Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
  • Cited by 136
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Online publication date:
July 2015
Print publication year:
2009
Online ISBN:
9780511642012

Book description

Of all the different types of civil war, disputes over self-determination are the most likely to escalate into war and resist compromise settlement. Reputation and Civil War argues that this low rate of negotiation is the result of reputation building, in which governments refuse to negotiate with early challengers in order to discourage others from making more costly demands in the future. Jakarta's wars against East Timor and Aceh, for example, were not designed to maintain sovereignty but to signal to Indonesia's other minorities that secession would be costly. Employing data from three different sources - laboratory experiments on undergraduates, statistical analysis of data on self-determination movements, and qualitative analyses of recent history in Indonesia and the Philippines - Barbara F. Walter provides some of the first systematic evidence that reputation strongly influences behavior, particularly between governments and ethnic minorities fighting over territory.

Reviews

‘… Walter shows that much of the answer lies in whether a state is faced with multiple potential challenges and therefore has to defend its reputation for holding firm. Rarely has such an important puzzle been so well explained.’

Robert Jervis - Columbia University

‘Barbara Walter strikes again! Her first book altered our thinking and our policies about civil war termination, showing that separating armies in civil wars incurs commitment problems that make these wars more difficult to end than interstate wars. This book, her second major work on civil wars, is equally stunning. Relying on theory, case studies, statistical and experimental analysis, it shows how reputation problems lead highly fragmented states to be more bellicose in the face of separatist rebellion that less fragmented states. Once again, Walter’s work will impress academics and reframe public policy.’

David D. Laitin - Stanford University

‘… Barbara Walter makes an important contribution to debates in international relations as well as to the study of civil war.’

Robert O. Keohane - Princeton University

'… the value of this book is the recognition of the importance of including future parties and future stakes in the models of bargaining and civil war. … [It] … provides an excellent study showing that when governments are facing movements seeking autonomy, they make strategic decision and invest in reputation-building.'

Source: International Affairs

Refine List

Actions for selected content:

Select all | Deselect all
  • View selected items
  • Export citations
  • Download PDF (zip)
  • Save to Kindle
  • Save to Dropbox
  • Save to Google Drive

Save Search

You can save your searches here and later view and run them again in "My saved searches".

Please provide a title, maximum of 40 characters.
×

Contents

References

Abdulkadiroglu, A., and T. Sonmez, 1998. Random Serial Dictatorship and the Core from Random Endowments in House Allocation Problems. Econometrica 66: 689–701. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Ahmad, Ehtisham, and Ali Mansoor, 2000. Indonesia: Managing Decentralization. Indonesia: Fiscal Affairs Department. Google Scholar
Alt, James E., Randall L. Calvert, and Brian Humes, 1988. Reputation and Hegemonic Stability: A Game-Theoretic Analysis. American Political Science Review 82 (2): 445–66. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Anderson, Jon Lee, 2001. Home Fires: The Basque Separatists Intensify Their War. The New Yorker. Feb 12, 40–7. Google Scholar
Aspinall, Edward, and Harold Crouch, 2003. The Aceh Peace Process: Why it Failed. Washington DC: East–West Center. Google Scholar
Azar, Edward, and John Burton (eds.), 1986. International Conflict Resolution: Theory and Practice. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers. Google Scholar
Bacini, Benedicto R., 2005. The Mindanao Peace Talks: Another Opportunity to Resolve the Moro Conflict in the Philippines. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace. Google Scholar
Balisacan, Arsenio M., and Hal Hill (eds.), 2003. The Philippine Economy: Development, Policies, and Challenges. London: Oxford University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Bartkus, Viva Ona, 1999. The Dynamic of Secession. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Bertrand, Jacques, 2004. Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict in Indonesia. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Google Scholar
Bolton, G. E., and A. Ockenfels, 2005. The Influence of Information Externalities on the Value of Reputation Building – An Experiment. University of Cologne Working Paper Series, Economics 17. Google Scholar
Bolton, G. E., and A. Ockenfels, 2007. Information Externalities, Matching and Reputation Building – A Comment on Theory and an Experiment. University of Cologne Working Papers Series, Economics 17. (http://ockenfels.uni-koeln.de/download/papers/bolton_ockenfels_information_Externalities.pdf.) Google Scholar
Bolton, Patrick, Gerard Roland, and Enrico Spolaore, 1996. Economic Theories of the Break-Up and Integration of Nations. European Economic Review 40 (April): 697–705. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Bowman, Isaiah, 1946. The Strategy of Territorial Decisions. Foreign Affairs 24 (2): 177–94. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Brandts, J., and G. Charness, 2000. Hot vs. Cold: Sequential Responses and Preference Stability in Experimental Games. Experimental Economics 2: 227–38. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Brandts, J., and N. Figueras, 2003. An Exploration of Reputation Formation in Experimental Games. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 50: 89–115. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, 2002. Domestic Politics and International Relations. International Studies Quarterly 46: 1–9. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Cagoco-Guiam, Rufa, 2002. Negotiations and Detours: The Rocky Road to Peace in Mindanao. Accord (August). (www.c-r.org/our-work/accord/philippines-mindanao/negotiations-detours.php, p. 5.) Google Scholar
Camerer, C. F., T.-H. Ho, and J.-K. Chong, 2004. A Cognitive Hierarchy Model of Games. Quarterly Journal of Economics 119 (3): 861–98. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Camerer, Colin, and Keith Weigelt, 1988. Experimental Tests of a Sequential Equilibrium Reputation Model. Econometrica 56 (1): 1–36. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Cetinyan, Rupen, 2002. Ethnic Bargaining in the Shadow of Third-Party Intervention. International Organization 56 (3): 645–79. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Challis, Roland, 2001. Shadow of a Revolution: Indonesia and the Generals. Stroud: Sutton. Google Scholar
Chauvel, Richard, 1990. Nationalists, Soldiers and Separatists. The Ambonese Islands from Colonialism to Revolt, 1880–1950. Leiden: KITLV Press. Google Scholar
Che Man, W. K., 1990. Muslim Separatism: The Moros of Southern Philippines and the Malays of Southern Thailand. New York: Oxford University Press. Google Scholar
Chew, Amy, 1999. Interview – Jakarta Sees High Risk of Aceh Breakaway. Reuters News, November 7. Google Scholar
Choucri, Nazli, 1974. Population Dynamics and International Violence: Propositions, Insights and Evidence. Lexington, MA: Lexington. Google Scholar
Coakley, John (ed.), 1993. The Territorial Management of Ethnic Conflict. London: Frank Cass. Google Scholar
Collier, Paul, and Anke Hoeffler, 2001. Greed and Grievance in Civil War. Research Working Paper 2355, World Bank, Washington, DC. Google Scholar
Crouch, Harold A., 1978. The Army and Politics in Indonesia. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Daughety, Andrew F., and Robert Forsythe, 1987a. Regulatory-induced Industrial Organization: A Laboratory Investigation. Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 56 (1): 1–36. Google Scholar
Daughety, Andrew F., and Robert Forsythe, 1987b. Regulation and the Formation of Reputations: A Laboratory Analysis, in E. Bailey (ed.), Public Regulation: New Perspectives on Institutions and Policies. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Google Scholar
DeJong, Douglas V., Robert Forsythe, and Russell J. Lundholm, 1985. Ripoffs, Lemons, and Reputation Formation in Agency Relationships: A Laboratory Market Study. The Journal of Finance 40 (3): 809–20. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Diehl, Paul F., 1996. Territorial Dimensions of International Conflict: An Introduction. Conflict Management and Peace Science 15 (1): 1–10. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Diehl, Paul F. (ed.), 1999. A Road Map to War: Territorial Dimensions of International Conflict. Nashville, TN: Vanderbilt University Press. Google Scholar
Diehl, Paul, and Gary Goertz, 1991a. Entering International Society: Military Conflict and National Independence, 1816–1980. Comparative Political Studies 23 (4): 497–518. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Diehl, Paul, and Gary Goertz, 1991b. Interstate Conflict over Exchanges of Homeland Territory, 1816–1980. Political Geography Quarterly 10 (1): 342–55. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Di Giovanni, Janine, 2000. Army Loses Faith in Chechen Cause. The Times (London), February 17. Google Scholar
Dixit, Avinash, 1982. Recent Developments in Oligopoly Theory. American Economic Review 72 (May): 12–17. Google Scholar
Downs, George W., and Michael A. Jones, 2002. Reputation, Compliance, and International Law. The Journal of Legal Studies 31: 95–114. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Doyle, Michael, 1986a. Empires. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Doyle, M. W., 1986b. Liberalism and World Politics. American Political Science Review 80 (4): 1151–69. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Drake, Christine, 1989. National Integration in Indonesia: Patterns and Policies. Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press. Google Scholar
Elson, R. E., 2001. Suharto: A Political Biography. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Google Scholar
Estrade, Bernard, 1999. The Truth Dawns, Indonesia is Falling Apart. Daily Telegraph, March 2. Google Scholar
Esty, Daniel C., J. A. Goldstone, T. R. Gurr, P. T. Surko, and A. N. Unger, 1995. Working Papers: State Failure Task Force Report. CIA Directorate of Intelligence (November 30). Google Scholar
Esty, Daniel C., J. A. Goldstone, B. Harf, M. Levy, G. D. Dabelko, P. T. Surko, and A. N. Unger, 1998. State Failure Task Force Report: Phase II Findings. CIA Directorate of Intelligence (July 31). Google Scholar
Evron, Y., 1987. War and Intervention in Lebanon. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press. Google Scholar
Fallon, Joseph E., Igorot and Moro National Re-emergence: The Fabricated Philippine State. www.cwis.org/fwj/21/imnr.html. Google Scholar
Fearon, James D., 1994. Signaling Versus the Balance of Power and Interests: An Empirical Test of a Crisis Bargaining Model. Journal of Conflict Resolution 38 (2): 236–69. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Fearon, James D., 1995. Rationalist Explanations for War. International Organization 49 (summer): 379–414. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Fearon, James D., 2003. Ethnic and Cultural Diversity by Country. Journal of Economic Growth 8 (June): 195–222. Google Scholar
Fearon, James D., and David D. Laitin, 2003. Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War. American Political Science Review 97 (1): 75–90. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Filson, Darren, and Suzanne Werner, 2002. A Bargaining Model of War and Peace: Anticipating the Onset, Duration, and Outcome of War. American Journal of Political Science 46 (4): 819–37. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Finin, Gerard A., 2005. The Making of the Igorot: Contours of Cordillera Consciousness. Manila: Ateneo de Manila Univerity Press. Google Scholar
Fischbacher, Urs, 1999. Z-Tree – Zurich Toolbox for Readymade Economic Experiments – Experimenter’s Manual. Working Paper No. 21. Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich. Google Scholar
Forbes, Cameron, 1992. Irian Jaya, The Forgotten East Timor. The Age (Melbourne). Feb 22, 13. Google Scholar
Frederick, William H., and Robert L. Worden, 1993. Indonesia: A Country Study. Washington, DC: Library of Congress. Google Scholar
Friend, Theodore, 2003. Indonesian Destinies. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Google Scholar
Fudenberg, D., and D. K. Levine, 1998. The Theory of Learning in Games. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Google Scholar
Ganguly, Rajat, and Ian Macduff (eds.), 2003. Ethnic Conflict and Secessionism in South and Southeast Asia: Causes, Dynamics, Solutions. London: Sage Publications. Google Scholar
Garcia, Cathy Rose A., 1999. Suspension of Peace Talks with Communist and Secessionist Groups: Hard Lessons in Fortifying a Fragile Peace Condition. Business World. Mar 10, 8. Google Scholar
George, T. J. S., 1980. Revolt in Mindanao: The Rise of Islam in Philippine Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Google Scholar
Gilpin, Robert, 1981. War and Change in World Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Gleditsch, Kristian S., 2002. Expanded Trade and GDP Data. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46 (October): 712–24. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Gleditsch, Nils Petter, Peter Wallensteen, Mikael Eriksson, Margareta Sollenberg, and Havard Strand, 2002. Armed Conflict 1946–2001: A New Dataset. Journal of Peace Research 39 (September): 615–37. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Goemans, Henk Erich, 2000. Domestic Politics and the Causes of War Termination: The Fate of Leaders and the First World War. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Goertz, Gary, and Paul Diehl, 1992. Territorial Changes and International Conflict. London: Routledge. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Grieco, Joseph, 1988. Anarchy and the Limits of Cooperation. International Organization 42 (3): 485–507. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Gunalan, N., 1999. If Aceh Secedes, Nation will Break Up. The Straits Times, November 12, 48. Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert, 1970. Why Men Rebel. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert, 1993a. Why Minorities Rebel: A Global Analysis of Communal Mobilization and Conflict since 1945. International Political Science Review 14 (April): 161–201. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert, 1993b. Minorities at Risk: A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflicts. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace. Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert, 2000. Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace. Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert, and Will H. Moore, 1997. Ethnopolitical Rebellion: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the 1980s with Risk Assessments for the 1990s. American Journal of Political Science 41 (4): 1079–103. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Gutierrez, Eric, 1999. The politics of transition. Accord: An International Review of Peace Initiatives. (www.c-r.org/acc_min/gutier.htm.) Google Scholar
Gutierrez, Eric, and Saturnino Borras, Jr., 2004. The Moro Conflict: Landlessness and Misdirected State Policies. Washington, DC: East–West Center. Google Scholar
Hechter, Michael, 1992. The Dynamics of Secession. Acta Sociologica 35 (December): 267–83. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Hegre, Havard, Tanja Ellingsen, Scott Gates, and Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2001. Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change and Civil War, 1916–1992. American Political Science Review 95 (March): 33–48. Google Scholar
Hensel, Paul, 1996. Charting a Course to Conflict: Territorial Issues and Interstate Conflict, 1916–1992. Conflict Management and Peace Science 15 (1): 43–73. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Holmes, Charles W., 1999. The Little War with Big Stakes: Russia’s Conflict in Dagestan has Major Implications for its Own Stability. The Montreal Gazette, August 22, 3. Google Scholar
Holsti, Kalevi J., 1991. Peace and War: Armed Conflicts and International Order, 1648–1989. New York: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Hopf, Ted, 1994. Peripheral Visions: Deterrence Theory and American Foreign Policy in the Third World, 1965–1990. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. Google Scholar
Horowitz, Donald, 1985. Ethnic Groups in Conflict. Berkeley: University of California Press. Google Scholar
Huntington, Samuel, 1993. The Clash of Civilizations. Foreign Affairs 72 (summer): 22–49. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., 1988a. Extended Deterrence and the Prevention of War. New Haven: Yale University Press. Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., 1988b. Extended Deterrence and the Outbreak of War. American Political Science Review 82 (2): 423–443. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., 1996a. Enduring Rivalries and Territorial Disputes, 1950–1990. Conflict Management and Peace Science 15 (1): 7–42. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., 1996b. Standing Your Ground: Territorial Disputes, 1950–1990. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., 1997. Reputations and Deterrence: A Theoretical and Empirical Assessment. Security Studies 7 (1): 72–99. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K. and Bruce Russett, 1984. What Makes Deterrence Work? World Politics 35 (4): 496–526. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K. and Bruce Russett, 1988. Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation. International Studies Quarterly, 32 (1) (March): 29–45. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., D. Scott Bennett, and Christopher Gelpi, 1992. System Uncertainty, Risk Propensity, and International Conflict Among the Great Powers. Journal of Conflict Resolution 36 (3): 478–517. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Huth, Paul K., Christopher Gelpi, and D. Scott Bennett, 1993. The Escalation of Great Power Militarized Disputes: Testing Rational Deterrence Theory and Structural Realism. American Political Science Review 87 (3): 609–23. CrossRef | Google Scholar
International Studies Institute of the Philippines, 1985. Muslim Filipino Struggle for Identity: Challenge and Response. Selected Documents for the Conference on the Tripoli Agreement. September 12–13. Google Scholar
Isaac, R. Mark, and Vernon L. Smith, 1985. In Search of Predatory Pricing. The Journal of Political Economy 93 (2): 320–45. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Jaggers, Keith, and Ted Robert Gurr, 1996. Polity III: Regime Type and Political Authority, 1800–1994. 2nd ICPSR version. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university consortium for Political and Social Research. Google Scholar
Jung, Yun Joo, John H. Kagel, and Dan Levin, 1994. On the Existence of Predatory Pricing: An Experimental Study of Reputation and Entry Deterrence in the Chain-store Game. The Rand Journal of Economics 25 (1): 72–93. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Kacowicz, Arie, 1994. The Problem of Peaceful Territorial Change. International Studies Quarterly 38 (2): 219–54. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Kahler, Miles, and Barbara F. Walter (eds.), 2006. Territoriality and Conflict in an Era of Globalization. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Kennan, John, and Robert Wilson, 1993. Bargaining with Private Information. Journal of Economic Literature 31 (1): 45–104. Google Scholar
Kinder, Donald, and Thomas Palfrey, 1993. On Behalf of an Experimental Political Science, in Donald Kinder and Thomas Palfrey (eds.), Experimental Foundations of Political Science. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
King, Gary, and Langche Zeng, 2001. Explaining Rare Events in International Relations. International Organization 55 (summer): 693–715. CrossRef | Google Scholar
King, Gary, Michael Tomz, and Jason Wittenberg, 2000. Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation. American Journal of Political Science 44 (2): 347–61. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Kreps, David M., 1990. Course in Microeconomic Theory. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Kreps, David M., and Robert Wilson, 1982. Reputation and Imperfect Information. Journal of Economic Theory 27: 245–79. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Laitin, David, and James Fearon, 2001. Minorities at Risk Database and Explaining Ethnic Violence. National Science Foundation. grant proposal (apsanet.org.) Google Scholar
Lane, Max, 2003. West Papua: Papuans “Marginalised in our Own Country.” www.greenleft.org.au/2003/555/29524, September 24. Google Scholar
Lebow, Ned, 1985. Deterrence Reconsidered: The Challenge of Recent Research. Survival 27 (1). Google Scholar
Legge, J. D., 1972. Sukarno: A Political Biography. New York: Praeger Publishers. Google Scholar
Lekic, Slobodan, 1999. The Legacy of East Timor: Other Indonesian Provinces feel Stirrings of Separatism. The Montreal Gazette, November 7. Google Scholar
Leng, R. J., and C. S. Gochman, 1984. Dangerous Disputes: A Study of Conflict Behavior and War. American Journal of Political Science 26 (4): 664–87. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Lieberman, E., 1994. The Rational Deterrence Theory Debate. Security Studies 3 (3): 384–427. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Lieberman, E., 1995. What Makes Deterrence Work? Lessons from the Egyptian–Israeli Enduring Rivalry. Security Studies 4 (4): 833–92. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Lloyd, Grayson, 2000. Indonesia’s Future Prospects: Separatism, Decentralisation and the Survival of the Unitary State. Current Issues 17 (June 27), 3. Google Scholar
Luard, Evan, 1986. War in International Society. London: I. B. Tauris and Company. Google Scholar
Mackinder, Halford, 1919. Democratic Ideals and Reality. New York: Henry Holt. Google Scholar
Majul, Cesar Adib, 1985. The Contemporary Muslim Movement in the Philippines. Berkeley, CA: Mizan Press. Google Scholar
Mandel, Robert, 1980. Roots of the Modern Interstate Border Dispute. Journal of Conflict Resolution 24 (3): 427–54. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Marshall, Monty G., and Ted Robert Gurr, 2003. Peace and Conflict, 2003: A Global Survey of Armed Conflicts, Self-Determination Movements, and Democracy. College Park, MD: Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland. Google Scholar
Marshall, Monty G., and K. Jaggers, Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics, and Transitions, 1800–2003. College Park, MD: Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland. Google Scholar
McAmis, Robert D., 1974. Muslim Filipinos, 1970–1972. In Peter G. Gowing and Robert D. McAmis (eds.), The Muslim Filipinos: Their History, Society, and Contemporary Problems. Manila: Solidaridad Publishing House. Google Scholar
McDermott, Rose, 2002. Experimental Methods in Political Science. Annual Review of Political Science 5 (June): 3161. CrossRef | Google Scholar
McKelvey, R. D., and R. R. Palfrey, 1998. Quantal Response Equilibria for Extensive Form Games. Experimental Economics 1 (1): 9–41. CrossRef | Google Scholar
McKenna, Thomas M., 1998. Muslim Rulers and Rebels: Everyday Politics and Armed Separatism in the Southern Philippines. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
McKenna, Thomas M., 2004. Muslim Separatism in the Philippines: Meaningful Autonomy or Endless War? Asia Source, www.asia.source.org/asip/mckenna.cfm. Google Scholar
Mercer, Jonathan, 1996. Reputation and International Politics. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Milgrom, Paul, and John Roberts, 1982. Predation, Reputation, and Entry Deterrence. Journal of Economic Theory 27 (August): 280–312. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Miller, Ross M., and Charles R. Plott, 1995. Product Quality Signaling in Experimental Markets. Econometrica 53 (4): 837–72. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Moller, Herbert, 1968. Youth as a Force in the Modern World. Comparative Studies in Society and History 10 (April): 237–60. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Morgan, T. Clifton, and Sally Campbell, 1991. Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints, and War: So Why Kant Democracies Fight? Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2): 187–211. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Morgenthau, Hans, 1978. Politics Among Nations. New York: Alfred A. Knopf. Google Scholar
Morton, Rebecca B., and Kenneth C. Williams, 2007. Experimentation in Political Science, in Janet Box-Steffensmeier, David Collier, and Henry Brady (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology. New York: Oxford University Press. Google Scholar
Muller, Edward N., and Mitchell A. Seligson, 1987. Inequality and Insurgency. American Political Science Review 81 (2): 425–51. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Muller, Edward N., and Erich Weede, 1990. Cross-national Variation in Political Violence: A Rational Action Approach. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 34 (4): 624–51. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Murdock, Lindsay, 2000. Indonesia is Crumbling, Wahid Fears. Sydney Morning Herald, August 8, 1. Google Scholar
Mydans, Seth, 2006. In Tsunami’s Wake, Old Foes in War Now Wage Politics. New York Times, December 11. Google Scholar
Nalebuff, Barry, 1991. Rational Deterrence in an Imperfect World. World Politics 43 (3): 313–35. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Neral, J., and J. Ochs, 1992. The Sequential Equilbrium Theory of Reputation Building: A Further Test. Econometrica 60 (5): 1151–69. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Newman, David, 1999. Real Spaces, Symbolic Spaces: Interrelated Notions of Territory in the Arab–Israeli Conflict, in Paul Diehl (ed.), A Road Map to War: Territorial Dimensions of International Conflict. Nashville, TN: Vanderbilt University Press. Google Scholar
Noble, Lela G., 1981. Muslim Separatism in the Philippines, 1972–1981: The Making of a Stalemate. Asian Survey 21 (11, Nov), 109–114. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Ochs, Jack, 1995. Games with Unique Mixed Strategy Equilibria: An Experimental Study. Games and Economic Behavior 10 (1): 202–17. CrossRef | Google Scholar
O’Neill, B., 1987. Nonmetric Test of the Minimax Theory of Two-person Zero Sum Games. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 84 (7): 2106–9. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Orme, John David, 1992. Deterrence, Reputation, and Cold-War Cycles. London: Macmillan. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Ostrom, E., J. Walker, and R. Gardner, 1992. Covenants With and Without a Sword: Self-governance is Possible. American Political Science Review 86 (2): 404–17. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Palfrey, Thomas R., 2005. McKelvey and Quantal Response Equilibrium, in James Alt, John Aldrich, and Arthur Lupia (eds.), A Positive Change in Political Science: The Legacy of Richarde D. McKelvey’s Most Influential Writing. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. Google Scholar
Pisani, Elizabeth, 1990. Anti-Javanese Rebellion Grows in Sumatra. The Independent. Jul 25. Google Scholar
Powell, Robert, 2002. Bargaining Theory and International Conflict. Annual Review of Political Science 5: 1–30. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Powell, Robert, 2006. War as a Commitment Problem. International Organization 60 (1), 169–204. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Press, Daryl G., 2001. Power, Reputation, and Assessments of Credibility During the Cuban Missile Crisis. Paper presented at the 97th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, August, Boston, MA. Google Scholar
Press, Daryl G., 2005. Calculating Credibility: How Leaders Assess Military Threats. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Rabasa, Angel and Peter Chalk, 2001. Indonesia’s Transformation and the Stability of Southeast Asia. Santa Monica: The Rand Corporation. Google Scholar
Ramos, Fidel V., 1999. Developing as a Democracy. New York: St. Martin’s Press. Google Scholar
Richardson, Lewis Fry, 1960. Statistics of Deadly Quarrels. Chicago, IL: Quadrangle Publications. Google Scholar
Ricklefs, M. C., 2001. A History of Modern Indonesia Since c. 1200. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Google Scholar
Roberts, John, 2004. Ambon Communal Violence Flares Up Amid Indonesian Presidential Poll. World Socialist, www.wsws.org, June 15, 1. Google Scholar
Rosenthal, Robert W., 1981. Games of Perfect Information, Predatory Pricing, and the Chain-store Paradox. Journal of Economic Theory 25 (1): 92–110. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Ross, Michael, 2005. Resources and Rebellion in Aceh, Indonesia, in Paul Collier and Nicholas Sambanis (eds.), Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis, Vol. 2. Washington, DC: The World Bank. Google Scholar
Roth, Alvin E., and Françoise Schoumaker, 1983. Expectations and Reputations in Bargaining: An Experimental Study. The American Economic Review 73 (3): 363–372. Google Scholar
Rudolph, Joseph R., and Thompson, Robert J., 1985. Ethnoterritorial Movements and the Policy Process: Accommodating Nationalist Demands in the Developed World. Comparative Politics 17 (April): 291–311. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Saideman, Stephen M., 1997. Explaining the International Relations of Secessionist Conflicts: Vulnerability vs. Ethnic Ties. International Organization 51 (4): 721–53. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Sambanis, Nicholas, and Branko Milanovic, 2004. Explaining the Demand for Sovereignty. Unpublished manuscript. New Haven, CT: Yale University. Google Scholar
Sambanis, Nicholas, and Annalisa Zinn, 2004. From Protest to Violence: An Analysis of Conflict Escalation with an Application to Self-determination Movements. Unpublished manuscript. New Haven, CT: Yale University. Google Scholar
Santos, Soliman M. Jr., 2005. Peace Negotiations Between the Philippine Government and the Moros Islamic Liberation Front: Causes and Prescriptions. East–West Center Washington Working Papers, No. 3. Google Scholar
Sartori, Ann E., 2005. Deterrence by Diplomacy. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Schelling, Thomas, 1966. Arms and Influence. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Google Scholar
Schmalensee, Richard, 1981. Economies of Scale and Barriers to Entry. Journal of Political Economy 89 (6): 1228–38. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Schmalensee, Richard, 1983. Advertising and Entry Deterrence: An Exploratory Model. Journal of Political Economy 91: 636–53. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Schwarz, Adam, 2000. A Nation in Waiting: Indonesia’s Search for Stability. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Google Scholar
Selten, Richard, 1978. The Chain-store Paradox. Theory and Decision 9 (April): 127–59. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Shadish, William, Thomas D. Cook, and Donald Campbell, 2002. Experimental and Quasi-experimental Design. Boston MA: Houghton Mifflin College Division. Google Scholar
Shimshoni J., 1988. Israel and Conventional Deterrence. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Sicat, Gerardo P., 1972. Economic Policy and Philippine Development. Manila: University of the Philippines Press. Google Scholar
Slantchev, Branislav, 2003. The Principle of Convergence in Wartime Negotiations. American Political Science Review 97 (4): 621–32. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Smith, Alastair, and Allan C. Stam, 2001. Bargaining and the Nature of War. Unpublished manuscript. New York: New York University. Google Scholar
Smith, Anthony, 1991. National Identity: Ethnonationalism in Comparative Perspective. Reno, NV: University of Nevada Press. Google Scholar
Smith, Anthony, 2001. Nationalism. Cambridge: Blackwell Publishing. Google Scholar
Smith, Anthony L., 2002. Aceh: Democratic Times, Authoritarian Solutions. New Zealand Journal of Asian Studies 4 (2): 68–89. Google Scholar
Snyder, Jack, 1991. Myths of Empire: Domestic Politics and International Ambition. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Snyder, G. H., and P. Diesing, 1978. Conflict Among Nations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Spence, Michael, 1973. Job Market Signaling. Quarterly Journal of Economics 87 (August): 355–74. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Steinberg, David Joel, 2000. The Philippines: A Singular and a Plural Place. 4th edn. Boulder: Westview Press. Google Scholar
Stremlau, John, 1977. The International Politics of the Nigerian Civil War, 1967–1970. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Sundali, J., A. Israeli, and T. Janicki, 2000. Reputation and Deterrence: Experimental Evidence from the Chain Store Game. Journal of Business and Economic Studies 6 (1): 1–19. Google Scholar
Sundali, J. A., and D. A. Seale, 2004. The Value of Cheap-talk and Costly Signals in Coordinating Market Entry Decisions. Journal of Business Strategies 21 (1): 69–94. Google Scholar
Symonds, Peter, 2000. The Historical Roots of the Confrontation Brewing in West Papua. World Socialist website, December 7. Google Scholar
Taylor, John G., 1991. Indonesia’s Forgotten War: The Hidden History of East Timor. London: Zed Books. Google Scholar
Thoenes, Sander, 1999. Indonesia Sends Riot Troops to Dissident Province: President Fears Domino Effect. The Financial Times. May 8, 3. Google Scholar
Tilly, Charles, 1978. From Modernization to Revolution. Reading: Addison-Wesley. Google Scholar
Tingley, D., and S. Wang, 2008. Strategies and Beliefs in Sequential Games of Two-sided Incomplete Information: An Experimental Study. Paper presented at Experimental Political Science Conference, New York University. Google Scholar
Toft, Monica Duffy, 2001. A Theory of Territory, Indivisibility, and Ethnic Violence. Unpublished paper, JFK School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA. Google Scholar
Toft, Monica Duffy, 2003. The Geography of Ethnic Conflict. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Tomz, Michael, 2005. The Influence of International Agreements on Foreign Policy Preferences. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University. Google Scholar
Tomz, Michael, 2007. Sovereign Debt and International Cooperation: Reputational Reasons for Lending and Repayment. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Touval, Saadia, 1972. The Boundary Politics of Independent Africa. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Triesman, Daniel, 2004. Rational Appeasement. International Organization 58 (2): 345–74. Google Scholar
Urdal, Henrik, 2004. The Effect of Youth Bulges on Domestic Armed Conflict, 1950–2000. Working Paper 29740, International Peace Research Institute, Oslo. Google Scholar
Van Evera, Stephen, 1998. Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. Google Scholar
Vanzo, John P., 1999. Border Configuration and Conflict: Geographical Compactness as a Territorial Ambition of States, in Paul Diehl (ed.), A Road Map to War: Territorial Dimensions of International Conflict. Nashville, TN: Vanderbilt University Press. Google Scholar
Vasquez, John A., 1993. The War Puzzle. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Vatikiotis, Michael R. J., 1998. Indonesian Politics Under Suharto: The Rise and Fall of the New Order. New York: Routledge. Google Scholar
Walker, Mark, and John Wooders, 2001. Minimax Play at Wimbledon. The American Economic Review 91 (5): 1521–38. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Walter, Barbara F., 2002. Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar
Walter, Barbara F., 2003. Explaining the Intractability of Territorial Conflict. International Studies Review 5 (4): 137–53. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Walter, Barbara F., 2004. Building Reputation: Why Governments Fight Some Separatists but Not Others. American Journal of Political Science 50 (2, Spring): 313–30. Google Scholar
Walter, Barbara F., 2006. Information, Uncertainty, and the Decision to Secede. International Organization 60 (1): 105–35. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Waltz, Kenneth, 1979. Theory of International Politics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley Publishing Co. Google Scholar
Ward, Michael D., and Kristian Gleditsch, 2002. Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace. Political Analysis 10 (summer): 244–60. Google Scholar
Wenstedt, Frederick L., and Paul D. Simkins, 1965. Migrations and the Settlement of Mindanao. The Journal of Asian Studies 25 (1): 83–103. CrossRef | Google Scholar
Woods, Jackie, 2000. Megawati Bad News for Papua Independence Hope Activist Says. August 10. (www.converge.org.nz/pma/wpapua5.htm.) Google Scholar
Woodward, Susan L., 1995. Balkan Tragedy: Chaos and Dissolution after the Cold War. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar
Yegar, Moshe, 2002. Between Integration and Secession: The Muslim Communities of Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books. Google Scholar
Yeltsin, Boris, 2000. Midnight Diaries. New York: Public Affairs. Google Scholar

Metrics

Usage data cannot currently be displayed.