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Polymarket Trading Bot for Bitcoin Up or Down

Automate your strategy on the 5- and 15-minute Bitcoin Up or Down markets. Download the full source code and run it on your own machine or VPS.

Kalshi
Polymarket

Watch a hands-on walkthrough of the Polymarket trading bot, from setup to automated execution on short-term crypto markets.

Built by reverse-engineering the exact strategy of this Polymarket account, which famously scaled $68 into $1.5M. The bot automates their high-frequency arbitrage and hedging in 5-15 minute windows, so you don't have to sit at the screen. Want proof? You can track our bot executing this exact logic live on Polymarket right here: polymarket.com.

Proven Logic, Fully Automated.

Watch the script parse the order book and execute your strategy flawlessly. No black boxes—just transparent logic handling hundreds of trades automatically, 24/7.

From Terminal to Trade in Milliseconds.

The bot trades on Polymarket crypto markets on the "Up or Down" principle — short-term predictions of BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP price movement for 5-15 minute windows. The strategy is based on three principles:

Arbitrage: Buying both sides of the market when the total price is below $1 (guaranteed profit).
Directional trading: Betting on the more likely outcome with hedging of the opposite side.
Risk management: Automatic locking of losses and profits.
AI market analysis and automated trading on Polymarket

Verify the algorithm without risking real USDC. Run the bot in simulation mode to watch the built-in strategy trade live 5m/15m markets in real-time, before flipping the switch to live execution.

1

Trade without emotion. Define your entry and exit rules, and let the script execute them flawlessly on every 5m and 15m market.

2

Purchase once and download the ready-to-run files instantly. Host the bot locally or on your own server to ensure your API keys and trading data stay 100% private.

3

Built to handle hundreds of trades per day. The script manages multiple active positions concurrently, maximizing your market exposure.

Zero Coding Experience Needed

Not a developer? No problem. The trading logic is already built-in. Simply open the Python folder in modern AI editors like Claude, Cursor or Windsurf, and type: "Help me start this bot." The AI will guide you through the setup and run the terminal commands for you.

Claude
Cursor
Windsurf
ChatGPT
DeepSeek
Pro Dashboard

The Pro Dashboard turns a terminal window into a live control room. Profit, every settled window and your bot's health update in real time on any device, even inside Telegram. And if your bot ever goes quiet, you hear about it in minutes, not the next morning.

Live P&L: Profit, win rate and volume for every bot you run, updated as each window settles.
Silence Alerts: A Telegram message the moment a bot stops reporting: the one alert a bot can't send about itself.
Bot Health: Heartbeat, latency, API and server load at a glance, so small problems never turn into missed trades.
Emergency Stop: Halt a bot from your phone in seconds. The dashboard can stop a bot, never touch your funds.
Pro Dashboard for the Polymarket trading bot: live bot health, heartbeat and P&L

Every review is backed by a live Polymarket account — click any name to check their positions and activity yourself.

Crypto Analyst

The built-in strategy is solid out of the box, but I love that I can easily tweak the probability thresholds. I adjusted the risk parameters slightly for weekend volatility, and because it's Python, the logic was incredibly easy to follow and modify.

Algorithmic Trader

In these 5-minute markets, if your entry is delayed by 2 seconds, your edge is gone. The direct API execution on this script is flawless. It snipes the entries exactly when the order book tilts, completely removing human hesitation.

Crypto Enthusiast

So sick of paying $100/month for black-box trading bots where you don't even know what the algorithm is doing. Paid once for this script, threw it on a cheap VPS, and I own it forever. Best ROI on a trading tool I've spent this year.

Web3 Engineer

I was about to write my own Polymarket API wrapper, but buying this saved me at least two weeks of reading docs and debugging. The Python codebase is super clean. I even added my own Telegram webhook for logging in like 5 lines of code.

Risk Manager

The Paper Trading mode is what sold me. I let the bot run on simulation for 48 hours to verify the built-in strategy against live 15m markets. Once I saw the execution logic was solid, I flipped it to live USDC. Zero stress.

High-Frequency Trader

Manual scalping on Polymarket's 5m BTC markets is exhausting. This script just grinds it out. It catches the probability shifts and executes via API way faster than I can click. The volume of concurrent bets it handles is insane.

Retail Trader

I'm not a dev, so buying a raw Python script felt risky. But I literally just dragged the folder into Windsurf, asked the AI to set up my .env file, and it ran the terminal commands for me. I had the bot trading live in under 10 minutes without writing a single line of code.

Crypto Analyst

The built-in strategy is solid out of the box, but I love that I can easily tweak the probability thresholds. I adjusted the risk parameters slightly for weekend volatility, and because it's Python, the logic was incredibly easy to follow and modify.

Algorithmic Trader

In these 5-minute markets, if your entry is delayed by 2 seconds, your edge is gone. The direct API execution on this script is flawless. It snipes the entries exactly when the order book tilts, completely removing human hesitation.

Crypto Enthusiast

So sick of paying $100/month for black-box trading bots where you don't even know what the algorithm is doing. Paid once for this script, threw it on a cheap VPS, and I own it forever. Best ROI on a trading tool I've spent this year.

Web3 Engineer

I was about to write my own Polymarket API wrapper, but buying this saved me at least two weeks of reading docs and debugging. The Python codebase is super clean. I even added my own Telegram webhook for logging in like 5 lines of code.

Risk Manager

The Paper Trading mode is what sold me. I let the bot run on simulation for 48 hours to verify the built-in strategy against live 15m markets. Once I saw the execution logic was solid, I flipped it to live USDC. Zero stress.

High-Frequency Trader

Manual scalping on Polymarket's 5m BTC markets is exhausting. This script just grinds it out. It catches the probability shifts and executes via API way faster than I can click. The volume of concurrent bets it handles is insane.

Retail Trader

I'm not a dev, so buying a raw Python script felt risky. But I literally just dragged the folder into Windsurf, asked the AI to set up my .env file, and it ran the terminal commands for me. I had the bot trading live in under 10 minutes without writing a single line of code.

Stop paying monthly fees for black-box bots. Get instant access to the Python script and run it forever.

Best Value
$499one-time

One-time payment. No subscriptions.

Instant Download: Get the .zip file immediately.
Full Python Codebase: Clean, readable, and yours to keep.
Built-In Strategy: Pre-configured for 5m/15m crypto markets.
Paper Trading Mode: Test safely without risking USDC.
AI-Setup Ready: Easily deploy using Claude, Cursor or Windsurf.
Unlimited Trades: No volume limits, no hidden fees.
Private Telegram Access: Get future bot updates, setup support, and join community strategy discussions.
Download the Script Now

🔒 Secure checkout. Pay with Crypto or Credit Card.

Done for You
$999one-time

The bot, installed for you, with a dashboard that watches it.

Everything in Full Source Code: the bot, every update and the private Telegram group.
Pro Dashboard: live status, P&L, trades and bot health for every bot you run.
Telegram Alerts: the moment a bot goes silent or hits a risk limit.
Emergency Stop: halt a bot from your phone. The dashboard can stop a bot, never move funds.
Done-for-You Setup: we install the bot and your Pro Dashboard on your VPS over a screen share. You type your private key yourself.
1-on-1 Onboarding Call: size the bot to your capital and move from paper to live.
Priority Support: a private chat with fast answers for 60 days.
Early Access: new versions before the public release.
No Subscription: every future dashboard feature is included.
Try the dashboard demo

How it works. Download the bot right after payment, then book your setup on Telegram: we install the bot and your Pro Dashboard on your VPS together.

Get Pro

🔒 Secure checkout. Pay with Crypto or Credit Card.

Here are some of the most common questions we receive from our users.

It's a fair question. Selling the bot is not our only source of income — it actually complements our primary revenue stream. As active Polymarket users, we earn through Polymarket's official referral program: every trader who runs the bot generates trading volume, and we receive a share of the associated fees. In other words, our incentives are fully aligned with yours — we profit when the bot performs well and you keep trading, not from hiding a working strategy. This model lets us keep improving the algorithm while still trading it ourselves.
Yes, it is the same bot, 1:1. The archive you download contains the exact code that trades on our own Polymarket account: the same strategy, the same order execution and the same risk controls. There is no stripped-down "customer edition", and nothing is held back. When we improve the bot, the update is released to every buyer in our private Telegram group, so you always run the same version we do.
The script is specifically optimized for high-frequency, short-term crypto markets. It targets 5-minute and 15-minute "Up or Down" markets (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum) where rapid execution and volatility provide the best algorithmic opportunities. It is not designed for slow-moving political or sports markets.
Yes. On August 7, 2026 Polymarket stopped settling its short-term crypto Up or Down markets on a single price snapshot. Both the price to beat and the closing price are now time-weighted average prices (TWAP) computed by Chainlink, and since August 14 the 5-minute and 15-minute markets both use a 60-second window. Up wins if the closing average is at or above the opening one, so a single spike in the final second no longer decides the market. The bot works under the new rule as it is, with no update or settings change: it reads each market's result from Polymarket itself after the close instead of computing the outcome on its own, it prices every order off the live order book, where the odds already reflect the TWAP rule, and an Up and Down pair bought for less than $1 pays out $1 whichever side wins. The official details are in Polymarket's changelog, and our BTC Up or Down 15-minute study shows what the 60-second close changed in practice.
The bot is written entirely in Python. Python is the industry standard for algorithmic trading, making the code incredibly easy to read, modify, and extend. Because it's in Python, AI coding assistants like Claude, Cursor or Windsurf can easily understand the entire codebase, helping you tweak the strategy or add new features in seconds, even if you aren't a developer.
Upon purchase, you will instantly receive a downloadable archive containing the complete source code and setup instructions. You host and run the bot locally or on your own VPS. There are no monthly subscriptions or black-box hosted bots.
Every purchase comes with a personal access code. Enter it on the Telegram access page and you'll get your invite link to our private group for bot owners, where we post updates, help with the setup and discuss new strategies. Didn't get a code or lost it? Write to our support and we'll sort it out.
Yes. The bot includes a built-in Paper Trading (simulation) mode. You can run the script on live Polymarket data to verify the algorithm's performance and execution speed without risking any real USDC.
Yes. Risk control is built in, and it works at the account level rather than as a fixed percentage per trade — which is what these short windows call for. Two limits live in your .env file and you can set either one to any value you like: a daily loss limit that halts everything once your realized loss for the day passes it (open orders are cancelled, the bot stops posting, and you receive a Telegram alert), and an exposure cap that freezes new buys once the capital committed across open markets reaches your ceiling. On top of that, the strategy stops accumulating a position as soon as the combined cost of a pair moves past break-even, so a bad window is closed out instead of averaged down. The archive ships with conservative defaults that you can raise or lower before your first live run.
By default, running a single 5-minute BTC window requires a budget of $1,000 to operate at full capacity. However, you are in full control of the sizing. If you want to start with a smaller amount, you can simply lower the TRADE_SCALE parameter in the configuration. For example, setting TRADE_SCALE = 0.1 allows you to run the exact same logic with just $100.
$200 is enough to get started. Thanks to the adjustable TRADE_SCALE parameter, the bot executes the exact same strategy at a smaller position size, so you can run it live with modest capital and scale up as you gain confidence. We recommend starting around $200 to comfortably cover position sizing and network fees while the algorithm cycles through several trading windows. There are no subscriptions or hidden costs — you only need trading capital in your own wallet, which stays fully under your control at all times.
No. The trading strategy is already built-in, so you don't need to write any code. If you've never used a command-line terminal to install dependencies or configure an .env file, you can simply use AI coding assistants like Claude, Cursor, Windsurf, or ChatGPT. Just open the bot's folder in the AI editor and type: "Help me set up and run this project." The AI will guide you step-by-step or even run the commands for you.
Both. The Full Source Code plan is the Python script, which already sends P&L reports to Telegram. The Pro plan adds the Pro Dashboard: during setup we install it on your own VPS next to the bot, so you can follow live P&L, trades and bot health from any device, get a Telegram alert if the bot goes silent or hits a risk limit, and stop it from your phone. Because the dashboard runs on your server, your private key still never leaves your machine, and the dashboard can stop the bot but never move funds. You can try it first in the live demo.
No. This is a one-time purchase for the script. You own the files and run them on your own infrastructure. You only pay the standard Polymarket network fees when executing live trades.
Yes. All buyers get access to our private Telegram group. Whenever we release updates, code improvements, or new features, they are published directly in the group for you to download.
We highly recommend renting a VPS located in Sweden. Sweden is geographically close to Polymarket's servers, which ensures the lowest possible latency (crucial for high-frequency trading), and Polymarket trading is legally permitted there. A minimal server configuration is completely fine to run the script smoothly. You can check suitable options here: kamatera.com.
The bot is lightweight and does not need a powerful machine: an entry-level VPS is enough to keep it running around the clock. This is the configuration we recommend, as it appears at kamatera.com:
Server type
Type A (Availability)
vCPU
1 core
RAM
1 GB
Storage
20 GB NVMe SSD
Operating system
Ubuntu Server 26.04 LTS (64-bit)
Data center
Stockholm, Sweden
Traffic
5 TB per month included
Price
about $4 per month
You can also rent a server with the same specifications from another provider, as long as it is located in a country where Polymarket is available.
Yes. You run the bot on a VPS, a rented cloud server that stays online 24/7, and you choose the country that server is located in. Pick a country where Polymarket is available: we recommend Sweden, which also keeps latency to Polymarket's servers low. The bot connects to Polymarket from that server rather than from your own device, so it works the same wherever you are, and you manage it remotely from your laptop or phone. On the Pro plan, we install the bot on your VPS for you. Your use of Polymarket remains subject to its Terms of Use and the laws of your country, so please check what applies to you before trading with real money.
Absolutely. We believe in full transparency. You can track the bot's live trading history and performance directly on Polymarket here: polymarket.com.
You won't be left alone. After your purchase, you will be invited to our private Telegram community alongside all other members. If you run into any technical issues, you can ask questions there and get help with the setup. It's also a place where we discuss and test new trading strategies together.
Write to us on Telegram: Support. Bot owners can also ask in our private Telegram group.

Already own the bot? Join our private Telegram group

Feel free to contact us on Telegram

Looking for a reliable Polymarket trading bot? Our custom script is designed specifically for high-frequency trading on the highly volatile 5-minute and 15-minute Bitcoin Up or Down markets. Automate your prediction market strategy with millisecond API execution, real-time order book parsing, and strict risk management.

Full Source Code Access via GitHub

Unlike black-box AI tools or expensive monthly subscriptions, we provide full access to the source code via GitHub. Whether you are an algorithmic trader, a Web3 developer, or a high-volume scalper, this Polymarket bot script allows you to deploy a scalable, data-driven strategy 24/7.

Connect your wallet, configure your custom probability thresholds, and start automating your crypto prediction market trades today. Own your code, trade faster, and scale your volume.

Paper Trading: Test Before You Risk Real Money

Worried about risking real capital right away? The script includes a built-in Paper Trading mode. You can run the bot in simulation, monitor probability shifts, and validate the execution logic in real-time without spending a single cent. Once you are confident in the setup, switch to live trading with USDC on the Polygon network by changing just one line in your config.

A Python Trading Script Anyone Can Run

You don't need to be a senior developer to run this Python trading script. The codebase is clean, fully transparent, and perfectly readable for modern AI coding assistants like Claude, Cursor or Windsurf. Even with zero coding experience, you can use AI to help you configure your API keys, install dependencies, and launch your automated setup in minutes.

Key Features of the Polymarket Bot Script

  • Direct Polymarket API integration for zero-latency execution.
  • Pre-configured logic for 5-minute and 15-minute crypto prediction markets.
  • Built-in paper trading mode to test strategies without risking USDC.
  • Strict risk management with configurable probability thresholds.
  • 100% open Python source code — modify and scale as you wish.
  • One-time purchase with zero recurring subscription fees.