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Market Analyst at European Audiovisual Observatory

From the NYT: Streaming has long been hailed as a promising business, because companies like Netflix can add additional subscribers at little extra cost. The more paying subscribers a service has, the more the company’s costs can be spread out over a large base, lowering the cost per subscriber. But those subscribers want lots of options, and the costs of making enough programming can be enormous. As a result, a #streaming service’s profitability depends in large part on how many paying subscribers are needed before those #TV shows and movies become cost-effective. There was a time when industry executives hoped that number might be as low as 100 million. But now the consensus among many of the executives interviewed is that the number is at least 200 million, and possibly more. “If you’re going to be a full entertainment service with live sports and tent-pole blockbusters today, 200 million is a number that can give you the scale with the hope for growth over time,” Mr. Hopkins of Amazon said. Netflix has reached that, and then some, with about 270 million paying subscribers. $50 Million an Episode, Over and Over The costs of attracting — and keeping — those millions of customers is no cheap feat. Overall, Netflix has said it will spend about $17 billion this year on programming, about what it did before last year’s Hollywood strikes depressed production. “It’s a tall order to entertain the world,” Mr. Sarandos of Netflix said. “You have to do it with regularity and dependably.” For Netflix, $17 billion represents only about half of its total revenue. But almost no competitor can match that spending level, the executives said, except for maybe Amazon. Not all of those pay off. But when they do, the impact can be huge, like wildcatters when they hit a gusher. Play Ball Adding to the cost pressure, the executives said, is the soaring cost of #sports programming. Even in the bygone era of traditional television, the broad appeal of sports was obvious. But that was before streaming and the arrival of the deep-pocketed #tech giants. The appeal of live sports is both unique and twofold: They attract new streaming subscribers and reduce churn since viewers want to watch sports live. It is also a big draw for advertisers as streaming services look to grow their ad businesses. #Advertising to the Rescue? “It’s a nice way to get price-sensitive consumers,” said Mr. Chapek “Heavy users will still come and pay the higher monthly fee.” Mr. Chapek acknowledged that advertisers covet — and will pay more for — mass audiences. As a result, the streaming services have a strong incentive to produce programs with broad appeal instead of more niche content, including some of the kind that generates critical acclaim. Who Will Survive? “Can your current business be a successful player and have long-term wealth generation, or are you going to be roadkill?” Mr. Malone mused. “I think all the small players will have to shrink down or go away.”

The Future of Streaming (According to the Moguls Figuring It Out)

The Future of Streaming (According to the Moguls Figuring It Out)

https://www.nytimes.com

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