Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville has forecasted that Donald Trump’s administration will experience a “massive collapse” within 30 days, citing a decline in public approval and internal instability.
Speaking to Mediaite’s Dan Abrams, Carville argued that Trump’s leadership is already “in the midst of a collapse” and advised Democrats to stay out of the way while it unfolds.
Carville urged Democrats to avoid direct confrontation, suggesting they “play possum” and allow the administration to self-destruct. “It’s going to be easy pickings here in six weeks. Just lay back. We’re in the midst of a collapse. It’s over,” he said. He argued that progressive advocacy groups pushing for aggressive opposition are “worse than useless” and that Democrats should “just let it go”.
Trump, GOP will 'collapse' in 30 days, predicts James Carville
Despite Carville’s claims, recent polling does not indicate a dramatic collapse. A JL Partners/DailyMail.com poll showed Trump’s approval rating at 53%, his highest since the election, while an Emerson College poll found it had dipped slightly to 48%.
A CNN/SSR poll recorded a 47% approval rating, as per The Daily Mail.
Carville, however, insisted the administration was facing its lowest approval ratings for any president at a comparable time. He also predicted Republicans would struggle to pass legislation due to their slim House majority and potential resistance from Democrats.
The US is just a month away from a possible government shutdown. If Congress fails to pass a spending package, federal programs—including military pay, disaster relief, and aid for low-income Americans—could be halted.
Carville suggested Republicans might be forced to negotiate with Democrats to keep the government functioning, reported The Mirror.
Trump has made several controversial foreign policy statements, including comments blaming Ukraine for its war with Russia and suggesting Gaza could be turned into the “Riviera”.
Meanwhile, his administration has aggressively pursued spending cuts through Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This has led to mass layoffs of federal workers and resistance from some agencies over transparency demands.
Carville remains certain that Trump’s administration is on the verge of failure. “I think they know exactly what they’re doing and they know exactly what’s going to happen,” he said, adding, “I’ve never been mistaken”.
However, given that he previously predicted Kamala Harris would win the presidency, his forecasts should be taken with caution.