Check out how the model works! https://lnkd.in/eFgCZrTt TL;DR: I start with demographic data, polling, historical results, and Brexit vote to set up the models distributions. It then generates 10,000 simulations, each with its own election day voting intentions, demographic importance, and the predictive value of previous votes. Finally, it overlays the new constituency boundaries and voilà, model done!