Juan Camilo Bustos Peláez

Juan Camilo Bustos Peláez

Paris, Île-de-France, France
1 k abonnés + de 500 relations

Activité

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Expérience

  • Graphique BNP Paribas CIB

    BNP Paribas CIB

    Paris, Île-de-France, France

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    Paris Area, France

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    Madrid, Community of Madrid, Spain

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    Paris

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    Marseille Area, France

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    Bogotá D.C. Area, Colombia

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    Bogotá D.C. Area, Colombia

Formation

  • Graphique Université Paris Dauphine- PSL

    Université Paris Dauphine

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    Master's degree final project on "Employing Deep Learning (RNN-LSTM) to challenge traditional econometric forecasting methods, and integrating Web Scraping and Text Sentiment Analysis for enhanced economic analysis".

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    Grant holder of the Eiffel Excellence Scholarship Program awarded by the French Government

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    Bachelor's degree final project on the relationship between the volatility of nominal exchange rate and the foreign trade fluctuations in Colombia (trough a GARCH approach).

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    Principles of Risk Management, Equity Market, Fixed Income Market and FOREX Market

Licences et certifications

Publications

  • The Interdependence Between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency-Domain Approach

    Springer US

    In this paper, the interdependence between aggregate commodity prices and world gross domestic product (GDP) is studied by performing two empirical exercises with long-run data that starts in the nineteenth century. Long−term and medium-term cycles are computed and their degree of synchronization measured for different leads and lags. Causality tests are performed on the frequency domain. Both exercises deepen understanding of these macroeconomic relationships by disentangling them on the time…

    In this paper, the interdependence between aggregate commodity prices and world gross domestic product (GDP) is studied by performing two empirical exercises with long-run data that starts in the nineteenth century. Long−term and medium-term cycles are computed and their degree of synchronization measured for different leads and lags. Causality tests are performed on the frequency domain. Both exercises deepen understanding of these macroeconomic relationships by disentangling them on the time and frequency dimensions, respectively. The results show evidence of cycle synchronization only in the case of super cycles. There is causality evidence from GDP to aggregate commodity prices mostly for long-run frequencies. Therefore, commodity-price trends and super-cycles are demand driven. There is causality evidence between oil-prices and GDP in both causation directions. However, oil-price fluctuations are predictive of GDP for business-cycle frequencies only. Overall, a frequency-domain approach is useful for identifying significant variation in the interdependence between commodity prices and GDP across fluctuation horizons.

    Autres auteurs
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Prix et distinctions

  • Eiffel Scorship

    French Government

    The Eiffel Excellence Scholarship Programme was established by the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Development to enable French higher education establishments to attract top foreign students to enrol in their master’s and PhD courses.

  • Member of the Program for Recruitment of Talent (PRT)

    COLFUTURO, Foundation for the future of Colombia.

    The selection process of the PRT is highly rigorous and is centered on high academic levels and the leadership qualities of the candidate. It bases itself on the undergraduate class ranking, the overall grade average, honors, recognitions and academic recommendations.

Langues

  • Français

    Bilingue ou langue natale

  • Anglais

    Capacité professionnelle complète

  • Espagnol

    Bilingue ou langue natale

  • Portugais

    Notions

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