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Deep decarbonization and the business of climate

My annual decarbonization deck is here. 200 slides, covering everything from water levels in Lake Gatún to sulfur dioxide emissions to ESG fund flows to Chinese auto exports to artificial intelligence. Last year was the hottest recorded in human history. It was a record year for anthropogenic emissions from fossil fuel, and a record year for coal consumption. It was also a record year for energy transition investment; a record year for solar, wind, and battery energy storage deployment; a record year for electric vehicle purchases too. The year 2024 was a year of more of everything. That makes it difficult to discern clear signals, and all the more important to try. I’ve grouped the presentation in three themes, as I usually do: 1️⃣ 2021: a year in which so many things were set in motion in energy and climate, some of them foundational, some of them transitory, all of them worth noting in today’s business, financial, energy, and even cultural context. 2️⃣ The Complex: complexity within industries, and the complex interactions between them, are more apparent (and more important) than ever. 3️⃣ Reagents: the substances, so to speak, that could materially change today’s trajectory to tomorrow, into something very different. Thank you all for reading and sharing, and for bouncing ideas with me over the past year. https://lnkd.in/gtqqvQWA

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Peter Nocchiero

supporting climate founders

1mo

💚✨Awesome as always Nat Bullard, and honest to god public service for an informed public. 🤩🪡🎨One of the many things I’m impressed with is your ability to find the needle in the haystack in such creative ways. Your slide of “the Larry Letter” is an example of this. Your theme comparing 2021 to now is another. 🔬🌏📈The deck is not just comprehensive it is creative and forces us to look at the world in a different, better, and more impactful way.

Ken Caldeira

Visiting Scholar at Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability

4w

Sorry if I am being obtuse, but how do you download this deck?

This is confusing "Decarbonization: 2021, The Complex, Reagents." A great presentation Nat Bullard but shouldn't it be "Decarbonization 2025: 2021, The Complex, Reagents."

Matthew Merfert

Senior Director in International Renewable Energy Business Development/Sales/Strategy/EPC; HEC Paris EMBA

1mo

Highly informative, intuitively organized with a clear narrative arc, and enjoyably witty slide titles to boot. The meaning of the data shines through. Thank you for sharing. A place would be earned in the annals of the 'Visual Display of Quantitative Information'. Edward Tufte would be proud.

Wow. Nat Bullard - you are incredible. Your report is *always* one of the highlights of my yearly intellectual experience. You keep me fresh.

Amber Mahone

Managing Partner at Energy and Environmental Economics, Inc.

2w

Nat Bullard great work. Thanks for sharing. I'm trying to understand the global coal story on slide 17 (rapid growth) vs slide 26 (stagnant growth?). What am I missing? Thanks!

Nat Bullard wow, great collection of data! How long did it take to compile all of it?

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Franz Hochstrasser

Inclusive Climate Finance | Investing | Clean Energy | CEO & Co-Founder #climatetech

1mo

Thank you for this tremendous resource!

Syukri Shah, MBA, MSc(Eng)

Strategy | Energy | Joint Venture Management @ PETRONAS | UK Gov Chevening Scholar 18/19

1mo

Excellent presentation of data. Substance with data; over cheap words of narrow minded activism. Wetland, agriculture & waste combined are 4-5 times more methane emission than oil & gas. These are more significant to be tackled than easy to pin-point one industry that seems “dirty” but improving lives;energy security. Energy efficiency, addressing overconsumption of resources & waste are more impactful.

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Great deck. Please expand your attention to extreme weather. Valencia was just one of many off-the-charts floods in 2024. A count of bankruptcies among property casualty companies would be instructive. Same for trend of increasing losses among re-insurance companies. A map of places where it's now impossible to get fire and flood insurance would also be instructive.

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