Akshay Singh

Is Now the Best Time to Raise a Private Equity Fund? According to industry leaders, it just might be. "I’m much more optimistic at this point in the cycle in 2024 than I was in 2023 and 2022," says Andy Lund, global co-head of Houlihan Lokey's Private Funds Group. Despite expectations of a slowdown, the first half of 2024 has been unexpectedly successful for PE managers raising capital. U.S.-based funds closed on $155 billion by the end of June, slightly ahead of the first half of 2023 (PitchBook Q2 2024 US PE Breakdown). Alex Russ, head of North America for Evercore's Private Funds Group, sees this as an ideal moment for GPs with open funds. "We saw fewer new fundraise launches in 2024 than in 2022 and 2023, leading to a slight easing, which we expect to continue into the second half of this year," he notes. However, challenges remain. LP capital is still largely locked until M&A and exit activities resume. Evercore anticipates flat PE fundraising figures for 2024 compared to 2023. Moreover, other asset classes are vying for already limited institutional capital, with private credit showing particularly strong growth. In this context, Maria Konnikova’s "The Biggest Bluff" offers an insightful analogy. Inspired by "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern, the book explores von Neumann's belief that poker epitomizes the delicate balance between skill and chance that governs life. Doing well at poker isn’t just about playing well; it’s about playing well relative to everyone else. And even with the best strategies, luck plays a critical role. As Nobel-winning economist Daniel Kahneman notes, "The successful funds in any given year are mostly lucky; they have a good roll of the dice. There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not—and few of them do—are playing a game of chance." The last two years were like drawing a bad hand in poker for those raising funds. The book also emphasizes the importance of thinking like a Strategist—something I’ve honed throughout my career. Each move requires reassessment based on new information. You need a plan that evolves with feedback and supports long-term, good decision-making. If you’ve lost your chips, was it due to an unlucky situation—or because your strategy was flawed? A recurring mantra of Poker Hall of Famer Erik Seidel is "less certainty, more inquiry." If that becomes your guiding principle, not only will you actively listen, but you will also adapt and grow. For GPs, strengthening relationships with existing LPs is more crucial than ever. Now is the time to leverage your learnings and craft compelling narratives that showcase your commitment to value creation and strategic growth. By highlighting your firm's ability to navigate complex market dynamics, you can strengthen LP alignment and foster the partnerships needed for long-term success.

59

4 Comments

The Silver Tsunami is upon us, and it's reshaping the mergers and acquisitions landscape like never before. With an estimated $10 trillion in assets set to change hands over the next decade, driven by baby boomers retiring, the opportunity for savvy investors and entrepreneurs is immense. Currently, around 30,000 businesses sell annually, but with more than 8 million baby boomer-owned businesses expected to transition, the volume of transactions could increase tenfold. This is a monumental shift that smart buyers are already preparing for. You don't need to be a Wall Street titan to benefit from this trend; many of these businesses will transition to local entrepreneurs and small business owners. Are you ready to seize a piece of this $10 trillion wealth transfer? Position yourself strategically to take advantage of this unprecedented wave of opportunities. Engage with fellow professionals and explore how you can be part of this transformation. Not sure how? Let's talk about it! #SilverTsunami #MergersAndAcquisitions #BusinessOpportunities

7

Board of Directors - insights from "The Essays of Warren Buffett" Buffett’s principles for Boards of Directors emphasize the importance of independence, accountability, and a focus on long-term shareholder value: - Long-Term Focus: Boards should act in the long-term interest of shareholders - Board Composition: Boards with mostly outside directors and select members for business savvy, not prominence or diversity (PE insight: CROs on the Board) - Regular Evaluation: Outside directors should meet without the CEO to assess performance True Independence: Directors must have equity in the company to align with shareholders' interests P.S. This is a very insightful book structuring Warren Buffett's shareholder letters by specific categories - here are the top summary takeaways from the rest of the book: Investment Discipline – Maintain patience and discipline, avoiding speculative investments and market timing Business Quality – Seek businesses with a durable competitive advantage Management – High-quality, trustworthy management & look for managers who think like owners Corporate Governance – Transparent communication and fair treatment of all stakeholders Risk Management – Avoid excessive leverage and maintain a margin of safety to minimize risk and preserve capital Fundamentals – Focus on fundamentals rather than market trends Economic Earnings – Focus on economic earnings and free cash flow rather than accounting profits for a true picture of financial health Long-Term Focus – Long-term investments and value creation vs. short-term gains Capital Allocation – Efficient capital allocation is key - reinvest earnings wisely Market Irrationality – Recognize and capitalize on irrationality as "Mr.Market" can be inefficient in the short term #investing #markets #business #stocks #finance #pe #ceo

6

1 Comment

Ever wondered why merged companies often have a higher valuation than their standalone counterparts? The answer lies in multiple expansion, a phenomenon where larger companies attract a broader pool of buyers and financing options. Investors tend to perceive larger businesses as less risky, leading to a higher valuation. For instance, if you merge three companies, each generating $1 million in EBITDA valued at a 4-5x multiple, into one entity generating $3 million, the new company might trade at a 6-7x multiple. This enhanced valuation can create millions in additional value. Understanding this strategy is crucial for gaining a competitive edge and maximizing business worth. Have you considered this? Let's talk about it. #MergersAndAcquisitions #BusinessStrategy #Valuation

113

8 Comments

💡Benchmarks in the investment industry serve as a standard for measuring the performance of securities, mutual funds, or investment managers. They provide a reference point for analyzing allocation, risk, and return of a portfolio, enabling investors to make informed decisions. Thanks Peter Walker for keeping us all informed!! Can’t wait for this!! Follow and get on the waitlist for this one! #benchmarks #fundraising #Capitalraise #founders #womenshealth #femhealth #medtech #wellness

16

Series A or B wondering when to bring in a VP of Finance or CFO? It’s a crucial decision that can shape the future of your company. At this stage, financial leadership is not just about managing numbers but also scaling processes, securing funding, and driving strategic growth. My colleague Paul breaks down key signs that it’s time to hire and indicators for choosing between VP of Finance and a CFO #FinanceLeadership #CFO #StartupGrowth #SeriesA #SeriesB #NextGenLeadership

8

Join us tomorrow for a panel discussion on the complex relationship many FirstGens have to money and how that affects founders, investors, operators and others. See you tomorrow! https://lu.ma/9rixyzgs

24

2 Comments

Our view on the current venture capital markets. Curious to hear other investors' thoughts but I feel like seed stage valuation, at least in the gaming and entertainment sectors, has finally come down to the pre-covid level. Since February or March this year, we started seeing that the founders are willing to raise a $1-2m seed round at a $10m-ish valuation, not like $4-5m at $20-25m in 2022 and 2023. What are you guys seeing?

27

2 Comments

During our Annual Investor Day, we discussed a trend we’ve been observing in the VC market: Funds increasingly using “extra downside protection” to compensate for slow growth & inflated valuations of companies. We’re now starting to see some skeletons come out of the closet (and, ironically, they might be the driving force that will re-open the IPO window). First one out: ServiceTitan https://lnkd.in/eNMuPAe6 ps: despite the compounding IPO ratchet structure, I believe ServiceTitan is a solid company and, at the right price (factoring in all adjustments), it's a great deal!

25

The Information broke news that Insight Partners has just secured $10B in funding for their latest flagship fund. This is perfectly timed given their multiple $1B+ companies sold over the past week. This is a clear sight that #limitedpartners still have in their #privateallocations even during the current slow markets for #IPOs and #M&A. This would also appear to be good news for #AIfinancing and #SaaSFinancing. What do you think? #Management #VentureCapital #PrivateEquity #CapitalMarkets https://lnkd.in/gXu_s8Qj

2

1 Comment

Venture Capital Fund Investing is a complex beast 🦁 VC funding is facing headwinds: lower capital commitments, fewer new funds, and poor performance. 📉 But fear not! It's still a dynamic space full of opportunities. 📈 In the latest in my series 'The VC Analyst Handbook', I dive deep into the world of venture fund investing. 📚 Key topics: Fundraising challenges and strategies 💰 Fund structures and economics 📊 LP-GP dynamics and decision-making 🤝 I'll demystify basics like MOIC, IRR, and clawbacks, and explain the impact of factors like fund size, stage, and market conditions on fee structures. 🤓I'll also delve into more complicated areas like liquidity mechanisms Stay tuned for more insights into this fascinating industry! #venturecapital #investing #privateequity #fundraising #fundamentals #lp #gp #startup #tech #blog https://lnkd.in/eCnAuyQT Want to learn more? Let me know in the comments! 👇

21

3 Comments

VC Market Update: Riding Out the Post-Boom Bumps. 2021's high-flying valuations and growth have given way to a more complex reality. With longer private timelines, tough exit markets, and capital tightness, startups face unique challenges—but also fresh opportunities. For those navigating today’s VC landscape, strategic planning is key. Whether it's balancing growth with capital efficiency or exploring secondaries smartly, there’s a path forward. And with boosts from AI and future rate cuts, brighter days could be ahead!

31

2 Comments

BluWave has a deep bench of 800+ interim CFOs that allow us to quickly and expertly connect private equity firms and their portfolio companies to the exact-fit interim CFOs they need.    In one case study example, a PE firm came to us in need of a stopgap interim CFO for their automotive operations portfolio company. Here's the details of how we helped:   The Situation - Needing to make a leadership change in their portfolio company, a PE firm came to us in urgent need of an interim CFO who could focus on the portco's cash flow and working capital optimization while the search for a permanent CFO was underway. Given the protfolio company's industry, the PE firm not only needed an interim CFO with financial acumen, but one with the ability to handle a complex operational landscape and turnaround skills.   How BluWave Helped - Thanks to BluWave's deep network of exact-fit interim CFOs, we quickly connected them with a select few interim CFOs with the exact experience they were looking for.    The Outcome - The client selected their preferred interim CFO from our presented options. Their leadership marked a significant turning point for the automotive manufacturer, helping them tighten cash flow, meet reporting requirements and guide them through a crucial transition period.   When you need an exact-fit, PE-grade interim CFO, contact BluWave and we'll be ready to support.   #interimCFO #interimchieffinancialofficer

26

1 Comment

As the IPO window remains shut and other paths to liquidity (buyout and M&A) remain compressed, the Cerebras Systems S-1 filing is a cautious welcome sign for the venture capital asset class. As the first "pure play" generative AI company to go public since ChatGPT's release, this marks what could the beginning of a new technology IPO wave. The company is making the bold attempt to take NVIDIA head on: ✅ Cerebras has developed a novel wafer-scale AI chip that is 57x larger than a GPU with 7,000x the on-chip memory  📈 Revenue grew a an incredible 1,122% YoY to $70M in latest quarter 💰 Blue-chip technology investors including Benchmark, Coatue, and Altimeter But the S-1 filing also reveals some notable challenges and risks: 🚩 83% of revenue came from a single customer in 2023 🗳️ Possible CFIUS scrutiny over their relationship with an Emirati company 🧑‍💼 CEO named in prior SEC enforcement action in early 2000s We will continue to keep an eye out for more details in the coming months around IPO pricing and the company’s regulatory squabbles, but in the meantime, please enjoy the full essay below.

19

1 Comment

Rethinking Value Creation in Private Equity Having been immersed in the private equity landscape, I've observed a notable shift in how we approach value creation. The traditional levers—revenue growth, margin expansion, and multiple expansion—are now under greater scrutiny than ever before. From 2013 to 2023, nearly half of the value creation in global buyout deals came from multiple expansion, with revenue growth contributing 53%. However, margin expansion accounted for less than 1%. It's clear that we can no longer rely heavily on multiple expansion as a primary driver of enterprise value. Instead, we must shift our focus towards often overlooked areas, particularly margin expansion, and redefine value creation to include equity value and the strategic use of free cash flow for debt reduction throughout the investment cycle. Key Areas to Focus On: -Revenue Growth: In buy-and-build strategies, especially in the lower middle market, there are abundant opportunities for top-line growth. Professionalizing sales forces, optimizing customer acquisition channels, and expanding product/service lines—whether organically or through acquisitions—can also lead to meaningful margin expansion. -Margin Expansion: While cost-cutting is a well-known method, it’s often unsustainable. By focusing on service lines with higher recurring margins and driving synergies through buy-and-build strategies, we can achieve more sustainable margin improvements. -Multiple Expansion: Although its role will be more limited, opportunities still exist, particularly in the lower middle market. Managing cost-basis and pursuing accretive add-ons can still result in multiple expansion, especially when platforms scale and achieve a premium upon exit. -Net Debt Reduction: With the rising cost of debt, free cash flow becomes a critical focus. Setting value objectives that increase FCF allows PORTCOs to pay down debt over the investment's life, enhancing equity returns. Deciding whether to use excess FCF for debt reduction or reinvestment should be guided by a thorough ROI analysis. The future of value creation in private equity is about more than just numbers—it's about making strategic shifts towards margin expansion and prudent financial management to ensure sustainable growth and strong returns in an increasingly competitive market. #PrivateEquity #ValueCreation #InvestmentStrategy #RevenueGrowth #MarginExpansion #MultipleExpansion #NetDebtReduction #BuyAndBuild #LowerMiddleMarket #PE #FinancialManagement #BusinessGrowth #PortfolioManagement

24

VC world can be cruel and unforgiving. With LPs more and more pushing for distribution and liquidity, fund managers in the mid-tenure of their fund with zero DPI and TVPI around 1.0 would have much more difficulty to raise new fund. The ability to fundraise is one of the crucial indications and validation of the job for VCs. Key highlights from the article below: Thirteen percent of venture General Partners (GPs) no longer plan to raise another fund due to LP pullback. This rate has doubled since H1 2023 when only 6% of GPs had no plans for another fund. Nearly 44% of venture firms surveyed in mid-2023 had previously postponed their fundraising plans due to concerns about overexposure to the asset class. Many emerging managers entered venture capital in 2019 or 2020 when the LP market supported more funds. However, slow exits in the first half of 2024 have led to challenges in raising second funds without significant cash distributions to LPs. Some venture GPs are now actively participating in the secondaries market to demonstrate returns. Despite the challenges, GPs who secured fresh capital remain optimistic. They expect the 2023 and 2024 vintages to be the strongest return years since 2019. 🚀📈 #VC #VentureCapital #Fundraising #LPs #EmergingManagers #TechInvestment #MarketTrends #CountdownCapital #IndustryInsights #JetVentures #JetInvestment‍‍‍‍‍‍

23

Market inefficiencies across the small business acquisition process have a dual impact on the search ecosystem. On one hand, an overly inefficient market can hamper transaction volume, as the challenges and costs related to sourcing and closing a transaction may outweigh the expected benefits. On the flip side, a market that is too efficient can erode the competitive advantages searchers have over institutionally backed financial sponsors. To unpack this a bit further, part of the reason the Stanford Search Study continues to report 30%+ IRRs across traditional search is due to traditional searchers’ ability to capitalize on the inefficiencies that fortify searchers from competition by larger, better capitalized acquirers. One example of this dynamic is the robust, and often focused, deal sourcing processes traditional searchers conduct in order to find ONE business to acquire. Based on my pulse, self-funded searchers are also investing more in deal sourcing and we’re seeing a greater number of self-funded acquisitions sourced through a proprietary process. Market inefficiencies create an environment where searchers can acquire small businesses at lower multiples if they put in the effort. However, if the inefficiencies are too extreme, entrepreneurial acquisitions can be too challenging and costly, ultimately deterring many searchers that might perform well under other market conditions.

16

1 Comment

The success of a Fund boils down to DPI (distributions back to LPs in relation to how much capital was deployed). The industry often gets infatuated with TVPI, which accounts for paper gains. However, these numbers are frequently not worth the paper they are printed on. Knowing when to stick or twist is always a challenge, so I favor a balanced approach: the third-third-third strategy. Sell a third of the investment at the first opportunity. Gradually sell the second third. Hold onto the final third for potential upside. Even this model needs adjustments based on market conditions, requiring a mix of aggressive selling or patience. The real issue for LPs is the industry's recent obsession with maximizing TVPI without enough attention to DPI. This can lead to portfolio imbalances and potentially disappointing (or zero) cash returns. 🎙 Listen to my full episode of Fintech Leaders with good friend Miguel Armaza for more on data as the new gold, secrets behind successful VCs, and the importance of founder-market fit: Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3KitB4b Apple: https://apple.co/4bXmmuC Youtube: https://bit.ly/3Vh4HIz

37

1 Comment