
Please try another search
Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 19, 2025 18:00
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
4.00 - 4.25 | 6.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 94.0% | 92.0% | 98.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.75 - 4.00 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 23.0% | 28.5% | 26.4% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 75.8% | 69.6% | 73.1% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.50 - 3.75 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 15.6% | 21.3% | 11.6% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 58.0% | 58.5% | 46.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 25.6% | 18.8% | 41.7% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.25 - 3.50 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 6.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 31.9% | 36.4% | 20.6% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 45.5% | 42.4% | 45.2% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 15.8% | 11.1% | 31.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
3.00 - 3.25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 21.0% | 25.3% | 9.8% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 39.7% | 39.9% | 30.0% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 28.6% | 24.0% | 39.8% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 6.8% | 4.6% | 19.2% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 9.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 26.8% | 30.2% | 13.8% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 36.2% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 21.8% | 17.6% | 35.7% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 15.4% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 4.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 15.8% | 19.3% | 5.8% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 30.3% | 31.9% | 18.6% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 30.8% | 28.0% | 32.9% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 30.3% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 2.9% | 1.9% | 11.3% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 5.7% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 17.6% | 21.2% | 6.8% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 30.4% | 31.3% | 19.7% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 28.9% | 25.6% | 32.7% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 13.8% | 10.4% | 28.9% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 10.5% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 7.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 19.8% | 22.9% | 8.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 30.1% | 30.3% | 21.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 26.2% | 22.9% | 32.3% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 11.8% | 8.9% | 26.9% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 9.3% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 11.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 23.4% | 23.7% | 10.1% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 28.8% | 29.5% | 22.8% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 21.3% | 21.4% | 31.5% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 8.5% | 8.1% | 24.2% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 7.9% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 3.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 23.7% | 24.0% | 10.4% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 28.4% | 29.1% | 23.0% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 20.6% | 20.7% | 31.3% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 8.1% | 7.7% | 23.9% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 7.7% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 13.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 23.9% | 24.3% | 10.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 28.0% | 28.7% | 22.7% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 20.0% | 20.1% | 31.1% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 24.0% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 8.1% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 0.2% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 13.4% | 13.2% | 3.2% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 24.0% | 24.4% | 10.6% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 27.8% | 28.4% | 23.0% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 19.6% | 19.7% | 30.9% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 7.6% | 7.2% | 23.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 7.8% |
4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 0.2% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 4.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 12.6% | 12.5% | 3.0% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 10.0% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 27.4% | 28.1% | 21.8% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 20.4% | 20.5% | 30.2% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 24.2% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 9.3% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% |
4.75 - 5.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
---|---|---|---|
1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
2.25 - 2.50 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
2.50 - 2.75 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 18.5% | 18.6% | 6.9% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 25.5% | 26.0% | 16.6% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 13.8% | 13.7% | 26.8% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 15.8% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 4.6% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
4.75 - 5.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
Investing.com - The US dollar surged higher Monday, climbing to a three-week high after US President Donald Trump delivered on his threat of more trade tariffs, boosting demand for the safe haven. At...
Investing.com - The US dollar rose Friday following fresh tariff threats from US President Donald Trump, while the euro stayed weak after an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank. At 04:00 ET...
Investing.com-- Gold prices were largely steady in Asian trading on Friday, but were at a record peak after jumping in the previous session amid uncertainty around U.S. tariffs, while investors...
Gold remains at technically overbought levels across multiple time frames, with RSI showing negative divergence, signaling potential weakness. Gold’s strong correlation with the S&P 500 suggests...
For Part 1 on “Tariff Risk” read: Tariff Impact Not As Bearish As Predicted. In “Trumpflation” we discussed why the tariff risk was not inflation. To wit: “Today, globalization and technology give...
Bitcoin must close above $99,800 to confirm an uptrend and break out of its short-term range. Failure to hold momentum could push Bitcoin toward key supports at $95,100 and $92,300. ETF outflows...