The United States-European Union trade deal ensures that euro area and EU growth will remain relatively resilient even though effective US tariffs on EU exports increase by around 16pps in aggregate this year.
Is it a good deal? Political commentators and many editorialists mostly say no. The stock market reaction says yes. Our take: the deal is at the better end of the spectrum of what could realistically be achieved.
The European Union (EU) and the United States (US) have reached a framework trade agreement that sets a blanket 15% tariff on goods traded between them, ending a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg. The 15% tariff rates will take effect on August 1.
France's European Affairs Minister Benjamin Haddad said on Monday that a trade deal between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) will bring temporary stability, adding that it is still an unbalanced deal.
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said on Wednesday that the trade deal between the United States (US) and Japan is a big step forward and it helps reduce uncertainty for Japan's firms, per Reuters.
Traders didn’t wait for the ink to dry. The moment Trump announced a 15% tariff cap in a freshly minted trade deal with Japan—complete with explicit mention of autos—the market kicked into gear.
EUR/USD is consolidating its latest upside near 1.1700 in European trading on Thursday. The US Dollar remains weak across the board as investors stay wary about the future of the Fed's independence in Trump's 2.0 era. The focus now shifts toward ECB-speak and mid-tier US data for fresh impetus.
GBP/USD holds its winning streak for the fourth successive session, trading above 1.3700 in the European session on Thursday. The pair hangs close to three-year highs amid sustained US Dollar weakness, in light of US President Trump's fresh attack on the Fed's credibility. US data and BoE-speak awaited.
As the Israel-Iran conflict reaches new heights, an old threat is coming back to haunt the markets: that of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow arm of the sea in the Persian Gulf, wedged between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates and Oman to the south, is much more than a simple sea passage.
Gold price trades with a mild positive for the second straight day on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through and remains below the $3,350 level through the early European session. Reports that US President Donald Trump was considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raised concerns over the future independence of the US central bank.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading in the green by 2% at press time on Thursday, following a 6.39% price surge on Wednesday. Rising in a parallel channel pattern, BCH shows signs of increasing bullish momentum and nearing the $500 psychological level.
