Sundar Pichai reveals a game-changer: Over 25% of new code at Google is now AI-generated and accepted by engineers. This seismic shift towards AI-driven development raises pivotal questions about the future of coding and potential risks ahead. • Exponential Growth Ahead: The rate of AI-generated code is expected to double repeatedly, accelerating development beyond human pace. • Automation Risks: Unchecked AI code generation could lead to software performing tasks beyond our control or intent. Are we ready for a future where code writes code—and possibly writes us into a new reality?
I'm equally fascinated by the advancement—and potential encroachment—of AI on product acceleration. A lot of people probably assume that Google might now operate with 25% fewer engineers, but it’s more likely that they’ve simply sped up their roadmap. So what does a world look like when "year three" features start appearing in year one? And for every product on the planet too. We could see innovation on a speed and scale that we can't even imagine. But replacing entry-level coding with AI could also disrupt the pipeline of engineers who traditionally gain experience in these foundational roles before advancing to higher-value tasks. In five years, we could face a shortage of talent to fill mid-tier engineering roles, especially if fewer people pursue programming degrees following statements like Jensen Huang’s, who suggested that learning to code may no longer be necessary.
What about just the use case of making your code better? A collaboration between man and machine. The consequence for programmers is that fewer people can be doing the same job faster. I was talking to a front end developer who admitted that AI was writing better code, but you still need expertise to make decisions and make choices.
Jason, these numbers are greatly exaggerated. Read the comments in this HN post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41991291
This is truly a turning point for technology and our future. The idea that machines might take the lead in creating code is exciting but also a bit scary. We have to think about how this change will shape our world. Jason Calacanis
Is this (coding) the 21st Century equivalent of building anvils for a living?
プログラム開発はなにもコードを生成するだけが仕事ではありませんよね。状態遷移図や、ウォーターフォール開発の多段階の設計仕様書が存在しているわけで、そういった物を解りやすく、繊細に、多様性をもって出力してくれるAIを準備すればいいじゃないですかね。
Jason Calacanis, you left out the devastating impact of 25% of developers losing their livelihoods.
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