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Greg M. Gupton

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May those who seek a voice also find strength

  In these modern times, we need our dictators to rig their elections with some modicum of competence. 
Here are three statistical analyses that are consistent with the finding that the Iranian presidential 'vote' was fraudulent.
  1. from: University of St. Andrews
  2. from: Nicolaus Copernicus University
  3. from: University of Michigan
Download, here, datasets & links.
Fitch Quantitative Financial Research (QFR)

In Rememberance: World Trade Center (WTC)

This is the web's most comprehensive credit risk modeling and measurement resource for corporate debt. There are currently 1,519 references with abstracts to credit risk management and modeling related research, 1,288 of these are full text freely downloadable papers. If I have missed anything, then please contact me.

Job Resources ... enjoy.

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New Research this week of August-2:

  • Bank ManagementBank Management
    by Timothy W. Koch, S. Scott MacDonald
    South-Western College, July 2009, Hardcover, 820 pages

New in previous weeks:

Week of July-26 Week of July-19 Week of July-12 Week of July-5 Week of June-28 Week of June-21 Week of June-14 Week of June-7 Week of May-31 Week of May-24 Week of May-17 Week of May-10 Week of May-3 Week of April-26 Week of April-19 Week of April-12 Week of April-5 Week of March-29 Week of March-22 Week of March-15 Week of March-8 Week of March-1


About this Web Site

This is not a vendor site.  It is just my own.  I have been excited by credit risk methodologies throughout my career (I work at FitchSolutions with a crack quant team).  Although I am the principal author of CreditMetrics® and LossCalc™ (and have a natural affinity for them), I am more of an advocate for the continued study of credit risk modeling.  Wonderfully, there are over sixteen hundred researchers featured on this site (see full list)!

"I'm making the world less risky;
one credit portfolio at a time!"

-- Greg M. Gupton

What I want is to advance the state-of-the-art of credit risk management ... through YOU.  I hope to give you all the tools to understand the strengths and limits of credit value-at-risk models so you can take the best and ... I trust ... create better ones.  This site has been under continual development since 2000 and will continue to grow.  I'm trying to satisfy two audiences:

Practitioners have a no-nonsense need to address risk in a timely fashion.  Institutions hire research people to develop internally (and adapt from external sources) risk measurement and pricing systems to address tangible needs.

Academics have the more strategic, but no less difficult, need to efficiently access the many disparate sources of prior  research and to gain insight into current practitioner practice & demand.

Greg M. Gupton, Webmaster

 

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