0% found this document useful (0 votes)
162 views21 pages

Currency Swap Analysis for Buryecs Co

Buryecs Co is considering taking on a rail franchise in Wirtonia. To hedge against foreign exchange risk, it is considering using a currency swap where it would borrow in euros at 4% but pay the interest payments in the local Wirtonia currency. The key advantages are that the interest payments match the franchise income received in the local currency, reducing foreign exchange risk. Additionally, Buryecs Co can obtain the full amount required for the swap. However, there are also drawbacks such as counterparty default risk and the risk that interest rates in Wirtonia increase more than expected. Additionally, a swap only hedges a portion of the foreign exchange risk rather than fully

Uploaded by

Hannah Goh
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
162 views21 pages

Currency Swap Analysis for Buryecs Co

Buryecs Co is considering taking on a rail franchise in Wirtonia. To hedge against foreign exchange risk, it is considering using a currency swap where it would borrow in euros at 4% but pay the interest payments in the local Wirtonia currency. The key advantages are that the interest payments match the franchise income received in the local currency, reducing foreign exchange risk. Additionally, Buryecs Co can obtain the full amount required for the swap. However, there are also drawbacks such as counterparty default risk and the risk that interest rates in Wirtonia increase more than expected. Additionally, a swap only hedges a portion of the foreign exchange risk rather than fully

Uploaded by

Hannah Goh
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

2017/06 Q3

Buryecs Co
Relevant borrowing rates are:

Buryecs Co Counterparty

Eurozone 4·0% 5·8%

Wirtonia Wirtonia bank rate Wirtonia bank rate

+ 0·6% + 0·4%
Required:
(a) Discuss the advantages and drawbacks of using the currency
swap to manage financial risks associated with the franchise in
Wirtonia. (6 marks)
(b) (i) Calculate the annual percentage interest saving which
Buryecs Co could make from using a currency swap, compared
with borrowing directly in Wirtonia, demonstrating how the
currency swap will work. (4 marks)
(ii) Evaluate, using net present value, the financial acceptability of
Buryecs Co operating the rail franchise under the terms suggested
by the government of Wirtonia and calculate the gain or loss in €
from using the swap arrangement. (8 marks)
(c) Calculate the results of hedging the receipt of $7,500 million
using the currency options and discuss whether currency options
would be a better method of hedging this receipt than a currency
swap. (7 marks)
Answers
Advantages
Payment of interest in $ can be used to match the income Buryecs
Co will receive from the rail franchise, reducing foreign exchange
risk.
Buryecs Co will be able to obtain the swap for the amount it
requires and may be able to reverse the swap by exchanging with
the other counterparty.
Other methods of hedging risk may be less certain. The cost of a
swap may also be cheaper than other methods of hedging, such as
options.
The swap can be used to change Buryecs Co’s debt profile if it is
weighted towards fixed-rate debt and its directors want a greater
proportion of floating rate debt, to diversify risk and take
advantage of probable lower future interest rates.
Drawbacks
The counterparty may default. This would leave Buryecs Co liable
to pay interest on the loan in its currency. The risk of default can be
reduced by obtaining a bank guarantee for the counterparty.
Buryecs Co is swapping a fixed rate commitment in the Eurozone
for a floating rate in Wirtonia. Inflation is increasing in Wirtonia
and there is a risk that interest rates will increase as a result,
increasing Buryecs Co’s finance costs.
The swap does not hedge the whole amount of the receipt in Year 3.
Another method will have to be used to hedge the additional
receipt from the government in Year 3 and the receipts in the
intervening years.
If the government decides to impose exchange controls in Wirtonia,
Buryecs Co may not be able to realise the receipt at the end of Year
3, but will still have to fulfil the swap contract.
Answers
Answers
After paying the 30 point basis fee, Buryecs Co will effectively pay
interest at the bank rate – 0·3% and benefit by 90 basis points or
0·9%. The counterparty will effectively pay interest at 5·2% and
benefit by 60 basis points or 0·6%.
Answers
(ii) Using the purchasing power parity formula to calculate
exchange rates:

S1 = S0 x (1 + hc)/(1 + hb)

Year 1 2 3

0·1430 x 0·1472 x 0·1417 x

1·06/1·03 1·04/1·08 1·03/1·11

= 0·1472 = 0·1417 = 0·1315


Answers
At Year 3, $5,000 million will be exchanged at the original spot rate as per
the agreement and the remaining inflows will be exchanged at the Year 3
rate.
0 1 2 3
$m $m $m $m
Initial fee (5,000)
Payment at end of franchise 7,500

Annual income 600 600 600

Year 0
Exchange rate 0·1430

Years 1–3
Exchange rates 0·1472 0·1417 0·1315
Answers
€m €m €m €m

Swap translated
at 0·1430 (715) 715

Amount not covered by swap


(7,500 – 5,000)
translated at 0·1315 329

Annual income 88 85 79

Cash flows in
home country (715) 88 85 1,123
Answers
€m €m €m €m

Discount
factor 14% 1·000 0·877 0·769 0·675

Present value (715) 77 65 758


Answers
The net present value of the project is €185 million, indicating that
it should go ahead. However, the value is dependent on the
exchange rate, which is worsening for the foreign income. If there
are also uncertainties about the variability of returns during the
three years, the directors may consider the project to be in excess
of their risk appetite and decline the opportunity.

As a result of the exchange rates on the initial fee being fixed at the
year 0 spot rate, Buryecs Co has gained $5,000 million x (0·1430 –
0·1315) x 0·675 = €39 million.
Answers
(c) Receipt using swap arrangement = €715m + €329m = €1,044m

Receipt if transaction unhedged = $7,500m x 0·1315 = €986m

Predicted exchange rate at year 3 is €0·1315 = $1 or $7·6046 = €1

Options

Buy $ put options as receiving $.

$7·75 exercise price

Do not exercise

Net receipt = €986m – (1·6% x $7,500m x 0·1430) = €969m


Answers

$7·25 exercise price

Exercise

Receipt from government = $7,500m/7·25 = €1,034m

Net receipt = €1,034m – (2·7% x $7,500m x 0·1430) = €1,005m

The $7·25 option gives a better result than not hedging, given the
current expectations of the exchange rate.
However, it gives a worse result than the swap even before the
premium is deducted, because of the exchange rate being fixed on
the swap back of the original amount paid. These calculations do
not take into account possible variability of the finance costs
associated with the swap, caused by swapping into floating rate
borrowing.

Common questions

Powered by AI

To mitigate the risk of default by a counterparty in a currency swap agreement, Buryecs Co could secure a bank guarantee, which would provide assurance that the counterparty's obligations would still be honored. Additionally, Buryecs Co could engage in due diligence to select financially stable and reputable counterparties for the swap agreements, and potentially use credit derivatives or insurance products designed to protect against counterparty default .

Increasing inflation in Wirtonia could lead to higher interest rates, impacting Buryecs Co's financial strategy by raising finance costs related to the currency swap, as it involves swapping into floating-rate obligations in Wirtonia whose rates would climb with inflation. This scenario would increase financial pressure if not previously hedged against or considered in strategic financial preparations, potentially leading to revised financial projections and re-evaluation of hedge instruments or contracts to mitigate rising variable rate impacts .

Hedging the $7,500 million receipt with currency options involves purchasing put options. With a $7.75 exercise price, the net receipt is €969 million, which is worse than not hedging. A $7.25 exercise price, however, results in a net receipt of €1,005 million, better than not hedging, but still disadvantages compared to the swap even before accounting for the premium since the swap fixes the exchange rate. Without factoring in potential swap-associated finance cost variability, the swap offers better risk management as it stabilizes the exchange rate back to the original amount paid, presenting less exchange rate risk .

If exchange controls are imposed in Wirtonia, Buryecs Co might face restrictions or inability to realize receipts in the intended currency at the end of Year 3, which would complicate fulfilling their obligations under the currency swap agreement. This would add financial strain since the company would still need to honor the swap contract terms despite possibly restricted currency movements or transfers, making it challenging to meet its financial commitments without alternative arrangements or pre-approved exceptions to circumvent exchange control limitations .

The calculated net present value (NPV) of Buryecs Co's rail franchise project is €185 million, suggesting that the project is financially acceptable. However, this NPV is contingent on the exchange rate, which is deteriorating for foreign income. If exchange rate variability and return uncertainties are beyond the company's risk tolerance, they might reject the project. The swap arrangement adds value by enabling an exchange rate fixing on the initial fee at the year 0 spot rate, resulting in a €39 million gain due to the €5,000 million at €0.1430 minus €0.1315, discounted by 0.675 .

Buryecs Co’s strategic decision to use currency swaps over other hedging methods stems from the ability to match its payment obligations in dollars with expected income from the Wirtonian franchise, thus minimizing foreign exchange risk. Swaps are often more cost-effective than options, potentially offering lower hedging costs. Furthermore, swaps can help alter the company’s debt profile by transitioning into floating-rate debt to benefit from potential lower future interest rates, which other hedging instruments might not effectively facilitate .

The advantages of using a currency swap include the ability to match the payment of interest in dollars with the income received from the rail franchise in Wirtonia, thereby reducing foreign exchange risk. It also allows Buryecs Co to obtain the swap for the desired amount and potentially reverse it with another counterparty. Compared to other hedging methods, such as options, swaps may be cheaper and can be used to adjust Buryecs Co’s debt profile if it is skewed towards fixed-rate debt, by shifting to floating-rate debt to diversify risk and leverage potential lower future interest rates . However, the disadvantages include the risk of default by the counterparty, which would leave Buryecs Co liable for the interest payments in its currency, although this can be mitigated with a bank guarantee. Additionally, the company swaps a fixed rate commitment in the Eurozone for a floating rate in Wirtonia, risking increased finance costs due to rising inflation and interest rates in Wirtonia. The swap also does not hedge the entire receipt in Year 3, requiring alternative methods to cover additional receipts .

The purchasing power parity (PPP) formula is crucial in calculating future exchange rates for currency swap arrangements because it provides a framework for estimating future exchange rates based on inflation differentials between countries. It is applied as S1 = S0 x (1 + hc)/(1 + hb), where S1 is the future spot rate, S0 is the current spot rate, hc is the domestic inflation, and hb is the foreign inflation. This calculation helps in forecasting and planning financial strategies, aligning swap arrangements with expected economic conditions .

Buryecs Co would achieve an annual percentage interest saving of 0.9% by utilizing a currency swap instead of borrowing directly in Wirtonia. With the swap, Buryecs Co will effectively pay interest at the Wirtonia bank rate minus 0.3%, benefiting by 90 basis points (0.9%). In the swap arrangement, the counterparty pays interest at 5.2%, which results in a benefit of 60 basis points (0.6%) for them .

Buryecs Co might consider reversing a currency swap to adjust its financial commitments to align better with changing market conditions or company strategy, such as a shift in its debt portfolio from fixed to floating rates to diversify risk and capitalize on potentially lower future interest rates. Reversing the swap could offer financial advantages if the fixed-rate obligation becomes more costly due to increasing fixed rates in the market, thereby achieving cost savings and favorable interest expense positioning .

You might also like