Market Overview

Stocks got a major boost last Friday afternoon as implied volatility dropped sharply in the final hours of the day, aided by a large end-of-month $4+ billion buy imbalance for the closing cross....

In recent weeks, many news headlines have suggested that the US economy is tanking and that so is the Old World Order. So, investors are jittery, and a risk-off investment style is back in favor...

LINK If the history of the capital cycle is any guide, the massive allocation into AI capex in recent years is very likely to lead to especially poor returns for investors in the years to come,...

The combination of extremely rich equity valuations, high interest rates, and a new President taking bold actions will likely continue to whip stocks around for the foreseeable future. Alongside...

One of the most referenced valuation measures is Dr. Robert Shiller’s Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings Ratio, known as CAPE. Valuations have always been, and remain, an essential variable in...

A couple of weeks ago, I presented a blog post called “Trump Era Volatility: The Impact on Portfolio Allocations,” in which I pointed out that the effect of increasing volatility generally is to...

Recent headlines appear to have shaken investor sentiment. It’s premature to read too much into a few days of weaker-than-expected survey numbers. More importantly, the latest data indicate that the...

The stock market sold off on a decline in February's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), confirming a similar decline in February's Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI), which was reported at the end of last...

The EU’s most costly budgets, bitcoin’s market swings, and rising US bankruptcies. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts. 1. The EU Countries With...

Last week, we discussed that continued bullish exuberance and high levels of complacency can quickly turn into volatility. As we noted then, introducing an unexpected, exogenous event can soon lead...

Economic data activity will pick up again this week, culminating in the PCE report on Friday. Additionally, NVIDIA's (NASDAQ:NVDA) midweek earnings, which have become a significant market-moving...

“The Gunfight at Dodge City” is a 1959 Western film. After his brother the sheriff is murdered, Bat Masterson is elected to the job of sheriff and is determined to find the killer and make Dodge City...

Last week, we discussed the surge in retail exuberance in the market following the election of President Trump. “The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and...

I am constantly amazed at certain articles of faith among the economics community. In my line of expertise, one of the most amazing to me is the absolute conviction with which the economics community...