In the context of ad tech, probabilistic matching refers to the process of connecting offline data (e.g., household data, purchase data) to online user profiles in the absence of direct user-level identifiers. There are a few common algorithms and techniques used for probabilistic matching:
- Hashing-Based Matching:
- This approach involves hashing offline data (e.g., email addresses, phone numbers) using a secure hashing algorithm, such as SHA-256 or MD5.
- The hashed offline data is then matched to hashed online user identifiers (e.g., cookie IDs, device IDs) to establish probabilistic connections between offline and online data.
- The hashing process ensures that the underlying personal data is not revealed, while still allowing for probabilistic connections to be made.
- Probabilistic Linkage:
- This technique uses statistical models and machine learning algorithms to infer relationships between offline and online data based on shared attributes, such as geographic location, demographic characteristics, or browsing behavior.
- Common algorithms used for probabilistic linkage include logistic regression, decision trees, and ensemble methods like random forests.
- These models are trained on a sample of known matches between offline and online data to learn the patterns and probabilities of connections.
- Graph-Based Matching:
- In this approach, offline and online data are represented as nodes in a graph, and connections between them are established based on shared attributes or relationships.
- Graph-based algorithms, such as random walks, community detection, or link prediction, are used to identify and score the likelihood of connections between offline and online data points.
- This technique can leverage the relational nature of data to make more informed probabilistic matches.
- Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning:
- More advanced probabilistic matching techniques leverage artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models to learn complex patterns and relationships in the data.
- This can include the use of deep learning algorithms, such as neural networks or recurrent neural networks, to capture non-linear relationships and make more accurate probabilistic connections.
- These AI/ML models are trained on large datasets of known offline-online matches to learn the underlying patterns and improve the accuracy of probabilistic linking.
The choice of algorithm for probabilistic matching depends on factors such as the available data sources, the quality and completeness of the data, the desired level of accuracy, and the computational resources available. Ad tech companies often combine multiple techniques and continuously refine their probabilistic matching approaches to enhance the effectiveness of their targeted advertising and personalization efforts.