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Coś się zaczyna, coś się kończy. Po ponad sześciu latach wspaniałej transformacyjnej i intelektualnej przygody w Forum Energii ten etap dobiegł…
Coś się zaczyna, coś się kończy. Po ponad sześciu latach wspaniałej transformacyjnej i intelektualnej przygody w Forum Energii ten etap dobiegł…
Liked by S. Raszewski
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Last week, we had the utmost pleasure of hosting our partners from the Tokyo International University and the Università per Stranieri di Perugia at…
Last week, we had the utmost pleasure of hosting our partners from the Tokyo International University and the Università per Stranieri di Perugia at…
Liked by S. Raszewski
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“At the moment, almost half the population of the developing world—three billion people—annually uses less electricity per capita than the average…
“At the moment, almost half the population of the developing world—three billion people—annually uses less electricity per capita than the average…
Liked by S. Raszewski
Experience
Publications
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Global Energy and the Political Dynamics in the Middle East
Valdai Discussion Club, Valdai Paper #53
Crude oil returns as the key commodity on the global oil markets and, therefore, a closer look is needed to establish what the main challenges and opportunities are.
This article reviews key dynamics in the Middle Eastern oil and gas to explain how they shape the global energy picture. The author makes sense of the Saudi-Iran relations and the role OPEC is set to play in the emerging energy landscape. Finally, political developments in the broader region, including Turkey, are discussed. -
Мировая Энергетика и Политическая Динамика на Ближнем Востоке
Междунароoдный дискуссиоoнный клуб «Валдай», Валдайская Записка №53
Сырая нефть в качестве главного товара возвращается на мировые рынки энергоносителей. Чтобы понять связанные с этим новые вызовы и возможности, необходим более внимательный взгляд на ситуацию.
Начавшаяся в Организации стран – экспортеров нефти (ОПЕК) «война на истощение» за сохранение доли на мировых рынках поставила под сомнение будущее самого картеля и – в более широком смысле – внесла изменения в политэкономию ближневосточной нефти. Притом, что американскую сланцевую нефть традиционно…Сырая нефть в качестве главного товара возвращается на мировые рынки энергоносителей. Чтобы понять связанные с этим новые вызовы и возможности, необходим более внимательный взгляд на ситуацию.
Начавшаяся в Организации стран – экспортеров нефти (ОПЕК) «война на истощение» за сохранение доли на мировых рынках поставила под сомнение будущее самого картеля и – в более широком смысле – внесла изменения в политэкономию ближневосточной нефти. Притом, что американскую сланцевую нефть традиционно обвиняют в дестабилизации мирового рынка, именно соперничество между Исламской республикой Иран и Королевством Саудовская Аравия (КСА) открывает новую главу поступательного снижения той роли, которая отводилась ОПЕК на заре ее возникновения. Ирано-саудовское соперничество, отголоски которого слышны в раздираемых внутренними конфликтами Сирии и Йемене – ключевой фактор, оказывающий воздействие на мировой нефтяной порядок.
В очередном выпуске Валдайских записок представлен обзор динамики цен на ближневосточные нефть и газ и анализ того, как эти энергоресурсы формируют общую картину на мировом рынке. Автор осмысливает отношения между Саудовской Аравией и Ираном и политические векторы развития всего региона в целом, включая Турцию. -
Shale Gas and Energy Security
In: T. Hunter (ed) Handbook of Shale Gas Law and Policy, Cambridge: Intersentia, 2016.
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Shale Gas Policy in the European Union
In: T. Hunter (ed) Handbook of Shale Gas Law and Policy, Cambridge: Intersentia, 2016.
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State and Substate Oil Trade: The Turkey – KRG Deal
Journal of Middle East Policy Vol. 23, Issue 1, 2016. DOI: 10.1111/mepo.12178
After the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, there has been increasing tension between the central government in Baghdad and the Erbil-based Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in northern part of the country. The KRG is a substate actor in regional relations whose international legal status has not yet been determined. It is important to note that any future determination will undoubtedly hinge on oil and gas resources. Maliki's administration has consistently argued that the Federal Oil Ministry has…
After the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, there has been increasing tension between the central government in Baghdad and the Erbil-based Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in northern part of the country. The KRG is a substate actor in regional relations whose international legal status has not yet been determined. It is important to note that any future determination will undoubtedly hinge on oil and gas resources. Maliki's administration has consistently argued that the Federal Oil Ministry has primary authority over Iraq's oil sector. The KRG has claimed independent authority over energy resources in the region, including the right to sign oil-field exploration and production contracts within its territory, govern oil fields, and export oil and natural gas. The federal constitution of Iraq regulates the oil revenue-sharing mechanism and other features related to energy exploration and production. Following from this, all petroleum exported from Iraq should be marketed through the country's State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO), with the KRG receiving 17 percent of the resulting revenues. However, the regulation of the energy sector in the KRG is unclear. In light of this situation, Deputy Prime Minister Hussain al-Shahristani has expressed concern regarding violations of the fundamental principle embodied in the statute, asserting that KRG authorities should follow the constitutional order and not make oil-extraction deals with third countries without Baghdad's approval. Until recently, Baghdad appeared to have the upper-hand in the conflict, as the export pipelines have been under control of the central government. However, the commissioning of an oil pipeline linking Erbil to Turkey is changing the status quo by physically allowing the KRG to export oil to regional and international markets.
Other authorsSee publication -
Dichotomy of Energy Policies in the Caspian: Where Two Strive another Benefits?
In: L. Simao and R. Piet (eds) The Overlapping Neighbourhoods of the European Union, Russia and Turkey: Foreign Policy Making in a Contested Space, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2015.
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Energy Security Perceptions in Poland and Turkey
The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs Vol 24 Issue 1, The Polish Institute of International Affairs
A large chunk of the “energy security” debate has dealt with problems of access to resources and, most recently, the degradation of ecosystems as a direct result of the socio-economic activities of humans; less focus has been on the sources of security/insecurity perceptions and misperceptions and ways to explain them. This article seeks to evaluate the origins and practices of energy security perceptions in Poland and Turkey, and within their respective regional contexts—Central and Eastern…
A large chunk of the “energy security” debate has dealt with problems of access to resources and, most recently, the degradation of ecosystems as a direct result of the socio-economic activities of humans; less focus has been on the sources of security/insecurity perceptions and misperceptions and ways to explain them. This article seeks to evaluate the origins and practices of energy security perceptions in Poland and Turkey, and within their respective regional contexts—Central and Eastern Europe and the Wider Black Sea Region. With the global energy security paradigm now encapsulating the rise of new powers, epitomised by BRICS, developments at the regional level have been playing profound roles, grouping states around key regional actors. Drawing on case study material, the evaluation serves the purpose of assessing possible axes of convergence and divergence between the two regions represented by the two countries.
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Energy Security or Energy Governance? Legal and Political Aspects of Sustainable Exploration of Shale Gas in Poland.
Oil, Gas & Energy Law (OGEL) Journal Vol. 12, Issue 3 entitled ‘The Governance of Unconventional Gas Development Outside the United States of America’ edited by P. Andrews-Speed
This paper analyses prospects for an institutional structure to govern and ensure environmentally sustainable exploration of unconventional (shale) gas in Poland. Shale gas developments in the United States (US) ignited a widespread policy and law debate in Europe about the prospects of emerging fuel. In Poland, the debate has developed particularly high expectations on both the Government and the Public’s side, ascribed to future exploration and production of unconventional gas from shale…
This paper analyses prospects for an institutional structure to govern and ensure environmentally sustainable exploration of unconventional (shale) gas in Poland. Shale gas developments in the United States (US) ignited a widespread policy and law debate in Europe about the prospects of emerging fuel. In Poland, the debate has developed particularly high expectations on both the Government and the Public’s side, ascribed to future exploration and production of unconventional gas from shale formations. To ensure a balance between energy security prerogatives and resource governance responsibilities, Warsaw has sought to organise a top-down approach to shale gas exploration in Poland with an enhanced role-playing of the Government and its respective Ministries, particularly the Ministry of Environment in absence of an Energy Ministry proper. What can be referred to as a state-centric model toward exploration of shale gas, the Polish case study evidences opportunities as well as challenges in replicating the US’s revolutionary gas production developments and it continues to have an impact on embryonic structure of energy governance in Poland. Utilising theories of politicisation and governance, the paper argues that the state-centric approach to the emerging resource may be inadequate to initiate a large-scale energy security change the country longs for. The state-centric approach and lack of a robust legal framework may have been the key challenges to the rise of shale gas momentum which peaked in early 2010s. Exodus of key commercial actors from the Polish market in the last couple of years may harbinger inevitable decline of future shale gas exploration and production as much needed financial and technological stimulus may be lacking.
Other authorsSee publication -
Delimitation of competences between Member States and the EU in the external energy field: the case of the Caspian region
In: K. Talus, B. Delvaux and M. Hunt (eds.) EU Energy Law and Policy Issues: The State and Energy Markets in Search of a Balance. Brussels: Intersentia
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Security and Economics of Energy in North-East Europe
In: C. Kuzemko, A.V. Belyi, A. Goldthau and M.F. Keating (eds.) Dynamics of Energy Governance in Europe and Russia. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan
The paper examines the intersection between security and the economics of energy by looking at how the political factor, as in increasing attempts at securitising energy, may influence economic structures. To this end, the paper examines the cases of two energy vulnerable European Union (EU) member states - Lithuania and Poland - in both of which securitising moves have taken place.
Languages
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Turkish
Full professional proficiency
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Russian
Full professional proficiency
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German
Professional working proficiency
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Polish
Native or bilingual proficiency
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English
Full professional proficiency
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