Altonji & Pierret (2001)
(i) what the question is about
This paper asks if employers “statistically discriminate” among younger workers on the basis of easily observ-
able variables such as education, race, and other clues to a worker’s labor force preparation? As they learn over
time, do they rely less on such variables? These questions arise as employers must make new hires on the basis of
limited information from resumes, recommendations, and interviews. As firms learn more about the productivity
of a hire over time, they may revise their beliefs and pay the worker differently. The answers to these questions
have implications for education signaling models, statistical discrimination models, earnings dynamics, and the
design of mechanisms for hiring and firing workers.
The authors establish and test a model of Employer Learning with Statistical Discrimination (EL-SD). Firms
observe variables s such as schooling that affect productivity, but cannot observe variables z such as AFQT scores
that also affect productivity. Under EL-SD, if s and z are positively correlated then the wage coefficient on z will
rise with experience and the wage coefficient on s will fall. Using NLSY79 data for young males, which includes
AFQT score, father’s education, and wages for older siblings as z variables, the authors find evidence for statistical
discrimination. They also find statistical discrimination on race has a minor role in determining racial wage gaps.
(ii) what was well done in your opinion
The authors clearly motivate their empirical test with an extension of Farber and Gibbons (1996). The model
generates two propositions. First, the regression coefficient on z is nondecreasing in years t and the regression
coefficient on s is nonincreasing in t. Second, the change in the s coefficient with respect to time is negatively
related to the product of the change in the z coefficient with respect to time and the coefficient from regressing z
on s. Their second proposition offers a valuable solution to a difficult identification problem in studying statistical
discrimination: whether the correlation between wage and an easily observable variable arises because firms
discriminate on the basis of that variable or because the variable is correlated with information on productivity
firms use but the econometrician does not observe. The authors also do well in accounting for on-the-job training
that can drive wage growth separately from s and z.
(iii) what was not well-done in your opinion
The authors do not fully study the issue of statistical racial discrimination and racial wage gaps. As they point
out, they do not address the issue of discrimination in employment. The composition workers they study is taken
as given, yet discrimination on the extensive margin is a central issue in debates on racial inequality. Blacks and
whites don’t have equal opportunity.
(iv) a possible extension
The signal value of schooling tends to fall as workers accumulate more experience. A potential extension to the
paper could consider whether expanding the number of productivity correlates a firm observes reduces statistical
discrimination on schooling. Under a policy counterfactual where firms get access to government collected z
characteristics during the hiring process, do average labor market returns to schooling fall?