which is based on
the following assumptions:
(i) The vehicles arrive at a particular queue one by one and follow Poisson distribution
with parameter , where is the mean arrival rate.
(ii) There is only one server at each queue and the vehicles are served one by one on
FCFS basis. The service times are independently, identically and exponentially
distributed with mean rate .
(iii) The capacity of each queue is infinite, meaning thereby any number of vehicles can
join a particular queue.
Here, we have four M/M/1 parallel queues.
The mean arrival rate and the mean service rate of the four queues have been
calculated from the data as follows-

Queue No.

1
2

0.023355322
0.022886094

0.025971451
0.025546022

3
4

0.012843312
0.011187608

0.015487253
0.017223105

Solution of the model


The Queuing model has been solved using the TORA software and the following results
have been obtained. Various measures of performance like p0 the probability that there is
no customer in the queue, Ls- average number of customers in the system, Lq- average
number of customers in the queue, Ws- average waiting time of a customer in the system,
Wq- average waiting time of a customer in the queue, the servers utilization and the
servers idle time have been computed for all the queues.
QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS
Title: Bharat Petroleum, Greater Noida
Comparative Analysis

Table 1.
Scen
ario
(Queue)

C (No.
of
Servers)

Lambda

Mu

L'da

p0

Ls

Lq

Ws
(sec)

Wq
(sec)

Server
Utilizati
on (%)

Server
Idle
Time
(%)

0.0233

0.0259

0.0233

0.1007

8.9271

8.0279

382.233

343.730

0.8992

0.1007

0.0228

0.0255

0.0228

0.1041

8.6041

7.7082

375.953

336.808

0.8958

0.1041

0.0128

0.0154

0.0128

0.1707

4.8575

4.0282

378.214

313.645

0.8292

0.1707

0.0111

0.0172

0.01119

0.3504

1.8536

1.2040

165.6863

107.6248

0.6495

0.3504

Results & Discussions

Through the study it has been found that the most congested period is from 9:00 AM to
11:00 AM in morning and 4:00 pm to 6:00 PM in the evening. This is the time when most
of the persons go to or come from their office and colleges, thus increasing the inflow of
vehicles at the petrol pump. Rest all the times, they have limited number of vehicles
which they can easily serve and the vehicles in the queue at that time were one or two
vehicles waiting for their service. This suggests that Management can go for some parttime employees during the peak time periods and the cost of hiring such employees will
also be low.
The first two queues are for Petrol and the third and fourth queues are for Speed. From
table-1, we can see that the average queue lengths in queues 1 and 2 are higher than in
queues 3 and 4. Consequently, the average waiting times in queues 1 and 2 are higher
than that of queues3 and 4. The comparative analysis of all the four queues in table-1
provides a quantitative basis for analyzing the queuing phenomena at petrol pump.
The individual analysis of the four queues have been given in the annexure-I. In
annexure-I, the probabilities of n (n upto 20) number of customers in the queue have
also been shown which help to deal with the uncertain queuing formations. The petrol
pump manager can better decide quantitatively on the number of service executives
required at a particular time period, the utilization of service facility, the idle periods and
the delays faced by the customers in different queues. Such analysis will definitely help
the manager efficiently run the facility. Earlier, the managing staff used to take decisions
qualitatively, which was resulting into wastage of time and resources.
The cost of opening another filling point is very high in comparison of the margin profit
generating from that extra filling point. And the rate of arrival of the customers is very
fluctuating so the idea of opening another filling point is not appropriate. Some more
filling stations are soon opening in Greater Noida mainly one from Indian Oil at sector
Delta, which can change the customers inflow so any further decision can only be taken
after these competitors are functional.

Conclusion
6

The queuing problems under consideration have been studied quantitatively. Suitable
queuing models have been made and quantitative results have been obtained. The
software results allow the manager of petrol pump to compare the various measures of
performance of different queues. This analysis can help manager take decisions more
precisely as compared to the decisions based on intuition and judgment.

References
1. Taha, H. A., Operations Research, 7th Ed. (2005).
2. Trivedi, K.S., Probability and Statistics with Reliability, Queuing and Computer
Science Applications, 15th Ed. (2003).
3. Kumar, Rakesh and Khan, Nuzhat, Customer Service and Queues at Big Bazaar,
Gyanpratha (Accman Journal of Management Science), Vol. 1, No. 2 (July, 2009) 107113.

Annexure-I
TORA Optimization System, Windows-version 1.00
QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS
Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida
7

Scenario 1-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity)


Lambda = 0.02336, Mu = 0.02597
Lambda eff = 0.02336, Rho/c = 0.89927
Ls = 8.92718, Lq = 8.02792
Ws = 382.23377, Wq = 343.73003
n
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Probability, pn
0.10073
0.09059
0.08146
0.07326
0.06588
0.05924
0.05327
0.04791
0.04308
0.03874
0.03484
0.03133
0.02817
0.02534
0.02278
0.02049
0.01842
0.01657
0.01490
0.01340

Cumulative, Pn
0.10073
0.19132
0.27278
0.34604
0.41191
0.47115
0.52443
0.57233
0.61541
0.65415
0.68899
0.72032
0.74849
0.77383
0.79661
0.81710
0.83552
0.85209
0.86699
0.88039

20

0.01205

0.89244

TORA Optimization System, Windows-version 1.00


QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS
Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida
Scenario 2-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity)
Lambda = 0.02289, Mu = 0.02555
Lambda eff = 0.02289, Rho/c = 0.89588
Ls = 8.60412, Lq = 7.70824
Ws = 375.95398, Wq = 336.80891
n
0
1
2

Probability, pn
0.10412
0.09328
0.08357

Cumulative, Pn
0.10412
0.19740
0.28097

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.07487
0.06707
0.06009
0.05383
0.04823
0.04320
0.03871
0.03468
0.03107
0.02783
0.02493
0.02234
0.02001
0.01793
0.01606
0.01439
0.01289
0.01155

0.35584
0.42291
0.48300
0.53683
0.58505
0.62826
0.66697
0.70164
0.73271
0.76054
0.78547
0.80781
0.82782
0.84575
0.86181
0.87620
0.88909
0.90064

TORA Optimization System, Windows-version 1.00


QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS
Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida
Scenario 3-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity)
Lambda = 0.01284, Mu = 0.01549
Lambda eff = 0.01284, Rho/c = 0.82928
Ls = 4.85753, Lq = 4.02825
Ws = 378.21483, Wq = 313.64579
n

Probability, pn

Cumulative, Pn

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

0.17072
0.14158
0.11741
0.09736
0.08074
0.06696
0.05553
0.04605
0.03819
0.03167
0.02626
0.02178
0.01806
0.01498

0.17072
0.31230
0.42970
0.52706
0.60780
0.67476
0.73028
0.77633
0.81452
0.84618
0.87244
0.89422
0.91228
0.92725
9

14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.01242
0.01030
0.00854
0.00708
0.00587
0.00487
0.00404

0.93967
0.94997
0.95851
0.96560
0.97147
0.97634
0.98038

TORA Optimization System, Windows-version 1.00


QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS
Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida
Scenario 4-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity)
Lambda = 0.01119, Mu = 0.01722
Lambda eff = 0.01119, Rho/c = 0.64957
Ls = 1.85363, Lq = 1.20406
Ws = 165.68636, Wq = 107.62480
n
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Probability, pn
0.35043
0.22763
0.14786
0.09605
0.06239
0.04053
0.02632
0.01710
0.01111
0.00721
0.00469
0.00304
0.00198
0.00128
0.00083
0.00054

Cumulative, Pn
0.35043
0.57806
0.72592
0.82197
0.88435
0.92488
0.95120
0.96830
0.97941
0.98663
0.99131
0.99436
0.99633
0.99762
0.99845
0.99900

16

0.00035

0.99935

17

0.00023

0.99958

18

0.00015

0.99972

19

0.00010

0.99982

20

0.00006

0.99988

10

11

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