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Robles-Zurita, J. A., Hawkins, N. and Bouttell, J. (2025) Levelling up: treating uptake as endogenous may increase the value of screening programmes. Medical Decision Making, (Accepted for Publication)

Hannigan, L. J. , Phillippo, D. M., Hanlon, P. , Moss, L. , Butterly, E. W., Hawkins, N. , Dias, S., Welton, N. J. and McAllister, D. A. (2022) Improving the estimation of subgroup effects for clinical trial participants with multimorbidity by incorporating drug class-level information in Bayesian hierarchical models: a simulation study. Medical Decision Making, 42(2), pp. 228-240. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X211029556) (PMID:34407672) (PMCID:PMC8777306)

Bouttell, J. and Hawkins, N. (2021) Evaluation of triage tests when existing test capacity is constrained: application to rapid diagnostic testing in COVID-19. Medical Decision Making, 41(8), pp. 978-987. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X211014114) (PMID:34009068) (PMCID:PMC8488642)

Ciani, O., Grigore, B., Blommestein, H., de Groot, S., Möllenkamp, M., Rabbe, S., Daubner-Bendes, R. and Taylor, R. S. (2021) Validity of surrogate endpoints and their impact on coverage recommendations. A retrospective analysis across international health technology assessment agencies. Medical Decision Making, 41(4), pp. 439-452. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X21994553) (PMID:33719711) (PMCID:PMC8108112)

Negrín, M. A., Nam, J. and Briggs, A. H. (2017) Bayesian solutions for handling uncertainty in survival extrapolation. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 367-376. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X16650669) (PMID:27281336)

Williams, C., Lewsey, J. D. , Briggs, A. H. and Mackay, D. F. (2017) Cost-effectiveness analysis in R using a multi-state modelling survival analysis framework: a tutorial. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 340-352. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X16651869) (PMID:27281337) (PMCID:PMC5424858)

Briggs, A. H. et al. (2017) Development of the Galaxy Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) model using data from ECLIPSE: internal validation of a linked-equations cohort model. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 469-480. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X16653118) (PMID:27317436)

Williams, C., Lewsey, J. D. , Mackay, D. F. and Briggs, A. H. (2017) Estimation of survival probabilities for use in cost-effectiveness analysis: a comparison of a multi-state modelling survival analysis approach with partitioned survival and Markov decision-analytic modelling. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 427-439. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X16670617) (PMID:27698003) (PMCID:PMC5424853)

Exuzides, A. et al. (2017) Statistical modeling of disease progression for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease using data from the ECLIPSE study. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 453-468. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X15610781) (PMID:26449490)

Hawkins, N. and Grieve, R. (2017) Extrapolation of survival data in cost-effectiveness analyses. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 337-339. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X17697019) (PMID:28355938)

Tabberer, M., Gonzalez-McQuire, S., Muellerova, H., Briggs, A. , Rutten-van Molken, M., Chambers, M. and Lomas, D. A. (2017) Development of a conceptual model of disease progression for use in economic modeling of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Medical Decision Making, 37(4), pp. 440-452. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X16662009) (PMID:27486218)

Briggs, A. H. , Parfrey, P. S., Khan, N., Tseng, S., Dehmel, B., Kubo, Y., Chertow, G. M. and Belozeroff, V. (2016) Analyzing health-related quality of life in the evolve trial: the joint impact of treatment and clinical events. Medical Decision Making, 36(8), pp. 965-972. (doi: 10.1177/0272989x16638312) (PMID:26987347)

Kent, S., Gray, A., Schlackow, I., Jenkinson, C. and McIntosh, E. (2015) Mapping from the Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire PDQ-39 to the Generic EuroQol EQ-5D-3L: the value of mixture models. Medical Decision Making, 35(7), pp. 902-911. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X15584921) (PMID:25926283)

Davies, C., Briggs, A. , Lorgelly, P., Garellick, G. and Malchau, H. (2013) The 'hazards' of extrapolating survival curves. Medical Decision Making, 33(3), pp. 369-380. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X12475091) (PMID:23457025)

Briggs, A.H. , Weinstein, M.C., Fenwick, E.A.L., Karnon, J., Sculpher, M.J. and Paltiel, A.D. (2012) Model parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis: a report of the ISPOR-SMDM modeling good research practices task force working group - 6. Medical Decision Making, 32(5), pp. 722-732. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X12458348)

Caro, J.J., Briggs, A.H. , Siebert, U. and Kuntz, K.M. (2012) Modeling good research practices - overview: a report of the ISPOR-SMDM modeling good research practices task force - 1. Medical Decision Making, 32(5), pp. 667-677. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X12454577)

Levy, A., Harrigan, B., Johnston, K. and Briggs, A. (2009) Comparative effectiveness research through the looking glass. Medical Decision Making, 29(6), NP6-NP8. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X09351590)

Fenwick, E., Claxton, K. and Sculpher, M. (2008) The value of implementation and the value of information: combined and uneven development. Medical Decision Making, 28(1), pp. 21-32. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X07308751)

Eckerman, S., Briggs, A. and Willan, A.R. (2008) Health technology assessment in the cost-disutility plane. Medical Decision Making, 28(2), pp. 172-181. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X07312474)

Fenwick, E. and Briggs, A.H. (2007) Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves in the dock: case not proven? Medical Decision Making, 27(2), pp. 93-95. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X07300071)

Fenwick, E., Palmer, S., Claxton, K., Sculpher, M., Abrams, K. and Sutton, A. (2006) An iterative Bayesian approach to health technology assessment: application to a policy of preoperative optimization for patients undergoing major elective surgery. Medical Decision Making, 26(5), pp. 480-497. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X06290493)

Reed, S.D., Dillingham, P.W., Briggs, A.H. , Veestra, D.L. and Sullivan, S.D. (2003) A Bayesian approach to aid in formulary decision making: incorporating institution-specific cost-effectiveness data with clinical trial results. Medical Decision Making, 23(3), pp. 252-264. (doi: 10.1177/0272989X03023003007)

Briggs, A. , Ades, A. and Price, M. (2003) Probabilistic sensitivity analysis for decision trees with multiple branches: use of the Dirichlet distribution in a Bayesian framework. Medical Decision Making, 23(4), pp. 341-350.

Blackhouse, G., Briggs, A. and O'Brien, B.J. (2002) A note on the estimation of confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness when costs and effects are censored. Medical Decision Making, 22(2), pp. 173-177. (doi: 10.1177/02729890222063053)

Blackhouse, G., Briggs, A. and O'Brien, B. (2002) Estimation of confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness when costs and effects are censored. Medical Decision Making, 22, pp. 170-174.

Blackhouse, G., Briggs, A. and O'Brien, B. (2002) A note on the estimation of confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness when costs and effects are censored. Medical Decision Making, 22(2), pp. 173-177.

Briggs, A.H. , Goeree, R., Blackhouse, G. and O'Brien, B.J. (2002) Probabilistic analysis of cost-effectiveness models: choosing between treatment strategies for gastroesophageal reflux disease. Medical Decision Making, 22(4), pp. 290-308. (doi: 10.1177/027298902400448867)

Briggs, A. , Goeree, R. and O'Brien, B. (2002) Probabilistic analysis of models: choosing between treatment strategies for gastroesophageal reflux disease. Medical Decision Making, 22(4), pp. 290-308.